Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
The Colts after a slow 0-3 start have won 2 of their L/3 games, with the loss coming to Baltimore by a 31-25 count. This team and its current roster according to my power rankings is more than capable of hanging with a SF 49ers side that has a banged up QB (Jimmy Garoppolo ) at the helm of the offense that is playing at less than 100% when he is on the field. Advantage Colts to cover. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival, after the first month of the season are 31-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. ( This trend gives a decent probability of possible upset thus giving top tier value with taking points. INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0/ATS 2-1 SU against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO in SAN FRANCISCO since 1992. Indianapolis to cover |
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10-24-21 | Texans v. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 | 5-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
The Texans have scored a total of 35 points in 4 games (8.75 ppg). Arizona has allowed an average of 18 ppg, and Im betting both these means to averages will continue. I know the Texans D, is atrocious and the Cards are putting up points in bunches, but Im betting Texas does everything possible to turn this into a grinding slow motion affair. On the flip-side Arizona is off a road underdog win last time out, and be in a letdown state here vs a side that Im sure they are not taking very seriously no matter what they say. Also after playing 3 of their L/4 games and at break neck speed this will be a spot where the Cardinals energy levels will be lower than usual which will relate to a slower event that may might expect. These are my expectations, and right or wrong Im betting this game with confidence to the under. HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. Note: undefeated non-division home teams like the Arizona Cardinal from GAME 5 and beyond have gone a 0-11-1UNDER L/5 seasons when the Totals offering is 45 or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog, after the first month of the season are 46-18 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit is ranked 28th in scoring in the NFL averaging 18.3 ppg and here against a solid Rams D, that output average will be further muted and have scored 17 or less points in 5 straight. That lack of productivity Im betting will help keep this combined score under the offered number. It must be noted that the LA Rams play at the rate in the NFL averaging just 59 plays per game. I expect a slower more deliberate game from the Rams after playing 2 consecutive road games. Its takes time to use to home cooking so I dont expect them to be as explosive as usual.
NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team +8.5 v. Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 26 m | Show | |
That was a big win for Rodgers and company last week against their long time rivals the Bears and now Im expecting an emotional letdown situation to unfold for Green Bay giving us an advantage with taking points with the Washington football team. I know Washington has not looked good defensively, but they are still capable of slowing down the Packer train. Note: From a historical standpoint GREEN BAY is just 9-22 ATS in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 6 yards/play or more . |
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10-24-21 | Jets +7 v. Patriots | 13-54 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks back and forth tilt vs the Dallas Cowboys that saw New England lose to the Cowboys in OT, Im betting on a huge letdown performance from the Pats here this week vs the lowly Jets, Also according to my power rankings the Jets are not as bad as their record suggests and are more than capable of hanging tough here and pulling off the upset. NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - with a struggling offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 39-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. |
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10-23-21 | USC +7 v. Notre Dame | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 38 m | Show | |
USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. USC is 12-3 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on USC to cover |
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10-23-21 | South Alabama v. UL-Monroe +13.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
UL Monroe (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State +3 v. Air Force | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground, and that is a problem for them here tonight as they take on a San Diego State rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight with the Visitor going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also 9-2 as 8 point dogs or less. AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego State to cover |
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10-23-21 | Boston College +6.5 v. Louisville | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 1 m | Show | |
Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992. BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. Play on BC to cover |
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10-23-21 | BYU v. Washington State OVER 55.5 | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate both these sides will score+28 points which gives value to this over wager. Over is 9-2 in WStates last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in BYU Cougars last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU/WASH ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-2 OVER L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON. Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-23-21 | Colorado +9 v. California | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 7 m | Show | |
Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a 1-5 SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
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10-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 54.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections on total offensive output is based on trending stats , but also how both these coach's perform under certain situations and perimeters. Add to that a overall college football trend that denotes a lower scoring affair and I am solidly on the under here today. This is an important MAC game so it will see some chess master moves by both coaches that will keep the game more conservative than might usually be the case , which will Im betting keep this tilt under the total. Candle is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of TOLEDO with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Lester is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored.Lester is 8-1 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-8 L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin -155 v. Purdue | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
Purdue after upseting Iowa last week as road dogs will now be in a huge emotional letdown situation. Considering Wisconsin has won 12 straight meetings in this series including 6-0 SUATS on the road Im betting the Badgers come away with the win vs a vulnerable side. Purdue is 5-21 L/16 SU as conference dogs. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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10-23-21 | Kansas State +1 v. Texas Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint have done well in this series winning 4 of their last 5 trips to Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992. Wells is 1-12 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KState Wildcats to cover |
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10-23-21 | Cincinnati v. Navy +28 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs. Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons. The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-23-21 | Wake Forest v. Army +3 | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
I know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights can hit the weakest part of the Wake D, which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the 2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Army to cover |
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10-22-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 59 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Colorado States D, is up-trending in my power rankings, and have allowed a total of 51 points in their L/4 trips to the gridiron ( 12.75 ppg average) and their ability to slow down Utah States attack will help directly keep this game from going over the number. Meanwhile, Utah State after an explosive start offensively have settled down and have 24,28, and 3 points in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. Tonight Im expecting a grinding game between two Mountain west squads and a total that will not be eclipsed. Note: CSU is 4-1 under L/5 overall. COLORADO ST is 37-19 UNDER L/56 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the board. UTAH ST is 39-21 UNDER L/60 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 56 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida +1.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat this teams need wins and now especially after getting smashed by 56-21 count at Cincinnati last week , which did not make Central Florida backers/boosters very happy and the rumblings are getting louder. The good news here for UCF is that host is on a 13-1 ATS run in this series while, Memphis’ has lost 13 of their L/15 when playing on the road against UCF. MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-30 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Florida to cover |
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10-21-21 | San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 43.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
When these teams played last season San Jose State won by a 34-17 count. Now despite of the Spartans offensive numbers showing. a distinct drop from last season, my own projections estimate they matchup well here vs D allowing 35 ppg on average and should easily go above their offensive season averages. Meanwhile, UNLV winless on the season, are desperate for a win and will not be conservative in their approach here today and will come at the Spartans in aggressive fashion which increases the probability of an output that goes over this offered total. UNLV is 21-9 OVER L/30 vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.UNLV is 20-4 OVERoff a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with a combined average of 65.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 Thursday games. Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - off a home loss against a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 69-35 OVER L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
I have projected a 3 TD win + here for Lafayette. ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -28.3 ppg. CFB home underdogs (ARKANSAS ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a terrible team ( 25%) are 25-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25.5 points per game. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings in this series. Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU when coming off a loss the past four seasons. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate . Play on App State to cover |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 21 m | Show | |
Bill Belichick is 21-7 SU in his career vs NFC East sides , cashing 4 straight times a s dog including 6 straight victories versus the Dallas Cowboys. I know the Boyz are playing great ball but Belichick is a chess master that must be respected at home . New England has cashed in 5 of their L/6 as home dogs, while the Cowboys are 0-6-1 ATS L/7 after playing the Giants which was the case last week. NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season . NFL non-division road favorite (DALLAS) of more 3 + points coming off three consecutive home games including a SUATS win last time out have failed to cover 14 of the L/15 times for a 93% go against conversion rate. NFL Road favorites (DALLAS) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more point are 18-45 L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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10-17-21 | Raiders +4 v. Broncos | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
HC Gruden is now just a memory in the minds of this Las Vegas football group. It's a fresh start for them as they can now concentrate on playing football instead of being involved in a controversial circus. Im still a believer in this Raiders group, and here as 4 point dogs vs a Broncos side that is 0-6 ATS L/6 as division favorites we have an edge taking points. Especially considering that this Denver team has gone 24 straight games without scoring in their first possession of the game , which in itself continually puts them behind the proverbial 8 ball. Note: Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has failed to cover 7 of 11 home in division games in his NFL career. Raiders are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series and since moving to Las Vegas have won both meetings. Play on LV Raiders to cover |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49 | 38-11 | Push | 0 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
Giants offense is banged up with Barkely Jones expected out and a few more keys guys expected to miss or be less than 100% if they do play. The giants struggle at the best times to score so now this week against a tough D, Im betting their output problems continue . This is a contributional factor I have used to recommend we take the under here today. The Gmen have seen their L/6 home games stay under the total with a combined average of 36 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.5 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 6-0 UNDER vs. inconsistent defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.2 ppg going on the board. Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 16-5 in Rams last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 games as a favorite.Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games as a road favorite. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (NY GIANTS) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival, with a losing record are 31-9 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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10-17-21 | Dolphins v. Jaguars +3.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 30 m | Show | |
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - London Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence are proving that their college careers may have been over hyped at least at this point in their NFL tenures . However, the duo and their team are desperate for a win, and Im betting on a neutral field vs a Dolphins side that has lost 4 straight we have a situation where a cover is a high potential situation on this line. It must be noted that Jacksonville will play their 8th game here in the UK, and have been adopted by many British NFL fans . So this is like a defacto home game for the transplanted Jaguars. Note: QB] 10/12/2021 - Tua Tagovailoa is questionable Sunday vs Jacksonville ( Ribs ) and if he plays will be less than 100%. (Without the young QB in the lineup the Fins have been beaten up by an average of 19 ppg. ) NFL team vs the money line (MIAMI) - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play, after allowing 500 or more total yards in their previous game are just 4-30 L/37 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. (According to this over powering trend we have upset potential) Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +6.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 38 h 11 m | Show | |
The Miners are playing some very good football as is evident by their 5-1 record and ranked in the nation’s Top 20 in both Total Defense and Tackles for Loss. Recently they have had the advantage from a ATS perspective vs the 2-3 Bulldogs cashing 4 of the L/6 meetings and today Im betting they grab the cheese again. Note: HC Skip Holtz has failed to cover 16 of 26 road games as single digit chalk in his career. So from that data this is not a role his teams excel in. UTEP is 16-5 ATS L/1 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. CFB road team (LOUISIANA TECH) - off a road loss against opponent off a double digit road win are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTEP to cover |
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10-16-21 | TCU +13.5 v. Oklahoma | 31-52 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 41 m | Show | |
. The Oklahoma Sooners have made any successes they have had torturous for their fan base and no victories vs FBS teams by more than 7 points. This week . Sooners QB Caleb Williams may start again after entering their game last week and rallying his team to a OT victory vs Texas. That was a hugely emotional game for the Sooners and now they may find it difficult to get up for this one, making them vulnerable to cover this matchup. OKLAHOMA is 8-22 ATS L/30 vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. Riley is 0-6 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of OKLAHOMA. Patterson is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of TCU. CFB road team (TCU) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-21 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State +6.5 | 33-20 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 7 m | Show | |
With Kansas State QB Skylar Thompson back in the lineup,Im betting the wildcats get their mojo back and really give Iowa State all they can handle here at home. This is also a big revenge tilt for the Wildcats who were crushed last season by Iowa State by a 45-0 count. Note: KANSAS ST is 4-0 ATS as a home dog with revenge. KANSAS ST is 26-12 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) . KANSAS ST is 22-7 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Note: ISU QB Brock Purdy only has 5 TDs so far this season, and its obvious his WRs and him are not on the same page. Thats not a good look going against a D with hate in their eyes. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS ST) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-33 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. KANSAS ST is 13-1 straight up against IOWA ST since 1992 at home. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee is starting fast this season and have outscored their opposition by a 101-13 count in the first quarter , including scoring s on 11 straight drives over the past two tilts in the first half of the game. Im betting on another fast start vs a suspect Ole Miss D, and a subsequent underdog cover. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is off a back forth 52-51 win vs Arkansas last week, and will now be in a huge emotional letdown spot. OLE MISS is 4-13 ATS after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. Tennessee is 13-2 L/15 meetings in this series. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 7-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. CFB home team (TENNESSEE) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State UNDER 51 | 33-20 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State plays a grinding type of football and in 3 diff games allowed 10-7-3 points. the last two meetings in this series have stayed under the total. rinse and repeat. IOWA ST is 6-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored. IOWA ST is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return with a combined average of 41.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. CFB team against the total (KANSAS ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 25-2 UNDER for a 93% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored. CFBeam against the total (IOWA ST) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 30-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 48.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Stanford v. Washington State | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington St has won 2 straight conference tilts the last time as an underdog which sets up well for a win here vs a inconsistent Stanford allowing 60 more yards than they gain and that has lost 2 of their L/3 games. Washington State has won the last four meetings in this series including 3 as underdogs. WASHINGTON ST is 22-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 21-50 for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington St to cover |
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10-16-21 | Utah State v. UNLV +7 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
Despite of starting their season at 0-5 the UNLV Rebels have been competitive of late as was evident in their L/2 road games against Fresno State losing by a 38-30 count and a 24-17 defeat to UTSA. Now here in their home opener vs. Utah State Im betting UNLV has the weapons to cover here vs a Aggies side that can score in bunches, but can also allow a boatload full of points. Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Play on UNLV to cover |
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10-16-21 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +17 | 49-9 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
Mississippi State is off a bye week and well prepared to take on the Tide. I know there is a perception that Saban and company will be pissed after getting upset last time out and be ready to breath fire, but Im betting it wont be that easy. Note: Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 0-5 ATS with the Tide during the regular season in his career when coming off his first loss of the campaign and going against an above .500 side like Mississippi State. CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - off a win against a conference rival, after the first month of the season are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miss State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Kent State +7 v. Western Michigan | 31-64 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 59 m | Show | |
The Golden Flashes have to be respected in their current form as this sit at the top of the MAC East Division . They have taken on big 12 Texas A&M and a couple of Big Ten sides ie (Iowa and Maryland), and are battle tested . Last week they smashed a pretty good Buffalo program accumulating a whopping 633 yards of offence and are capable of really making a strong Western Michigan ise feel the heat here this week. Im betting KSU QB Dustin Crum be the difference maker with his arm and legs. Golden Flashes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Flashes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Play on Kent State to cover |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
Wow. Big win for Iowa last week, as they came back to win 23-20 after knocking the Penn State Lions starting QB out of the game. This is a huge letdown spot for Iowa and a competitive Purdue team will be ready to take advantage of the situation. Iowa HC Ferentz as a favorite in conference games after defeating an undefeated side , is 0-4-1 ATS L/5 at home, as well as 0-4-1 ATS vs an above .500 opponent like Purdue . Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa. Play on Purdue Boilermakers to cover |
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10-16-21 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 43 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
IOWA is 15-3 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 38.8 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (PURDUE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 24-2 with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-16-21 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +3.5 | 17-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on Wyoming pounding away on the ground and for the home town crowd and thin air of Larime to make life difficult for visiting Fresno this Saturday. Bohl is 18-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents as the coach of WYOMING CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (FRESNO ST) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 28-62 ATS L/5 seasons for 29 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State v. Indiana +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Michigan State is having a great season so far. But their record is based on beating . sub .500 teams so I wont get to carried away with singing their praises. Indiana head coach Tom Allen is officially on the hot seat and QB Michael Penix, Jr., needs to stand up and show some moxxy and get some how get some redemption for an ugly start vs a over rated team with a D that allows 420 plus ypg .” Indiana is well rested and if there was ever a time they make a run its today here and now . Indiana is 4-0 ATS L/4 after a bye week. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
The Gophers are. being under rated and if they had not taken a week off vs Bowling Green would be 4-1 right now instead of 3-2. The Gophers have owned Nebraska in the last two here at home spanking the Huskers 34-7 and 54-21 and today Im betting they get the job done again in the underdog role. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Fleck is 35-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins in all games he has coached . Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-15-21 | California v. Oregon UNDER 54 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
Oregon and California have a long history of low scoring affairs with 9 of the L/10 meetings staying under the total. The two most recent meetings have seen 24 and 38 combined points go on the board. Rinse and repeat this Friday night. Wilcox is 12-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 47.7 ppg scored.Wilcox is 9-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 42 ppg going on the scoreboard.Wilcox is 22-11 UNDER against conference opponents as the coach of CALIFORNIA with a combined average of 46.7 ppg scored.Wilcox in 6 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46 ppg scored. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3 in Golden Bears last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 9-3 in Ducks last 12 games in October.O record.Under is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games following a bye week. Play UNDER |
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10-15-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse +14 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
Clemson to me has been less than impressive this season with a 0-5 ATS mark, with their average margin ppg diff clicking in at just +6.4 ppg a far cry from recent seasons. Meanwhile, Coach Babers has the Orange playing some very disciplined defensive football, and they must respected on this Two TD line here at home. Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. SYRACUSE is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games .SYRACUSE is 18-3 ATS L/21 in home games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game and 11-1 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Babers is 7-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game as the coach of SYRACUSE. Babers is 12-3 ATS ( versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached in his career. CFB home team vs. the money line (SYRACUSE) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games is 46-7 L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-15-21 | Marshall v. North Texas +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 28 m | Show | |
Marshall at .500 on the season has not been able to get any kind of momentum this season and have continually been in close games as is evident by four straight decisions decided by 7 points or less. Meanwhile, North Texas after giving Missouri all it could handle in a 48-35 loss as a 20-point dog, and subsequent cover. In their previous tilt they also showed their ability compete in a 7 point loss to Louisiana Tech as an 11.5-point underdog which resulted in a cover. Im betting the Mean Green continue to conjure up the spirits , and the gambling gods shine on their backers again here vs the Thundering Herd .MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS L/9 after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. Play on the N.Texas Mean Green |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
Philadelphia D has ,held three of its five sides they have faced this season season-low yardage . Thats important against explosive 44 year old future HOF QB Tom Brady and company. In a historical context is must be noted that the Eagles have gone 7-0 SU L/7 in Thursday nighters while Tampa Bay is just 1-7 ATS in these prime time affairs. Basically at this number we have real value and recommend we take the points here with the home dog. Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Buccaneers are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Play on Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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10-14-21 | Georgia Southern +3 v. South Alabama | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern under interim head coach Kevin Whitley have looked viable. The Eagles have won all 7 previous meetings in this series by an average score of 35.9-11.3 (24.6 ppg diff average) and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this Thursday night and a definite cover according to my projections. S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S ALABAMA) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 53 m | Show | |
Buffalo to me is playing as a front runner for a Super Bowl ticket, at least in their current form and have a very good chance a SU victory as dogs here vs KC. BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 1-11 ATS (L/12 after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. Bills QB Josh Allen is 12-1 SU in his NFL career against opposition coming off a SUATS win like the Chiefs. NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 41-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 36 m | Show | |
This game is a one way street to an over in my betting opinion. Chiefs rank 30th in overall defense allowing. a whopping 438 ypg)and rank 30th in scoring defense at 31.3 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bills average 33.5 ppg and more than 400 ypd on offense. I know the Bills D is strong, but KC can score and explode offensively against any side, and put 40 points on the board last week. This is a pretty high total but Ill take a square stance here and take the over in what should be a prime time shootout. KANSAS CITY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.1 ppg scored. BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER ( in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons with a. combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 73-36 OVER L/38 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-10-21 | Browns v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 42-47 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two very solid defensive sides going head to head today. Cleveland has allowed 16.8 ppg this season, and LAC 18.5 ppg. More of the same looks to be on tap this Sunday. LA CHARGERS are 29-11 UNDER L/40 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 70 or less rushing yards/game with a combined average of 30.7 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.4 ppg going on the board. Cleveland in wins in which they allowed only 6 and 7 points which was the case against the Bears in Vikings have seen All non-division road teams off back-to-back wins in which they allowed 7 or less points EACH go under 7 straight times dating back 10 seasons. NFL Road teams against the total (CLEVELAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight game are 56-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-10-21 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 8 m | Show | |
I was never a big Trevor Lawrence fan no matter how well he did at the College level. I still maybe wrong but his style not mix well in the NFL and that has been obvious so far as he continues to be intercepted on a regular basis. Meanwhile last week, the Titans picked up 30 first downs and still found a way to lose vs the Jets in OT. However, Im still in on the Titans this season, and feel strongly they are the better side here. The Titans have victories in seven of their last eight meetings vs the Jaguars, with four of those wins by 21 points or more. Rinse and repeat. Also have not problem fading HC Urban Meyer. JACKSONVILLE is 6-17 ATS L/23 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game.JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 3-0 SU L/3 overall vs Jacksonville. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-10-21 | Broncos +1 v. Steelers | 19-27 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh looks like their in a down cycle this season and continue to deal with a boatload full of injuries. With that said, knowing Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater is 23-3 ATS on the road in his career its not a hard decision to back Denver here today. Note: Ben Rothlisberger is 0-5 ATS L/5 starts as a favorite. DENVER is 8-1 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Tomlin is 9-23 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PITTSBURGH. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 31-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-09-21 | Memphis +3.5 v. Tulsa | 29-35 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
Tulsa (1-4, 0-1) was blasted 45-10 at home by Houston and now shell shocked will go against an explosive Memphis offense again this week. After 3 straight wins Memphis has lost 2 straight . Note: Memphis is 18-8 ATS away versus sub .500 conference opposition including 9-1 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss. Meanwhile, Philip Montgomery is 1-14 ATS as a home favorite of fewer than 6 points when coming off a defeat and 0-9 ATS in the last nine. In addition, Tulsa is 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS at home in this series, and the host in Tulsa-Memphis showdowns are just 3-14-1 ATS. Play on Memphis to cover |
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10-09-21 | Utah +3 v. USC | 42-26 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
Utahs new QB Cam Rising has completed 34 of 57 passes for 319 yards this season, with 4 TDs and has yet to be intercepted and deserves respect. Utah looked good in a win vs Washington State last week and enter this game with a 9-1 ATS mark off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile, USC despite of a boatload of 4 star prospects are enigmas at this point with inconsistent efforts and have unable to string consecutive wins on the board. UTAH is 45-23 ATS L/48 as a road underdogs. USC has failed to cover 13 of 20 as PAC 12 home favs and have failed in that role 4 of their L/5 trips to gridiron as hosts. CFB team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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10-09-21 | LSU +3.5 v. Kentucky | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
The KentuckyWildcats enter this game against LSU off their first home victory over Florida since 1986 and are now in a classic emotional letdown situation. Note: Kentucky football program is 13-33 SU S in SEC games after a victory as an SU as an underdog.With Ed Orgeron’s love affair fading with LSU faithful, you can bet he will be primed to get a win here today and will make sure his young men leave everything on the field. LSU is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 10-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. Orgeron is 18-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of LSU. NFL home team (KENTUCKY) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for 80% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 11-36 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (LSU) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 36-11 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky has a strong passing attack but today they go against a UTSA D that ranks 6th in the conference in pass defense and 1st in total defense. On the flip-side the Hilltoppers rank 12th in the Sunbelt in total defense while the Roadrunners rank 4th in total offense. In my humble opinion we have value with the underdog based on obvious statistical anomalies. UTSA is 12-3 ATS L/15 as an underdog , including 6-1 SUATS as a dog of 7 or fewer or points. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W KENTUCKY) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - off a home win, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 62-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-09-21 | UTSA v. Western Kentucky UNDER 72 | 52-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky one way offensive pass crazy attack will have problems penetrating the red zone here this week against terrific UTSA pass defense and Im expecting UTSA to pound away on the ground here in methodical fashion and eat up alot of clock time , which will result in a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect . UTSA is 11-1 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons UTSA is 12-4 UNDER in all games over the last 2 seasons. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (/UTSA W KENTUCKY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (W KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed) are 40-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
Two strong undefeated teams go head to head here today in a huge Big 10 matchup. From the beginning of the season, I took out futures tickets on the Nittany Lions and Im not about to keep backing them in certain spots , especially as underdogs. Penn State also has revenge on board for a loss to Iowa last season. Note: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 2-7 ATS as a favorite in tilts when both teams are undefeated and the opponent is seeking revenge. Play on Penn State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Boise State +6.5 v. BYU | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Boise State has been very competitive this season and shown flashes of brilliance and according to my projections have the ability to hand with BYU here this afternoon. Im not basing this recommended wager on this stat but its interesting to note, that Boise State is a perfect 21-0 since 1999 in their 6th game of the season. Also they are 21-1 SU after a loss a favorite as was the case last week vs under rated Nevada. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. BYU is 10-23 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. BOISE ST is 30-16 ATS as an underdog since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOISE ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 58-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-09-21 | San Jose State +3 v. Colorado State | 14-32 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
Colorado State is off a bye week after playing a power 5 team Iowa very tough, and are expecting a big crowd this week. However, an emotional letdown situation should be expected here, against a Spartans side that is under rated according to my power rankings and off a win last week.
Colorado State is 1-6 ATS record in this series. CFB road team (SAN JOSE ST) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 48-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. San Jose State to cover |
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10-09-21 | Georgia v. Auburn +15.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Auburn is being over rated here vs a Georgia side that despite of big numbers . The Tigers offense is well balanced (1,191 rushing and 1,199 passing) and the Tigers D is staunch and capable of slowing Georgias explosive attack. Note:the Tigers’ 22-6 SU and 20-8 ATS L/28 as hosts against undefeated opposition, including 8-1 ATS as underdogs. Auburn to cover |
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10-09-21 | Virginia +2.5 v. Louisville | 34-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
The Louisville pass defense is the worst in the ACC. Thats not a good omen vs Virginia's QB Brennan Armstrong and the passing game are bombing away with close to 2,000 yards in the first five games of the season. Overall the Cardinal D is just downright bad and the worst in the ACC, and from matchup perspective an unfavorable situation. Louisville will battle back with some fireworks of their own, but it's their downtrodden D, that gives Virginia the edge. This game is very important to Virginia and Im betting they leave everything on field here. Virginia to cover |
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10-09-21 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +5.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
Last week, Rutgers (3-2, 0-2) was hammered by a 52-13 count to Ohio State while Michigan State (5-0, 2-0 ) took out a lower tier Sun Belt opponent in Western Kentucky by a 38-27 count. The Scarlet Knight looked asleep at the wheel last week, but Im betting they will be wide awake here and ready for redemption vs a side that might be just a bit over rated and vulnerable road favs. Note: The Spartans have been out-gained in their last two games while giving uo 1,000 yards.RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71.5 | 17-66 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
10-08-21 | Temple +29.5 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 21 m | Show | |
Huge letdown this week for Cincinnati after last weeks big time win vs Notre Dame by a 24-13 count easily covering the spread. Im expecting the Bearcats to start slowly here and for the Owls who are uptrending in my power rankings to grab the cash as substantial underdogs. Temple has owned this series of late from a ATS perspective cashing 5 straight meetings and , and on a a 5-0 ATS run as dogs of 20 or more points. Advantage Temple Take the points |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my projections this game should be closer to a pickem which gives us an edge taking points here this evening. Both sides defences have allowed season highs in 3 straight games. Some may say the Rams D is superiors, but Wilson and can slice and dice the best of stopping units and here at home, Im betting he will along with a run game that should have success. Seattle QB Russel Wilson is 4-0 ATS at home off a win and 8-2 ATS at home as an underdog including 9-1 SU and 7-1-2 ATS in games on Thursdays. Rams are just 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in division battles on Thursdays, including 0-4 ATS when favored. LA RAMS are 3-16 ATS L/19 after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA RAMS) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. . Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-07-21 | Houston v. Tulane +6 | 40-22 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
Houston will be a formidable opponent for Tulane , but after playing tough non-conference tilts with games against UAB, Ole Miss and Oklahoma their more than capable of hanging tough here tonight. HC Willie Fritz is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at home in his career on Thursdays . TULANE is 7-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULANE) - with 16 total starters returning are 72-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on Tulane to cover |
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10-03-21 | Washington Football Team -1 v. Falcons | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 75 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington did not look good last week, in a loss vs Buffalo. Its still early in the season, and some of numbers could easily be skewed or misrepresented . The talent especially on defense remains intact for the football team of DC , and Im betting we see them establish their hard hitting ways this week against the Falcons. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of winning last week lost the stats battle vs the NYG, and their key player QB Matt Ryan looks to be getting more inconsistent with age, and is now owns an overall QB Rating this season of (87.1) which puts him at No. 24 overall in the NFL. With that said, Im betting on the Washington D, to disrupt Ryan and for the Football team to deliver the cash to their backers. ATLANTA is 15-32 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game since 1992. Rivera is 26-9 ATS off a road loss in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL team (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 31-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears offense and team have been kind of a laughing stock of the early part of this NFL season. Everybody and his dog now wants to take a proverbial piss on Nagy and what many look like a mismanagement of the team, especially on offense. This week I expect instead of Fields under center we s instead get Dalton or Foles, and a team that now has a chip on the shoulders. Remember , pro do not like to be embarrassed, and that Im betting ignites this Bears team , for at least this week. Detroit has allowed an average of 31.7 ppg this season, and must also be looked upon with extreme suspicion. DETROIT is 5-16 ATS off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less since 1992.CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS in home games after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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10-03-21 | Titans v. Jets +7.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
Titans coach Mike Vrabel calls Jets' defensive line 'one of the best' and will be that defensive line that will be the difference maker in a cover here today. First year HCs like NYJ Robert Saleh that are 0-3 SU/ATS to start their seasons are 47-16-2 ATS in non-division games. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. TENNESSEE is 16-32 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season . NYJ are 4-0-1 ATS AFC South opponents at home. Titans are 3-10 ATS L/10 vs AFC East. NFL Favorites (TENNESSEE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - terrible passing team ( 5.3 PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense ( 7.3 or more PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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10-03-21 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 54.5 | 42-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
KC has played some back and forth affairs this season, scoring and allowing more than 24 points in all 3 games. In the past this has resulted in NFL teams going 0-7-1 UNDER in the last 4 season in the following tilt when the following perimeters have been met- NFL road favorites of 3 or more pts after scoring and allowing 24 pts or more in EACH of their last three tilts. With the Eagles on short rest off a Monday night game Im expecting a more subdued conservative effort vs a more rested team. Also I doubt highly the Eagles will be willing to take part in a shootout here and this Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.5 ppg . PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 29.5 ppg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.1 ppg scored. . PHILADELPHIA has gone an UNDER- 13-31 UNDER for a 70% conversion rate in all home games over the last 5 seasons including having gone under in 9 of 10 games as home pups of 7 or less points . Play UNDER |
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10-02-21 | Boston College +15.5 v. Clemson | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
. BC enters this game being disrespected despite of a 4-0 record as it prepares to play its ACC opener. vs a Clemson side that no longer sends shivers down the spines of their opponents. Clemson's 121st-ranked offense will find the sledding tough against BC's 20th-ranked defense and thus taking points here is an easy decision. Clemson is last in the ACC in Yards Per Game and Points Per Game. Advantage BC to cover. Play on BC to cover |
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10-02-21 | Oregon v. Stanford +8 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 8 m | Show | |
Stanford is coming off a loss, to UCLA that saw a 4 point difference in the fourth quarter before the Bruins scored late to pull away. The Cardinal should not be underestimated here vs 4-0 Oregon and have shown flashes of brilliance this season, as was the case vs the USC Trojans earlier this season and are my choice getting points in this spot play. Shaw is 31-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of STANFORD. Play on Stanford to cover |
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10-02-21 | Ole Miss +14.5 v. Alabama | 21-42 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 14 m | Show | |
Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin will be highly motivated to pull the upset this afternoon over former boss Nick Saban and Im betting he will get us at least the cover. He knows big Nicks ways. Im expecting future NFL QB Nick Coral and company to do more than enough damage vs Sabans top tier D. Kiffin is 5-1 ATS L/6 as a DD conference dog. Ole Miss is 4-0 ATS L/4 on the road in SEC play as 14 or more point underdogs. Mississippi is 11-5 ATS in the last sixteen meetings, and 6-2 ATS on visitors. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ALABAMA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 13-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ole Miss to cover |
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10-02-21 | Nevada +6.5 v. Boise State | 41-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 5 m | Show | |
Nevada is off a bye week after losing to KState. Now rejuvenated and hungry Im betting on a big effort here this week vs Boise state side that has lost the stats battles in 3 of 4 games this season. The Wolfpack Rank No. 6 overall in the nation in Returning Production and have all 22 returning starters from last season and deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent Cowboys team that is not as dominant of Blue Carpet as the once were. Nevada is 6-1 ATS L/7 after a bye. Nevada is 9-1 ATS in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 7-0 ATS vs a side like Boise coming off a victory. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game are 54-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Nevada to cover |
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10-02-21 | Cincinnati v. Notre Dame +2.5 | 24-13 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 18 m | Show | |
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have won 18 straight regular season tilts and 26 consecutive home games and have the deeper lineup with more talent than the Bearcats. After watching the Irish against Wisconsin last weeks it's obvious their starting to jell now and are going into this game in peak condition. Hey Cincinnati is a fine team and deserve respect, but as as favorites not so much especially here on the road. It's one thing to roll up on a inconsistent Indiana side, with a negligible history and it's another thing to stroll into Notre Dame and garner a win vs the Irish. While anything is possible, taking points here is the smart money play. NOTRE DAME is 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Kelly is 10-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better in all games he has coached since 1992. Kelly is 12-2 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NOTRE DAME) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games are 69-32 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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10-02-21 | Minnesota +2.5 v. Purdue | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota was extremely impressive in a 30-0 road shutout of Colorado a couple of weeks ago and than in a huge emotional letdown spot fell asleep at the proverbial wheel vs non conference opponents Bowling Green and lost a 14-10 sleeper. This week Im betting Minnesota being much more awake and ready for redemption against a Purdue team that is dealing with a crap load full of injuries coming into this game. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS in road games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 24-12 L/29 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (PURDUE) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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10-02-21 | Western Michigan v. Buffalo +7 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has won 3 straight games but this is a bad road matchup for them vs a Buffalo Bulls side that are 17-1 ATS at home since 2017, including 14-0 ATS in conference games. Lester is 1-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of W MICHIGAN. Lester is 0-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of W MICHIGAN. BUFFALO is 22-10 ATS in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. W MICHIGAN is 3-12 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-02-21 | Memphis v. Temple +11.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 49 m | Show | |
The Owls are up trending in my power rankings and despite of a .500 record at 2-2 SU, they have out-gain their opposition by 56 YPG. Meanwhile, Memphis has proven themselves highly inconsistent this season, and going back a few seasons HC Silverfield 0-6 ATS on the road in Saturday tilts. Memphis is a perfect 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series. TEMPLE is 19-4 ATS L/23 after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game which was the case in a 41-7 win vs Wagner. CFB home team vs. the money line (TEMPLE) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 46-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Temple |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State +8.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 29 m | Show | |
Im betting Utah State got caught looking ahead to this tilt vs BYU last week when they suffered a home loss vs Boise State after winning their first 3 games vs Washington State, N.Dakota and Air Force. I know tonight opponent BYU has proven themselves to be a very strong side to this point in the season, but according to my own projections this line is over done, and the home underdog has value . It must be noted that BYU has failed to cover 10 of their L/12 as favorites, and USU head coach Blake Anderson is 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home in his career when coming off a home defeat which was the case last time out. BYU is 1-10 ATS vs. inconsistent passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Utah State to cover |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -103 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
These 4-0 teams go head to head here this Friday night in game that Im betting will see the underdog cash and possibly spring the SU upset. Iowa has got to this point with a staunch defense (11 ppg), but their offense is needless to say less than championship caliber scoring just 27 ppg on average which puts them at a disadvantage on the road vs a a side that has also shown a strong D (14.3 ppg), but has also shown an explosive offense (37.3 ppg) while out-gaining opponents my 200+ ypg. 4-0 or better college football home underdog versus a 4-0 or better opponent have cashed 12 of the L/13 opportunities. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 27-7 80% L/5 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 34-10 L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on Maryland to cover |
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09-26-21 | Dolphins +4 v. Raiders | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 55 h 54 m | Show | |
The Dolphins (1-1) will be 4-point underdogs on Sunday against the Raiders, a line that is at least partially inflated by the quarterback situation. Miami will play without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa . However, Brisset his back is a viable QB and deserves respect as he is above .500 ATS QB in his career with a 17-16-1 record. Meanwhile, Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (toe/ankle injury) is less than 100% and may not play. Raiders are 0-8 ATS L/8 after playing Pittsburgh. Flores, meanwhile, is 1-0 against the Raiders. Gruden is 2-5 in his career against the Dolphins.Miami 5-1-1 ATS L/7 in this series. MIAMI is 15-4 straight up against LAS VEGAS since 1992. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-26-21 | Saints v. Patriots -144 | 28-13 | Loss | -144 | 94 h 29 m | Show | |
NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ENGLAND) - in non-conference games, off a road win against a division rival are 29-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-26-21 | Falcons +3 v. Giants | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 52 h 32 m | Show | |
What has me looking at Atlanta this week vs NYG was veteran QB Ryans effort last Sunday vs Tampa Bay that saw him throw for 300 yards in a 48-25 loss at Tampa Bay.Ryan, is showing consistency for his team as it attempts to work its way down the field.Quote: "I think that's a recipe for success moving forward," Ryan said. "The percentages are much higher of converting drives (and) converting third downs when we are at third and five or less, so I think that's been pretty good so far this year." END Quote. Im not a big believer at this time in the Giants. I know both these teams are 0-2, but one looks more viable than the other. Note:NYG Saquon Barkley's rehab and play on the field is still sub par overall. Yes, there have been flashes of brilliance, but he still has a long way to go. ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. Visitor is 8-2 ATS in this series and the Giants are 2-6-1 ATS L/8 as home favorites. NFL Road underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 24-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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09-26-21 | Bengals +3 v. Steelers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
Steelers are banged up and have a key injury to T.J. Watts (groin injury) and to me have not looked cohesive this season. Something just not right , while the Bengals have shown some grit so far this season. The Bengals snapped a 10-game losing skid to the Steelers in the second meeting last season, a 27-17 win in Cincy and I wont be surprised of QB Joe Burrows and company find a way to get the straight up win here, and more importantly at least get us the cover. Bengals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 3. Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Bengals are 21-10-2 ATS in their last 33 games in September. Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska +5 v. Michigan State | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 56 h 15 m | Show | |
Nebraska looked cohesive vs Oklahoma before succumbing by a 23-16, count and deserve respect here as underdogs . Meanwhile, Michigan State is off a strong 38-17 road victory vs Miami and could easily find themselves in a letdown situation vs a side that has had their number of late . Nebraska 8-1 ATS L/9 and has won 9-of-11 vs. MSU, and the last two meetings overall.
Play on Nebraska to cover |
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09-25-21 | Kansas State +6 v. Oklahoma State | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas State is a well coached team, and know how to win via a tough as nail defense as was evident last week in a 38-17 win vs Nevada. Oklahoma State in their 2nd straight road game will be in tough environment here after their road win vs Boise state last week. Advantage KState. KANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (KANSAS ST) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 27-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Kansas State is 7-0 ATS as a dog of more than 4 points in this series. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +5 | 35-24 | Loss | -111 | 55 h 59 m | Show | |
Stanford has won 12 of the last 13 meetings with the Bruins and Im wont be surprised by an upset here in this spot play as home dogs. The Cards took out USC in conference play a couple of weeks ago, and now against a public favorite could easily grab the cash for their betting backers vs a over hyped Bruins team. CFB home team (STANFORD) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 30-7 L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers +20.5 v. Michigan | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 36 m | Show | |
Rutgers has covered in its last 6 road games and according to my power rankings matchup well vs this Michigan football program. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. MICHIGAN is 5-18 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992. MICHIGAN is 6-17 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games. Michigan has failed to cover in its last 5 conference games. Schiano is 21-7 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992 CFB Road underdogs (RUTGERS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game are 91-46 ATS L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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09-25-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Memphis | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 16 m | Show | |
The Roadrunners average 39.3 points per game, 7.3 more than the Tigers surrender (32.0) and have the edge here this week vs a Memphis side in a letdown spot after a upset victory last week vs Mississippi State. MEMPHIS is 10-22 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. CFB home team (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 8-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA to cover |
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09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State +2.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 10 m | Show | |
Louisville is coming off a top tier 42-35 win at home over UCF last Friday night and will now be in a huge letdown scenario vs a desperate Florida State program. Louisville, when coming off a victory as host win as a dog of more than 7 points, are a lowly 28-49-2 ATS dating back 41 seasons. Norvell is 9-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached . Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tigers' may not be as proficient as the early prognosticators thought as is event by the offense ranking 114th nationally and DJ Uiagalelei ranking 88th in passing yards per game . Meanwhile, NC State ranks 16th in total defense and 30th on offense behind and average 455 YPG this season as QB Devin Leary shows his top prowess. With that said we have an edge here taking points. NC STATE is 33-17 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NC STATE) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 148-87 ATS L/29 years for a 63% conversion rate. Play on NC State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Kent State +14.5 v. Maryland | 16-37 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
I believe according to my projection matchups that the Flashes are well suited to hang tough here vs a inconsistent Maryland football program. Maryland are just 1-17 SUATS in their last eighteen games when coming off a conference victory which was the case in their win vs Illinois. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MARYLAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MARYLAND is 7-20 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season. Lewis is 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Kent State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Toledo v. Ball State +5 | 22-12 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 28 m | Show | |
After last weeks fiasco in Wyoming where Ball State was annihilated, we now have value with a MAC championship team, that must not be underestimated. The Cardinal have won the last two meetings vs Toledo and according to my matchup projections have an edge as underdogs in this spot play. Its obvious to me at least that Cards are in a championship hangover mode, but should be wide awake. Candle is 3-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of TOLEDO. 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss of 20-plus points Play on Ball State to cover |
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09-25-21 | UMass +36 v. Coastal Carolina | 3-53 | Loss | -107 | 46 h 2 m | Show | |
UMass did not look completely out of place against Boston College or Eastern Michigan and stayed with a 17 point margin, and according to my power rankings are up-trending. Yes, they were at close to bottom of my rankings, but non the less they are much more formidable opposition than they were last season when they lost by 34 to Coastal Carolina. CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or better YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 35-72 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UMass to cover |
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09-25-21 | Missouri v. Boston College +2 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 50 h 0 m | Show | |
Boston College has looked strong to this point in the season as they are off to a 3-0 start , outscoring their opposition by a 124-31 count. Today vs what has been an explosive Eagles offense, Im betting Missouris crap defense that allows a ugly 455.7 YPG will get run over in a big way. I know the tigers can really pile point on but, BC has shown a strong D, allowing just 256 ypg and is well suited to slow down the Missouri locomotive. MISSOURI is 1-9 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game and are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show | |
Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going against strong opponent. SAN DIEGO is 19-3 against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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09-24-21 | Middle Tennessee State +3 v. Charlotte | 39-42 | Push | 0 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
Charlotte took out the Blue Raiders 34-20 last season as 5 point home dogs under HC Will Healy. That was the Niners first victory in this series in 5 meetings. I like the grit that Charlotte plays with and Middle Tenn state may not inspire some bettors, but here in revenge mode vs a home side that has only covered 3 of 8 games as FBS chalk my projections estimate a possible upset and cover by the visitors. MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Middle Tenn State to cover |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans +8 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog loves the Carolina Panthers , and the lines-makers are following suit and almost completely discounting the Texans ability to hang tough here and get the cover. I know their are some negative images put into the minds of the public, because franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson has been made inactive because of on going legal issues . But overall Im betting his absence is actually a good thing and makes this Houston team more cohesive chemistry wise. Ill recommend we take the points here even with Mills in at QB. * By the way Mills is tough as nails, and he will have a pro bowl left tackle in the lineup to keep him afloat here tonight in prime time. Carolina 0-6 ATS L/6 Thursday nighters. Texans 8-2 ATS on Thursdays. NFL home underdog of 7 points or more with a .500 record or better , going against an undefeated side are 31-9 ATS L/40 seasons. . NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 32-7 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 37 m | Show | |
After the disaster of week 1 , for Green Bay which resulted in a lopsided 38-3 loss to New Orleans I expect a disciplined effort from the Packers in what will be a conservative mind set vs their long time division rivals the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the gridiron crew from Motown will also be ready to be more defensive minded after a 41-33 shootout in week 1 that resulted in a loss. Note: DETROIT is 37-20 UNDER L/57 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 31-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 22-2 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 60 h 21 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog is jumping off the Baltimore Ravens bandwagon. Last week they lost in OT to the Raiders, and now the football world believes in their demise after a sub par 2020 campaign. I however, am not one of those skeptics, and still believe this is a talented team that deserves respect as underdogs at home vs a very public side in KC. Hey I know Patrick Mahomes and company are a top tier group, but they have had problems covering of late in games that are deemed to be considered close by linesmakers like this game . Note: KC is 10-0 SU in regular season tilts but just 0-9-1 ATS in one-score games since the start of last season. It must also be noted that Ravens QB Jackson is 31-11 in his NFL career, while winning 15 of 21 home games His only game as a home dog during that victorious stretch was the season before last . How did he respond to that , well Ill tell you. His team won as 3 point dogs to Football god Tom Brady of New England by a lopsided 37-20 count. Im a believer and will back the Raves to cover. Harbaugh is 10-2 ATS in home games in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
Sometimes the pundits make to big a deal of week 1 results, and this is what Im betting into here this week. Minnesota ,looked a little uneasy and made mistakes in their first game against under rated Cincinnati. Penalties and false starts etc,. However, despite of what the so called experts say, they will have a better offensive line this season if they stay healthy, and the D, Im betting can and will deal with the mobile Cards QB Murray. As big chunks of public money come in on the Cards Ill swing the other way with the maligned Vikings. Zimmer is 6-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA. Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. ARIZONA is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game . Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MINNESOTA is 12-4 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992.Underdog is 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.Vikings are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Vikings to cover |