10-29-16 |
Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 49 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 24 m |
Show
|
My College football totals are based on a comprehensive data sheet, which incorporates my power ranking scores . No stone has been left unturned in quest to punish the books for weak College Sports Totals numbers. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Clemson v. Florida State +4.5 |
|
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 21 m |
Show
|
Florida State is quietly playing better football of late, allowing just one TD in their L/6 quarters of play. Now in good form and being pegged as home underdogs vs Clemson, I feel strongly about pulling the trigger and backing them as home pups in a place where they have won 23 of their l/24 games. Consdering Clemson is just 0-6 ATS as road favorite of less than a TD, my recommendation here is to take the points with the host puppies. Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 |
|
59-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
79 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-16 |
Old Dominion -4 v. UTEP |
|
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 5 m |
Show
|
Utep barely got a win last week in a exhausting 5 OT affair vs UTSA. Now beat up and in an emotional letdowns scenario, they go against a Dominion side fresh off a humiliating loss to explosive Western Kentucky. With redemption a key motivator here this week for a visitor with a chip on their shoulders the home side is in trouble. It must be noted that UTEP has allowed an average of 39.2 ppg at home this season. College Football underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTEP) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record 17-46 ATS L/63.UTEP is 4-17 ATS in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games. Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Tulsa v. Memphis UNDER 73.5 |
|
59-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-16 |
Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss |
|
40-29 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 28 m |
Show
|
The Tigers are coming off an impressive 56-3 dismantling of an Arkansas team that dealt the Rebels a 34-30 setback the week before. Auburn averaged 9.5 ypc on the ground last time out. Thats not a good omen for a Ole Miss side that ranks 113th out of 128 FBS teams against the run and don't rank any better than 70th nationally in pass defense, total defense or scoring defense. Auburns D allows just 14 ppg. This is a mismatch based on current perfromances and worth a wager on the visitor as short chalk. Malzahn is 9-0 ATS L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is s 10-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse like Ole Miss. Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Nebraska +8.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Badgers are brusied and battered after taking on three straight tough opponents, Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa. Today against a under appreciated 7-0 Nebraska side, that has covered 4 of their L/5 as conference dog of 8 points or less Wisconsin is at a disadvantage. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 20-43 ATS L/46 opportunities. Nebraskas coach Riley is 24-7 ATS in road games in October games in all games he has coached and is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. mistake free teams like Wisconsin - 42 or less penalty yards per game in all games. Play on Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Texas Tech +8.5 v. TCU |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 54 m |
Show
|
Texas Techs offense is so explosive its rediculous. I know their D, is atrocious, but after their 66-59 loss last week to Oklahoma, Im betting facing the Frogs offense wont be such a big task. It must also be noted TCUs offense has been stagnant of late, scoring 24 points vs a rebuilding Kansas program, and scoring just 10 points vs W.Virginia las t week, while losing 3 straight stat sheet battles. Im betting the Frogs weak favorites vs a Texas Tech side that is offensively tenacious and hungry. TCU is 0-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season.TEXAS TECH is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 21-9 ATS L/30 off a home loss against a conference rival. Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Washington v. Utah +10 |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 49 m |
Show
|
The unbeaten and fourth-ranked Washington Huskies are enjoying their best ranking since the end of the 2000 season, but they are heading into what their coach calls their toughest test of the season.Utah senior running back Joe Williams Im betting is the catalyst this week for the Utes, as he is coming out of a five-week retirement due to injuries, rushing for 179 yards against the Beavers and a school-record 332 vs. the Bruins. The coaching staff convinced him to come back after other injuries ravaged the position.UTAH is 36-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 pointsUtah is 7-1 this year and their only loss came by 5 points at California this season, and game they had a chance to win late. It must be noted that HC Whittingham in 72 games has only lost 6 times by 10 or more points in Salt Lake City. The Utes are 12-3 ATS as double-digit dogs – 3-0 SU the last three –including 3-0 ATS at home. Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Texas Tech v. TCU UNDER 86.5 |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-16 |
Baylor v. Texas +3.5 |
|
34-35 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 57 m |
Show
|
Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. Texas junior running back D'Onta Foreman has been a key cog in the Longhorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. ghorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Army +7 v. Wake Forest |
|
21-13 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 32 m |
Show
|
Seven turnovers doomed Army last week vs North Texas. My own projections tell me this a better team than many might expect and much better than they showed us last week. This week, I expect they take care of the ball and get us a cover and possible upset vs a Wake Forest side that just does not float my boat. Underdogs like Army of 3.5 to 10 points - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games are 37-11 ATS L/48 opportunities.WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest . Army to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Penn State v. Purdue +11.5 |
|
62-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
71 h 21 m |
Show
|
Penn State is off a huge win vs Ohio State last week, and now will be in a monumental letdown spot. Considering Penn State has not covered in 8 straight road games and 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites and as a program going back 3 decades have failed to cover 3 straight times after a home underdog win. Meanwhile, Purdue looked good last week in a hard fought loss to Nebraska, and look more motivated now that fired HC Darrell Hazel is gone. Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Kentucky +4.5 v. Missouri |
|
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 19 m |
Show
|
Kentucky impressed me last week, getting a win last week vs a Mississippi State side that has won the previous 7 tilts against them. The wildcats have now won 4 of their L/5 games, and have a very good chance of pulling off another underdog win this week vs a Missouri side, that is less than impressive this season. The Tigers are on a3-0 ATSSU run and 3-11 SU L/14 vs opposition football teams and allowing an ugly 518 ypg and 35 points per game this season, and very much look like fade material. A road team like Kentucky - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. Play on the Kentucky Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Kent State +15.5 v. Central Michigan |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 18 m |
Show
|
Central Michigan are a top tier MAC side, but Kent state are no pushovers with 17 returning starters on the roster. I know th Golden Flashes own a sub par 2-6 record, but their D, is raked 29th in the nation and must not be ignored when looking at DD spreads. After playing their hearts out vs Toldeo last week in a 31-17 loss, Im betting the Chips are in a letdown scenario and ripe for the upset. With that saidd, lets take the boatload full of points . Play on Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Louisville v. Virginia +31.5 |
|
32-25 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 16 m |
Show
|
Lousiville is a great team, but we are starting to get into the outer limits of their favorite status with this spread. I know impresive wins are a must now for the Cardinal after losing to Clemson earlier this season. However, thats alot of pressure and I doubt very highly Virginia would just lie down and die here at home in what is a great opportunity for the program to spring a upset. The Cavs have covered 4 of their L/5 as DD home dogs, and get my nod here as huge home doggies. Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-29-16 |
Kentucky v. Missouri UNDER 70.5 |
|
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-28-16 |
San Diego State -6 v. Utah State |
|
40-13 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 10 m |
Show
|
San Diego State is continuing to impress me with a solid D that is allowing just 17.6 ppg on the seaspn and just 285.7 ypg. Thats not a good omen for a Utah state side that ranks 81st in offense . It must aso be noted that the Aggies are a ugly 7-31-1 ATS in home losses, and have failed to cover their L/10 if they lose. I really like SD State SU, here, and barring a minor miracle the Aztecs should easily win and more importantly cover. SAN DIEGO ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 against conference opponents with the average margin of their wins coming by 22.8 ppg. Long is 15-4 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in all games he has coached with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Road favorites like San Diego State of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team have cashed 30 of the L/37 times. San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-27-16 |
Jaguars v. Titans -3 |
|
22-36 |
Win
|
111 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
The Jaguars are allowing 27 points per game, putting pressure on an offense that hasn't been able to keep pace and things don't look to get much better vs a Tennessee side with a top tier QB Marcus Mariota at the heelm of the offense. Tennessee blew a chance to make it 3 straight wins last week vs Indianapolis, but will primed for redemption tonight. I know the Titans have some nasty ATS numbers in their data base, but all good and bad numbers usually revert back to their norms, so those ATS numbers don't bother me when looking at handicapping this tilt. The Titans are however, 6-1 ATS L/7 Thursday night games and a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss. Play on Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-27-16 |
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +4.5 |
|
39-36 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 32 m |
Show
|
Historically speaking, this Pitt football program has a leg up on Virginia Tech, as the Panthers are winners of four consecutive meetings at Heinz Field and six of the previous seven. It seems that this long standing rivalry always brings out the best in the Panthers, no matter how good or bad they are doing at the time of their clashes. I know the Hokies run game is progressing upward quickly, as was evident against Miami last week in a lopsided win, but against a Pitt defense that’s been as stingy as any in the ACC in the run game, allowing only 96.6 yards per game, the fifth best mark nationally, their in deeper than many might now think. Piitsburgh is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series all 5 as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 15-4 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, which happened against Virginia last week. Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 43 |
|
6-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
56 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
10-23-16 |
Chargers +6.5 v. Falcons |
|
33-30 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 18 m |
Show
|
Earlier this month, the Atlanta Falcons battled last season's Super Bowl teams in back-to-back weeks and emerged with two victories and are a early season surprise. My feeling is that the Falcons are over rated, yes improved, but over rated especially considering todays line. Atlanta is tied for 26th in pass defense, yielding 285.3 yards per game, and will have their hand full with the Chargers Drew Brees and company. Yes, Matt Ryan the Atlanta Falcons QB is a stud, but its not like he has not crashed and burned before, when many least expect it. I also know, that Atlanta has not faired well recently vs bad defenses, 3-11 ATS L/14 vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 18.5, OPPONENT 21.3 - ( SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game and is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a favorite and 2-15 ATS L/17 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Play on the SD Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Bucs v. 49ers +1 |
|
34-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
53 h 16 m |
Show
|
TB beat Carolina last week 17-14 as 6 point dogs. It must than be noted Any team in the NFL - off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point like TB are 6-26 ATS.TAMPA BAY is 2-12 ATS L/14 off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point . The 49ers have won 6 of the L/7 here in SF SU. Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Bucs v. 49ers OVER 46 |
|
34-17 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 9 m |
Show
|
SF has the worst rushing D, in the league allowing an average of 174.3 ypg. NFL teams allowing 140 or more yards per game have only seen 9 of 66 games fail to eclipse the total. The 49ers have the 31 ranked D in the league allowing an average of 30.8 ppg and the Bucs scoring D is ranked 27 allowing 28.4 ppg.Look for QBs Kappernick and Winston to take part in a back forth affair. Play OVEr 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Chargers v. Falcons UNDER 54 |
|
33-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
52 h 49 m |
Show
|
I know both these teams can put points up in a hurry, but what I am betting here is that the linesmakers have over compensated on the total and the public money that is flowing in is getting caught in a numbers trap. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER L/8 vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game and s 9-0 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse and s 13-1 UNDER after the first month of the season. The L/5 meetings have stayed UNDER. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Saints +7 v. Chiefs |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 12 m |
Show
|
Kansas City has proven to be wildly inconsistent so far this season. Last week they came off a bye and owned the Oakland Raiders in a lopsided 16 point win. Just a couple of weeks ago the Chiefs are got clobbered by the Pittsburgh Steelers losing by 29 points. KC now goes against a New Orleans team that is the league's top passing unit, with an average of 335.4 yards per game from Brees to a top tier of receivers, led by Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead and rookie Michael Thomas.The Saints have won two straight games and are averaging 413.4 yards per game and rank No. 2 in the league behind only Atlanta. With KCs d, with alot of banged up players, they look vulnerable. From a league wide perspective: Home teams like KC - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are just 36-71 ATS.NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS L/14 as an underdog. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-23-16 |
Bills v. Dolphins OVER 43.5 |
|
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 32 m |
Show
|
The Buffalo Bills use the run game their major impetus for offensive explosion. The Bills are rushing for an average of 166.3 rushing ypg.. Meanwhile, MIAMI their opponents today are allowing 147.0 rushing yards per game. In 36 games this season, teams that rush for 140 ypg or more have only failed to go over 9 times. Considering Buffalos continued propensity to run the ball, and the Fins inability to stop it , I wont be surprised if the Bills offense explodes again, and that Miami is forced to open up via the pass in order to keep up in tilt that I am betting eclipses the number. Note: The Fins have gone over in 9 of their L/10 when playing in their 3rd straight home game. The Bills ave gone over in 4 straight as road favs. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Fresno State v. Utah State -16 |
|
20-38 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 11 m |
Show
|
Fresno State enters this game having lost 15 of his L/17 games against FBS opponents and when they lose SU, from a historical stand point are 8-47 ATS L/55 games. Utah state needs a win badly, and after a week off to prepare for this game I expect they will crush their lowly opponent . Utah State is a perfect 6-0 ATS off a bye. UTAH ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game which happened last time out.
Play on the Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Ole Miss +6 v. LSU |
|
21-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
83 h 56 m |
Show
|
OIe Miss, coming off a 34-30 loss to Arkansas that dropped it to 1-3 against ranked opponents, are a inconsistent side. Im betting on quarterback Chad Kelly and company react with alot of energy to the loss at Arkansas that was sealed when he lost a fumble on the Rebels' final drive, ending hopes for a comeback win.I think this is when you find out a lot about yourself, a lot about your team, and a lot about your kids," Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said I couldn't agree with him more. Ole Miss has some good character players and they will be in this game. Back to back wins vs Missouri and southern Miss are not impressive enough opponents to make me think their current 2-0 run under coach Orgeron is stimulus for this program to get back on track. Note: LSU is 1-10 ATS L/11 after playing at conference game at home. Ole Miss is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Baton Rouge.
Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
UL-Monroe +17 v. New Mexico |
|
17-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +14 |
|
66-59 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 32 m |
Show
|
We have revenge on board for Texas Tech, against Oklahoma for last seasons 63-27 beat down. Last week Tech was clobbered and thoroughly embarrassed by West Virginia not scoring 50 points for the first time all and now their going to want some redemption. Texas Tech has covered 7 straight, when getting 5 or more points as home pups. TEXAS TECH is also 7-0 ATS L/7 off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more over the last few seasons.
Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Mississippi State -3 v. Kentucky |
|
38-40 |
Loss |
-105 |
36 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
UL-Lafayette -5.5 v. Texas State |
|
27-3 |
Win
|
100 |
81 h 34 m |
Show
|
After getting shutout by App State last week, UL Lafayette will be primed to beat up on a team they have owned over the last three seasons, winning each game by 3 or more Tds. Texas State has been out stated in 16 of their L/17 games overall and Im betting will once again be on the wrong side of the score sheet again. Play on UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Houston -21 v. SMU |
|
16-38 |
Loss |
-104 |
81 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
UTEP +10 v. Texas-San Antonio |
|
52-49 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Oregon State +36.5 v. Washington |
|
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 51 m |
Show
|
Washington has a very high rating, but I still believe their little over rated with three of their wins coming against Rutgers, Idaho and Portland State . Meanwhile, Oregon State has played admirably of late, upsetting California and losing to Utah by just 5 points. It must also be noted that HC Gary Anderson teams are 7-0 ATS of more than 23 points as they are here today. Also another interesting anomaly or trend shows that Washington is 0-10 SU week 7 record. Oregon State has the ability to cover this number. Play on Oregon state to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Arkansas +10 v. Auburn |
|
3-56 |
Loss |
-115 |
80 h 45 m |
Show
|
Arkansas HC Bielema is 6-0 ATS L/6 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 and s 15-4 ATS L/19 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is 13 of 16 ATS as a dog off a SUATS win in his career, including 11-1 ATS as a underdog of 10 or less points.
Arkansas to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Utah +7 v. UCLA |
|
52-45 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 20 m |
Show
|
My own projections say this contest should be closer to a -3 line rather than the 7 we are getting. Big time value is available here with Utah to cover.UTAH is 36-13 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 120 or less rushing yards/game and is 35-19 ATS L/54 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.UCLA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in games played on a grass field.
Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia |
|
10-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 40 m |
Show
|
West Virginia, which lost nine starters from last year's defensive unit and arguably its best player in free safety Dravon Askew-Henry in fall camp to a torn ACL, has utilized the odd 3-3-5 stack and disguised its blitzing to create problems for opposing offenses. But now 6 games in you can bet some top tier teams like TCU , know what they have to do to knock this group down a notch. "You have to make plays and tackle in space, and they were able to do that," HC Patterson said. "They got after Patrick (Mahomes II), who is a really good quarterback. They have great skill players."You have to be able to run the ball against them. Two years ago, we had to run the football to win. If you can't, you're going to get yourself in a lot of trouble." With that siad, Im a big fan of Pattersons, and with the extra week of rest to prepare for this game Im betting he has his Frgs ready to perform. Note: TCU is a perfect 13-0 ATS entering a game off a bye. TCU is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game.W VIRGINIA is 3-12 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Texas A&M +18.5 v. Alabama |
|
14-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Memphis v. Navy +2.5 |
|
28-42 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 43 m |
Show
|
No. 24 Navy will Im betting capitalize on its 13 game straight home-field dominance in a pivotal matchup against conference rival Memphis on Saturday.The Midshipmen had two weeks to prepare after their last game against East Carolina was postponed to Nov. 19 because of flooding from Hurricane Matthew and will be very fresh for this game. NAVY is 9-1 ATS /10-0 SU in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Eastern Michigan +24 v. Western Michigan |
|
31-45 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 40 m |
Show
|
Western Michigan (7-0) is a special MAC team, but today here at Waldo Stadium their being asked to cover a boatload full of points vs a E.Michigan side that has some very good offensive capabilities and own road wins at Missouri, Bowling Green and Ohio and have only allowed 25 + points twice this season on their way to a 5-2 record. Im betting on the Eagles to make it 6 straight covers in this spot. Note: W Mich is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good offensive teams -averaging 425 or more yards per game.
Take the points with the Eastern Michigan Eagles
|
10-22-16 |
North Carolina v. Virginia +8.5 |
|
35-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
77 h 46 m |
Show
|
‘Bronco M’ as the HC Virginia head is 24-11-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points, including 8-2 ATS in conference play. The Cavs under his tutledge are 4-1 ATS as home dogs of 6 or more points.Meanwhile, the Heels are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites of 7 or more points and including 0-6 ATS versus an opponent off a SU loss. Virginia has covered 13 of their L/15 as dogs and get the nod here today.Bronco Mendenhall is 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home in games off a SU home defeat VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Play on the Virginia Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Colorado +2.5 v. Stanford |
|
10-5 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 38 m |
Show
|
I was big on Stanford before the season started ,but now Im pretty sure their flow is off. With star RB Christian McCaffrey operating with nagging injuries a key ingredient in their chemistry is causing issues. They have lost 2 of their L/3 and lost 3 straight stats sheet battles. Meanwhile, Colorado is proving their the real deal, outgainging opponents by an average of 200 ypg. The Buffs have revenge on board for last season 42-10 home loss to the Cardinal, and are 5-0 ATS L/5 on the road looking to get even. It must be noted that visiting sides where the line is +3 to -3 - excellent offensive team - scoring 35 or more points/game are a bankroll expanding 83-40 ATS over a huge 123 game sample size for a 68% conversion rate .
Play on Colorado to cover 1 unit reg selection
|
10-22-16 |
Ohio v. Kent State +3.5 |
|
14-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Syracuse +5 v. Boston College |
|
28-20 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Texas v. Kansas State -2.5 |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 48 m |
Show
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Charlie Strong saved his job last week,with a win vs Iowa State but I am betting that is short lived, and that the Longhorns problems are more pronounced than many might think. KState lost to Oklahoma last week 38-17, but are 11-1 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points.TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.KANSAS ST is 14-4 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game.TEXAS is 2-11 ATS in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game.
Play on KState to cover 1 unit reg selection
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10-22-16 |
UMass v. South Carolina -20 |
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28-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
74 h 48 m |
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UMass is ranked 105th in the country on D, and have been out gained by an average 152 ypg this season. Even Carolinas pedestrian offense, should be able to pound away and put points on the board. The Gamecocks D, is of the top tier variety and have held to SEC opponents to season low yards, and Mass should have their hands full even putting up a few field goals here.
Play on South Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection
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10-22-16 |
Indiana +1.5 v. Northwestern |
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14-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
74 h 47 m |
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The wrong team is favored here. Yes Northwestern has won 2 in a row , but the superior side is Indiana according to my own power ratings. From a league wide perspective Home teams like the Northwestern where the line is +3 to -3 - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games are just 17-46 ATS for a lowly 23 % conversion rate . HC Fitzgerald is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games .
Play on the Indiana Hoosiers to cover 1 unit reg selection
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10-22-16 |
Rutgers +17 v. Minnesota |
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32-34 |
Win
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100 |
69 h 28 m |
Show
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[QB] 10/18/2016 -Minnys Mitch Leidner is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Rutgers ( Concussion )
Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection
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10-22-16 |
Wisconsin -3 v. Iowa |
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17-9 |
Win
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100 |
51 h 28 m |
Show
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10-22-16 |
North Texas +19.5 v. Army |
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35-18 |
Win
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100 |
49 h 4 m |
Show
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These Army and North Texas teams are both improved from recent years, and Im expecting the points to be golden here. Army has only covered 2 of their L/16 as DD favorites. From a league wide perspective teams like Army A home team after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are just 7-30 ATS.
North Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection
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10-22-16 |
Miami (OH) +4.5 v. Bowling Green |
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40-26 |
Win
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100 |
47 h 36 m |
Show
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Bowling Green played their hearts out in their L/game vs Toledo but could still not get the win and will be in an emotional letdown situation this week . Bowling Green has lost 5 straight and nothing seems to come easy to them and this week will be no different. MIAMI OHIO is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games against teams who commit 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season. Miami O has covered 6 of their L/7 trips to Bowling Green.
Play on Miami O to cover 1 unit reg selection
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