Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-04-22 | Florida State +3 v. LSU | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 81 h 56 m | Show | |
The Brian Kelly era at LSU Im betting will be a difficult one for him in this ‘neutral field’ opening event at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans vs a Florida State program that looks ready to right the ship . Off course the media is all over LSU and how potent they will be this season . However hold your horses folks as FSU head coach Mike Norvell showed momentum late last season as the Seminoles won five of their last eight games,. It was to little to late, but now Im betting on bigger and better things for FSU. With QB Jordan Travis, the Louisville transfer, registering a 148.9 Passer rating last season, and back to back 1,000 yards rushing campaigns this more experienced FSU crew has an anchor. Note: LSU HC Kelly is 0-3 ATS in season openers the last three years . Meanwhile, : Norvell is 7-0 ATS the last seven tilts vs non conference opposition. Florida State 5-1 ATS L/6 a non conference favs of 8 points or less. Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-03-22 | SMU v. North Texas +12 | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 42 m | Show | |
North Texas is off a win in their opening game of the season vs UTEP and once again deserve respect vs a SMU team playing without HC Sonny Dykes who went over to coach TCU. This N.Texas team this season returns eight starters on offense, while featuring and a under rated D that improved vastly last season compared to the previous season . The Mean Green are ranked No. 21 overall in Returning Production and deserve respect getting this many points. With this being a revenge situation for N.Texas after suffering losses in this series in three straight seasons Im betting on a motivated effort from the home dog. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NORTH TEXAS is 10-2 ATS in home games off a double digit road win since 1992.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.Littrell is 6-0 ATS in home games off a road win against a conference rival as the coach of NORTH TEXAS. Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Mean Green are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. North Texas to cover |
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09-03-22 | Utah v. Florida +3 | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 57 m | Show | |
New Head coach Billy Napier is a top tier coach and Im betting he actually gets the most out of the rebuild with the Gators and talent he has on the field this season thanks to a strong coaching staff he brought over from Louisiana . I know he will face PAC 12 Champs Utah, but according to early season power rankings this SEC home side will be very competitive and the linesmakers agree with me. Note: Utah in one-score tilts the L/5 seasons, are just 1-6 SU on the road and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 as non-conference favorites the last four campaigns. Meanwhile, the Gators are 3-0 ATS run as a home pup, and have covered their L/3 gridiron battles vs Pac-12 sides . Add to that Billy Napier is 7-1 SU/ATS as a dog of 5 or less points and you have what I am recommending as a solid take option getting points. Play on Florida to cover |
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09-03-22 | Troy +21.5 v. Ole Miss | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 36 m | Show | |
Miss HC Lane Kiffin might take a few games to get rolling as he has lost some key production from last year, so a blowout may not come as easily as this line suggests. Here today against a 18 returning starter the Bulldogs may find themselves in a closer tilt than anticipated. Note: Kiffin has failed to cover 7 of his L/10 as a non conference chalk of 20 or more points. ’17 returning starter ’pups in their season openers , are 113-84-3 ATS L/.198 opportunities . Play on Troy to cover |
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09-03-22 | Bowling Green +23.5 v. UCLA | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
The UCLA Bruins had a decent campaign last season, but Im betting they are over rated despite of some top tier offensive talent returning .According to my projections the Bruins are getting just a bit to much respect here today against MAC opponents Bowling Green.. The Falcons may not inspire bettors but with the amount of experience they have thanks to playing so many under class-man last season they become dangerous underdogs. Bowling Green coming into this season as the countries 6th ranked team in Returning Production experience, and also rank No. 3 in returning offensive production. . Note: UCLAs HC Chip Kelly is a perennial slow starter losing 5 of his first 8 openers SU and for me is fade material against a under rated opponent. Bruins are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games. Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on the Bowling Green Falcons to cover |
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09-03-22 | North Carolina v. Appalachian State +1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
North Carolina did not look good in their opener vs a lower tier side and were up just 21-14 with 5 seconds remaining in the first half despite of Florida A&M having 25 ineligible players sidelined. They did win 56-24 but I was very unimpressed. North Carolina barely made it to a Bowl game last season, and looked horrendous in a 38- 21 defeat as 13-point favs vs South Carolina With key personnel now gone Mack Brown just does not look like he has a solid base for a team to suddenly begin to put wins on the board, especially here on the road against a Appalachian State program that has garnered a 11-1 SU at home record the last 3 seasons and a eye popping 32-3 SU record at home in their L/35 attempts and 21-3 ITS at home the last 4 seasons. Brown is 1-10 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs as the coach of N CAROLINA.Brown is 9-26 ATS after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on App state to cover |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado +14 | 38-13 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU opens without head coach Gary Patterson for the first time in 20 seasons. Hes gone and and a new era begins at TCU. Sonny Dykes, an so called offensive guru with a lack of respect for putting together decent defenses takes over ( At SMU he allowed an average of 430 YPG in four seasons . Thats not a good look for a Horned Frogs side that ranked 122nd against the run via 222 RYPG. Dykes is favored here by to many points despite of Colorados recent lack of success. Note: Dykes has failed to cover 17 of his L/25 as a road favorite , and 3-16 ATS the L/19 trips to the gridiron. Playing in the High altitudes is not an easy proposition for visiting sides, and Im betting the Buffs who are acclimated to the thin air make life difficult for TCU . TCU is 2-9 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Colorado to cover |
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09-02-22 | Virginia Tech v. Old Dominion +7 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
VTechs new HC Pry and Old Dominions HC Ricky Rahne, served under James Franklin at both Vanderbilt and Penn State, where they were dueling coordinators. Needless to say they know each other well and competitiveness should be on this agenda. Its also interesting to note that the last time Old Dominion played hosts to a Power 5 program was back in 2018 . That game saw the Monarchs take out the Hokies by 49-35 count as 29-point home underdogs. With 17 starters back, including 10 on offense, plus an array of transfers from Power 5 schools Old Dominion Im betting will be more competitive than the pundits might think vs a Virginia Tech squad that was just 6-7 last season and still trying to gauge how to win regularly. NCAAF Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLD DOMINION) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 58% or better, in non-conference games are 83-42 ATS L/30 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Old Dominion to cover |
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09-01-22 | West Virginia +7.5 v. Pittsburgh | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
HC Browns needs to get his team off on the proverbial right foot here tonight as West Virginia starts this season on the road vs a Pittsburgh side that finds itself starting this campaign without NFL draftee QB Kenny Pickett and top tier WR Jordan Addison who took the transfer portal option and went out to USC. Im betting QB Daniels who previously was under center at USC and Georgia will have an advantage here today and get us the cover and possible outright victory. West Virginia is 9-3 SU/ATS and including 5-1 SUATS as underdogs. Meanwhile, Pitt has recorded a 1-6 SU L/7 record against Big 12 opponents. Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in September.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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08-27-22 | Charlotte +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 13-43 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
Charlotte brings back some experience from last season -ranking 19th in the nation in returning experience. Considering Charlotte has revenge on board for a humiliating loss last year to the Owls you can bet this group will primed for payback . With that said Im betting on QB Chris Reynolds and his experienced offensive group to stay in this game against FAU and possibly win the tilt outright. FLA ATLANTIC is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points . FLA ATLANTIC is 7-18 ATS L/25 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. NCAAF Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (CHARLOTTE) - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first two weeks of the season are 41-15 ATS L/30 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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08-27-22 | Wyoming v. Illinois -10 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 104 h 32 m | Show | |
Wyoming returns just 4 starers on each side of the ball and is expected to have a sub par season in the Mountain West Conference. Note: Wyoming ranks 129 out of 131 teams in terms of returning production. Meanwhile, Illinois is up trending- behind HC Bret Bielema who has 13 starters back in Champaign. I know the Illini did not have a strong season last year, but Im betting they start this season off with a big bang effort behind new OC Barry Lunney Jr. who comes over with his successes from UTSA. Bielema is 13-0 SU in home openers in his college head-coaching career. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten. Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Play on Illinois to cover |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
Game to played on a neutral Field in Dublin, Ireland . Nebraska's Scott Frost returns 12 starters from a 3-9 SU team from last season and are being vastly over rated against a Northwestern side that had a atrocious season in 2021. Meanwhile, the Wildcats bring back 14 starters, and will be primed and very motivated to stay competitive after last seasons nasty 56-7 beatdown at the hands of the Corn huskers. Cornhuskers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 272 h 44 m | Show | |
The Bengals have covered seven straight games entering this Super Bowl game vs the LA Rams. Key Bengals component QB Joe Burrow is 12-4 ATS vs. above .500 opponents, making him the most profitable QB in NFL since he was drafted No. 1 overall in 2020. This kid is as cold as ice, and is not intimidated by the spot light of big games , as the Heisman Trophy winner has a CFB national championship under his belt and key NFL play off victories . Burrows is (13-2-1 ATS in his NFL career as +2.5 dog or more points) Bengals HC Taylor is 12-7 SUATS in games when the Bengals own a .500 or greater record, including 6-1 ATS as an away dog. NFL Super Bowl teams like the Bengals coming off a win as an underdog of more than three points are 11-3-1 ATS dating back 42 seasons. Cincinnati has taken on 9 playoff squads this season, going 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS. Teams like the Bengals with the lower win percentage are 11-4 SU and 14-1 ATS in the last 15 Super Bowls . From a overall perspective my data suggests that this game could easily be won by a FG or less, but when the money is down, Ill key on Burrows as the savior and ultimate profit maker for us today. The Rams QB Matthew Stafford entered this season 23-57 (28.85) SU in his career vs. teams above .500 and even though he is at home, is not a viable favorite according to my projections considering his streaky history. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 108 h 2 m | Show | |
The 49ers enter this game matching up very well vs their hosts the L A Rams as HC Sean McVay has 6 straight win this this series and obviously knows how to get the job done vs Shanahan and company. Note: SF QB Garappolo is 12-2 ATS as a dog of less than five points in his career and despite of average numbers in the play offs remains a dangerous QB who at any time could explode for a big day. I know Rams QB Stafford has looked tremendous for the Rams in the post season, but hes a very streaky player, and here against a strong SF D that in its best form the of the season, the sledding could get very rough. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS in January games over the last 3 seasons. 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (18-23 PPG) after 8 or more games, after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points are 31-9 ATS L/39 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 55 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 40 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Championship The KC Chiefs exploded offensively in a a back in forth game against the Buffalo Bills last week pulling off the over time win. Now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown spot vs the visiting Bengals and their offense could easily be a little more muted this Saturday which Im betting will directly effect this total to the under. CINCINNATI is 24-8 L/32 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season with a combined average of 36.2 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-1 L/16 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 39.9 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 38-20 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 with the average ppg with a combined average of 40.2 ppg scored. NFL eam where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs -1.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 73 h 54 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Divisional These two top tier teams, go head to head in the play offs and Im betting the difference maker will be home field advantage. The Chiefs knocked off the Bills in last years play offs and despite of the Bills getting revenge earlier this season still matchup very well here according to my power rankings. Note:KC QB Murray is 7-2 in his play off history, with both losses vs the king Tom Brady. Bills are 3-0 at home and 0-3 away in the playoffs under Sean McDermott. BUFFALO is 3-13 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive wins. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KANSAS CITY) - off 5 or more consecutive overs, excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game are 26-6 ATS L/39 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFL road team in the Divisional Round of the playoffs coming off a victory of 25-plus points (Buffalo) if going against a .750 or less opponent (KC) are just 0-7 ATS dating back 42 seasons. .Play on the KC Chiefs to cover |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 15 m | Show | |
NFC Playoffs - Divisional TB super star and king of the NFL QB Tom Brady is 0-2 just SUATS vs the Rams while he has been with the Bucs with both defeats coming as a favorite. It's never an easy decision to play against Brady but I feel we have an edge taking points with a Rams side that slowly pushed itself in top form as the season progressed. Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. NFL Road teams (LA RAMS) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (>=370 YPG) after 8+ games, after out-gaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 34-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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01-22-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Titans | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 16 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Divisional Bengals second-year quarterback Joe Burrow is the real deal . He set a franchise record in passing yards (4,611) and touchdown passes (34) this season while completing an NFL-best 70.4 percent of his attempts. I know the return of Titans star RB Derrick Henry is expected , but he will have a ton of rust on him and he is possibly still not 100%. It being touted that burrows does not have NFL play off experience, but he proved the naysayers wrong last week, and its not like he has not completed for championships before , so I doubt very much he will be intimidated. Advantage Bengals getting points. Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.Bengals are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.CINCINNATI is 12-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff home games. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TENNESSEE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 13-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on the Cincinnati to cover |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -3 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
NFC Playoffs - Wild Card I was not going to touch this one, but when the line got down to a FG I had to bite on what Im betting is the better team playing at home. First off Murray does not look 100% , and while Stafford is probably also not in great shape overall, because of the some of the punishment he took hes in a better portion to succeed tonight as he does not need to consistently scramble to make plays. The Rams have won and covered 5 of the L/6 meetings and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation tonight. ( Rams are also 8-1-1 ATS L/10 in this series) Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.Kingsbury is 4-13 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season as the coach of ARIZONA. LA RAMS are 25-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFLUnderdogs of +140 to +325 vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, when playing on Monday night are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.4 which qualifies on this ATS line. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
For the most part Ben Rothlisberger had a great career but now father time has caught up with him, and their does not look to be much left in the tank . With that said, Im betting he and the Steelers have problems today on offense against a under rated KC defense. The Steelers because of their obvious offensive short comings will be prepared to play a grinding game that will concentrate on short passes and their running game which will eat clock time. On the flipsdie the Steelers D, after some ugly efforts pulled themselves together lately allowing 3 of their L/4 opponents no more than 13 points, and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the Chiefs , especially on what is expected to be a windy cold night in KC this Sunday. PITTSBURGH is 29-12 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 14-3 UNDER L/17 as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points with the average combined score clicking in at 34.4 ppg. NFL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 53-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY/PITTSBURGH) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 52-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 29 m | Show | |
NFC Playoffs - Wild Card The Cowboys explosive offense goes against a staunch defense ranked second in the league against the rush and fifth in the league in sacks with 48. On the flip side the 49ers, have won 8 of their L/10 overall and must also not be underestimated from a offensive perspective behind Jimmy Garoppolo and have an overall edge here according to my projections. DALLAS is 1-8 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 3-10 SU/ATS in the playoffs dating back 25 seasons , including 1-6 ATS as a favorite. DALLAS is 14-34 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games . NFL Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams (370 or more YPG) after 8+ games, after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (DALLAS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 50 or more yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 23-52 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bills beat up on the Pats towards the end of the season, but that was a learning experience for Mac Jones and company, and with a future HOF coach like Bellichick on the sidelines Im confident positive adjustments can be made. We have to remember prior to that the Pats took a 14-10 win on the road in Buffalo on Dec 16th where the franchise is 15-3 ATS L/18 visits. Note: NEW ENGLAND L/109 games as a road underdog and have seen the average ppg diff click in at -1.7. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick (NEW ENGLAND) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 31-8 ATS L/39 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NEW ENGLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Road team is 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 meetings.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New England Pats to cover |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Wild Card Entering this game the Vegas D has allowed 20 points or less 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. In their season finale the Raiders did have a defensive breakdown, allowing 32 points in a 35-32 slugfest victory, but from a historical perspective the Raiders have clamped down in their following game especially if was a shootout, as is evident by the following trends. Note:Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games following a straight up win.LAS VEGAS is 36-20 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game with a combined score of 42.4 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS in their L/13 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog have seen a combined average 42.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Joe Burrows and company are a virgin group with no big league play off experience, and this will be detrimental to them and their offensive cohesiveness. Despite of the accolades that Burrows gets there have been obvious interruptions their flow on offense and Im betting that will once again be an issue. Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 Wildcard games.Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 playoff games.Under is 8-1 in Bengals last 9 games in January. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CINCINNATI) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 42-14 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (VEGAS /CINCINNATI) - in the Wild Card round of the playoffs are 55-22 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
CFP Championship Game - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN I know it's never an easy decision to bet against Alabama , but I feel strongly this is Georgias time. The Bulldogs were head and shoulders the best team in College Football this season . Yes, they did lose to Saban and company allowing 30.4 ppg more than theyre season average But now with that loss out of the way Im betting Georgia will feel the need to be more aggressive with Alabama rather than show them to much respect , which was part of the reason they lost last time they played. Note: GEORGIA is 20-8 ATSL/28 in road games revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite. GEORGIA is 52-33 ATS L/85 in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. Saban is 7-19 ATS L/26 vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of ALABAMA. CFB team (GEORGIA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 51-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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01-09-22 | 49ers +4.5 v. Rams | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
The Rams QB Stafford is not seeing the field well as was evident last week when the threw another pick-six , and now has seven turnovers in the last three trips to the gridiron . Stafford is infamously streaky and his form is not where it should be entering this game against the SF 49ers. . Meanwhile, the Niners who have won the stats battles in 7 of their L/8 overall have urgency attached to this affair and will be very motivated to snatch a SU win as a victory or a loss by the Saints, will get them a post season wild card position . From a matchup perspective the Niners took out Los Angeles, 31-10, as a 3.5-point home underdog back in November, and have been a ATS machine for their backers after they covered the L/3 meetings in this series. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 24-3 L/39 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA RAMS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-38 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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01-09-22 | Washington Football Team v. Giants +7 | 22-7 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Both these teams are done for the season, after today, and Im betting we wont see alot of motivation other than the revenge scenario the Gemn have for a 1 point loss they suffered to the Football team back in Sept. What I do expect is for both coaches to try to find a way to finish their season with some positives, via some slight structural renovations to their systems. In this type of affair, taking points with a home dog is a strong wagering opportunity . Note: NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in home games revenging an extremely close loss against opponent by 3 points or less. Football Team are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Football Team are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - slow starting team - outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 1160-96 L/39 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they forced no turnovers are 26-56 ATS L/10 seasons for last 10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 34 m | Show | |
With so many players injured and the additional woes of covid protocols and the possibility of both teams resting starters at some point during this game, I dont feel their will be enough positive flow for a big offensive output here tonight between these foes. I honestly believe that no matter what these coaches say staying healthy for the play offs is the main goal, which to me relates to an affair with very little cohesiveness. Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games in January. Philadelphia is 0-6 UNDER off a division road game victory. Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games as a road favorite.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC. Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dallas road games have seen a combined average of 42.9 ppg this season. Note: The Cowboys are 0-6 L/6 division road tilts. DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 32.3 ppg scored. McCarthy is 8-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 38.2 ppg scored.McCarthy is 9-2 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of DALLAS with a combined average of 39.2 ppg scored. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia with the average combined score in those tilts clicking in at 30.2 ppg. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - good rushing team (4.5 or more YPR) against an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) after 8+ games, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 85-54 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-08-22 | Montana State v. North Dakota State -7 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
North Dakota State has a 47-6 record in true road games since 2011, and that record is 57-6 including 10 neutral site games over the same span. NDSU has a 40-3 record in the FCS playoffs. North Dakota State has won a record eight FCS national championships and is making a record ninth appearance in the title game. The Bison are 13-2 overall in playoff title games with the only losses coming in the Division II championships in 1981 to Texas State (42-13) and 1984 to Troy (18-17). Needless to say this storied FCS program knows how to win. Key today vs Montana State: North Dakota State has the No. 3 rushing offense in FCS averaging 273.6 yards per game. NDSU has seven backs averaging better than 5.0 yards per carry, and the team's 6.13 yards per carry is fifth best in school history and nothing will change here today in what Im betting will be a over powering performance vs a strong MSU D that is vulnerable to big gain on the ground vs this type of opposition . North Dakota State crushed Montana State in the 2018 and 2019 playoffs : The Bison took a 38-3 halftime lead in the 2018 second round and cruised, 52-10, then smashed them again to a 29-7 halftime lead in the 2019 semis before rolling 42-14. This might be a better version of Montana state but they still are in my opinion DD dogs despite of the line. Montana State averaged just 19 points per game over its final five regular-season contests, but in the play offs came alive under a backup QB Mellott, but after a 3 week lay off cohesiveness will be a problem vs this type of D. North Dakota State to cover |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State OVER 47 | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Texas Bowl - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX LSU is decimated by injuries, especially on defense and the secondary and Im betting the Cats open up a little more than their MO usually dictates and this will relate to a faster pace than usual and more scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, LSU despite of their offensive problems down the stretch are still a SEC side with explosive output capabilities behind 4 star recruits who would love to show case their talents for next seasons opportunity to start . With that said, Im betting on a higher scoring affair than many of the pundits estimate. Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. Big 12.Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 neutral site games.Over is 9-3-1 in Tigers last 13 non-conference games. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (KANSAS ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 31-6 L/29 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | 14-26 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Cleveland is off two very close losses by 2 points each time and are desperate for a victory and despite of now being eliminated from the playoffs but are still a side that needs to finish strongly and play spoilers . Meanwhile, Pittsburgh was crushed by the Chiefs last time out , but still can win the AFC North. Needless to say this is a big game for the Steelers but because of their ineptness this will be a grinding affair with getting points in my opinion being golden. Browns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in January. Note: the Steelers have now been held without a TD in the first half of 5 consecutive games and these slow starts are a game killers and Im betting it could easily rare its ugly head again tonight. Plus I cant help but feel Steelers QB Ben Rothlisberger is not longer a top tier pivot as father time remains undefeated. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Steelers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.Steelers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NFL Underdogs on the opening l vs. the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a road loss, when playing on Monday night are 1-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. are 27-6 ATS L/29 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play in Cleveland to cover |
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01-02-22 | Lions +7 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
The Seahawks are not going to play offs, and will now be in a emotional down situation here this week vs a rejuvenated Detroit side that will motivated to finish their season on a strong note. Note: Seattle probably does not deserve a play off spot anyway, considering they have lost the stats battles in 12 of 15 games. this seasons ,by an average -82 net ypg. Seattle is 0-5 ATS in their last five battles against the NFC North. The Lions are 5-1 ATS record in NFC West game and have covered four straight vs NFC. Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SEATTLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 15-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
Since star RB Derrick Henry went on the IR the Titans have been in a bit of nose dive, and until he returns things wont get much better including today against a up trending Dolphins side that is on a 7 game win streak. Note : NFL sides on a 7 game win streak, are on a 12-1 ATS run when coming off a non-division victory. (Miami beat NO last week 20-3). Tennessee has had problems scoring since Henry went down, and recently during a 5 game run have averaged just 15.8 ppg in offense. On the flipside the Fins have allowed just one side more than 17 points in their L/7 games overall. MIAMI is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE is 20-35 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. NFL team vs the money line (TENNESSEE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-02-22 | Jaguars +17 v. Patriots | 10-50 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
The Jags are on a 7 game losing streak and have failed to cover 6 straight times, but here I am recommending we take the points . This offering from a mathematical standpoint according to my projections is a almost a full FG off , giving us value taking points. Last week the Pats got a reality check against the Bills in a loss and QB Mac Jones showed his relative immaturity in that loss. Desperation and some sort of redemption for this Jaguars side Im betting has them leaving everything on the field this Sunday. Jaguars have covered 3 of their L/4 as 13 or more points pups dating back to last season. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. NFL Road underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover |
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01-01-22 | Baylor +1.5 v. Ole Miss | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Sugar Bowl - Ceasars Superdome - New Orleans, LA Baylor's is a top tier two way side, controlling the ball for 31:37 per game and that will be the difference maker here today vs Ole Miss. BAYLOR is 9-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. SEC teams are 3-6 ATS in the last nine Sugar Bowls. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -4 | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA Ohio State has something to prove here after being defeated by Michigan to end their season. Im betting we see them at their best here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Utah Utes side. I know some key players will be out for Ohio State as they prepare for the NFL draft but their replacements are top tier recruits and will be out to show off their abilities. OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. (Lost to Michigan 42-27 to end their season) OHIO ST is 29-13 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) are 48-81 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate. Ohio State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Kentucky -3 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Citrus Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL The Hawkeyes and Wildcats use their ground attacks as their no1 option to move the chains and both play strong defense . Both are patient and can force mistakes. Both play similar styles but Im betting the Wildcats are the superior side. KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bowl teams that scored 3 or less points in their last game are 1-11 ATS L/12 opportunities. (Iowa lost 42-3 to Michigan to end their season) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IOWA) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 ppg which qualifies on this offered ATS line. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State +1 v. Notre Dame | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ The Cowboys were in my humble opinion the most under rated team in the nation this season, behind a top tier D, and explosive offense . The Cowboys were also 5-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and must be respected here away from home vs a Notre Dame side that will be without their top RB Kyren Williams and their best defensive player DB Kyle Hamilton . Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an underdog. Cowboys are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. NOTRE DAME is 14-33 ATS L/47 versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame OVER 45.5 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ Both these sides have strong defenses, but the offenses are being under rated in a game that could easily be a back and forth affair. My own projections estimate a combined score of closer to 50 giving us value with an over wager. Over is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games on grass. Gundy is 22-11 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST with a combined average of 69 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 30-5 OVER L/29 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (NOTRE DAME) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), in non-conference games are 50-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas v. Penn State +2.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Early on this season, the Lions looked like Big 10 Contenders , but some close loses to top tier competition looked to take the wind out of them down the stretch. Im now betting we see Penn State back in top form . I know Arkansas looked strong down the stretch but their defense remains vulnerable and could easily be their Achilles heel in this Bowl tilt. Razorbacks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. PENN ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return . PENN ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Franklin is 8-1 ATS after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of PENN ST. .Nittany Lions are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-22 L/10 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | 34-11 | Win | 101 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia is the best team in the nation, and deserve to be 10 point favs according to my projections. I know Michigan has had a fine season, but this is a special SEC group of Bulldogs and they deserve the ultimate respect. I know anything can happen in one game, and upsets are possible but 99 out 100 times this Georgia team comes out with a conclusive victory according to my projections. Miracles are beautiful things to behold, but Im betting today wont bring any Sister Lucia like enlightenment to the Orange Bowl. Note: SEC Bowl favorites are 9-3 ATS L/12 versus the Big Ten. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia to cover |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl Classic - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oh boy here I go Im going to bet against Nick Saban's Alabama. Im not only feeling brave, but confident. I know old Nick has a reputation as virtually unbeatable, but this is a big spread and the advantage must go to an undefeated side that has proven itself consistently against top tier opposition covering their L/7 vs above .900 opposition like Alabama. The Bearcats were also 7-0 ATS against above.500 foes this season. Bottom line: Cincinnatis D is very strong, even when considering this type of explosive offensive opposition. Note: The Bearcats own the No. 1 Team Passing Efficiency Defense, and rank No. 3 in the nation in Red Zone Defense. This Im betting keeps them competitive enough to get us the cover. CINCINNATI is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-31-21 | Central Michigan +7 v. Washington State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX Im a fan of Central Michigan head coach Jim McElwain, who has a money making 12-5 SUATS coming off a bye including 7-1 ATS run when coming off a victory. He has really put together a tough and explosive group together here with the Chips and deserves respect for his work and what is top tier preparation levels. They enter this game on a 4-0 SU/ATS run while averaging 41 points per game and Im betting will hang with their PAC 10 OPPONENTS . Pac-12’s sides like Washington State are 1-23 ATS in bowl games against opposition coming off a win . C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS after a bye week over the last 3 seasons CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 39-20 ATS L/5 seasons for 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-31-21 | Rutgers v. Wake Forest OVER 61.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Gator Bowl - TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL Wake forest is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the nation averaging 41.2 ppg while on defense in road games allowed an average of 38.7 ppg. Meanwhile, Rutgers despite of their overall numbers have shown some offensive flashes of brilliance scoring 38 points on Indiana a month ago and are capable of putting points on the board in this type of non conference game. You cannot properly prepare for a team like Wake Forest on short notice especially from a defensive standpoint, which has me believing that the Demon Deacons will bring down the hammer here in a big way, while Rutgers will have no choice but to open up offensively against a D that is pedestrian to say the least. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 OVER after a bye week over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 86.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
The Badgers looked strong down the stretch winning 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here vs Arizona State tonight . I know ASU have been strong defensively, but the Badgers are from a conference with some hardcore top tier defenses, and wont be phased . With that said, I really feel the Badgers have an edge, on both sides of the ball. The Badgers have only failed to cover 1 of their L/7 postseason tilts . From a historical view: Vegas Bowl has seen the favorites, cash 7 of the L/10 times. Wisconsin has won 7 of their L/8 Bowl games SU. Note: [RB] 12/09/2021 - Rachaad White is OUT Thursday vs Wisconsin ( Personal ) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -3 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Pitt won’t have their super star QB Kenny Pickett tonight as he opts out to to prepare for the NFL draft while Michigan State won’t have their prize RB Kenneth Walker III in the lineup. But like I have said many times before RBs are easily replaced , while big time QBs are not easily replaced. Advantage Michigan State. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games. Big 10 have owned the ACC in bowl games, going 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Michigan State to cover |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma OVER 60.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
These two teams are explosive offensively and not so strong from a defensive standpoint. Oregon has averaged 31.4 ppg on offense this season while allowing 30.3 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has averaged 38.4 ppg on offense while allowing a average of 33.2 ppg on the road. With that said Im expecting a back and forth affair that should be highly entertaining and high scoring. Im projecting both sides score above the 28 point level - Note: OKLAHOMA is 9-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 77.8 ppg scored. OREGON is 9-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 69.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 vs. Pac-12. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OKLAHOMA OREGON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 32-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-29-21 | Iowa State v. Clemson UNDER 44.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Iowa States main mode of moving the ball has been through their super star RB Breece Hall who is out as he opts to skip this bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Cyclones will replace their RB but wont have nearly the success rate needed to get into position for scores which Im betting will mute their offensive output. Meanwhile, Clemson has had problems scoring all season long, but have shown that their D is of the top tier variety. Considering the above mentioned facts and scenarios a lower scoring affair should be expected. CLEMSON is 10-0 UNDER on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992. .Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 non-conference games.Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. Big 12. Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games in December. Under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 Bowl games. IOWA ST is 10-2 UNDER in a bowl game since 1992. Campbell is 10-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of IOWA ST. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (IOWA ST) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (IOWA ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force +1.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Air Force as we know are going to pound the the ball via the run behind an offense that averaged 341.4 YPG with their ground attack this season, and nothing will change today, vs a Louisville side that Im betting will have their hands full from the get go in this Bowl tilt. Note: Louisville ended their season on a down note getting pummeled 52-21 by Kentucky allowing 352 yards on the ground. LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games off a home loss by 14 or more points. AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season. Note:Neutral field underdogs (AIR FORCE) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games are 31-8 L/29 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOUISVILLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9--31 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn UNDER 51.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
Birmingham Bowl - Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL Houston was explosive this season offensively , but here against a SEC defense Im betting their offense will be muted. Remember this is a Tigers side that held Alabama to just 24 points. On the flip-side, the Auburn offense since Bo Nix went down, has been inconsistent and will have some issues here vs a Houston D that is allowing just 18.7 ppg in 9 games played on turf this season. AUBURN is 7-0 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 45.9 ppg. AUBURN is 6-0 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.1 ppg scored. Harsin is 18-2 UNDER (vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 45.4 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 45-19 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn -2 | 17-13 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Auburn gave a top tier Alabama team a decent battle losing by a 24-22 count to finish their season, and must be respected here against a Houston team that is talented but not of the same talent level as their SEC opponent . It will be the superior D, of the tigers that Im betting will be the difference maker. HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS L/12 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return . Houston from a historical level is just 0-4 SUATS in the last four bowl appearances,. Also the AAC is a ugly 0-13 ATS as bowl pup of 7 or less points. Holgorsen is 6-21 ATS after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.Holgorsen is 2-10 ATS n December games in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Auburn to cover |
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12-26-21 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has been highly inconsistent this season, and have scored 20 or less points in 5 of their L/8 trips to the gridiron. Here today vs a KC side that is playing at a very high level behind a strong D, Im expecting another muted offensive effort from the Steelers. It must be noted that before their last outing where they allowed 28 points, the Chiefs had given up 17, 7,14, 9, 9, 9 points respectively. On the flip-side, the Steelers achilles heal has been their rush defense, and today I expect Reid and company to pound the ball in anticipation of an expected success rate, which in turn will eat plenty of clock time and help the combined score stay on the low side of the total. Steelers have gone UNDER in 19 of their L/ 21 non-division away Tilts when the Total is set at 53 or less points. Under is 6-0-1 in Steelers last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. KANSAS CITY is 38-18 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with a combined average of 39.7 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play this season with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PITTSBURGH) - after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game are 90-44 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City. Play the UNDER |
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12-26-21 | Lions +6.5 v. Falcons | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
Jared Goff went 21-of-26 for 216 yards and three touchdowns in the Lions 30-12 win against the Arizona Cardinals last week as 13-point home underdog, which was the Lions 2nd victory in 3 games. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they once again stand tall against a Atlanta team that has not liked playing in their new digs , where they are 0-5 this season while averaging just 13.2 ppg in offense while allowing 28 ppg which clicks in at - 14.8 ppg diff. Nothing comes easy for the Falcons and if they break their home losing streak it wont come easily if at all which has me recommending we take the points here. ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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12-26-21 | Jaguars +2 v. Jets | 21-26 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
Ok Get ready this is a plug your nose special. Im betting the stench of the Urban Meyer experiment has cleared. With that said, Jacksonville will be ready to start a new chapter and in the short term at least show some motivational progress vs a Jets team that could also use some air freshener and a proverbial deep cleaning. Both these teams struggle to score, but the difference maker comes on defense where I feel the edge goes to the Jags . Note: Jacksonville is 8-0 ATS as a underdog against AFC East opposition , including 4-0 SUATS L/4. Jets are 3-10 ATS L/14 at home as 4 or less point home favs. NY JETS are 1-10 ATS L/10 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season. NY JETS are 0-7 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. NY JETS are 4-16 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog. NFL team vs the money line (NY JETS) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (NY JETS) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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12-25-21 | Colts +1 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season, the Cardinals are now just 3-4 SU/ATS L/7 and not in good form entering this tilt vs the under rated Colts. It seems ever since JJ Watt went down so did the chemistry of the Arizona defense. With some key injures on offense for the Cards ie( Hopkins), and a bruised and banged up QB Murray looking less than 100% the Colts look like a very viable option here behind star RB Johnathon Taylor. Im betting the Colts pound their way to a road win and continue their upward momentum after ending the Pats 7 game win streak last time out. Note: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Injury updates: Colts 3 of 5 starting offensive lineman will miss this game -Quinton Nelson (COVID list), Mark Glowinski (COVID list), and Ryan Kelly (personal)- which has moved this line . When handicapping this game 2 of these guys were part of my assessments . It must be noted that the replacements for the Colts are fresher, almost equally talented as the starters. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Reich is 11-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of INDIANAPOLIS. ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cardinals are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 2-37 L/38 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
Camellia Bowl - Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL Senior quarterback Drew Plitt Im betting will be the key for Ball State Cardinal on Christmas Day. He enters this game with a 124.9 quarterback rating while completing 60.5 % of his passes for 2,248 yards with 17 touchdowns . I know what perceptions are, but according to my cross conference power rankings Ball State matches up well vs Georgia State. BALL ST is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (BALL ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in December games are 19-7 SU L/29 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ball State to cover |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL Florida melted in the Heat of Gainesville this fall. HC Mullen and the core of his assistants is gone, and were they're betting backers worst nightmare going 0-6 ATS down the stretch. On the flip-side HC Malzahn is experienced going against SEC sides, like Florida when he was with Auburn, so he wont feel overwhelmed by this sub standard group of Gators. Note: Malzahn 13-2 SU L/15 vs above .500 or less SEC opposition , including 7-1 SUATS on the road and get my support here getting points. FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +2.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
This is like a defacto home game for North Texas as Denton is just down the highway from the Frisco Bowl( maybe in hr in traffic) With that said, the Mean Green enter this game with a lot of momentum as they finished their season on 6-0 SU/ATS run and must be respected here as what must be looked at as home underdogs. RedHawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.RedHawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. CUSA.RedHawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.NORTH TEXAS is 7-0 ATS after playing a conference game this season. Play on North Texas to cover |
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12-22-21 | Missouri +6.5 v. Army | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX The much maligned D of the Tigers actually matches up well against Army's smallish offensive line ( no one over 290 pounds). I know Missouri had problems slowing the run this season, but they do matchup well here according to power rankings. Meanwhile, Army's defensive line is a big strong group, but they are substantially slower than the Tigers offense, and Im betting they have problems slowing this superior athletic SEC group. I know the popular pick in Bowl season are military colleges behind their triple option, but this is just to big spread according to my projections making getting points here golden.Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARMY) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 10-20 L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on Missouri to cover |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
SAN DIEGO ST is 18-7 ATS in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 19-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 46 | 10-20 | Win | 101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
These divisional rivals have a recent history of fairly low scoring affairs as is evident by a 37.8 ppg combined score in their L/4 meetings overall. History does not always necessarily repeat itself but it does have a tendency to mimic it. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.9 ppg scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 UNDER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. Carroll is 16-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 41.1 ppg scored. Arizona has gone under in 13 of their L/14 in games in the 2nd of back to back road games. Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 after a MNF affair. Division games have a tendency of generally being hard fought conservative affairs late in the season usually from game 11 onward into the play offs ( line of 44.5 to 60) as is evident by a 225-143-5 UNDER run for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 39-14 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing teams are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming v. Kent State +3.5 | 52-38 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
Kent State behind senior quarterback Dustin Crum is a dangerous two-way threat , as he finished second in the MAC with an average of 273.5 yards per game total offense. He passed for 2,922 yards and 16 touchdowns and rushed for 633 yards and 11 more TDS. Add to that Running back Marquez Cooper who was fifth in the league with 1,080 yards rushing and had 11 touchdowns which contributes to an explosive offense that is averaging 243 yards rushing and 237 yards passing per game. I know Wyoming has a strong D, but Kent State is a shock and awe type side, that will be hard to keep up with. Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. it must be noted that the Cowboys lost 38-14 to what was thought to be an inferior Hawaii team to end the season, and their consistency this year was non existent losing to sides like New Mexico and don't inspire me with their game preparation. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. WYOMING is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games after a loss by 21 or more points . Lewis is 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Kent State to cover |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
I know how strong a side TB is but after last weeks record setting event behind future HOG QB Tom Brady that saw them pull out a win in OT vs Buffalo Im betting will now have this team in a natural letdown spot. Meanwhile, Saints remain in the playoff hunt after their victory on the road vs the Jets last week and have motivation and momentum entering this tilt. Note: The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven division r away games. I know which side is the better group, but the great thing about spread betting is that there are edges to be had, taking points with under rated sides. This Im betting is one of them. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NFL away team in a tilt in Sunday Night events that is coming off a victory of more than 10 points and than going against opposition coming off a pair of wins who won 10 or more games last year are 11-1-1 ATS L/41 seasons. NFLHome favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 12-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-19-21 | Bengals +3 v. Broncos | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 57 h 9 m | Show | |
The Broncos honored the late Demaryius Thomas who suddenly died at age 33 the week of this game vs Detroit. The Broncos left everything on the field that day as they took out the banged up Lions by a 38-10 count. Now in a huge emotional letdown state I betting they will not have the energy needed to get the.cover here vs a Bengals side that is desperate for a win. Note: Bengals QB Joe Burrows is a perfect 3-0 ATS when this team is off 2 consecutive losses. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bengals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Denver. Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC. Cincinnati to cover |
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12-19-21 | Texans +5 v. Jaguars | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 54 h 57 m | Show | |
Urban Meyer’s short and ugly tenure here in Jacksonville looks to be almost completed . Its been a horrendous season , Meyer has blamed his coaching staff for the problems which has put the entire team in disarray. The Jags have now lost 5 straight and really don't deserve to be this big a favorite , not even against another slumping side the Houston Texans. ....Advantage Texans. HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS L/18 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 2 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 2-16 ATS L/18 in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders. NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Jacksonville. The underdog has cashed 4 of the L/5 meetings. Play on Houston to cover |
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12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jags average 13.8 ppg on offense this season and Houston average 13.6 ppg. These teams have problems moving the ball and nothing changes here today in sunny humid Florida. JACKSONVILLE is 10-0 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest this season with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored. JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread this season with a combined average of 35.9 ppg scored. Meyer is 6-0 UNDER (after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach of JACKSONVILLE with the combined score clicking in at 33 ppg. Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 vs. AFC.Under is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 home games. . NFL home favorites that off a division road shutout defeat like the Jaguars have gone a perfect 0-12 UNDER since 1996 when the Totals line is 38 points or more. Houston has gone under in 3 straight divisional road games . Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 vs. AFC. NFL Home teams against the total (JACKSONVILLE) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season are 31-7 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show | |
Indianapolis has won 4 of their L/5 with the one loss coming to defending champion Tampa Bay by a 38-31 count. Meanwhile, the Pats have been the storyline in the NFL this season, as Bill Belichick cements his future HOF status. The Pats enter this game on a 6 game road winning run, but with said, all good and bad streaks must eventually come to an end and Im betting thats the case here in Indy today. Ive kept a close eye on the Colts, and after watching them decimate the Bills, Ive come to the conclusion that they are very under rated and with the publics attention squarely on the Pats Ill lay the light lumber with the home side at under a FG. Right or wrong the sharp money will flow into the Colts column. Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home team has covered 5 of the L/6 meetings in this series. INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 season. NFL team (NEW ENGLAND) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, when playing on a Saturday are 9-32 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State v. Utah State +7.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 61 h 38 m | Show | |
Utah State has a had a very successful season and are off pounding a strong San Diego State side to win the Mountain West title and they must not be underestimated here vs Oregon State. Despite of talent divergence between the PAC 12 and Mountain West from a general perspective, the Aggies have shown themselves an above average group, and Im betting will be competitive today behind a explosive offense. Note: Oregon state has been below average on D this season and have almost no pass rush, which puts them at a disadvantage against this type of offensive unit. Pac-12 bowl teams coming off a victory like Oregon State are just 1-21 ATS L/6 seasons. Play on Utah State to cover |
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12-18-21 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Liberty | 20-56 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
Central Michigan blasted E.Michigan in their last game of the season by a 31-10 count. The team looked lethargic, and HC Creighton was not happy with the performance. Im betting they bounce back here in their Bowl appearance vs a public fav. (Liberty) Note: Eastern Michigan HC Creighton has covered 14 straight times in his career as a road underdog when coming off a loss. E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points . Creighton is also 3-0 ATS L/3 Bowl appearances with W.Mich. E MICHIGAN is 14-2 ATS L/16 in road games vs. good passing teams like Liberty averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. Liberty finished their season failing to cover 3 straight and are fade material here for me today vs under rated and disrespected MAC side. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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12-18-21 | UAB +7 v. BYU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 46 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings UAB is highly under rated under HC Bill Clark who has built the Blazers into a strong cohesive unit. UAB has looked tough as nails against top tier sides with a .800 or better record cashing 7 of 9 opportunities with 5 of those coming in the underdog role. Considering how strong this Blazers D is allowing just 18.7 ppg on the road this season Im betting BYU will not easily win this game if at all. UAB is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. this season. BYU is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UAB) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 61-23 ATS L/29 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU UNDER 55 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 12 m | Show | |
BYU is 7-0 UNDER as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less with a combined average of 43.7 ppg scored. Sitake is 9-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of BYU with a combined average of 48.9 ppg scored. Clark is 20-6 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of UAB with a combined average of 47.8 ppg scored. UAB is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UAB/BYU ) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA) after 7+ games are 24-2 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UAB) - in a game involving two excellent passing teams (8.3 or more PYA) after 7+ games are 34-8 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-17-21 | Toledo v. Middle Tennessee State +10.5 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
Bahamas Bowl - Thomas Robinson Stadium - Nassau Toledo is being over rated here, under HC Candle the Rockets are just 0-3/SU/ATS in Bowl Games and this season going against sides with a .500 record or better failed to cover 4 of 5 times. I know Midd Tennessee State is without their starting QB for this tilt, but are still built to hang with a side like the Rockets when factoring in a complete depth perspective on both sides of the ball. TOLEDO is 9-22 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.TOLEDO is 23-45 ATS L/68 vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
The Chiefs during their current six-game winning streak, have forced 16 turnovers and allowed an average of 311.7 yards and just 10.9 ppg. The D, is merging at a high level with the offense, and in their current form are in top form and a formidable opponent for the Chargers . Add to that Reid and company have revenge on board for a loss suffered in last September back in KC and you have a viable favorite to back this Thursday night. Reid is 21-8 ATS in road games revenging a home loss against opponent in all games he has coached . The Chiefs have won seven straight road games against the Chargers. Note: Road favorites in ’ Thursday games have won by an average of -10.1 points per game this season. Rinse and repeat bet here in motion with the Favorite. KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Reid is 7-0 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 or more points as the coach of KANSAS CITY. LA CHARGERS are 2-13 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.LA CHARGERS are 1-9 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (LA CHARGERS) - out-gaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 13-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Arizona QB Murray is an exciting athlete, and this sometimes overshadows his teams overall performances especially on D , where they have been out-yarded in 3 of their L/5 games. Add to that Arizonas 1-7 ATS record in its L/7 tilts as a division host, and you have what Im betting against is an over rated side. Meanwhile, the Rams after a rough run -came out last time out with a get right effort winning by a 37-7 vs Jacksonville and now have momentum heading in this prime time tilt. Note: Arizona has failed to cover 10 of their L/12 at home on Monday Nights . Cardinals HC Kingsbury is 0-4 SU/ATS L/4 at home as a 6 or less point favorite. McVay is 10-2 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of LA RAMS. McVay is 21-11 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of LA RAMS. Rams are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 divisional battles and have won their L/2 visits to Arizona and are 8-1 ATS L/9 meetings overall in this series. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons NFL Road underdogs or pick (LA RAMS) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 27-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 52 | 30-23 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
This divisional game Im betting will be a hard fourth grinding affair. I know anything involving QB Murray of Arizona is looked at as a point fest. However, because of the importance of this game for these teams, and the usual inter divisional biases, taking the under here looks to be a viable betting option in what Im betting will be a chess like lower scoring affair. Arizona is 0-7 UNDER L7 as divisional Home Favorites and from a historical perspective Arizona is 0-8 UNDER in their L/8 Monday night appearances. ARIZONA is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 38.1 ppg. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.7 ppg scored. LA RAMS are 9-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 40.3 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - versus division opponents, off a home win are 104-58 UNDER L/37 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
This tilt behind top tier sides Buffalo and Tampa Bay has the makings of game that will decided late and by one score, most probably a FG according to the linesmakers, making getting the hook with the points a strong opportunity for bankroll expansion. Tom Brady is the marquee name in this tilt, and lives with a cloak of invincibility around him, but he's not made of titanium, and eventually father time will get the best of him. Actually Ive noticed his legs have let him down on more than one occasion the last few seasons, and today vs a fast and explosive Buffalo D, his lack of mobility wont allow him the time he usually gets . What Im saying is that if TB wins it wont come easily. Advantage on the line goes to the Bills. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Buccaneers have been favored by 3.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 5-5 ATS in those contests. Buccaneers are 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 14. Buffalo is 5-2 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, on the road.The Bills are 4-2 ATS as 3.5-point underdogs or more on the road. NFL Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 48-19 ATS L/39 seasons for a 72%. conversion rate for bettors. Note: Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-12-21 | 49ers -1 v. Bengals | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
Both Cincinnati and San Francisco are both off losses. I thought the 49ers should have won their game vs Seattle , and deserve respect here on the road as essentially a pickem vs a Cincinnati team that is off a less than cohesive loss, and downtrending in my power rankings, especially with QB Joe Burrows hand injury( pinky finger). Todays difference maker will come via both sides offenses where the Bengals rank 24th in their passing game and just 20th with their ground attack. While the 49ers are fourth via the pass and ranked sixth with their run game. SAN FRANCISCO is 21-7 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Francisco to cover |
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12-12-21 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 17 m | Show | |
QB Cam Newton of the Panthers looked horrendous last time out going 5-for-21 for 92 yards in a 33-10 loss to the Dolphins and the coaching staff said they wont make any changes this week. This reminds me of statement by Albert Einstein, that went something like this " doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a form of insanity. Yes, maybe Im exaggerating a bit, but thats how I feel about that decision, and feel strongly that the Falcons prove me right this week, at least from a cover standpoint. Note: The Last 14 times that Newton has been the favorite the Panthers have only covered 3 times. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors, but have been money in the bank from a historical perspective in this series going 9-2 SU/ATS . Note: Yes, the Panthers are well rested and off a bye but the Falcons have cashed 4 of their L/5 against these types of teams. CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road underdogs (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (CAROLINA) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 17-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-12-21 | Seahawks v. Texans +9.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 5 m | Show | |
This is just to many points even though the Texans don't look like a viable side to back , especially if you watched their last game where they were shutout . But pros do not like to be embarrassed and Im betting on a semblance of a bounce back here from the Texans at home. You have to remember Seattle has not looked good recently despite of finding the win column last time out and have been out-yarded in each of its last 11 trips to the gridiron this season. Bottom line no matter which way I slice it and handicap this game, this is just to many points to pass up on with the pup as the favorite is just being plain over rated. Note: HC Carrol is 1-5 ATS L/6 as a 3 or more road fav and has covered just 5 of this L/16 coming off a SU underdog win. HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS L/17 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS L/23 in home games off a home loss. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - a horrible offensive team (14 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 54-22 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7 v. Army | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
We are expected to have cloudy skies a few showers and some overall less than favorable weather with temps around 50 degrees F. We know these teams use the triple option as their go to means for the moving the ball and nothing will change today. With that said, Im expecting a ground war, here between these military schools, with the points looking to be golden in what Im betting will be very close affair. I know Navy's record is not a feature that makes bettors feel comfortable , but remember the Middies made play off side Cincinnati work hard for a 27-20 win last month and must not be disrespected in what this team will be treating as their biggest game of the season. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is off a huge win last time vs Baltimore to keep their play off hopes alive but now they will be caught in an emotional letdown spot vs a Minnesota Viking side that is desperate for a win after back to back losses including one to formerly winless Detroit last time out. Note: Vikings Zimmer is 25-7-1 ATS in non-division tilts in his career when coming off a defeat, including 11-1 ATS against AFC opposition. Zimmer is 13-3 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFL team (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win as a home underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 4-24 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders UNDER 49.5 | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 79 h 36 m | Show | |
Washingtons D is something special in its current form, despite of mostly sub standard numbers overall. This group is as tough as nails and allowing 17, 19, 21 and 15 points respectively in their L/4 tilts and will not easily be pushed around at the line of scrimmage again this week. On the road the Football team are averaging just a little over 20 ppg in offense Meanwhile, Las Vegas has mostly struggled on both sides of the ball, and finally got their first win 4 tries on the 25th of Nov vs the Cowboys. After that exhausting 36-33 offensive slugfest vs Dallas last time out Im betting on an immediate reversion to the mean offensively for the Raiders this week with the added rust of an extended lay off to hamper their output and this help keep this game stay on the low side of the number. .Dating back to the 2015 season all teams like Washington off 3 straight underdogs wins with a line of 43 or more have gone under 8 straight times. Washington is 5-0 UNDER L/5 vs NDC West sides. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37 ppg scored,
Tilts involving non conference conflicts (AFC vs NFC) have only seen 8 of the 32 games eclipse the offered total. Play UNDER |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams -12.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 68 h 26 m | Show | |
I dont usually take huge favs, rarely if ever actually, but this is one of those occasions . The Rams are extremely frustrated right now after 4 straight losses, and need a win badly to get back some long lost respect. Meanwhile, Jacksconville behind QB Lawrence and a less than cohesive offense wont be able to do much damage here this week, while the Rams no matter who is under center (Stafford or Walford) are more than capable of pounding the Jags and getting them selves right again. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-15 ATS in their last 16 games against the NFC West, including 0-9 ATS as an under- dog. Rams are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series. |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | 17-15 | Loss | -112 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
Vegas woke up from a 3 game losing nightmare last time out with a big 36-33 win on TG Day vs the Dallas Cowboys and now have momentum going against a Washington side, off 3 straight wins, that were grueling in nature and Im sure took alot out of them. Now traveling from East to West will further their exhaustion ratio after a smash and grab Monday night game vs the Seahawks and makes them susceptible to a down effort in the desert this Sunday. Note: NFL sides coming off a straight up underdog victory on Thursday are 5-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS L/31 seasons vs opposition coming off a Monday Night tilt. LAS VEGAS is 10-0 ATS L/10 in home games after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs . NFL team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced, after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 47-16 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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12-05-21 | Giants +4 v. Dolphins | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 20 m | Show | |
I know how amazing and maybe also a little lucky the Dolphins have looked of late , as they have garnered four straight wins, but it must be noted that NYG own a 12-3 ATS record in their last fifteen games as a road dog and have cashed 16 of 20 ATS as a dog vs the AFC East . With that said, and not focusing on historical biases, I really like the way the Gmens D is playing, and Im betting they wreak havoc on Tua Tagovailoa and company. Also on the flip-side, despite of a maligned Giants offensive line QB Daniel Jones has remained minimally consistent enough to make the Giants competitive and considering Jones is 12-6 ATS in his career as a visitor I feel we have enough line value to pull the trigger on the road side. NYG is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits to Miami. GIANTS are 13-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. NFL Home teams (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season are 8-30 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 5-25 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Giants to cover |
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12-05-21 | Vikings -7 v. Lions | 27-29 | Loss | -105 | 77 h 51 m | Show | |
After jumping out to a a 7-0 lead last week the Vikings fell asleep at the proverbial wheel and , lost by a 34-12 score to the Niners last Sunday. Im betting that was an emotional letdown spot performance, after a huge win vs a very good Green bay side the week before. Now in redemption mode after that embarrassment Im betting on a motivated performance here by a red faced group vs a Detroit team that is extremely lucky to be even covering spreads of late. MINNESOTA is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons. NFL Road teams (MINNESOTA) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota |
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12-04-21 | USC +4.5 v. California | 14-24 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
The PAC 12 is not getting alot of respect this year from the pundits , and maybe they dont deserve it. Despite of the talent levels, most teams maybe other than Utah dont stand out and have shown a great deal of inconsistency. Today we have two PAC 12 Futility Poster stories, going head to head as California hosts USC. In past meetings the Trojans have had the edge from a historical standpoint, winning 20 of 26 games all as chalk. Note: HC Justin Wilcox is a ATM machine for the his backers as an underdog as is evident by his 21-9 ATS record getting points and Im backing him again. Also betting on some of the players that are supposed to return next year dial up their energy as Im sure incoming HC Lincoln Riley is watching this tilt closely. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 42 points or more last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (CALIFORNIA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 28-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
Im betting on. a huge emotional letdown from Michigan this week after defeating Ohio State last time out. The Wolverines after a huge win and celebration are now vulnerable vs a less talented but extremely cohesive team that is coached by one of football most under rated HCs Kirk Ferentz. Iowa are 12-3-2 ATS vs .850 or better conf opposition. Michigan 1-5 ATS vs .800 or better conference opposition. CFB favorite of 6 plus points with a superior record than its opp in its conference championship game – if coming off an ATS win of 15 or more points and facing an .800 or less foe are just 1-10 ATS L/25 seasons. Play on Iowa to cover |
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12-04-21 | Houston v. Cincinnati -10 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
Bearcats are undefeated on the season and have won 26 straight home games at Nippert Stadium, and stud QB Desmond Ridder has never lost a tilt on his home field and nothing Im betting will change today against Houston. The Bearcats are an elite team, and when motivated can easily smash a team like Houston. the Bearcats motivation will come from the fact that they will be the first power 5 team to go to the college football play offs with a win here today, and Im betting they do it in conclusive fashion. Hey I know how well Houston has played but they are in over their heads here this Saturday. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in their L/5 games vs .900 or better opposition. Houston is just 1-6 SU/ATS L/7 visits here . CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS L/11 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 32-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CINCINNATI) - after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-04-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette +3 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 27 m | Show | |
SBC Championship Game Lafayette won the only meeting between these teams this season, 41-13 and App State despite of wanting revenge do not matchup well vs Cajuns. Note: Lafayette is 6-1 ATS L/7 in conference action at home as a dog vs a team they beat in their previous meeting. Lafayette HC Napier who leaves for Gainesville after this tilt is 11-5 ATS L/16 as a dog, including 7-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins . APPALACHIAN ST is 2-10 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins CFB home team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 33-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 16 m | Show | |
The Aztecs own the 2nd best ground defense in the nation and they are dangerous smash and grab specialists forcing takeaways. The Aztecs are tough as nails on defense overall ranking No. 13 in the nation and multi dimensional on offense when they need to be as they proved vs Boise State, a Im betting Utah State will have issues with this type of side. Look for Utah State to become one dimensional on offense, as moving the chains on the ground will be difficult and for a muted effort from them here today against this strong Aztec stopping units . CFB Road underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (UTAH ST) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 1-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualify on this ATS line offering. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -106 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Big-12 Championship Game - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oklahoma State took out Oklahoma last week, and now have a huge amount of confidence entering this game against the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma State (11-1) is in good position to make the College Football Playoff with a victory and we should find them very motivated in crunch time. Note:Cowboys are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS laying points in this series and in their current top tier defensive form ranking No.3 in the nation in D allowing just 16.4 ppg . With that said, Im betting they have an edge here today of a TD or less making this a viable wagering opportunity with the favorite. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS with single-digit spreads this season. Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. .Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS against conference opponents this season. Gundy is 12-4 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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12-03-21 | Eastern Washington +3 v. Montana | 41-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
UM is giving up just 13 points per game and are getting alot of respect from the lines-makers , (to much in my betting opinion) even here on their own field. EWU is scoring 44.2 points, and in the first meeting between these teams blitzed UM for four plays of 35 or more yards , while Montanas 10 other opponents combined for three plays of more than 35 yards. EWU won that battle, by a 34-28 count and once again matchup well here behind an explosive offense that scored and 51 Red Zone TDs and has shown it can have its way with this strong defense. Key to game:Last week, EWU ran for 129 yards against a Northern Iowa defense that was allowing just 83.3 yards per game on the ground and in their first meeting vs Montana went over 100 yards rushing, (one of only two teams to achieve that vs the Grizzlies this season) Im betting on them breaching the century mark here on the ground which will once again open up their explosive air attack which in turn will be the ultimate difference maker. Play on Eastern Washington to cover |
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12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah UNDER 58 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Pac-12 Championship Game - Allegiant Stadium - Paradise, NV When these teams played earlier this season, Utah owned the Ducks winning 38-7 and completely shut them down offensively and Im betting they will put their offense on mute again, in a tilt I project to have an output in the lower to mid 50s giving us value on this offered number. OREGON is 20-8 L/28 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more . Under is 10-2 in Ducks last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games as an underdog. UTAH is 12-2 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Whittingham is 7-0 UNDER after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of UTAH with a combined average of 47.1 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 30-9 UNDER. L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (OREGON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-26 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +4.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 12 m | Show | |
Dallas is struggling as is evident by their 1-3 SUATS mark in their last four tilts , while allowing an average of 28 points and 462 yards in the 3 losses. Note: Dallas is 0-7 ATS in games after allowing 35 or more points in its last time out. Meanwhile, New Orleans is also having difficulties having lost 4 straight games. Note: HC Sean Payton has never lost 5 straight games and cashed as an underdog SU/ATS the last two times this negative kind of run has been attached to his record. So Im betting the Saints will be ready to rumble vs a Cowboys side that suddenly does not look as cohesive as it did earlier this season. Payton is 50-20 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS off a home loss over the last 3 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Saints are 7-0 ATS in its last seven games as a conference home dog. NFL Road teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (335 to 370 YPG) after 8+ games, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 6-34 L/38 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being out-rushed by 75 or more yards last game are 63-111 ATS L/38 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-28-21 | Rams -1 v. Packers | 28-36 | Loss | -108 | 56 h 43 m | Show | |
Matthew Stafford started the season strong but is now in a bit of a funk so now the entire NFL nation and the parrot broadcasters are all down on him. He has always been streaky but when he's on Stafford can supply alot of high octane downfield offense and that what Im betting on him doing in bounce back fashion this week after a ugly 31-10 loss at SF vs the 49ers a couple weeks ago. Personally I believe the Rams were in a huge letdown spot after a hardcore battle the previous week against Tennessee in a loss but now after a bye week will be well rested and ready for redemption and revenge for last years play off loss vs the banged up Packers. So Im not ready to throw the Rams under a bus just yet, and believe they matchup well here vs the Green Bay Packers. Note: Stafford has covered in four of his last five matchups vs Rodgers, and is 9-3 ATS coming off a bye week. Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. LA RAMS are 22-11 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 season. Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Favorite has covered 10 of the L/11 meetings in this series. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - off an embarrassing loss by 21 points or more as a favorite, with a winning record on the season are 22-4 L/10 seasons for a 85% con version rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 31-8 L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on LA Rams to cover |
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11-28-21 | Jets +2.5 v. Texans | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 52 h 47 m | Show | |
Rookie Zach Wilson returns to the lineup after missing four games with a sprained right knee when the Jets visit the Houston Texans in a matchup of 2-8 teams. The rest Im betting did the young man some good, and now Im betting Wilsons head will be cleared enough to try to get some momentum going for him and his team. I know the Jets D is atrocious and against ground attacks are allowing 4.6 yards per rush this season, but the truth is this Texans team has almost no offensive flow, so to me they are fade material in a matchup that finally favors the Jets. HOUSTON is 18-33 ATS L/51 off a upset win as an underdog. HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS L/12 vs. struggling teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season . HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 43-18 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Jets have covered 6 of the L/8 meetings in this series. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-28-21 | Bucs -3 v. Colts | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 52 h 42 m | Show | |
Both these sides can stop the run, with TB ranking high in that category, but one of these teams is better at stopping the pass and thats the Bucs. The Colts secondary is leaky and thats not a good omen vs what will be a motivated senior citizen in Tom Brady. I know Tampa has not played up to expectations on the road, but now we are into the nitty gritty part of the season, and this is where Im expecting future HOF QB Brady and company to shine. Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. Arians is 15-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of TAMPA BAY. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (TAMPA BAY) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.3 ppg which easily qualifies on this short fav ATS line. Play on TB to cover |
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11-27-21 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -4 | 33-37 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State Defense are pure stoppers ranking No. 1 in the nation in third down stops, No. 1 in sacks and tackles for loss, No. 2 in scoring, and No. 3 in total defense.Now just at the perfect time coming into this game against long time rivals the Oklahoma Sooners the Cowboys offensive attack has revved up and is now hitting on all cylinders recording 400 yards or more in three of the last four trips to the gridiron. Right now the Boyz are complete package of a team and a very dangerous opponent for a Sooners side that depends on explosive offensive plays to achieve positive results. Advantage Oklahoma State. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season.OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers this season. CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - in conference games, after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 34-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) - in conference games, after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 45-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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11-27-21 | UTSA v. North Texas +10 | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
15th-ranked UTSA Roadrunners will be under extreme pressure to complete an undefeated regular season here against a stout opponent that has won 4 straight games covering all 4. The Mean Green still have to win their home finale for bowl eligibility and have plenty to play for other than just ruining the Roadrunners undefeated season .Advantage North Texas NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS after playing a conference game this season.NORTH TEXAS is 16-5 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals since 1992. CFB home team (NORTH TEXAS) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (UTSA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 25-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. North Texas to cover |
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11-27-21 | Troy v. Georgia State -6.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
When Georgia State records more than 25.1 points, it is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall and my projections expect a 28 plus or more point output. The Panthers have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 6.5 points or more (in three chances).This season, the Trojans have just one ATS victory in four games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more and are once again fade material here at a TD or less. GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (TROY) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 2-37 L/29 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.9 ppg qualifying on this ATS line offering. Play on Georgia State to cover |