Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-06-22 | Brewers +102 v. Braves | Top | 6-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers +102 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - The expected pitchers are Lauer vs Chavez. I don't care who pitches here as I like the fact that the Brewers have won 10 of 12 games and have gotten a confidence boost with playing some weaker foes and having a chance to get their lineup going. Milwaukee has scored an average of 9 runs per game last 8 wins. The Braves, on the other hand, have lost 4 of 6 games and Atlanta has scored an average of only 2 runs per game in those 4 losses. This one will be all Brewers regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Milwaukee has won all 4 of Eric Lauer's starts this season and he has been phenomenal of late including piling up the strikeouts. 24 K's in last 13 innings spanning two most recent starts. Grabbing the hotter team that is also available at a great price because of being on the road. 10* MILWAUKEE +102 |
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05-06-22 | Heat v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NBA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Sixers will still be without Joel Embiid. However, even on the road in Game 2, the only difference in the game was really the 3-point shooting of Miami. The Heat outscored Philly by 18 points from 3 point land and won the game by 16 points. The 76ers had just 8 turnovers while Miami had 14 and Philadelphia did have 6 more FG attempts in the game. Philly is going to bring a huge effort here and are going to shoot much better than the combined 14 of 64 they shot from distance in the first two games of this series in Miami. At the same time, I do not expect the Heat to make a ridiculous 14 of 29 from outside the arc like they did in Game 2. The Sixers can get back into this series with a win here and Embiid possible returning for Game 4. That said, this is Philly's season here and I expect a huge amount of fight in this dog at home! The Sixers have won 5 of last 6 home games and the Heat have lost 2 of last 3 road games. The home team has won 10 of last 13 meetings between these teams and I expect that trend to continue here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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05-05-22 | Capitals +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Puck Line +1.5 goals -120 @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals rallied for the win in Game 1 as they were down 2-1 after two periods. However, the victory was no fluke really. This Washington team built well for the playoffs and they outshot a tough Panthers team 38 to 32 in the game. I don't necessarily think they will spring the outright upset in each of the first two games of this series but they will be tough to beat here. Florida going to have to really battle just to win this game let alone cover the 1.5 goals on the puck line. Washington is a strong physical team and I also do not trust goalie Sergei Bobrovsky of the Panthers. Again, not saying they will not win this game. Just think it is going to be a tough battle all the way through and remember the Capitals tied for the league lead this season with 25 road wins in the regular season! 10* WASHINGTON +1.5 goals -120 |
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05-04-22 | 76ers +8.5 v. Heat | Top | 103-119 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers off a double digit loss in Game 1 but should respond here even without Joel Embiid. Philly just getting no respect here and, with backs against the wall, will get back on track in Game 2. The Sixers had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss in Game 1. The Heat are 1-3 ATS last 4 times when off an ATS win. The 76ers are going to battle all the way to end in this one and remember they were only down 4 with 4 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +8.5 |
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05-04-22 | Bruins +105 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins +105 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins lost Game 1 by a 5-1 score but outshot the Hurricanes by a count of 36 to 25. In other words, this was not the blowout it really looked like. In fact, the game was very close for a very long time so the final score not indicative of how the game played out. The Bruins are a playoff-veteran team that will bounce back off the game one loss. Boston has eliminated Carolina from the post-season twice in recent seasons and has plenty of confidence in this match-up despite the recent Hurricanes wins in both the regular season and the start of this series. 10* BOSTON +105 |
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05-04-22 | Rays v. A's +114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Afternoon Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Oakland A's +115 vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 3:37 ET - The A's blew a 5-3 lead in the top of the 9th yesterday but overall their bullpen has been solid this season. I know Oakland is on a losing streak but they bounce back at home here after letting yesterday's game slip away and losing 10-7 in extra innings. I like this play regardless of the pitchers but will mention that Tampa Bay's Kluber is off a strong start but allowed 11 hits in 5 innings in his prior start. Also, in his 8 career starts against Oakland his teams have a record of 2-6. Conversely, Montas has a 2.46 ERA in his 4 career starts versus the Rays and his teams have a record of 3-1 in those 4 starts. Look for the A's to bounce back big here and I love fading the line move as the line on TB as a small fave has been climbing higher and higher this morning. 10* OAKLAND +115 |
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05-04-22 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Contrarian Dominator Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 -115 in Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners @ 2:10 ET - Mariners off B2B shutout losses and now face Justin Verlander. However, watch Seattle surprise some people here. Verlander did give up 2 homers in his only home start this season and now the Mariners getting a 2nd look at him after facing him in Seattle in mid-April. Look for this to benefit the M's lineup here but the issue for Seattle is they are starting Matt Brash. He is winless with a 9.82 ERA in his road starts this season and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and that included a start against the Astros in which he was fortunate he did not give up more runs as he walked 6 in about 5 innings. No matter who starts here I am anticipating the Mariners bats get back on track and the Astros bats will stay hot. Houston has won 7 of 10 games and averaging 5.4 runs scored per victory. 10* OVER 7.5 in Houston |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 215 | Top | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 215 in Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7 ET - The Bucks have had unders now in 6 straight games. In typical contrarian fashion, I will take the over in this one given that streak! I love the fact that Milwaukee held Boston to just 89 points in the Game 1 upset win. The Celtics entered that game having won 8 of 9 games and scoring an average of 122.6 points per game! Boston will bounce back and make adjustments and score well here but the Bucks are the defending champs for a reason. Milwaukee will hang around in this game and they had averaged 114 points per game last 4 games before the low-scoring Game 1 win in this series. Celtics were on an 8-4 run to the over last dozen games before that under and also in match-ups between these teams the over was 7-3 last 10 meetings before that under. Game 2 will play out much differently. 10* OVER 215 in Boston |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -125 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - Very few teams in the NHL had more home wins than the 27 the Rangers amassed this season. Also, the Rangers Igor Shesterkin was arguably the best goalie in the game this season. Though he is coming off a tough couple starts to finish the season that will only motivate him even more to have a huge performance beginning with Game 1 of this series. So the Rangers have the goalie edge and home ice edge and we are getting a very fair price because the Penguins are a public team in the NHL. They are very popular indeed and a lot of bettors like to back them which gives us even more value in the backing the Rangers here. New York has won 4 of last 5 home ice meetings with the Pens. Overall, the Rangers have won 3 straight meetings with Pittsburgh. Love the line value here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -125 |
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05-03-22 | Rangers v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 vs Texas Rangers @ 6:45 ET - I do not care who pitches here but do expect it to be Suarez and the Phillies are 4-0 in his starts this season. As for the Rangers it could be Otto or Gray but most likely Gray and he has a 7.00 ERA so far this season and Otto is off to a good start this season but he got hammered last season. Otto is still inexperienced and whether he goes or Gray goes or whoever pitches for Texas here I like the Phillies to bounce back off a 10-6 loss to the Mets on Sunday. Philadelphia had won 7 of 10 games before that. I am comfortable laying the run line here as 10 of the Phillies 11 wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Texas is off B2B wins but had lost 14 of 20 games prior to that! Also, the Rangers last dozen losses have featured 10 by 2 or more runs. This one has home blowout written all over it. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +125 |
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05-03-22 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (Game 1) @ 3:10 ET - I know that scoring has trended downward early this season but Morton is having a rough start to the season and the over is 3-1 in his outings. As for Carrasco, he is off a very rough start in his last outing plus got hammered by the Braves the last time he faced them and that was in October so was not too long ago. Regardless of the pitching match-up here I like the over as Atlanta is on a 6-3 run to the over and the Mets lineup is super solid but off a loss yesterday and ready to respond here. Prior to that, New York had won 7 of 10 games and scored at least 5 runs in 6 of those 10 games. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in New York Mets (Game 1) |
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05-02-22 | 76ers +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - How many times have we seen a key player out for a team and then the line jumps the other way of course but it is the wounded team that actually gets the cover? Plenty! This has been a strong regular season trend and it has continued into the post-season. That said, with Joel Embiid out for at least the first two games of this series, this line on the Heat has gotten out of hand. Keep in mind, Miami is currently dealing with some nagging injury issues as well. Too much value to pass up here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7.5 |
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05-02-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees @ 7:07 ET - The Yankees have won 9 straight games and averaged scoring 7.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are known for scoring better at home but are off some low-scoring games here. I look for the bats to come back to life here. I do not care who the pitchers are as the Yankees will stay hot at the plate and the Blue Jays will answer them run for run in this one. Toronto has trended under this season but they are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game at home this season. The over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games. If it is Montgomery versus Stripling (again I am playing this regardless of pitchers) note that Montgomery has struggled in recent starts versus Jays and Stripling is winless with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts versus Yankees and the New York sticks are hot right now and the Jays bullpen has struggled a bit particularly at home. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -110 vs Boston Bruins @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes seek revenge for playoff ouster at the hands of Bruins two years ago. Boston is a great team but only one team in the Eastern Conference (Florida with 7) had fewer losses than the 8 Carolina had on home ice in the regular season. This is a tough team to beat at Carolina. Also, the Hurricanes certainly are not lacking for confidence in this one after beating the Bruins by a combined score of 16 to 1 in the 3 regular season meetings! The goalie match-up is expected to be Raanta versus Ullmark and both have been playing well but note that the Canes won 10 of 13 home starts for Raanta and the Bruins lost 8 of 20 road starts for Ullmark. The pick'em price considering the home ice factors and all of the above make the Hurricanes well worth the investment here. 10* CAROLINA -110 |
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05-02-22 | Brentford v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Early Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - Brentford has actually been in solid form and their road matches have been higher-scoring than their home matches as the former have averaged 3 goals apiece. That is what I am fully expecting here - at least a 2-1 final - as I expect Brentford to put up a fight in this one but I also see Manchester United putting forth a very strong effort here in their final home match of the campaign. It has been a disappointing campaign for Manchester United but they battle hard in their 1-1 draw with Chelsea and now will push even harder to end the home portion of their season on a positive note with a big win here. Brentford fully capable of an upset here with how strong they have been playing and would not be surprised to see this match in a 2-2 draw either. Solid goal-scoring expected as, prior to their 1-1 draw with defensive-minded Chelsea, 3 straight Manchester United matches had totaled 4 or more goals. Brentford off a scoreless draw with Tottenham but, prior to this, they had scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 6 matches and averaged 2.3 goals scored per match. The last two matches between these clubs each totaled 4 or more goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +127 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies Money Line +127 vs Golden State Warriors @ 3:30 ET - The Grizzlies just are not getting any respect here and waiting until Sunday morning has paid off in terms of line value here as now we can get some extra plus money with the money line in this one. The home team has won 3 straight meetings between these teams and 5 of the last 7. The Warriors are 4-4 SU in last 8 road games. The Grizzlies are 32-12 SU in home games including post-season this year. Golden State is barely above .500 on the road this season. The public will be all over the Warriors here. They see Curry, Thompson and know the history of these guys and the playoff runs they have had. Conversely, most do not know too much about this Grizzlies team and how good they can be on defense and particularly when at home. They will know more about just how good this Memphis team is after they notch the upset in Game 1 on their home floor. All the big comebacks the Grizzlies had in the series with Minny also gives this team a ton of confidence and a never say die attitude. They win this one at home. 10* MEMPHIS +127 |
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05-01-22 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds @ 3:10 ET - I am coming right back with this play we had yesterday. When the Reds loaded the bases with no one out on 3 straight line drive hits in the top of the 5th but only scored 1 run out of all of that I knew we were in trouble. Sure enough the Rockies had one of those "Coors Field innings" in the bottom of the 6th and put up a 4 spot but it was too little too late. We'll get payback today as Sanmartin is 0-3 with an 11.75 ERA this season and Freeland is also 0-3 this season plus has a 7.71 ERA in his home starts. Even if those guys weren't the starters here I will again mention bad bullpens and the fact Rockies tend to score very well at home and Reds had been scoring better prior to yesterday's debacle. This one will be the slugfest that just never developed yesterday. These two hurlers a combined 0-6 on the season. Regardless of starting pitchers, runs runs runs the story in this one. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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05-01-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Playoff Primer Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg Jets vs Seattle Kraken @ 2 ET - Seattle is off a win and Winnipeg has won 3 straight games. This is a "meaningless" late season game but you know both these non-playoff clubs want to head into the off-season on a positive note. There should be plenty of open ice and solid scoring chances in this one. Seattle is off a rare 3-0 shutout win but had allowed an average of nearly 5 goals per game in losing 4 straight before that. The Kraken will have their hands full trying to slow down a Jets team that wants to end the season with a bang. I do like the fact that Seattle has scored at least 2 goals in 9 straight games and has actually averaged 3 goals per game during this stretch. The Jets are favored heavily for a reason though and I am looking for a 4-3 type game here at a minimum. Winnipeg is on a 3 game winning streak and off a 3-1 win versus Calgary plus scored at least 4 goals in each of the 3 home games preceding that one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg |
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05-01-22 | Arsenal v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Early Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - West Ham has scored in all their matches on their home pitch this season. Yes, at least 1 goal in each match. Of course red hot Arsenal is favored to win for a reason. In other words, the least we should see here is a 2-1 final on that notion alone! No guarantees of course but indeed we should get to 3 goals based on logic here. The last time Arsenal visited the Hammers they found themselves down 3-0 but battled all the way back in the 3-3 draw. No lead is safe in other words and neither club has forgotten that match. That said, this is a match that should see solid scoring because West Ham is missing some guys on defense and plus Arsenal, as strong as they have been, has still proven to not be immune to untimely miscues defensively which lead to great scoring chances for the opposition. This one should feature plenty of scoring as the visitors desperate to stay hot and get the full 3 points in the table as they are hungry for that top-4 finish this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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04-30-22 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds @ 8:10 ET - The Rockies bats are different at home. After struggling to score runs on their road trip they are back on track at home. 10-4 win yesterday for Colorado. Though Cincinnati is still having the same problem - losing - that they have had all season long, at least they are scoring some runs. Yesterday's loss was the 5th straight game in which the Reds have scored at least 4 runs and they have averaged 5 runs per game during this stretch. The Rockies are averaging nearly 6 runs per game at home this season and the weather will be nice for this one. I like this play regardless of the starting pitchers as both teams have bullpens that have struggled this season. But, in terms of the expected starting pitchers, Connor Overton is making his first start of the new season and he allowed 8 earned runs in less than 4 innings in his last two starts of last season to finish the season in ugly fashion. He only has limited MLB career action including just 3 starts and 2 of those were disasters. As for Rockies starter Chad Kuhl, he is off to strong start this season but he got roughed up in spring training and is coming off a rough season with Pirates last year. He is making just his 2nd home start of the season and Coors Field can be tough on pitchers. I feel strongly that the money line is priced rather low on Rockies here for a reason. They are -140 at home and hosting a 3-17 team. Something funny with that and tells me that Rockies pitchers are expected to get hit hard in this game. Maybe they win a slugfest but the money line price is funny to me and I feel confident of a slugfest being the ultimate result here no matter which team comes out on top. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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04-30-22 | Mariners +110 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Seattle Mariners +110 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:10 ET - The Marlins lost 8-6 yesterday but are 3-0 last 3 times they were off a loss by a multi-run margin. I know Miami has been hot but they had scored a total of 5 runs in the two games prior to yesterday's explosion at the plate. Also, they have been held to 3 or less runs so often this season. I like the road dog here regardless of the starting pitchers as Seattle has the better lineup and slightly better bullpen in my opinion as well and early season runs and ERA are proving that out. As for the expected starters here, Robbie Ray has gone undefeated with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts versus Miami. Jesus Luzardo got hammered the last time he faced Seattle and also enters this start struggling a bit with 6 walks and 9 hits for 15 baserunners in about 9 innings of work spanning his last two starts. The real ugly start of those two was here at home and I expect another home loss for the Marlins in this one too as the Mariners put an end to Miami's hot streak. 10* SEATTLE +110 |
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04-30-22 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 124 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
TOTAL OF THE MONTH EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +125 in Leeds United vs Manchester City @ 12:30 PM ET - The fact that Leeds United will have a raucous crowd at home for this one should help them find the back of the net at least once in this one but the key to this total going over on their home pitch is they will not be able to stop the top team in the league. Manchester City will score a pile here. Leeds is off a scoreless draw but that was preceded by 4 matches that averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Those matches, of course, were not against Man City. The last time they faced Man City they were destroyed 7-0. Man City enters this match having scored an average of 3.5 goals last 4 matches across all competitions and they allowed 3 goals apiece in 2 of those 4 matches. Leeds will put up a fight here but they are going to have to score a little to keep up here and a high-scoring match will be the result. The visitors have some injury issues with their defense here and I do expect the hosts to put some pressure on the attack in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 +125 in Leeds United |
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04-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 101 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line Pick +101 - Brighton & Hove have lost only 4 of 17 road matches this season. They are coming off a match on their home pitch in which they had to settle for a draw despite jumping out to a 2-0 lead. This means extra motivation here for the visitors and note that Wolverhampton is in poor current form overall plus already has 7 losses on the season in 16 matches on their home pitch. The value of the goal line at a pick'em is that a draw becomes a push at the betting window and based on the current situation as well as current form and the fact that the visitors have picked up at least a point in 13 of 17 road matches this season, this is a top play for me on the side. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +101 |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +110 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Game of the Month 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +110 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 9 ET - Look for the long-term home team trend to continue here as the host has won SU in 78% of the last 9 meetings between these teams. I know Memphis is the better team defensively overall but if you look at the road/home dichotomy that is not the case. The Timberwolves allow less points and a lower shooting percentage when they are at home compared to what the Grizzlies allow in those two categories when on the road. That said, we have some home dog value here in my opinion because Minny is known for lighting up the scoreboard when on their home floor and they should do just that here. 10* MINNESOTA +110 |
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04-29-22 | Phillies +112 v. Mets | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +110 @ New York Mets @ 7:10 ET - Excellent line value here regardless of the pitching match-up. The Phillies overall pitching staff including bullpen has been fantastic as they have won 4 straight games and have allowed an average of only 2 runs per game last 5 games. The Phillies bats have been going in a big way too and confidence is building with 4 wins by a combined score of 32 to 9 in this hot streak. Now they take on a strong Mets team and seeking revenge from losing 2 of 3 in Philly earlier this month. I like the hot Phillies regardless of pitching match-up here but will mention the expected starters here and the fact that Aaron Nola absolutely dominated in his last two visits to this ballpark and Tylor Megill is coming back down to earth after a strong start to season. He has still been solid last two starts but not like he was earlier this season. This is called regression to the mean as he was pitching better than usual earlier. Now the Phillies pound him tonight. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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04-29-22 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers are off B2B embarrassing road losses but are now back home for their final game of the season. Philadelphia scored 4 goals in winning their most recent home game. Also, that followed a 6-3 win at Montreal in the prior game. The Flyers have been struggling defensively and in goal but they can find the back of the net when motivated and Philly is motivated on home ice to close the season with a win. However, they will have to score plenty of goals to do so because of their recent poor defense and sub-par netminding. The Senators will take advantage and enter this game having scored 3 goals in each of the first two games against Flyers this season. The Sens are off a shutout loss versus Florida but had won 4 straight games prior to that. Also, other than 2-1 win in that stretch, Ottawa's other 5 games prior to the shutout loss to the Panthers had totaled an average of 8.4 goals apiece. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NBA 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 - It is the Pelicans turn here. No team has won B2B games yet in this see-saw series and New Orleans is a home dog and will take advantage of Booker still being out for the Suns and I look for the home team to get it done here. I know there is speculation he might return tonight but I doubt he will. Even if he does, I like the fact that the Pelicans have been the much stronger rebounding team in this series and I expect them to shoot better from long-distance after a 5 for 25 at Phoenix in Game 5. The home dog gets it done here and extends the series. 10* NEW ORLEANS +2.5 |
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04-28-22 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - Lost with this play when these teams met in Tampa Bay Tuesday but the Lighting scored 4 goals in that one. TB will be able to score well again here but this time the Blue Jackets will join the party as well. Columbus is a different team on home ice and should produce much better here. The Jackets last home game was a 5-2 win and they love for that cannon to be going off plenty of times with each goal scored for the hosts when in Columbus. Overall that 5-2 win was the 13th time last 19 home games for Columbus totaling at least 7 goals. This one will too as the Blue Jackets are sure to put up a fight in their home finale but they will have to score plenty of goals to topple Tampa Bay. So look for a 4-3 or 5-4 type game here that might see the Jackets fall just short but our over will not fall short this time! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-28-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 7 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
*action on the pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 3:07 ET - I fully understand the line move but it has gone from an 8 to a 7 and in typical contrarian fashion here I am on the over. The Red Sox got their sticks going with 13 hits yesterday. The Blue Jays typically hit well at home but struggled yesterday and I fully expect them to bounce back here. Toronto is averaging 5 runs per game at home this season. I also am aware of Xander Bogaerts likely being out of the lineup today. Again, this is a contrarian play all the way. I have seen so many times this type of scenario play out and I like the fact the road team scored so well yesterday and brings confidence to the ball park this afternoon and the fact that we have one of the better home hitting teams in the majors ready to bounce back here. No matter who the pitchers are here I like the over but I will mention that Whitlock was fantastic out of the bullpen last season and to start this year but this is still a guy who has only one MLB start under his belt. Also, Manoah is a great starter but his hits allowed have gone from 1 to 4 to 7 in last 3 starts. Again, banking on the bats here to get us over this low total regardless of the pitchers. 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-28-22 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United - The last 3 Man U matches have all totaled at least 4 goals. Chelsea is off a tight 1-0 win over West Ham but 5 of last 6 matches within premier league action had totaled at least 4 goals. Knowing Man U is on a 7-game unbeaten run on home soil but also that Chelsea has been so strong on the road and is averaging 2 goals scored per match as a visitor this season, the play here is the OVER |
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04-27-22 | Flyers +169 v. Jets | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +170 @ Winnipeg Jets @ 7:35 ET - This is a tricky spot for the Jets and this play is all about the underdog value for the Flyers. Winnipeg is off a win but had lost 4 straight games before that. The average margin of defeat was 3.3 goals per game in those 4 losses. The point is that the Jets have not been playing that well, their playoff hopes were only recently dashed, and they have two bigger games against Western Conference foes on deck. They will want the game with Calgary up next and then their home finale after that versus Seattle. This is the most meaningless game left on their schedule and the Flyers could surprise here. Also, I do respect back-up goalie Comrie but he is the #2 to Hellebuyck for a reason of course and Comrie will be between the pipes tonight. Flyers off a loss but won 2 straight before that and will be motivated to win their final road game of the season after a bit of a lackluster showing at Chicago Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +170 |
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04-27-22 | Bulls +12.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Double Perfect Play Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +12.5 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - The road team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in this series and on a 5-0 ATS run dating back to the regular season. Once this one is in the books, I am predicting that streak to reach 6 in a row. I do expect Milwaukee to close this series out with a home win tonight but look for Chicago to rally the troops, with Zach Lavine out, and battle hard all the way in this one to lose by just a single digit margin and get us the all-important ATS cover. By the way, the Bucks are on an 0-5 ATS run in home games dating back to the regular season as well. Hence, the double perfect situation here and I understand the line move but love fading line moves too and this is the perfect spot (literally) - filled with high value in my opinion. 10* CHICAGO +12.5 |
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04-27-22 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB PA Dominator Wednesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -110 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - Regardless of the pitching match-up here the Phillies confidence is up again at the plate as they have won the first two games in this series by a combined score of 18 to 5. In fact, their last 3 games against Colorado have now all been wins by a combined score of 27 to 11. So they are enjoying success against Rockies pitchers no matter who has been on the mound and now they are expected to face Feltner making his first start of the new season. He will be no match for expected starter Suarez in this one as the Phillies lefty is gradually showing more and more signs of being the pitcher he was last season and he should dominate this outing. No matter who the pitchers are, the Phillies hot bats carry the way again and the Rockies road struggles continue. 9* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -110 |
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04-27-22 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 +100 vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 3:40 ET - Love the home dog value here on the run line. We get value because Dodgers have been so hot this season and are off a 5-3 loss yesterday but give Arizona credit here. The Diamondbacks rallied from a 3-0 deficit yesterday to get that win. It was impressive and no matter who pitches here I like the fact that Arizona's last 8 games have featured only 2 losses my more than a single run. The expected pitchers here are Gallen versus Urias. I love the fact that Gallen has been strong early this season even though he faced a tough Mets lineup twice. He is throwing very well. Conversely, Urias got to enjoy a start against a bad Reds team plus he struggled badly in one of his two road starts as he got hammered by the Rockies. Though Urias is a solid pitcher for sure, so too is Gallen and the latter has enjoyed success against Los Angeles as well. I know Urias has good numbers against the Dbacks but he has allowed 9 hits in 10 innings in last two visits to Arizona and struggles again here. Regardless of starting pitchers, look for the Diamondbacks to make it 7 of last 9 games either being a win or a 1-run loss. Highly competitive match-up here and the home team finds a way. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 runs +100 |
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04-26-22 | Golden Knights v. Stars +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars Money Line +100 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:35 ET - The Golden Knights are the more desperate team here. But that is merely serving to give us extra line value because of public perception. The fact it is the Stars have yet to clinch a playoff spot and they can do so with a win tonight. On home ice and with a chance to clinch, Dallas should get the win tonight. Vegas knows their odds are now extremely slim after losses to the Devils and then a heart-breaking gut-wrenching OT loss to the Sharks in which they blew a late 2-goal lead. The Knights will try to bounce back here but it is too much to ask and Dallas rolls again on home ice after a 3-2 win over Seattle in most recent game. The Stars are 25-10-3 on home ice this season while Vegas has won only about half their road games this season. The situation sets up perfectly for a home ice win here. 10* DALLAS +100 |
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04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Over is 5-2 in last 7 White Sox games and Royals now off B2B overs. Lynch has a horrible history against Chicago including 16.19 ERA in 3 starts last season. Keuchel has struggled in 2 of his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. Chilly weather in Chicago tonight but expected breezes out of northwest could actually help our over as well. Either way, no matter the pitchers here (play it with action), we should see plenty of runs as White Sox starters and relievers have combined to give up 6 or more runs in 5 of last 7 games. Both lineups should get going here as Royals have hit well here in past and ChiSox happy to be back home for sure. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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04-26-22 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Punisher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning just blasted three straight teams including the Maple Leafs and they prefer to meet Toronto in the post-season so they will keep going hard so they don't fall into a wild-card sport. That said, Tampa Bay should again score extremely well here. TB has won 5 of 6 games and scored 6.4 goals per game in those 5 victories! As for the Blue Jackets, they are off a 5-2 home win and 2 of their last 4 road games totaled at least 9 goals. Look for another high-scoring game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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04-26-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Hawks just got embarrassed on their home floor in a 24 point loss on Sunday. This is now their season right here. I am not saying they will win this game outright but I do like the odds of at least a cover here. Since mid-February, Atlanta has gone 10-1 SU when entering a game off a non-OT loss! The only time they lost back to back was in Games 1 and 2 of that series and in that one that Game 2 loss they were down by just 3 points with 2 and 1/2 minutes to go and missed a game-tying 3 at that juncture in the game. The point is that the eventual 10 point loss was a closer finish than you think and that game was here in Miami too. Big value with the big points here given the situation and the 10-1 / 91% angle. 10* ATLANTA HAWKS +7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 103-88 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 8 ET - Look for the Sixers to respond off the Game 4 loss at Toronto. Even though the 76ers are still very much in control of this series they last thing they want to do is let this series go back to Toronto for Game 6. That is for two key reasons. Not only would that then give the Raptors a chance to tie the series up on their home floor and force an "anything can happen" Game 7, it also would lead to more tired legs for Philly if they do advance. Philadelphia wants this series to end right here right now and to let guys like Joel Embiid get some rest for the next round. Similar to the huge energy and motivation we saw from the Sixers in the opening game of the series, I am expecting a similar effort here. Philadelphia in a big home rout is my expectation here. The 76ers are on a 5-0 run in home games and the average margin of victory was 18 points in those 5 games. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Flyers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 8:05 ET - This is the perfect spot to fade the Flyers off their huge upset win over the in-state rival Penguins yesterday. However, while I do expect the Blackhawks to catch a sleepy and unmotivated defense here (plus goalie likely to be a very young Felix Sandstrom in this one) I just do not trust the Blackhawks defense and netminding either. Hence, a play on the over in this one. Chicago has allowed at least 4 goals in 7 of last 8 games. Blackhawks home games have totaled at least 7 goals in 4 straight contests and, in fact, those games averaged 8 goals per game. As for the Flyers, before yesterday's 4-1 win stayed under the total, 6 of 7 Philly games totaled at least 7 goals. As a matter of fact, those 6 games averaged 8.3 goals per game. Look for at least 7 goals in this one as well with two teams just playing out the string on tough seasons so there will be little defensive intensity here particularly with Flyers off win over their biggest rival yesterday. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-25-22 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 106 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB RL Dominator Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - So the Rockies are off to a great start this season and the Phillies are struggling and yet the home team opened up as nearly a 2 to 1 favorite here on the money line. What happened? Well for one thing, just playing the home team in Colorado game last season netted you a 102-59 record. Notoriously a solid home team but the Rockies are known for struggling on the road. Here they face a Phillies team that will be poised to bounce back big at home. Philadelphia is off a shutout loss to the Brewers last night in a frustrating game as Angel Hernandez was behind the plate and the man is the worst umpire in the game. Sickening calls that went both ways but sure did not help the flow of the game. The Phillies bats will get going tonight regardless of the pitchers. This season Philadelphia has been held to 1 run or less 5 times, including last night's game. After the first 4, the Phillies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. Freeland has struggled this season on the mound for the Rockies and Gibson has overall been solid for the Phillies on the mound and he also delivered an absolute gem in his only home start this season. Again, no matter who pitches here, the Phillies bounce back big at home and win this one in a rout. 5 of the Phillies 6 wins by at least 2 runs this season and all 5 Colorado losses this season by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +105 |
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04-25-22 | Leeds United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Crystal Palace and Leeds United each are battling hard to avoid relegation. Both will be going strong for the full 3 points in the table here. Leeds allows piles of goals and this is particularly true on the road this season. However, Leeds also has been scoring a lot of goals recently as they have been on the attack in looking to earn big points in the table and avoid relegation. With how well Crystal Palace has been playing when on their home pitch, I am looking for plenty of scoring here. Leeds concedes a lot on the road but also will be on the attack and is capable of getting great scoring chances even though Crystal Palace known for being solid defensively on their home pitch. The current trending for Leeds has me envisioning at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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04-24-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -144 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* ESPN Blowout Sunday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -140 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:08 ET - This line has come down some and it is go time with the Phillies. Price is now as low as the -140 range after being as high as the -175 range. There is value here at the lower price after the move. When the Phillies were up 3-0 yesterday and Wheeler was cruising on the mound, it looked like they were well on their way to their 3rd straight win. Unfortunately - for Philly at least - one bad inning things came unraveled and suddenly they were down 4-3 and went on to lose 5-3. Regardless of who pitchers here I like the Phillies as they are at home and available at a reasonable price and they have the better overall lineup. The pitchers are expected to be Nola vs Lauer and through his many years in Philly Nola has been much better when on the home mound than on the road. Considering that plus the fact that Lauer gave up 3 homers in 6 innings in his only career start here (last season), I do like the home team to get it done here. Action on pitchers and look for a huge game at the plate from the home team. 9* PHILADELPHIA -140 |
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04-24-22 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Situational Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals have lost each of the two prior meetings with the Leafs by a combined score of 12 to 6 - an average total of 9 goals scored per game. Washington comes in seeking revenge but Toronto also comes into this one angry off B2B losses after a loss at Florida yesterday. The Maple Leafs have averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game the last 6 times they have entered a game off 2 or more losses. At the same time, note that the Caps have been scoring plenty of goals and have been particularly high-scoring in home games. Now, finally back in DC after a lengthy road trip, this one should see a pile of goals scored. I know this total is a big one posted at 7 goals but it should not be a problem here given the situational edges pointing toward goals in this one. 10* OVER 7 in Washington |
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04-24-22 | Mets v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -105 vs New York Mets @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Diamondbacks as a home dog getting the +1.5 runs. Not only has Arizona won 3 of 4, none of their last 5 games have resulted in a loss by more than a single run. The Diamondbacks have been scrappy, they are at home, and Bumgarner has been solid so far this season. Megill started off great for Mets but did give up 4 earned runs in most recent start. Bumgarner has given up a total of only 2 earned runs in his 3 starts this season! Like the home dog to get it done here but will grab the run line in case they fall one run short in this one. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -105 |
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04-24-22 | Penguins v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
NHL PA Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 4:05 ET - You know Philly is going to bring a strong effort on their home ice here against the rival Penguins. However, this does not change the fact that this team can stop no one! The Flyers continue to struggle defensively and in goal and Pittsburgh should score plenty here. But Philadelphia has been scoring well and continues to get involved in one high-scoring game after another and I expect that trend to continue here. The result is a game in which I expect each team to get to 3 goals and, of course, this guarantees of nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. 9* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-24-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +170 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 170 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets +170 vs Golden State Warriors @ 3:30 ET - Sweeps are not easy to come by. There are 8 series going and only 2 of them still have a shot at being a sweep and this is one of them. I do not see an angry Denver team being denied here on their home floor. They have outrebounded the Warriors heavily in each of the last two games plus shot much better from the free throw line. Golden State has simply shot lights out from the field, including downtown, so far in this series but that can not go on forever. This is the game the Nuggets bring their absolute best game of this series as they will be relentless in refusing to let GS take this series on their home court. 10* DENVER +170 |
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04-23-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 -130 in Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Leafs could get Auston Matthews back for this one. Either way I am looking for plenty of goals. Toronto just got destroyed at Tampa Bay and gave up a ton of goals so they need to bounce back after that embarrassing loss. The Maple Leafs should bounce back here and score plenty against a Panthers team known for having some issues defensively and in front of their own net. Of course the difference is that Florida also scores goals like crazy. This one sets up nicely to be a barnburner just like the 7-6 final these guys played to in their last meeting. This one of course may not get that crazy but a 5-4 type game would not surprise me in the least. Just so much firepower for these two clubs and the Leafs have consistently been involved in high-scoring games and the Panthers will put up a pile of goals here at home too. Toronto needs to bounce back after embarrassing loss to Lightning but the hosts here make this one turn into a wild goal-filled contest. 10* OVER 7 goals -130 in Florida |
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04-23-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -134 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -135 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 4:05 ET - The Phillies are favored by a moderate margin here and that may surprise some when you consider their tough start this season and the Brewers hotter start. However, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like Philadelphia at home as they have the stronger lineup and they can build off a high-scoring win at Colorado Wednesday which got their bats going and helped lead the way to rallying for yesterday's 4-2 win over Milwaukee to open up this series. Also, in terms of the projected pitchers, note that Wheeler was fantastic last season and he was much better in his home start this season and will put a rough road start behind him here. Also, Wheeler has been fantastic facing the Brewers in recent starts against them. As for the Brewers, their expected starter is Houser and he has struggled a bit in each of his first two starts this season and, unlike Wheeler, he struggled recently against the opponent he is facing today. Regardless of pitching match-up I do like the Phillies at a reasonable price at home to get the win again here and make it 2 straight over the Brewers and 3 in a row overall as the home/road dichotomy makes a difference here as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 2 PM ET - The Raptors will do anything to extend this series as they are down 3-0 and do not want to get eliminated on their home floor. To extend their series they are likely going to have to extend this game. What I mean by that is even if they are down 7 to 10 points late they will be fouling plenty and looking to send Philly to the line and climb back into the game. I love the fact that after B2B unders, even if an game that went to OT in Game 3, most will be looking under here. Keep in mind, Game 1 of this series flew over the total. I am expecting much better shooting like we saw in the first game and I look for Toronto to put up a valiant effort here. However, as has been a problem all series long, the Raptors will struggle to stop all the weapons the Sixers have. I am not confident of who will win this game but I am confident of plenty of points being scored! 10* OVER 212.5 in Toronto |
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04-23-22 | Islanders v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders @ 12:35 ET - The Islanders are known as a defensive-minded team but this is a late season match-up between two teams out of the playoff race. The Isles have been playing a different style recently and the Sabres enter this game off 3 straight wins. Buffalo is scoring a lot of goals and this will be an up-tempo game on their home ice. The Sabres have seen 14 of their last 16 games total at least 6 goals so I feel we have fantastic value here with this posted total at 6 goals. In fact, of those 14 games, 13 of them totaled at least 7 goals. I fully expect this one will too as the Sabres continue to score well but the Islanders come to play in this one too as they are off 3 straight losses including a 6-3 loss to the Rangers. 9* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-23-22 | Aston Villa v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
EPL King Power Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Aston Villa @ 10 AM ET - With Leicester the hosts in this one, this match is taking place at King Power Stadium. I am looking for enough fire "power" from each side to send this one over the total. I love the fact that Leicester will be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and Aston Villa has never had a draw this season in 16 road matches and a clean sheet here is unlikely. In other words, this match has high likelihood of being at least a 2-1 final given all those factors and the posted total here is 2.5 goals so we have solid value here. Leicester could be a little worn out because they have had some extra matches lately and that will put Aston Villa on the attack even more in this one as they look to take advantage. That said, you also know the hosts are going to put up a strong fight at King Power Stadium in this one so the result should be at least a 2-1 final. Solid line value here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-22-22 | Heat v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Payback Special Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +1.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - After 3 straight games for us all slipping away in the 4th quarter in the NBA after cashing 8 in a row in NBA - most all of them easy no doubt winners without drama - I have no doubt we are getting back on track starting today. One thing is for sure, if a break is involved it most certainly should go our way here! The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams and the Heat won each of the first two games of this series at home. The home team dominance in this series continues here. The Hawks have won 28 of 42 home games this season and the Heat are 21-16 SU last 37 road games. You can see why, given those numbers, we have some line value here with the desperate and hungrier team available as a home underdog. 10* ATLANTA +1.5 |
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04-22-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -119 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies are favored here and that may surprise some when you consider their tough start this season and the Brewers hotter start. However, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like Philadelphia at home as they have the stronger lineup and they can build off a high-scoring win at Colorado Wednesday which got their bats going. Also, in terms of the projected pitchers, note that Suarez was rock solid last season and he was much better in his 2nd start this season after a rough first start where he was done in on some flukiness in terms of defense behind him. As for the Brewers, their expected starter is Peralta and he has struggled in each of his first two starts this season and, unlike Suarez, his 2nd start was worse than his 1st. Regardless of pitching match-up I do like the Phillies at a great price at home to get the win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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04-22-22 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - This follows the same late-season logic I have used in cashing other overs recently. This match-up features two teams long out of the playoff race and playing out the string on the season. You tend to see less defensive intensity in match-ups like this and more open ice. There should be plenty of solid goal-scoring opportunities just like we saw in last night's game involving the struggling Flyers and struggling Canadiens. In this case we are talking about a Senators team that has allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games but also scored 3.6 goals per game last 11 games. Ottawa will score well here against the struggling Blue Jackets but of course Columbus will do some damage on home ice too! Jackets home games have totaled 7 or more goals in 12 of last 17 contests. Look for another wild one here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-21-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +2 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - The Wolves had turnover problems in the two games at Memphis but look for them to clean that up now that the series has shifted home to Minneapolis for them. As disappointing as the 124-96 annihilation was for the T-wolves in Game 2, they are still feeling very good about their situation in this series as they earned the all-important split at Memphis. Ja Morant suffered a quad injury in Game 2 and though it is not serious at all could it get sore on him as Game 3 marches on into the later stages and effect him a little bit? Certainly is not impossible but either way I love the Wolves here in a key game for them to respond after a 28-point drubbing. Keep in mind, before that big win, Memphis had lost 4 of 5 games and Minnesota had won 5 of 7 games before the blowout defeat. Hungry home team will get it done here in my opinion as they are buoyed by the confidence they gained by getting the big Game 1 win at Memphis and they draw on that here to take a 2-1 lead in this series. We'll grab the bucket being offered in case this one ends up decided by the slimmest of margins but I do sense a big home team win here! 10* MINNESOTA +2 |
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04-21-22 | Flyers v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Yes, Carey Price has played well for the Habs since he came back but he has only made two starts and in his first home start he did not face many shots. I expect him to face a barrage of shots from the Flyers tonight. Philly has been losing a lot of games lately too just like the Canadiens have been. Philadelphia games have been played a bit helter-skelter with a lot of open ice and and turnovers and great scoring chances, etc. Flyers so weak defensively right now and they also have goalie Carter Hart now shutdown for the remainder of the season. Their back-ups have had some issues along the way defending the cage. Philly has lost 6 straight games and allowed an average of 5.3 goals in this horrible stretch! The Habs have lost 10 of 12 games and have allowed an average of 4.3 goals per game in their last 11 games! This one should get crazy as these are not the most highly skilled teams offensively but their recent poor defensive play more than makes up for that in terms of a high-scoring affair being likely here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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04-21-22 | Orioles v. A's OVER 7 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Oakland A's vs Baltimore Orioles @ 3:37 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way as the O/U in Orioles games is 0-11-1 so far this season. However, Blackburn struggled last season with Oakland and with the AAA club in Vegas. He was hit hard in both places and I am just not sold on him yet. Yes, he has a low ERA so far this season but it is still early and I expect him to struggle in his first home start of the season. The Orioles send Wells to the mound and he got rocked in his only road start his season. That said, Oakland was averaging 5 runs scored per game before yesterday's shutout loss and I expect a bounce back at the plate here. No matter who pitches here, this is a play for me, I love taking overs off a 1-0 game and that was the final score in yesterday's Baltimore win. The bats will wake up this afternoon and this one flies over the low total in my opinion. Finally, an over in an Orioles game. It happens this afternoon. 10* OVER 7 in Oakland |
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04-21-22 | Southampton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Burnley vs Southampton @ 2:45 ET - Burnley is off a 1-1 draw in their first match without manager Sean Dyche in nearly a decade. That was solid effort considering it was against a tough West Ham club. However, Burnley needs the full 3 points in the table as they are desperate to escape the relegation zone. That said, they will be going all out in this match but I do not see a clean sheet for either club in this one. The match gets to 1-1 and we should see at least a 2-1 final. Southampton is expected to go to a formation in this one that will emphasize the attack more than defense. Southampton is off a 1-0 match but this was after conceding 6 times to Chelsea. Of course Burnley is no Chelsea but they do seem a bit rejuvenated after the managerial change and I expect plenty of attacking from both clubs in this one and the final result to get to a 2-1 final at a minimum here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Burnley |
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04-20-22 | Stars v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Blowout Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars @ 8:30 ET - After Oettinger got pulled from last start against the Canucks, look for the Stars to respond big here no matter who is between the pipes. Dallas had 9 of 12 games heading into that one total 5 or less goals. In fact their 3 games just before the ugly loss at Vancouver averaged only 3 goals totaled per game! This a key playoff-intense battle taking place at Edmonton and the Oilers are playing well and have gotten fantastic goaltending in all but one recent game. One bad game last 7 and in the other 6 games Edmonton has allowed an average of 0.83 goals per game! Yes just 5 goals conceded in regulation time in those 6 games. This one featuring Oilers hosting Dallas should be a tight low-scoring battle as the game also is so key within the different aspects of the playoff picture! 10* UNDER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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04-20-22 | Nets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +3.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Nets fell just short on a last second buzzer beater in Game 1. I actually expect a bounce back win here for Brooklyn after falling just short but I am still going to grab the points here just in case the visitors again fall just short. We can get 3.5 points with the road dog here and I will take it as the Nets showed me a lot in Game 1 and the fact they fell short on a last second shot only serves to give us even more line value here in Game 2. You know Brooklyn is going to be extremely hungry here in Game 2. The Nets have great shot at outright win which also means superb extra value with getting more than a 3-pointer's worth as the dog in this one again in Game 2. I'll take it as the impact of Boston not having Robert Williams available showed up already as they Celtics barely survived Game 1 and I feel they will not be so fortunate here. 10* BROOKLYN +3.5 |
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04-20-22 | Phillies -109 v. Rockies | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -110 @ Colorado Rockies @ 3:10 ET - The odds makers are some of the sharpest people around. The Phillies opened up as high as a -125 favorite in this game. This is even though they have one of the worst records in baseball right now while the Rockies have one of the best. Do you think this is a mistake? I like to side with the odds makers more often than the betting masses that is for sure and now this line has dropped into the pick'em range and I am going against the move and grabbing the road team here. I do not care who the starting pitchers are but will say that Marquez gave up 10 hits in his first start while Eflin gave up only 6 and I do expect a big Phillies bounce back here after 3 straight losses. Payback after falling just short in yesterday's 1-run loss and outhitting Colorado yesterday. 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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04-20-22 | Crystal Palace v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - Newcastle off B2B wins including a 2-1 victory in last match. They are a different team when on their home pitch and I trust them to keep the momentum going here. However, Palace is off a 2-0 loss to Chelsea in English FA Cup action and will be hungry to bounce back here. Each of Crystal's 3 matches heading into that one totaled 3 or more goals. Palace had scored 2.7 goals per match in those 3. That said, and with consideration to the situation for both clubs heading into this one, I see excellent value here with going to over the 2.5 goals and getting solid plus money on it. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Newcastle United |
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04-19-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks and Heat nearly the exact same number of 3-point attempts in Game 1 of this series. The difference in Sunday's game? Miami made 8 more of theirs than Atlanta did. The Heat won the game by exactly a 24 point margin. You see my point? Even with Trae Young having the horrible game he did that was the difference in the final margin of the game was just 3-pointers. Of course Miami's Duncan Robinson is not going 8 of 9 again from downtown just like Young is not going 0 for 7 from beyond the arc. In fact, now that I mentioned that, note that this is your 24 point margin right there! The fact is Atlanta got to the line for 50% more free throw attempts in the game. Essentially the Heat won the game from the outside not the inside. Possible impact to that inside game is the fact that Bam Adebayo is dealing with a quad injury entering this one. I know the Hawks struggled on the road in the regular season but they were 5-2 SU last 7 road games that were NOT the second game of a B2B before that loss at Miami Sunday. They get back on track here as Young and Company are out for payback. The visitors may fall short of the outright upset but they will do enough for the all-important cover here. 10* ATLANTA +7.5 |
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04-19-22 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals -130 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Even if Auston Matthews still is out, the Maple Leafs should roll big here and that means plenty of goals. Toronto has won 10 of 12 games and has scored an average of FIVE goals per game in those dozen games! Even if Leafs "only" hit their recent "average" of 5 goals can we expect at least 2 from Philadelphia here? The Flyers have lost 11 of 14 games but have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of those 14 games. In fact, Philly has averaged scoring nearly 3 goals per game during this stretch. The big problem for a Flyers team playing a lot of young guys and missing some key veterans and also without #1 goalie Carter Hart is the fact that they have allowed 5 goals per game in those 11 losses in this rough 3-11 stretch. This one gets crazy in my opinion. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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04-19-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Miami Marlins vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Regardless of the starting pitchers in this match-up, I do like the over. The over is 6-2 in Cardinals games so far this season. Also, the Marlins have won 3 of 4 games and confidence is building as they have scored an average of 6 runs per game in these 4 games. The scheduled pitchers are Wainwright and Luzardo. The Cardinals veteran right-hander Wainwright has a history of pitching brilliantly at home and struggling on the road and that has continued this season. The Marlins lefty just struck out a dozen in only 5 innings in his first start this season. Watch him come back down to earth here. St Louis is scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game this season and even though each of these teams have good bullpen numbers too, this total is just too low and I love the fact we were seeing lines as high as 8.5 runs before now seeing this drop a full run from the earliest openers. 10* OVER 7.5 in Miami |
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04-19-22 | Manchester United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 102 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.5 goals +102 vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Ronaldo will miss this game for Man U plus Fernandes was involved in a car accident Monday. Unfortunately for the visitors there have been some distractions heading into this huge match-up Tuesday. Liverpool has been so strong for many weeks now plus they are one of the best clubs on their home pitch this season. The hosts have a goal differential of +32 in their 15 matches on home soil this season. Manchester United has won just 6 of 15 matches away from home and will get dominated here as the absence of Ronaldo hurts this club both emotionally and in terms of personnel on the field for this one. It has the makings of a rout. Liverpool is off a draw versus Manchester City in most recent match within league action. This followed 10 straight wins in league action and all but 2 of the wins were by at least a 2-goal margin. Liverpool blasted Man U by a 5-0 count earlier this season. Amazingly, Manchester United had only 3 victories in last 12 matches across all competitions prior to a victory Saturday over Norwich City. I just don't see the visitors as being able to keep up here against a host that has an aggregate score of 39 to 7 in home matches this season. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 +102 |
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04-18-22 | Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Year 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames @ 8:05 ET - The Blackhawks are mired in a losing stretch but are still scoring plenty of goals. Chicago has averaged 3.3 goals per game in regulation time of last 4 games. The Blackhawks have lost 9 of 10 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game in regulation time of last 13 games. Chicago will not be able to stop this surging Flames team that is looking to secure the top spot in the Pacific Division. Calgary has won 6 of 7 games. In the Flames last 10 wins they have scored an average of 5.3 goals per game. They are a -300 favorite here for a reason. They are fully expected to win and the value way to play this one in my opinion is the over. Calgary wins, they score plenty, but Blackhawks get a few goals too. Rather than lay the 1.5 goals with the Flames and worry about if the game ends 4-3 rather than 5-2 I am simply playing the over here as I do fully expect 7 or more goals here no matter what the final score. Note that the fact the Flames have a big game at Nashville on deck could impact their goalie situation here as well as their focus defensively. That is another thing I like about this one seeing more scoring than most might expect. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-18-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:40 ET - Brewers expected to start Lauer and he allowed 3 earned runs in 4 and 1/3 innings in his first start this season. Pirates expected to start Thompson here and he took a comebacker off his throwing shoulder in most recent start. Also, he allowed 5 hits in 4 innings in that outing. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, note that the Pirates bullpen has a 5.14 ERA on the road this season and the Brewers, known for pitching, actually have a rather unimpressive bullpen ERA of 3.93 at home so far this season. Now, about the bats in this one, the Pirates have actually won back to back games and 5 of their last 7 games. Pittsburgh has averaged 7 runs per game in those 5 victories! The Brewers are off a much-needed win and have now won 5 of 8 games and scored an average of 5 runs per game in those 5 victories. I know this is a bit of a contrarian play as neither lineup is crushing the ball early this season but I look for each club to build off their respective wins yesterday and the lineups will enjoy success in a game in which I expect the roof will be closed there and teams playing in a controlled environment as it is actually snowing in Milwaukee this morning. 10* OVER 8.5 in Milwaukee |
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04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:30 ET - The Raptors lost by 20 in the first game and Tyrese Maxey had a ridiculous game for the Sixers scoring 38 points. So now everyone is saying Toronto will bounce back because no way Maxey plays like that again. This might be true about Maxey but it is not necessarily true about the Raptors bouncing back. The 76ers have a pair of stars you might have heard about before...guys by the names of Joel Embiid and James Harden. Those two guys combined for 11 of 32 shooting in the game Saturday and yet Philly still won the game by 20 points! Now you understand why Toronto is absolutely in trouble here. They may get a boost when the series shifts to north of the border and the Sixers Matisse Thybulle can not travel with the team due to his covid status. However, until then Raptors still in trouble and this is particularly true with injuries piling up for them. Scottie Barnes, Gary Trent Jr. and Thaddeus Young all listed as doubtful for this game! 76ers roll again in this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
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04-17-22 | Bulls +11 v. Bucks | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +11 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 6:30 ET - With the Bulls late season fade, we are getting extra line value here. Chicago is fully capable of turning things up a notch now that the post-season has arrived. Of course, the same can be said for the Bucks and that would absolutely be a true statement. However, lets not forget that Milwaukee is the defending NBA champion. Everyone is gunning for them in this post-season and this is particularly true of a nearby rival (Chicago only about 90 miles away). Additionally, the hunger factor is a question. Sure the Bucks want to win but will they be as hungry as other teams in this post-season? Honestly I doubt that. I am not saying the Bucks will not win this series nor am I saying that will not win Game 1. However, I am quite confident this Game 1 match-up will be decided by only a single digit margin. That said, big value with the big points here! Milwaukee won all 4 regular season meetings but the Bulls had at least 10 more field goal attempts in each of the last two defeats even though they were blowout losses. The problem was that the Bucks shot lights out. We are getting line value because of this here. The Grayson Allen with Alex Caruso further adds spice to this match-up and you are going to see a hungry underdog giving its strongest effort in a long time in this one and I just do not see them getting blown out here and an outright upset in Game 1 would not surprise me but a loss by a range of 5 to 9 points is the more likely result and that gets us the cash here! 10* CHICAGO +11 |
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04-17-22 | Sabres v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres @ 5:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up on this match-up (yesterday the teams met in Buffalo): at first glance, with two non-playoff teams matched up you might expect a lackluster under here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, there is more than meets the eye here at first glance and I like the over a lot in this one. Neither one of these teams has been able to stop anyone lately. The Flyers lost goalie Carter Hart to injury and Martin Jones got the start yesterday so that means Felix Sandstrom likely to start here and he has only made 2 career NHL starts and allowed 3 goals in each start. If we get this game to 3-3 we can not do any worse than a 4-3 final and so now lets talk about the Sabres goalie. Craig Anderson started yesterday so it is likely to be Dustin Tokarski today. He has been lit up in each of his last four starts and allowed 4 or more goals in each of his last 3 starts. The Flyers did not generate many shots on goal yesterday and I expect them to be much better in that regard as they look for payback today after blowing a 2-0 lead in yesterday's loss. However, the Philly defense has been atrocious in their own zone and they are playing a lot of young guys too which leads to mistakes as there is always a learning curve. That said, look for a bit of a wide-open game with plenty of open ice. The Sabres have seen 11 of their last 14 games total 7 or more goals. Flyers games have totaled at least 7 goals in 9 of last 13 games! 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-17-22 | Phillies -136 v. Marlins | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -136 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB ML Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -135 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:40 ET - Regardless of who pitches the Phillies are the better overall team, have been getting solid bullpen work this season, and got their bats going yesterday. Philadelphia has a potent lineup and this is a classic case where that old adage "sometimes it only takes one" will prove true. The Phillies needed a breakout game at the plate to get their confidence back. Yesterday's 10-2 win, including scoring 8 runs in the first two innings, did just that! They will carry momentum into today's game and the Phillies will roll again. Wheeler is the expected starter and he pitched well in his first start after settling in and he will go even deeper in his 2nd start and is 9-3 with a 1.97 ERA in his career starts against the Marlins. Hernandez starts for Miami and struggled and gave up 2 homers in his first start this season and also allowed 2 homers in his last start against the Phillies. Dating back to how he wrapped up last season, Hernandez has now allowed 6 homers in his last 3 starts overall and Philadelphia is loaded with power hitters. I think this is a very bad match-up for Miami and the line is low enough on Philly - thanks to being on the road for this one - that I am comfortable elevating to my highest rating for this one. Regardless of who the starting pitchers are, the Phils build off the momentum of yesterday's game and get back to .500 here while the Marlins drop to 3-6 on the season with another loss here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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04-17-22 | Leicester v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Leicester @ 9:15 AM ET - Newcastle United has been playing so much better and they are on their home pitch for this one plus have revenge from allowing 4 goals to Leicester in the reverse fixture this season. However, I do not see a clean sheet in the offing for either club in this one and I also do not expect a draw as Newcastle is out for revenge and does not want to share the spoils. That said, if each team does get on the board as I fully expect they will, look for at least a 2-1 final here. Leicester is averaging about 1.6 goals per match this season but on the road they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match. Newcastle scores decently but also allows a few too many as a host and that is why their home matches have totaled a solid average of 3 goals apiece this season. With the hosts having shown improved form for quite some time now and Leicester off a huge momentum-boosting victory in the Europa Conference League in midweek, this one sees two confident clubs squaring off. As a result, neither backs down and this one gets to at least 2-1. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches actually have averaged 4.2 goals apiece. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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04-16-22 | Flyers v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals -120 in Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - At first glance, with two non-playoff teams matched up you might expect a lackluster under here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, there is more than meets the eye here at first glance and I like the over a lot in this one. Neither one of these teams has been able to stop anyone lately. The Flyers lost goalie Carter Hart to injury and Martin Jones will be getting the start. He has been lit up in each of his last two starts and allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of his last 6 starts. However, it is not all on the goalies for Philly, the defense has been atrocious in their own zone and they are playing a lot of young guys too which leads to mistakes as there is always a learning curve. That said, look for a bit of a wide-open game with plenty of open ice. The Sabres will score plenty here on home ice but Buffalo also will conceded plenty as their opponents continue to pile up goals. The Sabres have seen 10 of their last 13 games total 7 or more goals. Philadelphia is off a 4-0 loss to the Rangers but they will bounce back with some scoring here as that game as on the heels of a stretch that saw Flyers games total at least 7 goals in 8 of last 11 games! 10* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-16-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 111-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 6 ET - The 76ers are undervalued here because of past playoff disappointments. In my opinion the Sixers will keep things up a notch now that the post-season is here and they have a guy by the name of James Harden to help lift them rather than a guy named Ben Simmons that was weighing them down. I know that the Raptors won the regular season series between these teams but this is playoff time and the Wells Fargo Center will be rocking for this one. Each of the last 7 meetings between these teams was decided by at least 5 points and I expect that that trend to continue here. Philly get gets it done on their home floor and opens the series with a big win and cover as Raptors drop to 1-3 SU/ATS last 4 road games (only win was against bad Magic team at Orlando). The hosts roll here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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04-16-22 | Phillies +105 v. Marlins | Top | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +105 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:10 ET - The Phillies have lost 4 straight. The Marlins have won 2 straight. Suarez outpitched Rogers when these teams met September 4th last season but Miami still won that game. Suarez then got the win for Philadelphia when he faced the Marlins again 4 weeks later and he did not allow a run in either start against Miami! The point of all the above is Suarez and the Phillies poised well for a bounce back here and Rogers and the Marlins are set for coming back down to reality in this one. Philly is better than Miami and the Suarez we saw last season is much better than what we saw from him in his first start when the D behind him let him down and things unraveled from there. Suarez was great last season and he outduels Rogers here. But, regardless of the pitchers, I really like the road team for the bounce back here at a small dog price. They will get their sticks going against Rogers as they got to him for 6 hits in 4 and 1/3 innings the last time they faced him and he has a 4.91 ERA in his career starts versus Philly. Suarez has hurled 12 scoreless innings in his two career starts against the Marlins. The road team rolls here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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04-16-22 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Afternoon Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 4:05 ET - The Oilers are on home ice and facing back-up goalie Thompson for the Golden Knights because Lehner had a personal matter to tend to here in Vegas. The home of the Golden Knights is also my home and his decision to return here (certainly hope all is okay for Lehner) certainly hurts his team in the middle of chasing down a playoff spot. The Oilers playoff positioning is much better than the Knights but they still have not clinched one so there will be no backing down here. Also, this is a revenge game for Edmonton after they got embarrassed on home ice in a 4-0 loss to the Knights the last time these teams met. The Oilers had won each of the 2 meetings (by an 8-5 final) before that one this season. I look for them to dominate here given the above situational aspects. 10* EDMONTON -120 |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 236 | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Playoff Perfection Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 236 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 3:30 ET - Two teams that like to play fast and I am expecting plenty of points in the opener of this series as a result. The over is 5-1 last 6 Timberwolves games. The over is 4-1 last 5 Grizzlies games. In Minnesota road games this season the over went 30-11. Memphis has seen the over go 7-2 in last 9 home games. The tempo and situation is perfect. The Grizzlies have fresh legs here from being off since Sunday and the Timberwolves allowed only 104 points to the Clippers in the Wolves play-in game Tuesday but allowed 128 points per game in their final 7 games of the regular season. 10* OVER 236 in Memphis |
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04-16-22 | A's v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays Run Line -1.5 runs -110 @ 3:07 ET - The Blue Jays are 5-3 on the season after yesterday's 4-1 win over the A's and only 1 of their 8 games this season was a 1-run game. The Athletics are 4-4 on the season and, like Toronto, only 1 Oakland game this season has been a 1-run game. That said, if you like the Jays here the odds are in your favor for a win by 2+ runs. The Blue Jays are a big money line favorite for a reason but we will utilize the run line for max value here. Toronto's Ryu had a bad first start this season but we know what he is about long-term. Oakland's Blackburn had a good first star this season but we know what he is about long-term. Regardless of who pitches, note that the A's went 30-51 last season when facing teams that had at least a .500 record. The Jays are 3-1 at home this season and win big again here. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -110 |
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04-16-22 | Brentford v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brentford is hot right now off B2B wins and having scored an average of 3 goals in the process. Watford is desperate to avoid relegation and will put up a fight on their home pitch. The issue for Watford is they are allowing 2.5 goals per match when a host this season. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of nearly 2 goals per match when a visitor this season. Given consideration to this I see a wild one unfolding here. The visitors are a club that is simply "feeling it" right now and firing on all cylinders but the hosts are capable of finding the back of the net a time or two on home soil. We should see at least a 2-1 final here but should see much more and we have excellent line value with plus money available on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford |
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04-15-22 | Hawks -130 v. Cavs | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Rout Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -130 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:35 ET - Just do not want to get burned if the Hawks win this game by only a point or two so, in this case, happy to lay a little bit of an extra price to have the money line in this match-up. The Hawks are the much hotter team with wins in 13 of last 18 games. Conversely, not only did the Cavaliers lose at Brooklyn, they were getting dominated for long stretches in that game. Also, over the last four weeks entering the post-season, Cleveland had a standalone loss only one time but had a pair of 3-game losing streaks and a pair of 2-game losing streaks and here is the next 2-gamer which also will mark the end of their season. Hawks loaded with confidence while Cavs have lost 9 of 12 games and, going further back, 12 of 18 games. 10* ATLANTA -130 |
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04-15-22 | A's v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Oakland A's @ 7:07 ET - Look for the Blue Jays to bounce back at home here after a shutout loss in the Bronx yesterday to wrap up their series with the Yankees. Toronto has looked like a different team when at home early this season with the way they are swinging the bats at Rogers Centre. That said, I look for a ton of runs in this one because Oakland also has been a surprise at the plate early this season. The A's confidence at the plate is up right now as a result and I expect them to pound the ball here. Like both of these lineups no matter who the pitchers are they are facing but I will mention the expected starters are Jefferies and Stripling. The Athletics Jefferies has made only 3 MLB starts and is not a strikeout guy so the Jays will be putting the ball in play here! The Blue Jays Stripling has struggled each of the last two seasons and this would be his first start this season but already he has 3 walks and no strikeouts in his 2 appearances out of the pen this season. No matter the pitchers they are facing a confident A's lineup and a Jays lineup already impressing at home early this season and hungry to bounce back off a road shutout loss. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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04-15-22 | Jets +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets +1.5 -110 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Jets are battling hard to stay alive in the playoff race in the West. Florida is looking to lock things down for the top spot in the league heading into the post-season. The key here is the value with the +1.5 goals. Even without Scheifele for the entirety of the last game and most of the game before that, Winnipeg won both games. Overall only 6 of their last 22 games have been a loss by more than a single goal. As for the Panthers, as strong as they are they have only 5 wins by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 15 games. Florida wants to win and earn top spot in the league as they look for that home ice edge for entirety of playoffs or at least for the entire Eastern Conference post-season - as they may not top Avalanche out West in regular season points in the standings. However, one can not argue the fact that the Jets are even hungrier here. Winnipeg is desperate to earn points in the standings and still alive in the post-season chase but chasing two teams (Dallas and Nashville) makes it more difficult. With both those teams losing last night, the Jets got an added boost as their slim chances are still very much alive. Also, the Jets game getting canceled Wednesday at home (blizzard in Winnipeg) allowed them to stay in USA and they are well rested mentally and physically for this huge game Friday. They may ultimately still fell short but, if they do, I expect it would be by just a 1-goal margin as they have received solid netminding in 7 of last 9 games and arguably have the goalie edge here over Florida. 10* WINNIPEG Puck Line +1.5 goals -110 |
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04-15-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Friday 9* Top Play OVER 9 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - As always the starting pitchers are not the only key. I will mention however that Montgomery is the slated starter for the Yankees and he struggled a bit in his first start this season plus took a comebacker off the left leg which, as a southpaw, is the leg he pushes off with. He did get hit quite hard in his outings at Baltimore last season. The Orioles are expected to start Lyles here and he had a tough first outing and this is nothing new as he has not impressed in recent years with an 11-20 combined mark since start of 2020 and a very high ERA. Yankees can take advantage of facing an Orioles pitching staff that is overall not that strong but took advantage of facing a slumping Rays lineup and a sub-par Brewers lineup to open up the season with some success. Look for the potent Yankees lineup to do some damage here. The Orioles faced some tough pitching to open the season but they now take advantage of a team and pitching staff they are more familiar with as this series gets underway Friday and the weather will be good here for this one too. 9* OVER 9 in Baltimore |
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04-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Network Dominator Thursday 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. In this case, the Jays are expected to start Kevin Gausman and the Yankees are expected to start Luis Severino. Both these guys are quality starters but both guys combined stats from there first starts make for an unimpressive stat line as they combined for 5 earned runs allowed on 13 hits in 8 innings. I know some rain and cooler air moving into the Bronx tonight and could even delay the start of this contest. However, I still expect plenty of pop from the bats in this one after they combined for a lot of extra base hits and 10 runs in yesterday's game. If we get each team to 4 runs in this one it guarantees us at least a 5-4 final and each of these teams has scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their 6 games. You can see why I like the odds for this one to get over the low total of 8.5 runs. Lets keep the rain away and look for another huge game from Vladimir Guerrero as he proved the finger injury yesterday was no big deal with a huge performance at the plate. Getting his stick going a great sign for Toronto and the Yankees should get to at least 4 runs for a 3rd straight game! 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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04-14-22 | Oilers +109 v. Predators | Top | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +105 @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - This line jumped off the page at me because it opened up at a pick'em even though Nashville was on home ice. Keep in mind the Predators have won 23 of 35 home games and the Oilers have won 19 of 38 road games. In other words, the line looked funny. Why? Exactly! Sure enough the markets jumping on the Preds on home ice and driving the line from the 110 range to the 125 range. In my opinion though, and as per usual, the odds makers had this one right. Here are the keys to this one: The Predators are off a win but lost 5 of 9 games before that victory. Also, 5 of the last 6 wins that Nashville has came against bad teams that are not going to make the playoffs. Now take a look at Edmonton heading into this match-up. The Oilers are off B2B losses to strong teams heading to the post-season but had won 12 of 15 games before these B2B defeats. 5 of those 12 Edmonton victories were against teams that are in playoff position. The Oilers were priced this way for a reason by the odds makers on the road and so don't be fooled in this one. The visitors have been playing the better overall hockey and will get the job done here. 10* EDMONTON +105 |
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04-14-22 | Blues v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres are off a huge 5-2 win at rival Toronto. I could easily see the Sabres coming out flat here at home and the Blues taking it to them early in this one. After all, Buffalo had lost 3 straight and allowed 4.7 goals per game in the 3 games before the win over the Maple Leafs. The key however is that this Buffalo team has been scrappy late in the season and will bounce back even if they do get down early. I say this with confidence because the Sabres have won 5 of last 8 home games and scored 3.4 goals per game in regulation time of those 8 match-ups. St Louis enters this game having won 8 of 9 games and having averaged 4.6 goals per game during this red hot run! The Blues have allowed 3.6 goals per game last 7 road games. Look for plenty of goals here in this non-conference battle. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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04-14-22 | Phillies +105 v. Marlins | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* No Doubt Blowout Rout Thursday 10* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +105 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. In this case, the Phillies are scheduled to start Kyle Gibson and he totally dominated in his first start with allowing just 2 hits in 7 scoreless inning and striking out 7 while walking none. Conversely, the Marlins starter is expected to be Sandy Alcantara and he had more walks than strikeouts in his first start of the season with 5 free passes and 4 punch-outs. He also has lost each of his last 3 starts against the Phillies and has allowed 7 earned runs in 8 innings spanning his last 2 starts against them. Again, the starting pitching is not the key here though. Regardless of who starts, the key is that Miami has been held to an average of just 2.25 runs per game last 3 games. Conversely, the Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 4 of their 6 games and the Marlins have not exceeded 3 runs in any of their last 4 games and were held to just 2 runs in 3 of those games. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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04-13-22 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 6 in Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - Rangers want to bounce back from a 4-2 loss to Carolina yesterday. They also have revenge from a 4-3 OT loss to the Flyers recently. This is a rivalry so that is keeping this total lower than it should be in my opinion. Right now Philadelphia is struggling to stop anyone but they still score some goals (particularly at home) and here they catch New York in a back to back. The Rangers used their top goalie, Shesterkin, last night so that sets this one up well for value on a high-scoring game. The Rangers are off a 3-1 win at New Jersey in most recent road game but that was preceded by 3 road games for NYR that average 8 goals apiece! As for Philly, 8 of last 11 games have totaled at least 7 goals! In fast those 11 games have averaged nearly 8 goals apiece. Flyers are also in a B2B spot here and used both Jones and Hart in goal in yesterday's embarrassing loss to the Capitals. 9* OVER 6 in Philadelphia |
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04-13-22 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets are well-rested here and the fresh legs - off since Saturday's 5-4 OT win at Detroit - should help to continue the high-scoring surge being seen in Columbus' games. The Blue Jackets 23 of last 34 games have totaled 7 or more goals. The Canadiens are off a 4-2 home loss to Winnipeg Monday so they also were off yesterday and, after B2B Habs games failed to reach the 7-goal mark, I look for plenty of goals here. Heading into last weekend, Montreal had seen 13 of 18 games total 7 or more goals. With two non-playoff teams matched up in a late-season game that is a non-divisional match-up, we should see plenty of open ice and a lot of scoring opportunities. Also, as you can see from the numbers above, neither team has been getting stellar goaltending very often either! This one flies over the total! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks -5 | Top | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7 ET - The home team went 52-30 SU in Hawks games this season. Atlanta was 27-14 at home this season. Of all the teams that either made the post-season or play-in tournament, the Hawks are the team with the worst road record. That said, home court carried them. It is the reason they are here today and it is the reason they will advance to play Cleveland. Note that Charlotte lost 2 of its last 3 road games this season and the two defeats were each by at least 29 points. The Hawks have won 19 of last 22 home games and only 2 of those 19 wins were by less than a 6 point margin. You can see why I am backing the hosts for the win and cover in this one! 10* ATLANTA -5 |
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04-13-22 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Run Line -1.5 +120 vs Oakland A's @ 6:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. The A's lost by just a single run yesterday but I sense a blowout here. Last season Oakland went 30-51 against teams with a winning record. The Rays last season went 52-20 against teams with a losing record. TB generally does not falter against bad teams and Oakland is going to be down this season and I look for Mcclanahan to dominate the Athletics in this one. The A's are expected to start Montas and he normally is solid but he struggled against the Phillies in his first start. Considering how Philadelphia has struggled at the plate so far this season that is a bad sign for Montas. Now he faces a TB team that is 4-1 so far this season and has scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. No matter who is on the mound as starting pitchers in this one, Tampa is the better team with the better overall team including lineup and bullpen. Look for a strong home win by 2 or more runs in this one. 10* TAMPA BAY -1.5 +120 |
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04-12-22 | Flyers +1.5 v. Capitals | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NHL ESPN Blowout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 goals -105 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 - The ability to get the full goal and a half with a scrappy Flyers team playing without any pressure and with Bobby Brink now added to the roster is too much to pass up on here. The Capitals are a rival of Philly and Washington is the team that still has not clinched a playoff spot. Yes the Caps are as good as in but they have not clinched so the pressure on them to perform here while game means nothing to Philly in the standings and they will simply go hard and look to be a spoiler. Though Washington has won 3 in a row, they have lost 20 of 38 games on home ice this season. All kidding aside, they might wish this game was in Philly! Also though the Capitals have won 12 of 20, the 18 games before B2B multi-goal wins featured only THREE wins by a multi-goal margin in an 18-GAME stretch! There is a lot of value with the puck line here as Flyers angry off a horrible performance in a 5-3 loss to Anaheim in which they blew a 2-0 lead after one period. It was the first time this season the Ducks won a game in which they trailed by a 2-goal margin. In the past two months dating back to mid-February, only 2 times have the Flyers lost consecutive games by a multi-goal margin. They bounce back here against the rival Capitals for at least the puck line cover. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 goals |
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04-12-22 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Div Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:05 ET - Toronto out for revenge from a 5-2 loss at Buffalo last month. Since that defeat, the Maple Leafs have won 10 of 13 games and score an average of 4.4 goals per game. In this revenge spot the Leafs most certainly will not take their foot off the gas and I expect them to score plenty here. But Toronto also gives up goals in bunches and that is why 29 of 39 Maple Leafs games totaled at least 7 goals prior to Saturday's 3-2 win over Montreal. The Sabres are off a 5-0 loss to a determined Tampa Bay team as Buffalo continues to struggle defensively and with goaltending. However, the goose egg on the board for the Sabres has certainly not been the norm of late. Buffalo actually average scoring nearly 4 goals per game in their 9 games before that shutout loss. In fact, Sabres 8 of 10 games before the loss to TB had totaled at least 7 goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-12-22 | Cavs +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7 ET - The Cavaliers are expected to again be without Allen but that is keeping this line higher than it should be. Mobley has returned from a recent 5-game absence and is coming off a double-double performance. Look for Mobley to continue to fill the shoes of Allen and look for he and Love to carry the load in this match-up. The Cavs might fall short on the scoreboard but only by a bucket or two in my opinion. In the 118-107 loss at Brooklyn last week, the Cavaliers actually led that game by 5 heading to the 4th quarter after trailing by 15 after 1 quarter of play. Now it is payback time when it matters most after the Cavs were done in by a poor 4th quarter last week against the Nets. 10* CLEVELAND +8.5 |
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04-11-22 | Jets v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:05 ET - Jets in a back to back spot and off a 4-3 win at Ottawa last night. Look for at least 7 goals in their game again tonight. Here is an updated excerpt from yesterday's write-up on the Winnipeg Over: Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 7 of the last 9 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 7 games averaged 8 goals per game! As for the Canadiens, they are off a 3-2 loss in which the game totaled just 5 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 4 of 5 Montreal games totaled at least 9 goals! That loss was on the road but now they are back on home ice where 12 of last 18 Habs games have totaled 7 or more goals! Look for another wild one here as Jets fighting hard to stay alive in playoff race but Canadiens would love to play role of spoiler and the B2B spot for Winnipeg takes on toll on their defensemen and goaltending for this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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04-10-22 | Jets v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:35 ET - This is a contrarian play because many will look at this match-up and see a Senators team that has had a bad season and scored just 1 goal in most recent game and they will also see a Jets team that is battling hard to stay relevant in the playoff picture and has been involved in lower scoring games recently. The way I see this one playing out is a huge push from Winnipeg but also seeing Ottawa respond well because they are on home ice. Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 6 of the last 8 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 6 games averaged 8.5 goals per game! As for the Sens, they are off B2B losses in which they totaled just 3 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 5 of 6 Ottawa games totaled at least 7 goals. Those 6 games averaged 7 goals and I look for this one to get to at least that mark as well! 10* OVER 6 in Ottawa |
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04-10-22 | Pistons +12.5 v. 76ers | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +12.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - We had a tough loss with Philly yesterday when they dribbled out the shot clock late for a 24 second violation intentionally because they led the game by 16 points at the time and then the Pacers subsequently jacked up a 3 and hit it with just few seconds left on clock. Indiana then only lost by 13 and Philly was a 13.5 or 14 point favorite when we released that selection. Tough beat but now the situation Sunday is much different and favors the big dog strongly in my opinion. The Sixers need to stay healthy going into post-season. Yes their big guns are likely to see plenty of floor time here but not into the latter portion of the game if 76ers have a big lead. Also, the Pistons are off B2B ugly losses but had been one of the best ATS teams around for many weeks before those two big defeats. Dating back to March 1st, Pistons were on a 13-3 ATS run before the losses to Mavericks and Bucks. The Sixers know Boston is likely to also win Sunday and that means Philly is likely locked into the #4 seed and facing Toronto in first round. That said, giving too much effort here and ending up getting somebody hurt would be the worst thing the 76ers could do heading into the playoffs. Grab all the points you can and look for the Pistons to hang around throughout this contest! 10* DETROIT +12.5 |
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04-10-22 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. Two low-scoring grinders in this series including Saturday's pitchers duel but in between was a wild 13-6 Astros win. Scoring is down early this season as is so often the case as it takes awhile for the bats to wake up and weather can be bad in some MLB cities. However, weather will be just fine in Anaheim and this total was set as high as a 10 in some books with good reason. Urquidy scheduled to start for Astros here and he got roughed up in his last September start in Anaheim and this Angels team certainly has a potent lineup. LA starts Suarez here and his team is 1-4 in his career starts against the Astros which comes as no surprise given his 5.95 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in starts against Houston in his career. 4th straight game for these teams against each other to open the season so they are familiar with the relievers too and the bats are going to be the story this afternoon like they were on Friday. 10* OVER 9.5 in LA Angels |