Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-01-23 | Hurricanes v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:35 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up on the Hurricanes OVER - a 5-4 winner - this Carolina team has been so strong in the offensive zone. The Canes, before the 4-1 win over Boston that preceded the win over the Kings last night, had seen 10 of their last 12 games total at least 7 goals! Incredibly, Carolina has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 21 games! The Sabres also have been solid in the goal-scoring department on home ice with 3.8 goals scored per game in their 25 games as a host this season! Also, 15 of last 22 Buffalo home games have totaled at least 7 goals so excellent line value with this rather favorable posted total given the trending of these teams. The Hurricanes are in a back to back and used #1 goalie Andersen last night so it is likely to be Raanta tonight. Note that Raanta has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 games. The Sabres have been struggling in the goaltending department so they are likely to give up at least 3 here too. This is one of those games - Canes offense so hot, Sabres strong on home ice - that has a great shot at both teams getting to at least 3 goals and of course that would allow this game to get to nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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02-01-23 | Magic v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8.5 vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - Even if Embiid, listed as questionable, does not play here I do like Philly to bounce back after losing to the Magic by double digits Monday. The Sixers blew an early 21 point lead there and were still up double digits at halftime in the eventual 10-point loss. They were sloppy, turnover-prone, and out of sorts as that game went on. This will be a payback game for them and they will get their revenge. This is the 6th time this season that Philly has had one of these situations where you facing the same team in consecutive games. Of the first five, they have NEVER lost both games. Also, in four of the five B2B sets like this, the 76ers have won the 2nd game 4 times and they have all been blowouts too! The average margin of victory for the Sixers in those games was 24 points! Philly had won 7 straight games before the loss to Orlando Monday. They are not happy at all about how that one played out and will make adjustments in the 2nd game of this B2B set just as they have done in other ones, including at Orlando, earlier this season! The result is a blowout home win by a double digit margin! 10* PHILADELPHIA -8.5 |
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02-01-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134.5 | Top | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6:30 ET - The Boilermakers are the #1 team in the country and at home and do have some lower-scoring grinder type games on occasion. However, there is no need for that here. They already beat the Nittany Lions when these teams met in a game played in Philly earlier this season. So Penn State was not in their true home for that game and yet they still scored a respectable 63 points despite unimpressive shooting. Purdue scored 76 points in that one and now are at home where they have scored at least 73 points in 8 of last 10 victories. In fact, in those 10 home wins the Boilermakers have averaged 76 points per game. So based on the current line on this game of 10 points that would put this game at 76-66 if Purdue just hits their typical home victory average and that totals 142 points. Not only is that already above the 135 we need for a win here, I do not expect this to be an "average" home game for Purdue. The Boilermakers can score a pile of points on the rather unimpressive defense Penn State plays plus the Nittany Lions come into this game with some confidence on the offensive end so they will be will be willing to play with tempo here. Even though that will prove to be a mistake as the Boilersmakers are so superior to the Lions but the point is PSU will get caught up in a bit of an uptempo game. To their credit, Penn State has scored big in games against Indiana, Iowa and Illinois and won all 3 and the latter was a road game. Even lumping that in with other tough Big Ten they have faced (this Purdue team) it means those 4 games (only 2 of which were played at State College) saw the Nittany Lions score an average of 76 points per game! Also, Penn State enters this game off a win versus Michigan in which they scored 83 points. This Nittany Lions team is playing with some confidence right now and will hang around long enough in this game to make sure it gets over the total in my opinion. I am projecting at least a 75-65 type game though I expect to get well into the 140s actually. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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02-01-23 | Nottingham v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Wednesday at Nottingham and Manchester United prevailed 3-0 in that match. Though Nottingham Forest was held without a goal they actually produced quite a few rushes on the attack and had a fair amount of shots including a handful that were on target. They missed one glorious scoring opportunity plus had another goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and it again leads to a total of at least 3 goals. This time Nottingham Forest should contribute to the total with at least 1 goal. I feel Manchester United could inadvertently let up a bit here and this will open things up even more for scoring chances for the big underdog here. Manchester United realizes they have effectively already punched their ticket to the finals against Newcastle United and so this one could be more of a relaxed affair for the hosts here. Manchester United is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match their last 11 across all competitions. They have also hung a 3-spot on Nottingham Forest each of their two meetings the past two months. Nottingham Forest had their chances in the meeting last week and, prior to that one, had scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions! In fact, they averaged 1.6 goals per match in those 10 matches. Look for at least a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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01-31-23 | Clippers -3 v. Bulls | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Clippers -3 @ Chicago Bulls @ 8 ET - The Bulls are off a win but had lost 5 of 8 games before that win. Also, each of last 8 games for Chicago came against teams that currently have a losing record entering Tuesday's action. This will be the Bulls toughest test in awhile and, making matters even tougher, the Clippers enter this game fired up off a loss. LA had been hot before the loss and they also are a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times they have been off a defeat in which they scored less than 110 points. In this case, Los Angeles off an ugly loss in which they were held to just 99 points and I fully expect a huge response here as a result. The Clippers had won 5 in a row before that loss and get right back on track here. 10* LA CLIPPERS -3 |
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01-31-23 | Kings v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 102 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7 ET - I know the Hurricanes are a strong team that generally gets good goalie work and does not allow a lot of goals. However, this could be a bit of a flat spot for them off of the hard-fought win over the Bruins. That was a key 1-2 battle in the Eastern Conference and could leave the Canes perhaps still celebrating here. So don't be surprised if the Kings put Carolina on their heels a bit here early and get some goals but then the Hurricanes should come roaring back of course. This Carolina team has been so strong in the offensive zone. The Canes, before the 4-1 win over Boston, had seen 10 of their last 12 games total at least 7 goals! Incredibly, Carolina has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 20 games! The Kings also have been solid in the goal-scoring department with 3.2 goals scored per game last 15 games! Also, 12 of last 15 Los Angeles games have totaled at least 6 goals so excellent line value with this rather favorable posted total given the recent trending. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-31-23 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -4 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Miami Hurricanes -4 @ Virginia Tech Hokies @ 7 ET - The Hokies are off B2B wins but they were at home. One of the wins was an upset of Duke so now this Virginia Tech team getting a little too much respect on the road here. Not only have they struggled in true road games all season long, the Hokies had lost 7 straight games overall prior to those B2B wins. So, yes, they started the season 11-1 but a lot has changed since then. Now they face a Miami team that is angry off a home loss to Pittsburgh in which the Panthers scored the final 11 points in the 3 point defeat! Ironically, the Hurricanes also blew their home game against the Hokies late last season in a game in which Virginia Tech rallied from a big 2nd half deficit. So the point is that this is a great spot to back a very angry Canes team! Also, Miami has gone 4-0 this season when off a loss. They will respond here and the point spread is small enough at 4 points that this is a very manageable number. The Hurricanes will be very determined off a loss and they catch Virginia Tech at the right time as Hokies on the road after B2B home wins following a 7-game slide. This one gets ugly. 10* MIAMI -4 |
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01-31-23 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Tuesday at Southampton and Newcastle United prevailed 1-0 in that match. Though that was low-scoring, there were numerous big saves plus a goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and this time it leads to a total of at least 3 goals. Southampton is at the bottom of the table in Premier League action this season but outside of the EPL they continue to perform well. Look for another strong effort here but Newcastle is a large favorite with good reason. I look for Southampton to score at least once here but the home club to prevail and win this at least 2-1. Note that Southampton, in EPL action, have 0 draws in 10 matches. So if they get at least 1 goal here and you know the hosts should ultimately prevail in this one, then we are talking about at least a 2-1 final. Again, I like the way Southampton played in the last match plus they have averaged scoring 1.3 goals per match in last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton's last 4 matches away from home across all competitions all have totaled 3 or more goals! Newcastle, generally speaking, is not a high-scoring club but they know they should have had much more than 1 in last Tuesday's match-up at Southampton and with this one now at St James' Park in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England, they will be relentless on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +1.5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 9 ET - I have been betting for 3 decades already. I have been a handicapper releasing plays to the public for 2 decades already. Possibly another decade to go with the handicapping and, as for sports betting, that will likely be a part of my life until I am laid to rest. Why the long intro? What is this all about? Well, I have always been a contrarian and will always be a contrarian as long as I am betting. Of course you can't be contrarian on every single game but the point is there are match-ups where it pays to scratch your head a bit and say "Wait, what is going on here?" and this is one of those. Now, of course, nothing is 100% in anything but being contrarian in the right spots pays off more than not long-term. This is one of those spots in my opinion. Just look at this match-up once! Iowa State is ranked #12 in the country and blasted the Red Raiders by 34 points in their meeting earlier this season and the Cyclones are 15-5 this season. They are basically a PICK'EM yes indeed a PICK'EM here against a Texas Tech team that is 0-8 in Big 12 games this season! So the odds makers must have really messed up here, eh? Of course not! This game is priced this way for a reason and I sense the Red Raiders will come up huge on their home floor and get a much-needed conference win! Texas Tech is off a non-conference win and Cyclones are off a loss so many will look at that and point to a play on ISU here. But note Iowa State has been struggling on the road recently and this Red Raiders team is VERY hungry to get that first conference win. Don't let the line lead you astray here, the home team is the bet! 10* TEXAS TECH +1.5 |
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01-30-23 | Blues v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 130 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Puck Line -1.5 goals +130 vs St Louis Blues @ 8 ET - Blues have lost 4 straight games and 6 of last 8. St Louis allowed 4.5 goals per game in those 6 defeats. They are struggling on defense and in goal and all 6 of the losses by at least 2 goals! That is why I am comfortable laying the puck line here with the Jets at home. Look for a huge bounce back from Winnipeg who surely have the goalie edge here in addition to the home ice edge. Winnipeg already beat St Louis by a combined score of 9 to 2 in the first two meetings this season and another bloodbath is likely here. The Blues just can not get right. Even though the Jets are also off some recent losses, they have not lost 4 straight games all season. Also, prior to the 4-0 loss to the Flyers - a rare shutout loss for the Jets - Winnipeg had allowed average of just 2.3 goals per game last 9 games. They are the much better defensively and in goal in this match-up and they bounce back huge here in what is the final game for each club before the All Star break. Yes we must win this game by 2 or more goals to win our bet but we get plus money related to that PLUS 15 of the Jets last 19 victories have been by a multi-goal margin. 10* WINNIPEG -1.5 +130 |
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01-30-23 | Magic v. 76ers -9.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - Normally I do not lay big points in the NBA but this is not a normal situation. The 76ers already beat the Magic twice in Orlando. The average margin of those two victories was 19 points and again this was at Orlando! But that is not all. The Sixers were without Embiid, Harden, and Maxey in those 3 games! Those are 3 key players and most likely all 3 will be on the floor here. The only one who might miss is Embiid as he is questionable again with his foot issue. But again, I just do not think he will be rested in a spot like this where no back to back is involved. Also, the Sixers will have Harden and Maxey and those two guys missed the first two games and those games were still big wins and those were both at Orlando. Note that Philly has won 20 of 24 games. The Magic have lost 10 of 16 games and the average margin of defeat is 14.2 points in those 10 losses. Another blowout defeat for Orlando here as the Sixers roll continues! 10* PHILADELPHIA -9.5 |
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01-30-23 | West Ham United v. Derby OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Derby County vs West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - West Ham is the "big brother" in this match-up as they are in currently in the premier league. However, Derby has been on fire overall and also has the benefit of having this match on their home pitch as well. This should be a very entertaining affair as a result because Derby has been scoring a lot of goals but will also struggle to stop a West Ham club that is the more talented club and should find a way to prevail. This is why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. West Ham is known for lower scoring matches but Derby is going to "force the issue" here on their home pitch. It has been a decade since these clubs have met but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. That may not seem relevant but it does point to what happens when two teams with a talent disparity meet. The fact is that Derby has gone 19 straight matches without losing by the 90 minute mark in any of those matches. They are playing with a lot of confidence and that will have them on the attack here on their home pitch. Derby has scored an average of 2 goals per match during this 19-match streak! West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 11 matches and they averaged scoring 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. Derby will struggle to stop them but will be so aggressive on the attack that I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 type battle here but we should at least see this get to 2-1. 10* OVER 2.5 in Derby County |
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01-30-23 | CFR Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Voluntari is, essentially, a suburb of the city of Bucuresti which is where I am located currently. The weather here as of mid-day is beautiful sunshine. We still have snow on the ground here but the weather is improving for sure and the field should be just fine for this match-up this evening on the pitch in Voluntari. Considering the favorable weather and the way CFR Cluj has been scoring goals of late, I love the value we are getting here with this total at 2 goals. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 16 matches in league action! That streak started way back in late August when they hammered this FC Voluntari 4-0 up in Cluj-Napoca. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goals in 15 of last 16 matches! FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored in last 2 home matches! CFR Cluj has had just 2 draws in 22 matches this season so the odds of a draw are not likely here so I am not expecting a 1-1 final but rather that this match finds its way to 2-1. Per the above, you can see why many factors favor at least 3 goals being scored in this one and I am happy to have the added insurance on our side that 2 goals is a push here. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233.5 | Top | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 233.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Pelicans have not been scoring as much lately and are without Zion Williamson but this is a non-conference match-up that should play out with a wide-open style. Not only that, New Orleans most recent game saw them have the pace to score plenty of points but they had a poor shooting night from deep. The Bucks have scored 130 points or more in 4 of last 6 games! Milwaukee home games, prior to a low-scoring win over Denver, saw 4 straight total at least 236 points and those games averaged 246.5 points. Ironically, the last time these teams met earlier this season the game totaled 247 points. We are going to be in that range tonight in my opinion as I just do not expect to see much hunger from either team in terms of generating defensive intensity in this non-conference affair. 10* OVER 233.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs Money Line -120 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 6:30 ET - Just do not want to get burned here if the Chiefs win by just 1 point because the dominant line right now on this game is 1.5 but the money line is available as low as -120 on KC as of very early game day morning. Finally the offensive line issue of Cincinnati will finally become too much in this one. The Chiefs are too smart and too well coached to not take advantage of this. I know that the Bengals beat them in the regular season in Cincy and that they beat them last year in the OT thriller in the playoffs but if I am a Chiefs player I would be saying "enough is enough" here. I mean this has been very surprising to me how for Cincinnati has come but I just can not see them making the Super Bowl again this season. It is so hard to do. So many things have to fall into place. Like I said, this is the game where the offensive line issues for the Bengals finally become too much. Mahomes is feeling better than he thought he would with the high ankle sprain. Kelce will be fine with his back spasms back under control. The end result is a well-coached KC team is going to the Super Bowl as Mahomes will outduel Joe Burrow here. Enough is enough! The Chiefs were aware they were even a DOG in this match-up for a period of time even though they are at home for this. These guys feel a bit a disrespected and this could be Chiefs dominance here in my opinion. 10* KANSAS CITY -120 |
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01-29-23 | Bruins v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Boston Bruins @ 5 ET - Revenge game for the Hurricanes after they lost at Boston earlier this season. Carolina has scored an average of 4 goals per game in last 19 games! The Hurricanes have allowed an average of 3.5 goals last 6 homes games. Andersen dealing with upper body injury so this could be Raanta again here in goal. The Bruins, like the Canes, have been one of the top teams in the NHL so far this season. Boston off a 4-3 loss in OT at Florida last night and both Swayman and Ullmark off rather mediocre starts in goal as Bruins have lost 2 straight. But this Boston team can score like crazy and the Bruins have averaged 3.7 goals per game last 20 games. I feel we have strong odds of each team getting to 3 goals here and that means nothing less than a 4-3 final would result. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles -2 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 vs San Francicsco 49ers @ 3 ET - You might be fortunate enough to still find a -2 out there or perhaps even at heavy juice but, of course, would be preferable to lay 2 rather than 2.5 or 3 here. Another option here is the money line available as low as -145 instead of laying juice in the -125 range on the spread anyway! No matter which you choose, I do like the Eagles a lot in this spot and expect them to win by a double digit margin. Philadelphia sleep-walked a bit late in the season but then they showed what they can do when they are motivated as they destroyed the Giants last week. Yes the 49ers are better than the Giants but keep in mind that there is another edge here in that the Eagles entered the game against the Giants off a bye week. So Philly will be playing just the 2nd time in 3 weeks and it is amazing what time off can do for a team both mentally and physically at this late juncture in the season (including playoffs). Keep in mind the 49ers had a very tough game with Dallas last week but the Cowboys Dak Prescott gifted San Francisco the game on a silver platter by turning the ball over. It was pathetic to see that again but, oh well, this is the way of Dallas! Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are NOT the same as Prescott and the Cowboys that is for sure. Also, 49ers rookie QB Brock Purdy will be facing a tough test in a hostile environment here. Keep in mind, the Eagles will take advantage of a Niners team playing just its third true road game since late October. Since the end of October they had a neutral site game versus Arizona and two road games against Seahawks and Raiders. Those two teams finished the season a combined 15-20 including post-season and that pales in comparison to facing the Eagles in hostile Philly as they are now 15-3 including post-season this season. Because of all the hype about Purdy, this line has been kept lower than it should be. Here we take advantage! Purdy has never faced an NFL situation like this ever and the games at Seattle and Las Vegas will be nothing like how this one will be for the rookie quarterback. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
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01-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB vs Farul @ Noon ET - Look for plenty of goals in this one. The snow is finally letting up here in Bucuresti and the weather should be decent for this one Sunday evening. Cold weather but decent field conditions expected for this one. FCSB has scored 7 goals in last 3 meetings with Farul but it was Farul who came up with the 3-1 win earlier this season. FCSB will be looking for revenge here and should get it but Farul also scores plenty of goals. Farul the highest scoring team in the league with 42 goals but FCSB right behind them with 37 on the season. Considering each team has played 22 matches this season that translates to a final score in the 3 to 4 goal range here and I am expecting that. Farul has conceded 8 times in last 3 matches and you know that FCSB will be pressuring them here at home in search of revenge. However, lets not forget this is a very dangerous Farul club capable of exposing FCSB on the counterattack. This one should be a wildly entertaining affair with plenty of intensity and high-quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB |
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01-29-23 | Providence -1 v. Villanova | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Providence Friars -120 @ Villanova Wildcats @ Noon ET - The Wildcats are 4-5 in Big East games. They are not the same team they were when they were coached by Jay Wright. Also, their 4 wins are against two of the worst teams in the conference as they have a pair of victories against both Georgetown and St John's. Those two teams are a combined 4-16 in Big East action! Now Villanova is facing a Providence team that is 8-2 this season and we can get the Friars at right around a pick'em price! I will take it! Keep in mind this is also a double revenge game for the Friars as they lost both meetings last season and they were very close games. I know Villanova has played a lot of close games this season but close loss does not mean a win and the fact is the Cats keep falling just short against the better teams in the conference. That should continue here against a very determined visitor in this one. 10* PROVIDENCE -120 |
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01-29-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 8:30 AM ET - Brighton & Hove has been scoring goals at a fantastic rate with Roberto De Zerbi as manager. They enter this match having scored an average of 3.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. However, one of those was a 3-0 victory over Liverpool in league action two weeks ago. You know the visitors will be out for payback here and certainly I am expect them to respond after being delivered a clean sheet courtesy of Brighton & Hove in that meeting two weeks ago. Brighton has allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches so don't be surprised if Liverpool is on the attack early and often in this one. The issue for Liverpool is, prior to a 1-0 victory at Wolverhampton, they allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 away from home. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and they have actually averaged 4 goals per match. Liverpool has been a little quiet lately but we know what this club is capable of and they will be more aggressive here I am sure. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals and am expecting 4 or more goals here. 10* OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-28-23 | Canadiens v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Montreal vs Ottawa @ 7 ET - Tough spot for Senators. They are off a big 6-2 win at Toronto but this is 2nd game of a B2B and Talbot is out. That means Forsberg is expected to start again here in goal for the Sens even though it is 2nd night of a B2B. Montembeault expected to start for Canadiens and he has allowed 10 goals last 3 starts and has a 3.14 GAA on the season. Habs have scored an average of 3 goals last 6 home games but Ottawa comes rolling in with confidence off the 6-2 win last night. Look for plenty of goals here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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01-28-23 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh vs San Jose @ 7 ET - I love the value here with the over 6.5 because the Sharks over trending resumed with a 5-4 loss in most recent game after they had a couple lower-scoring games. Remember those two RARE unders for SJ had followed 15 straight San Jose games totaling at least 6 goals. The Sharks are so bad defensively and in goal and note that the Penguins are fired up off a 3-2 loss at Washington Thursday. The Penguins had scored at least 4 goals in 6 of last 9 games before scoring just 2 in the loss to the Capitals. The Sharks have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 18 games. San Jose should score well here because Pittsburgh is without top goalie Jarry. However, don't be surprised when the Penguins are lighting the lamp early and often against this porous Sharks defense as San Jose also continues to struggle to get good goaltending too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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01-28-23 | Texas v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - The Volunteers were as high as a -7.5 favorite here and have dropped to a -5 and I love the line value here. Tennessee is a very strong team and home court can mean an awful lot in College Basketball to a team that is firing on all cylinders. The Vols are hot and they are at home here. Give credit to the Longhorns too as they are having a very strong season. However, they have lost 2 of last 3 games against ranked teams and this is a tough road venue for this Big 12/SEC Challenge match-up! The one game they did win in those last 3 against ranked teams came when they rallied from 18 down against TCU but the Horns were at home for that one. This is a whole other situation here and Tennessee has won 8 of 9 games and the only loss was when they shot a ridiculous 3 of 21 from three point land against Kentucky plus the Wildcats had a 25 to 10 edge in free throw attempts and yet the Volunteers only lost that game by 7 points. That says a lot right here and, as I have mentioned often in the past, I have a ton of respect for the odds makers. The Vols opened up as a bigger favorite with good season. The home team rolls big here! 10* TENNESSEE -5 |
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01-28-23 | Seton Hall -2 v. Butler | Top | 70-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -2 @ Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Butler wants revenge for a 25 point loss at Seton Hall 3 weeks ago. However, the Pirates are off a beatdown at home at the hands of Marquette. After losing that one by 21 points, it is certainly noteworthy that Seton Hall is a PERFECT 4-0 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 points or more. By the way, all 4 of the Pirates wins in this situation have come by more than 21 points! This included a blowout win over the Bulldogs. Yes, Butler is at home and they have been known for being tough at home traditionally. However, that was then and this is now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight games overall and have lost 8 of 11 - all in Big East action. They have 3 home losses this season - all in Big East action - and all by a margin of at least 20 points. Considering all of the above and the fact this line is only a -2, this is a great spot for the Pirates! 10* SETON HALL |
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01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 vs Denver Nuggets @ 3:10 ET - The Sixers have Joel Embiid on the injury report but I can not see him missing this game. The 76ers have not played since Wednesday and they do not play again until Monday. This is not a situation where it would make sense to sit Embiid for what is really best defined as a nagging injury. As for the Nuggets injury report, many of their guys will likely play tonight but they have a long list of players on the report and this includes guys who could miss or who are unlikely to be 100%. That said, I do like the Sixers here even if Embiid does not play. The Nuggets are banged up and have lost 2 of 3. Philly is hot and has won 6 straight and 19 of 23 games! The situation plus home court edge means plenty of value with a rather low number here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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01-28-23 | Hermannstadt v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play but I really like this situation a lot. The weather could feature some snow and the field could be a little sloppy but I just can not ignore some of the solid angles here and I like the fact this total was in the 2 and 1/4 range before dropping to a solid 2 and we get line value here at this number. Both these clubs are off losses in which they failed to score a goal. Note that Hermannstadt had scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 4 matches prior to this. Also, the average score of the last 4 matches for Hermannstadt was a total of 3.3 goals prior to their 1-0 loss last week. Universitatea Craiova is also off a 1-0 loss last week. However, prior to that, they were shutout only once in last 9 matches and in the other 8 they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match! 10 of 14 matches before the 1-0 loss last week had totaled at least 2 goals! Those 14 matches averaged 2.5 goals and this one should get to 3. Universitatea Craiova has never been shutout in B2B games this season but I also expect Hermannstadt to bounce back and get at least 1 goal here. So what are the odds of a 1-1 match? Well these teams have a combined average draw rate of 25%. Odds favor this one getting to a 2-1 type final 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-28-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Petrolul 52 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 @ Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Winter weather is here in the Bucuresti area where I am currently residing and this means extra value with the underdog in a match-up like this. Ploiesti is just north of Bucuresti and we continue to get a lot of snow here today. We saw a scoreless draw in the first match of the weekend last night in inclement weather. This one should be another tight low-scoring battle and I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste had to settle for a draw instead of a win in their most recent match only because of a "fluke play" that resulted in a collision between a goalie and his teammate and the opposition. The opponent then was kicking the ball into a wide-open empty net on a breakaway. It was a one in a million type play you rarely see. They were the better team throughout the game and deserved to win. Suffice to say Chindia Targoviste hungry for the full 3 points in the table here after that frustrating result. But even if the visitors settle for a draw that still gives us a push here with this goal line available at Pick +102 so that is the play here. 10* Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies -3 v. Wolves | Top | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -3 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The last time these teams played the Wolves had both Towns and Gobert on the floor and yet still lost by double digits. I know the Grizzlies are now without Adams but the point is that Towns is going to miss tonight for sure as he has been out for two months. As for Gobert, he is dealing with a groin injury and may not play or might be limited. It adds up to a great to back a road team very hungry to get back to winning ways. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight and will hit the floor running hard tonight and the Timberwolves just do not have the horses to keep up here. Minnesota has a number of injury issues and the road team is favored here for a reason. Don't let the line fool you. Lay it! 10* MEMPHIS -3 |
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01-27-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Ottawa is going to be without goalie Cam Talbot until after the All Star break most likely. Anton Forsberg came in for him versus the Islanders and played well in that game but in his last 4 starts he has allowed 18 goals and he is facing a tough Maple Leafs team here. Toronto should certainly score plenty here but the issue for the Leafs is they do have stretches where they do allow too many goals. This has been some case overall in some recent home games plus has been a prevailing trend in recent divisional games. Now they face another divisional foe and the Maple Leafs have allowed about 4 goals per game in last 4 divisional games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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01-27-23 | Sharks v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs San Jose Sharks @ 7 ET - Even if Frederik Andersen plays for the Hurricanes he may not be 100% here as he left his last start with an upper body injury. That game ended up being a 3-2 Carolina win that stayed under the total. But, prior to that, the Hurricanes 9 of last 10 games totaled at least 7 goals! I love the value here with the over 6 because the Sharks are off a couple lower-scoring games but this followed 15 straight San Jose games totaling at least 6 goals. The Sharks are so bad defensively and in goal and note that the Canes have scored an average of nearly 4 goals per game last 18 games. The Sharks have averaged 3 goals per game last 17 games. This one should be a 5-3 Canes win or at least 4-3 and I like the long-term scoring trending of each team that has taken place but the fact we get line value with SJ off B2B unders and the Canes off an under. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-27-23 | St. Louis -125 v. Davidson | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens -120 @ Davidson Wildcats @ 7 ET - This is a revenge spot for St Louis as they lost in the A-10 Tourney to Davidson by 15 last season plus the Wildcats beat the Billikens by 21 points in the regular season meeting too. St Louis is a 1 or 1.5 point favorite here in this game so the best value is with the money line which is in the -120 range on this one. The Billikens come into this one red hot and rolling with confidence as they have won 5 straight. The Wildcats are off a win but this followed 4 straight losses. We get line value here because many will be looking at Davidson as a home dog here but the Billikens are not 14-6 on the season thus far by pure accident. The road team is the better team in this match-up and the revenge angle helps push this one over the top for me as the motivation angle is a key here too. 10* ST LOUIS Money Line -120 |
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01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester City vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - These two teams are topping the table in the Premier League this season and now this should be a thrilling encounter in the Fourth Round of the English FA Cup. Manchester City averages 3.5 goals scored per game on their home pitch this season in EPL action. Arsenal averages 2 goals scored per game on enemy turf this season in EPL action. These clubs are two of the best on the attack and each has had some defensive deficiencies at times as Manchester City is off a match in which they delivered a clean sheet but this followed 3 straight in which they allowed 2 goals in each match! Arsenal has allowed a pair of goals in 2 of last 4 matches in EPL action. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester City |
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01-27-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line Pick -115 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Rapid is offering a lot of line value here with this goal line at a pick'em. In their last 10 matches Rapid has only one loss as they have had wins or draws in the other 9 matches. Universitatea Cluj is off a win but, prior to that, had only 1 win in last 8 matches! The value of the pick'em goal line is big here. The line is not a mistake as it is simply priced this way because Rapid is on the road. What I like here though this they have been the much hotter club and have a great shot at the win plus we have the added bonus that any draw is a push rather than a loss for our bet. Rapid has been on a "mission" for some time now and that has catapulted them up the table. They continue that rise with picking up another victory here. 10* RAPID Goal Line Pick -115 |
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01-26-23 | Blues v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Arizona Coyotes vs St Louis Blues @ 9:05 ET - Tarasenko is now back for the Blues but they are off a 5-3 loss as their defense and goaltending continues to be an issue. Ditto for the Coyotes as Arizona is off a 5-2 loss for the same reasons. Overall, I like Arizona when they are at their temporary home which is a small 5,000 seat arena. The Coyotes have averaged scoring 3 goals per game in their last 15 games here. The problem for Arizona is they have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in the 12 losses in their current 2-12 run. The good news for Coyotes fans tonight is they should see plenty of scoring tonight. Arizona will join the "goal party" here as the Blues have allowed 4.6 goals per game in last 9 losses! St Louis has scored an average of 4 goals per game in last 9 victories! No wonder 13 of last 19 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals and all signs point to this one taking that run to 14 of 20 for St Louis. 10* OVER 6.5 in Arizona |
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01-26-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Wild | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
Thursday NHL 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -125 @ Minnesota Wild @ 8:05 ET - The Wild have lost 6 of 9 games. Yes a lot of those games were on the road but the fact is Minnesota is only 2-2 last 4 games on home ice and one of those wins was by just a single goal. That said, there is a lot of value here with the Flyers at +1.5 goals. Philadelphia has won a modest 13 of last 27 games but the key within that is the value of the +1.5 goals here. The Flyers 14 losses in that stretch included 7 by a single goal. That means the Flyers, at +1.5 goals, would produce a 20-7 record last 27 games. Not bad, eh? The fact is Philly is a live dog in this spot as they are coming off a loss and have been playing better of late when off a loss. They enter this game off B2B losses but, prior to the OT loss to the Kings, they had gone 6-1 last 7 times when off a loss. The Wild just back from a long road trip and have a revenge game versus Sabres on deck too. Neither of those are key angles here but still worth noting. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -125 |
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01-26-23 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 231.5 | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:40 ET - I look for the Pistons to put up a fight here as they catch the Nets in a tough back to back spot after that intense battle with Philly last night. However, I just can not trust the defensive play of Detroit and that is why I am expecting this one to turn into a shootout with plenty of points. The Nets are 2-5 since Durant got hurt and they have allowed 115 points per game. Brooklyn has scored 120.5 ppg last 4 games and will feast on a Detroit team willing to play uptempo but with constantly getting blown out of games. The Pistons have allowed 127.5 ppg last 10 games. However, they also have scored 116 points per game last 9 games. 10* OVER 231.5 in Brooklyn |
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01-26-23 | Iowa +3 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +3 @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - Uh oh...the odds makers did it again and made a massive "mistake" here, right? After all this line opened up at nearly a pick'em even though Michigan State is 8-2 at home this season and the Hawkeyes are 3-5 in games played away from their home in Iowa. Wow...what a "gift" from the odds makers, right? Long-time followers know the respect I have for the odds makers and the fact is this game was priced this way for a reason. Now that we are able to get as much as +3 on this one with the Hawkeyes, it is absolutely "go time" for me. Iowa could get Patrick McCaffery back tonight. Already he is back with the team and this is providing an emotional boost for him and for the team. They are going to rally around this even if he is not on the floor tonight. A big key here is the play of Kris Murray and he could do what his brother Keegan did against Michigan State last season as he dominated in the 26 point win for the Hawkeyes. The fact is Kris Murray is "in the zone" right now and I love the fact Iowa enters this game off a loss in which Ohio State simply shot "lights out" against them. The Buckeyes won the game on ridiculously hot shooting but the Spartans have not been playing like that very often at all this season. Michigan State has lost 3 of 4 while the Hawkeyes had won 4 straight before the loss to the Buckeyes. By the way, the Spartans only win last 4 games was against Rutgers by 13 points but it was a game in which they outscored the Scarlet Knights by 30 points from three point land. Statistical anomaly for sure as it was a classic case of hot versus not for one game on the floor. That is not happening here against the Hawkeyes. 10* IOWA +3 |
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01-26-23 | Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Spanish Copa del Rey, Quarterfinals, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Real Madrid scores an average of 2.2 goals per match in league action but, when at home, they have allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 matches! Atletico Madrid is allowing about 1 goal per match this season but also has scored a respectable 1.5 goals per match. Real Madrid won this match 2-1 when Atletico Madrid was the host back in September. Now they meet at Santiago Bernabéu where Real Madrid has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last two meetings. Considering Real Madrid has given up at least 1 goal so frequently as a host but yet is the superior team here with plenty of firepower on the attack, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Sure this is a tough match for Atletico Madrid but their confidence has grown with recent successes and they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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01-25-23 | Blue Jackets v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 9:35 ET - The Blue Jackets re-assigned Tarasov to the minors last week. Their current goalies are Korpisalo and Merzlikins. In the last 10 Columbus games those guys have been in the crease, 8 of the 10 have totaled at least 7 goals! Those 8 games averaged about 8 goals. Overall, other than the only recent Tarasov made, the Blue Jackets have allowed an average of about 4 goals per game. Now they have to face a red hot Oilers team so this could get ugly. Edmonton has scored 5 goals per game during their current 6-game winning streak! Also, the Oilers conceded an average of 3 goals per game last 9 home games. So even on home ice Edmonton tends to give up goals but these guys can score like crazy. They are so dangerous and they face a very bad Blue Jackets defense and sub-par goaltending that also just gave a huge effort in Johnny Gaudreau's return to Calgary on Monday. Look for that to help turn this non-conference battle into a wide-open affair with plenty of open ice. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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01-25-23 | Nets v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 133-137 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - I am aware Embiid is questionable. I do expect him to play but, even if he does not, note that the Nets are 100% going to be without Durant here. Durant did play in the first meeting this season while Embiid did not. Plus Harden did not play for Philly in that one either. The Sixers still won the game by 9 points. Note that Harrell is coming off a big for the 76ers and could get the call again for a lot of minutes if Embiid misses. But the fact Brooklyn has no KD is the biggest key here. Also, I would really be surprised if Embiid does not play here. It is a divisional game and he has already had time off since neither he nor Harden played this weekend at Sacramento. Also Philly does not play again until this Saturday and that is a non-conference game and this game tonight is a divisional battle. Look for Embiid to go and Harden is not even on the injury report. The Sixers stay red hot here and roll to another win even if Embiid misses. The 76ers take advantage of a Nets team that has lost 4 of 6. The Sixers have won 5 straight and 18 of 22 games! 10* PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
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01-25-23 | Islanders v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - Both these teams allowing plenty of goals of late. The Senators have lost 6 of 8 games and allowed 4.5 goals per game in those 8 games. The Sens off a 5-1 home loss to the Jets but had scored at least 4 goals in 3 of last 4 homes games before that one. Look for Ottawa's trouble in terms of goals allowed to continue here but they should also resume their recent home ice goal-scoring success courtesy of facing a a struggling Isles team. New York has lost 10 of 12 gams and allowed 4 goals per game last 5 games. The Islanders did defeat the Senators earlier this season by a 4-2 count. They have scored an average of 4.3 goals per victory in their last 9 wins and they will be dangerous here but the Sens answer them goal for goal. This is one of those that should get to 3-3 at some point which means at least a 4-3 final would be the end result. 10* OVER 6 in Ottawa |
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01-25-23 | Richmond -115 v. Massachusetts | Top | 76-85 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders -115 @ Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - Great spot for a road win here and we get some value in the line since these teams have nearly identical overall records on the season. The key is not the overall records but the record in A-10 action that matters the most here as well as the current situation here. Massachusetts has lost 5 of 7 games in conference action. Richmond was 4-2 in conference action prior to losing to a solid VCU team this past weekend. Now the Spiders will bounce back. I know they do not have a good road record but this Spiders team is better than that shows and this is a great spot for them. They are catching a slumping UMass team and Richmond is actually 4-0 SU the last 4 times they are off a loss! Spiders will bounce back again here after falling short against the Rams. The Minutemen just are not very good defensively this season and the road team takes advantage here. 10* RICHMOND -115 |
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01-25-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Manchester United scores an average of 1.6 goals per match in league action but, when on the road, they have allowed 1.8 goals per match. Nottingham Forest is allowing 1.75 goals per match this season but, when on their home pitch, they have have scored 1.3 goals per match. Since a 3-0 loss at Manchester United in late December, Nottingham Forest has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions! Manchester United has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match last 9 matches across all competitions. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-24-23 | Sabres v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres @ 8 ET - The Blues Tarasenko is nearing his return. Even if he does not play tonight I still like the over here. The Sabres are in a tough back to back spot and off a 3-2 OT win. I could see this non-conference match-up in a back-to-back spot being played very wide open. St Louis continues to allow too many goals and Buffalo, in this situation, will likely prove susceptible in their own zone as well. Sabres allowing 3.5 goals per game last 11 games and St Louis has lost 8 of 15. The Blues have scored 4 goals a game in the 7 wins and allowed nearly 5 goals per game in the 8 losses. We'll see plenty of goals tonight given the situation for the Sabres and the current trending of St Louis. 22 of last 32 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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01-24-23 | Bulls v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers +1.5 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the fact that Andrew Nembhard is listed as questionable for this one with an illness. But he played through that illness Saturday at Phoenix and I do expect him to play here tonight and to be stronger. I know he missed practice yesterday but that was likely just to get him as healthy and full-strength as possible before this game. Even if he does not play, I like the Pacers here at home. Yes they have lost 7 straight games but they have a huge rest edge here. Bulls are in the 2nd game of a B2B after facing the Hawks last night. Chicago also just got back their long travel to Paris late last week. That said, this B2B could prove to be too much as the Pacers have a big rest edge coming off B2B days off. Also, there is plenty of motivation for the Pacers here as they lost early this season at Chicago and they also are hungry to end their losing streak. As for the Bulls, yes they have won 3 straight but they have NEVER WON 4 in a row this season! Also, when on the road this season and having won at least 2 straight games, the Bulls have gone 1-5 SU in those games. Adding to the value here is that this is a B2B for Chicago and they were just in Europe at the end of last week. 10* INDIANA +1.5 |
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01-24-23 | Panthers v. Penguins -139 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Penguins Money Line -140 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are in a back to back spot here. Florida had Lyon in goal last night and he struggled as I expected (we had over in their match-up with the Rangers here yesterday). Now, with Bobrovsky still dealing with an injury, it is likely be Knight who gets the start in goal tonight. He has allowed 21 goals in his last 5 appearances and only lasted about 1 period in one of those. Knight is back up from being assigned to AHL and I look for his NHL-level struggles to quickly resume. As for the Penguins, they are off a tight 2-1 OT loss and will be fired up here. They have the rest edge over the Panthers and plus Tristan Jarry has looked great in goal since he came back. He has allowed just 1 goal in regulation time of each of his two starts since he came back. So the Penguins have the edges here with a rest edge, home ice edge, and the goalie edge. Florida has lost 17 of 28 games this season on the road. Pittsburgh is solid 13-5-4 on home ice this season. Jarry is 16-5-5 with a solid 2.65 GAA this season. In 15 home starts this season he has only 2 losses in regulation time! We get a bargain price here because Penguins had slumped the final week of December and first week of January but they are starting to turn the corner and could be getting Kris Letang back soon as well. All in all, a great set-up here for home dominance. 10* PITTSBURGH -140 |
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01-24-23 | Missouri +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 89-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +1.5 @ Ole Miss Rebels @ 7 ET - Home court is so important in college basketball. Wait a second, if that is the case why am I am playing the road team here in a game that is nearly a pick'em? Well ladies and gentlemen, that is because sometimes the value of home court is so strongly baked into the lines and baked into the minds of the betting masses that it creates value for strong road teams. That is the case here. Let's not forget that Missouri is a respectable 3-4 in SEC action and also 3-3 in games against ranked teams this season. The Tigers have won 14 of their 19 games overall this season! Conversely, Ole Miss is the only team (other than SC) in the SEC with an overall losing record on the season plus they are 1-6 in SEC action plus they have gone 0-4 this season against ranked teams! The Rebels have lost 10 of 13 since they started the season 6-0. There is simply a talent gap between these teams that has not been properly factored here and we will take advantage. Yes, the Tigers can (and will) win on the road here. Grab the +1.5 and look for an upset. 10* MISSOURI +1.5 |
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01-24-23 | Newcastle United -130 v. Southampton | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play Newcastle United Money Line -130 vs Southampton @ 3 ET - I know that Southampton knocked off Manchester City in a huge upset in their last match in action in the EFL Cup action. However, City had a huge edge in possession in that match and it was just "one of those days". The fact is that Southampton is mired at the bottom of the EPL standings this season for a reason and I feel they will struggle with a Newcastle United club that, though struggling a bit of late to score goals, is still the stingiest team in the league in terms of goals allowed. Newcastle allowing only about 1/2 a goal per match in the league while Southampton allowing nearly 2 goals per match in league action. Again, this is EFL Cup action rather than EPL action but still the EPL matches give a strong insight into how these clubs have been performing for many months now. Also, Newcastle has 3 wins and 1 draw with no losses in last 4 meetings with Southampton and they have scored an average of about 3 goals per match in those 4 recent meetings. That said, look for continued scoring success in this match-up and the underdogs just will not be able to keep up considering the stellar defense they are facing in this one. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED -130 |
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01-23-23 | Grizzlies v. Kings | Top | 100-133 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies PK -115 @ Sacramento Kings @ 10:30 ET - The Grizzles are off B2B losses for the 6th time this season. What happened after the first five times this happened? A win all 5 times! In fact that 5-0 mark punctuated by an average margin of victory of 15 points. The beautiful thing about this spot though is we do not have to even worry about covering a spread. The line on this game is essentially a pick'em as of very early Monday morning even if you have to lay slightly more juice (-115) to get the pick'em line. It is worth it! I know Memphis is in a back to back spot here and the Kings have the rest edge. However, the fact the Grizzlies are off B2B losses each by the slimmest of margins will insure a special focus from them here. The Kings are off a loss and want to bounce back but, prior to that loss to Philly, the 6-game win streak of Sacramento was not overly impressive in terms of opposition. As I mentioned in my Saturday NBA write-up: "Although Sacramento has won 6 straight games, note that all the teams have a losing record. In fact 5 teams were faced in those 6 games and their combined record is 84-144." So I am backing the Grizzlies here to get a big road win and make it a PERFECT 6-0 SU this season when entering a game on a losing streak of 2 games. 10* MEMPHIS Pick -115 |
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01-23-23 | New Mexico v. Nevada -2.5 | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack -2.5 vs New Mexico Lobos @ 9 ET - So the Lobos have only 2 losses this season but they are the underdog here? Well, a few keys here. One is that Nevada is at home and very strong there and they are coming off a loss. Nevada, on the season, is 4-0 / 100% PERFECT SU and the average margin of victory in those 4 games was 9 points so the spread should not be a problem here. Lay the small number with the Wolf Pack as they bounce back off a loss. They are catching the Lobos at the perfect time for a big win. New Mexico is off a hard-fought win in OT over Boise State over the weekend. The Lobos would like revenge here as the Wolf Pack knocked them out of the MWC tourney but this is not the right spot for it. Nevada won both meetings with New Mexico last season and they are angry off a loss here. In about two weeks the Lobos get them on their court and that could be different but here on the road it is a too big of an ask. Keep in mind, the two teams New Mexico lost to are a combined 4-10 now in MWC action and I feel they are susceptible to an ugly road result here. 10* NEVADA -2.5 |
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01-23-23 | Panthers v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - I have plenty of respect for the Rangers and goalie Shesterkin. However, this is a dangerous Panthers offense and also Shesterkin has allowed at least 3 goals in 7 of his last 10 starts. If Halak gets the start, note that he has allowed at least 3 goals in 8 of his 12 starts this season. The Panthers are expected to start Alex Lyon between the pipes. I know he has been solid in his first two starts this season with his new team but this is still a netminder who has limited NHL experience. He has only 18 starts in his NHL career and still carries a 3.12 GAA in his career. So the Rangers should match Florida goal for goal here and I am expecting each club to get to 3 goals which would mean we would not do any worse than 4-3 final here. The Rangers beat the Panthers 5-3 at the start of the month and, prior to a 3-1 loss to a tough Bruins team in New York's most recent game, they had scored at least 3 goals in 6 of last 8 games. The Panthers have won 7 of 11 games and have scored about 4 goals per game last 11 games! This one should be highly entertaining with plenty of quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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01-23-23 | Tottenham Hotspur +113 v. Fulham | Top | 1-0 | Win | 113 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Money Line +105 @ Fulham @ 3 ET - The fact that Fulham has been hot and Tottenham has not plus the fact this game is at Fulham and yet it is Tottenham that is the favorite on the 3-way line tells you all you need to know here. The odds makers know what they are doing here. Tottenham is viewed by the betting masses as being in a slump but look at the clubs they have played. Conversely, Fulham has faced a much softer slate of opposition of late and the results have reflected this. The reason Fulham has a comeback price of slightly more than double Tottenham here is because the odds makers feel there is a great shot for a road victory and I do too! The Hotspur are 4-0-1 in last 5 meeting with Fulham and outscored them by an aggregate of 9 to 4 in those matches. Tottenham dominated the match more than the 2-1 final score even indicated when these teams met earlier this season and I expect more of the same here. The last two losses for the Hotspur were at the hands of the top two teams in the league with losses to Manchester City and Arsenal. Prior to that, Tottenham - across all competitions - was off B2B wins by a combined score of 5 to nil! Look for the visitors to make a statement in this match and start to move back up the table again as they are still positioned quite nicely and they will prove they are still superior to Fulham as the hosts have been gaining ground on them recently in the table. 10* TOTTENHAM |
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01-23-23 | CFR Cluj v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - This is a battle of the top two clubs in the league and this has the betting markets thinking under as this total has gone from a 2.5 to a 2 in most books. However, this has led to phenomenal value on the over in this match-up. Having a 2 is a big plus for over bettors in this league. The last time these clubs met it was 3-1 win for Farul at CFR Cluj so you know the visitors are now looking for payback. On the road these visitors have been strong this season as they have scored at least one goal in all ten matches and have averaged scoring 1.4 goals away from home. Farul has scored at least 1 goal in last 7 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match as a host this season! 15 of last 16 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj was a 1-0 winner in most recent road match but 7 of 9 prior to that totaled at least 2 goals. Also, you can see why there are strong odds that both clubs score at least one goal in this one so what is the likelihood of a 1-1 draw? Very slim actually as CFR Cluj has 2 draws this entire season which is fewest in the league and is a draw percentage of only 9% on the season! 10* OVER 2 -120 in Farul |
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01-23-23 | Arges v. Chindia Targoviste | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Money Line +105 vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - There is a reason that Chindia Targoviste is favored here on the 3-way line and odds makers are offering you odds that are 3 times as good if you take FC Arges here. The fact is that Chindia Targoviste has not scored a goal in any of its last 3 matches but faced a very tough slate of opponents. Now they host a struggling FC Arges club and will take full advantage here. Keep in mind, only 1 of Chindia Targoviste's last 3 matches were at home. They will take advantage of being back on their home pitch here. FC Arges won the first match this season way back in August and Chindia Targoviste actually led that match at half-time and they want payback here! FC Arges has only 1 victory in last 7 road matches and has been outscored 16 to 6 in road matches this season. 10* Chindia Targoviste |
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01-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Suns +8.5 | Top | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns +8.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:10 ET - The Suns are playing short-handed and in a back to back spot. However, are you seeing how hungry some of the guys are that are now getting extra playing time? This Phoenix team is fighting hard and has won B2B games. I am well aware that Memphis is off a loss and wants to bounce back here but they also recently embarrassed the Suns by 30 points in Memphis. You can bet Phoenix has not forgotten and they will put up a fight here at home! By the way, 6 of the last 8 Grizzlies games have been decided by a single digit margin. The average margin of those 6 games was 5 points. This game is going to be a lot closer than many expect and, as an added bonus, some Suns guys might be back on the floor tonight. Either way I like them at home catching all these points. 10* PHOENIX +8.5 |
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01-22-23 | Sharks v. Bruins OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:05 ET - Boston is a very strong team known for defense and netminding too but I still love the over. One of the keys is that the Bruins are off some very satisfying wins over other teams from the East plus they have their first match-up of the season with a huge rival, the Canadiens, on deck. So Boston might look ahead a little and not be so sharp in their own end of the rink and they will allow some goals. However, this is still a Bruins team that will ultimately push hard and has won 8 of 9 and scored n an average of 5 goals in last 7 wins! So look for goals here as the Sharks also do score quite well. The problem for San Jose is they can not stop anyone. The Sharks last 15 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. Those 15 games have seen SJ allow an average of 4 goals per game. The Sharks also have scored, other than a 7-1 loss to Edmonton, 3.5 goals per game in the other 12 games of their last 13 games in this 15-game run of high-scoring contests. San Jose can put up goals like I said but they just are so bad defensively and in goal. Boston will surely take advantage. As you can see, a lot of reasons to expect plenty of goals tonight. 10* OVER 6.5 in Boston |
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01-22-23 | Kings v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7:05 ET - The Blackhawks were mired in a long-term slump and not scoring goals for much of this season. All that has changed now as they are heating up and scoring goals plus here they are taking on a Kings team that is seeing both their goalies struggle. So all the scoring should continue here because, as hot as the Chicago offense has been, they too continue to allow far too many goals. The Hawks have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 4 goals last 6 games. Chicago has allowed about 4 goals per game last 18 games! 5-4 anyone? Well we should see at least 4-3 here! Note that the Kings have allowed 3.7 goals per game last 10 games. Los Angeles has also scored 3.2 goals per game last 11 games. This is a non-conference match-up too so look for some lackadaisical defense and plenty of open ice. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys +4.5 v. 49ers | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Cowboys +4.5 @ San Francisco 49ers @ 6:30 ET - The Giants, including post-season, went 10-8-1 this season. What does that have to do with this bet? Quite a lot actually! I will explain. New York lost all 3 games to the Eagles and both games to the Cowboys this season. The NFC East was a very tough division this year. The Giants only lost 3 of their other 14 games against teams not named Dallas or Philadelphia. The 49ers, on the other hand, have padded their overall record thanks to playing in the NFC West. Including last week's win over the Seahawks in the Wild Card round, the Niners went 7-0 against divisional foes. That is how weak the division was this season while the NFC East is very likely to have a representative as 3 of the 4 NFC teams left entering this week were all from that division! This is no fluke. They were the strongest division in the league this season. Now Dallas is not getting enough respect here. Prescott is back and firing strong again, Purdy is still a rookie, and the Niners have faced a lot of weaker defenses since Purdy as been under center. This is going to be his first truly tough test. Prescott, on the other hand, has more of a "been there and done that" mentality. Especially after convincingly picking up a road playoff win (finally!), this Dallas team is rolling with confidence right now. I really like Purdy and wish him all the best in his NFL career but he is still a rookie and in last week's playoff game he faced a Seahawks defense that would finish the season, including that post-season game, allowing 30 ppg on the road for the season! Now in just his 2nd playoff start he faces a Cowboys defense that has allowed 19 ppg in 9 road games (including post-season). I am expecting a highly intriguing Eagles/Cowboys NFC Championship next week but, as added insurance here, I am going to go ahead and grab the points. I feel if Niners find a way to win this it will be by the slimmest of margins. 10* DALLAS COWBOYS +4.5 |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -5.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 3 ET - Bengals have injury issues on the offensive line. These are big issues. People take notice when key star players are out for teams but many do not pay such close attention to injuries in the trenches and yet those are very important. The issues become particularly troublesome for a team when it becomes a cluster of injuries all to the same unit. In this case, Cincinnati is without both starting tackles and a starting guard. That means 60% of their offensive line is out for this game! The Bengals will struggle to stop the Bills defense from pressuring them all game long in this one. As a result, Cincinnati just can not keep up here because you know the Bills are going to get their points here at home. Buffalo has averaged 32 points per game in home games this season! Cincinnati has allowed an average of 24 ppg last 6 road games. Only one of those 6 games was against a team that ended the season with a wining record. That was Pittsburgh (ended year 9-8) and the Steelers hung 30 on the Bengals. This one turns into a home rout because I know the Bills defense is fully capable of bouncing back big at home after last week's tight win versus Miami. Buffalo entered last week's action having allowed 17 points per game in games played here in Orchard Park this season. 10* BUFFALO -5.5 |
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01-22-23 | Wichita State +2 v. SMU | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers +2 @ SMU Mustangs @ 3 ET - SMU is off a win in OT but they were fortunate Tulsa had such a poor shooting night from distance on their home court. Now the Mustangs are back home but there is a reason this line is so low. The Shockers are the better team. Southern Methodist had lost 4 straight and 11 of 16 prior to knocking off the Golden Hurricane. Coming off a rare win, and on the road and in OT no loss, SMU is in trouble here against a hungry Wichita State team. The Shockers are off a loss but Memphis had a hot shooting night from downtown against them. They bounce back here and keep in mind the win the Mustangs just had was against the worst team in the conference. As for Wichita State, this will prove to be a much tougher test. The Shockers are 5-2 SU when coming off a non-OT loss this season. By the way, one of those 2 losses was to a Cincinnati team that is one of the best teams in the conference. 10* WICHITA STATE +2 |
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01-22-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Hermannstadt OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt vs FCSB @ 1:45 ET - Love the value of the big plus money on the over 2.5 in this one. I feel we have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. Hermannstadt off a 1-0 win at CFR Cluj in most recent match but this followed 3 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 3 averaged 4 goals scored! FCSB has seen last 3 matches total 2 or less goals but this followed a stretch in which 17 of last 22 matches across all competitions for FCSB totaled at least 3 goals. FCSB is 2nd only to Farul in terms of most goals scored this season! FCSB has averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 17 matches in league competition! Neither club has a tendency for draws as they have a combined average of about 1 in 4 matches. Again, all the signs like this point to at least a 2-1 final as I expect Hermannstadt to score at home but FSCB to also resume their hot scoring in league action too. That said, neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 share of the spoils either. FCSB has gone 13 straight matches in league action without a single draw! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt |
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01-22-23 | Manchester United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United beat Arsenal 3-1 earlier this season and that remains the only loss the leaders of the table have in league action. That said, Arsenal wants revenge here and they are at home and they are certainly favored for a reason. But Manchester United has been a team on a mission for quite some time now after their disastrous, though short-lived, early season start. That said, Man U is on a great scoring streak away from home and that should continue here. Neither team gets involved in man draws at all with the clubs combining for just 5 in 37 matches! That said, and with a clean sheet highly unlikely to be involved in this one, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that each of their last 3 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals! Arsenal, other than rare 0-0 match recently with Newcastle, has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in their other 4 recent matches. Manchester United has scored an average of 1.7 goals in last 10 EPL matches and has scored at least once in all 10 of those! 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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01-22-23 | Brentford v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Brentford @ 9 AM ET - We have to lay a little juice on this over but I am very confident we see at least 3 goals. No club in the league the past two seasons combined has conceded more times than Leeds as they have allowed 112 goals during this stretch. Leeds does score quite well as a host though and they are on their home pitch here. They have averaged 1.7 goals scored per match at home. But I do not see them slowing down a red hot Brentford here. The Bees are scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match. Leeds last 4 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals. Those have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 6 straight EPL matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and that includes a 5-2 Brentford victory earlier in this campaign. More of the same on tap here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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01-21-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Kings | Top | 129-127 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 @ Sacramento Kings @ 10 ET - Great spot to fade the Kings as they are in a back to back. Although Sacramento has won 6 straight games, note that all the teams have a losing record. In fact 5 teams were faced in those 6 games and their combined record is 84-144. Now the Kings are in a B2B spot and hosting a 76ers team that is 29-16 this season and has won 4 straight games. Also, the Sixers are off until Wednesday's home game versus Brooklyn. So, prior to finally heading back east, Philly can most certainly leave it all on the floor tonight and, remember, these Sixers have won 17 of 21 games! 10* PHILADELPHIA -3.5 |
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01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -7 or -7.5 vs New York Giants @ 8:15 ET - You might be fortunate enough to still find a -7 out there or perhaps even at heavy juice but, of course, would be preferable to lay 7 rather than 7.5 or 8 here. Either way, I do like the Eagles a lot in this spot and expect them to win by a double digit margin. Philadelphia sleep-walked a bit late in the season but now they catch the Giants on a short week and traveling again. Plus the Eagles are off a bye week. I know Philly did not look good against New York two weeks ago. But it is amazing what time off can do for a team both mentally and physically at this late juncture in the season (including playoffs). Keep in mind the Giants had a very tough game with Minnesota last week and that was on Sunday. Now they have to play the Eagles on Saturday and they face them at Philly. The Eagles will take advantage of a Giants team playing a road game for the 4th time in 5 weeks. I know New York has amazing ATS numbers this season but that is also perhaps why they are a little over-valued here, at least in my opinion. New York has not won B2B games since mid-October! Prior to the upset win at Minnesota in the Wild Card round, the Giants had won only 3 of last 10 games! Also, their 6 losses in this stretch came by an average margin of nearly a dozen points per game! The Eagles led their regular season finale game 19-0 before Giants crawled back into it. Yes that game deserves an asterisk since NY played back-ups but what about the prior meeting? The Eagles won 48-22 and that game was at New York and Philly will have a much more robust game plan here than they did in the match-up two weeks ago. Hurts is now in better health and, of course, this game matters a whole lot more. Eagles pull away as this game goes on and they will not let the Giants back into this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 or -7.5 |
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01-21-23 | Flyers +128 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +125 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7 ET - What a fantastic set-up this is! The Red Wings are off a big upset win at Vegas but, prior to that, Detroit had lost 6 of 8 games and 13 of 18 games! Because they are hosting here they are laying a bit of a price in this spot as the Flyers overall record is not great this season. The key though is that Philly has been quite overall but is coming off a loss and that means even more value here. Before the 4 to 1 home loss to Chicago, as a big favorite mind you, the Flyers had won 8 of 10 games! Also, Philadelphia is 5-1 the last 6 times they were off a loss. 3 of those 5 wins were on the road too so there is not huge concern here as far as being on enemy ice and the fact is this is a great value spot on the Flyers. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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01-21-23 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:05 ET - Columbus is hungry for a win here and will push hard but the Sharks do score quite well. The problem for San Jose is they can not stop anyone. The Sharks last 14 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. Those 14 games have seen SJ allow an average of 4 goals per game. The Sharks also have scored, other than a 7-1 loss to Boston, 3.5 goals per game in the other 12 games their last 13 games. San Jose can put up goals like I said but they just are so bad defensively and in goal. Columbus will take advantage. The Blue Jackets have been involved in some lower-scoring games over the past week or so but their home games have totaled 7 or more goals in 4 of the last 5. Also, the Blue Jackets have scored an average of 4 goals in last 4 home games when facing a team with a losing record. The point is, against weaker teams, the Blue Jackets tend to be dangerous in the offensive zone on home ice and I am expecting more of the same here. As you can see, a lot of reasons to expect plenty of goals tonight. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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01-21-23 | Texas +1.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +1.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 6 ET - Great set-up here. The Longhorns are off a loss by 11 points but they led the game at half and the difference in the game was UT was horrible from 3-point land and outscored by 15 points from there by Iowa State. After the road loss to the Cyclones, look for the Horns to bounce back big here. They have responded well under interim head coach Rodney Terry and UT did win at West Virginia last season too. The Mountaineers are not what they use to be and are scuffling a bit this season. A big key to the value here is West Virginia is off a big home win over a ranked TCU team. Lets not forget that this victory followed 5 straight Big 12 losses for the Mountaineers and the win has the Longhorns attention so they will come in and take care of business here. 10* TEXAS +1.5 |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 or -9 vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 4:30 ET - Not going to write a ton here. The Jaguars rallied from a 27 point deficit against some of the worst coaching in NFL history by the Chargers last week. The week before that Jacksonville beat a Titans team that was down to #3 choice at QB but also were outgained by more than 100 yards in that one. To put it mildly, the Jags are very fortunate to be here. Now they take on a rested Chiefs team that is one of the best in the NFL plus is at home. Also, KC beat Jacksonville by 10 points when these teams met two weeks ago but it could have been much more. Imagine how much KC would have won the game by were it not for a 3-0 turnover deficit! The Jaguars luck runs out here and the Chiefs hammer them by a double digit margin. 10* KANSAS CITY -8.5 or -9 |
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01-21-23 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois-Chicago +5 | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +5 vs Northern Iowa Panthers @ 2 ET - As long-time followers know, I follow UIC closely and we have had good success in their games though we came up short earlier this week. I really like the Flames in this spot. Illinois-Chicago is tough at home and they catch UNI off a tight 2-point win over the Redbirds. That was at home and now the Panthers are on the road where they lost most recent game and also their most recent win away from home was also by just 2 points. Value with points here with a hungry home dog. The Flames have won 3 of last 5 home games but the last two were very tight losses including one in OT. That said, it is worth noting the two teams that UIC lost to at home so closely are each now 14-6 on the season while Panthers are barely a .500 team on the season. Value here. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +5 |
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01-21-23 | CS U Craiova v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - FC Botosani has conceded 3.3 goals per match last 4 matches. However, they are at home for this match and have scored 3 goals in last 2 matches here. Also, the last time FC Botosani hosted Universitatea Craiova they did score 2 goals. As for the visitors in this one, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 against FC Botosani. Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches and in those 8 matches they have averaged 1.6 goals. Look for both clubs to be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one as Universitatea Craiova has sites set on keeping pace with Rapid (won last night) and also FC Botosani has a great chance to make a big move up the table with a win here. You can see, per the above, why I am expecting each club to score at least once as well as I also feel it will not end in a draw. Only 5 of 21 matches for Universitatea Craiova have been draws this season. Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani |
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01-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Leicester has struggled to score goals recently but will be hell-bent on rectifying that in this match Saturday and I expect them to do just that! Brighton & Hove has been very strong and is on a fantastic run but has been conceding some goals too. The way Brighton has been attacking so much has led to opportunities in their own end of the pitch and I expect that to continue here. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last one totaled 7. Leicester has allowed an average of 2 goals per match in last 4 matches in EPL action. Brighton is off a 3-0 shellacking of Liverpool but, prior to that, allowed at least 1 goal in 14 of 16 matches across all competitions. The key for Brighton has been an explosive attack as they have scored an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last 10 across all competitions! Their last 8 matches in EPL action all have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4.4 goals per match! 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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01-20-23 | Nets v. Jazz OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 227.5 in Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets @ 9 ET - Jazz are 7-8 last 15 games and a lot of reason for the consistent mediocrity is simply that Utah allows too many points. The Jazz have given up 117.4 ppg last 15 games. Utah has also scored 120.1 ppg last 15 games. You can see why I am expecting this game to get well into the 230s. Yes Brooklyn is without Durant but Simmons will be better here after foul trouble ruined his night last night and he was ejected in a game he only played 18 minutes. Also, the Nets game last night did total 229 and that was against a Suns team that was hungry for a home win and so they did given a solid defensive effort there. Jazz like to play with tempo and will push in this one and Brooklyn will be forced to keep up. The result, in this non-conference battle, should be a very high-scoring game. 10* OVER 227.5 in Utah |
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01-20-23 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Sens found a way to get the 5-4 OT win at home versus the Pens on Wednesday but now Pittsburgh out for revenge. I can't trust the Penguins to stop the Senators though - plus vice versa too! - and the best bet here is on the over. The Senators have lost 4 of 6 and allowed 4.5 goals during this stretch. Pittsburgh has lost 9 of 12 and the Penguins have allowed 3.5 goals during this stretch. This has the makings of a game with great odds on each club getting to 3 goals or perhaps even 4 goals apiece like they did the night before last. The fact is Tristan Jarry might be back in goal here after missing time since early in the month but in his last 3 outings in which he went more than a period, he is has allowed an average of 4 goals. Both clubs struggling to keep the puck out of their own net and that continues here. Both teams struggling recently on the penalty kill as well. 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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01-20-23 | Ball State v. Kent State -9 | Top | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
NCAAB Friday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes -9 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6:30 ET - At first glance this line might seem too high on Kent State. Key words...first glance. The factors at play here are that when the Golden Flashes come to a game in which their opponent has their full attention, they have been fantastic this season. Overall, Kent State is 15-3 on the season and arguably it is two of the losses that are their most impressive performances of the season. They played at Gonzaga and let the game late before the Bulldogs closed the game on an 11-0 run. The Golden Flashes also played at Houston and led the game late before the Cougars closed the game on a 6-0 run. Houston is the #1 team in the country and Gonzaga is ranked #6 now and BOTH those games were road games for Kent State. These guys can play! This Golden Flashes team has the right mix to win the MAC this season and they are already 5-0 in conference play. One of the possible threats, at least based on early performance, is Ball State as the Cardinals sit just behind them in the standings at 4-1. That said, the Cards have the full attention of the Golden Flashes. Unlike Houston and Gonzaga, Ball State is no powerhouse and this is not a road game for the Flashes either. The result? I am forecasting a huge double digit margin home blowout here. 10* KENT STATE -9 |
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01-20-23 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NOTE: I know the books here are showing 2.25 as the O/U but there are some books with Over 2 goals which is how I would recommend playing this one. Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1 ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. 11 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Amazingly, in 10 of those 11 matches both Rapid and their opponent scored at least 1 goal. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and I feel we should get to at least 3 in this one as well. Sepsi's last 5 road matches all have totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 4 goals! Sepsi enters this match on overall 5-match run in which all 5 totaled at least 2 goals and these matches averaged 3.4 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. You can see why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once and note that each club has only 5 draws in 21 matches this season. That said, high likelihood of at least a 2-1 type match here. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Rapid |
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01-20-23 | Voluntari v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Voluntari @ 9:30 AM ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. Universitatea Cluj should score here on their home pitch as FC Voluntari has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 of last 4 matches. However, the hosts will also likely surrender at least a goal here as well as they have allowed at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 and 2 goals in 2 of last 3. FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Cluj |
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01-19-23 | 76ers -2 v. Blazers | Top | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2 @ Portland Trail Blazers @ 10:10 ET - Portland was once 10-4 on the season. They have since gone 11-19 in their last 30 games! Philadelphia was once 12-12 on the season. They have since gone 16-4 in their last 20 games. The 76ers have won 5 straight road games. The Sixers are healthy and full of confidence right now. The Trail Blazers have lost 4 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents. Portland did win their last two home games big but they caught the Mavericks in a unique scheduling situation and took advantage. That is not the case here and the better team rolls to a solid road win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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01-19-23 | Blackhawks v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line -1.5 goals +125 vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 7 ET - The Flyers bounced back big Tuesday with 5-2 win over Anaheim after an embarrassing road loss at Boston. The Bruins are one of the top teams in the league this season and if you look at Philly's only recent losses, they are all to stronger teams in the league like Boston, Carolina, Toronto. Now Philadelphia is back home and hosting a Blackhawks team that is one of the worst teams in the league this season. As you can see from the large money line on this game, the Flyers are expected to win and I fully concur with that assessment. The key to the value here is on the puck line. Philly has won 8 of 10 games and each of their last 7 wins (and 11 of their last 13 victories) have come by a margin of 2 or more goals! Hart and Ersson have both been playing quite well in goal. The Blackhawks have been playing better but that was at home. This team has been awful on the road with just 3 wins in 16 away games this season. Chicago's last 14 losses have all been 2 or more goals! You can see why I am liking the Flyers to win by at least 2 goals here given the above. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 goals +125 |
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01-19-23 | Ducks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Anaheim Ducks @ 7:05 ET - Ducks games continue to fly over the total and this is also a game where, on home ice, the Blue Jackets can get their offense flowing again. Yes, Columbus has not scored a lot lately but that had a lot to do with the tougher teams they were facing. Now the Blue Jackets take on a Ducks team that has allowed 5 goals per game last 6 games! As for Anaheim's offensive production, it has sagged lately but this is also a "get right" game for them against Columbus. The Blue Jackets got a strong start from Tarasov in their most recent game but he allowed 4 or more goals in 3 of his last 4 appearances before that. Also, Korpisalo has been out for personal reasons and he has allowed an average of 4 goals last 3 starts. As for Merzlikins, he has a 4.44 GAA on the season! So, as you can see, it is likely that we should see plenty of goals here as this is a non-conference battle featuring two teams that both struggle defensively in terms of allowing too many shots and too many high-quality scoring chances PLUS they each have had plenty of shoddy goaltending for most of the season! In fact, for goals allowed this season, the Blue Jackets have allowed more than any other team in the East and the Ducks have allowed more than any other team in the West! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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01-19-23 | Michigan v. Maryland -2 | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins -2 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7 ET - The Terrapins are out for big time revenge here. You can not just always play revenge as it certainly is never an automatic. But certain situations, like this one, certainly command attention. The Terps did not just lose at Ann Arbor at the turn of the new year, they were absolutely destroyed by Michigan. However, the game was a bit of a statistical anomaly because the Terrapins actually had a dozen more shots from the field than the Wolverines did in that game yet they lost by 35 points! The Wolverines simply could not miss while the Terps simply could not hit! Overall, Michigan has won some games this season simply on the strength of shooting. Perfect example of that was against Northwestern in most recent game. But now, on the road and facing an angry Terrapins team that you know is going to want to "D up" in this game, the points will be much tougher to come by for Michigan. Also, Maryland has played well at home this season and they are the better defensive team. When you look at the standings in the Big Ten, the Terps are down near the bottom and the Wolverines are up near the top. Don't be fooled, the Terrapins are favored here for a reason and they fully realize the importance of this game and will take advantage of home court and a relentless effort on the floor as they are hell-bent on getting payback here. 10* MARYLAND -2 |
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01-18-23 | Stars v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars @ 10:05 ET - The Sharks will start Reimer here in goal. He allowed 3 goals in his most recent start. That is actually his best start in his last 5 also! The fact is Reimer allowed at least 4 goals in 4 straight starts before that and has allowed an average of 4 goals in his last 7 starts. He is having a very rough season and now faces a Stars team that will pressure him constantly in this game. Dallas is hungry for a win here and will push hard but the Sharks do score quite well. The problem for San Jose is they can not stop anyone. The Sharks last 13 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. Those 13 games have seen SJ allow 4 goals per game. The Sharks also have scored, other than a 7-1 loss to Boston, 3.5 goals per game in the other 11 games their last dozen games. San Jose can put up goals like I said but they just are so bad defensively and in goal. Dallas will take advantage. The Stars have been involved in some lower-scoring games over the past week or so but their games with San Jose have totaled 7 and 9 goals respectively. Also, the Stars have scored at least 4 goals in 3 of last 5 games including each of the last two. Dallas is off their third shutout win of the season. After the first two their next games totaled 9 and 11 goals respectively. The point is you can see a lot of reasons to expect goals tonight. 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
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01-18-23 | Cavs +7 v. Grizzlies | Top | 114-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +7 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:10 ET - Well aware of the Cavaliers likely being without Donovan Mitchell in tonight's game. Keep in mind, he has not played well in either of his last two games and arguably hurt the team more than helped. Why else do you think a Memphis team that is at home and has won 10 straight games opened up in the 7-point range here. I am grabbing the number here as Grizzlies fall flat after their huge revenging win over the Suns. Remember, prior to their 10-game winning streak it was a loss to Phoenix. That win over the Suns in most recent game was a big one for Memphis and I look for the hungry Cavaliers to give the Grizz all they can handle here. Note also that the Grizzlies view this is the non-conference match-up that it is and they have a huge road trip on deck facing Western Conference foes and rivals. Cavs surprise here and, at a minimum, they keep it interesting and get the cash because an outright upset would not shock me here given the situation. 10* CLEVELAND +7 |
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01-18-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +5.5 | Top | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 6:30 ET - The Pirates lost to the Huskies in the Big East Tournament last spring in the quarterfinals. Not only that, Seton Hall comes into this game hot plus they are on their home floor and they are catching the Huskies in a slump. Connecticut has lost 4 of 5 after starting the season 14-0. The Huskies are a bit of a fragile team now and will struggle to close out games like this, particularly on the road. The key here too is UConn may not even end up being the team looking to close out this game! The Huskies are likely going to be in a battle just to win it! Seton Hall has won 7 of 9 home games and Connecticut has lost 3 of 5 in their true road games this season. One of the Pirates home losses this season was by just 4 points also and I love the home dog value here with the revenge-minded host in this one. 10* SETON HALL +5.5 |
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01-17-23 | 76ers -115 v. Clippers | Top | 120-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -115 @ LA Clippers @ 10 ET - There is a chance Paul George could return tonight for the Clippers. Even if he does he may not be 100% plus the Clips have a Western Conference battle on deck with the Jazz tomorrow. Also, the fact is he played along with Kawhi Leonard in the first game against the Sixers this season and LA blew a 20-point lead in that game and lost by 5. That means a rested 76ers team has plenty of confidence here. Philly barely got by the Lakers Sunday in the 2nd game of a B2B as they looked tired. They will be better here and will be up to the challenge and note a key factor many may not look at here. Luke Kennard is not a big-name player but he is solid and he had a much higher +/- rating than anyone else on the Clips in that game as he was +17 and he will NOT play tonight as he is still out with his calf injury. The Clippers are off a win versus Rockets but Houston is so bad and let us not forget that LA entered that game having lost 7 of 8 games. The Sixers opened as a 1-point favorite here but their last two wins each have been by a single point and I am recommending money line here since it is currently available in the -115 range. So for 5 cent difference on line, we turn any Sixers win into a win at the betting counter. Look for healthy road road team to roll. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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01-17-23 | Sabres v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Buffalo Sabres @ 8:35 ET - The Blackhawks are off a loss in which they allowed 8 goals. The fact is it is hard to trust their goaltending. The good news for Chicago is they did score 5 goals in that game and their season-long trouble of scoring goals seems to be easing up some as they now have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 3 games. The Hawks picked up a few recent wins too so confidence is up a bit and they will score goals here but again struggle to stop the opposition. In this case that is a very focused Buffalo team which has allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 7 games. The key for the Sabres is getting their offense going again and they should do just that here. Buffalo is off an ugly 4-1 home loss to Florida but the Sabres have won 6 of last 7 on the road and have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game during this run! They will have their opportunities here against the Blackhawks and they actually have scored 4.7 goals in their last 11 road games so, going further back, their performances on enemy ice are even more impressive. I see each club getting to at least 3 goals given all of the above and that would guarantee us of attaining at least a 4-3 final here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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01-17-23 | Ducks v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line -1.5 goals +145 vs Anaheim Ducks @ 7 ET - Yes the Flyers are off an embarrassing road loss yesterday but it was at Boston and the Bruins are one of the top teams in the league this season. Now Philadelphia is back home and hosting a Ducks team that is one of the worst teams in the league this season. As you can see from the large money line on this game, the Flyers are expected to win and I fully concur with that assessment. The key to the value here is on the puck line. Philly had won 7 of 8 games prior to yesterday's ugly loss. Also, each of their last 6 wins (and 10 of their last 12 victories) have come by a margin of 2 or more goals! Hart and Ersson had both been playing quite well in goal of late prior to yesterday. The Ducks are also in a B2B spot here but they lost a heartbreaker at Pittsburgh. That is the type of gut-wrenching loss that is difficult to bounce back from. Also, prior to that OT loss, Anaheim's last 12 losses had featured 11 by 3 or more goals! You can see why I am liking the Flyers to win by at least 2 goals here given the above. Also, note that Ducks are not getting good goaltending from anyone of late. Other than a shocking 2-0 win over Dallas awhile back, the Ducks other 7 recent games have seen them allow an average of 5 goals per game. With Flyers off a 6-0 road loss yesterday, you know Tortorella will have the previously hot (7 of 8 run!) Flyers ready to bounce back strong here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 goals +145 |
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01-17-23 | Illinois-Chicago +3 v. Valparaiso | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +3 @ Valparaiso Beacons @ 7 ET - Valparaiso off their first MVC win of the season but it was against last place Evansville who also had not won an MVC game and, with the loss, dropped to 0-8 in MVC action this season. The Beacons were fortunate to even win the game as the Purple Aces shot a ridiculously poor 18 of 36 from the free throw line! Now we catch a Valparaiso team off a rare win and hosting a Flames team very hungry for a road win. UIC matches up well with the Beacons. Illinois-Chicago is off a loss at Murray State but they shot poorly in that game. The Flames will take advantage of facing a weak Beacons defense in this one! For comparison purposes, both of these teams hosted Belmont this season and UIC lost by just 6 while Valpo lost by 15. Also, both teams faced Indiana State and the results were nearly identical but the Beacons hosted the Sycamores while the Flames were on the road for their meeting with ISU. The point is that we have the better team here catching points and we have situational factors in our favor too. I know this is a match-up of two teams having tough stretches but the road dog is the play here in a game they should win outright. I have been following the Flames closely as long-time followers know and this is a great spot for them to get an outright win. We'll grab the points as added, but likely unneeded, insurance. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +3 |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Dallas Cowboys -2.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:15 ET - Much has been made of the Cowboys dismal effort at Washington last week and that it cost them a shot at the NFC East title and at home field edge had both the Niners and Eagles lost last week. However, both San Francisco and Philadelphia were huge favorites last week. Both SF and Philly were motivated to win and they did just that. The point is that the Cowboys went into last week's game sluggish because they knew the handwriting was on the wall. Dallas knew they were going to be on the road this week and they are both mentally as well as physically prepared for this game. The Cowboys actually should, and probably do, feel fortunate that they avoided two tougher teams in the Seahawks and Niners. The NFC West much tougher than the NFC South and Tampa Bay won their division despite having a losing record! I am not sold on the Bucs this season and I know they have beaten Dallas in the season opener each of the past two years. But this time it is different and we are getting value here with the Cowboys as a short road favorite. They are hands down the better team without a doubt. That said, we get line value because many know of a couple perfect angles here and, in typical contrarian fashion, I am FADING these angles. The Cowboys have lost 8 straight playoff road games AND Tom Brady is 7-0 in his career against Dallas. Both of those records will be history when this one goes into the books. Cowboys roll on the road. 10* DALLAS -2.5 |
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01-16-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - I lost with the Rangers over yesterday. Shesterkin was huge in goal but will not be again in goal here after the 2-1 loss to Montreal. The Canadiens surprised in that Montembeault drew back to back starts and he was good yesterday. We should get it right back tonight though with the Rangers over. Note that Halak will very likely be the starter in goal for New York in this one and he has allowed at least 3 goals in 8 of his 11 starts this season. Also, he had allowed 10 goals in his last 3 starts before he came up with a rare good one in his most recent outing. Halak has been used sparingly so it makes sense he often struggles and I like Columbus to score well here at home. The problem for the Blue Jackets is they are giving up a ton of goals no matter who is guarding the cage and I look for that problem to continue here. Columbus had one low-scoring 1-0 loss to Washington but in their other 6 most recent games the Jackets have allowed 4.7 goals per game. Columbus has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of last 5 games and the Blue Jackets should have success as they catch the Rangers in a back to back. New York, the last 9 times when off a loss, has seen the next game total at least 7 goals 7 of 9 times. Those 7 games have averaged 8 goals scored and I look for a similar result here. Keep in mind, the Rangers 2-1 loss last night featured 70 shots on goal so there was plenty of action at both ends. More of the same here but this time there will be more goals! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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01-16-23 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania -102 | Top | 72-60 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers Pick'em vs Princeton @ 7 ET - This line is basically a pick'em so just do the best you can whether you are playing the spread or the money line here. This line looks funny to me and, upon further review, I really like this play including the fact it is an invitation to take Princeton here. Indeed the Tigers have the better record this season and dominated the Quakers in both meetings last season. But, again, there is a reason this game is priced like this. For one thing, Penn is off a road loss in which they blew a huge double digit lead. Additionally, Dingle had a rare poor shooting night yet the Quakers still should have won. They got big games from Spinosa and Martz. It also is worth noting that Slajchert has also proven capable of big games though that was not the case against the Big Green. That said, it is worth noting that this is Penn's Ivy League home opener for this season. They will want to make it count. Dingle will bounce back huge at home and I just do not see the Quakers being denied in what is a huge home game for them. The Quakers have a strange scheduling quirk in that they have a stretch of 6 of 7 Ivy games at home starting late January but, until then, this is the first and only. They make it count and I am confident this game was priced this way for a reason. Don't fall for the trap. Grab the home team. 10* PENNSYLVANIA Pick'em |
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01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies OVER 228 | Top | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER 228 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns @ 6 ET - I know the Suns are still without some key guys but even the fact that those guys are almost back is going to give this team a mental boost. As for Memphis, I am aware that Ja Morant is listed as questionable. Even if he would not play I would still like this play but I do expect him to be in action here. Memphis had no one play more than 29 minutes in the big win over Indiana plus this is not a back to back situation nor is their one on deck. So the Grizzlies should continue their recent roll here. Plus their current 9-game winning streak started after a home loss to Phoenix! So the Grizzlies are absolutely out for revenge here and will take advantage of the wounded Suns. But Phoenix has been scoring better recently, getting use to the absentees, and the Grizzlies continue to pile up huge points. In their 9-game winning streak, Memphis has averaged 124 ppg! Phoenix has scored at least 116 in 2 of last 3 games and they have allowed 120 ppg last 3 games. 10* OVER 228 in Memphis |
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01-16-23 | Devils v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in San Jose Sharks vs New Jersey Devils @ 4:05 ET - I like non-conference match-ups like this where neither team has been getting overly impressive goaltending plus the goals seem to be free-flowing for both clubs in recent weeks. Note that the Sharks have seen 10 of last 12 games total at least 7 goals and the only two that did not did reach the 6-goal mark. If you like goals, tune into San Jose's games! As for the Devils, each of their last 5 games have totaled at least 7 goals. New Jersey has scored 4.5 goals per game last 8 games! The Devils have allowed 3 goals per game last 10 games. I am looking for each team to get to the 3-goal mark in this one and that means the game would not be able to end without at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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01-15-23 | 76ers -2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 or -3 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 9:40 ET - The Sixers are in the 2nd game of a B2B and barely snuck by the Jazz last night in Utah so this would seem like a spot to fade them. However, the Lakers are hurting right now. It was only last month they rallied from a huge deficit to tie the Sixers and force OT but then lost that game by double digits in OT in Philly. But here is the key about that. Some of the key scorers in that game and other contributors are either out or hurting. Davis, Reaves, Walker all were big in that game and none of those 3 will play tonight. Also, Patrick Beverley is questionable with an illness and even LeBron James continues to be listed on the injury report as his knee troubles continue. The point is that the 76ers are the much healthier team. Also, without Davis, the interior defense of LA is really going to struggle against the attacking Sixers. Look for the road team to dominate in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 or -3 |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +8.5 v. Bengals | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens +8.5 @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:15 ET - The Ravens did not even care about winning last week's game and rested starters and yet still outgained the Bengals 386 to 257 in that 11 point loss! A key reason they lost was two interceptions but I do expect Huntley to be back at QB for this one after he was fully involved in practice Friday. Of course Jackson is still out but this time it should be Huntley at QB rather than Brown. Also, even with resting some other starters last week the Ravens still significantly outgained the Bengals. I feel strongly that this Ravens defense, which seemed to get stronger and stronger as the season went along, is going to make a key difference in this game. That is not to say that the Bengals defense is not also solid. However, the key is that the Bengals are GIVING 8.5 points here unlike the Ravens who are GETTING 8.5 points here. So don't lay it, take it...grab those points as these division rivals are going to be in a fierce battle in this game in my strong opinion and I honestly would not be shocked at an outright upset. 10* BALTIMORE +8.5 |
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01-15-23 | Canadiens v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Rangers vs Montreal Canadiens vs @ 5:05 ET - Of course Shesterkin might be in goal for the Rangers here and he has been solid. But the the Canadiens have a huge mess at the goalie position in this spot. The Habs are off a hard-fought 2-1 loss yesterday against the Islanders and Montembeault started that game. He could get the call again here, which would be a challenge for sure in a B2B but it is because Allen is dealing with an upper body injury. It was significant enough that Primeau was called up from the AHL to back-up yesterday against the Isles. Primeau has struggled both at the NHL level in his career and also in the AHL this season. Allen has also struggled badly and is dealing with an injury. Montembeault would likely not fair well in this back to back spot either as that is a rarity for goalies. So I see Rangers having a strong day offensively but don't be surprised if the Canadiens fight back here and that is why I like the over. I feel the Rangers could overlook them since they have a sub-par record this season but Montreal had scored at least 4 goals in 2 of last 3 before getting shut down yesterday. The Habs, prior to yesterday, saw their last 3 road games all total 9 or more goals. The Rangers are off a hard-fought 2-1 OT loss in most recent game but their 5 games heading into that one saw them average 4 goals per game. More of the same on tap here and this total is a value at 6 goals rather than the 6.5 we see so often. 10* OVER 6 in New York Rangers |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Giants +3 @ Minnesota Vikings @ 4:40 ET - Vikings are 13-4. Minnesota went 8-1 in home games. They are hosting a Wild Card team that finished 3rd in their 4-team division. Also, the Giants went just 4-4 on the road and only 4-7-1 in games against NFC teams. Yet the line here is a 3 even though Vikings are at home. What does that tell you? Exactly! Do not let this number fool you. It looks so easy to take Minnesota here but the Giants are going to be taking on the Eagles next week because New York is going to win this game as the Vikings luck finally runs out. I am going to take the 3 points here (just in case) but I do fully expect an outright upset here as the Vikings have been playing with fire all season long and this is the time it burns them. The Giants lost to the Vikings on a 61-yard field goal in the prior meeting this season but Vikes 33-yard drive that set up the long field goal was preceded by them getting outgained by 125 yards on the day and that game was here in Minnesota too. The Giants have the better defense and I love the ground game with Saquon Barkley too. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS +3 |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +14.5 @ Connecticut Huskies @ Noon ET - Yes the Red Storm just snapped a 5-game losing streak with the win over Butler Tuesday but they were competitive in the majority of those losses and the Big East is ultra-competitive. Of course the Huskies know this all too well as they have lost 3 of 4 after they had an overall 14-0 start to the season. UConn has quickly come back down to earth and Connecticut should win this game but I expect the points to prove to be too much. Look for this one to be decided by a single digit margin. The Red Storm could also get a boost to the rotation with the return of Montez Mathis (toe) but, either way, I like the big dog here. This team has gained confidence with the big win over Butler and they are a gritty, hard-working team that is hard to blowout. 10* ST JOHN'S +14.5 |
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01-15-23 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham is strong at home but has been conceding too many goals. The Hotspur do average scoring 2.3 goals per match when at home but Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match in road matches. This is a key battle at the top five grouping of the table but still should feature plenty of goals. Each of last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. Arsenal is fired up off a scoreless draw against stingy Newcastle in their most recent league match but Arsenal's two matches prior to that in league action averaged 5 goals apiece! Tottenham, in league action, has seen 6 of last 7 matches total at least 3 goals, and those 7 matches averaged 4 goals! This one should get to at least 3 as I do not expect either team to deliver a clean sheet. So if this one gets to 1-1 what are the odds it makes it to a 2-1 final? Well, note that Tottenham has NO draws in their 9 home matches this season and Arsenal has just 2 draws in their 17 matches this season! 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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01-14-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers @ 10:05 ET - The Oilers have two choices here in this tough back to back spot. They have to stick with Campbell here in net because Skinner is back in Edmonton for birth of first child. Or it will be Pickard who has been recalled to the Oilers because of the current Skinner situation. Now I know Campbell is off a solid start (again) for the Oilers but he has generally struggled this season and particularly has had moments of struggles in his road starts and this would be a back to back. If it is Pickard that gets the call it will be his first NHL start in quite some time. The Golden Knights will put a lot of pressure on him here as they are on home ice and I expect them to have success in pressuring whichever goalie they face. However, the high-flying Oilers are of course one of the most dangerous teams in the league with all their scoring firepower. They will take advantage of a Vegas team that has had long stretches with a tendency to give up a lot of goals. That is a big reason that the Golden Knights had seen 5 of their last 6 home games total at least 7 goals before the last two fell just short at 6 goals. Vegas has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games versus Western Conference opponents. The Knights have scored a respectable 3.3 goals per game last 9 games. Oilers have given up 3.2 goals per game last 6 games and we should see a 4-3 or 5-3 type final in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vegas |