Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Loss | -120 | 58 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are a popular pick to be an immediate Super Bowl contender under McCarthy, with quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott leading an offense that was one of the NFL's best last season and now tonight in this big Sunday nighter Im betting they get the road win. Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Play on Dallas to cover |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
SF is a fine team, but could easily be in hangover mode here after last seasons Super Bowl loss. It must be noted the defending Super Bowl loser in Game One of the season as a dog or favorite of 8 or less points if they are facing a division opponent are 0-10 ATS L/32 seasons. Also Arizona has played the 49ers tough of late covering the last 3 meetings and are much improved side. Once again its important to note that Game One division underdogs who won eight or fewer games last season are 39-10-1 ATS. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
In each of HC Arians his past 11 seasons , his teams have ranked in the Top Ten passing attacks in football , and now with Future Hall of Famer Tom Brady under center that will happen again . Today against a New Orleans side that has a tendency of starting slow as is evident by a 0-6 ATS first game record the L/6 years I look for Brady and the Bucs offence to be fluent enough to cover vs another future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees . Note: Brady is 36-16-1 ATS NFL career mark as an underdog and gets my support getting points in this key spot play. Tampa Bay to cover |
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09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
09-13-20 | Jets +7 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
“It’s very challenging to prepare for a Gregg Williams defense because of just all the things that he has,” Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll said. “Not just the different calls but the different packages that he has with his players.” This statement is key to how Im looking at this game, which makes getting points according to my projections an important factor. Jets’ own a money making 16-5-2 ATS record in road openers, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge in a division tilt. Jets QB Josh Allen is 3-5 ATS in his career as a home favorite in the NFL action, and is getting far to much respect here on this line. NY Jets to cover |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky +12.5 v. Louisville | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams up-trended last season behind new coaches. This is a rematch from last year’s 38-21 U of L victory vs WKU in Nashville. It must be noted that the Hilltoppers owns a 5-0-1 ATS Game One record and have cashed 9 of their L/12 ATS as dogs of 12 or more points, and are a profitable 8-3 ATS with non-conference revenge. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are 0-4 ATS as hosts vs a side with non-conference revenge, and a lowly 2-7 ATS as chalk of 11 or more points. . Louisville is just 1-9 ATS as DD home fav against opposition that won 5 or more games last season. The Hilltoppers' defense features defensive end DeAngelo Malone, the 2019 Conference USA Defensive Player of the Year. Malone helped the Hilltoppers limit opponents to 337.8 yards per game last season, ranking No. 30 nationally. Im betting on this veteran group to key on D, and for them to factor hugely into us getting the cover. Western Kentucky to cover |
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09-12-20 | Georgia Tech +13.5 v. Florida State | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ramblin’ Wreck, go into this game against Florida State having now covered six straight in this series, and have a recent history of road dog success in ACC tilts recording a 5-1-2 ATS mark in their last eight tilts. Georgia Tech returns 19 starters from last years sub par season, but after changing up their system from pound the ball on the ground football to run and gun football, Im betting their now more experienced and ready to uptrend vs a Florida State side, that still does not instill confidence after a 6-7 season last year. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia tech to cover |
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09-12-20 | UTSA v. Texas State OVER 56.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Texas State offense might have struggled late in their 31-24 loss to SMU, but it pounded out five yards per carry. Calvin Hill ran for 100 yards and Im betting on more of that today behind a offense that will have the rust off. Meanwhile, the D gave up 544 yards of offense and UTSA also has the guns to do some offensive damage here in this spot totals play that projects a score in the high 50s. TEXAS ST is 22-9 OVER after playing a non-conference game since 1992 with a combined average of 62.8 ppg scored. |
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09-12-20 | Arkansas State +10.5 v. Kansas State | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 66 h 47 m | Show | |
Kansas State is in a rebuilding zone with their offense , as their entire offensive line from last year is gone with only three returning Offensive starters in the lineup . Meanwhile, Arkansas State has almost their entire lineup back on offense. Arkansas state showed their fortitude in a loss to Memphis to start their season, by a 37-24 count and will now not have to deal with rust like KState. Anderson is 15-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of ARKANSAS ST. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. S-Belt. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
With some game time PTSD , permeating the sidelines of the Chiefs as they remember going down 21-0 to this same Texas team in last years play offs before mounting a huge comeback win . Now with that in mind Im betting the Chiefs to be primed for a fast start and build a substantial lead. At that point QB Mahomes would be directed by Reids side line coaching crew to take the foot off the proverbial pedal and for the Chiefs defense to go hog wild on Deshaun Watson as he is forced to open up and go down field. Reid is 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average score of 40.1 ppg scored and is 15-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 38.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-20 | UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | 14-31 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
UAB has already played one game, putting up 45 points in a victory vs C.Arkansas and that is big factor here tonight against a higher tier team that has some rust , and that looked flat at the end of late season losing 3 straight. With only 13000 ppl expected home field advantage wont be a factor here. Canes Diaz is just 2-7 ATS as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS when laying 8 or more points. HC Clark is 18-7 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of UAB. Play on UAB to cover |
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09-05-20 | Stephen F Austin +7 v. UTEP | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Nothing comes easy for UTEPs football program as is evident by an 11-game losing streak and a current 2-34 SU run. Seeing them as TD favs did not sit well with me , even though they are playing lower tier competition.With that said, Im betting on a Lumberjacks side that return a solid core on offense at key skill positions against a UTEP side that just does not have a tradition of winning. Play on SFA to cover |
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09-05-20 | Arkansas State +19 v. Memphis | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
These are two explosive offensive teams who were on great runs to end last season clash today on a tilt that Im betting will be much closer than the linesmakers estimate . Arkansas State has returning starters in key offensive categories, and even have their OC back. Memphis also has key guys back on offence, but new play callers on the sidelines, and one key absence ,Kenneth Gainwell (2000 all purpose yards, 16 TDS) out of the backfield which could be an issue here early on for the Tigers . CFB road team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS ST) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 450 or more total yards/game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 24-12. L/28 seasons for a 63% conversion rate which gives credence to to spread bet here getting points. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State +4 v. Army | 0-42 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 5 m | Show | |
The Knights are replacing some key weapons, on both sides of the ball, and the defense is looking vulnerable,I know Middle Tenn State did not play. well last season, but they do have some key returning starters on offense back and should be able to make Army work hard here. Army as favorites are just 18-33-2 since 2005, failing to cover by just under three points per game on average and in season openers, the Cadets own a money burning 4-11 ATS (26.6%) mark. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIDDLE TENN ST) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 35-9 L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Middle Tenn State |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Southern Miss has had to replace key components of its D, this off season, and already were having problems with their pass defence last season ranking a lowly 122nd in the nation. What Im betting on here tonight id for the South Alabama to take advantage of the Golden Eagles depleted secondary , and keep this game closer than the linesmakers predict. |
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09-03-20 | Central Arkansas v. UAB -20.5 | 35-45 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
UAB just has to many offensive weapons for Central Arkansas to handle. Add to that a experienced coaching staff, and key seniors in key positions on both sides of the ball and we have a tilt that has blowout written all over it. UAB is 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games on field turf and 13-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games, 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 home games.
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08-29-20 | Austin Peay State +5.5 v. Central Arkansas | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Austin Peay Governors are being underestimated here today. Austin Peay core for success is a ultra physical defense, having allowed only 104 yards per game last year while forcing nearly a fumble per game . Also last year when they played Central Arkansas the Governors dominated the line of scrimmage for most of the game. However, they allowed two big plays late in the game and eventually lost.In last years tilt, of 15 total drives Central Arkansas they only got into the red zone twice, with one of the attempt starting at the Austin Peay 21-yard line. This year despite of new faces on the sidelines and under center and at the running back position Austin Peay are talented enough to hang here, and Im betting new HC Marquase Lovings formations and under rated coaching ability will get us cover in this spot. Note: There are also expected Thunder showers today and some wind , which will greatly help Austin Peay get us a cover. Austin Peay to cover |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 76 h 19 m | Show | |
SF HC Shanahan, has gone 21-5 . SU with Jimmy Garoppolo at QB , and overall the 49ers have the edge in rush offense, rush defense and pass defense. I know the best player on the field is considered to be young QB super star Patrick Mahomes, but the complete package is on the side he is facing today. Considering the Chiefs were down by two TDs to the Pats , and were down 24-0 to the Texans, and 10-0 to the Titans, the feeling here for me here is, that as explosive as the Chiefs are there karmic regression is coming and their consistent flirting with disaster is essentially going to bite them on the proverbial butts vs a side that if in the lead will grind them into the ground via a concerted ground attack. All in all Im all in here on the 49ers being this years super bowl champs. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 6 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LIV - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL I know most bettors who look at this Super Bowl matchup see a back and forth see saw offensive affair taking place. However, after watching how extraordinarily tough the 49ers D is and how this team plays (run baby run ball) whether behind or ahead it gives me pause in my assessment of this total and its value to the under . I also dont see alot of penalties called here today by the officiating crew, which will result in less first downs and offensive flow and that will directly effect output. Note: KC HC Reid is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992 with the combined average score of those games , clicking in at 39 ppg. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 37-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 151 h 50 m | Show | |
After being embarrassed by a 37-8 count by the SF 49ers back in November, Im betting the Packers learned a great deal from thier humiliation and will be prepared to bounce back here and make a game of this behind a defence that prior to win vs Seattle last week had held their L/5 regular season opponents to an average of 14.2 ppg. The Packers head coach Matt LaFleur, has been a bankroll expanding 11-6 ATS (24.9% ROI), as an underdog this season while the 49ers have seen underdogs cash at a 11-5-1 ATS clip against them this season. LaFleur was the offensive coordinator for Shannahan on three separate teams in his career and knows him as well or better than anyone in football. Green Bay to cover |
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01-19-20 | Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs | 24-35 | Loss | -118 | 79 h 39 m | Show | |
We all know how explosive the Chiefs offence is , but Im sure the Titans plan is to try to keep QB Patrick Mahomes off the field as much as possible by pounding the rock on the ground via Derrick Henry . It must be noted that the Titans offense has averaged 198 rushing yards per game with him hugging the ball over his last 8 games (5.9 yards per carry) . Odds are highly likely that more success is on board this Sunday vs a Chiefs D, that has allowed 4.9 yards per carry and were ranked 29th in defensive rushing DVOA. TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Reid is 4-13 ATS in home games against AFC South division opponents in all games he has coached since 1999. Teams like the Titans off breaking the 100-yard plateau on the ground, 29-16 SU and 31-13-1 ATS in the followup and are a bankroll expanding 20-5 ATS for their backers against opposition coming off a big double-digit win like the Chiefs achieved . Also, underdogs +7 or more have gone 37-26-1 (59%) against the spread in the playoffs, including 9-2 ATS in conference championships or later. Add to that NFL teams who are off scoring 40 or more points in a playoff game like KC are 1-14-1 ATS L/15 as chalk dating back 24 seasons. Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 155 h 13 m | Show | |
I look at this game, and see an experienced tested championship team like Clemson, going against an upstart LSU team that has had a tremendous success in the short term behind a very talented group of players, but lacks experience in big games. That experience and Clemsons superior defence Im betting wins out here today. Advantage Clemson. CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS in road games after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons (Clemson 40.9 opp 11.1) Swinney is 15-3 ATS vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return as the coach of CLEMSON. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -116 | 105 h 14 m | Show | |
I know the public sees a shootout when they look at the starting QB situation, but what I see is two defences, that will be prepared to grind it out today in the cold tundra air of Northern Wisconsin. For long stretches this season, the Packers have struggled to score consistently, despite the reputation of their stud Qb Rodgers who has by the way according the metrics, not performed as well as he did earlier on his career, as is evident by a almost a full yard regression , 8.2 yard per play output in the first decade of his career , and a 7.3 ypp output in recent seasons. Meanwhile, Colin Wilson the Seattle star QB , is dealing with injuries on his offensive line, with his top center and left tackle injured, which has tempered his teams offensive output of late as was evident when they scored only 17 points last weeks win vs Philadelphia to advance and their 13 and 21 point respective output in their two previous tilts. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games this season with a combined average 36.2 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after a 2 game road trip over the last 3 season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. SEATTLE L/13 in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 31-51 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 26 m | Show | |
AFC Divisional Playoffs Bottom line here today is that Arrowhead at the best times is a tough place to play in for both the home side and visitors. Here at home since Andy Reid came to town to coach the Chiefs t have gone under at a 36-22-1 clip including playoffs for a 20.9% Return on Investment. Part of that is the difference in their offensive output at home as compared to their offensive production away from Arrowhead. Dating back 6 seasons, the Chiefs have scored about a FG less at home, which has resulted in a combined 43.4 ppg output on average, as compared to more than 51 combined points in away games. Thats a huge difference . Add to that Outdoor NFL play off games games have been going under more often than not notching a 75-56-4 UNDER record for a close to 11% return on investment and you can see which way Im leaning here as I go directly against media and public perceptions. HOUSTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 38 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 84 h 26 m | Show | |
All season long the Ravens have had the pedal to the metal.All season long I could not get the feeling out of my head, that they would eventually run out of gas before hitting the proverbial finish line. So here they are in their first play off game of the season , as a huge public favorite , going up against a upstart group Tennessee group fresh off a upset of the New England Pats. Bottom line :The Titans with momentum and confidence on their sides. and a physical defense and strong running game are a team built to compete with a side like the Ravens. It must also be noted that since QB Ryan Tannehill became the starter, the Titans are 7-3-1 ATS for an impressive 35.4% ROI. But about football god, QB Lamar Jackson, he surely can make this a cake walk. I say hold your horses, on that concept, as road underdogs are 8-3 ATS for a 41% Return on Investment against the Ravens in Jackson’s starts under center. Play on the Titans to cover |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 37 m | Show | |
I have said all season long, that the Vikings were going to be a dark horse favorite of mine entering the play offs, because of their hardcore work ethic, and bruising defense, and ability to play up to opponents and hand out a smash mouth type of performance. I know the public just loves SFs super star QB Jimmy G, but like the old saying goes defense travels well, and here today against a 49ers side, that not seen play off football for a while, the wheels may come off at the worst possible time. Look for QB Cousins of the Vikings to do just enough to help us get the cover today. Dating back 16 seasons Divisional Round road underdogs are 36-24-1 ATS for a 16.3% Return on investment . Minnesota s HC Mike Zimmer dating back 5 seasons has been a ATM for Vikings betting backers when going up against non-divisional foes recording a massive bankroll expanding 44-19-1 ATS record for a 35.4% ROI. NFL Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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01-11-20 | James Madison v. North Dakota State UNDER 52 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
Two top tier football programs with hardcore discipline go head to head in the FCS championship game. This game sees North Dakota States 33-1 SU play off record on the line . ( interestingly enough the only loss came against James Madison). Bottom line is Im betting the total is a better investment option than what my projections estimate is a coin flip game. I cannot see either quarterback carving up the others secondary, and I also expect for both running games to falter against staunch front 7s. Im betting both sides have moderate grinding success moving the ball between the 30s but when it comes to finishing drives we will see what hardcore defence is all about. Both these sides are tough as nails and rarely make mistakes, which bolsters my under wager . Play UNDER |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 55.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
LendingTree Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL Miami O offence just cannot generrate consistent flow and the Redhawks rank outside the top 100 in quarterback passer rating, line yards and finishing drives. The RedHawks offence or lack ther off will go against a UL Lafayette group that ranks top 20 in defensive finishing drives, which is not a good omen for ouptut conversion rate when entering the red zone. Something Im betting the Redhawks dont do much of today aqnyway. On the other side, of the ball, Miami Os defence is very capable and physical for a MAC team and have the ability to slow down the Cajuns explosive attack. Note: Miami 0 is ranked 26th in the nation defensive havoc. Both punt units rank to 20 in the nation, so field postion will also hinder offences if expected averages continue --which the odds say are highly likey. What Im betting on here is a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In Miami Os last L/12 non conference games a combined average of 51.1 have been scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (MIAMI OHIO) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 38-10 UNDER L/27 seasomns for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphais hard core defense and a offence that will be primed to the run ball and make this a gridning affair in the trenches has me firmly on the under. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.Pederson is 10-0 UNDER in home games off a division game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. Pederson is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. ( all the above totals averages were below this listed total) Carroll is 9-2 UNDER in road games against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 46 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card Playoffs I firmly believe that the Vikings are dark horse playoff contenders, and Im will to put my money where my mouth his here today vs the mighty Saints. The big concern with New Orleans is their D, and despite of their good over lying numbers, the metrics tell a different story, as they have been torched for 28 or more more points in 3 of their L/6 games. Vikings HC Mike Zimmer, responds owns a 43-18-2 ATS career record in non-division tilts, including 18-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss which they did in their last game of the regular season. The Vikings are also 13-0 ATS L/13 covering my more than 12 ppg as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit win and they are not off a double-digit win. NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS in dome games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 13-35 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 63 h 36 m | Show | |
The Pats may not be a real Super Bowl contender this season, and Tom Brady may have lost a few steps as Father Time catches up to him . However, this experienced New England team is more than capable of knocking off a Tennessee team that did not play against the Pats this season, and have no real gauge as to handle their attack or perceived weaknesses, other than film and scouting reports. The same can be said for Beliichik and company, but it must noted that the Pats are 17-1 SU in playoff games behind Bill Belichick in games against opponents they did not face during the regular season. It must also be noted that QB Ryan Tannehill has no experience in the play offs while, Tom Brady is the god of play off football, and is always one patented series of plays away from a key TD,making the Pats the side to back today. Hey guys I know recency bias comes into play here as NE looks horrendous last week vs Miami. However, as outlandish as it might sound I would not be surprised if Bellichick and company really wanted to win last week as badly as many might have thought and instead were playing possum. I know , this sounds like a whacky conspiracy theory , but this HC is a football and mad genius like no other , and who. knows where his degenerate thoughts go. He's proven he is not beyond doing anything to win games and this might be his physiological peace de resistance . Time will tell, but Im betting on the Pats to advance and more importantly cover in a short line. The Titans are 2-22 ATS L/24 when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game. NEW ENGLAND is 31-10 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992. NEW ENGLAND is 20-8 ATS in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992. Play on the NE Pats |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans OVER 43.5 | 19-22 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
AFC Wild Card Playoffs The lines-makers are estimating this will be a very close. game and I agree as my projections estimate each team will score in the vicinity of 20 points each. Note: BUFFALO is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 54.6 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON in their L/22 tilts when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 57.3 ppg scored. In a coin flip game that could be won by a late FG or OT, the total looks much more viable than the side. Play OVER |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss +7.5 | 30-13 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX After a very strong start to their season Tulane fell apart down the stretch losing 5 of their L/6 and are on a 3 game losing streak. Their demise has a lot to do with the disintegration of their offensive line coupled with the struggles of LSU transfer QB Justin McMillan, who was sacked 18 times during that ugly 6-game run. Here against a Southern Miss D, ranked No. 36 in the country in total defense (350.3 ypg). Im betting the Wave scoring output will once again be curtailed . Meanwhile,The Golden Eagles have relied heavily on their passing game this season as . Southern Miss ranked among the top 25 nationally and led Conference USA in passing offense (288.6 ypg) during the regular season, and today Im betting on them hitting enough explosive plays to get us the promised land and get us the cover. Play on Southern Miss to cover |
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01-03-20 | Ohio -6.5 v. Nevada | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 585 h 3 m | Show | |
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Add to that Nevada will be without key starters on the defensive side of the ball for a brawl they had with UNLV in their last game of the season and have a new defensive coordinator for this game, which is not a good omen for a Wolfpack side that ranks 116th in defensive rushing success rate and 115th in line yards. With that said, Im betting on Solich pounding the rock on the ground today for big gains and score behind Rourke and for Nevadas inconsistent offence to have issues repsonding. Solich is 9-2 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games as the coach of OHIO U. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - excellent offensive team ( 440 or more YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee v. Indiana +3 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Indiana must not be underestimated here behind an offense that ranked No. 14 in offensive SP+. This Hoosiers side , looked very viable against a top tier opponent in Penn State in mid-November and just missed on a victory at Michigan State when the Spartans were ranked No. 25 in late September. This is a good team, and despite of Tennessee turning a corner and up-trending Im betting they hit a disrespected buzz saw here today and end up on the wrong side of the ATS sheet. Note: Vols Wide receiver Jauan Jennings a future NFLer in the will sit the first half with a suspension from a sideline altercation against Vanderbilt, that Im betting will have Tennessee starting slow offensively. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - off a home win against a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
All-American LT Andrew Thomas not suiting up for Georgia and starting RT Isaiah Wilson also out out as they prepare for the NFL draft as well as starting guard Ben Cleveland who was ruled academically ineligible.It does end there as the Dawgs will also be without its top two receivers a Lawrence Cager and Dominick Blaylock as they deal with injuries. Georgias key RBs could also be out as leading rusher DeAndre Swift, is banged up and hobbled and could easily just try to get healthy before the NFL Draft and skip here or see very limited action. Add to that James Cook, is in trouble with the law for a having a gun in his car, and you have an array of Georgia Bulldogs out or missing and team with very little motivation taking the field today against a hard working Baylor team, that has a coach on the sidelines in Matt Rhule who has thrived in the underdog role for bettors, going 33-15 ATS getting points and 30-14-1 ATS in neutral site tilts . Some times Bowl games are all about motivation that off sets some talent issues. Kirby Smarts group is a team that could easily just be going through the motions here today, while Baylor will be sky high and ready to make a mark and get this program back on the College football map again.Per Rhule, he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. "Our guys value the opportunity to compete. I think they value the opportunity to compete against one of the best teams in the country," Rhule said. "What a great measuring stick for us as a program, our players. And we have a lot of guys that -- everyone is going to play." Rhule is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached since 1992. Rhule is 11-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread in all games he has coached since 1992 BAYLOR is 7-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. BAYLOR is 11-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. Advantage Baylor plus the points |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA I was surprised to see this line float into the FG range with Wisconsin, as according to my projections the underdog Oregon Ducks were the slightly superior side and matchup well against a team like Wisconsin that uses their running attack as a key to controlling time of possession . I know many pundits have not given the Ducks D, the kudos they deserve this season, because of perception . The Ducks are perceived as just an explosive offensive team, but the real truth is that they are balanced and have shown themselves resilient defensively holding 6 teams to season low offensive yards output.Key here today will be pressure on Whiskeys QB- look for Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year Kayvon Thibodeaux (team-high 14.0 tackles for loss, 9.0 sacks) to pace an Oregon defense ranked No. 11 in the country with 41 sacks. QUOTE: "Between Oregon and Ohio State, they both have amazing athletes on the field that get after the quarterback and make big plays," Badgers quarterback Jack Coan told reporters. "They're an amazing defense." END QUOTE: OREGON is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. OREGON is 45-14 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game and is 32-9 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half. It must also be noted that Mario Cristobal’s Ducks are a bankroll expanding 8-0 ATS as underdogs versus the Big 10 opposition, and 11-2 SU and 12-1 ATS as dogs with rest. CFB Bowl pups with 17 or more returning starters from last year returning if they won 8 or less games, and are coming off an ATS win of 3-plus points, are 15-1 ATS since 1990. (Oregon fits this description) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon to cover |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama OVER 58 | 16-35 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Mac Jones, Alabamas new No. 1 quarterback , has completed 69.8 percent of his 166 pass attempts, with 11 touchdowns, after taking over from the injured Tua Tagovailoa .Jones has dynamic receivers to target, including DeVonta Smith (65 catches, 1,200 yards, 13 TDs) and Jerry Jeudy (71 catches, 959 yards, 9 TDs) and is more than capable of helping his team pile up points vs a Michigan team that showed themselves defensively porous at times against top tier teams like Ohio State this season.( Ohio State smashed the Wolverines by a 57-29 count). Meanwhile, Michigan can also fire back with some offensive firepower of their own, with Michigan quarterback Shea Patterson who has thrown 22 touchdown passes and scored five more on the ground this season. I expect some big plays and scores by the Wolf man and crew vs one of Alabamas most mediocre defences in years. LSU pounded Alabama for 46 points in 46-41 win towards the end of this season. Truth is I smell fire works about to be lit here today and a game that features alot of points . MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 63.9 ppg scored. ALABAMA is 11-2 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 66.7 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (ALABAMA/MICHIGAN) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 30-11 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Alamo Bowl - Alamodome - San Antonio, TX HC Herman of Texas may not have a great overall record with this program of late, but what he does well is to get his teams to play tough competition at a top tier level as is evident by cashing 15 of his L/20 as an underdog. Im betting on Texas here today vs a Utah team that was humbled in their last game of the season vs Oregon .Because of that mentioned debacle the Utes missed the play offs and may not be as motivated as need be here vs a Texas side that has won their L/3 Bowl appearances. Utah will be at a disadvantage with All-Pac-12 safety Julian Blackmon (knee) and cornerback Jaylon Johnson (NFL draft) both ruled out. So Sam Ehlinger should have success behind what is a healthy Longhorn offence, that will have senior wideout Collin Johnson (hamstring) and junior tight end Cade Brewer (ankle)in the lineup and ready to play. TEXAS is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game which happened in their last game of the regular season in a 49-24 victory vs Texas Tech. Play on Texas to cover |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State +7 v. Wyoming | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Arizona Bowl - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ Georgia state according to my power rankings matches up very well vs this punchless Wyoming football program that will have problems taking advantage of a sometimes porous GState D. On the flip side, Georgia State averages 32.5 PPG and is ranked No. 14 in the nation with their ground attack and 27th in total offense and should do more than enough damage to secure a cover here . Note:Sun Belt conference teams have been cash cows in bowl games since 2013 going 26-9 straight up and SBC bowl pups of 3 or more points are a bankroll expanding 11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS and get the nod again this New Years eve. Georgia State to cover |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN The Kansas State Wildcats and Navy Midshipman are not quite identical but they do both like to dominate time of possession. The Wildcats rank fourth in the country in that stat, holding the ball for an average of 34:16 per game while Navy owns a 33:14 time of possession . That means the Mids can count on getting fewer snaps then usual , as is the case when Army goes against Navy. With that said, Im betting on a grinding game that has both sides ground attack eating up precious clock time and keeping this combined score on the low side of the total. KANSAS ST is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 47.1 ppg going on the board. NAVY is 33-15 UNDER vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game with a combined average of 45.7 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (NAVY) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 41-15 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (KANSAS ST) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 59-25 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -3 | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Liberty Bowl - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN Navy triple option offence ranks no1. in the nation in rushing and they also own the No. 2 Red Zone Offense. Your always going to get a great effort from a military teams, as is evident by Navys 5-0 ATS run as a bowl favorite . Navy is not only hard working but very disciplined ranking No. 3 in nation with the least penalties. It must be noted that Military teams are 10-1 L/11 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points in Bowl games. Kansas their opponent a team that lost 5 of 6 stats battles against Bowl teams might seem like a good matchup for the Middies, but despite of similar mind sets about running the ball and time of possession control , their actually not as cohesive or consistent as they seem as it must be noted that the Wildcats rank No. 130 in Red Zone Defense. I know the reputation of their current HC Chris Klieman (former North Dakota State super coach) but he lacks Bowl experience and that is going to be a detriment to him here today when this is all said and done. Tuesday’s Bowl tilt is about finishing their season with gusto for Navy. The Middies have a chance to tie the program record of 11 wins set in 2015 and end the year in the Associated Press rankings for just the third time in the past 56 years and Im betting on a humungous effort from them here today. . NAVY is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season. NAVY is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NAVY) - excellent passing team (8.3 or better PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 36-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Navy to cover |
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12-31-19 | Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX Mike Norvell has left Memphis and is now the new HC at Florida State. He won't be on the sidelines today, butIm sure he is having an influence already which is a positive going into this Bowl game Meanwhile, this Sun Devils program is missing some key players here today on offence which will hinder their ability to be offensively aggressive ie 1000 yard rusher Running back Eno Benjamin, and a 1000 yard receiver in Brandon Aiyuk who are out getting ready for the NFL draft. Add to that to tha the Devils t have a lousy ATS record as bowlers as is evident by a 0-7 ATS mark all tine in Bowl games versus the ACC. Add to that PAC 12 teams are just. 2-20 ATS L/3 seasons in Bowl games . ARIZONA ST iw also s 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season and are fade material here vs a FSU side feeling good about themselves at the moment behind a new mentor. Play on FSU |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida -14 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 321 h 7 m | Show | |
"I think our guys know I plan on being here for a long time. I know what I have here. I love being here. I think we're building a championship program here." – UF head coach Dan Mullen on NFL rumors. This team has come a long way over the last two seasons and are only getting better. Virginia is a fine football program, but their over matched here by an over powering SEC team , and as this game moves forward the Gators Im betting will run away with this. Play on Florida to cover |
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12-30-19 | Illinois v. California OVER 43.5 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
Redbox Bowl - Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CA Illinois when they faced a team similar to California in the regular season, saw a game that saw them beat Michigan State 37-34 on Nov. 9. Im betting the Illini very capable offense to once again do some damage here today, while their sometimes porous D to part like Moses parting the Red Sea. It must be noted that Californias last 4 games, all saw a combined point total that eclipsed this number. My projections make this line Total closer to 47 thus giving us one possession value on the over. Note: HC Wilcox in in 36 lined games as the coach of CALIFORNIA has seen a combined average of 46.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan v. Western Kentucky OVER 54 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky's offense is efficient and were uptrending towards the end of the season averaging more than 37.4 ppg in their L/3 tilts. The Hilltoppers are led by running back Gaej Walker, who collected 1,115 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging nearly five yards per carry. Quarterback Ty Storey who started nine games at Arkansas last season before transferring , has completed 70.7 percent of his 294 passes for 2,209 yards, 12 touchdowns and matches up well vs W.Michigans inconsistent secondary and a D that has allowed an average of 36.5 ppg on the road this season. Meanwhile, Western Michigan is also very capable offensively behind Running back LeVante Bellamy who has accumulated 1,412 rushing yards and is tied for the national lead with 23 rushing touchdowns, and Quarterback Jon Wassink who was a third-team All-MAC selection, throwing for 2,904 yards, with 19 touchdowns. Western Michigan in games played on turf have scored an average of 36 ppg. Everything points to a combined score that eclipses this total. W KENTUCKY is 17-6 OVER L/23 after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored. W MICHIGAN in their L/6 road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 70.8 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 37 | 10-28 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens have already clinched the top seed in the AFC playoffs and will rest several key starters, including quarterback Lamar Jackson, in Sunday's regular-season finale so needless to say the very capable defence of the Steelers should have a very good day . Meanwhile, behind less than dynamo back up QBs, the Steelers have not done much offensive damage this season, and despite of Devlin Duck Hodges going 4-1 its been his conservative efforts and his D, that has helped him to a positive record. Note: : All game 16’s tilts involving 2 above .500 sides are 13-2 UNDER L/5 seasons. The L/5 Steelers/Ravesn meetings have gone under with the average combined score clicking in at 35.6 ppg. BALTIMORE is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs with a combined average of 31 pig scored. ( Thishappened in a 31-15 win vs Cleveland last week) BALTIMORE is 7-0 L/7 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite with the combined average score of 25.4 ppg going on the board. NFLHome teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BALTIMORE) - team outrushing opponents by 40+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game are 38-11 UNDER L/37 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-29-19 | Saints v. Panthers +14 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
Everyone just loves the Saints. After all they are exciting to watch, but it must be noted that they are just 2-5 ITS the last seven games since their bye week and have some flaws. The Saints are also just 1-7 ATS K/8 as a favorite of 13 points or more vs sub .500 opposition, and just 4-15 ATS as double-digit favourite in division tilts . I know Carolina looked terrible last week in. a loss , but are a solid 7-0 ATS at home after scoring less than 7 points last time out. Im betting they give the Saints a fight this week and get us the cover. CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. NFL Underdogs or pick (CAROLINA) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 37 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Carolina to cover |
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12-29-19 | Dolphins v. Patriots -16 | 27-24 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
New England will grab the No. 2 AFC seed with a victory today vs the visiting Miami Dolphins.The Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 on Sept. 15, proving how well they matchup against the Fins. Im expecting the Pats to be ready to hammer the Fins here again today as they need a win here and a tune up for the play offs at the same time. NFL team (MIAMI) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a good defense (4.5 to 4.9 YPP) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are just 2-23 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New England to cover |
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12-29-19 | Chargers +10 v. Chiefs | 21-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This game means nothing for both sides, with the Chargers going golfing soon, and the Chiefs grabbing the No.2 seed in the AFC for the play offs. Expect a lot of wind here today in Arrowhead, and lower scoring game that impacts what will be a closer than anticipated matchup and cover by the road dog. Hey I know how ugly the Chargers looked las time out but they are 10-1 ATS off SU favourite loss 7 pts or more vs .500 or better opposition. Note:Things have been less rosy at Arrowhead Stadium, which is typically considered one of the toughest environments in the NFL. The Chief lost three consecutive games to the Colts, Texans and Packers. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 417 h 8 m | Show | |
Projected score: Clemson 31 Ohio State 27 |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State UNDER 63 | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
CFB Playoff - Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ Plenty off offence here, but what stands out about both Clemson and Ohio State is what amounts to be some of the physical defences in the nation.The Tigers are ranked first in scoring defense (10.6) and first in total defense (244.7). haven't allowed more than 20 points in any game this season and Ohio State ranks third in scoring defense (12.5) and second in total defense in the nation. With that said, Im betting we have a rockem sockem nasty in the trenches defensive slugfest today and what could easily be the national championship game. CLEMSON is 50-21 UNDER L/71 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CLEMSON is 6-0 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 40.9 ppg scored. OHIO ST is 30-16 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 42.6 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (CLEMSON) - in non-conference games, with 8 offensive starters returning are 48-15 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU OVER 75 | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
CFB Playoff - Peach Bowl - Georgia Dome - ATLANTA, GA LSU is third in the country in scoring (47.8) and first in yards (554.3)..The Sooners rank just behind the Tigers with averages of 43.2 points and 554.2 yards.The Sooners have scored 28 or more points in each of their last 51 games. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (LSU) - in a game involving two dominant teams (out-gaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 36-10 OVERv L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (LSU/OKLAHOMA) - when playing on a Saturday are 30-10 OVER L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 9-33 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Camping World Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Notre Dame owns a top tier offence butI Iowa State behind quarterback Brock Purdy, who completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,760 yards, 27 touchdowns are no pushovers and deserve respect as underdogs in a neutral field environment. HC Kelly of Notre Dame said could not afford to take Iowa State for granted. "This is a really good football team that could easily be 11-1," Kelly said. "We know what we're getting."Explosive offenses in the Big 12, really solid defensively, physical football team, well coached -- Matt Campbell is an outstanding football coach. It's going to be a good football team we're playing." I agree with Kellys assessments, and wont be surprised by a SU upset victory by the Cylcones here today. IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. NOTRE DAME is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games . Iowa State is 31-13 ATS L/44 as a dog. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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12-28-19 | Memphis v. Penn State -6.5 | 39-53 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Memphis seems to be a popular pick here by some pundits, but with HC Norvell no longer on th sidelines for Memphis after taking the HC job at Florida State Im betting his former team may not have the needed guidance to deal with a top tier Penn State team that has tangled with some of the best teams in the country.You have to remember Penn State made Ohio State work hard for a 28-17 win in 2nd last game of the season. The way I lookout this is, if Memphis had some problems dealing with Cincinnatis D, they are really going to have issues taking on what Im betting is the most physical group they have faced all season long here vs the Nitanny Lions. Like the old saying goes, offence gets you to a championship but defensewins those big games. The good thing for Penn State is that they both have a upper shelf D, to go a long with a under rated offence and Im betting they get the job done here today vs the underdog that is loved by the public because of their prolific scoring abilities. Penn Statest wo losses have come on the road by a combined 16 points to then-No. 17 Minnesota and No. 2 Ohio State. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M UNDER 54 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Texas Bowl - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX Oklahoma State's offense features the nation's leading rusher in sophomore back Chuba Hubbard. He ran for 1,936 yards on 309 carries (6.8 yards per carry) in the regular season. So Im betting they pound away on the ground today, and eat up clock time. Meanwhile, the Texas A&M D, allowed 12 rushing touchdowns all year, so output projections are low according to my estimates. The Aggies have played one of the more difficult schedules in the country. And have battled Auburn, Alabama and LSU and Georgia, so slowing down Oklahoma State offence will not be an extremely difficult task, while their own offence has been less than cohesive this season. This combination of projected scenarios makes for a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 27-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 41-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State -3 v. Wake Forest | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 416 h 37 m | Show | |
Pinstripe Bowl - Yankee Stadium - Bronx, NY MSU has gone against some of the best teams in the country this season and are more than prepared to take on Wake Forest in this Bowl tilt. Dantonio already owns school records for most bowl wins (five) and bowl appearances (12), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor. The Spartans defeated No. 18 Washington State, 42-17, in the 2017 Holiday Bowl. MSU has won five of its last seven bowl games. Michigan State D, will out perform Wakes viable offence. After facing the likes of Penn State , Michigan, and Wisconsin the Spartans are more than ready for what comes their way here at Yankee Stadium. CFB team (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 44-17 ATS L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina v. Temple +6 | 55-13 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
Military Bowl - Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD Mack Brown has moved North Carolina forward since taking over as a coach and alosmot pulley's doff an upset vs Clemson earlier this season and now gets a Bowl Game to preview their ascension.. Despite of this Im still not 100% sold on the Tar Heels and recently the ACC in Bowl games have failed to cash 4 straight as chalk against the AAC. Also Brown himself is just 1-7 ATS as a a HC as a bowl favorite of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, Temple is a team that must not be underestimated in their tenacity and are 5-1 ATS as an underdog while winning four times SU. The Temple offense was serviceable at 27.4 PPG (though 4-points below what their foes allowed on the season). The Owls defense is their strength and allowed just 23.4 PPG and were No. 4 in Red Zone Defense this season and will be the difference maker today. TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. Play on Temple to cover |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh -12.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Motivation might be a issue here for Pittsburgh, but their defence is head and shoulders the superior side here today vs an atrocious E. Michigan D. I know the Panthers offence has taken some time to jell cohesively behind a new pass happy system, but today they should be able to get things going vs a below average secondary and a Eagles D, that rank 129th in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate. Note:MAC bowlers are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS as underdogs of 8 or more points. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
Independence Bowl - Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA The LA Tech Bulldogs enter this game with a lot to prove after losing the CUSA championship game UAB. It must also be mentioned that their starting QB was suspended for that tilt, but will play today behind what will be a crowd that is on their sides here in Shreveport . Note: LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons Tech are a talented bunch that is not getting enough respect here vs a inconsistent Miami Florida football program, that is ranked No. 130 in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage and No. 120 in Red Zone Offense and will be missing three future NFL starters including their top wide receiver Jeff Thomas. The Bulldogs averaged 34 PPG and 445 YPG, on offence and had a D that was ranked No. 3 in Red Zone Defense. Im not a big Manny Diaz fan, and just don't like his mojo so betting against him is not a difficult proposition for me. Miami is just 2-9 SU L/11 Bowl games including a ugly 0-6 ATS as chalk Skip Holtz's 5-1 ATS in bowl game record shines through and gets my support. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
Hawaii Bowl - Aloha Stadium - Halawa, HI Hawaii had a good season overall as they made it all the way to the Mountain West Championship game. Now the Warriors get to host a BYU team that is bringing cheerleaders, their families, and even key donors to this game. Its going to be far from a (its all business type of experience for BYU ) and more like a vacation to paradise island which is a negative for game preparation. Both teams pound the ball efficiently but the difference maker comes down to the arm of .Hawaii’s Cole McDonald who has thrown for 29 touchdown passes. BYU is 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season. The dog has cashed 9 of the L/12 Hawaii Bowls. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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12-23-19 | Marshall +18 v. Central Florida | 25-48 | Loss | -107 | 319 h 4 m | Show | |
Gasparilla Bowl - Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, FL This will the Herds second straight Bowl game here in Raymond James Stadium, and they have a comfort edge going for them in this matchup vs UCF. It is the fourth time that Marshall has played in the Tampa/St. Petersburg-based bowl game. The Herd is currently 3-0 in its trips to the contest. Add to that Marshall recruits a large number of its players from Florida, and many of them are excited to go home, and show case their abilities, so this Thundering Herd team will be motivated and Im betting they are viable underdogs in this spot play. UCF is 1-7 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games this season. MARSHALL is 12-2 ATS in a bowl game since 1992. Holliday is 6-0 ATS/SU in a bowl game as the coach of MARSHALL and is 11-2 ATS in games played on a neutral field since 1992. Take the points with Marshall to cover |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +7 | 26-3 | Loss | -137 | 82 h 40 m | Show | |
Chicago is a physical team that matches up well vs the explosive Chiefs. Note: Chicago is 19-3 ATS with a .500 or less record when listed as a home dog against the AFC opposition. Note: QB Patrick Mahomes should feel rushed today which will make for a nightmare for the Chiefs offensive flow. This will be the first time the Kansas City Chiefs will go against super star Khalil Mack since he was traded. Mack used to be an Oakland Raider and totaled five and a half sacks against the Chiefs during his four year run in the AFC West. CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - quick starting offensive team - scoring 14+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 9-31 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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12-22-19 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -9.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cards won last week vs the Browns, but this week Im betting they have their butts handed to them vs a explosive Seattle team that can very much take advantage of the Cards very porous defence, that allows, an average of 28.4 ppg on the road this season. Note: Carroll is 23-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of SEATTLE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 ppg. Carroll is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games as the coach of SEATTLE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.6 ppg. The Cardinals are 0-17 SU/ATS L/17 on the road off a game as a home dog in which their scoring output increased by more than ten points over the game before. NFL Road teams (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more, after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points are 6-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. ( Seattle beat Arizona back in Sept on the road by a lopsided 27-10 count- Rinse and repeat here today) Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 54 h 5 m | Show | |
Dak Prescott is banged up with a sore shoulder, a finger injury on his throwing hand, and took limited snaps in practice.Even with nagging - or worse - injuries, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones expects Prescott to be in "top form" against Philadelphia and I agree with the Boyz owner on this one, as its not hard to look good vs a consistently under performing Philadelphia D.There are jobs and reputations on the line, as well: Dallas coach Jason Garrett could save his job with a division title and a strong playoff run. DALLAS is 9-1 ATS versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-22-19 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 45 | 24-17 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 45 m | Show | |
Two teams and two veteran QBS with nothing left to play for will let it all hang out today as they look to pad their stats . Carr vs Rivers projects to a shoot out that eclipses this total. My projections estimate both teams will score 21+ points. Note:OAKLAND is 11-2 OVER L/13 when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 57.8 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS are 11-3 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 53.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-22-19 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Falcons | 12-24 | Loss | -115 | 76 h 41 m | Show | |
The Jaguars have been completely stagnant of late, and are not getting much respect at all and they really don't deserve it , but neither does Atlanta and in no way according to my power rankings deserve to be a 7 point or more favourite vs anyone in this league including the lowly Jags. From a long term trends perspective it must be noted that NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are a long term good bet going 120-64 ATS L/36 seasons for a solid 65% conversion rate for their betting backers. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and is 0-7 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Atlanta Falcons are 1-13 SU and 0-14 ATS in their last fourteen games against AFC opponents. Advantage Jacksonville getting points |
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12-21-19 | UAB +17 v. Appalachian State | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
New Orleans Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA The Blazers have shown themselves to be talented but highly inconsistent this season, and undisciplined, after a 6-1 start went just 3-3 at the finish line , and were smashed in their conference championship game by DDs vs an explosive FAU side. However, UAB coach Clark’s has proven before that he can engineer a quick bounce back off defeat as is evident by a 12-4 SU and 11-3-1 ATS record in his career. Clark is 8-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival as the coach of UAB. Blazers really need a good showing here after that above mentioned debacle in the CUSA championship game. This is a chance to do it by hanging tough against a ranked Appalachian State side, that despite of a great season, are getting a very average Bowl show case that might not have them very excited to play in. Note: This also an easy trip for UAB fans so Im betting the majority of the crowd will be backing the Blazers, which will buoy their chances here two fold. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (APPALACHIAN ST) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a good team (60% to 80%). are 31-63 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State OVER 49.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 37 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl - Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas, NV
Boise State has averaged 39.7 ppg on offence when travelling this season, and Im betting they do a fair amount of damage here today vs a downtrodden Huskies side, that had expected better results this season. Meanwhile, Washington in 9 games played on turf this season have averaged 34 ppg and have enough offensive weapons to answer back against the Broncos. BOISE ST is 10-0 OVER L/10 in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) with a combined average of 76.3 ppg scored. Harsin is 12-4 OVER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse as the coach of BOISE ST with the combined average score of 70.1 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (BOISE ST) - in a game involving two good teams (outgaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP) after 7+ games, in non-conference games are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-21-19 | SMU v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 | 28-52 | Win | 100 | 102 h 55 m | Show | |
Lane Kiffin has left the Florida Atlantic sidelines but things are looking up as Willie Taggart is about to take over. Add to that a new defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer stepping in for this game and the Owls look like a football program with upside, and the ability to upend SMU here today. You have to remember, that FAU owns a big play attack with and with SMU secondary giving up 285 yards per game their vulnerable to be nipped here for big yards , gains and subsequent scores. on the flip side, Im betting the Mustangs will have problems running the ball vs a Owls team that have allowed fewer than 100 yards in five of their last ten games. If SMU cant run the ball, their passing game will be easier to read, and problems will arise as this tilt goes on. SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. SMU is 0-9 ATS in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. FLA ATLANTIC is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons. Play on Florida Atlantic to cover |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan v. San Diego State OVER 40.5 | 11-48 | Win | 100 | 56 h 36 m | Show | |
New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM C.Michigan have scored 45 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and despite of playing a very strong D here today, Im betting they will do enough damage to get this combined score over the total. Meanwhile, San Diego State despite of not being a strong offensive team, will also have to open up here a bit today , because as I mentioned above their going to get pierced for points more than usual. If Central Michigan has a weakness its this D, which is allowing 34. 8 ppg on the road. C MICHIGAN in their L/6 vs. average passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season with a combined average of 58.3 ppg going on the board. CFB teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning are 38-5 OVER L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | 11-48 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
New Mexico Bowl - Dreamstyle Stadium - Albuquerque, NM Central Michigan comes into the New Mexico Bowl featuring a multi dimensional offense. Chippewas running back Jonathan Ward has rushed for 1,082 yards along with hefty 6.2 yards per carry. His 15 touchdown runs rank third in the MAC. Meanwhile, Quarterback Quinten Dormady, a transfer from Tennessee, finished the regular season looked like a gunslinger. He completed 71 % or more of his pass attempts in the final three games leading into the MAC championship game, effectively spreading the ball among a number of pass-catchers. Im betting this group will test San Diego State sturdy D, alot more than recent opponents and make life difficult for a team that will be in an uncomfortable situation of having to open up . HC Rocky Long is just 4-9 ATS in his career in Bowl Games. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS vs. average passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-21-19 | Texans v. Bucs OVER 49 | 23-20 | Loss | -114 | 50 h 5 m | Show | |
Two red hot offenses go head to head today. Tampa Bay owns the leagues 3rd ranked offence and Houston Ranks 7th. The Buccaneers have seen 11 of their L/12 go over the total with a combined 61 ppg going on the board.TAMPA BAY is also 6-0 OVER vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse this season with a combined average of 61 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Houston’s offense has popped 24 or more points on the board in their L/3 tilts and should go north of that today according to my projections that also lean towards a over shootout battle. TAMPA BAY is 11-3 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 56.1 ppg scored. The Texans have gone OVER in 6 straight away tilts vs the NFC South Division while the Buccaneers are 6-0 OVER at home vs the AFC South Division. Play OVER |
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12-21-19 | North Carolina A&T State v. Alcorn State +3 | 64-44 | Loss | -121 | 195 h 41 m | Show | |
The Celebration Bowl is one of the most competitive bowl games on the schedule each year. Each Celebration Bowl has been decided by a touchdown or less. Last year the North Carolina A&T Aggies snuck past Alcorn State Braves by the slimmest of margins 24-22. Looking at both teams numbers, from this season suggest both possesses balanced defences and offences and matchup well against each other in a game that should be a pickem, thus getting points makes for a solid wager according to my projections. Play on Alcorn State to cover |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State OVER 65 | 51-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 28 m | Show | |
Frisco Bowl - Toyota Stadium - Frisco, TX Im betting on a ok corral type blastem up offensive gunfight here in Texas this Friday between two teams with alot of offensive fire power capabilities. Utah State junior quarterback Jordan Love after passing for 8,283 yards and 57 touchdowns in three seasons with the Aggies, will be ready to showcase his talents for the upcoming NFL draft. QUOTE:"Knowing that it's my last game here as an Aggie, wearing that uniform, it's really important for me to just go out there and ball out," Love said, "and have fun with my brothers this last time." END QUOTE. Love has completed 263-of-434 passes for 3,085 yards and 17 touchdowns this season and more of the same is on tap today vs a Kent State team allowing more than 34.6 ppg away from home this season. Meanwhile, duel threat Kent State QB Junior quarterback Dustin Crum led the Golden Flashes in passing and rushing, throwing for 2,336 yards and 18 touchdowns, while rushing for 560 yards and five more scores and will once again Im betting take advantage of a Aggies D, that is less than strong allowing 31 + ppg on the road this season. With that said, I expect both sides to surpass their offensive and defensive averages this season in an entertaining free for all offensive slugfest. Lewis in 9 games when the total is greater than or equal to 63 as the coach of KENT ST has seen a combined average of 66.9 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 63.5 and 70 (UTAH ST/KENT ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP), in non-conference games are 44-16 OVER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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12-20-19 | Buffalo v. Charlotte +7 | 31-9 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 18 m | Show | |
Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau, CUSA’s record of 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS versus MAC opponents in Bowl games has me looking directly at a up trending Charlotte football program as viable underdogs here today in this Bowl game. Don't get me wrong Buffalo is a fine team and were 7-5 on the season, but they were far from perfect and periodically fell asleep at the proverbial wheel. Meanwhile, their opponents today the niners, finished their season in over powering fashion, going 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, and 5-0 ITS and deserve respect here getting points. It must also be noted that Buffalo Bulls , HC Leipold is bankroll depleting 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS away vs a above .500 team like Charlotte. BUFFALO is 2-14 ATS L/16 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 38-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | 7-34 | Loss | -130 | 85 h 54 m | Show | |
New Orleans took part in a run and gun dog fight last week vs San Francisco that they lost and now Im betting they will be in a bit of emotional let down state and due for regression. Actually the Saints have lost the stats battles in 4 of their L/5 since Drew Bree's returned from injury, and definitely have some defensive issues at the worst possible time. Tonight they go against a motivated and desperate Indy side looking for a play off spot , that has the ability to score in bunches which makes getting points a viable investment option with he visiting underdog. Note: New Orleans is just 0-7 ATS L/7 when coming off a home loss and laying more than 7 points. INDIANAPOLIS is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS L/9 against .500 or better NFC opposition. Saints are 0-6 ATS L/6 as non-conference home favorite of more than 4 points and 1-10 ATS at home taking on AFC foes. NFL Road underdogs or pick (INDIANAPOLIS) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season are 24-5 ATS L/36 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indy Colts to cover |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers -1.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 32 m | Show | |
The Bills are bruised and battered after a very physical game against the Baltimore Ravens last week, and Im betting they won't have enough left in the tank to significantly compete here against a another smash mouth type of team in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has won 6 of the L/7 meetings here at home in this series and get the nod again. The Bills are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU on grass vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 20.7 ppg. NFL Road teams (BUFFALO) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 265-375 ATS dating back 37 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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12-15-19 | Browns v. Cardinals OVER 47.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
The Browns are finally starting to click on offense, with an average of 27. ppg going on the scoreboard in their L/3 trips to the gridiron vs a Cardinals D ithat is porous , allowing more than 400 ypg on defense, ranking last in the NFL in ppg allowed 29 ppg . The Browns D looked fuzzy last week allowing 451 yards to the bumbling Bengals, and now go head to head with a Arizona team with a good looking young QB in Murray. Im expecting Murray after watching last weeks fBrowns film to be ready to exploit the Browns in this spot. With that said, I expect both teams to do fair amount of offensive damage here today in the desert in a game that Im betting goes over the total. The Cards will playing their 2nd game straight game vs an AFC opposition. In the L/3 seasons . NFC underdogs in their 2nd of back-to-back non conference games are 13-0 OVER. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CLEVELAND) - after playing a game at home against opponent after a 2 game home stand are 49-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on OVER |
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12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +3 | 39-10 | Loss | -130 | 80 h 3 m | Show | |
The Chargers are starting to wake up from a season long slumber and are off a dominating 45-10 win last week vs the Jacksonville Jaguars. Meanwhile, visiting Minnesota despite of being consistent on the in the W/L column have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 overall and are not living up to the linesmakers expectations and vulnerable here to a desperate team with a chip on their shoulders. The Chargers are 15-0 ATS /12-3 SU L/15 as a dog when they are off a win as a favorite and they are averaging more than 27 points per game over their last three games. MINNESOTA is 5-18 ATS L/23 in road games off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. Chargers are 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 as underdogs. The home team has won the past five in the series. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CHARGERS) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers are 40-15 ATS L/36 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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12-15-19 | Browns v. Cardinals +3 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
The Browns were recently starting to turn a corner towards respectability . But that ended last week when despite of winning they lost the stats battle to Cincinnati by more than 188 yards. That is truly unacceptable, and now the inconsistent Browns travel out west to play a under rated Arizona team with a good looking young QB in Murray under centre. The kicker is that the Browns are 3 point road favs, which is not an optimal line to cover for this type of undisciplined unorganized team that takes a boatload full of penalties on a weekly basis . Note: The Browns are 0-4 ATS/SU L/4 on the road. The Cardinals are 21-0 ATS /19-2 SU at home when their line is between a three-point favorite and a five-point dog inclusive when they suffered a positive turnover margin in each of their last two games and they did not have more than 31 minutes of possession time in their last game. The Cardinals are 17-4 SU and 20-0-1 ATS as hosts off a non-division tilt when facing an opponent coming off a win of 8 or more points. The Cardinals are 15-0 ATS/SU on grass off a loss by more than a field goal when the line is within three of pick and they suffered a positive turnover margin in each of their last two games. Play on the Arizona Cardinals to cover |
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12-15-19 | Bears +5 v. Packers | 13-21 | Loss | -116 | 100 h 22 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers are very over rated in their current form even though they hold down the No. 2 playoff seed in the NFC. Believe it or not the Packers have lost the stats battles in 4 of their L/5 games and now go against a Chicago side that has won 4 of their L/5 and coming into their own now as they season winds down. Earlier this season the Bears lost to the Packers by a 10-3 count,(despite of winning the stats battle) but now in revenge mode in their best form this season, Im betting on the Bears to bring home the cash as underdogs. The Bears are 5-0 SUATS with a winning record in division games with QB Mitchell Trubisky under center. NFLvUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHICAGO) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, off a home win are 37-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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12-15-19 | Bucs v. Lions UNDER 46 | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 39 m | Show | |
Denver in their road games this season have seen a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored which mostly the result of their lack of a cohesive offence. As usual the Broncos are going to depend on their strong D, to keep them competitive, which Im betting will make for a fairly low scoring affair here today. When these teams met earlier this season, the Chiefs took a 30-6 win and now in the rematch Im expecting a rinse and repeat situation and total combined score that wont reach the low 40s. Note: KCs Defence has rounded into top form, of late allowing 17,9,16 points respectively in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. DENVER is 6-0 UNDER vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 42.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 41.9 ppg. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41.6 ppg scored.DENVER is 6-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.3 ppg. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.8 ppg. DENVER is 11-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 7-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined 39.4 ppg going on the board. Reid is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 39.3 ppg scored . NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DENVER) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, with a losing record are 109-63 UNDER L/36 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-15-19 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 54 h 44 m | Show | |
Denver in their road games this season have seen a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored which mostly the result of their lack of a cohesive offence. As usual the Broncos are going to depend on their strong D, to keep them competitive, which Im betting will make for a fairly low scoring affair here today. When these teams met earlier this season, the Chiefs took a 30-6 win and now in the rematch Im expecting a rinse and repeat situation and total combined score that wont reach the low 40s. Note: KCs Defence has rounded into top form, of late allowing 17,9,16 points respectively in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. DENVER is 6-0 UNDER vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 42.5 ppg scored. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 41.9 ppg. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41.6 ppg scored.DENVER is 6-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.3 ppg. DENVER is 9-1 UNDER versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.8 ppg. DENVER is 11-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 7-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined 39.4 ppg going on the board. Reid is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 39.3 ppg scored . NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DENVER) - revenging a same season loss against opponent, with a losing record are 109-63 UNDER L/36 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks v. Panthers +7 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
Seahawks lost RB Rashaad Penny for the season with a knee injury suffered in last week’s defeat, and will not have the same offensive flow without him in the lineup. Considering the Seahawks D, is ranked No. 26 in the league in overall there could easily be issues fr them covering today. CAROLINA is 21-9 ATS in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game. The Panthers are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a road SU and ATS loss. Play on Carolina to cover |
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12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens OVER 44.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The mighty Ravens played a pretty good defence last week vs the Buffalo Bills and still were able to notch 24 points. I know that was a hard fought game and LeMar Jackson is experiencing some quad problems, but he is still set to to go , and extremely dangerous from a offensive standpoint. I know the Ravens have a couple big games to finish off this season, and some might think they are over looking the Jets. However , Harbaughs team has been full tilt since the preseason, and Im betting they bring it here tonight again and really light up the scoreboard for a national audience. They just don't lighten up, and that has me on the over. Note: Jets quarterback Sam Darnold and wide receiver Robby Anderson are establishing a solid connection late in the season for a second straight year and Im betting they do more damage offensively than many might expect , which also help us cash an over wager here this evening. Ravens are 6-1 OVER L/7 vs AFC East and have gone over 5 of 6 times in Thursday nighter vs non-division opposition. Play OVER |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles -8.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Eagles are now desperate to stop a three-game losing streak vs a quarterback in Eli Manning that hasn't played in three months and hasn't defeated them in three years.Manning is 10-20 SU against Philadelphia in his career and the Eagles have now won 9 of the L/10 meetings overall, and are 8-1 ATS L/9 on Mondays at home vs division opposition. The Eagles are not only in need of a win here but they are in redemption mode for a embarrassing 37-31 loss to Miami last time out, despite of previously holding opponents to 17 points or less in four straight games and allowing fewer than 225 yards passing in five consecutive games. Falling asleep at the proverbial wheel vs a side that they should have handily beaten was almost unforgivable and the entire Eagles team should be motivated in this national spot light affair. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 61 h 2 m | Show | |
The Seahawks are off. s hard fought win vs Minnesota this past Monday night and are currently the No. 2 overall seed in the NFC .and garnering alot public support thanks to recency bias Meanwhile, the LA Rams look to now awoken from their mid season slumber behind the reenergized QB Jared Goff who threw for 424 yards in last week’s 34-7 beat down at Arizona in which the Rams tough D held the Cardinals to a season-low 198 yards of offense. I know the Rams have not looked particularly consistent this season but the numbers tell a different story as they have won the stats battles in 10 of their L/12 games this season. When these lines opened over the summer the books posted the Rams as 7.5 point chalk, and now with the line divergence this big their is obvious value with the Rams here playing at home vs a Seattle side that will have issues bringing the same energy to this game as they did vs the Vikings last week. LA RAMS are 6-0 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road favorites (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game, after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game are 82-135 ATS L/36 seasons for a long term go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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12-08-19 | Titans v. Raiders +3 | 42-21 | Loss | -120 | 79 h 41 m | Show | |
Tennessee took part in a hard fought affair last week against Indianapolis which resulted in a away win thanks to a great forth quarter . However, the Titans are being a little over rated because of recency bias, as is evident by having lost 8 of 12 stats battles and have given up season- high yards in two of its last three games . With that said, Tennessee looks vulnerable here in what looks a classic letdown situation on the road. Which coincindently their second straight road game and never an easy situation for any NFL team . I know the Raiders after 3 straight wins have looked bad in two straight losses , but they are better team than those down efforts and Im betting on a bounce back work order today vs a over rated side. Tennessee as a non-division favorite of more than 2 points, are 0-10-1 ATS l/11 against opponents coming off a loss. NFL team (OAKLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 34-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rates. Play on Oakland to cover |
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12-08-19 | Chargers v. Jaguars +3 | 45-10 | Loss | -100 | 80 h 19 m | Show | |
The Chargers and the Jaguars are both having seasons to forget, and both enter this game desperate for a win. The Chargers are off a loss to the Denver Broncos and the Jags are off a ugly DD loss to the TB Bucs by a 28-11 count. Free agent QB Nick Foles just can't get it done, for the Jags, and young QB Minshew is expected to start. It must be noted that the Jags incumbent QB is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in his NFL career against opponents coming off a loss like the Bolts. My projections estimate that Jacksonville plays better with their young gun under center and have more flow to their games, and with hom expected to start there is value taking points. The Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS L/10 as a favorite. NFL Favorites (LA CHARGERS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 9-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - average rushing team (95-125 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G), after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game are 47-20 L/36 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2 | 48-46 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 34 m | Show | |
Its Jimmy G vs Drew Bree's this Sunday in the Bayou. I know the public loves the 49ers a team that moved into the upper echelons of the NFL, but the Saints have thrived in this spot in the past and are 13-1 SU and 14-0 ATS L/14 record at home versus .800- plus opposition. My own projections make the Saints the superior side as hosts and they get my support in this spot. NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off 3 straight wins against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 27-1 SU L/ 36 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg. NFL Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans Saints to cover |
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12-08-19 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 47.5 | 20-40 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
These teams offences have really slowed down a lot of late, with Atlanta averaging 20.4 ppg in their L/ 6 trips to the gridiron, and their opponents the Panthers averaging just 19 ppg in their L/6 overall tilts. In their most recent five meetings the average combined score clicks in a 38 ppg. Im betting on a real offensive sleeper again this Sunday when these teams meet. CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. after 8+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 8-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CAROLINA) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in December games are 44-15 UNDER L.5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-08-19 | Colts +3.5 v. Bucs | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is off a 31-17 loss to the Titans last week which most believe will have them in a letdown spot this Sunday, but Im betting on the opposite reaction via a tough as nails group that will want redemption immediately. Note: The Colts are 14-0 ATS L/14 when they are off a double-digit ATS loss and they are facing a non-divisional opponent that has forced an average of fewer than five turnovers per game like the Buccaneers. The recency bias of Buccaneers win vs Jacksonville last week, and the Colts loss has a bad line attached to this tilt. In my betting opinion this inconsistent Buccaneers team is being over rated in a big way. INDIANAPOLIS is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons TAMPA BAY is 4-14 L/18 ATS against AFC South division opponents . The Colts are 6-1 SU L/7 overall in this series and 3-1 SUL/4 visits to TB. NFL Home favorites (TAMPA BAY) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season are 8-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State OVER 56 | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 79 h 24 m | Show | |
BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - LUCAS OIL STADIUM - INDIANAPOLIS, IN Ohio State (12-0, 9-0 Big Ten) leads the nation in points per game (49.9) and there maybe only one other team in the nation that can slow down this incredible offensive juggernaut and Wisconsin is not that team. With that said, I look for Wisconsin to try to reply with as much fire power through the air as they can muster, because running against one of the nations nastiest front 7 is a night mare, as was the case for star Badgers running back Jonathan Taylor in two previous encounters vs the Buckeyes including one this season when they lost 38-7. No way I can see them repeating that mistake as their only chance at victory is moving the ball downfield via their aerial attack, which in turn will open this game up and easily help it eclipse this total. OHIO ST is 11-2 OVER in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 67.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson OVER 55 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 58 h 8 m | Show | |
ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM - CHARLOTTE, NC Clemson Im betting will do their part here today, behind an explosive offence that averages 45.2 ppg.On the flip side, I know Clemson has allowed only six touchdown passes all season but what is important here in factoring in Virginias offensive production is that the Tigers have not faced a dual threat quite like UVA senior quarterback Bryce Perkins, who leads the ACC and ranks 13th nationally in total offense (3,636 yards). He was responsible for 475 of the Cavaliers' 492 yards against the Hokies when he played them, and has the ability to make Clemsons D work harder than usual. Note: CLEMSON in their L/14 tilts vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons have scored average of 44.6 ppg. Meanwhile CLEMSON L/140 games when they score 28 or more points have seen a combined average of 60 ppg go on the board. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 25-7 OVER L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -9 | 24-29 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
AMERICAN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME The Tigers closed -14 against Cincinnati in their meeting last week, and despite of not covering looked like the far superior side. Now on a single digit line their is value with the favorite in the rematch. I know quarterback Desmond Ridder is back for the Bearcats but he was highly erratic in recent starts and is still dealing with a shoulder injury that is less than 100% healed. I must also be noted that Cincinnati has lost the stats battles in 8 of their 12 games this season , including 1-7 ITS the last eight overall tilts and over rated in my humble opinion at this juncture of the season. Note: MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS L/12 in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-07-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma OVER 63.5 | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 36 m | Show | |
BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T STADIUM - ARLINGTON, TX No. 6 Oklahoma (11-1, 8-1 in Big 12 play) and No. 7 Baylor (11-1, 8-1) will square off for all the marbles on Saturday afternoon at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas in a game I have pegged to be all out offensive rodeo affair. I know Baylor is a top tier defensive side, but the Sooners can score on any team with a rapid fire run and gun offence that features the Big 12's top scoring offense (44.3 points per game; No. 5 nationally) The Sooners also rank first in the country in total offense (564.3 yards per game). To beat the Sooners Baylor is thus going to have to open up and respond with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the field. The Bears can do that vs a Sooner D, that ha shown some weaknesses this season, as was the case vs Iowa State allowing 41 points and Kstate allowing 48 points in their game against Baylor 31 points in a game that saw 65 totals points scored. OKLAHOMA is 6-0 OVER after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 85.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-07-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -8.5 | 23-30 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
When these teams met earlier this season in Waco the Bears built a 28-3 lead against the Sooners, but blew that lead as the Sooners woke up and won 34-31. Now in this championship game Oklahoma will be fully focused and be ready for this tilt and will be prepared for a fast start and keep the pedal to the proverbial metal from start to finish. The Sooners football program owns a 9-1 record and 8-2 ATS mark in big 12 championship games.The favorite is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS the last nine tilts in this event. Also recently the Sooners are 11-2 ATS as single-digit chalk. The Sooners also have the motivation of getting the final and 4th spot in the college football play off, but their victory has to be convincing to beat out a impressive Utah side and will be merciless here if up. CFB team (BAYLOR) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 37-78 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 68% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma Sooners to cover |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette +6.5 v. Appalachian State | 38-45 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
Billy Napier, UL Lafayette is a highly under rated team and from a bettors perspective an ATN machine cashing 18 of 25 times for a 72 % conversion rate for bettors. I know App State is nationally ranked side, but when these teams played earlier this season the Cajuns stayed with them almost every step of the way and the 17-7 , 10 point margin of victory for the Mountaineers was a little misleading. Since that above mentioned loss to App State , the Cajuns have reeled off 6 straight wins and must not be underestimated in their ability to cash a ticket for us today on what is now a bloated line according to my projections. LA LAFAYETTE is 10-1 ATS after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games which was the case last time out vs UL Monroe. APPALACHIAN ST is 4-14 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (LA LAFAYETTE) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 6 m | Show | |
Dallas is. strange team, as they are only 6-6 on the season, but rank high in both offence and defensive numbers, and have out-gained all their opponents but one this season. This team just does not know how to win consistently and can't be trusted to come out here and perform at a high level as road chalk vs a Bears team finally starting to up trend with 3 wins in their L/4 games. Value resides with the home dog. Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.Cowboys are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 14. Garrett is 8-18 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game as the coach of DALLAS. Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 9-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |