Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan +7.5 | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
This Michigan football program is off one its worst in its history last season, and they have responded with poise and bounced back in a big way. The one loss to Michigan State was not completely surprising considering recent snake bites they have suffered in this series. However, wins vs Penn State and Wisconsin including some close road wins solidified their ability to compete. I know Ohio State is the better overall side, but with the grit the Wolverines have shown Im betting on a big effort here and cover as the redemption tour continues. MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS in games played on turf this season. CFB home team vs. the money line (MICHIGAN) - off 1 or more straight overs, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game are 69-8 SU L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (MICHIGAN) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-27-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor -14 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bears lead the Big 12 in total offense behind the duo of Abram Smith and Treston Ebner and are ultimately very fluid with their chess like attacks. This Bears team has a uncanny way of controlling the tempo of a game and Im betting Texas Techs wont keep up . Note: I know Blake Shapen is expected to be under center today for the Bears but this kid is talented and he will be out to make an impression and let the running game do the rest. Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS ( versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 20 ppg. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS ( after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game this season with a ppg diff clicking in at +21.7 ppg. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TEXAS TECH) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a 95% go against conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Baylor to cover |
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11-27-21 | Miami-OH v. Kent State +1.5 | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
Kent State destroyed Akron last week by a 38-0 count and continue to show explosive offensive continuity averaging 46.8 ppg at home. On the flip-side , visiting Miami O is only averaging 19.8 ppg in offense when playing in the visitors role. Kent State has the advantage. KENT ST is 12-3 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) - off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival, with a winning record on the season are 48-8 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
E.Carolina is playing their best football of the season, as they enter this game on a 4 game win streak, and have played their best football at home this season winning 4 of 5 games while allowing just 18.8 ppg defensively. I know Cincinnati is a top tier team but they have played a long hard schedule, at a very high level and from time to time this season, have played games against lower tier sides like its a de-facto bye week. Advantage East Carolina Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. E CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS in home games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better . Houston is 12-2 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E CAROLINA. Pirates are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. CFB home team vs. the money line (E CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on East Carolina to cover |
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11-26-21 | UNLV v. Air Force UNDER 50.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Air Force took part in a 41-39 offensive slugfest last time vs Nevada. However, previous to that shootout, the Falcons had allowed 10, 14, 17, 20, 21, 21 points respectively and only twice during that span scored more than 24 points. The Falcons love to pound the ball on the ground and here in a emotional letdown spot after their previous blockbuster will now be more conservative and ready to get back to playing solid D. This Im betting results in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers might indicate. Note: UNLV has averaged just 21.6 ppg on the road this season. AIR FORCE in straight home games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined score of 39.2 ppg go on the board. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 34 ppg scored. AIR FORCE is 21-5 UNDER in home games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (AIR FORCE) - after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 82-39 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas | 17-22 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas is in free fall after suffering 6 straight losses. Ending their futility today Im betting wont come easy if at all and Kansas States strong defense will be the difference maker. Im not saying this version of the Texas Longhorns is soft but their defense certainly is allowing 32.9 ppg overall and will be their downfall here today as it has been all season long. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 as a road underdog of 3 points or less . KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons TEXAS is 0-6 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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11-26-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigans passing attack is explosive and the ground game has been balanced and hard to stop . That was evident in a 22-21 win over top tier Mac opponent Western Michigan. With a offense that rip points up on the board in bunches the Eagles are solid underdogs. Creighton is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 12-2 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of E MICHIGAN.Creighton is 16-4 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of E MICHIGAN. E MICHIGAN is 15-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-26-21 | Boise State v. San Diego State +3 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This game has implications for the races in both the West and Mountain divisions and Im expecting both sides to leave everything on the field it what the lines-makers and myself expect to be a very close game, with the points in my betting opinion ending up being golden. The Aztecs defense is a wall against opposing ground games, and it all ties together with an offense that controls games in a very chess like conservative fashion. In a big game like this the home side looks like viable option getting points. SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.Hoke is 11-2 ATS in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in all games he has coached. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
They both are dealing with a short week as they prepare to meet Thursday night in New Orleans which sets up well for a slower paced game. Two viable defenses go head to head in prime time football this Thanksgiving. Buffalo has allowed just 17.6 ppg and the Saints have given up an average of 21.8 ppg. Thursday home pups like the Saints have gone UNDER all 5 times this season with a combined average of 36.8 ppg going on the board. Note: From a historical perspective it must be noted that the Saints have gone UNDER in in their last 9 Thursday nighters with a combined score of 39 ppg getting registered on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Buffalo was asleep at the wheel last week and were upset by a ugly 41-17 count by Indianapolis which Im betting will have them ready for a vigilant bounce back effort especially on D. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER off a home loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 30.9 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 10-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.3 ppg scored. McDermott is 12-4 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 39 ppg going on the board. Under is 19-7 in Bills last 26 games on fieldturf. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 38-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Thanksgiving nigh tilts have stayed lower scoring in 10 of the L/14 events staying below the offered total by an of 5.8 ppg, with the under cashing 6 straight times. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1 | 31-21 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
Egg Bowl Mississippi State sits at 7-4 overall and 4-3 in the SEC West. Ole Miss is 2nd in the division at 9-2 overall, 5-2 in conference play. The Miss State Bulldogs have played well against higher-ranked teams, especially as hosts, taking out NC State, Kentucky, and Auburn at Davis Wade. All of those football programs were ranked at the time. Im betting Leach and company have the edge again vs their higher ranked opponent. Key tonight will be the Bulldogs strong rush defense which ranks No. 21, in the nation and 4th in the SEC behind Georgia, Alabama and A&M which will take away from the Rebels being able to open up their pass game , which will limit their offensive options. On the flipside Im betting Miss State QB Rogers will meticulously follow a controlled game plan that will utilize everything available to him and give the viable Ole Miss D more than what they can plan for. Leach is 32-12 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.Leach is 22-7 ATS in home games after gaining 375 or more passing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 38-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on Miss State to cover/win |
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11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State UNDER 52.5 | 40-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
SAN JOSE STATE ranks 112th in points per game and 114th in yards per game and Im betting will once again struggle for consistent offensive flow vs Fresno State. Meanwhile, the The Bulldogs’ secondary is one of the tops in the nation , ranking eighth in Passing Success Allowed, and 5th in opponent completion percentage. On the flipside, Fresno State is more explosive offensively behind QB Haener, but it must be noted that the Spartans D is stout, ranking 23rd in coverage rating and 34th in yards per pass allowed with the defensive line ranking registering at 40th in pass rush and 48th in Sack Rate. This is a big game for San Jose State so Im betting they play this game like a chess match knowing they are outgunned, which in turn Im betting will see a muted combined score that fails to eclipse this offered total. SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.5 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (FRESNO ST) - after out-gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SAN JOSE ST/FRESNO ST) - in conference games, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 188-122 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +7.5 | 40-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a big game for San Jose State, as a win would make it bowl eligible. Needless to say Im betting we pull out all the stops to find a way to get a victory here. Im betting on the Spartans top tier D to keep them in this game until the end. SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.SAN JOSE ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game. Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field-turf. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the San Jose Spartans to cover |
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11-25-21 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 16-14 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
The Lions have a big reputation as Thanksgiving day money makers, but the truth it's usually when they are favs that they shine, but as dogs they have lost 12 straight times and covered only twice losing by an average of 9.8 ppg. I know Chicago may not inspire bettors but they are the superior side, and being very hungry for wins Im betting they dont pass up this opportunity to register a victory. Note: The Lions will start one of their woeful backups probably the horrendous looking Boyle this week and are down to just 3 healthy starting offensive lineman , so offensive continuity and scoring is going to be an issue. I know QB Fields may also not start for the Bears but to me veteran QB Dalton is a better option anyway . NFL Favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 13.3 ppg which qualifies from a. ATS level as well. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - in a game involving two struggling offensive teams (14-18 PPG) after 8 or more games, after a loss by 3 or less points are 21-3 ATS L/38 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Chicago has won 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and their L/2 visits to Motown . Play on Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois UNDER 61.5 | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois clinched the MAC West and motivation this week maybe an issue as well as trying to stay healthy before they go to Ford Field and play for the conference title. So Im betting on a muted effort here, by N.Illinois while Western Michigan really does not have alot to play after a very inconsistent season as they are projected to get an invite to a lower level bowl. Western Michigan has one of the better running games and today I expect they will employ that in grinding fashion, as they try to keep the explosive attack of the Huskies off the field, which in turn will keep the clock churning in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game than the pundits anticipate. Note: These two sides rank 104th and 96th in tempo in the nation. N.Illinois ha clinched a N ILLINOIS is 24-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 52.9 ppg scored.N ILLINOIS is 17-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 53.5 ppg scored during that 23 game sample size. CFB team against the total (W MICHIGAN) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 85-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | 10-30 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants’ defense is top form and have been really been stoppers in the last three weeks giving them the ability to be competitive against any NFL team even the defending Super Bowl champion Bucs . On the flip side, the giants rarely get much push from the offensive line but against shaky TB secondary I expect for some big plays and scores. With Big Blue getting healthy they are solid bets here to cover vs a Bucs side that is definitely not playing a top level at the moment. . Giants are 19-4 ATS L/23 as road underdogs. Judge is 8-1 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of NY GIANTS. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS against NFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons. TB has lost 19 of its L/26 SU after two consecutive road losses. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY GIANTS) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 35-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (NY GIANTS) - off a home win, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season are 46-19 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NY Giants to cover |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 48 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
We have a top tier West Division battle between Arizona and Seattle this Sunday afternoon, both were off losses with the Seahawks getting shutout . Seattle’s enters this game playing a top tier brand of defense football, allowing 13, 7, and 17 pts allowed in their last 3 games and come in with a having eclipsed the total just once in 9 games this season and were shutout last time out with a total of 17 points being scored . The average line of Seahawks tilts has been 48.9 with the average combined score clicking in at 40.7 ppg. Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games as an underdog. Whether QB Kyle Murray plays (ANKLE) or is less than 100% Im betting he is kept mostly at bey. It must be noted that NFL WEST DIVISION games L/37 seasons when the home team is an underdog of 6 pts or less the under has hit 75% plus of the time after game 8 or greater (15-49-1 UNDER ). Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road favorite.Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 games on fieldturf. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games ARE 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - with a struggling passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 46-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings UNDER 47.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bays defense shined last time out with a 17-0 polishing of Seattle. Im expecting their D, to stand tall again this week in this key divisional battle vs Minnesota, a side of a hard fought victory last week vs the Chargers. Note: Minnesota has allowed 20 points or less in 5 of their L/7 overall. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games. Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.Under is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-0 in Packers last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 vs. NFC. GREEN BAY is 8-1 UNDER (when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER vs struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. GREEN BAY is 6-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season with a combined average of 34.5 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (GREEN BAY) - after going under the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, in conference games are 30-9 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season ere 42-14 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show | |
I know the Jets D is atrocious but the Dolphins are not a team that can take huge advantage of this situation. Meanwhile, the Jets are not trusting Mike White under center, and the play calling from the offensive coordinator is amateurish at best making futility the call here today and a total combined score that stays on the low side of the total. NY JETS are 12-2 UNDER L/14 in home games versus struggling rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games in November.Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East.MIAMI is 41-14 UNDER vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return . MIAMI is 61-39 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL team against the total (NY JETS) - after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 23-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 35 points or more in 2 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MIAMI) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 29-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Texans v. Titans UNDER 45 | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 66 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas has scored 9 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games and today if they can muster that many points Ill be surprised vs a Titans team that held KC to just 3 points a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, Tennessee after 5 straight grueling games against top tier competition could end up using this game as a de-facto bye week, and not put the pedal to the metal or even be inclined to do so as they save some juice for the play offs . This equates to a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect. HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. DD road dogs like Texas off their bye week have gone under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the gridiron when the total is 42 or more. Texans are 1-10 L/11 under as a road dog of 3 points or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (HOUSTON) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-13 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NFL team against the total (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 36-14 L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Panthers -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
The Washington football team after upsetting the defending Super Bowl Champs last week will now in a huge emotional letdown situation on the road. It must be noted that sides off a upset of the defending Super Bowl champion by 10 or more points have covered just 3 of the 19 times when facing a .400 or better side like the Panthers in their following tilt. With Carolina looking like a viable side to back with Cam Newton or former XFL star QB PJ Walker under center Im recommedning we pull the trigger here and lay a few points with a team that has plenty of momentum and crowd support this Sunday. NFL Favorites (CAROLINA) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (27 or more PPG), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-20-21 | Syracuse +11.5 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
After being very competitive this season , Syracuse looked tired/lifeless vs Louisville last week in a 41-3 loss. Previous to that 5 of their L/6 games were all decided by 4 points or less and they have won the stats battles in 8 of 10 games this season. There is good news coming for Syracuse bettors this week as Babers is 8-0 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE. On the flip-side NC States HC Doeren is 0-9 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game as the coach of NC STATE like Syracuse. I expect Syracuse to pound away on the ground today and to take advantage of Wolfpack side that has failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as 10 or more point home fav in conference tilts. SYRACUSE is 12-3 ATS L/15 vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return. SYRACUSE is 8-2 ATS in all games this season.
Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-20-21 | UCLA v. USC +3.5 | 62-33 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
Rivals go head to head today in southern California , and Im betting the under performing but under rated home side has the edge. The UCLA secondary is vulnerable as is evident by allowing an average of 240 yards per game. The one thing that USC can do consistently is go deep and make passes, and that what will be the difference maker here today. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). USC has been a recent ATM when faltering going 6-0 ATS as a home pup when coming off consecutive losses, including a 6-0 ATS mark as a home dog with a below .500 record. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 76-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play USC to cover |
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11-20-21 | Connecticut v. Central Florida UNDER 56 | 17-49 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
UConn has averaged 13.8 ppg on offense this season and my projections estimate a even lower aggregate here vs UCF that allows just 15.8 ppg at home vs better competition. This outlook leans heavy on this being a game that will not see this combined score eclipse the offered number. Note: UCF allowed 55 points in a loss to SMU last week, but prior to that they allowed 7, 7 10 points respectively and a return to strong defensive play is key here for the home side. Malzahn is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCF) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game.are 24-3 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-21 | Rice v. UTEP -8.5 | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (RICE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at -19 ppg. Play on UTEP |
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11-20-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -20.5 | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
Alabama has crushed Arkansas 100-10 count in the last two meetings and Im betting on another beatdown here, as the Tide ramp up into championship form, especially on defense, where they have allowed just 15.8 ppg at home this season. Alabama is 5-1 ATS as home favorite of less than 24 points. Lay and it and play it on Alabama to cover |
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11-20-21 | UAB +4.5 v. UTSA | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game undefeated, but Im betting they will have their hands full with UAB this week in a key game. Its alot of pressure for a team to stay undefeated in College Football, and Im betting they feel the heat here today vs a UAB side that is ntorious for picking up big wins in key games. Note: The Blazers allow a little over 100 rushing yards per game, and they lead the league in total defense. Defence wins championships and in this case gets us the cover in this spot play. |
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11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
Iowa State has big time revenge on board vs Oklahoma this Saturday , after having their butts handed to them in last year’s Big 12 Championship. Note:Iowa State is a profitable 5-1 ATS L/6 away with conference revenge .I know the Cyclones are also off a loss last week in heart breaking fashion, but now that will make them even hungrier as a collective. Advantage Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, in weeks 10 through 13 are 45-85 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.(Lost a Baylor last week 27-14) |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Clemson slowly but surely has gotten back towards championship form and now must be respected here at home to handle a one way Wake Forest offensive juggernaut. The Clemson D, Im betting will give Wake a real test, while the Deacons D, is usually their weak link and wont stand up very well in the end. (Wake ha allowed an average of 42 ppg on the road this season) Clemson HC Swinney is 14-2 SU L/16 when having won three straight games.. WAKE FOREST is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 50-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Clemson to cover |
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11-19-21 | Air Force +2 v. Nevada | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
Air Force has impressed me this season, winning the stats battles in 9 of 10 games and are 4-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and after watching them take down Colorado state last time out on the road by a 35-21 margin it became clear they are for real. Now the talented and gritty Falcons crew take to the road again and Im betting they wont be intimidated at all here by a Nevada side that did not completely live up to expectations this season and now in a emotional letdown spot, after losing a key heart breaker to San Diego State last week. . CFB team (AIR FORCE) - after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
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11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 60 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis games have not eclipsed the total in 4 straight opportunities. Meanwhile, I know Houston ash really been lighting up the scoreboard but it must be noted Holgorsen is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after scoring 31 points or more in 5 straight games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 52.7 ppg scored. Im expecting a harder fought battle than many expect with less points than the most expect. MEMPHIS is 23-5 UNDER L/28 in road games in weeks 10 through 13 . CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (HOUSTON) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 33-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 52.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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11-19-21 | Memphis +9 v. Houston | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
There is alot of pressure here on the Houston Cougars as a win this week against a dangerous Memphis side and another next week vs UConn and HC Holgernson and company will take on Cincinnati in the AC Conference Championship game. However, Memphis would love to play spoiler here and they do have the offensive weapons to make Houston sweat and to get us the all important cover. Note: Memphis is 5-1 SU/ 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series and must be respected because of their explosiveness and ability to get a upset win or backdoor cover. |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +6.5 | 25-0 | Loss | -102 | 59 h 24 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons suffered their worst loss in almost 20 years this past Sunday vs Dallas 43-3 and with that said it must be noted pros do not like to be embarrassed. Remember these NFL rosters are made up of some of the top athletes in the world, and they own some of the biggest egos on earth. Im expecting a big effort from the entire Falcons group here at home in this national broadcast tilt and what Ill peg as redemption night in Georgia. I know New England smashed Cleveland last time out by a 45-7 count , but a repeat performance is unlikely here as is Atlanta having another muted offensive effort. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Patriots are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win.Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta to cover |
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11-18-21 | Louisville v. Duke OVER 60 | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Duke cant stop the run or the pass, and they have pretty well given up any kind of gritty play which is necessary when looking for strong defensive efforts.Duke has allowed and average of 45 points per game in their L/4 trips to the gridiron. Duke also ranks (104th in Success Rate Allowed via the run), (103rd in Success Rate Allowed via the pass) or the big play (124th). The Blue Devils have had success running the ball as was the case vs Virginia Tech and Im betting they have the same success again which will open play action down field for some scores vs a Louisville secondary that gets torched for big plays mostly because they open up the field because of not being able to stop opposing ground attacks. Meanwhile, Louisville really put the boots to a good Syracuse D last week, by scoring 41 points, by mostly running our side the tackles, which Im betting will be a successful formula this week, vs a side that is porous and slow at best. This game has the makings of a big ugly scoring slugfest. DUKE is 11-2 OVER in home games off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals with a combined average of 63 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (LOUISVILLE) - after a win by 21 or more points against opponent after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points are 25-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-17-21 | Central Michigan v. Ball State OVER 58.5 | 37-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This total opened around 63 on the board , but than sharp money has come in ever since and driven the number down to a bit to much according to my projections which sets my estimates in at 61 which gives us almost a FG edge to the over. I know we are expecting to see some rain in Muncie tonight, but the field turf @ Scheumann Stadium will handle it well. Note: Central Michigan has allowed 39, 30 and 30 points respectively in their L/30 while scoring 38, 42,54 points in their L/3 overall. Even if the Chippewas regress because of weather and other reasons Im betting on them putting out a +30 out offensive output here, while allowing +30 points to a Ball State offense that has shown flashes of brilliance scoring 45 on Western Michigan and 38 points on Eastern Michigan. At this offering we have value to the OVER. McElwain is 8-1 OVER (when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of C MICHIGAN with the average combined score clicking in at 69.7 ppg.C MICHIGAN in their L/9 November games over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 68.5 ppg scored. Neu is 6-0 OVER in home games off a road loss against a conference rival as the coach of BALL ST with the average combined score registering at 73 ppg. BALL ST in their L/9 games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a average team offensive output of 34.9 ppg. Play OVER Play OVER |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +5.5 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
E.Michigan is bowl eligible, but must garner a victory tonight and beat Northern Illinois next week , as well some other uncontrollable good luck to be able to get a share of the MAC West title. Needless to say Im betting the Eagles will leave everything on the field today vs a Western Michigan team that gives up alot of big plays in the secondary. Eagles are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss. Creighton is 13-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog. W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons.W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS L/15 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (E MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 38-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-14-21 | Eagles +2.5 v. Broncos | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
The Broncos have won 2 straight games including a big upset on the road against the Dallas Cowboys last week. Last weeks victory ended a 5 game streak where they lost they stats battle so Im not that impressed by the surprising win, as their over all work must be considered. I know Philadelphia may not inspire bettors but QB Jalen Hurts continues to improve, and hes a handful for most defenses, and according to my rankings he matches up well here and should have a good day as a dual threat pivot. Im betting Hurts will be the difference maker today. Denver has failed to cover 16 of their 24 games as a home favorite in tilts after winning straight-up as a dog, including 1-10-1 ATS if they are off back to back SUATS wins. DENVER is 17-38 ATS L/55 in home games off a non-conference game. NFL team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team 1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 46-14 SU L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they committed no turnovers are 23-4 ATS L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Eagles to cover |
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11-14-21 | Bills v. Jets +13 | 45-17 | Loss | -124 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lost in shocking fashion to the Jacksonville Jaguars last time out with a bizarre 9-6 score attached to it. Buffalo is now 0-3 ATS this season as double-digit road favorites. I know many expect, the now inconsistent Bills to come out here spitting bullets ,as they look for a quick redemption result, but laying almost two TDs in a divisional road game seems a bit much in my opinion. Especially with NYJ incumbent QB Mike White under center. With that said, the Jets will not easy targets and get my support here getting points as a home dog. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.Jets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jets are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 10.5 or more points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 8-29 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-14-21 | Saints +3 v. Titans | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
RB Adrian Peterson who has lots of miles on him is now the Titans No.1 running back as Tennessee’ has to move forward without the injured Derrick Henry for at least the rest of the regular season . That will be a difficult transition for a offense that leans hard on Henry to move the chains. Yes, I know the Titans have played smash mouth football of late against top tier competition, but that kind of action takes a toll on a team, and now this week against the Saints Im betting we see some exhaustion play a part in making the Titans vulnerable home favs. Note: NFL teams like Tennessee off 4 straight underdog wins have covered just 1 of their L/7 opportunities as favs in their followup tilt. TENNESSEE is also just 3-15 ATS off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog which was the case after a DD win vs the Rams last week. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 28-62 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-13-21 | Nevada v. San Diego State -141 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting the difference maker here tonight is the Aztecs top tier Defence. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. San Diego State to win |
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11-13-21 | NC State v. Wake Forest -1 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest explosive offense Im betting will really be aggressive and attack the Wolpacks D which has allowed over 400 yards in three of its last five games. Advantage Wake Forest. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. NC STATE is 1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (WAKE FOREST) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 37-2 L/10 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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11-13-21 | Notre Dame v. Virginia +6 | 28-3 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Rested Virginia was on a 4 game win streak before being derailed last time out in a back and forth offensive slugfest but now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs Notre Dame. NOTRE DAME is 8-26 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. Virginia is 16-3 ATS vs .800 or better opposition. Virginia is 5-1 ATS L/6 off a bye. VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. Mendenhall is 7-0 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game as the coach of VIRGINIA which was the case vs BYU in a 49-66 loss. CFB home team (VIRGINIA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 70-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia to cover |
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11-13-21 | Oklahoma v. Baylor +6 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Sooners’ are over rated and the pollsters know it , but the lines makers don't seem to because of their lengthy win streak keep propping them up which is great for sharp money but not so much so for the diehard fans who back the Sooners no matter what . Yes the Sooners have found ways to win this season but are 0-6 ATS with HC Lincoln Riley at the helm as conference road favorites. Nothing seems to be coming easily for the Oklahoma and that will continue here vs a side in Baylor that is playing in revenge mode for a loss last year in this series. The Bears are 20-5 SUATS at home in Waco the last 10 seasons against opposition coming off a victory including 8-0 ATS as an under dog. BAYLOR is 8-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (BAYLOR) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 23-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the Baylor Bears to cover |
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11-13-21 | East Carolina +5.5 v. Memphis | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
ECU allows 24 ppg to Memphis' 29.1 and more than 400 yards a game so the better defense rests with the Pirates. The Pirates have only failed to cover 2 of their 9 games ATS this season to rank 6th-best in the nation at covering the spread and once again according to my power rankings matchup very well here vs the Memphis . Look for E.Carolina to lean on their D, here and to pound the ball on the ground alot more to slow the flow of their explosive opponents.E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 175 or less total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 107-53 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on E.Carolina to cover |
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11-13-21 | Central Florida +7.5 v. SMU | 28-55 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
UCF is playing decent ball of late and have 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 with the only loss coming to undefeated Cincinnati. With that said, the UCF is more than capable hanging around here vs a SMU side that has lost two straight while giving up 400 plus yards in those tilts defensively. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.UCF is 8-1 straight up against SMU since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (UCF) - after allowing 14 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 6 or less points is 33-6 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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11-13-21 | Houston -24.5 v. Temple | 37-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls look to just be going through the motions as it looks like they threw the towel in on their season a while, back and that has been evident over their L/4 games where they have been outscored, 180-27. With that said, Im betting Houston laying down abeatdown of mammoth proportions here today against a team that will probably just lie down for them.Houston is ranked 10th in the nation, averaging 39.1 points per game and Im betting they breach that number here in this spot. TEMPLE is 0-6 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -34 ppg. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points (TEMPLE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games are 27-62 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (HOUSTON) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 60-28 ATS L/29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 49 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams have exhibited much better defensive efforts than offensive efforts this season, and Im betting things wont change tonight on the Blue Carpet as Boise State and Wyoming take part in a grinding game, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. From a historical standpoint the L/6 meetings here have gone under the total on the Blue Carpet. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (WYOMING) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (BOISE ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-12-21 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +23.5 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
USF will be very motivated to be ready to extend their 6-0 ATS L/6 mark in this series vs undefeated Cincinnati. Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in South Florida. Its a ugly kind of clothes pin to the nose type selection, but this is easily the Bulls biggest game of the season considering that will not go bowling. Im betting they leave everything on the filed here while the Bearcats begin to feel the pressure of maintaining a undefeated season. Bearcats are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Bulls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Play on South Florida to cover |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
North Carolina ended the Wake Forest win streak at 8 games last week in a emotional back and forth offensive slugfest. Now Im betting the Tar Heels wont have that same energy this week after that exhausting physical and emotional victory , and will fall victim to a Pittsburgh team that can actually play defense and light up the board just as efficiently. With that said look for Panthers QB Pickett to land KOs all day in the pocket behind a top-10 offensive line. N CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Brown is 0-9 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of N CAROLINA. Brown is 4-15 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points in all games . CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 30-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors, CFB Road underdogs (N CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 14-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh to cover |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -135 | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have been a top tier unit against the run as they have not allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.
Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head ) Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 62 | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill. is predicting 13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 50 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and now Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons . CFB team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win. Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. OHIO U is 10-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo +7.5 v. Miami-OH | 18-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan UNDER 62 | 40-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected). Play on the UNDER |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers +2.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
,Arizona had their perfect 7-0 season come to an abrupt end last time out and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. The Cards are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a SU home chalk loss and have lost 8 of their L/9 overall in tilts after playing against the Green Bay Packers. With QB Jimmy Garoppolo looking healthy and off a strong performance last time ( 17-of-28 for 322 yards) I like the 49ers chances in this spot play. With the Niners 4-0 ATS at home in a key division game vs a team off a Thursday night game Im liking our chances.ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 season.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a huge underdog win vs TB last week and will now be in a emotional letdown situation. It must be noted that teams that upset Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 19-36 SU/ATS bd division opposition the following game, when not favored by 7 or more points. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors but is also must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 7-23 ATS L/20 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 11-34 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bills v. Jaguars +15 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jags do not inspire many bettors, but when value arises I have to bite my pride, and follow the right path. Buffalo is obviously the superior side, but this is just to many points in my humble opinion, especially with Urban Meyer and company looking at this tilt like an opportunity for redemption after a disastrous start to this campaign. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Jacksonville to cover |
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11-07-21 | Texans +6.5 v. Dolphins | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 17 m | Show | |
These two teams have lost 7 games in row, and both will desperate for a win here and Im betting it will be a battle to the very end with getting points being eventually golden. HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI and have won 3 of the L/4 visits here . NFL Road underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in November games are 44-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites (MIAMI) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 27 PPG or more ), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-38 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 56 h 26 m | Show | |
Denver is off a grinding home win last time out vs Washington and now come into this game with momentum vs americas team the Dallas Cowboys who are on a 6 game win streak . The Broncos according to my power rankings are being underestimated this week, no matter who starts at QB for the Cowboys ( Prescott or Rush). I know how well the Cowboys have played overall, but from a historical standpoint laying DDs at home vs a non divisional opponent has not been profitable for their backers as they have failed to cover 10 of their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL road dogs like Denver coming off a win of 6 or more points are 15-3 ATS so far this season. Denver has also won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Dallas to play the Boyz. It must also be noted that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater away games as an NFL starter, is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus above .500 opposition and is key here for a Broncos cover. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-06-21 | USC +10.5 v. Arizona State | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program as they are just 6-15 SU in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but they are quite capable of top tier offensive production behind freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note: Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-06-21 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out on 19 carries . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated 100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks. South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. South Carolina 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. South Carolina to cover |
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11-06-21 | LSU +29 v. Alabama | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge. LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. LSU is 13-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that my power rankings suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +18.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with the 28t h ranked passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game) and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D. MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Brohm is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-06-21 | Middle Tennessee State +17 v. Western Kentucky | 21-48 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. Play on Midd Tenn State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State and TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of SMU. Memphis covered six straight times in this series until suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . SMU is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota -14.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note : Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49 for a 81% win rate. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | 52-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one. HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption quotas have me taking points here. UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Boston College is having problems again the run and especially dual QB threats. Louisville Cardinal Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader ran all over Boston College as the Eagles allowed 620 + rushing yards including 6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but now they have to face another strong ground game featuring double trouble threat Burmeister. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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11-04-21 | Jets +10.5 v. Colts | 30-45 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is off a frustrating OT loss vs Tennessee last Sunday and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot this Monday night vs a NY Jets team with a new QB at the helm Mike White who led them to a OT win vs a tough Cincinnati crew by a 34-31 count. I know Carson Wentz is a quality QB but he's not consistent enough and has a tendency to fold under pressure more often than not . On the flip-side the Jets players have said they were very happy when Mike White Lightning came on the field as their new QB and the entire team Im betting will play behind him which is important for team chemistry. Momentum and confidence sit on the Jets side of the field. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (INDIANAPOLIS) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 17-42 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana Head coach Billy Napier is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a 5-0 record in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered by 15 or more points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) Martin is 30-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. Candle is 3-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on Eastern Michigan |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 52 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas is really lighting it up and look like a team possessed scoring 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 trips to the gridiron .Non-Division teams like the Cowboys who produced 35 or more points off offense in each of their last 4 contests are a perfect 6-0 L/6 opportunities OVER when the Total is 46 or higher. Dallas has gone over 9 straight times, vs the NFC north where the Vikings reside, and Im betting on rested legs and off a bye week they will light the board up against vs a inconsistent Vikings D.Over is 14-3-1 in Cowboys last 18 games following a bye week.DALLAS is 11-3 OVER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 61.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the Vikings also off a bye week will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will result in a combined score to go over the offered number. Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games following a bye week.Over is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 vs. NFC.MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company took out the Saints last season in the NFC playoffs last season, and now Im betting on a huge revenge scenario to manifest here and for the Saints to come out spitting fire. Note: Saints are 11-2-1 ATS as home underdogs L/15 seasons , and failed to cover just once under new head coach Sean Payton. New Orleans has owned this series in the regular season going 5-0 SUATS L/5 meetings and Im betting have the edge again getting points as hosts. Payton is 24-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets +11 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bengals are off a huge underdog win last time out vs the Baltimore Ravens and will find themselves in an emotional letdown spot here vs a ugly home dog in the NY Jets making them vulnerable . Previous to the Bengals win last week, they had not beat an above .500 team so Im not ready to crown them possible super Bowl contenders just yet. With that said, I know it will be tough for many of you to take the points here with the Jets, but with Zach Wilson now on the sidelines for the Jets and Mike White under center Im betting we will see a better version of the Jets this week. White was brilliant in his time with Western Kentucky and must not be underestimated . Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS L/22 after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. NY JETS is 7-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. in NY. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. NFL Favorites (CINCINNATI) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins +14 v. Bills | 11-26 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
I am not disputing which side is the better group, but in a division game a two TD difference is a little over the top. I know how well and how badly each team has played, but this line is bloated according to my power rankings and Im willing to take the points with a clothes pin attached firmly to my nose. Note: NFL home favorites in division games of 14 or more points are just 48-65-6 ATS L/41 seasons , including a 0-7 L/7 ATS run. BUFFALO is 18-33 ATS L/51 after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
After back to back underdogs wins vs Buffalo and Kansas City Im betting the Titans will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out the Colts as visitors. The Colts current group is also suited well to defending against the run , and with QB Carson Wentz in top form throwing multiple TDs pass in 4 straight games with no interceptions the Colts are a dangerous looking team. Note: Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games coming off consecutive SU underdog wins.I INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons
Play on the Colts to cover |
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10-31-21 | Rams v. Texans +16 | 38-22 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Rams took out the lowly Lions last week by a 28-19 count, but they had to work extremely hard to do it after falling 10-0 in the first quarter. To me its obvious the Rams are taking defacto bye weeks to rest players against lower tier sides at least from an emotional standpoint ( their effort and grit look less than positive at time despite of the talent levels. In the recent past it seems the odds makers have over estimated the Rams ability to beat up on lower level sides, as is evident by their 1-5 ATS mark vs. a team with a losing record. After last weeks emotional come from behind victory Im fading them as huge road favs vs a team that will be motivated for redemption of some sort. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. LA RAMS are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites (LA RAMS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies are a 7-0 team if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 61 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. Franklin is 11-2 UNDER after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 62.5 | 37-44 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 56 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Recent history in this series: Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014 the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total. Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State -6 v. Georgia Southern | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Georgia State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Southern Miss v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. Middle Tennessee to cover |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the defense, which allowed more than 21 points just once this season. CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Michigan State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. Buffalo 6-1 ATS win skein in this series. BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3 BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Buffalo to cover |
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10-29-21 | UNLV +20 v. Nevada | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Play on the UNLV to cover |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
Green Bay has gone into over drive after offseason drama with its star quarterback Rodgers meltdown and near retirement , a Week 1 blowout defeat and than a boat load full of injuries. They continue to jump all obstacles and now Rodgers after his off season sulking, and slow start is a man on a mission and will be primed to take down the undefeated Arizona Cards this Thursday night. Note: The Packers are 5-0 ATS L/5 versus undefeated NFC West opponents . Arizona QB Murray is 1-5 ATS as a non-division home favorite of fewer than 7 points in his career.
Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Cardinals are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game.ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS in home games after out-gaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS L/18 off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (ARIZONA) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 7-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a79% go against conversion rate.
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10-28-21 | Troy +17.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs at Appalachian State by a 30-27 count. Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. TROY is 7-0 ATS against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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10-28-21 | South Florida +10 v. East Carolina | 14-29 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2), have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt. Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. Play on South Florida to cover
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10-28-21 | Troy v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 52 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
Defensively, Troy has been in top form this season and Im betting they keep Coastal Carolina from one of their usually explosive offense outputs. They are hard to run on and pass against, thus Im betting that this will contribute greatly to a lower scoring affair that does not see this offered total eclipsed. l. Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games on grass. Under is 9-2 in Trojans last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Chanticleers last 6 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Chanticleers last 5 games overall. COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game with a combined 47.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TROY) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 49-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |