Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-22 | Penn State -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Thursday CFB 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -3.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 8 ET - So the Lions finished 7-6 last season and got hammered in their bowl game loss to the Razorbacks by a two-TD margin. The Boilermakers went 9-4 last year plus beat Tennessee in the Music City Bowl. Purdue also is at home for this game. The Boilers also return more starters than PSU. Also, though Clifford is a very solid veteran QB for the Nittany Lions, Boilermakers QB O'Connell is probably the 2nd best QB in the conference behind Ohio State's Stroud. So all that said you have Penn State FAVORED by 3.5 points here. You think the odds makers do NOT know what they are doing? The Lions are favored here for a reason DESPITE all the above and a big key is because the Boilers offense lost their top two receivers from last season as one of them was ruled ineligible due to academics while the other one, Bell, is now a Cleveland Brown in the NFL! As for Penn State, no such problems. Not only do they bring back RB Lee, they also have WR Washington back plus they brought in a transfer from Western Kentucky (Tinsley) who had phenomenal numbers for the Hilltoppers last season. PSU has the better defense in this match-up and I know there are some questions about the offensive line for the Lions but that is an area they have filled in nicely despite departures from last season. O'Connell the better QB but Clifford is very solid and led PSU to a 5-0 start last year before he got hurt against Iowa. This Lions team is on a mission this year and they play in the tough east and rank behind only Ohio State and Michigan whereas Boilers play in the weaker West and I would rank them about 4th in Big Ten West. Roll with the road favorite here as they win by at least 7 and, more likely, double digits. 10* PENN STATE -3.5 |
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09-01-22 | A's v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Washington Nationals vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. We get line value here because two bad teams are matched up and the A's are so often weak in terms of runs scored. Now we take advantage because Espino is the scheduled starter for the Nationals and he is 0-6 this season. Espino has particularly struggled as a starter and especially at home. In fact, in his last 5 home starts he has allowed at least 3 earned runs all 5 and in 2 of them he allowed 4 earned runs. Espino did not work deep in any of these outings. A's expected starter is Waldichuk and he is a rookie that struggled more when he made the jump from AA to AAA level of minors and now he jumps to the majors. Note that Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of last 13 home games and scored 5 or more runs in 7 of those 8. Washington is known for scoring better at home than on the road. Oakland had won 3 of 4 road games and scored an average of 6 runs per game prior to yesterday's 5-1 loss. This is why I like the over regardless of starting pitchers here and feel we have excellent line value with the low total here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Washington |
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09-01-22 | Manchester United v. Leicester OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 2.75 or 3 in Leicester vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is back on track with B2B wins and I expect another strong effort from them here to result in more scoring. However, Leicester is not going to be shutdown on their home pitch. They will get on the scoresheet too and I am looking for nothing less than 2-1 final here and that means value with this current total. Leicester has seen their matches average 4 goals this season and they are hungry for first victory of the season. Leicester has only 1 draw and Manchester United has no draws this season. That means only 1 draw in 8 matches or 12.5% this season involving these clubs. Man U is off 1-0 win at Southampton but the Saints had plenty of chances in that match and it was one that could have played out much differently with both clubs having so many opportunities. Prior to that all 3 of Manchester United's matches totaled at least 3 goals. As for the hosts in today's match-up, all 4 of their matches this season have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same on tap here. 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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09-01-22 | CS U Craiova v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Not only did all 3 Romania Liga 1 matches go over the total yesterday, they all totaled at least 4 goals. The weather is already cooling down across the country today and the players will not be tiring out so quickly on the attack. Universitatea Craiova is off a 1-0 win versus Botosani but could have easily scored a lot more. They looked great on the attack and I am certain that will continue here at Hermannstadt. As for the hosts, they continue to be a scrappy club despite battling financial difficulties. Some home cooking will do them some good here and I look for an entertaining affair as a result. Hermannstadt is off a 2-2 draw last week against FCSB and that was on the road. As a host this season they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Universitatea Craiova has played only 2 road matches so far this season and they have each totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals in Hermannstadt |
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09-01-22 | Arges v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Not only did all 3 Romania Liga 1 matches go over the total yesterday, they all totaled at least 4 goals. The weather is already cooling down across the country today and the players will not be tiring out so quickly on the attack. The Botosani defense had a lot of breakdowns last week and face a solid Arges club here. The visitors have played 7 matches this season and NONE have resulted in a draw. I do expect Botosani to score at least a goal at home here but to again be shaky in front of their own net. That said Arges gets on the board too and has not a draw yet this season. In other words, this match should end up at least 2-1. Botosani failed to score last week but that was first time this season. Arges failed to score twice this season but scored an average of 1.8 goals in their other 5 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Botosani |
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08-31-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 18-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams involved in high-scoring action thus far and I expect more of the same here regardless of starting pitchers but we'll start there. Falter has decent numbers of late for the Phillies but this is going to be one of the tougher road appearances he has made in awhile. When facing a good team, or a team surging like Dbacks sticks are right now, Falter has struggled on the road this season. As for the Diamondbacks Henry, he has had about as many walks as strikeouts other than one very strong start this season but that one was against Pirates. In other words, his ERA is a little lower than it should be as he has had some good fortune on balls put in play and I feel this is giving us some extra value here as a potent Philadelphia lineup can get to Henry early and often. No matter the pitchers, the Phillies had averaged nearly 6 runs per game last 9 games before the ugly loss last night. As for the Dbacks, they have averaged 7.3 runs per game last 9 games and are feeling extra confident at the plate right now as they are on 5-game winning streak and have reached double digits in runs in 3 of last 4 victories! 10* OVER 9 in Arizona |
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08-31-22 | Yankees v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees @ 9:38 ET - Action on pitchers. Angels Sandoval has been red hot in August and is the type of crafty lefty that can keep the Yankees free-swinging lineup off balance. Yankees Cole having another strong campaign, as is Sandoval, and the Yanks right-hander has been practically unhittable last couple road starts. Regardless of pitchers I like the under here as Angels, not including extra innings, entered this series being held to 3 or less runs scored in 12 of last 16 home games! So far in this series they have managed 4 runs in each of the first two games so they still are not exactly knocking the cover off the ball at home. As for the Yankees, they entered last night's game having been had only 2 big games at the plate last 19 games! In the other 17 games the past 3 weeks the Yankees scored an average of only 2 runs per game! Don't be surprised, given the above, if tonight ends up a 3-2 type game! 10* UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels |
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08-31-22 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Liverpool is not going to win 9-0 again but certainly that dominating victory over Bournemouth (which led to coach Scott Parker being relieved of his duties!) has given the Reds a huge boost of confidence after a slow start to the season. I know that Newcastle managed a draw versus Manchester City earlier this month but that was at home and City did outplay them on possession time and scoring chances. Newcastle is known for being tough to face on their home pitch but often struggling as a traveler and I fully expect that pattern to continue here and will lay the goal line with the hosts in this one. Liverpool has outscored opponents 59-10 in last 21 home matches in league competition. That means an average score of approx 3 to 0.5 goal. A 2.5 goal margin and they are favored at 1.5 goals here. Newcastle has been outscored 36 to 19 in last 21 road matches. Keep in mind that is against all competition not just elite competition and they are averaging about a -1 goal differential in road matches since the start of last season. I have no hesitation in expecting the Reds to win this on their home pitch by a multi-goal margin. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 |
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08-31-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 2:45 ET - West Ham finally got a goal and finally got a win in their victory over the weekend. They will now build off that here at home and I expect the added confidence to lead to more of an attack mode here for the hosts. However, they are hosting a dangerous Tottenham squad that can score plenty! Off a 2-0 victory that easily could have been a 3-0 final were it not for a rare failed penalty kick, the visitors are going to have West Ham on their heels at times. Tottenham notched a 3-1 victory when these clubs met in March and Tottenham is averaging 2 goals per match so far this season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as I expect each club to get on the scoresheet in this one and in 8 matches total for these clubs there has been only 1 draw. In my mind, slim odds of a draw here and strong odds we see each club score a goal and that means a 2-1 final - at the least - is likely here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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08-31-22 | Voluntari v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari @ 12:15 ET - Voluntari off a scoreless draw but their prior two prior road matches each have been 2-1 losses. We should see 3 goals here! CFR Cluj was best club in the league last season but enters this match off a 3-1 home loss! Now they are home again and angry and favored by 1 goal here for a reason! In other words, look for an aggressive attacking style in this match and the result will be plenty of goals as FC Voluntari becomes forced to try to keep up in this one! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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08-30-22 | Phillies -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -125 @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:40 ET - As you would expect, losing a game in which you score at least 7 runs does not happen very often. Prior to yesterday's 13-7 loss, a game the Phillies actually led 7-0, it had happened to Philadelphia just 3 times this season. Each time they bounced back with a win! Look for them to improve on that mark here and make it 4-0 / 100% YTD when in that situation. I am going action on pitchers here because I love this situation and fully expect a Phillies bounce back here. But I will touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Aaron Nola has been great with a 2.13 ERA on the road this season. Lately his "vintage Nola" breaking stuff has been phenomenal with curveballs looking like they are falling off the edge of a table when they arrive at the plate. Arizona's hitters do not have much familiarity with him and that will make their task even tougher here. The Phillies, on the other hand, pounded Zac Gallen earlier this season and he could not make it out of the 2nd inning. Trust me I know Gallen has been throwing very well and is a quality pitcher but the Phillies have some hitters that have had his number long-term not just this season. The Phillies have 6 hitters that are a combined 9 for 18 with 3 homers and 6 runs batted in versus Gallen. Regardless of the pitchers, note the 100% situation for the Phillies and the fact they are 43-23 against teams with a losing record on the season. Arizona still just 17-37 against teams with a winning record. Diamondbacks just had biggest comeback win in franchise history! Now the Phillies get some payback for that comeback! 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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08-30-22 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in LA Angels vs NY Yankees @ 9:38 ET - I know yesterday's game stayed under the total but the Angels have now won 4 straight games and scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. I know the Yankees have been slumping but the ball was carrying very well last night in Anaheim and there are a number of big hitters in these lineups. Regardless of the starting pitchers (take action) I like the over in this one. The Angels are expected to start Mayers and he is essentially an opener here. I look for the Yankees to get to him and then their bullpen. As for expected Yankees starter Taillon, he had a 2.30 ERA on the season after his first start in June. Since then, he has a 5.06 ERA. In other words, he has been far from dominant and this Angels lineup is feeling it right now. This one flies over the total regardless of starting pitchers. There were 5 homers in last night's game and there should have been more than 7 runs. Tonight there will be and I am expecting double digits. 10* OVER 8.5 in LA Angels |
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08-30-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti +100 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti Money Line +100 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Universitatea Cluj has a one day rest edge here but Rapid Bucuresti is on their home pitch. Also, Rapid Bucuresti has 5 wins already this season which is tops in the league. Universitatea Cluj is one of 3 clubs that remain winless on the season and they are near the very bottom of the table while Rapid Bucuresti is near the top. Universitatea Cluj does have 3 draws this season including 2 as visitors and a draw hands us a losing ticket. That is why this line is priced this way so it certainly is no "gift" on Rapid Bucuresti here but at home and able to lay no juice to back the hosts to get a win I feel is very strong value. 10* RAPID BUCURESTI +100 |
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08-30-22 | Chelsea v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Chelsea @ 2:45 ET - I know Southampton is off a 1-0 defeat but there were a ton of scoring opportunities wasted in that match with Manchester United. As for Chelsea, they have been involved in higher scoring matches than usual early this season. We are seeing a little more push from Chelsea on the offensive attack these days from head coach Tuchel and you know he is "chomping at the bit" to have his team on the attack for this one after he had to watch the last match as a spectator due to a suspension. With Southampton on their home pitch I feel certain they will score here as Chelsea has already conceded 6 times in 4 matches this season as well. However, there is a reason the visitors are a rather pricey money line favorite here plus favored by 1 goal on the goal line. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 type match here in this one. Southampton had scored 1.7 goals per match in first three matches this season before being delivered a clean sheet at the hands of an angry Man U team last week. The Saints will bounce back on their home pitch but will also prove unable to slow down a determined Chelsea club and I see at least 3 goals here as a likely result in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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08-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Fulham vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - I have said it before and I will say it again here. The odds makers tend to be the sharpest people in the room. The reason I am mentioning that here is because this total looks a little suspicious and I am putting that odds makers edge to our advantage! Look at the two earliest matches today and the other won is Crystal Palace versus Brentford. Note that the average goals totaled in matches for Palace is 3.50 this season and it is 3.75 for the Bees. Yet their total and pricing looks nearly identical to this match which features a Brighton club whose average match has totaled 1.5 goals thus far. In fact, Brighton has conceded only 1 goal in 4 matches this season! Looks suspicious, eh? We are not falling for it. Over is the play here and the reason is because I could see a Brighton club, on a short week, finally lose some defensive focus and concentration and Fulham will take advantage on their home pitch. Fulham actually has played quite well and been very competitive early this season but they have been plagued by defensive inconsistencies and getting worn down in the 2nd half of matches. Look for that to be an issue again here as well especially on short rest! The result should be more goals than most are expecting here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Fulham |
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08-30-22 | Sepsi v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 vs Sepsi @ 12:15 ET - Both clubs off 2-1 losses over the weekend and playing on short rest. Expect some tired legs among the defense and this will lead to some breakaways and excellent scoring chances. U Craiova 1948 matches this season have averaged 2.6 goals per match and they will control the tempo play here at home. Sepsi had a couple of 0-0 draws this season but their other 5 matches averaged 2.8 goals per match and I am expecting a wide-open style of play in this one. 10* OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 |
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08-30-22 | UTA Arad +156 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play UTA Arad +156 @ CS Mioveni @ 9:30 AM ET - CS Mioveni has been the worst club in the league thus far. They are off a draw last week but it was a scoreless one and they have managed only 3 goals total in their 7 matches thus far. UTA Arad as has twice as many goals on the season and CS Mioveni also leads the league in the unwanted category of 5 losses so far. Adding to the value here is that this is a unique scheduling situation this week in the league with some early matches in the week and UTA Arad has an added day of rest compared to CS Mioveni. The visitors last played Friday while the hosts just played on Saturday and that was also a road match for CS Mioveni on Saturday so this is a particularly tough short rest situation. We get value here because our "play on" team is on the road. I will take it! 10* UTA Arad +156 |
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08-29-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Like the Phillies to bounce back off 6-0 shutout home loss yesterday. Also like the Diamondbacks sticks at home though too. Arizona has won 3 straight games and the Dbacks have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 games. Philadelphia, prior to ugly loss yesterday, had won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. You can see from these numbers why I like the over here. Now will touch on the pitchers but they are not the most important factor. Ranger Suarez had been red hot for the Phillies but then he faded in his most recent start as he got in trouble in the 6th inning. I feel he could be wearing down. Remember he just converted from a reliever to a starter during the season last year. This season he has now thrown more innings than ever before in his MLB career. As for Madison Bumgarner, he has solid numbers overall at home this season but, as of late, it has not matter where he has pitched. The southpaw has been struggling bad and the Phillies have the lumber to take advantage. Bumgarner is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA since the All Star break and has been hit at over a .300 clip in his last 6 starts combined. He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. No matter the pitchers here, plenty of reason to believe in both lineups in this one as Dbacks get it done at home and a Phillies team that had been hot bounces right back at the plate after yesterday's shutout loss. 10* OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona |
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08-29-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers as I look for the Cardinals to ride the wave of momentum off last night's 6-3 win that came courtesy of a big 3-run homer in the bottom of the 8th. The Cardinals are 12-3 last 15 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! The Reds are just 5-5 last 10 games but have scored an average of 5 runs per game during this stretch. Cincinnati has allowed an average of 6 runs per game last 7 losses and this one with St Louis looks like a slugfest in a hitters park regardless of pitchers. But will mention that Chase Anderson making his first start of this season and he struggled as a starter both in 2020 and 2021 with high ERAs above 6.50 each year. As of Cards starter Miles Mikolas, he has an ERA nearly 2 runs higher on the road compared to at home and this is nothing new for him. Road struggles and home successes have been the pattern for him throughout his recent seasons at the MLB level. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati |
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08-29-22 | Botosani v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Bostosani @ 2 ET - Scoring picked up in this week's action and part of the reason for the extra scoring was fresh legs from being off last week. Some clubs had matches that were canceled last week. 6 of them to be exact. These are the final 2 of those 6. Of the first 4, they ended up in 3 different matches this week that all totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, 2 of those 3 matches totaled 4 goals. Look for another high-scoring one here. Love the fact that each of these clubs off 1-0 matches in their most recent action as there were plenty of excellent scoring opportunities in each of those matches that simply did not get cashed. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as we continue to see a scoring surge in the final match of Week 7 action as those Week 6 cancellations truly had an impact. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova |
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08-28-22 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:08 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the potency of these two lineups and like the over regardless of starting pitchers but will mention them here. Wainwright expected starter for Cardinals and historically he is very strong at home. However, if there is a game for him to get tripped up it is this one. He recently struggled at home versus Yankees this month and they got to him good. In another prior home start versus a high quality lineup, Dodgers, he had to work out of a lot of jams and was fortunate to avoid any damage in that one. Now Wainwright faces a strong Braves lineup and I expect some struggles. As for Atlanta starter Odorizzi, he has consistently shown throughout recent seasons that he struggles more in night games than day outings. It is a marked difference and has been consistent for year after year in recent seasons. That said, the St Louis lineup is a solid one particularly when at home and they can do some damage here. Again, regardless of starting pitchers I like the over here. That is in part because the Cardinals are 11-3 last 14 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! As for Atlanta, they are 15-3 last 18 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch. Solid production from each of these lineups expected again tonight. 10* OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis |
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08-28-22 | Hermannstadt v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.25 or 2.5 in FCSB vs Hermannstadt @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs had their games postponed last week so we have some fresh legs on the pitch for this match. FC Steaua Bucharesti and Hermannstadt both have been involved in some higher scoring matches early this season. What I like about the set up here is that FCSB is off a big 3-2 win in their most recent match which was also on their home pitch. They are flowing with confidence right now and ready to go on the attack while Hermannstadt, despite financial difficulties plaguing the club, continue to be a very scrappy underdog no one wants to face. The visitors will again challenge in this match but, of course, FCSB is a big favorite for a reason. Hermannstadt scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match this season but FCSB matches have averaged 2.6 goals apiece and I am looking for a 2-1 type match. There is a reason the odds makers have this one at slightly more than a 2.0 on the total. 10* OVER 2.25 or 2.5 in FCSB |
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08-28-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 6 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 7 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-43 on the road and 18-41 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 43-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Contreras expected to get the call for Pirates and he has some solid numbers this season but does get hit harder on the road. In fact, in his last two road starts against NL playoff level teams like the Phillies - he got rocked by both the Braves and Cardinals. Syndergaard expected to start for Phillies and after a rough first start with Phillies he has pitched well in each of his last three starts with his new club. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 13 of 15. Also, 14 of Pittsburgh's last 16 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -145 |
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08-28-22 | Giants v. Jets OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NFLX Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 38 in New York Jets vs New York Giants @ 1 ET - The Jets have been giving up a lot of yardage but so too have the Giants. Also the Giants have shown they'll keep slinging the ball around on the field no matter what the situation is and who is on the field. That said, the Jets are expected to play starters more in this one but all I am seeing from this is points. That's because the Jets defense also struggled in that first game of the season against the Eagles in the first half before they rallied for the win. I just do not care for what I have seen from either defense this preseason including almost the entirety of when the back-ups are in. Also there is still a lot of QB evaluation going on here with back-ups so both teams will continue to throw a lot in this preseason finale. Note that each teams first two games have totaled at least 40 points this preseason. Also, their game last preseason was low-scoring but that was week 1. Note that their week 3 games saw the Jets game total 62 points and the Giants game total 42 points. We'll get into the 40s here based on the way these two teams have been playing in this preseason and what I am expecting to see here based on how the teams are approaching this preseason finale. 10* OVER 38 in New York Jets |
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08-28-22 | Farul Constanta v. CFR Cluj -112 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj Money Line -112 vs Farul Constanta @ 11:30 AM ET - Great set up here. CFR Cluj was a top team in the league last season but it has been a bit of a choppy start for them this season. Then their match last week got postponed and this was off a 1-0 loss the week before. Undoubtedly the hosts will be ready here on their home pitch and they catch Farul off a hard-fought win in Constanta. Down 1-0 at the half, Farul battled back for the 2-1 win. From a situational standpoint, matches don't get much better than this! CFR Cluj had won 3 of first 4 matches including both at home before the loss two weeks ago. Payback time here. Farul had 3 straight draws before last week's win. They have yet to lose this season but CFR Cluj well aware of that and Farul has just 1 victory last 4 matches. In other words, Farul has not been dominating but they do remain undefeated on the season and the hosts well aware of that. The home club is favored with good reason here. A victory marches them right back up the table and ties them with Farul for points. Lay it! 10* CFR Cluj -112 |
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08-28-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -1 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 -115 vs Nottingham Forest @ 11:30 AM ET - Nottingham Forest has performed better than expected so far this season in a return to the EPL after a long time away after being relegated many years ago. Now they take a major step up in class as, other than Arsenal, no one has looked as strong as Tottenham early this season. The Hotspur should get it done again here and I love the value here since they are on the road. If they were at home they would be too pricey to back here but, because they are traveling, Tottenham is available at a -115 price on the goal line with having to lay just 1 goal. Yes a push is not the ultimate desire but it is some added insurance in a match I am expecting this rock solid Tottenham club to win by a multi-goal margin. The visitors are so strong on both ends of the pitch and I just do not see them being denied here. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 -115 |
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08-28-22 | West Ham United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs West Ham United @ 9 AM ET - West Ham seeking first points of the season in the able as they have lost all 3 matches and have yet to score a goal. However, West Ham has scored 3 goals in each of last two matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action including a 3-0 win Thursday. So West Ham brings a little confidence into this match and will score some goals here. Aston Villa has allowed an average of 2 goals per match in league action thus far. The hosts should manage some scoring as well on their home pitch for this one where they have a 2-1 victory already this season. I look for a similar result here with at least 3 goals scored as Villa can also take advantage of a West Ham club that has allowed 1.7 goals per match thus far in league action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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08-28-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Arges OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in FC Arges vs Chindia Targoviste @ 6:30 AM ET - Each club is averaging about one goal scored per match and plus FC Arges allowing 1.5 goals per match and Chindia Targoviste allowing 1.8 goals per match. This one sets up well for goals as Chindia Targoviste has played 3 road matches thus far and two of them finished with 5 goals apiece! FC Arges off a 1-0 win last week but that was the first time this season that they had a match finish with less than 2 goals scored. Love the value here with this low total. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in FC Arges |
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08-27-22 | Vanderbilt v. Hawaii OVER 54.5 | Top | 63-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in Hawaii vs Vanderbilt @ 10:30 PM ET - The Warriors have a new head coach in Timmy Chang and we was a former star QB for Hawaii. They are going back to the run and shoot offense. They most recently ran this in 2018 and 2019. Their point totals were very high most of the time. A lot of offense and no defense. Based on their way their roster looks this season, more of the same expected here especially with running that type of offense. That is the same offense that former coach Rolovich then took to Washington State and they had some high point totals in 2020 and 2021. The point is that the emphasis for Hawaii is going to be on offense and Vanderbilt is coming off a horrible season defensively. However, they have a head coach hell bent on turning the Commodores around and I feel strongly they are coming to Hawaii to turn this thing around. But their emphasis, like Hawaii, will have to be offense. Again, Vandy was dreadful on defense last season and that is not something you turnaround overnight! I do like some of the personnel changes they have made to get their offense going and the Warriors defense has a lot of holes. As a result, high-scoring shootout in Honolulu is quite likely in this one! 10* OVER 54.5 in Hawaii |
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08-27-22 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington @ 7:05 ET - Okay, I know these teams are not very good but neither are the expected starting pitchers here. I am going with action on the pitchers anyway but you are talking about two bad bullpens too and these teams combined for 10 runs in yesterday's game and now we have a total of 8.5 runs with expected starters of Cessa and Espino on the mound? I will take it. Cessa has a 5.67 ERA this season mostly working out of the bullpen but has struggled as a starter just like he did earlier in his career before moving to the bullpen. As for Espino, he is 0-4 with an ERA in the 6.00 range over his 9 starts in July and August. As for the lineups in this one, note that Cincinnati has seen 9 of last 13 games total at least 9 runs. The Reds have averaged scoring 5 runs per game last dozen games. The Nationals did not score well on their recent road trip but their last 8 home games have totaled an average of 10 runs per game. Don't be surprised if this one also gets to double digits in runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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08-27-22 | Eagles v. Dolphins OVER 37 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
NFLX Saturday 10* OVER 37 in Miami @ 7 ET - The Dolphins scored only 13 points in last week's loss but it was a deceiving final point tally as they had over 300 yards of passing offense in that one. As for the Eagles, each of their first two games totaled over 40 points and so too did Miami's first game of this preseason. Philadelphia on a 4-1 O/U run in preseason games under their new head coach and the only one that did not go over did see them allow 35 points. In other words, expect plenty of points here because did score an average of 31 points per game in their last 3 preseason home games prior to the low-scoring loss to the Raiders last week. Again, the Dolphins did have solid yardage in that game through the air and I like what they have been doing in terms of the QB rotation in this preseason and ditto for the Eagles. 10* OVER 37 in Miami |
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08-27-22 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 25-18 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Ottawa +3.5 @ 7 ET - It is the match-up everyone in the CFL has been patiently waiting for all weekend. All kidding aside, this is a match-up of the last place teams from the respective divisions and will have few eyes on it. But, for our purposes, this one is actually a gem. Ottawa got hammered last week at home by the Elks on the scoreboard courtesy of a bad 2nd half. However, the yardage for the game was nearly equal! Now we get line value backing the Redblacks on the road at Edmonton catching a field goal plus the hook. This is a revenge special and the road dog will be dialed in after what happened last week in Ontario. 10* OTTAWA +3.5 |
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08-27-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -135 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 6:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 5 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 6 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-42 on the road and 18-40 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 42-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Beede expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in his 4 starts this month. Gibson expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong tough start versus Mets but has pitched well in each of his last three home starts before that. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 12 of 14. Also, 13 of Pittsburgh's last 15 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -135 |
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08-27-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
Two of the better clubs in the Romania Liga 1 square off in this one with Sepsi hosting Rapid. Both clubs are off 1-0 victories last week. I don't see either being denied the scoresheet in this one either and that puts this one at a 1-1 match at the very least. So how likely is a draw? Well, while Sepsi has proven prone to draws early this season, Rapid actually has had no draws in any of their 6 matches. If this trend continues, plus each team hits at least their scoring average of 1 goal per match then this game ends up at least a 2-1 final. The odds favor that is my point. Now, Sepsi certainly has done a good job in league action of keeping the opposition off the board but they allowed 3 goals in each of their two matches in UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action this month. That said, Rapid is a strong enough club to take advantage of defensive shortcomings and they have only been delivered a clean sheet once in last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in the other 4 matches. The last 3 matches have averaged 2.3 goals per match and I am expecting an entertaining affair as both clubs (ranked rather high in the table) are going hard for the full 3 points in the table when the dust settles on this one. Look for a 2-1 type of match here. 10* OVER 2 in Sepsi |
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08-27-22 | Fulham +1.5 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
10* Fulham Goal Line +1.5 -105 - Tremendous value on the goal line here. Fulham is playing well so far this season with a victory and two draws. One of the two draws was against Liverpool so it was a quality earn of points for Fulham. Arsenal has been red hot to start this season and also was red hot in the summer friendly action leading into this campaign. All of this I do not deny. However, they are over-valued here. Fulham is built well to be the type of club to give them some issues. These clubs played to a 1-1 draw when they last met in April. I would not be surprised to see another draw here and, at worst, perhaps a 1-goal loss. Consider who Arsenal has faced too because Bournemouth is newly promoted and Leicester is still winless on the campaign. The point is that Arsenal, as well as they have been playing, might be a little over-rated right now and I see Fulham giving them all they can handle. In addition to a 3-2 win, the visitors have also played to a scoreless draw and a 2-2 draw. The point is that Fulham has proven they can be competitive in all types of matches. Fulham is newly promoted this season but they are playing very well already and the season (2020-21) before last season Fulham was known for being tough to beat on the road. They only lost 7 of 19 matches away from home. Keep in mind, even a loss here can still be a win for us if it is by just a 1-goal margin. That, to me, is the most likely out come here as I really like the way the visitors have been playing and they are in this one all the way. 10* FULHAM +1.5 -105 |
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08-27-22 | Mioveni v. Petrolul 52 +113 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Petrolul Ploiesti has won 3 straight matches. Each one was by only a 1-0 final but the fact they are not conceding goals is bad news for a CS Mioveni club that has been the worst in Liga 1 this season. CS Mioveni is giving up average of 2 goals per match while having scored a goal in only 2 of their 6 matches this season. This is a classic case of hot versus not and CS Mioveni has more losses than any other club this season while only one club, Rapid, has more victories than the 3 that Petrolul Ploiesti has. Keep in mind those have all come now too with 3 straight victories entering this one for this host. They get it done here too. 10* Petrolul Ploiesti Money Line +113 |
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08-27-22 | Crystal Palace v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER 3 in Manchester City - The hosts are the highest scoring club in the league long-term and have scored multiple goals in every EPL match their last dozen! That is consistent high-scoring. The problem is they are having some issues in terms of keeping the ball out of their back of their own net recently. That said, the over is the play here because Crystal Palace has some attackers that can take advantage of City's short-comings defensively and the hosts are still a little banged up too. Also, Palace has been known in recent seasons for giving Man City some problems so they will enter this match with extra confidence. Manchester City is off a 3-3 draw last week in EPL and another 3-3 draw in a mid-week friendly too. That said, they will not take their foot off the gas with the lead here and the result should be plenty of goals. Manchester City has scored at least 3 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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08-27-22 | Manchester United v. Southampton OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Southampton one of those clubs that can score well particularly on their home pitch and I just do not foresee a clean sheet being delivered in this match. That said, is perfect spot for an upset with Manchester United off their huge upset win over Liverpool after a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. I actually believe rather than falling flat however, Man U could use that winning match over the Reds as a springboard of sorts. Still, Southampton known for being dangerous team to play as they do concede a lot but can be dangerous on the attack as well. That is why, especially given the situation here in this one, feel the story is going to be goals! 10* OVER 3 in Southampton |
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08-26-22 | Saskatchewan v. BC -4 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play BC Lions -4 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 10:30 ET - Yes, the Lions lost QB Nathan Rourke to injury but Michael O'Connor relieved him and went 5 for 5 and he has some CFL experience and had preparation time to now get ready for this start. The Rourke injury is what has the full attention of the marketplace. But the Roughriders are loaded with injuries. Multiple receivers including top guys and also their top running back all out for this game. I feel Saskatchewan is highly over-valued here because they are going to have trouble completing passes downfield without their usual receivers out there. This is a cluster injury situation and even their RB caught 4 targets last week too. The Riders hurting without guys and Lions have been so strong this season and are so tough at home. Feel we have excellent line value with the short home favorite that is a high quality team and back-up QB O'Connor is surrounded by one of the most talented teams in the league. This makes a difference too of course. BC won 28-10 at Saskatchewan last week and I fully understand the loss of Rourke to injury is big but the Lions just far too undervalued here. With a win they are within one win of Winnipeg for the top spot in the division. Look for the Lions to get it. 10* BC -4 |
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08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 37 | Top | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
NFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 37 in Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - Yes it is preseason. Yes you don't see all the starters. Yes you don't see teams wanting to show their playbook on offense very much either. However, one of the keys to how preseason games play out is a team wanting to win it. In this case I think former Patriots OC, Las Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels has extra motivation just like his Patriots adversary has here too. That means later in a preseason game where most teams typically are just trying to run the clock and get the game over with, I feel this one plays out much differently. Whoever is trailing will keep pushing to score. Neither wants to lose this game no matter what they have (or would) otherwise say. There is a little extra motivation here and the result will be more points I am sure. Raiders would love to finish preseason 4-0 by knocking off McDaniels former team. Las Vegas gave up more yardage than you would think though in last week's 15-13 win over Miami. Also, the Patriots allowed only 10 points last week but Carolina sat top two QB's. This one plays out differently than the unders these teams just had! 10* OVER 37 in Las Vegas |
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08-26-22 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Not many will be looking over here because McCullers in on the mound for Astros. However, I am not looking so much at the pitchers here but we'll start there although this play is action. McCullers is making just his 3rd start this season so he is still trying to round into top form and having some command issues with his pitches. Walking too many has been an issue for him throughout his career and though he is still a strong pitcher he is still a little out of sorts since coming back from injury. As for Bradish, he is 1-5 with a 6.25 ERA and teams hitting .318 against him this season. So now the real key is this Orioles team is playing very motivated baseball, off another win yesterday, in the wild card race, and so the lineup has a ton of confidence at the plate right now. Speaking of confidence, of course the Astros remain a very strong hitting club at home as they continue to be one of the top teams in baseball. Houston has won 11 of 16 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch! Baltimore has won 4 of 6 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. The Orioles will do some damage at the plate here but Astros always tough at home and, as a result, this one flies over the rather low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-26-22 | Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - This is a bitter rivalry but the defensive intensity sure has not resulted in many stops. Both of these teams have moved the ball well in the first two meetings this season and they scored 54 in the first one and 61 in the 2nd one. I know the weather may not be ideal tonight but I do think it will be decent enough and we get this game into the 50s the way these teams have been able to move the ball against each other. Take advantage of a rather low total here. Keep in mind, Hamilton has scored 26.5 points per game last 4 games and the Argonauts have scored 27 or more points in 4 of last 5 games. 10* OVER 48.5 in Toronto |
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08-26-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -132 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 4 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 5 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-41 on the road and 18-39 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 41-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Wilson expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 2-7 with a 5.74 ERA on the season. In the month of August he has allowed 7 homers and is allowing an average of 1 every 3 innings this month! Falter expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong start at Pittsburgh and has pitched well in each of his last two starts including against a tough Mets lineup. The southpaw is settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 11 of 13. Also, 12 of Pittsburgh's last 14 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -132 |
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08-26-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11:45 AM ET - Voluntari off an over as their game finished 2-1 and they looked sloppy at times in their own end against Farul. As for Universitatea Cluj, they are ready to go here after a 1-0 home loss to Sepsi that had many chances and certainly should have seen more goals. Both clubs on short rest after just playing on Monday and I feel strongly that this will equate to some mistakes in coverage in the defensive zone in this one and we'll see plenty of goals as a result. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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08-25-22 | Calgary +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Winnipeg will suffer unbeaten letdown here. The Blue Bombers are off a bye week which followed a loss in Week 10 in OT versus Montreal. It was Winnipeg's first loss of the season after opening the year 9-0. Now the Bombers will feel the pressure of trying to get right back into the win column and they are facing the wrong team at the wrong time. Calgary is one of the top teams in the league and the Stampeders only have 3 losses on the season. One was by just a single point to another very strong team, BC, a few weeks ago. The other two losses were by just 7 points apiece and both were to this Blue Bombers team. The Stamps actually led Winnipeg heading to the 4th quarter of the most recent game but fell just short. Getting a full 6 points here and I really like the QB battle going on between Maier and Mitchell right now with Calgary. Maier getting the nod here and this will spark the team just like it did in their win last week when the switch was made. The world will back Blue Bombers here thinking they must bounce back off the loss but this Stamps team is extremely good, very focused, solid defensively, force turnovers, solid pass protection, and ready for payback here. Love the value of having the 6 points here should the Stampeders fall short of the upset win. We'll take it. 10* CALGARY +6 |
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08-25-22 | Packers v. Chiefs OVER 36 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NFLX Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 36 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers @ 8 ET - The odds makers opened this one up near 40 and it immediately plummeted and is now down to a 36 as of game day. Personally I love when the betting markets think they know so much more than the smartest people in the room. Who are those guys? The odds makers! That is not to say you can blindly fade every line move. Of course not, but when the situation is right it opens up a wealth of value. This one blew right past the key numbers of 38 and 37 on NFL totals and I am happy to invest on the over 36 here. Both teams playing a slew of back-ups throughout this one. So you really think you are going to see great defense all night long in a case like this? Of course not. Also, Love has looked strong at QB for the Packers thus far in the pre-season. The Chiefs have Henne getting action here and then a good battle for the #3 spot between Buechele and Crum. How will head coach Andy Reid evaluate this QB situation? It certainly will not be by seeing how good these guys are at handing the ball off! The point is there will quite a bit more offense than many expecting here. Note that Green Bay has already scored at least 20 in each game of this preseason but, prior to last week's solid defensive effort, the Packers allowed an average of 24 points per game last 8 preseason games and NEVER allowed less than 19 in any of those 8 games! Over was 6-2 in those 8 preseason games and that trend resumes here. Chiefs 24-14 win last week was 4th straight home preseason game totaling at least 38 points. Those 4 games averaged 47.5 points scored and I fully expect this one to get into the 40s as well. 10* OVER 36 in Kansas City |
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08-25-22 | White Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total despite the teams combining for 18 hits. The White Sox left 14 men on base. The Orioles went 0 for 5 with runners in scoring position. I like taking the over after games like this and I am going with action on pitchers here as per usual. I will mention that the expected starters are Lynn and Lyles. I know Lynn has been better of late including a solid start at Cleveland in his most recent outing. However, in his 5 road outings before facing the Guardians, Lynn struggled almost always. That is why, even including solid start at Cleveland, he is 0-3 with a 6.39 ERA and a .311 batting average against in his 6 road starts this season. Lyles has allowed 4 earned runs in B2B starts plus he is getting hit at a .326 clip this month and he gave up 4 earned runs in only start versus White Sox this season. Orioles have averaged 6 runs scored per game last 8 home games. Chicago has not been scoring that well but, prior to leaving 14 on base yesterday, they left 13 on base Tuesday! The point is that the White Sox have had their opportunities and I fully expect them to cash in more of those today coming off the confidence boost of a win yesterday. Regardless of starting pitchers here, look for plenty of runs. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Red Sox have averaged 5 runs scored per game last 7 games and 4 of last 6 games have totaled double digits in runs. Last 17 home games at Fenway Park have averaged 10 runs per game. Blue Jays had an 8-run 3rd inning yesterday and Toronto has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 11 road games. This is why I like the over here regardless of pitchers but I will mention that the expected starter for Toronto is Berrios and Red Sox expected to go with Bello. Note that Berrios has a 6.82 ERA in road games this season and opponents have hit over .300 against him in starts away from home. As for Boston's Bello, he has made 3 starts this season and allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of them despite lasting only 4 innings in each start! Red Sox bullpen not exactly stellar either and will be called upon early in this one most likely. It all sets up for a high-scoring slug-fest at hitter-friendly Fenway Park Wednesday. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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08-24-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as this is all about the better overall team and the fact we get line value because they are using an inexperienced hurler here so the line is kept more manageable. So don't care who the starters are but Phillies Sanchez should have success here if called upon. Cincinnati expected to start Zeuch here and he got hammered in his only two starts this season and that includes his most recent against the Phillies. As for Sanchez, he actually has enjoyed some success and proven tough to hit in his two starts this season. The pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough have now lost each of the first two games in this series. Also, those B2B Cincinnati wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 18 of 26 - including 4 of 5 versus Reds - after yesterday's win though it came by a one-run margin after Monday's victory was by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here as Reds 28-48 in night games and 10-19 against NL East foes and 57 of 73 losses by multi-run margin this season. Reds horrible on road and against teams with a winning record this season. Phillies 16-9 vs NL Central teams and 38-19 against teams with a losing record. Regardless of starting pitchers (our play here is action), the hosts roll big in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves @ 12:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Pirates are off B2B games in which they scored just 1 run. If you look at their season results, Pittsburgh scores quite well when off B2B games in which they were held to 1 run or less. Also, after facing a tough lefty yesterday in Fried, this lefty-laden Pirates lineup should have much more success against Wright. The scheduled starter for the Braves is a righty that has not enjoyed as much success against lefties in his career. Also, though Wright has great numbers this season, he has struggled more in day games where he is getting hit a .290 clip. The scheduled starter for the Pirates is Keller and he is 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in home starts this season. Opponents are hitting .333 against him this month and he is facing a Braves team that has won 13 of 15 and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. You can see why, regardless of starting pitching match-up here, I am expecting both teams to score well in this one and sent it over the low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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08-23-22 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Texas Rangers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies last 9 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. The posted total on this one is currently an 11 and I am confident we'll top that here as Texas has won 7 of last 11 road games and averaged scoring 5 runs per game last 10 on the road and, of course, none of those 10 were here at hitter-friendly Coors. So you can see why I am expecting both teams to get to at least a half-dozen runs here and that puts this game at a 7-6 final at a minimum. Now, about those pitchers - again my play is action - the expected starters are Dunning and Marquez. Note that Rangers Dunning has been great at home but opponents hitting over .300 against him on the road where he is 0-5 with a 5.08 ERA. In other words, he is likely in big trouble at Coors Field. As for Marquez, he has been solid on the road but has been hit at over a .300 clip at home where he is 2-5 with a 5.85 ERA. This one, regardless of pitchers, should get crazy on a warm evening in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. I trust neither bullpen in this venue either. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-23-22 | Diamondbacks v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Regardless of starting pitchers, I am expecting a lot of runs here. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last dozen home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game and yesterday's reached the double digit mark in a 6-4 win over the White Sox. As for Diamondbacks hitters, they have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game last 20 games. They should get to 5 here given the Royals sub-par overall pitching staff including question marks in the pen. The expected starter for KC here is Heasley and he is 1-7 on the year and has a 6.35 ERA in home games. The expected starter for Arizona is Davies and he is 1-3 in his 10 road starts and has a 4.68 ERA away from home. No matter the pitchers here, this one is going to see plenty of runs as Kauffman Stadium continues to deliver a lot of high-scoring Royals games and I like the way the Diamondbacks have been swinging the bats. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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08-23-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -100 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially yesterday was a bullpen game for the Reds as I expected even though they were not calling it that. Cincinnati expected to get a lot out of Luis Cessa there but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Sure enough he got hammered and lasted just two innings so the pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Lodolo is the expected starter for Reds and he is winless with an 8.49 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. Suarez is the expected starter for Phillies and he has allowed a TOTAL of just 4 earned runs over his last 6 starts spanning 35 innings! The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough got hammered 4-1 yesterday. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 17 of 25 - including 3 of 4 versus Reds - after yesterday's win by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -100 |
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08-22-22 | Falcons -145 v. Jets | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
NFLX Monday 10* Top Play Atlanta Falcons Money Line -145 @ New York Jets @ 8 ET - You might remember I lost with Eagles in Week 1 when they lost to these Jets as the blew an early 14-0 lead and got outscored 24-7 rest of the way. I got some money back yesterday by fading the Eagles with the Browns +2.5 after Philly let me down in Week 1. We are going to get some more money back today by fading the Jets team that burned me in the comeback last week. Note that New York is now at home where they are just 1-1-1 L3 NFLX and scored just 6 points in the lone win and gave up 59 points in the loss and tie! Jets have solid chance they are going with 3rd and 4th stringers here at QB. Conversely, the Falcons are approaching this game a little more aggressively with a heavier dose of 1st and 2nd stringers. No we may not see much of, if any, Mariota at QB but I really like the compete level Ridder showed last week at QB for Atlanta. So many close games happen in NFLX and I really do not want to lay the 2.5 points here but am comfortable with the money line given all of the above. Falcons seem to be showing a hungry compete level to win and will have their higher level guys in for longer than the Jets in this one. Falcons had a rough preseason last year and seem more focused on developing a winning attitude this year. Even in preseason this holds true and the road team gets the victory as Ridder again gets it done (just like last week) with his arm (2 TDs) and legs (10 ypc on 6 rushes) and the ability to squeeze out a win late. 10* ATLANTA -145 |
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08-22-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially this is a bullpen game for the Reds even though they are not calling it that. Cincinnati expects to get a lot out of Luis Cessa here but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Also, prior to his lone start this season, he had not started a game since 2018. Now he faces an angry Phillies team as they just struggled against the Mets including losing the series finale despite scoring 9 runs in that game. Philadelphia the better team and at home and in a good situation given the loss yesterday. Look for payback here as they take on a lesser team. There is a concern about the weather in Philly this evening but as the night goes on they should get this game in and this is another reason I don't even care if Syndergaard starts or not either. Tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Syndergaard has been better in his last couple starts and is starting to show glimpses of being quite strong again as he is rounding into form as a Phillie now. The Reds are off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and winning streaks of 3 or more games have been very rare for Cincy this season. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies had won 16 of 23 - including 2 of 3 versus Reds - before yesterday's loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
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08-22-22 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5, 2.75 or 3 in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - I feel strongly that Manchester United is going to "come to play" here on their home pitch in this one after a very disappointing start to the season. Keep in mind, the loss to Brighton does not look as bad after seeing Brighton jump out to a 2-0-1 start to the season with Man U being the only club to score on them in 3 matches! Also, Brentford has already scored 8 goals this season though, yes, that was one shocking loss that Manchester United suffered already. Still, Brentford has scored 8 goals already and only Manchester City and Arsenal, with 9 apiece, have scored more. The point is that Man U needs to respond but it may not quite be time to push the panic button here. The trouble here is they face a very strong Liverpool club that is also off to a disappointing start off B2B draws to open the campaign. So the Reds will surely be pushing hard in this one. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals and actually have averaged 5 goals. Love the value with the total in this one! A lot of talented striking ability on the pitch for each of these clubs. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |
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08-22-22 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the over here regardless of starting pitchers but will mention the expected starters are Kopech and Lynch. Note that Kopech has a high ERA and much higher BAA in road games compared to at home. Also, he started this season fantastic the first two months but has since gone 3-8 with an ERA in the 4.50 range. As for Lynch, he has a 5.22 ERA in home games and is winless in his 6 day game starts this season. The White Sox, though they have not been scoring great do have some added confidence from winning 6 of last 9 prior to yesterday's rainout. They should be able to hit Lynch as though he has pitched well against them this season he got rocked by them last season. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last 11 home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game. I look for another one to reach double digits here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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08-22-22 | Voluntari v. Farul Constanta OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -110 in Farul vs FC Voluntari @ 12:30 ET - This the 2nd of B2B home matches for Farul as this one is in Constanta also. Last week they played to a scoreless draw but BOTH they and their opponent EACH had a goal disallowed and each had one clank off the bar. There were other opportunities in a match that easily should have totaled 4 goals. The points is we now get line value here as FC Voluntari is also off a scoreless draw last week in a match that also featured solid scoring opportunities. Voluntari has scored a goal in each of their road matches this season and Farul has surprisingly had two scoreless draws this season but they are averaging 1.7 goals scored in their other 3 matches and this is a great spot for them. But the fact they should have allowed 2 goals last week to Hermannstadt has me not trusting them to shut down Voluntari here and I am expecting a 2-1 type of match here. Both clubs hungry for goals after last week's results. 10* OVER 2 goals -110 in Farul |
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08-22-22 | Sepsi v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Universitatea Cluj vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - I know that Sepsi is off B2B scoreless draws but each of their first 3 matches this season totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3.3 goals. Things will open up again here as they now face a Universitatea Cluj club that has allowed 1.6 goals per match on the season. Out of all 16 clubs in the league, only Chindia Targoviste (1.8) and CS Mioveni (2.0) in the goals allowed department thus far on the season. Of the first 5 matches this season for Universitatea Cluj only 1 has failed to reach at least 2 goals scored. Like the value here with the over 2 in this one. A lot of golden chances denied in the recent scoreless draw for Sepsi and, after all the bad bounces and crazy missed opportunities, this one will make up for it with plenty of goals. Note that Universitatea Cluj has allowed at least 1 goal in each of their 5 matches this season but also has scored at least 1 goal in all but on of their 5 matches. Solid odds on an over here. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Universitatea Cluj |
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08-21-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies left 8 men on base in yesterday's low-scoring win. The Giants went 1 for 6 with runners in scoring position in the loss. I expect both lineups to be much better in this afternoon game at Coors Field Sunday. Colorado normally hits so well at home and San Francisco had averaged 6 runs per game in first 4 games here at Coors Field this season before yesterday's disappointing effort here. Bounce back time for both lineups here regardless of the pitchers. But I will mention them here as these are the expected starters. Jakob Junis has ERA north of 5.50 in his day starts this season. Up until this season he was in the AL with the Royals and I do believe this is his first ever start at Coors Field and, generally speaking, this is NOT a friendly place for road pitchers on their first visits here. As for Rockies Kyle Freeland, he is getting hit at a .313 clip in home start this season and has a 6.00 ERA at Coors Field. This one, regardless of starters, will get crazy and fly over the total on a warm afternoon in Denver. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-21-22 | Mets v. Phillies -115 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -115 vs New York Mets @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Phillies at home and have won 16 of 23 games. Mets have lost 5 of last 9 road games. No matter the pitchers I like Phillies to build momentum off earning the split of yesterday's double-header. Butto is unproven rookie for Mets with unimpressive minor league stats. Gibson is 6-3 at home this season and has a 2.70 ERA so far this month. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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08-21-22 | Eagles v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NFLX Sunday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +2.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles @ 1 ET - The weather is a concern in Cleveland for this one Sunday but hopefully they get this one in even if the start time of the game is delayed. Really like the Browns a lot here as the Eagles recent history of preseason ineptitude continued last week at home when they blew an early 14-0 lead by getting blown out 24-7 the rest of the way. Philly is now just 1-6-1 SU last 8 preseason games. The Browns, on the other hand, are off another preseason win last week and are now 7-1 SU last 8 preseason games. That one loss was by just a single point so, at the current line of +2.5 on this game...Cleveland would be 8-0 ATS last 8 preseason games. Dobbs and Rosen combined for 16 of 20 passing in last week's win for the Browns so the news about QB Watson really does not have any bearing on how a preseason game like this plays out anyway. Also, the Browns defense played well last week with QB pressure (and multiple sacks) plus notching two interceptions. In a potentially ugly-weather game I am happy to back the home dog here. 10* CLEVELAND +2.5 |
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08-21-22 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - If you can find over 2.5 or 2.75, even if have to lay a little extra juice, that is the way I would recommend playing this one. Of course the over 3 at plus money is still a nice option as well but there is a chance this match could land on exactly 3 goals and then you push instead of win. I like the fact that the only two clubs in the league that have yet to allow a goal in first two matches are matched up here. In typical contrarian fashion, I am looking for plenty of goals here but, of course, is not without reason. Manchester City is again looking like the top club in the league and is off a 4-0 win last week. Newcastle is off a scoreless draw last week but did win their first match 2-0 and they are known for playing well at home. I look for the hosts to score at least 1 goal here but they are big dogs for a reason here and the visitors will likely prevail. That put this match at a 2-1 final at the very least but 3-1 or 3-2 would also not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER the total in Newcastle United |
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08-21-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United +140 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play West Ham United +140 vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 9 AM ET - West Ham is the only club in the league thus far that has yet to score a goal. Granted we are only two matches into the new season (some clubs played their 3rd match yesterday) but the point is there is some extra value here. That's because people see a West Ham club with no goals and not even a point in the table taking on a Brighton club that has a win and a draw in its first two matches. Some will view West Ham having had a match on Thursday as negative here. However, that win in UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action actually helps West Ham United because they won 3-1 and got some goal scoring going. They will now build on that here at home against a Brighton club that won only 12 matches out of 38 last season. West Ham won 9 of their home matches last season and this looks like a great spot for them to go for the kill. Look for them to get revenge for a 3-1 loss to Brighton in the most recent meeting. Yes we must avoid the draw here and there is some risk of a draw but I feel strongly that the hosts are going to earn the full 3 points in the table with this one. 10* WEST HAM UNITED +140 |
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08-20-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 8:10 ET - This match-up just missed going over the total yesterday as it stalled at 11 runs. Look for today's to make up for that. Action on pitchers. Regardless of pitchers, and hopefully we keep the rain away in this one, it should be a blowout winner on the over. Will mention the pitchers here briefly. Cobb has been great at home this season but has a 5.94 ERA in his 7 road starts and Coors Field the toughest venue in the league to pitch in. This is the 2nd straight year that his ERA is 3 full runs higher on the road than at home. As for Feltner, he is 2-5 with a 6.95 ERA and opponents hitting nearly .300 against him in his young MLB career. Look for him to get pounded here. The Giants allowing an average of 6 runs per game last 13 road games. The Rockies last 7 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. This one gets to at least 12 as well. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-20-22 | Calgary -130 v. Toronto | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -130 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Toronto is off a loss at Hamilton last week. The Tiger-Cats are their biggest rival. They will get caught looking ahead to their game hosting the Ti-Cats next week. That said, the Argos could be in trouble here against the Stampeders. I know Calgary has first place Winnipeg on deck but the Blue Bombers only have 1 loss on the season and the Stamps have 3 already. Calgary is focused on the task at hand here and is a perfect 3-0 SU this season against teams from the East Division. Overall, we have seen the West dominate the East throughout this season. The West is 17-4 SU this season in games with the East and I look for Calgary to improve their part of that record to 4-0 on the year. I will also recommend the money line here because we are seeing it as low as -130 in some places and that is a great value compared to laying 2.5 points. 10* CALGARY -130 |
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08-20-22 | 49ers v. Vikings OVER 39 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NFLX Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 39 in Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers @ 7 ET - The Vikings 6-2 to the over last 8 NFLX games after last week's 26-20 loss to the Raiders. Vikings have allowed 25 points per game last 4 preseason games. On the others side of the ball I do like the fact that Minnesota picked up over 100 yards on the ground last week at Las Vegas plus had two touchdown passes and no turnovers in the game. The Vikes offense should continue to fare well here against a 49ers defense that was bailed out by some turnovers generated last week because, overall, San Francisco did allow a lot of yardage. In terms of offensive production though, the Niners are looking good with 3 different quarterbacks throwing for a TD last week! Off that 28-21 win, note that SF has now averaged 23 ppg last 8 NFLX games. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting this game to get well into the 40s. 10* OVER 39 in Minnesota |
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08-20-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers but we'll start there with the expected starters. The Red Sox are expected to start Michael Wacha here. I know he is off a great start but it was his first start back after a long layoff and sometimes when guys have an outing like that in first start back they suddenly struggle badly in the second one. They had a lot in the reserve in the first tart back but then have a little less in the reserve for the second start as they are still trying to get back in to their routine on the season. Baltimore expected to start Kyle Bradish here. The right-hander is winless with a 6.52 ERA and a .325 BAA in his 8 home outings. Yesterday's huge 15-10 Baltimore win followed an Orioles make-up game against the Cubs was squeezed into the schedule and was a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles and they did lose 3-2 at home. However, prior to that the O's won 8 of last 11 home games and each of last 4 games as a host had totaled at least 9 runs and I feel certain this one will too. The Red Sox last 8 road games have averaged 12.8 runs per game and only 1 of the 8 have totaled less than 9 runs and even that one got to 8. Day after day Boston seems to be involved in rather high-scoring games when on the road in recent weeks and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-20-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -125 | Top | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes -125 vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 4 ET - This one is all about the big situational edges here. Montreal catches Hamilton off huge rivalry win over Argonauts and with another big game against them at Toronto on deck. That is a major rivalry. Arguably the biggest in the CFL. That said, this is a great spot for the Alouettes to pick up a home win. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 SU on the road this season and the money line is available in the -125 range on this game so I will lay it rather than risk laying any points here. 10* MONTREAL -125 |
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08-20-22 | UTA Arad v. Rapid Bucuresti -111 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti -111 vs UTA Arad @ 2:30 ET - Great situational spot. Rapid is off a 1-0 loss last week which was their first since a 1-0 loss to CFR Cluj in Week 1. In between, Rapid Bucuresti rattled off 3 straight wins by a combined score of 5 to 1. I love the situational edge here with Rapid off a loss and UTA Arad off a win. Even though Arad won last week, they had won just once in 4 prior weeks and the 2 defeats in this stretch were by a combined score of 5-0. Arad has yet to win back to back matches this season and I do not see that changing on the road at Bucuresti either. Rapid has not lost back to back matches this season so this is a very solid double perfect YTD situation here. Rapid Bucuresti won the most recent meeting 2-0 and I expect another solid victory here given the situation. 10* RAPID BUCURESTI -111 |
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08-20-22 | Arsenal v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 2.75 in AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Arsenal is red hot and has won 8 straight matches across all competitions but this looks like a very tricky match for them. AFC Bournemouth already won their first match at home 2-0 and, prior to a 4-0 shellacking at the hands of champions Manchester City, they had scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches across all competitions. In fact, AFC Bournemouth averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 8 matches. The way I see this one playing out is that the hosts will indeed manage a goal against this red hot Arsenal club. However, Arsenal has been so relentless and consistently on the attack and answering goals with goals of their own that I anticipate at least a 2-1 final here. Arsenal has scored an incredible average of 4 goals per match in this 8-match winning streak. Yes this extends back to last season but most of it was in the pre-season leading up to this current campaign and this Arsenal club is loaded with confidence right now because of all the winning. I just do not see this Bournemouth club being shutdown on their home pitch though either. That said, we'll see at least 3 in this one in my opinion. 10* OVER the total in AFC Bournemouth |
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08-20-22 | Southampton v. Leicester OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5, 2.75 or 3 in Leicester vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Only the extremely disappointing Manchester United has allowed as many goals (6) as each of these clubs, Leicester and Southampton, have surrendered early this season. That said, I am looking for a wild one in this match-up. Southampton is notorious for allowing too many goals in road matches in particular and Leicester has looked very leaky on defense at times early this season. Plus Leicester scored 4 goals in 2 matches this season and Southampton has scored 3 so far this season so we should see plenty in this one. I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw in this one. Very competitive match but with plenty of scoring chances. 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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08-19-22 | Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -115 vs Miami Marlins @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers as I simply love a powerful Dodgers team to blast a Marlins team that so often struggles to score runs. I will mention the pitchers though here first. Tyler Anderson having a huge season including 7-0 with a 2.30 ERA in home outings this season. Jesus Luzardo can be dominant at times but he has struggled at times when facing tough lineups this season and the Dodgers certainly fit the bill in that regard. Also, this is still a guy that went 6-9 with a 6.61 ERA last season. He has been much better this season but still allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings against the Braves in his most recent start. Luzardo also recently allowed 4 earned runs in less than 3 innings at Arizona and now faces an even tougher road challenge here. The Dodgers are off a loss and are 11-2 the last 13 times when off a loss. Also, LA almost always wins their games by a multi-run margin. 89% of Dodgers wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Los Angeles has scored an average of 7 runs per victory in their 21 wins since the All Star break. The Marlins have lost 14 of 19 games and scored an average of only 2 runs per game last 18 games. You read that right...TWO runs average last 18 games. They are not hitting. Dodgers can and will! 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS RUN LINE -1.5 -115 |
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08-19-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan OVER 52 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 52 in Saskatchewan Roughriders vs BC Lions @ 10 ET - These teams met a few weeks ago and the game landed on 49 and pushed the total. There is good reason this total is a full 3 points higher. This BC offense is simply a well-oiled machine right now. It is very unlikely they will be slowing down anytime soon. Saskatchewan just allowed a bunch of yardage in their win at Edmonton last week so don't be surprised if the Lions pile up big numbers here. BC has averaged 40 points per game last 3 games and is averaging 37 points per game this season! Lions are 3-0 on the road this season thanks in part to averaging 36 points per game away from home on the year. The Riders offense is different when they are at home and they were averaging 30 points per game in home games before being slowed down a bit the first time hosting the Lions this season. They will be better in round two here and that helps push this one over the total because I just do not see this BC offense being stopped the way it is flying so high right now. 10* OVER 52 in Saskatchewan |
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08-19-22 | Texans v. Rams OVER 38 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
NFLX Friday 10* Top Play OVER 38 in Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans @ 10 ET - Under new head coach Lovie Smith, the Texans are hungrier for the win here. However, hard to trust them to get it in my opinion but what I like here is that the effort will be there. Houston off a low-scoring win last week and that has led to some extra value this week on the over. The Texas threw 3 interceptions last week and I do not expect a repeat of that here. Also, Houston was fortunate to give up only 13 points in that game. I like the fact that Rams QB Perkins had a good game last week and I expect him to come up big again this week. With LA likely to play solid at home (even though it is back-ups) and with having allowed over 300 yards of offense last week and being somewhat fortunate to win (29-22 final), I expect a lot of points here. Texans will get theirs but Rams will hang around in this game too. I feel the side could really go either way but look for some solid scoring here. The high-scoring trending we saw in Week 1 preseason continued even with an under in last night's Bears win at Seattle as that one totaled 38 points and very nearly ended up being a late bad beat for under players but it hung on. The point is that scoring continues to be up and I expect that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 38 in Los Angeles Rams |
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08-19-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers but we'll start there with the expected starters. The Red Sox are expected to start Kutter Crawford here. He has a 4.73 ERA in his MLB career. He gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his most recent road start. Crawford also struggled in his only appearance against Orioles this season and that was out of the pen earlier this season. Baltimore expected to start Jordan Lyles here. The right-hander has given up 13 hits in 10 innings in his last two starts. He has struggled in 2 of his last 3 home outings. Yesterday's make-up game against the Cubs was squeezed into the schedule and was a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles and they did lose 3-2 at home. However, prior to that the O's won 8 of last 11 home games and each of last 4 games as a host had totaled at least 9 runs and I feel certain this one will too. The Red Sox last 7 road games have averaged 11 runs per game and only 1 of the 7 have totaled less than 9 runs and even that one got to 8. Night after night Boston seems to be involved in rather high-scoring games when on the road in recent weeks and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-19-22 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +4.5 @ Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - Situational edge for Redblacks coming off bye week and Elks playing final game on last week's schedule. Still I can not see Ottawa as being worthy of being a 4.5 point favorite here. Yes, Edmonton just lost at home to Saskatchewan but they actually outgained the Roughriders 365 to 261 in that game. The Elks had a fumble lost and threw an interception in the game and turned it over on downs once also. That was the difference in the game and now we are getting line value this week as a result. Keep in, both Edmonton's win this season have come on the road. In fact the road team is now 6-3 SU in Elks games this season. Edmonton is perfect 2-0 SU against East Division teams this season. Redblacks are 0-5 SU this season against West Division teams and also 0-4 SU this season in home games. As you can see, that makes this a triple perfect spot in favor of the Elks. Given the above being all SU stats we may not even need the points here but I will grab them as added insurance. 10* EDMONTON +4.5 |
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08-19-22 | Petrolul 52 v. U Craiova 1948 +103 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play U Craiova 1948 Money Line +103 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - U Craiova 1948 defeated a very strong CFR Cluj club in their first home match this season. However, they then lost their next home match to Universitatea Craiova. Suffice to say, they were not happy about the result and they will be ready to defend their home pitch must better in this one. That is bad news for a Petrolul Ploiesti club that, despite having a record equivalent to U Craiova 1948, has scored only 3 goals in 5 matches this season. There is only other club, league-worst CS Mioveni, that has fared so poorly this season thus far in terms of getting on the scoresheet. That said, I look for the hosts to pull away as this one goes on and they get the home victory. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored only 1 goal in 2 road matches this season. U Craiova 1948 has scored 4 goals in 2 home matches this season. Excellent value for the hosts and I will grab them here. 10* U Craiova 1948 Money Line +103 |
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08-19-22 | Arges v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CS Mioveni vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - If each team scores at least once and the match does not end in a draw then you have a 2-1 final at the very least here. The odds strongly favor that and that is why I am pulling the trigger with the over here. Each team has played 5 matches and FC Arges has yet to have a draw and CS Mioveni has had only 1 draw. As for goals allowed, Arges allowing 1.8 per match and Mioveni allowing 2.2 per match. Mioveni has allowed at least 1 goal in all 5 matches. Arges has allowed at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches after delivering a clean sheet in first match. Strictly using probability mathematics, these clubs have have shown combined 90% odds that match will not end in a draw and combined 90% odds that they will each allow at least 1 goal. That means an 81% win factor here based on odds factoring that this match gets to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 in CS Mioveni |
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08-18-22 | Nationals v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The expectation here, as you can obviously tell from the side pricing in this game, is a Padres blowout. In fact, even the -1.5 on the run line pricing is too high for the risk in my mind. That said, -2.5 runs is currently available at -120. The point is that a SDG win by 3 or more runs would not be a shock to say the least. That said, I love the over in this match-up. Darvish is the expected starter for the Padres and he is not exactly setting the world on fire with his performances this month. He also just faced the Nationals last week when he was matched up with today's expected Nats pitcher, Sanchez. That said, love the over in this match-up because Sanchez is having another rough season and is 0-5 with a 7.20 ERA in his six starts this year. This game sets up for plenty of runs no matter who the pitchers are because Washington has allowed more runs than any team - even the Rockies! - in the majors this season. The Nationals have allowed 7.2 runs per game in their 17 defeats since the All Star break. The Padres last 10 games have totaled an average of 10.3 runs per game. Again, no matter the pitchers here, the bullpens should help our cause here as well and we can take advantage of a low total posted on this one. The low total makes sense because of Darvish being a big name pitcher but, again, you can see why this game has a great shot at setting plenty of runs per the above. 10* OVER 7.5 in San Diego |
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08-18-22 | Bears v. Seahawks UNDER 40 | Top | 27-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 40 in Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears @ 8 ET - After all the high-scoring games in Week 1 of preseason now your seeing the result in inflated totals this week. That doesn't mean it will be all unders this week for sure but, rather, it just means there is some extra value in certain spots. In my mind, the Thursday night game is one of those! The Bears only allowed 205 yards of offense to the Chiefs last week. Keep in mind their new head coach was a defensive coordinator. They allowed a TD just before half last week or the final could have easily been 19 to 7 instead of 19 to 14 in that game. Also, their 4 scoring drives in the game, all in the 2nd half, averaged just 37.5 yards apiece so it is not like they were moving the ball like crazy on offense in that game. The Seahawks are off a high-scoring loss at Pittsburgh and I look for them to shore some things up on defense after the way that game played out. History is certainly on our side in that regard as Seattle entered last week's game with 6 of last 7 preseason games being unders over the past two preseasons. Look for that trend to resume here. 10* UNDER 40 in Seattle |
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08-18-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees and Blue Jays both have two solid lineups. This is a very low total considering that fact and I like the over regardless of the starting pitchers. My play here is action on the pitchers. But I will mention that Berrios is notorious for struggling on the road and a number of Yankees batters have given him trouble. As for the Yankees Montas, he has struggled a bit in his first two starts in a Yankees uniform and now he has the added pressure of making this start in the Bronx. He is a veteran so is not that big of a deal for Montas but still is some added pressure. Also, the Blue Jays have a number of hitters that have given him trouble. This match-up has the perfect ingredients to be a solid over winner. Toronto's last 6 road games have featured 5 that reached double digits in runs scored. Yankees have been in a pattern of low-scoring games but yesterday's dramatic 8-7 win in extra innings courtesy of a walk-off grand slam from Donaldson is going to get the New York bats going. 7 of last 9 Yankees home games have totaled at least 9 runs. 10* OVER 8 in New York Yankees |
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08-18-22 | Rockies v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play St Louis Cardinals Run Line -1.5 -105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 1:15 ET - Action on pitchers as the fact is Rockies just so bad on road again this season and Cardinals so strong at home again this season. These are long-term trends too as year after year Colorado tends to struggle on the road while St Louis tends to be so tough at home. More of the same expected here but now I will touch on the starting pitchers but like this game regardless of starters. Wainwright is known for being so strong at home throughout his career and that has been the case again this season. This includes allowing 1 earned run or less in 5 of last 6 home starts. In fact, Wainwright has allowed a total of only 3 earned runs in the 37.1 innings spanning those 5 starts. Senzatela has had a very rough season for the Rockies and is 0-4 with a 5.50 ERA in his 7 road starts this season and he has a 5.28 ERA and has been hit a ridiculous .396 clip in his 6 day game starts this year. The home team rolls to big margin win here. 10* ST LOUIS -1.5 -105 |
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08-17-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play San Francisco Giants Run Line -1.5 +105 vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:45 ET - You know Carlos Rodon wants this one and I expect him to pitch "lights out" in this one. He is 0-2 versus Arizona this season despite allowing only 8 hits in 11 innings while striking out 17 in his two starts against the Diamondbacks. Against the rest of the teams he is 11-4 with a 2.55 ERA this season! As for Arizona's Zach Davies, he has a 5.00 ERA in road games this season. Also, Davies ERA in night games is about a full run higher compared to day games. Regardless of starting pitchers, this one is a play for me. Take action on the pitchers. The Giants have won 8 of 10 games. The Dbacks have lost 23 of last 32 road games. Also, of the 11 wins that San Francisco has in Rodon's starts this season 10 of them (91%) have been by 2 or more runs. I am very comfortable with the run line here as, overall, 73% of Giants wins this season by 2 or more runs and we even get plus money here by laying the run line with the home team. 10* SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +105 |
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08-17-22 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers but will start there about this one. Daniel Lynch is a southpaw and he has struggled against right-handed hitters throughout his career. That said, he will be facing a righty-heavy lineup in facing the Twins this afternoon and I expect them to crush him. Lynch has a 6.00 ERA in his last two starts against Minnesota this season. As for the Twins Tyler Mahle, he gave up 3 homers in his first home start with Minny earlier this month. Then his next start he did pitch very well but it was against an Angels lineup that has recently been one of the worst in baseball. I do not trust that Mahle is back in top form just yet for sure as he struggles again here like he did in his first start this month. That said this seems like a very low total and I will take advantage. Note that KC had won 7 of 11 before B2B losses in this series. In those 11 games the Royals averaged 5.3 runs per game. As for the Twins, 26 of their last 33 games have totaled at least 8 runs and they are 7-2 last 9 games versus Royals and have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in last 9 games versus Kansas City. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota |
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08-16-22 | Royals v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:40 ET - Action on pitchers but will start there about this one. Greinke has made 9 road starts this season and he is 0-5 with a 7.16 ERA. Throughout his career he has shown a strong tendency to pitch well at home and then struggle on the road. That has continued this season. As for the Twins Gray, he had a 5.92 ERA in his 5 July starts. Though he has a low ERA in his first two starts this month, he has a 1.55 WHIP so he doesn't seem to be back in top form just yet for sure. That said this seems like a very low total and I will take advantage. Note that KC had won 7 of 11 before yesterday's 4-2 loss. In those 11 games the Royals averaged 5.3 runs per game. As for the Twins, 25 of their last 32 games have totaled at least 8 runs and they are 6-2 last 8 games versus Royals and have scored an average of 6 runs per game in last 8 games versus Kansas City. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota |
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08-16-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. Manoah just faced the Orioles and got hit hard in Baltimore and the damage could have been even worse. He might not be so fortunate in the rematch as Baltimore has been scoring very well and could cash even more opportunities this time around. As for the Orioles starter, Kremer has been absolutely crushed by Toronto hitters in his young career and I look for more of the same here in his first start versus the Blue Jays this season. Also these lineups just faced the relief pitchers they will be seeing throughout this series as well. In other words, this one sets up well to be a slugfest. Kremer has allowed 6 homers 10.1 innings in his last 3 starts versus the Blue Jays. I do like this play regardless of who the starters are because Baltimore entered the series off B2B low-scoring losses but already responded with 7 runs yesterday. Plus they had won 8 of 10 before those B2B losses and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during that stretch. Also, Toronto has averaged 5.4 runs per game in their 7 games against Orioles this season. In fact, all 7 games went over the total and totaled at least 10 runs. More of the same here and I am going to test this match-up spot that is 7-0 / 100% this season! 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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08-16-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET - I lost with this play yesterday despite Phillies winning as they won by only 1 run. However, I will come right back with the run line here as a lot of signs point to another Philadelphia win here but this time by blowout margin. Action on pitchers as I simply love this situational spot for the Phillies. But will touch on the pitchers here first. Gibson has been fantastic recently for the Phillies in his last 3 starts overall. Also, if you look at his last two road starts, he was practically unhittable. Gibson is fully capable of dominating the Reds on the road in this one. As for Zeuch, the Reds big righty is 2-5 and has a 5.26 ERA in his MLB career. I look for the Phillies to pound him. Philadelphia got back on track with a win yesterday. The Phils were off B2B losses after a red hot 13-2 run and Phillies have averaged 6 runs per game in their 15 victories since the All-Star break. The Reds off another loss yesterday and have now lost 8 of 11 games. Also, Cincinnati - not including extra innings - has scored more than 3 runs just TWICE in their last 14 games! The Reds offense will not keep up with the Phillies here and the visitors pull away for the win by a multi-run margin. Prior to yesterday's one run defeat, each of Cincinnati's last 8 losses had come by 2 or more runs. Phillies roll to huge road win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
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08-15-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. Kikuchi has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 innings in his two starts versus the Orioles this season. Bradish has allowed 8 earned runs in 9.2 innings in his two starts versus the Blue Jays this season. Also, these lineups just faced these pitchers. In other words, this one sets up well to be a slugfest even though both teams off losses in which they did not score well yesterday. Kikuchi has allowed 5 homers in his 2 starts versus the Orioles. I do like this play regardless of who the starters are because Baltimore is off B2B low-scoring losses but had won 8 of 10 before that and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during that stretch. Also, Toronto has averaged nearly 6 runs per game in their half-dozen games against Orioles this season. In fact, all 6 games went over the total and totaled at least 11 runs. More of the same here and I am going to test this match-up spot that is 6-0 / 100% this season! 10* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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08-15-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -110 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers as I simply love this situational spot for the Phillies. But will touch on the pitchers here first. Syndergaard was much better in his most recent start with his new team and he is fully capable of dominating the Reds on the road in this one. As for Minor, the Reds lefty is 1-9 and has a 6.24 ERA on the season. I look for the Phillies to pound him. Philadelphia off B2B losses after a red hot 13-2 run and Phillies have averaged 6 runs per game in their 14 victories since the All-Star break. The Reds off a win but this after losing 7 of 9 games. Also, prior to that win, Cincinnati - not including extra innings - had scored more than 3 runs just ONCE in their last DOZEN games! The Reds offense will not keep up with the Phillies here and the visitors pull away for the win by a multi-run margin. Each of Cincinnati's last 8 losses by 2 or more runs. Phillies roll to huge road win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 |
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08-15-22 | Crystal Palace v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Liverpool is angry off an opening-week draw and will be relentless with pressure in the offensive zone in this one. Crystal Palace was shutout last week at Arsenal but actually had a couple of great chances they failed to capitalize on. As strong as Liverpool is at home, it still would not surprise me to see them give one up here to a talented Crystal Palace squad but I do see them winning this match by a multiple-goal margin. That puts this one at a 3-1 final at least. However, lets say Liverpool does manage to deliver a clean sheet...I still see this one going over via a 3-0 or 4-0 final. The Reds have been so dominant at home and will be relentless here after what happened late week and Crystal Palace does not have a good history against them. This includes the Eagles conceding 6 goals in the two meetings between these clubs last season. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool |
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08-15-22 | Hermannstadt v. Farul Constanta OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Farul Constanta vs Hermannstadt @ 12:30 ET - Hermannstadt has been the surprise of the league so far despite having financial problems. They are undefeated with a 2-0-2 mark the equivalent of Farul Constanta. That makes this an interesting match-up as I really like Farul to play well at home but the gung ho visitors have scored at least 1 goal in every match this season and actually have averaged scoring nearly 2 goals per match! Hermannstadt also has allowed a goal in each of last 3 matches. I don't see either club being held off the scoresheet here and neither team settling for a draw as these two teams are currently tied in the table and neither one wants to remain that way when the dust settles on this battle. Note that Farul suffered a scoreless draw in their most recent home match and this was after scoring a pair of goals in their season opener at home. The hosts will respond and will not take the foot off the gas in terms of an attacking style in this one. We're going to see plenty of goals here. 10* OVER 2 in Farul Constanta |
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08-15-22 | Sepsi v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -126 in FC Voluntari vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - Sepsi off a scoreless draw with UTA last week. UTA followed that up with a 2-1 win in their match this week. So often after a rare scoreless draw like that, the clubs respond with a more offensive-minded match in their next one. That is what I expect to see here as well with Sepsi. Note that Sepsi's first 3 matches this season averaged totaling 3.3 goals apiece. FC Voluntari off a 2-1 loss at Hermannstadt last week and they scored 3 goals in their most recent home match the week prior. Each of last 4 meetings between these clubs the past two seasons have totaled at least 3 goals. I am putting that 2-season 4-0 over record to the test here. 10* OVER 2 -126 in FC Voluntari |
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08-14-22 | Vikings +5 v. Raiders | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +4.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 4:25 ET - This line just too high in my opinion. The Raiders not only being asked to win this game but to win it by a sizable margin. Note that though Vegas won last week in the HOF Game that was against a dreadful Jaguars team that has now been outscored 51 to 24 in two preseason games this season and has lost 8 of last 9 preseason games. Now Raiders laying sizable points against a Vikings team that has seen its last 7 games feature only 1 game that was a loss by more than 4 points for them. Vegas head coach McDaniels came from a Patriots organization use to winning. Feel certain there is a little more hunger for the younger O'Connell here a little more eager. He came from the Rams organization but prior to that was mired in the Washington organization. I feel he and the Vikes are being undervalued here. 10* MINNESOTA +4.5 |
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08-14-22 | Twins v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 4:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. I know I keep going back to the well here but I really feel good about this one getting over the total to wrap up this series. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 17 of their last 19 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 2 landed on 8 runs but I know we need 9 here and most all landed on at least 9 runs during this 19-game stretch. Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and have averaged 4 runs per game last 14 games. I am fully expecting at least a 6-5 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins Chris Archer is 0-4 with a 5.40 ERA in day games this season. As for the Angels Tucker Davidson, he is 1-3 with a 7.91 ERA this season and I feel strongly that the Twins are going to respond after letting yesterday's game get away from them plus a lot of hard hit balls in Friday's game and that one certainly should have seen more scoring than the 4-0 final. This one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 9 in LA Angels |
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08-14-22 | Padres v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
MLB 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres @ 12:05 ET - Padres lost 4-3 yesterday as they blew a 3-0 lead and there were 18 hits in that game. Before that loss yesterday, San Diego had been rolling and scoring big runs and I expect them to resume the hot streak today. They should pound Espino as he had a 5.82 ERA last month and 6.00 ERA this month and he has been struggling badly. He is winless on the season. The Padres Snell has good numbers on the season but he is known for not pitching as well in day games. This is an ultra early start and I expect him to struggle here particularly with Nats having totaled 10 hits in yesterday's game. He has 6.91 ERA in day games this season and had a 6.75 ERA in day games last season. The struggles continue here and this one should fly over the total as both pitchers get hammered. San Diego had scored 10 runs per game and won 3 straight before yesterday's tight loss. 10* OVER 9 in Washington |
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08-14-22 | Botosani v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in CFR Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 11:30 AM ET - CFR Cluj is again at the top of the table and a big key is they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match. However, FC Botosani will not be push-overs here and are averaging 1.5 goals per match. Wish we could get the over 2 goals here as so many Romania Liga I matches have totaled at least 2 goals but I am also fully comfortable with the over 2.5 goals and +120 comeback return as both these clubs have shown they can find the back of the net early and often this season. Also, the last 3 weeks matches involving CFR Cluj have averaged 3 goals per match. Another way to look at this one is that FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in every match this season yet CFR Cluj is a heavy favorite for a reason. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in CFR Cluj |
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08-14-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Chelsea has won the last 4 meetings between these clubs and scored an average of 2 goals per victory. That bodes well for plenty of goals here because, though Chelsea is known for defensive prowess, this Tottenham club really loaded up over the summer and look very strong on the attack. Yes, last week's 4-1 win was against defensively-challenged Southampton. However, it was a big victory that allowed Tottenham to build up some confidence heading into this huge early-season match with Chelsea. Look for plenty of scoring here possibly even up to a 2-2 draw. With Tottenham having been handed a clean sheet by Chelsea in each of the last 4 meetings, the last thing the visitors want to do is stay back on their heels here. I look for a rather aggressive attacking style particularly as this match moves along and it should lead at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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08-13-22 | Saskatchewan -5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -5.5 @ Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - Great spot here as Saskatchewan off a home loss to a tough BC team two weeks ago and now has had a bye week to fully prepare for this one in a bounce back spot. The Roughriders will take advantage of facing an Elks team that just got hammered by the same Lions team 46-14. The problem for Edmonton is they can't stop anyone. The Elks are allowing 36.3 points per game on the season and are winless at home. The Riders have struggled recently but have had a chance, with a bye week, to hit the reset button now and have allowed only 15.5 points in their 4 victories this season. The Roughriders won the first meeting here in Edmonton by double digits and I expect another big road win here as the Elks struggles continue. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -5.5 |
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08-13-22 | Twins v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 9:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. This is something that has worked for me many times in the past. I lose a big pick the day before and come right back with same thing the next day. The other thing that has worked well for me is "this doesn't look quite right for a reason" situation. The fact is that is usually when the sharpest people out there know something. This also works well and is the case here because Reed Detmers has been really strong for Angels but has a struggling lineup to rely on for his own run support yet this total is holding at an 8. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 16 of their last 18 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 1 landed on 8 runs (the current total of this game). So the fact is if you had played over 8 in each of Minnesota's last 18 road games you had a 15-2-1 record! Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and, prior to yesterday's game, had averaged 4 runs per game last dozen games. I am fully expecting at least a 5-4 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins Dylan Bundy has a 6.33 ERA and a .301 BAA in road games this season. I know the Angels Detmers has great numbers this season and is off a start in which he did not allow many hits but there is something funny about this line and the fact it is holding at an 8 again. I definitely love the fact that there were a lot of hard hit balls yesterday and it certainly should have seen more scoring than the 4-0 final. This one should fly over the total. Note LA has averaged scoring 6 runs per game the last 8 times they were off a game in which they were held to 2 or less runs. 10* OVER 8 in LA Angels |