Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08-20-23 | Chelsea v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - Both clubs are coming off 1-1 draws last week in which each club definitely felt (and it is true!) that they deserved better. That said, you you are going to see an extra push from each club in this one plus, keep in mind, Chelsea lost a key defender to injury as Reece James got hurt. Chelsea was more aggressive in their style against Liverpool last week and deserved more than a draw and the possession battle also was won by West Ham in their match last week. The Hammers are now at home and will be even more determined here and they have a good history of scoring goals on their home pitch as it is has been a long time since they have failed to make the net ripple on their home pitch. At the same time, Chelsea is favored with good reason of course. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Chelsea's last 5 matches across all competitions averaged 1.8 goals apiece. West Ham has seen their last 5 matches across all competitions average a total of 4.4 goals. Don't be surprised if this one indeed gets to 4 goals but certainly 3 is a strong probability. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
|||||||
08-20-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta @ 11:15 AM ET - Rapid got hammered 7-2 in the last meeting between these clubs. They enter this match struggling and Farul comes in confident after knocking off Flora by a combined 5-0 count to advance in the Europa Conference League qualifiers. Farul has scored an average of 2.6 goals per match last 7 matches across all competitions. However, they also have conceded 3 goals in each of last two matches in Romania Liga 1 action. As for Rapid, they are off a 2-0 loss to Petrolul Ploiesti but, prior to this had scored an average of 2 goals per match in the 3 matches before that. The hosts will be strong here on their home pitch and asking for at least a 2-1 final here is really not asking too much. Farul has not had a draw yet and I expect each club to score so, outside of a draw (of which Farul has not had one), this one is indeed getting to a 2-1 final at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Rapid Bucuresti |
|||||||
08-19-23 | White Sox v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Saturday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:10 ET - This total dropping from a 12 to an 11.5 at the time of this write-up and that means it is go time with this one. The Rockies exploded for 14 runs in yesterday's big win. Today the White Sox should also join the party. Look for both clubs to score plenty in this one! The Rockies will take advantage of rookie Jesse Scholtens making his first career start at Coors Field. He is having a decent start to his career but things get much tougher when you face the Rockies in Colorado and they are coming off a game in which they knocked the cover off the ball. At he same time. the White Sox are also in line for a big game at the plate today. Chicago will take advantage of a struggling Kyle Freeland here. The Rockies southpaw is 4-13 with a 4.94 ERA this season and opponents are hitting .292 against him. Also, he has given up 46 hits in 33.2 innings over his last 6 starts. The White Sox had averaged scoring 5 runs per game in last 4 road games before yesterday's ugly showing and let's not forget this IS Coors Field. The Chicago sticks get back on track here! 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Titans v. Vikings +3 | Top | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +2.5 vs Tennessee Titans @ 8 ET - The Titans gave up 8 sacks last week. Yes, EIGHT! Keep in mind this was to a Bears team that finished DEAD LAST in the NFL last year for sacks! In other words, this is absolutely concerning. Now, I know this was the back-ups that allowed all that damage but it is back-ups that usually decide preseason games. I think Tennessee is in trouble here on the road. The Vikings are angry off a double digit loss and they have performed well in the past in the preseason when they enter a game off a loss by a margin of 10 or more points. Minnesota will be ready here. Also, they are at home and they are catching a few points. I like the fact the Vikings blew a 10 point lead last week too. That insures proper focus here even though this is only a preseason game. Certainly both teams have some things to fix entering this game off losses last week but some things are more fixable than others. The back-up play for the players in the trenches in Tennessee leaves a lot to be desired and won't be fixed in one week. The Vikings have a lot of talent and depth at the WR position and I look for the Vikes to open things up a bit on offense as this game goes on and they will get the win through the aerial attack. I will grab the 2.5 points as added insurance in case they fall just short. 10* MINNESOTA +2.5 |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 47.5 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - The Redblacks defense was scorched in a 44-31 loss last week and they are dealing with a lot of injuries on that side of the ball entering this contest. Not only that, the Alouettes are off a win in which they scored 41 points last week plus now they get QB Fajardo and RB Stanback returning for this game Saturday. The Als will score plenty of points again but I do expect Ottawa to also light up the scoreboard well at home in this one. Keep in mind, they also scored 24 points on the road the week before last. The Redblacks are happy to be back home and their offense should atone for a 12 point effort the last time they were here. They have not forgotten that home loss. Speaking of losses not forgotten, the Redblacks lost their season opener at Montreal so they will be eyeing payback here. However, Ottawa's defense simply can not be trusted. I also like the fact the Alouettes defense might overlook the Redblacks as Montreal has a big game on deck versus league-leading Winnipeg coming up. That is the same Blue Bombers team that the Als would have met for the Grey Cup last season if they had not lost to Toronto the game before the Argos won it all. Considering injury and situational factors and the Redblacks ready to explode at home (but with a leaky defense too), this one should soar over the total. Looks like winds will be rather insignificant by gametime of this one also. 10* OVER 47.5 in Ottawa |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Phillies -148 v. Nationals | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Saturday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -150 @ Washington Nationals @ 4:05 ET - The Phillies bounce back off yesterday's loss. I like taking the better team when off a loss and on the road (line value) and with the better starting pitcher and better bullpen. Great situational edges here and you know the Phillies hitters will be locked in after yesterday's loss and certainly the Phillies will get better pitching today. Note that Sanchez has a 2.95 ERA in day games and a 0.60 ERA in his road starts this season. Both situations in play here and his BAA numbers in afternoon games and away from home have been ultra impressive. As for the Nationals Irvin, he has a 5.06 ERA since the All-Star break and overall is having an unimpressive season. The Phillies should roll on the road in this one! Don't let the bigger price scare you away. This line is set this way with good reason for sure. 10* PHILADELPHIA -150 |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #206977: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in FC Voluntari vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 2:45 ET - It use to be that Dinamo dominated this series with Voluntari. However, Voluntari is surely favored for a reason here in their home venue, a suburb of Bucuresti where Dinamo plays. So Voluntari may not even have a true home edge here but I like the fact that they are off a 3-1 loss. They have been playing better this season and dating back to the way they wrapped up last season and this is a confident group that can score goals. However, Dinamo has scored an average of 2 goals per match in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. Also, Dinamo has some added confidence here coming off their first win of the new campaign. Off that win last week, Dinamo brings a little extra edge to this one but they had allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their first 4 matches this season. Voluntari has seen 4 of their 5 matches total at least 3 goals this season so don't let this total of 2.5 keep you away. The plus money on this total at 2.5 is a nice added bonus and their 5 matches this season have averaged 3.4 goals apiece. Indeed, we should see 3 or 4 goals scored here. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in FC Voluntari |
|||||||
08-19-23 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200061: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - Tottenham is playing an attacking style under new management. That is why, even though Harry Kane is gone and went to Bayern in Germany, the Hotspur can still be expected to score plenty of goals. One thing that is not impressive about Tottenham is their back line. They allowed 2 goals last week and I expect more struggles this week. Although Manchester United is off a 1-0 victory last week, they allowed many attacking chances and arguably should have conceded a late penalty kick that was not awarded either. The point is that Man U is off a 1-0 win but should have allowed some scoring. At the same time, they are well aware of the new style of Tottenham and will look to take advantage here by being aggressive with their own attack in this one. We'll ride these edges in a match that would not surprise me if it ended up another 2-2 draw involving the Hotspur. This is their new style and Man U, by virtue of being on the road for this one, will struggle to try and change the flow of this one and they know they will be better suited doing plenty of attacking of their own. As a result, we should see a very high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Friday OVER 8.5 in San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:40 ET - Pfaadt is 0-6 with a 6.91 ERA this season and the Padres just faced him. Lugo is 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in home outings this season and the Diamondbacks just faced him. I got embarrassed with the over in this match-up yesterday and the final score was Arizona 3-1 and each team managed only 3 hits. A lot of times, after a game like that and with consideration to a starting pitching match-up like this, you'll see an explosion of hits and runs the very next game. That is what I am expecting here after the snoozer yesterday. Remember too that the Arizona bullpen has a high ERA which ranks their pen near the bottom of the majors. The Padres were off B2B wins in which they totaled 15 runs prior to yesterday's ugly loss. The Dbacks have scored an average of 5.3 runs in last 7 games and have won 5 of 6 games so confidence is growing and they should pound the ball tonight. 10* OVER 8.5 in San Diego |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +4.5 | Top | 19-18 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - Bombers QB Collaros is dealing with a neck injury. If he plays he is not 100% and he may not even play here. That makes this a tough road game for Winnipeg. Even with the line having been adjusted down some it is still not enough. This line has been kept high because the Blue Bombers are 7-2 this season and 5-1 in the division and Calgary is just 1-3 at home and 1-4 in divisional games this season. Given numbers like that, it is not a surprise that many are not backing the Stampeders here...but, we will! The Stamps should roll at home here. They are hungry after getting obliterated on the road at BC last week and I expect a huge effort from them here this week now that they are back in Alberta. 10* CALGARY +4.5 |
|||||||
08-18-23 | White Sox v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 12 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:40 ET - Kopech is having issues last month and this month with a combination of too many walks and too many homers allowed. That is exactly the combo a pitcher does NOT want to have when they are headed to Coors Field for a start! As for the Rockies Lambert, he has struggled in his home starts at Coors Field throughout his career. This is the perfect spot for a pair of starting pitchers to get rocked and then factor in the fact that these two bullpens have a pair of the highest ERAs in the majors and you can see why I love the over in this spot. 10* OVER 12 in Colorado |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Bengals +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 13-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Friday 10* Top Play Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 @ Atlanta Falcons @ 7:30 ET - There has been an over-reaction here to the fact Joe Burrow is out for the Bengals and the fact the Falcons will be playing two quarterbacks who are their top two guys and who did not play last week. The key here is that Cincinnati will be mostly playing two quarterbacks that did play last week. Don't be surprised if having already worked out the rust benefits the Bengals QB situation here. Don't be surprised if the Cincy defense is much better this week after they got ram-rodded last week. Note also that the Falcons won 19 to 3 last week but they were outgained by about 100 yards in that game and they punted 5 times. Their opponent actually punted only 2 times in the game but they were done in by turnovers and being stopped on downs a couple times too. So the point is that Cincy is not nearly as bad as the final scored showed last week just like Atlanta is not nearly as good as the final score showed last week. Also, the Bengals may play even better here knowing that an injury to Burrow is NOT being risked. This is just too many points for this particularly preseason match-up. Don't be surprised if we see an outright upset here or a Bengals loss by 4 or less points. In recent seasons, the Falcons have a poor ATS record as a home favorite while the Bengals have been solid as a road dog. This is preseason ATS stuff I am talking about and I look for those trends to continue here. Give me the big points. 10* CINCINNATI +6.5 |
|||||||
08-18-23 | Sheffield United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 122 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200041: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Nottingham Forest vs Sheffield United @ 2:45 ET - Excellent line value here because Sheffield United allowed only 1 goal last week but they allowed 24 shots and the damage could have been much worse. As for Nottingham Forest they allowed 2 goals early in their match and then the Arsenal club that led them big simply took their foot off the gas. The point is that both these clubs could have given up more last week and we have a great value with a low total in a match I am pegging for, at a minimum, a 2-1 final. Sheffield will be much more aggressive on the attack after a dismal effort in their first match but this will expose them to the counterattack and the newly promoted side will struggle to stop the hosts here. Remember that Nottingham Forest was very strong on their home pitch last season. That continues here. There has not been a clean sheet in any of the last four meetings between these clubs. Also, the last two meetings each totaled 3 goals. Look for a similar 2-1 result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Nottingham Forest |
|||||||
08-18-23 | UTA Arad v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #206981: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs UTA @ 2:30 ET - UTA manager Mircea Rednic is expecting a wide open match here. I am expecting plenty of scoring here because the confidence of Universitatea Craiova is also growing week by week. They have now won B2B matches and are coming off a 4-1 win over Poli Iasi. They have won 3 matches and drawn 2 this season and the hosts, other than one scoreless draw, have averaged scoring 2 goals per match in their other 4 matches! UTA has an unimpressive record but they come into this match well-rested and they are a dangerous dog for Universitatea Craiova to face here. Don't be surprised if UTA puts the pressure on the hosts early in this one. The two meetings last season each totaled 3 goals and they have scored at least 1 goal in all 4 matches this season. Also, prior to a shutout win in their most recent match two weeks ago, UTA had allowed an average of 2 goals per match in the first three matches this season. Of course, Universitatea Craiova is a huge favorite for a reason here. UTA, dating back to last season also, has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and 10 of last 11. Look for at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Universitatea Craiova |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8 -120 or OVER 8.5 -100 in San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:40 ET - With the Diamondbacks having Zac Gallen on the mound, many would consider the under here at first glance. However, Gallen has been Jekyll and Hyde this season in terms of home and away numbers! He is unhittable at home but LESS than even mediocre on the road this year. Gallen is 2-4 with a 4.72 ERA on the road this season. The Padres are familiar with him and should get to him early and often in this one. The good news for Gallen is he should receive plenty of run support in this one. The Dbacks should pound Rich Hill in this one. The 43-year old veteran is having a rough season and it is showing no signs of turning around. In 6 starts since the All-Star break, Hill has gone 0-3 with a 6.59 ERA and has been hit at a .322 clip! Arizona has scored 5.7 runs per game last 6 games and they have won 4 of 5 so they come into this one hot. The Padres are 6-4 last 10 games at home and their last 7 home games have averaged 11.6 runs per game and 5 of the 7 reached double digits! 10* OVER 8 -120 or OVER 8.5 -100 in San Diego |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks +5.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +5.5 @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are 0-9 this season but opened up as 4.5 dogs in this one on the road. If you consider most teams are given about a 3 point edge in football when at home that means the opening line on this game had it priced in a way that it would imply the teams are about equal on a neutral field. All of that and yet Edmonton is 0-9 this season...exactly! Do not let this line fool you. Was an open invitation to take the Ti-Cats and, sure enough, people are doing just that. This line has risen. I am taking the other side and fading the move as per usual. Note that Hamilton is a bit banged up in the trenches and I also like the fact the Elks had the Blue Bombers beat last week until a late turn of events there after a key big play against them turned the tide. I feel this will have Edmonton even more hell-bent and determined on getting into the win column this week finally. Even if they do fall short of an outright win, look for the points to be enough for the all-important cover. 10* EDMONTON +5.5 |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Browns +3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 18-18 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NFLX Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3.5 @ Philadelphia Eagles @ 7:30 ET - The Browns have performed well as a road dog in preseason action and also they have performed well as an underdog when they are facing a team that is below .500 in preseason action. That angle fits here as well as the Eagles are off a 1-point loss last week. I also like the fact that Cleveland is off a loss entering this one. The Browns off a 2-point loss and Philly off a 1-point loss and I am expecting an upset here but like the value of having the points on our side given numbers like this. In case we see another tight finish involving each of these teams, the points could prove very valuable. The Browns won the yardage battle by about 150 yards in the HOF Game and then again by about 100 yards in last week's loss to the Commanders. The point is that this is an underdog that has played quite well thus far in the preseason and the value of getting a FG plus the hook is something I will not pass up on here. 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 10 -130 or OVER 10.5 -105 in St Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets @ 7:15 ET - The Cardinals are starting Adam Wainwright. As I have mentioned before, he is not the same pitcher since his long-time (VERY long-time) batterymate Yadier Molina retired. Wainwright is now 41 years old and he is having a miserable season. This includes going 1-5 with a 9.26 ERA in home games. As for the Mets Jose Quintana, he has been okay but is still 0-4 in his 5 starts and that starts to weigh on a guy mentally. The Cardinals can hit him well here at home but Wainwright also in line to get rocked as per usual. Also, both clubs have consistently been getting involved in higher-scoring games and that trend continues here. 10* OVER 10-130 in OVER 10.5 -105 |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Astana v. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #224449: Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Astana @ 2 ET - The hosts are down 2-1 in this one after dropping the first leg at Astana. That means Razgrad must be aggressive on the attack here but they also did blow a 1-0 lead at Astana in the first leg. The fact Astana outscored them 2-0 after being down 1-0 gives the visitors plenty of confidence here. They will be able to attack with confidence. As for Razgrad, they will have the feeling no lead is safe. That means they should continue to pile it on if given the opportunity and, of course, they are a big home favorite here for a reason. If the hosts get up 2-0 they would still be just 1 goal conceded from being tied up again on the aggregate. That said, I expect the hosts to be relentless on the attack but that will allow the visitors the opportunity to find the back of the net at least once also. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here in this one as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Ludogorets Razgrad |
|||||||
08-17-23 | Qarabag FK v. HJK Helsinki OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #224443: Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Helsinki vs Qarabag @ Noon ET - The hosts are down 2-1 in this one after dropping the first leg at Qarabag. That means Helsinki must be aggressive on the attack here but they have issues with injuries to their backline and at goalkeeper. Qarabag has been scoring well in recent action with putting 2 or more goals on the board in 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions. However, Helsinki should score their fair share here at home as well as they must go for it and they have a respectable offensive attack as well. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here in this one as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Helsinki |
|||||||
08-16-23 | Mariners v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday OVER 9 in Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners @ 8:10 ET - Weather looks good for this one and I know Castillo has good numbers for the Mariners but he is on the road here and the Royals just keep surprising at the plate. I say that because, as bad as Kansas City is, they do score runs. This has been a recurring theme for them and they do tend to hit better at home. So I am looking for KC to do some damage at the plate here but the Royals problem here is, as per usual, their pitching! This one looks like it will essentially be a bullpen game because James McArthur is expected to be the starter in this one but he could function more as an opener as he has not started any MLB games in his career. He has made only 5 MLB appearances this season and his numbers show he has struggled at this level. This is not a huge surprise because he has struggled ever since having a strong rookie season in the lower levels of the minors. Since then he went 8-22 with an ERA in the 4.50 range in his minor league career. Behind him is a Royals bullpen that ranks as one of the worst in the majors. The Royals are 8-2 last 10 home games and have scored an average of 7 runs per game in those 10 as a host! KC can hit here! 8 of those 10 games did total at least 9 runs. As for the Mariners, they are 14-5 last 19 games and have scored and average of 5.3 runs per game during this stretch. Take advantage of the rather low total here and look for another one to reach double digits just as the first two have totaled more than a dozen runs. OVER 9 in Kansas City |
|||||||
08-16-23 | A's v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday OVER 9 in St Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics @ 6:45 ET - Weather looks good for this one and many will not look at the over here because the A's have one of the worst lineups in baseball overall in terms of the long-term hitting stats and because the Cardinals Liberatore is off a fantastic start versus the Rays. However, Liberatore had an MLB career ERA near 7.00 prior to that start and I would not be shocked at all to see him endure a quick dose of reality here versus Oakland! The Athletics can score well at times and had scored 6 runs per game in their 2 games prior to last night's 6-2 loss. The problem for Oakland is they have a league-worst bullpen - based on team ERA - and their starter is likely to get rocked here too. Blackburn is expected to get the start and he has allowed 29 hits in less than 18 innings over his last 4 road appearances. He is coming off a road start at Washington in which he particularly struggled and also had more walks (4) than strikeouts (3). The Cardinals have won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. Look for St Louis to pound Blackburn and a struggling Oakland bullpen in this one. Take advantage of the rather low total here and look for another one to reach double digits just as the first match-up (7-5 STL win) did in this series before the 6-2 final yesterday. OVER 9 in St Louis |
|||||||
08-16-23 | Sevilla v. Manchester City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
2023 UEFA Super Cup Wednesday OVER 2.5 goals -145 in Manchester City vs Sevilla @ 3 ET - Manchester City got their confidence rolling again with an easy 3-0 win over Burnley to open up the new Premier League season. However, they certainly want to also carry that momentum right into this match and earn some more hardware by knocking off Sevilla in a battle for the UEFA Super Cup! The fact is, however, Sevilla is known for being a tough customer in these European competitions. Manchester City is certainly well aware of this but they have dominated recent meetings and should leave no doubt here. Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the 2 that were just this past season in Champions League action each totaled 4 goals! More of the same likely here as Sevilla has some issues with their back line right now but also has scored at least 1 goal in 12 straight matches across all competitions. Of course, City is favored here for a reason. So, given the above, you can see why I am expecting a 2-1 or 3-1 type match here. Also, if it is Manchester City's night and everything falls into place, don't be surprised if they get to this total all by themselves. They have scored an average of 3 goals in the last 4 meetings between these clubs. OVER 2.5 -145 in Manchester City (this match will be played at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus, Greece) |
|||||||
08-15-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 12 in Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 8:40 ET - This is essentially a bullpen game because Mantiply actually pitched (and struggled) last night for the Diamondbacks and he is just expected to be used as the opener here. As for the Rockies Ty Blach, he is off a solid 6-inning start but this is very rare for him this season. In his prior 3 starts he averaged just 4 innings in each. So we should see plenty of bullpen for both of these clubs and that is good news for over players because these two bullpens rank as two of the worst in the majors. Also, the weather is expected to be ideal for an over with hot weather in Denver today on Tuesday. Prior to yesterday's 6-4 Rockies win, 4 of the last 6 Colorado home games had totaled at least 12 runs. These division rivals have a history of playing high-scoring games when they meet and this looks like another one should unfold on Tuesday night. 10* OVER 12 in Colorado |
|||||||
08-15-23 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:10 ET - Markets have moved this total lower and, in typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move and grabbing the over here. The Pirates are starting Bailey Falter most likely and he is having a very tough season with an 0-7 mark and a 5.21 ERA combined with the Phillies and Pirates. The Mets are likely starting David Peterson here and he is coming off a tough outing and has not been used much in terms of being a regular starter this season. That said, we could see a lot of bullpen for both clubs in this one and the Pirates and Mets each have bullpen ERA numbers that rank them in the lower third of the majors. 12 of last 16 Pittsburgh games have totaled at least 9 runs. The Mets last dozen games have averaged 10 runs per game. Look for this total to reach double digits as well. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Mets |
|||||||
08-15-23 | AEK Athens v. Dinamo Zagreb OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Dinamo Zagreb vs AEK Athens @ 2 ET - This is a first leg match because the original one was postponed. Now the teams are meeting for the first leg in Croatia instead of Greece. Dinamo Zagreb is certainly favored here for a reason but there be plenty of passion from the travelers as Athens will have plenty of intensity after what transpired in Greece that forced the postponement of the match. That said, I feel we have strong odds of at least a 2-1 final here. The match alignments this two clubs are talking about heading into this one also will be conducive to attacking options and counterattacking. The fact there is some 2 out there on this one is certainly an added bonus that is too good to pass up. That means we need 2 goals to insure we do not suffer a loss in this one and certainly I like the odds on that given the situation here as well as the attacking capabilities of each of these clubs. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 |
|||||||
08-15-23 | FC Copenhagen v. AC Sparta Prague OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #224209: Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -105 in Sparta Prague vs Copenhagen @ 1 ET - The first match finished 0-0 despite Copenhagen having 16 shots (3 on goal) in the match. Now the second leg is in Prague and I look for the hosts to perform much better here as a result but I also look for a determined Copenhagen club to be even more aggressive. That means plenty of scoring here and this, being the second leg of this qualifying round fixture, should see at least a 2-1 final as neither club wants to risk the match being decided after the regular 90 minutes plus injury time. Copenhagen has scored 11 goals and allowed 4 in its 4 league matches thus far. Prague also rolling with 13 goals scored and 3 allowed in its first matches in its league action. Couple of confident attacks going at it here and this one will play out much differently than the scoreless meeting in the first one. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Sparta Prague |
|||||||
08-14-23 | A's v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs -120 in St Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics @ 7:45 ET - Mikolas has had some good starts lately but this Athletics team has been hitting decently at times of late. Also, the Cardinals bullpen is nothing special and the Athletics bullpen is even worse as they rate as the worst bullpen ERA in majors. That Oakland bullpen could be called upon early too because Sears is getting the start here and he is struggling again. 8 of the Athletics last 10 road games have totaled at least 10 runs. The Cardinals last 4 games have averaged 11.5 runs apiece. St Louis has scored an average of 6 runs in those 4 games and they stay hot at the plate here too but Oakland blew a 7-2 lead in yesterday's loss and are sure to be locked in again at the plate in this one as they look for redemption for the Sunday defeat. 10* OVER 8.5 runs -120 in St Louis |
|||||||
08-14-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - Manchester United known for staunch defense, particularly at home. Wolverhampton known for struggling to score goals on the road. However, in the summer matches leading into the new season, Manchester United has conceded at least 1 goal in 5 straight. Also, the Maguire situation has distracted this club in preparing for the season in my opinion. Speaking of distractions, the Wolves making a coaching change in the final period of days before the season gets underway is certainly also a distraction. That said, I look for some extra scoring opportunities in this one due to the distractions each clubs has faced. Of course Manchester United is favored to win this match by 2 goals for a reason and, at the same time, I do not expect them to complete a clean sheet here. That said, Man U wins this 3-1 the way I see it or - at least - that is the type of match I am expecting here and we'll side with the over in this one. Wolverhampton will have a different approach with Gary O'Neil now at the helm for this club. We'll see goals here and the Wolves do have some momentum after the 3-1 victory that wrapped up their summer period as well. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
|||||||
08-14-23 | Botosani v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani @ 1:30 ET - Dinamo last 6 matches, including the first 4 this season, have totaled an average of 4 goals per match. Botosani last 5 matches, including the first 4 this season, have totaled an average of 3 goals per match. Each of last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Dinamo |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Ottawa +10 v. Toronto | Top | 31-44 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +10 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - The Argos are off their first loss of the season last week so everyone will expect them to bounce right back here. However, QB Kelly may not be 100% even though he is expected to play here. Also, Toronto was off a very lucky win the week before their loss last week. The point is that this has been coming for awhile and the Argonauts drop-off should continue this week. I am not saying they won't bounce back and manage to get a win here but I am saying that it would be a hard-fought win if they do get it. I certainly am not expecting it would be decided by double digits! Ottawa's average point differential on the season is a 1 point loss. The Redblacks have played 8 games and their point differential is -8 points. Ottawa has only one loss this season by more than 8 points and that was a defeat by only an 11-point margin! That is why I feel we have such strong line value here. This is a divisional match-up and the Redblacks will be battling hard after a tight 2-point loss last week. 10* OTTAWA +10 |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206957: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2:30 ET - Rapid needs to respond at home off a loss to Voluntari last week. However, it will not be easy against Petro. It is just hard to trust Rapid here as they have allowed 2 goals in each of their last two matches. However, Petro is in the same boat with having allowed 2 goals in each of last two matches. Overall, Petro as conceded at least once in all 4 matches this season. However, they also are off a match in which they scored 3 times and they have only been shutout once this season. You can see why I am looking for goals here given the recent performances of these clubs. Also, the last time these teams met here in Bucuresti it was a 3-1 win for Rapid. I am looking for a 2-1 type match here at the very least. 10* over 2.5 +100 in Rapid Bucuresti |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Twins v. Phillies -114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -115 vs Minnesota Twins @ 1:35 ET - The Phillies are 4-0 L4 times when off a loss. They should bounce back here at home and we get line value because they have Suarez on the mound. He may not have the great numbers of some of the other pitchers but he has been solid and Suarez had a great run late last season too. Could he get hot again here? Either way he is a solid option against a Twins team that generally does not hit as well on the road as they do at home. Also, the Phillies should bounce back here against Sonny Gray. Yes, the Twins right-hander has solid overall numbers but his last 4 starts have been against teams with a losing record. This followed his last 2 starts against teams with a winning record in which he allowed at least 5 earned runs in each start. The Phillies will certainly be a tough customer for him in this spot! Not only is Philly 4-0 L4 times off a loss, the Twins are 0-3 L3 times when on the road and coming off a win in prior game. Double perfect spot here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
|||||||
08-13-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Oakland Athletics @ 1:35 ET - Yes, coming right back with this play after it only totaled 5 runs yesterday. Note the teams went a combined 2 for 20 with runners in scoring position yesterday. Also, the Nationals left 12 men on base in yesterday's 3-2 win. Look for much better success in run-scoring opportunities today. Don't forget these are two of the worst bullpens in baseball this season also. As for the starting pitching, that should certainly help the cause here as well. The expected starters are Trevor Williams for the Nationals and Ken Waldichuk for the Athletics here. Williams is winless with a 7.25 ERA in his 5 starts since the All-Star break and truly has struggled since his final start of May until now. As for Waldichuk, he has a 7.84 ERA on the road and a 7.20 ERA in day games this season. He has been a little better of late but his long-term numbers do tell the full story and the Nationals truly should have scored a lot more runs yesterday. They will today and so will the Athletics! 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
|||||||
08-13-23 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - The last 4 meetings between these clubs have all ended 0-0...so...give me the Over BIG in this one! Not kidding. Not only has there NEVER been a match-up between two English clubs that has been scoreless in 5 straight meetings in all the many many years of Football in England, there is also plenty of reason to expect big changes in this meeting. Chelsea has a new manager and is off a disappointing campaign. Liverpool also off a disappointing finish, by their standards, and made a lot of personnel changes in the off-season. The result is that both clubs showed plenty of defensive lapses in their summer matches leading into the new season and also both clubs showed some great positive signs of being ultra-dangerous on the attack! The result should be a surprisingly wide open match here in which each team finds the back of the net multiple times. Indeed, I am expecting a 2-2 type match here that could even get to 3-2 or more. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Chelsea |
|||||||
08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Oakland Athletics @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game flew over the total and more of the same expected today. First off, these are two of the worst bullpens in baseball. Oakland's bullpen ERA ranks dead last in the majors. Washington's bullpen ERA ranks dead last in the National League. As for the starters here, Luis Medina is 1-5 with a 6.63 ERA in road games this season. Jake Irvin is struggling this season for the Nationals and it is no big surprise as he has struggled as he elevated in level of opposition year over year. In 2022 at the AA level he was 0-4 with a 4.79 ERA. Then this season at the AAA level he compiled a 5.64 ERA. In the majors this season he has a 4.93 ERA and he has allowed 7 homers in 22 innings spanning his last 4 starts. Washington is 8-2 last 10 home games and has averaged 5.8 runs per game during this hot run in all home games since the All-Star break. 7 of last 8 Oakland road games have totaled at least 10 runs and this one will too! 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
|||||||
08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 45.5 | Top | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - The Stamps are off the huge 20-7 win over the previously undefeated Argos. That was at home too and so it would not be a surprise to see the defense struggle here as they come up flat on the road after that huge performance at home. Also, the Lions will have Vernon Adams back at QB for this one and they are back home after getting drilled 50 to 14 last week. BC is known for piling up points at home and should do the same here. However, I can't trust the defense after the way they got lit up last week and now they face a confident Stampeders offense that saw their QB complete 24 of 26 passes last week. Calgary will keep the roll going on offense here but will not be able to stop the Lions offense which will be aggressive here with Adams back. 10* OVER 45.5 in BC Lions |
|||||||
08-12-23 | Eagles +5 v. Ravens | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles +5 or +5.5 @ Baltimore Ravens @ 7 ET - Everyone knows the Ravens have been incredible in preseason for many years now. Trust me, everyone means the odds makers too! That said, this line opened up with Baltimore a FG favorite at home. That is totally an enticement to take the Ravens as the implication is that the teams are equal - under preseason standards - and the home team is merely getting their full 3 points as per usual. That said, is this line some massive mistake? Well, long-time followers know how I feel about perceived "mistakes" by the odds makers. That said, the fact the line is now up to a solid 5 and as high as a 5.5 as of gameday morning absolutely has me fading the masses and I am happy to have the additional line value the markets have given us compared to what the odds makers said the line should be. This play is going against the grain per se but, historically, I love plays like this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA +5.5 OR +5 |
|||||||
08-12-23 | Twins v. Phillies -107 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 vs Minnesota Twins @ 6:05 ET - As mentioned yesterday when we were again rolling with the hot Phillies, they are a different team when at home and the Twins are a different team when they are on the road and the hosts will get it done again here. I do not care about the pitching match-up but will say this. Pablo Lopez is the expected starter here and the Twins right-hander is pitching very well right now but he does struggle more with left-handed bats than righties and the Phillies are loaded with dangerous hitters from that side of the plate. I expect he'll get pummeled here by the Phillies as they were crushing the ball again yesterday here at home. Taijuan Walker is the expected starter for Philly and he has struggled some recently but he is 6-1 with a 2.92 ERA at home where he has held hitters to a .193 batting average. The Twins have struggled a bit at the plate in recent road games. As for Philadelphia, they are 34-22 at home while the Twins are 9 games under .500 against teams with a winning record this season and Minnesota is 7 games under .500 in road games this season. The Phillies are 25-14 in interleague action this season. Lay the bargain short price here! 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
|||||||
08-12-23 | CS U Craiova v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -150 in Poli Iasi vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:30 ET - We have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but 2 is a key number in soccer, particularly in Romanian matches. Poli Iasi has allowed 7 goals in 4 matches this season but they are at home here. Before being shutout 1-0 on the road last week they had scored an average of 2 goals per match in their 2 matches preceding that one. Universitatea Craiova is also off a 1-0 result last week but they were on the right side of that one. However, with both clubs off rare 1-0 matches last week, I look for normal higher-scoring results to resume immediately. Universitatea Craiova is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season and they have scored an average of 2.6 goals per match in the last 5 meetings with Poli Iasi in Liga 1 action in recent seasons. This total may surprise some folks but I feel strongly it is priced this way for a reason. Universitatea Craiova will be a confident club coming off a win but Poli Iasi should bounce back at home too as they have mostly been on the road this season and they lost their only home match this season 3-1. Look for another high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2 goals -150 in Poli Iasi |
|||||||
08-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - These teams met in Philly in a summer friendly and the match was 3-3. Of course this is a regular season match and will play out somewhat differently yet what we are seeing is that both these clubs are capable of being very dangerous on the attack. Some of the offseason additions that Aston Villa has made has really strengthened them. Also, Newcastle United is known for being typically strong on the attack when they are on their home pitch as they are here. The hosts enter this one having scored an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 matches across all competitions leading into this one. Aston Villa has scored 2.8 goals per match int their last 4 matches all competitions. I feel strongly both clubs score here and at least one club gets to 2 goals when you consider all the numbers above. So look for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Before that 3-3 match in Philly over the summer, also note that the last two regular season meetings in the 2022-23 EPL campaign were 3-0 and 4-0 finals. Another meeting gets to at least 3 goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Newcastle United |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Cardinals v. Royals OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in St Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals @ 8:10 ET - Cardinals off 5-2 win and have been consistently involved in quite a few high-scoring games in the 2nd half of the season. The Royals, though off a 2-0 shutout loss yesterday, also have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games. So after their games yesterday combined for only 9 runs between 4 teams, yes I am forecasting at least 11 runs here Friday. Note that the Cardinals bullpen is ranked 23rd and the Royals bullpen is ranked 29th this season. Also, in terms of starting pitchers, that also should help the cause here. The Cardinals Wainwright is having an absolutely disastrous season and showing no signs of turning it around. Also, the Royals are likely going with a bullpen game here and Coleman likely will just be an opener with Zerpa actually projected to get most of the work. That sets this up to be a very high-scoring game as Zerpa has not been overly impressive as a starter at the AAA level this season. The Cardinals have averaged 5.3 runs scored in last 10 road games. The Royals have won 6 straight home games and scored an average of 6.7 runs in those games. 10* OVER 10.5 in St Louis |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Saskatchewan +5.5 v. Montreal | Top | 12-41 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +5.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - This is a ton of line value on the Riders. 5 of their 8 games this season have been decided by a margin of 4 or less points. Those 5 games had an average margin of just 2.4 points! Also, one of their few blowout losses was 2 weeks ago against Toronto but they deserved better as they dominated the Argonauts statistically in that one. We continue to use the flawed market perception about Saskatchewan to our advantage. I used the Riders last week successfully against Ottawa and will now use them again against another non-divisional foe. Remember that week prior to beating the Redblacks they really did statistically dominate another non-divisional foe when they had strong numbers against the Argos. Montreal is a respectable team but they are nothing special and this is just too many points for them to be laying here. The Alouettes are off a divisional win and have another divisional game on deck and I could see the Als being a little flat here. Give me the points! 10* SASKATCHEWAN +5.5 |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Commanders +3 v. Browns | Top | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NFLX Friday 10* Top Play Washington Commanders +3 @ Cleveland Browns @ 7:30 ET - Cleveland won the HOF Game versus the Jets and dominated the game statistically. The fact they are at home again (prior game in nearby Canton, OH) and have a game under their belt would seem to favor the Browns here. However, teams actually tend to NOT perform well when off an outright upset win as an underdog and this includes in preseason action and this trend also includes specifically the Browns. That said, plus considering the fact Cleveland has not performed well in recent seasons in pre-season in the home favorite role has me siding with the Commanders here. This is one of those ugly dog spots where most will be lining up with the home favorite yet, historically, it is a great spot to grab the road dog. 10* WASHINGTON |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Manchester City v. Burnley OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 50 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200001: English Premier League Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Burnley vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - City was the best team in the world last season. Burnley was the best team in the league below the Premier League. Now Burnley is right back up in the EPL after being relegated the season before last. This Burnley team is a completely different club now then they used to be. Their manager actually is a former start of Man City and last season he led them to score the most goals in their league. With that attacking style and the fact they are playing at home here, they certainly should manage to score at least 1 goal here. However, City is certainly and rightfully favored with good reason. These guys are good and are strong and they often have exploded for huge goal totals against teams that play the style Burnley is expected to play here. That said, this one should fly over the total and I will not hesitate to get involved in the first match of the new season. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Burnley |
|||||||
08-11-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206933: Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1:30 ET - Expect each team to score at least 1 goal as Voluntari allowing 1.5 goals per match and U Craiova 1948 allowing 2 goals per match. Do not expect a draw as neither one has had one so far in 4 matches apiece. This explains the expectation of at least a 2-1 final here. Adding to the value is U Craiova 1948 just won their first match of the season and Voluntari just got their biggest win of the season as they defeated previously unbeaten Rapid. Each of the Voluntari players got bonuses because of the big win last week. Couple that with U Craiova 1948 also so happy as they finally got a win last week and you have the set up for plenty of goals here. Both teams have attacking confidence but also both clubs likely left their defensive intensity behind at last week's matches. This is perfect set up for goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in U Craiova 1948 |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks +12 | Top | 38-29 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +12 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - So this is a double perfect spot but I am not playing it in the way you think I would! Edmonton is 0-8 this season! Also, the Elks were 0-9 in home games this season! That means they have no chance of winning this game, right? Well, actually those are SU trends but I still feel strongly that there is a possibility of an outright upset here but most definitely I feel confident about a big dog cover. This is just too many points and the hapless Elks made some changes during the bye week and will look to hit the reset button here at home and get things going back the right direction. Maybe Winnipeg does just enough for the SU win here but I do not see some big road blowout here. The fact is the Blue Bombers just knocked off BC in a huge game and they could be flat here. Winnipeg also has a tougher game at Calgary on deck. They could look right past an Edmonton team that is winless plus just lost to that same BC team 27-0 in Alberta the week before their bye week! Don't be surprised if the Elks bring a much different effort here and this is a great spot for a tight game decided by just a single score margin the way I see it! 10* EDMONTON +12 |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Big total here but fully justified. My biggest concern here is actually the rain. I am just hoping they can get this game to the full 9 innings before the night is over with as another weather system is moving into an already water-logged New England area. The Royals are expected to use Cox as an opener here. He has struggled as a starter this season. KC is then expected to bring in Marsh in a long relief role and he has been struggling overall this season and of late. The Red Sox are expected to start Paxton and he has been hit hard in each of his last two starts and the Royals have been enjoying success at the plate in recent weeks. The Red Sox should enjoy success at the plate here too as they generally hit well at home and the Kansas City bullpen is also a weakness. So, all factors considered, look for yesterday's surprisingly low-scoring game to prove to be an aberration and things get back to big hitting here. 10* OVER 10.5 in Boston |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -120 vs Washington Nationals @ 6:40 ET - The Nationals, despite winning Game 2 of the DH Tuesday, are now 11-21 in divisional games and 25-40 in night games this season after getting hammered (and no-hit!) in a 7-0 loss yesterday. The Phillies had won 5 of 6 at home before that loss Tuesday! After yesterday's 7-0 win, each of their last 7 wins have been by at least a 2-run margin. This should be another blowout home win for the Phillies with Aaron Nola having been strong in starts overall at Citizens Bank Park throughout his career and with Patrick Corbin getting consistently rocked again this season. 10* Philadelphia -1.5 |
|||||||
08-10-23 | Sheriff v. BATE Borisov OVER 2.25 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224417: Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Sheriff Tiraspol vs BATE Borisov @ 1 PM ET - Most of the goals in recent Sheriff Tiraspol matches came in the added extra time but it still shows the potential for high-scoring action involving this Moldovan club. Not only that, they are now matched up with a club from Belarus that is known for high-scoring action in these qualifying matches - whether Champions League or Europa League. Their 4 matches this summer have averaged 5 goals apiece and more of the same is likely here as they have scored an average of 2 goals in their last 4 matches but also allowed at least 5 goals in back to back matches. You know the hosts here are well aware of this and will be on the attack from the get go in this one! OVER 2.5 +110 in Sheriff Tiraspol |
|||||||
08-10-23 | HJK Helsinki v. Qarabag FK OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224405: Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 in Qarabag vs Helsinki @ Noon ET - Qarabag off a 1-1 draw with Raków Czestochowa that ended your hopes of a Championship League spot. However, they are going for it in the Europa League and are favored here for a reason for sure. By the way, their last 4 matches before that all totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same expected here as Helsinki has allowed 2 goals in each of last 2 road matches. However, before being shutout in most recent match, Helsinki had scored at least 1 goal in each of their preceding matches this summer. They will bounce back here and score a goal but they will not be able to stop Qarabag. Look for a 2-1 final here at the very least. OVER 2.5 in Qarabag |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Yes the Braves are starting Fried here but note that he had struggled some at the AAA level this season. He just now has made only 1 start since returning to the majors from injury and he could struggle a bit in the 2nd start back. At the same time, Priester for the Pirates is in line to get completely rocked. The right-hander has struggled badly this season and, of course, the Braves are a huge favorite here - including on the run line with good reason! By the way, 8 of last 11 Atlanta games have totaled double digits in runs. The Braves have averaged scoring 7 runs per game during this 11-game stretch. The Pirates have won 10 of 18 games and scored an average of 4.5 runs per game during this stretch. Pittsburgh has scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in last 6 home games. We should see solid scoring here and I am looking for double digits based on all the above. 10* OVER 9.5 in Pittsburgh |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 113 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +115 vs Washington Nationals @ 6:40 ET - Lorenzen was fantastic in his first start for the Phillies. Now Philadelphia is looking to respond after winning Game 1 yesterday but losing Game 2 of the double-header. Philly is strong when off a home loss and the Nationals have been nothing special this season. Also, Gore had a 6.64 ERA last month in July and now faces a Phillies team that has hit him hard already this season. Lorenzen is coming off a stellar debut for the Phillies plus he went 3-1 with a 1.14 ERA last month for the Tigers! The Nationals, despite winning Game 2 of the DH yesterday, are 11-20 in divisional games and 25-39 in night games this season. The Phillies had won 5 of 6 at home before that loss yesterday and each of their last 6 wins have been by at least a 2-run margin. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +115 |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Servette v. Rangers OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #224281: Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: OVER 3 +115 in Rangers vs Servette @ 2:45 ET - The Rangers got their Scottish Premiership off to a disappointing start as they lost 1-0 despite firing a lot of shots on goal. This will strengthen their resolve here in Glagow for this one and they had scored an average of 2.7 goals per match in their last 4 matches before that disappointing defeat. Also, they will take advantage of a Swiss club here that has given up a pile of opponents chances in recent action. They are off a 1-1 draw but Servette saw its preceding match in Champions League qualifying action end 2-2 and feature a ton of opponents shots on goal. Also, that was the 8th time in 12 matches that Servette had a final score total at least 4 goals. Even just 3 goals gives us a push here but you can see why I am confidently expecting 4 or more here. Servette has scored an average of 2.3 goals per match last dozen matches but will also struggle to stop an angry Rangers club that is on their home pitch here as well. Look for a 3-2 type final here the way I see it and certainly we should get to at least 4 goals here. OVER 3 +115 in Rangers |
|||||||
08-09-23 | Marseille v. Panathinaikos OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #224285: Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 +120 in Panathinaikos vs Marseille @ 2 ET - Each of last two matches for Panathinaikos have totaled 4 goals. We only need 3 here to be a winner. 8 of last 9 Marseille matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 9 matches have averaged 3 goals. They are a solid powerhouse club from France but Panathinaikos is home and will put up a fight here. As a result, and based on attacking capabilities of each, I am anticipating a 2-1 type battle here. OVER 2.5 +120 in Panathinaikos |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals @ 7:10 ET (Game 2 of double-header) - Because this is Game 2 of the double-header we could see a few of the better arms from the bullpen get used up in the first game. Also, the Nationals bullpen has struggled this season and is one of the worst in the majors. That has played in a key role in a lot of Washington games being high-scoring for many weeks on end now - dating back to even before the All-Star break - and I expect more of the same here. The Nationals also send Gray to the mound, most likely, in Game 2. Gray has been hit hard in 3 of his last 5 starts and the Phillies are seeing him for the 3rd time already this season. Suarez is expected to get the start in the 2nd game today after Wheeler starts in the first. Even if this does not hold up I do like the over here regardless of starters. However, if it is indeed Suarez it is worth nothing that he has allowed 46 hits in 34 innings since the start of June. The way the Nats are swinging the bats, they should pound him. Of course Phillies a big favorite for a reason however and they should answer Washington run for run in this one. 10* OVER 9 in Philadelphia (Game 2 of 2) |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:10 ET - The Mets exploded for double digits in runs yesterday showing they may still have some life left in them, at least at home. As for the Cubs, they had been red hot but they scored only 2 runs despite 9 hits yesterday. Surely they will make up for that here. Chicago will take advantage of facing a struggling Mets hurler but, as the same time, the Mets should have no trouble with the opposing pitcher in this one! The Cubs send Taillon to the mound and he has a deceivingly low ERA of late because he actually has been hit hard in 6 of his last 8 starts. In fact, in those 6 outings he allowed 43 hits in 31.2 innings of work! Taillon is facing a fired up Mets team here looking to build off yesterday's big performance. At the same time, the Cubs should come up large at the plate here as the Mets send Carrasco to the mound. Carrasco has allowed 23 runs (21 earned) on 32 hits in just 15.1 innings spanning his last 4 starts. 4 of the last 5 Mets games and 6 of last 8 Cubs games have totaled at least 10 runs! In fact those 8 Chicago games have averaged 14.4 runs per game and more of the same expected here! Both bullpens have been struggling too! 10* OVER 9.5 in New York Mets |
|||||||
08-08-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Barcelona FC OVER 3 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #216801: Trofeo Joan Gamper: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Barcelona vs Tottenham @ 2 ET - This is a preseason friendly battle for the Joan Gamper Trophy and Barcelona is a heavy favorite at home for this one. However, they are not in their usual home venue as that one is being renovated this season. Will that throw off Barcelona a bit? I do expect Tottenham to take advantage and the Hotspur have been scoring well. However, Barcelona should eventually right the ship and I feel we have solid line value with this total as a 3-2 final would not surprise me in the least. Of course if we see a 2-1 type match that would at least be a push at 3 goals but, again, I am looking for much more and feel we are justified in expecting much more too! Barcelona has scored 2.2 goals per match in their last 4 across all competitions. Tottenham is off B2B 5 to 1 wins and, dating back to the tail end of the Premier League season that just finished a couple months ago, the Hotspur have scored an average of 4 goals per match in their last 4 matches. 10* OVER 3 in Barcelona |
|||||||
08-08-23 | AC Sparta Prague v. FC Copenhagen OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #224265: Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Copenhagen vs Sparta Prague @ 2 ET - Copenhagen won their last two matches by a combined score of 8 to 3 to reach this round. I like the fact that Sparta Prague is just now getting their Champions League qualification chase underway. They will want to set the tone on the road here but this Copenhagen club is playing with a ton of confidence right now. As a result, I am expecting a 2-1 type match here at the very least. In terms of goals scored, we should see at least 3. Copenhagen is already 3-0 in the Danish Superliga action and the average score of the 3 matches is 3-1. Combining that with how they played against Breidablik (Iceland) in the Second Qualifying Round for Champions League, you can see why I am expecting plenty of goals here. Sparta Prague is 3-0 in their league action as well and they have scored an average of 2.7 goals in those matches in Czech Liga action. Copenhagen plays an attacking style and, particularly with this match at home, I look for this to continue. It is likely to be too much for Sparta Prague but I do expect the visitors to be much more of a challenge than Breidablik was and I am expecting a 2-1 or 3-2 type final here in opening action which means we have excellent value with this total available at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Copenhagen |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Monday OVER 10 in Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Big number here with posted total but absolutely seems justified. Is Cole Ragans a true starter or more of an opener? Who cares as the fact is he has not been great but neither has this Royals bullpen either. The key with Kansas City of late is they are hitting the ball very well. KC continues to get involved in high-scoring games. I know the Red Sox have cooled off at the plate of late but they generally do hit well at home and should bounce back here against a suspect Royals pitching staff. As for the Kansas City sticks, they certainly should stay hot here. Brayan Bello allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his first start this month. Also, he compiled a 5.48 ERA last month in July. The Royals have seen 8 of last 10 games total 11 or more runs. In fact those 10 games averaged 11 runs too! As for the Red Sox, they scored an average of 5.5 runs per game last 6 games at home before getting rocked 13-1 Sunday. They will bounce back here at the plate but will not be able to slow down the KC hot sticks. OVER 10 in Boston |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
MLB Monday OVER 8.5 in Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins @ 6:40 ET - I know the Tigers are not known for great hitting but Detroit will take advantage of facing Lopez here. The Twins right-hander is off a solid start at St Louis but allowed 5 homers in his 3 starts before that. Also, his 2 road starts prior to the strong start against the Cardinals saw him allow 9 earned runs in less than 11 innings of work. The Tigers send southpaw Joey Wentz to the mound and his most recent outing was out of the bullpen and was respectable. However, as a starter this season Wentz is 1-9 with a 6.95 ERA and opponents hitting .299 against him. In his last start at home he hosted these same Twins and allowed 4 runs (3 earned) in 5 innings in a start in which he was fortunate the damage was not worse. The Twins have a .474 slugging percentage last 30 days and that ranks them #1 in the American League! The Tigers are off a 10-6 loss but generally not known for much offense but have scored at least 5 runs in 5 of last 8 games. The Tigers have averaged scoring 4 runs per game last 18 games and I am looking for at least a 5-4 type game here. OVER 8.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Voluntari vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 2:30 ET - Rapid won the last meeting 4-1 and I am expecting another high-scoring meeting here. There has not been a week that has gone by yet this entire season - and we are in week 4 - in which there was not at least one matchday in which both matches did not each reach at least 2 goals. I do not expect this trend to end this week. As per usual, Monday is the final day of the matchweek and has 2 matches. Look for each to reach at least the 2 goal mark. Not only did the most recent meeting between these clubs total 5 goals, Voluntari has had 6 straight matches total at least 2 goals. Those matches have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. As for Rapid, 4 of their last 5 matches (and 7 of last 10) have totaled at least 3 goals! That is why I am looking for a solid win here as those 10 matches have averaged 3.6 goals per match. Given the trending of both these clubs in the 3.5 goal range, look for 3 or 4 goals here and a solid over. The fact Voluntari is a suberb of Bucurseti and Rapid is nearby means the rivalry aspect insures proper focus and aggression here as well. Both clubs will be on the attack early and often in this one. OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Voluntari |
|||||||
08-07-23 | Otelul v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -54.5 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 goals -150 in Sepsi vs Otelul Galati @ 11:30 AM ET - We should see 5 goals here. Sepsi's matches across all competitions have gone from 0 to 1 to 2 to 3 to 4 in terms of goals scored so look for 5 here. All kidding aside, the trending is certainly there for a higher-scoring match if this pattern continues. Hosting Otelul Galati should definitely help the cause in this regard. Otelul Galati gave up 2 goals last week and they had numerous quality scoring chances and certainly deserved to make the net ripple at least once in last week's shutout loss to FCSB. I was impressed with their effort in the offensive zone and the fact they would not back down and I expect them to respond with another strong effort here. Couple that with the fact the hosts have scored an average of 2.5 goals last 4 matches across all competitions and you have a solid spot for an over here. OVER 2 goals -150 in Sepsi |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 7:10 ET - 5 straight Dodgers games have totaled at least 10 runs and 4 straight Padres games have totaled at least 10 runs. This is a double perfect situation. I know that Lance Lynn had a solid debut for the Dodgers but that came against the league-worst Athletics. Prior to that he allowed 17 earned runs in 16.2 innings in his last 3 starts overall. In terms of just looking at his road starts (the start versus Oakland was at home), Lynn has allowed 27 earned runs in 35 innings spanning his last 6 outings away from home. The Padres can crush him and a Dodgers bullpen whose struggles continued yesterday. As for San Diego, however, they have a pitching issue of their own with Rich Hill expected to get the start here. How desperate are playoff-potential teams for arms when you consider a guy like Hill is being picked up? The 43-year old southpaw has been fortunate in allowing fewer earned runs in some of his recent starts but this is still a guy who has given up 46 hits in 36 innings spanning his last 7 starts. Hill is very hittable and this is a solid Dodgers lineup looking to bounce back off an 8-3 loss yesterday. Given all of the above both clubs should pound the ball tonight. The Padres have a .468 slugging percentage since the All-Star Break and that rates 5th in the majors. The Dodgers have a .444 slugging percentage on the road this season and that ranks 2nd in the majors! 10* OVER 9.5 in San Diego |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | Top | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
CFL Sunday Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Remember when we used Calgary over Toronto Friday and got a very easy win? Part of the analytics there including the Argonauts getting statistically dominated by a 426 to 200 count in yardage by these Roughriders last week! Indeed, Saskatchewan deserved much better than a 31-13 loss last week. Now, just like how the Argos were overvalued Friday, the Riders are likewise undervalued Sunday. As for Ottawa, they lost by only 4 points last week but they were outgained by about 100 yards and that was against a Hamilton team that is struggling. Now the Redblacks are on the road and last week statistically the Roughriders were +200 and the RedBlacks were -100 and you can see why the home dog should prove very dangerous here. SASKATCHEWAN +2.5 |
|||||||
08-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB vs CFR Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs have seen their matches averaged 3 goals apiece so far this season and I am looking for more of the same here. Both clubs are undefeated and scoring well with each club averaging 2 goals scored per match. A 2-2 draw or at least a 2-1 final would not surprise me in the least in what should be a highly entertaining atmosphere in Bucuresti for this one! There is going to be a sold-out raucous crowd for this one. Both clubs off high-scoring matches in Europa Conference League action too. Now back to the focus on Romania Liga 1 action and the recent history between these clubs is for lower-scoring matches but CFR Cluj has a new manager this season and is playing a different style. Look for plenty of goals here! OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Royals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -105 vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:35 ET - The Royals are so bad on the road. Their recent winning streak was almost entirely filled with home games. Now they are back on the road and after winning the first game of this series they then lost the 2nd game as expected. They send Greinke to the mound for this one and he is 1-11 this season. Not only does he have an 0-7 record in road games this season, the Royals have won only 1 of his road start this entire season. In his last 8 road start Kansas City is 0-8. Look for that streak to reach 9 in a row right here! Taijuan Walker is 5-1 with a 2.80 ERA at home this season. He has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts. The Phillies are the much better team, at home, and with the better bullpen, and the better starting pitcher. Most of the KC losses this season have been by 2 or more runs. Look for this one to be as well as the Royals drop to 0-9 in Greinke's last 9 road starts! 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -105 |
|||||||
08-06-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2 -150 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul @ 11:15 AM ET - Farul off a 3-1 loss last week so you know they are going to bring it in terms of effort this week. This is a proud bunch and they are fired up after being embarrassed at home by Poli Iasi last week. That said, look for plenty of goals here because Farul is sure to bring a strong effort on the road here but you know Petrolul Ploiesti will be ready to go on their home pitch. They got shutout at home last week after each of their first two matches were 1-1 draws. OVER 2 -150 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
|||||||
08-05-23 | Mets v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - On the season and, in particular, of late both these pitchers have struggled in the situation they are in now. Kyle Gibson for the Orioles has struggled at home and Tylor Megill has struggled on the road and again their recent numbers home/away, respectively, are even worse than their full season numbers which are, to say the least, bad enough! Gibson has a 5.55 ERA at home this season and opponents have hit .300 against him in his home outings. Megill has an 8.00 ERA on the road this season with opponents hitting .345 against him as a traveler. This one should get ugly and the Mets bullpen is struggling and, in fact, both teams could again give it up as this game goes on. Yesterday's game was just 2-0 entering the 6th inning and then the teams exploded for a final score of 10-3. The Orioles have now gone 14-7 since the All-Star break and scored 5.4 runs per game in their last 10 at home. 6 of last 7 games at Camden Yards have totaled at least 10 runs. The Mets are 9-11 since the All-Star break and have scored 6 runs per game in last 7 wins and allowed 7 runs per game in last 11 losses. Don't be surprised, given the above, if we see a 7-6 type final in this one. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Baltimore |
|||||||
08-05-23 | Montreal v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - We get line value here because Hamilton QB Bo Levi-Mitchell is out again with injury. The fact is they have an adequate back-up option at quarterback plus they got good production out of their wide receivers last week. Also, their secondary looked much better than the secondary of the Alouettes last week which, by the way, is dealing with injury issues too. In terms of pass protection, the Ti-Cats also rate an edge over the Als. Factoring all this in plus the home field edge and the revenge factor, this looks like a great spot to back the Tiger-Cats. Note that Montreal crushed them here at Hamilton earlier this season so payback is on their minds here. This is a key game in the East Division race and I feel the home team is vastly under-valued here because of the Mitchell injury. Their defense will come to play just as I predicted the Stampeders defense would show up at home against the undefeated Argonauts last night and they did just that in the 20-7 win. This is truly another great home dog situation. 10* HAMILTON +3 |
|||||||
08-05-23 | Royals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Kansas City Royals @ 6:05 ET - Sanchez has a 2.66 ERA this season. Marsh has a 6.75 ERA this season. I know the Royals are hot and snuck out another win yesterday. But 6 of their 7 victories in their current 7-game winning streak came at out. They will not win on the road again here and most of their losses this season have been by at least 2 runs. Marsh is 0-5 this season and I know Sanchez is also winless this season. However, Sanchez has deserved much better and he should help the Phillies bounce back strong here. Regardless of the starting pitching, in fact, this one will be all Philly as I challenge KC to win B2B road games. I just do not see that happening and the home team rolls here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
|||||||
08-05-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #206897: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Universitatea Cluj vs Dinamo @ 2:30 ET - The value of a 2 here is huge and is worth the extra juice. Universitatea Cluj is off a 4-3 win and they have allowed at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and have allowed an average of 2 goals per match over this stretch. Dinamo has allowed 11 goals in losing 4 straight matches and this was preceded by scoring 6 goals in a huge upset win. Before getting shutout by Sepsi last week, Dinamo did scored an average of 2.2 goals per match in their 4 preceding matches. I also liked what I saw from Dinamo last week as they certainly had great quality chances and deserved to get on the scoresheet. They make up for that this week and make the net ripple but the problem is they can not slow down anyone and their struggles defensively continue. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here as a result. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Universitatea Cluj |
|||||||
08-05-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -145 in FC Botosani vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11:30 AM ET - 5 straight FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 5 matches have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. The value of a 2 here is huge and is worth the extra juice. FC Botosani is off a 2-2 draw last week and U Craiova is off a 4-3 loss. The visitors enter this one with 5 of last 7 matches totaling at least 2 goals and those 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals apiece. I know these clubs had low-scoring matches in all 3 meetings last season, including play-out round, but the hosts enter this one allowing at least 1 goal in 5 straight and the visitors enter this one allowing at least 1 goal in 7 straight. Odds suggest a 2-1 type match here! 10* OVER 2 -145 in FC Botosani |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Toronto v. Calgary +9 | Top | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +8.5/9/9.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 9 ET - This is just too many points. I know Toronto is undefeated this season and they are the defending champs. Of course this also means they have a target on their backs right now. The Stampeders are still seeking their first home win of the season. When you consider those factors you have a great set up for a monumental upset here. Even if we don't get that huge upset I look for the points to be enough for the cover here as I just do not see the Argonauts winning this game by more than a 1-score margin on the road. Calgary has played in only 2 games this season that resulted in the Stampeders losing by a margin of more than 7 points and one of those was way back in Week One! Also, the Argos were dominated statistically by Saskatchewan last week and that game was at Toronto. The Riders outgained them by a 2 to 1 ratio. We have great line value here as a result and the Stamps are going to have their ears pinned back for this one! 10* CALGARY + points |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in St Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies @ 8:15 ET - The Cardinals Wainwright, as I have mentioned before, has a couple things going against him now. He lost his long-time batterymate when Yadier Molina retired and he is now just way past his prime and on the downhill slide to retirement. He is having a very rough season and has a 7.18 ERA on the season. His counterpart tonight is Flexen going for the Rockies and the right-hander is also having a very rough season. Flexen is 0-5 with an 8.08 ERA this season. He accumulated nearly all of those stats with the Mariners this season so it is not like his numbers are inflated because of Coors Field. He has only made one start since coming to Colorado. Also, the bullpens are two of the worst in the majors this season based on ERA stats so that also favors the over here. 6 of last 9 Rockies games have totaled at least 11 runs and that included 2 of 3 on the road and those 3 most recent Colorado road games have averaged 12 runs apiece. The Cardinals have not scored great of late but had averaged about 5 runs per game in 11 home games since All-Star break before coming off a 5-3 home loss to Twins yesterday. I look for them to get right back on track here. 10* OVER 9.5 in St Louis |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Royals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -110 vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:05 ET - Yes, the Royals have won 6 straight. However, all those wins were at home. Philadelphia is a huge favorite here with good reason and, of course, we will not lay 2 to 1 odds on the Phillies here. Where the line value is, however, is that on the run line the Phillies are available in a pick'em price range of -110. That will get us involved here! Nola, throughout his career, has been known for pitching very well in Philly. As for Lyles, he is 2-12 this season and has a 6.15 ERA on the year. The Royals are 14-39 on the road this season and 17-49 against teams with a winning record! The Phillies are winners in 6 of last 9 overall and 6 of last 9 at home also. Additionally, the Royals 75 losses have included 62 by at least a 2-run margin. Look for the Phillies to roll big here at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -110 |
|||||||
08-04-23 | Hermannstadt v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt @ 2:30 ET - The value of a 2 is huge in Romanian Football and note that last week all 8 matches totaled at least 2 goals. That was week 3 of the season and note that in the first two weeks of the season 6 of the 8 matches totaled at least 2 goals each week. Considering that fact plus the fact that Universitatea Craiova's manager is expecting an offensive-minded match here and you have the recipe for an over. I know that Universitatea Craiova has conceded just 1 goal so far this season but Hermannstadt has been scoring well and has confidence. Also, Universitatea Craiova is at home here and the manager expects an aggressive approach from the visitor so their planning for this match is heavily focused on exploiting weaknesses via an aggressive counterattack. Hermannstadt has scored 5 goals the past two weeks but has also conceded at least 1 goal in all 3 matches thus far. The visitors also have not had a draw in any of their matches this season and this all factors into why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
|||||||
08-04-23 | CSMS Iasi v. UTA Arad -114 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206914: Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play UTA Money Line -114 vs Poli Iasi @ 11:30 AM ET - Poli Iasi off the huge upset win over Farul last week. UTA's manager was previously the manager of Iasi so you know this match is of particular importance to him. UTA also seeking their first victory of the season and they are catching Iasi at the perfect time. The visitors will end up flat after that big upset win and lets not forget they lost their first two matches by a combined score of 5 to 1 before that victory over Farul. UTA hungry to get into the win column and they are favored at home here with good reason. 10* UTA -114 |
|||||||
08-03-23 | BC +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 14-50 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play BC Lions +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - On one hand, this is a revenge game for Blue Bombers after losing badly to the Lions earlier this season. However, in last year's post-season, BC lost at Winnipeg and they have not forgotten this. Winnipeg ended up going to the Grey Cup as a result of winning that game and they hosted it because they won the West Division. Right now, the Lions are 1 game in front of the Bombers for 1st place in the West. This is a huge game as a result and BC is dead set on winning the division this season. The year has a long way to go yet but opening up an early 2-game lead would be huge for the Lions. They are a perfect 5-0 in the division this season and I like the way Dane Evans played last week at QB as BC piled up a lot of offense. Granted, it was at Edmonton, but this Lions team is playing very well this season and has been ultra strong this year on the defensive side of the ball. That said, I like the generous points being offered here and would not be surprised if we see an outright upset and the Lions improving to 6-0 SU in divisional games this season. We'll grab the points as added insurance. 10* BC Lions +6 |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Thursday MLB 10* OVER 9 in St Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:45 ET - The Twins Sonny Gray had a fantastic start to this season, particularly in April, but has not been overly impressive since then. In June he got hit at a .282 clip and in July he compiled a 4.85 ERA. His combined record these 2 months is 0-4. The Cardinals should enjoy another big day at the plate but I also expect the Twins bats to get in on the act today too after losing 7-3 yesterday. Minnesota will take advantage of a struggling Matthew Liberatore. Even in his recent minor league starts Liberatore has struggled but now he has been thrust back into the starters role for St Louis due to a shortage of arms for the rotation. It has not been earned based on performance as Liberatore has gone 3-5 with a 6.35 ERA and a .314 BAA in his 18 MLB appearances (15 starts). The Cardinals have seen 12 of 19 games since the All-Star Break total at least 9 runs. The Twins have seen 13 of 18 games since the All-Star break total at least 9 runs. Given the above trends and the pitching match-up here (including bullpens - St Louis bad, Minnesota mediocre) this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 9 in St Louis |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Phillies -122 v. Marlins | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 @ Miami Marlins @ 12:10 ET - The Phillies bounce back after last night's unreal loss in which they were up 5-0 and then 5-2 and 5-4 in last innings and then up 7-5 and 8-7 in extra innings. It was a game they never trailed and yet lost. Heading into yesterday's action, the Phillies certainly have been the much hotter team in comparison with the Marlins. Now today in early action look for a bounce back. Michael Lorenzen makes his debut with the Phillies and he had pitched very well for the Tigers this season. Johnny Cueto has allowed 4 homers in 13 innings at home in what has been an injury-plagued season for him. Though he is back now and off a solid start, that one came against the Tigers. This will be a much tougher challenge for him. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
|||||||
08-03-23 | Backa Topola v. Radnicki Nis OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #221201: Serbia Super Liga: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Radnicki Nis vs Backa Topola @ 11:55 AM ET - Radnicki Nis is off a 2-0 loss but now is at home this week. They should respond here in their home opener for the new season and that should translate to plenty of goals here as 4 of their final 5 matches last season did total at least 3 goals. As for Backa Topola, they are off a 3-3 draw in their season opener. Dating back to last season as well, that was the 4th time in 5 matches that a Backa Topola match had totaled at least 3 goals. Their last 6 matches have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Also, in the last 5 meetings between these clubs there was a 1-1 draw but in the other 4 matches the winning club totaled at least 2 goals all 4 times. Based on the above, I am expecting a 2-1 type match here. The visitors off a high-scoring game and the hosts looking to respond after being held scoreless in season opener. That should translate to solid goal-scoring here. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Radnicki Nis |
|||||||
08-02-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - Orioles won 13-3 yesterday and have won 3 straight games plus continue to pile up big runs. That should continue here against Kikuchi. The Blue Jays southpaw has a decent ERA but he actually got hit at a .293 clip last month and a .298 clip in May. I don't think he is that dominant and couple that with the way Baltimore is hitting and we should see plenty of runs here. Also helping in that regard is that Rodriguez is very likely to struggle on the hill for the Orioles. He has a 6.21 ERA this season and Rodriguez has a 7.36 ERA and a .299 batting average against in evening action this year. The Blue Jays can (and will) hit well at home here as they bounce back off an ugly loss. I am not saying Toronto will bounce back for the win but they certainly should bounce back in terms of getting their bats back on track after yesterday's ugly loss. The Jays have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 10 games and that even includes some recent lower-scoring results. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
|||||||
08-02-23 | Phillies -126 v. Marlins | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -126 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -125 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - The Phillies won 3-1 yesterday and 4-2 the day before and here are some notes from the past two days' write-ups that make me like Philadelphia again today as well. Keep in mind, the Phillies entered this series off an extra innings loss at Pittsburgh Sunday and had lost B2B games. However, prior to this, Philadelphia was on a long-term run that saw them win 31 of 46 games. I look for Philadelphia to continue to get back on track here in this series at Miami. The Marlins entered this series off a win and having won 4 of 6 games. However, this was preceded by a stretch in which Miami lost 8 straight games and 13 of 18 games. Overall, the Phillies have been the hotter team and I look for the road team to continue to get back on track here in this continued key battle for the #2 spot in the division behind the surging Braves. We are getting some nice line value here because Garrett has decent numbers but he will prove to be no match for Wheeler. Note that Garrett is off a strong start to wrap up July but this was preceded by him allowing 16 earned runs in 18 innings over his prior July starts. Wheeler has been piling up strikeouts plus has allowed 1 earned run or less in 4 of his last 5 road starts. He dominates again here and the Phillies roll continues. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
|||||||
08-02-23 | Sheriff v. Maccabi Haifa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Maccabi Haifa vs Sheriff Tiraspol @ 1 ET - Sheriff Tiraspol took the first match in Moldova but now have to go to Israel for the 2nd leg of this battle. The 1-0 final that went in favor of Sheriff was not indicative of the dominance that Maccabi Haifa actually had in the match. That said, and now that Maccabi is back home where they have won 8 consecutive matches, I expect a strong push and some scoring from the host in this one. However, Sheriff beat a quality Farul club from Romania to reach this point and that was no easy battle. The visitors will put up a fight here and I am looking for a 2-1 final as an end result in a highly competitive match that will feature a lot of attacking. The hosts are in a 1-0 hole so they will be aggressive from the get-go in this one and this time I look for them to finish better in front of Sheriff's goal. However, the aggressiveness will also open up some chances on the counterattack and that means plenty of opportunities going the other way too. Look for a much more wide open affair here and this one ends with at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Maccabi Haifa |
|||||||
08-02-23 | Rakow Czestochowa v. Qarabag FK OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -145 in Qarabag FK vs Rakow Czestochowa @ Noon ET - Rakow Czestochowa lead this one 3-2 after taking the 1st leg by that final score. However Qarabag FK is known for being so strong at home and tough to beat there with only one loss in a competitive match there in the past 18 months! That said, and knowing the hosts have a one-goal deficit heading into this one, you can expect a strong effort from Qarabag FK and I look for them to find the back of the net to force pressure on Rakow Czestochowa. However, I am certain the visitors will answer the call in a match I see strong odds on finishing at least 2-1. Qarabag FK can not sit back here and must be aggressive and they are so solid at home but they will again struggle to stop Rakow Czestochowa here and this leads to a solid over in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -145 in Qarabag FK |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Mets v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets @ 8:10 ET - I don't think Quintana can be trusted just yet. He is still working his way back into form after suffering injury during spring training this season. Quintana has been hittable so far and he faces a Royals lineup that has some extra confidence right now. Generally speaking, Kansas City tends to hit better at home than on the road and now KC enters this game riding a 3-game winning streak and having produced some solid games at the plate recently. As for the Mets lineup, they have plenty of bats that can give Greinke trouble here. The veteran right-hander has been hit hard in each of the last two months and his form shows no indication of anything changing anytime soon. Greinke is backed by a Royals bullpen that is one of the league's worst also. So New York has a big game at the plate but I also look for the Royals to score well too as their recent surge continues as they go for a season-high (for them) 4th straight win. 10* OVER 9.5 in Kansas City |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Phillies +116 v. Marlins | Top | 3-1 | Win | 116 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +115 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - The Phillies won 4-2 yesterday and here are some notes from yesterday's write-up that make me like Philadelphia again today as well. Keep in mind, the Phillies entered this series off an extra innings loss at Pittsburgh Sunday and had lost B2B games. However, prior to this, Philadelphia was on a long-term run that saw them win 31 of 46 games. I look for Philadelphia to get back on track here in this series at Miami. The Marlins entered this series off a win and having won 4 of 6 games. However, this was preceded by a stretch in which Miami lost 8 straight games and 13 of 18 games. Overall, the Phillies have been the hotter team and I look for the road team to continue to get back on track here in this key battle for the #2 spot in the division behind the surging Braves. We are getting some nice line value here because Ranger Suarez is a much better pitcher than his recent ERA would indicate but he is up against a big-name pitcher in Sandy Alcantara and that is impacting this line. Alcantara is only 4-9 this season but enters this game off a fantastic CG performance. Note that this was only the 3rd time this season he has gone at least 8 innings and after the first two he got destroyed in the next start. I expect a repeat of that here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
|||||||
08-01-23 | Zrinjski v. Slovan Bratislava OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: Tuesday 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in Slovan Bratislava vs Zrinjski @ 2:30 ET - Slovan Bratislava won 1-0 in the first meeting at Mostar even though Zrinjski actually had an edge in possession and scoring chances. Now Slovan Bratislava will be the host and, though they have the confidence of having earned the road win in the 1st leg, Zrinjski knows they deserved better in that one. They proved in the first leg, though they lost 1-0, that they can play with these guys and they need to work hard again (but will have that added confidence) to get the road win here. Though I am not banking on a road win, I am banking on a strong road effort and the home club to answer the call as well and that should eventually translate to a 2-1 type match here. Slovan Bratislava, prior to their 1-0 win in the first leg, saw their last 4 matches across Champions or Europa League action to each total at least 2 goals and those averaged 3 goals apiece. Zrinjski had 2 of their last 3 total at least 3 goals and their last 3 matches across Champions or Europa League action had averaged 3 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in Slovan Bratislava |
|||||||
08-01-23 | PFC Ludogorets Razgrad v. Olimpija OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224209: Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg: OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Olimpija Ljubljana vs Ludogorets Razgrad @ 2 ET - 1st leg was a 1-1 draw so both clubs push hard here for the win and neither club wants to settle for another 1-1 draw with the match to be decided after that. With that said, there is value in expecting 3 goals here. Each match of the First Qualifying Round for Olimpija Ljubljana was decided by a 2-1 final and I am expecting that type of result here. Ludogorets Razgrad saw their First Qualifying Round matches average 3 goals apiece and their Europa Conference League most recent match was also a 2-1 final. Both clubs scoring well domestically of late as well so I am looking for plenty of goals in the deciding match of this qualifying round. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Olimpija Ljubljana |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Angels v. Braves OVER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 10 in Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Angels @ 7:20 ET - Something is not right with Charlie Morton. He has struggled in his last two starts with too many walks and too many big hits given up. The Angels will take advantage. At the same time, however, Los Angeles pitcher Griffin Canning has a chance somewhere between minimal and non-existent in terms of shutting down this red hot Braves team. Atlanta just continues to pile up runs and wins and Canning enters this one having been hit at a .316 clip this month. Also, he has allowed 13 earned runs in 19 innings over his last 4 starts. The Braves will certainly take advantage. Atlanta is the top slugging team in the majors and also the top hitting team in the National League. The Braves also will take advantage of facing an Angels bullpen that is a weakness. Los Angeles has been winning though as they are 10-5 since the All-Star break and they have averaged scoring 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Braves have also averaged 6 runs per game over their past 11 games and there is a reason this total is posted at double digits. Don't let the big number scare you as we should see at least a dozen runs scored in this one given the pitching situation and two clubs that are stepping to the plate with quite a bit of confidence right now. 10* OVER 10 in Atlanta |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Phillies -104 v. Marlins | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -110 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - The Phillies are off an extra innings loss at Pittsburgh yesterday and have lost B2B games. However, prior to this, Philadelphia was on a long-term run that saw them win 31 of 46 games. I look for Philadelphia to get back on track here at Miami. The Marlins are off a win and have won 4 of 6 games. However, this was preceded by a stretch in which Miami lost 8 straight games and 13 of 18 games. Overall, the Phillies have been the hotter team and Taijuan Walker gives them the pitching edge over Edward Cabrera here. Walker has gone 8-2 over his last dozen starts and has taken his ERA from 6.53 down to 4.06 over this stretch. As for Cabrera, the Marlins are winless in his last 3 starts and he has given up 9 earned runs in 11 innings during this stretch. Look for the road team to get back on track here in this key battle for the #2 spot in the division behind the surging Braves. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Sepsi v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -150 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs Sepsi @ 2:30 ET - The value of a 2 here is big. In each of the first two weeks 6 of the 8 matches have reached at least the 2-goal mark. Now, as we enter the final matchday of week 3, all 6 matches thus far have totaled at least 2 goals. Scoring is up overall and I like what I am seeing from the marketplace on this one. The betting markets seem to be thinking under here based on line movement yet the odds makers were pointing more towards the over here based on the way they priced it. That said, the fact Sepsi's first two matches have seen a total of just 1 goal scored yet you are seeing some books have over 2.5 goals on this one tells you all you need to know really. Look for Dinamo to come up big at home as they are so happy to be back in Liga 1 and want to put on a show for their home fans but are still seeing their first win this season. Dinamo has allowed 2 goals in each match so far this season but did score a goal last week. Also, dating back to last season's promotion/relegation playoffs they have now scored an average of 2.2 goals last 4 matches but allowed 2.2 goals last 4 matches as well. This one should be very entertaining in Bucuresti tonight. 10* OVER 2 goals -150 in Dinamo |
|||||||
07-31-23 | Voluntari v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -51 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206873: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Voluntari @ 11:30 AM ET - The value of a 2 here is big. In each of the first two weeks 6 of the 8 matches have reached at least the 2-goal mark. Now, as we enter the final matchday of week 3, all 6 matches thus far have totaled at least 2 goals. Scoring is up overall and I like what I have seen from FC Voluntari entering this one. Their first two matches this season have averaged totaling 4 goals and their final 3 of last season also averaged totaling 4 goals. The last time these two clubs met, ironically, it was a 2-2 final so it also totaled 4 goals. I know Petrolul Ploiesti has seen each of their first two matches finish as 1-1 draws but they are at home here and will push hard for the full 3 points. They have allowed at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches dating back to last season so look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
|||||||
07-30-23 | Calgary v. Montreal OVER 47.5 | Top | 18-25 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Montreal vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - This is Week 8 of the CFL season and is the final of 4 match-ups this week. The first 3 games this week have all remained under. There has NOT been a single week this season out of the 8 weeks so far that we did not see at least ONE over in the CFL. Look for that streak to remain intact as both teams are off high-scoring games (Montreal's was before bye week last week). So both teams off high-scoring losses and this is a non-divisional match-up. This is the perfect set-up for these teams to turn this into an offensive-minded shootout. Nice set up for an over and we get a rather low number to work with. The Alouettes last two games have each totaled at least 54 points and the Stampeders last two games have each totaled at least 64 points! Also, warm weather conditions for this one without any concern for any significant winds. As a result, expect plenty of points here. 10* OVER 47.5 in Montreal |
|||||||
07-30-23 | Reds v. Dodgers OVER 10.5 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds @ 4:10 ET - The Reds and Dodgers played out to a 3-2 final yesterday and, surprisingly, LA won despite only 3 hits in the game. After that unusually low-scoring battle, I am looking for a very high-scoring match-up here on Sunday afternoon. It will be a hot afternoon in LA and the ball should carry better than usual here and these are two starting pitchers likely to get roughed up plus neither bullpen has been overly impressive this season. The Dodgers bullpen ERA ranks them 21st. The Reds bullpen WHIP ranks them 23rd out of the 30 teams in MLB. In other words, don't let the big line scare you here. This one should fly over the total. Note that Graham Ashcraft struggled badly in his lone appearance against the Dodgers this season. He has pitched better lately but a lot of that was based on match-ups. This is not a good match-up for him. Also, as for the Dodgers Michael Grove, he has pitched in the majors in April, June and July so far this season. He has had at least 4 appearances in each month and has been hit at over a .300 clip in each month! Grove will struggle here against a Reds team that has shown more and more confidence at the plate as this season has gone on. This LA team is ranked #3 in MLB for slugging percentage and the Reds are a top ten offense for on base percentage this season. Cincinnati had averaged 5 runs per game last 10 games before yesterday's tough loss. The Dodgers have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game last 11 games. 10* OVER 10.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers |
|||||||
07-30-23 | CS U Craiova v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -53 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206889: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:30 ET - CFR Cluj has both scored and conceded in each of its last two matches across all competitions but also has scored an average of 2 goals in last 3 matches overall. Also, in their 2 Liga 1 matches, CFR Cluj has scored at least 2 goals in each match. Considering that plus the fact that Universitatea Craiova is fired up off a scoreless draw with Otelul Galati, I am looking for goals here. Universitatea Craiova scored 2 goals in winning their first road match this season and they also scored 3 goals in winning their final road match of last season with a big win back in May. They will get on the board here the way I forecast this one as back to back clean sheets highly unlikely. However, CFR Cluj is certainly favored for a reason and the over is the way to go here with a 2-1 final likely and I like the value of over 2 being available at a reasonable -135 price in this one. OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
|||||||
07-29-23 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* OVER 9.5 in St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:15 ET - Last night's match-up was a rare low-scoring one between these teams as they have been flying over for a quite a while now. Remember that Thursday's game was a Chicago win by a 10-3 final as yet another over came in. Entering this series, the Cubs were off a 10-7 win Wednesday which followed a 7-3 win Tuesday which followed a 7-2 win Sunday! That means that 14 of last 16 Cubs games (88%) have totaled at least 9 runs and a 9.5 is currently the posted total on this game. Lot of value here as the Cubs, going further back, have seen 18 of last 22 (82%) games total at least 9 runs. The Cardinals bullpen struggled again Thursday after a game Wednesday in which they hung on for the 11-7 win at Arizona after losing to the Diamondbacks Tuesday in a game in which their bullpen allowed all 3 runs in the 8th inning. The Cardinals have seen 11 of 15 games since the All-Star break total at least 9 runs. Also, the Cards have averaged scoring 5.6 runs per game in those 15 games. The Cubs have averaged scoring 7.4 runs per game last 13 games and are so confident at the plate as they have won 9 of 10 games. This one should see plenty of runs too as, out of the 30 MLB teams, the Cubs bullpen ERA is ranked 16th and the ERA for the St Louis bullpen is ranked 24th. As for the starting pitchers in this one, the Cubs Jameson Taillon has struggled in all but one of his recent starts and that was against a Yankees team he pitched for each of the last two seasons. Other than that one revenge game he performed well in, he has allowed 35 hits in about 26 innings over his other 5 recent starts. The Cards Adam Wainwright is a guy who had a fantastic career and most of that was spent throwing to batterymate Yadier Molina. He has retired now and Wainwright is now 41 years old and those two factors have helped lead the way to him getting destroyed throughout this 2023 season. More struggles likely here and both teams continue their recent trend of getting involved in high-scoring games. 10* OVER 9.5 in St Louis |
|||||||
07-29-23 | BC v. Edmonton Elks +8 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +8 vs BC Lions @ 7 ET - With Vernon Adams expected to miss this game as he still deals with an injury, the Lions are going with Dane Evans at QB as the starter and Dominique Davis as the back-up. Evans is coming off a mediocre season in which he had as many interceptions as touchdowns and that is why he was not the starter in the first place. Making this match-up a little tougher for him is that WR Dominique Rhymes is expected to miss this game and that is one less target for Evans. Also, BC is facing a desperate home dog here as the Elks are still seeking their first win of the new season. That makes things even tougher for the traveling Lions here and the Elks have been competitive in a number of their losses this season and that should be the case again here. Upset alert as the Elks bring an A game effort here and, if they fall short of the outright win, look for this game to be decided by just a one score margin as the Elks are so hungry for a home win and will be the more amped up team here. BC could overlook them and who could blame them for this really? That makes them a very dangerous dog here. 10* EDMONTON +8 |
|||||||
07-29-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Otelul OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -58 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -150 in Otelul Galati vs FCSB @ 2:30 ET - This match was sold out already before matchday! Otelul Galati very happy to be back in Liga 1 and also relishing the opportunity to again host matches like this. They host the big boys from Bucuresti as FCSB is in town for this one and there should be an incredible energy for this match. That said, and considering FCSB is without one of its best defenders, I do expect Galati to find a way to score at least 1 goal here. However, FCSB is a big favorite for a reason here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final as the end result here. Though we have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals, having a 2 is a key number in matches in Liga 1 and I am willing to lay the price to have the extra security of turning a 2 into a push. FCSB has seen 6 of last 7 matches total at least 3 goals and those 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 goals -150 in Otelul Galati |