Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-26-22 | Florida v. Tennessee OVER 133.5 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET - I am aware that Colin Castleton is still out for the Gators and he is Florida's leading scorer. However, he also led the team in rebounds and blocked shots. Guess what happens on the defensive end when you are without a guy like that? It is trouble for sure and now the Gators take on a ranked Tennessee team that will look to run them right out of the arena. However, Florida is still going to put up a fight here. Don't be surprised if they hang around in this game after getting knocked out of the SEC tourney by the Volunteers last March. This is their first meeting since and the guard-heavy Gators will do their best to hang around in this game in what will turn into a higher-scoring game than most expect. Florida does not have the interior defense to stop the Vols but, at the other end, the Gators will try to use quick guard play to keep the Tennessee defense on its heels. The result is a high-scoring game. 9* OVER 133.5 in Tennessee |
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01-25-22 | Panthers v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The Jets have a great goalie by the name of Connor Hellebuyck. However, this Panthers team is an offensive juggernaut and they are entering this game off a loss and I expect them to pepper Winnipeg with shots here. At the same time, the Jets are playing their first home game in a very long time due to all the covid issues and I expect Winnipeg, also off a tough loss, to come out firing on all cylinders here in a game that should have an excellent pace. The Panthers have averaged scoring 4.3 goals last 3 games when off a loss. Florida overall has seen 10 of last 13 games total 7 or more goals. The Jets don't have those same impressive numbers in terms of high-scoring games but, again, I expect this to be a very special situation in Manitoba with it being their first home game in over 5 weeks! The last 6 Jets home games have averaged 8.3 goals and I look for another high-scoring game Tuesday. 10* OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg |
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01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 220 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington |
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01-25-22 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Tuesday 9* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Carolina Hurricanes vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The Golden Knights in 2nd game of a B2B and off a 1-0 win. Vegas gave up a pile of shots last night but Robin Lehner was superb between the pipes but is unlikely we see him now in 2nd game of a back to back. That means the angry Hurricanes, off a 7-4 loss and rested, are likely to have a huge game here. 9 of Carolina's last 11 games have totaled 6 or more goals. These 11 games have averaged 7.6 goals per game! Look for a wild game here as Vegas will has plenty of offensive firepower and will have to rely on that here because the Canes will come out firing on all cylinders. 9* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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01-25-22 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 133 | Top | 43-67 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 133 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 7 ET - The total has been dropping on this one. I like the over as the Wildcats so strong at home and we are getting value here because the Blue Demons are off a low-scoring loss but this is a DePaul team that does get involved in high-scoring games quite often. The Blue Demons were on a 5-0 run to the over before back to back unders so now we get line value in this spot. Villanova averaging 79 points at home this season. DePaul is averaging 76 points this season. The Wildcats do play solid defense when needed but look for this to be a blowout win, as you can tell by the pointspread, and there will be less attention on the defensive end as a result. Each of the last 3 meetings between the teams, including one earlier this season, went over the total. Going further back, it is an incredible 17-6 run to the over in games involving these foes. 10* OVER 133 in Villanova |
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01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City |
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01-24-22 | Canadiens v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs Montreal Canadiens @ 8:05 ET - The Wild have a lengthy road trip on deck so they will want to make the most of this opportunity on home ice. That said, look for Minny to turn to their offensive production! Minnesota has won 3 of 4 games and scored an average of 4.5 goals per game in regulation time of these games. The Wild have allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of their last 4 games. The Canadiens are having a very rough season but they have scored an average of 3.3 goals per game last 3 games. The issue for Montreal is they have allowed 3.7 goals in regulation time of their last dozen games here. Non-conference match-up. Teams have not faced in other in a long time so there is not much animosity. In other words not likely to be a defensive minded battle with a lot of physicality. Should be a lot of open ice and the Habs have major issues at the goalie position with injuries/illness. 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland |
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01-24-22 | Golden Knights +130 v. Capitals | Top | 1-0 | Win | 130 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Monday 9* Top Play Vegas Golden Knights +130 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - Vegas expected to get some reinforcements on this road trip. Also, they catch the Caps off an OT win. Why does this matter? Well, since a pair of wins in early December, Washington has won B2B games only once! The Capitals have proven time and time again they struggle off a win while the Golden Knights come into this game on a run of 12 wins in 19 games. Couple that with the underdog value here and you have a great spot to back the road team at a plus money price. 9* VEGAS +130 |
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01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
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01-24-22 | Jacksonville v. Kennesaw State OVER 128.5 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Annihilation Monday 9* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville Dolphins @ 5 ET - The Owls are off a loss and this season they have gone 4-0 and averaged 89.5 points per game! Yes some of those games were against weak competition but you can still see that Kennesaw has shown the way they respond to a loss is to push hard on the offensive end. I know Jacksonville, on the other hand, has a tendency to get involved in "grinders" as their games trend toward lower-scoring. However, the Owls are going to dictate the pace of this game on their home floor and the Dolphins will simply be forced to play up to that tempo. Both teams have high shooting percentages this season and couple that with a good pace this game should easily get into the 130s in my opinion. 9* OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State |
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01-23-22 | Kings v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New Jersey Devils vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7:05 ET - The Devils off a 7-4 upset win over Carolina yesterday. The underdog win coupled with a B2B situation sets this one up perfectly for plenty of goals. New Jersey has allowed 4 or more goals in 9 of last 14 games. This one is a contrarian play because the Kings are not known for higher scoring games but the Devils have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game in regulation time of last 9 games. Los Angeles has allowed 5.3 goals per game last 3 games. Also, before being held to just 1 goal in most recent game, the Kings had averaged scoring 3.8 goals last 8 games. Given all those big numbers and the fact this total is a 5.5 you can see why we have excellent value here for a top play. 10* OVER 5.5 in New Jersey |
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01-23-22 | Bills +120 v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Money Line Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills +110 @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 6:30 ET - The Bills seek revenge for last year's playoff ouster at the hands of KC. Look for last year's playoff experience to help Buffalo a lot in this rematch. The Chiefs were just not quite as strong this season and that is why you are seeing them priced as such a small favorite even though they are at home for this game. With a win here the Bills will host next week's AFC Championship Game because the Titans got knocked out yesterday. This is huge for Buffalo and I feel strongly this is the Bills year to finally get back to the Super Bowl. Buffalo has had only 3 high-scoring losses this season and in the other 15 games, win or lose, the points allowed by the Bills are truly impressive. Buffalo allowed only 13.2 points per game in those 15 games! The Bills have allowed an average of only 15.4 points per game last 5 games overall. Compare all this to a KC team that has allowed 27 points or more in 8 games this season and enters this game having allowed an average of 26.3 points per game last 3 games. The Bills have the added confidence too of having won here in Kansas City earlier this season. The Chiefs go from facing a Pittsburgh team with Roethlisberger on his last legs to facing a Bills team with Allen capable of picking apart opposing defenses. The road team trend in the divisional round continues and no points needed here. 10* BUFFALO +110 |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +3 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 3 ET - Do you think the Rams are only 4 points better than the Eagles team that the Bucs just flat out embarrassed last week? Me neither! But that is what this line is telling you as the Rams are +3 this week after the closing line on last week's game was Eagles +7. That is only a 4 point variance and I am not buying it. The odds makers do not intentionally set "trap lines" but this is one that will likely "trap" public bettors as Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl Champions are only a 3 point favorite on their home turf. The Rams look like a team on a mission after their dismantling of the Cardinals last week and I love their defense. Also, this is not a pedestrian offense for LA like the poor Philly offense with a rookie QB that TB faced last week. Upset alert! 9* LOS ANGELES RAMS +3 |
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01-23-22 | Clippers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York |
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01-23-22 | Butler v. Providence OVER 126.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Providence vs Butler @ NOON ET - There is an old saying that if something is not broken do not try to fix it. Of course that makes a lot of sense and the point is that Providence has exploded for 83 points in each of their last two games. Both of those contests were at home just like this one is and the Friars are proving they can win faster-paced games too. I am well aware that in terms of pacing, both Providence and the Bulldogs are known for playing slower. However, even with that, Providence has scored at least 70 in each of their last 4 wins and those games saw the Friars average 76.5 points per game. The Bulldogs, though known for playing slower, have lost 3 straight games and allowed at least 75 points in each loss. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-6 last dozen games and allowed more than 70 points in all 6 losses. Providence is about a 9 point favorite here. If they score at least 71 and the line is about right that puts this at 71-62 which is 133 points and we have a total in the 127 range. Good value here as the way the Friars have been going I expect this game to close to the 140 mark. Look for a 75-65 type game. 10* OVER 126.5 in Providence |
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01-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham +0.5 +110 @ Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - These clubs have met twice very recently and Tottenham deserved a much better fate in the second fixture compared to the first. That said, and with Chelsea missing some key players including their #1 goalkeeper for this one, I feel we have excellent value with Tottenham plus a half goal and plus money too. The visitors have only lost 5 matches all season and, keep in mind, a win or a draw here gets us the money. Yes, Chelsea is one of the best clubs in the league but they have not been as dominant of a late and are a bit short-handed here and they have won only 12 of 23 matches in league action. In other words, about a 50-50 chance they don't win this match but those chances go even lower when you consider they are facing a Tottenham squad that is only 8 points behind them in the table but has played 4 less fixtures! The point is the, the losses and draws for Chelsea are going to come in matches like this again quality competition and I look for a very strong effort from the visitors here to get us the win at the betting counter! 10* TOTTENHAM +0.5 +110 |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Year NFL 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +5.5 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:15 ET - The 49ers beat a good Cowboys team last week. That was not just about Dallas being bad it was that the Niners are built well for playoff football and they proved that last week. Defensively this team is solid and, oh by the way, San Francisco plays in a division with Arizona and the Rams. LA may have made the Cards look bad last week but the fact is both the Cardinals and Rams are very good teams and finished the regular season with a combined record of 23-11. As for the Packers, they play in a division with the likes of the Vikings, Bears, and Lions. Not only did none of those teams have a winning record, the 3 combined for a 17-33-1 record. Now don't get me wrong, Green Bay is an excellent team. I am just pointing out that they might be a bit over-valued. Also, Green Bay won at San Francisco earlier this season but the Niners lost the turnover battle 2-0. The 49ers actually had 26 first downs compared to only 21 for the Packers. Also, the line in that game was SF -3 and that means the markets considered the teams equal then. Now this game is at Green Bay and the line was as high as a -6 on the Packers. Suddenly GB is now deserving of an extra 3 points compared to the original match-up? The point is that if this line was priced the same was as the original match-up it would be GB -3. This is value. Packers played 17 games this season and only 8 were wins by more than 3 points which means 9 were not! You get my point. The Niners have now played 18 games and only 5 were losses by more than 3 points which means, of course, the other 13 games were not! I just look for a very tightly contested game quite possibly decided by 3 points and whether SF wins or GB wins I don't care as long as the margin is slim like that. The fact is though I sense an upset here. The Niners allowed 17 points per game last 6 games. GB, not including meaningless season finale in which they did not care, did enter that contest having allowed 26 points per game last 6 games. The better D and a very confident group will be able to get the upset here but I am grabbing the points for added insurance. 10* SAN FRANCISCO +5.5 |
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01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-22-22 | Hurricanes v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New Jersey Devils vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - Mackenzie Blackwood is the Devils #1 netminder right now but he has allowed 3 or more goals in 9 of his last 10 starts including allowing 4 to the low-scoring Coyotes in his most recent start. As for the Hurricanes, their #1 netminder is Frederik Andersen and he was in goal last night so that means it is likely to be a back-up between the pipes here and no one, other than Andersen, has enjoyed success in the crease for the Canes this season. Carolina might give up more goals than normal here as a result but this highly efficient Hurricanes offense should lead them to victory. That is why they are such a pricey favorite even on the road in this one and in a back to back. That said, I feel the best value is with the over in this match-up! The Devils have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 13 games. New Jersey had scored an average of 3.5 goals per game last 7 games before being shutdown by Arizona. As for Carolina, they are on a red hot 8-2 run in which, other than a shutout loss, they have scored an average of 5.2 goals per game! 10* OVER 6 in New Jersey |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator 9* Top Play Tennessee Titans -3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 4:30 ET - Huge rest edge here for Tennessee off the bye week while Cincinnati was in action for wild card weekend. Give the Bengals credit as they got it done last week and are elated to have finally won a playoff game after a 3-decade stretch without notching a post-season win. That said, Cincinnati has already achieved something and there was a lot of celebrating last week. However, now they are facing a much different animal. The Titans are not the Raiders...not even close. Playing a playoff game on the road instead of at home...not even close. The point is that Joe Burrow and the Bengals are in for a rude awakening going on the road and facing one of the top teams in the league and one with a good amount of playoff experience on its roster. Look for this to turn into a blowout as Cincinnati perfectly fits the mode of a "one and done" in terms of how they are built for a post-season run. They just don't have the ground game on offense that the hosts have and now those hosts getting back Derrick Henry at RB this week too. 9* TENNESSEE |
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01-22-22 | St. Joe's v. VCU OVER 134 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 2:30 ET - VCU is off B2B losses but now face a team they can dominate. The last two times they faced teams as a favorite in this price range was in their two games prior to the two game losing streak. The Rams averaged 84.5 ppg in two blowout victories. As for St Joseph's, yes they could get blown out here and they are a double digit dog for a reason. But the Hawks are off a 9 point win over George Washington and a win like that can go a long way toward building up some confidence again. Each of the Hawks last 3 road games have totaled at least 139 points. St Joseph's has allowed 75 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. They have given up an average of 76.5 in last two games versus Rams. With VCU off B2B losses I just seem them completely taking advantage of a game they can run away with here and I expect a good pace and a ton of points as a result. 10* OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth |
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01-22-22 | Manchester City v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - The last time these teams met the result was a scoreless stalemate. Yes indeed, a 0-0 draw! Yet the total on this rematch is 3.5 which looks fishy, does it not? Exactly! Here is how I see this playing out. Manchester City is the proven best club in the premier league this season. City is on a 12-match winning streak in the league and averaging about 3 goals per match during this hot run. After getting embarrassed by being held scoreless on their home pitch earlier in this campaign, City is not going to take their foot off the gas here. They are going to be very aggressive and score many goals in my opinion. At the same time, Southampton is not going to be held off the scoresheet on their home pitch in my opinion. I am looking for a 3-1 match here but would really not be surprised at all to see much more scoring than that. Southampton may try to play a defensive style at first and go with a 3-5-2 formation but once they get down a couple goals they will have to adjust their style and I would not be surprised to see a lot of goals here as a result. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton |
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01-21-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
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01-21-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - Both teams off big upset wins and I like that situation to set this one up for a bit of a wide open game. The Hurricanes are hot and have won 7 of 9 games. One of the two losses was a shutout loss but Carolina scored 3 goals in the other loss and at least 4 goals in all 7 wins! In fact, the Canes, other than the shutout loss, have averaged scoring 5 goals per game since mid-December! As for the Rangers, they are known for lower-scoring games generally speaking but Shesterkin was not overly sharp in New York's 6-3 win over Toronto Wednesday. The offense bailed him out after they got into a 3-1 hole versus the Maple Leafs. Speaking of that offense, the Rangers are now 7-2 last 9 games and have scored an average of 4 goals per game in the 7 wins. Given all of the above I feel we have excellent line value with this total at a 5.5 as of late morning Friday. I'll take it! 10* OVER 5.5 in Carolina |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
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01-21-22 | Norwich City v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Watford vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Norwich City has allowed 2.5 goals per match as travelers this season. Watford has allowed 2.2 goals per match on their home pitch in this campaign. So each club should manage at least 2 goals here, right? Not necessarily but I do feel the leaky defense of each club certainly helps our cause here and with each club going hard for the full 3 points in the table here we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Neither wants to settle for a draw here as they are both near the relegation zone. Also, note that Watford is off a 1-1 draw but, prior this, 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, two of those totaled 5 goals. As for Norwich City, 3 of their last 4 matches in Premier League action have totaled 3 or more goals. Both clubs also playing with a little extra confidence here as Watford picked up a point by virtue of a draw in most recent match and now are on their home soil for this one and Norwich picked up a victory and the full 3 points in their most recent match. Even with some absentees for each club in this one (injury/covid/Africa Cup of Nations) we should a rather spirited affair in this one and it totals 3 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Watford |
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01-20-22 | Panthers v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Total Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 +115 in Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers @ 9:05 ET - I know we have the option to take the over 6.5 too but that has big juice on it in the -135 to -150 range so I would rather take the over 7 in the +110 to +115 range for a nice payback price. I know that will turn a 7 from a win to a push but I really think we are going to see an absolutely crazy game here with 8 or more goals. The Panthers have been on a torrid run of 9 straight games totaling 7 or more goals but that was finally snapped in their surprising 5-1 loss at Calgary. I watched that game and there easily could have been more goals there. The key here is the Panthers are now off a loss and will be flying all over the ice even more than usual tonight as a result of that defeat. That is bad news for an Oilers team that has played only 1 game in the past two weeks! The key for Edmonton however is that they are playing with an "us against the world" mentality now after being "left for dead" because of a rare tough stretch. The Oilers are loaded with talent, especially in terms of skilled players in the offensive zone, and I look for them to come out playing with a chip on their shoulder here. That means an intense game with a lot of offensive zone pressure. The Panthers, as strong as they have been, do give up a lot of goals. The Oilers will have plenty of success scoring here as a result as they are out to prove the doubters wrong but they will be unable to stop this high-flying Florida juggernaut and that means we see a ton of goals here. 10* OVER 7 +115 in Edmonton |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence OVER 143 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Providence Friars vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The Friars have not played in almost two weeks. The Hoyas know their best chance to win this game is to come into Providence and try to run the Friars right out of the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Indeed, Georgetown likes to play at a fast pace and they could try to utilize that here to catch Providence a little flat-footed after the layoff. The problem for the Hoyas is they have a tendency to ignore defense. This is particularly true on the road where they are allowing 80 points per game. Georgetown is off rare B2B unders but this was preceded by a 5-0 run to the over and the Hoyas consistently allow big point totals. Providence is not known as a particularly high-scoring team but they have averaged 75 points as a host this season. The Friars scored 83 in most recent game and should get at least that here and they are a 10 point favorite here an 83-73 game puts this well over the posted total. I like our chances for solid winner here! 10* OVER 143 in Providence |
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01-19-22 | Maple Leafs v. Rangers +135 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 135 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +135 vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:35 ET - The Maple Leafs are simply over-rated here on the road. They have been the higher-scoring team of late in comparison with the Rangers and so they are the more attractive team to the betting markets as that catches attention. However, this New York team has been the much better team recently in terms of stifling opponents and getting strong goaltending and I look for that to be the difference maker here and I love the home dog price we are getting here. The Rangers are 6-2 last 8 games and have allowed an average of only 1.2 goals per game those 6 victories! The Maple Leafs will have Jack Campbell between the pipes tonight. He has allowed 13 goals in his last 3 starts! Yes an average of more than 4 per game and then you look at the goalie work the Rangers are getting and look at the money line price on this game and the fact the Rangers are at home. All signs point to a ton of value on the home dog and this is particularly true as the line has been moving toward the Leafs so far today. I love fading line moves. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +135 |
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01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
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01-19-22 | Coyotes v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total Blowout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Arizona Coyotes vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Coyotes have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game last 9 games and are coming off a huge 5-2 win versus Montreal Monday. Even though Arizona has been scoring better this is still a team that has lost 11 of 15 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. That said, this total of 6 goals is likely to prove too low. The Devils are in need of a big win and are on home ice and New Jersey has averaged a respectable 3.4 goals per game last 7 games though it has only been a 4-3 stretch for them. The issue for the Devils is allowing too many goals as well as they have conceded an average of 4 goals per game during their current run which has seen them lose 9 of 13 games. Look for plenty of goals again in another non-conference battle that will not feature too much defensive intensity. 10* OVER 6 in Arizona |
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01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida OVER 137.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Both teams off wins. The Gators have scored 70 points or more in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 75 points in those 4 games. The Bulldogs off B2B wins and have won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 69 points in all 6 games. Mississippi State averaged 78.4 ppg in these 7 games. The posted total on this one is a little low in my opinion given the above. This is particularly true in a game which should be close enough late that we'll see some late fouling and late-game scramble points as a result. Gators averaging 74 points in home games this season and the Bulldogs have been hot and scoring well as you can see. Each of last two meetings between these teams has gone over the total and Mississippi State enters this game on a 5-0 run to the over! 10* OVER 137.5 in Florida |
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01-19-22 | Manchester United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Brentford is going to push hard for all 3 points in the table at home. Manchester United is unlikely to deliver a clean sheet as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. At the same time, Man U is certainly favored here for a reason. That said, I see no reason this match does not get to at least 2-1. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season and now host a highly talented group of attackers as they face Manchester United. The good news for Brentford fans is they have won 4 matches on home soil this season and this club plays with confidence when on their home pitch. Brentford will be on the attack but Manchester United off a high-scoring 2-2 draw and I fully expect a similar result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
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01-18-22 | Islanders v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Total Blowout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game could have had a lot more scoring and yet it still landed on 5 goals even with the crossbars and posts struck numerous times. There was one fluke goal, by Travis Konecny of the Flyers, but that actually is a boost for today's game as he and his line looked quite improved and the intensity was kicked up a few notches once he got that goal. He had been a scoring drought but that goal lifts his confidence and the Flyers also got Rasmus Ristolainen back last night and he helps move pucks out of the defensive end and get Philly going the other way to break into the offensive zone better. The key factor here is both teams have been struggling overall to score goals but now that has resulted in a rare case here where this total has dropped to a 5. This is a huge value in today's NHL and also Carter Hart has been struggling a bit and will be between the pipes for Philly since Martin Jones started last night. Additionally, Georgiev has not been as strong as Sorokin for the Isles in the crease and since the latter was in between the pipes last night that means we should see the former tonight. The result is excellent line value with this total dropping to a 5. I watched last night's game in its entirety and this back to back sets up well for even more scoring tonight between these divisional rivals. 10* OVER 5 goals |
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01-18-22 | Hurricanes +117 v. Bruins | Top | 7-1 | Win | 117 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes +115 @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are playing well and are a strong team for sure. But how many times do you get to take a team like the Hurricanes as an underdog? Carolina is one of the best teams in the NHL and they are built well to beat a team like Boston. In fact they already did it earlier this season by a 3-0 count! The Canes are a tough hard-nosed team just like their coach is a tough hard-nosed no-nonsense guy. Rod Brind'Amour again gets the most of out his team here and they win this one on the road. Though the Bruins have won 3 straight home games now, this is still a team that were on a run of 7 losses in 11 home games heading into this hot stretch on home ice. The Hurricanes are 13-4-1 on the road this season for the best road mark in the NHL. I will gladly back them here in the rare underdog role. 10* CAROLINA +115 |
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01-18-22 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 136 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-18-22 | Chelsea v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - With Chelsea off a disappointing loss to Manchester City I could see them being a little deflated here at the start of this one. Brighton & Hove should at least be good for one goal in this one and might get more because Chelsea's #1 goalkeeper is currently at the Africa Cup of Nations. So they are down to their #2 defending the net but Chelsea still has plenty of firepower to score some goals of their own here. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus City, Chelsea had scored an average of 2.5 goals their last 4 matches. Brighton & Hove scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches across all competitions and will bounce back here from a 1-1 draw versus Crystal Palace. Ironically they also had a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea in their first match of this campaign 3 weeks ago. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one and am happy to have the plus money with the over here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +4 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 8:15 ET - The road team won both meetings in the regular season. Rams on a 2-4 ATS run in home games. Cardinals were 8-1 SU and ATS in road games. Los Angeles known for playoff disappointment. I also like Murray over Stafford at the QB spot as the latter has been a little turnover-prone of late and the former is such a dangerous playmaker. The Cards are offering line value here because there is a lot of anti-Arizona sentiment based on their late season fade but a lot of that had to do with some injury issues that have since improved. Other than the split against Arizona, Los Angeles went just 1-4 SU in games against teams that ended up in the playoffs this season. Also, the Rams had a pair of wins against two other teams (Colts and Ravens) that came by margins of just 3 and 1, respectively. The point is that there is a lot of value with grabbing the points here in my opinion and an outright upset would certainly not surprise me in the least. 10* ARIZONA +4 |
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01-17-22 | Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 130 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois |
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01-17-22 | Flyers +180 v. Islanders | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
NHL TOP Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 @ New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET - This play is as much about a play against the Islanders as it is a play on the Flyers. We also get line value because Martin Jones is getting the start instead of Carter Hart in goal for Philadelphia. Note that the Flyers had a strong run before this losing streak and Jones was in goal for 3 of the wins and NONE of the losses in the 5-0-1 run! Jones has been a solid back-up this season and the Flyers lost his most recent start in OT. They also enter this game off 3 straight one-goal losses including one in OT. Philly has been right on the cusp of getting into the win column and yet falling just short. Here they will take advantage of facing an Islanders team that struggles to score goals. Both clubs struggle to score goals but it is the Isles that are -200 faves here and that just is not justified in my opinion. The Islanders have won 35% of their home games this season and the Flyers have won 35% of their road games this season and should have Ristolainen back to bolster the defense tonight. I'll take the big plus money here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 46 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - Decent football weather expected for this one with no precipitation, temperatures right around freezing and winds around a moderate 10 mph. Both offenses will have the playbooks wide open for this one. Now I know that the Steelers offense has struggled but the way I see this game playing out is the Chiefs getting a big lead and then we're going to see some extra scoring in garbage time for sure. Just like Big Ben had a big game in his final home game of his career two weeks ago, the Steelers also want to give him a good send off here and everyone will likely be doing their part in that regard. That means more points than you would likely expect from the Steelers here. Keep in mind, the Chiefs have allowed at least 24 points in 3 of last 4 games and that is part of the reason the over trend is 5-0 last 5 Kansas City games. Also, about that Steelers defense, it has not traveled well. Pittsburgh has allowed 33.4 points per game in last 5 road games. The Chiefs are favored by about two touchdowns here and given the above numbers and the situation with Roethlisberger airing it out in this game I feel certain, look for a 35-21 or 38-24 type game here. This should fly over as a 6th straight KC game tops the number. 10* OVER 46 in Kansas City |
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01-16-22 | Loyola Maryland v. Lehigh OVER 133 | Top | 69-57 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB In the Zone Sunday Top Play 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ 6 ET - This total has moved lower than it should be in my opinion and we have excellent line value here as a result. The Greyhounds have won 4 straight and 9 of last 11 so they are playing with a lot of confidence. Loyola Maryland, and not including OT points, has had only 3 games out of last 10 that have totaled less than the posted total on this game. The odds are in our favor to top this total because Lehigh also playing with added confidence from winning 5 of last 6 games. No the Mountain Hawks are not a great team by any stretch of the imagination but winning games and now playing again at home here, it all adds up to confidence and a good pace of play. Lehigh has averaged 78.4 points scored per game in those 5 wins. 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 102 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +3 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - You all likely know the traditional factor of a home team generally having a factor of 3 points in the line in the NFL. That said, this line is saying that these teams are equal even though Dallas finished 12-5 and won their division while the 49ers barely made the playoffs! San Francisco's 10-7 record placed them 3rd in their 4 team division. With all this said, you know where that places me on this game. When something does not look right most will just line up on that side where they feel there is a mistake and now they miraculously have some gift from the odds makers. It just does not work that way folks. Many may be enticed to play Dallas at home -3 here but in typical contrarian fashion I am on the other side of the public in this one. The Cowboys went only 5-3 at home this season and the Niners went 6-3 on the road. Also, SF won 7 of last 9 games and Dallas - other than 2 wins against Eagles in divisional battles - went 1-4 in games against playoff teams. This is another game where all the pressure is on the home favorite. In fact, the expectation is that if Cowboys don't make a run in this post-season there will be some coaching staff shake-ups. This is a lot of pressure on a team and Dallas has never been known for handling pressure well. Upset alert! 10* SAN FRANCISCO +3 |
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01-16-22 | Canucks v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Washington Capitals vs Vancouver Canucks @ 2:05 ET - Both teams off low-scoring efforts yesterday and I feel that has given us excellent line value here with this total dropping to a 5.5 in some of the big books. We'll take it in a non-conference match-up and with the Capitals off a 2-0 win in a very tightly-played physical low-scoring battle with the division rival Islanders yesterday. They now go from that to a non-conference opponent and plus the Canucks have allowed at least 4 goals in each of their last 3 games. Before yesterday's 4-1 loss, each of Vancouver's last 3 games - which did include a 5-2 win - totaled 6 or more goals. The Capitals, before the shutout win yesterday, had lost 4 straight and allowed 4.3 goals per game in those defeats and I feel strongly that we are going to see a game with a lot of open ice and quality scoring chances here given the back to back situation. Also, back to backs tend to test a teams goalie situation and that is another strength here as the shutout was from Vanecek yesterday and plus the Canucks used their #1 netminder, Demko yesterday. 10* OVER 5.5 in Washington |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
AFC East Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -4.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The Patriots could be hosting this game but they instead went 1-3 their last 4 games. The Bills could be on the road for this game but instead they got the job done and went 4-0 last 4 games. Also, the experience of last year's post-season run for Buffalo and QB Josh Allen is huge. Allen had a 5-1 TD-INT ratio in last year's playoff run and that included a 3-0 ratio at home. Now he and the Bills take on a rookie QB Mac Jones making his first ever playoff start and it is on the road and it is in frigid conditions for a QB who played his college ball at Alabama. As for Allen, he played his college ball in Wyoming and certainly is no stranger to cold weather games. It will be frigid at Orchard Park Saturday and Allen and the Bills stay hot and make it 5 straight SU wins and, along the way, they get the cover too! 10* BUFFALO -4.5 |
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01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 220 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee |
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01-15-22 | Blue Jackets v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 6:05 ET - Even though Elvis Merzlikins is expected in goal for the Jackets tonight and he is off a shutout win over Carolina Thursday on national TV, this Florida team continues to be one of the most dangerous in the NHL in terms of offensive zone production. The Panthers have won 7 of 8 games and scored a ridiculous average of 5.6 goals per game during this red hot run. The Blue Jackets used to be known as a defensive-minded grinding team but that has not been the case of late. Columbus, prior to their shocking shutout win over the Hurricanes, had allowed 4.2 goals per game last 12 games. The Blue Jackets have scored an average of 4 goals last 3 games. I like the fact Florida was in action last night which means a goalie, Spencer Knight, coming off the covid list makes the start tonight or if he ends up unable to go it will be Evan Fitzpatrick making his first ever NHL start or Sergei Bobrovsky having to start the 2nd game of a B2B. I am looking for a barn-burner between these teams considering the situation heading into this one. 8 STRAIGHT Panthers teams have totaled at least 7 goals and I am not bucking that trend here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 121 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 121 in Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Longhorns @ 2 ET - This total just too low and putting too much emphasis on the solid defensive numbers these teams have and not enough on their respectable production on offense. Both teams average 70 to 71 points per game and shoot 45 to 47 percent from the field. Also the history of this series shows 24-9 run to the over including 13-2 run to the over in games played at Iowa State. Yes some of that history is older history but the numbers impress nonetheless and looking at shorter term the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings! I look for the Cyclones, off B2B losses following their grinder win over Texas Tech, to absolutely push a little harder here in this one and that means a better pace. They can't afford to just sit back in this one as they need a win. As for the Longhorns, they have scored 66 or more points in 5 of last 6 games. Texas helps push this game into the 130s the way my numbers see this playing out. 10* OVER 121 in Texas |
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01-15-22 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - I know these clubs just played to a 1-0 final in Manchester United's win in the FA Cup Monday but I am looking for more goals in the rematch. Note that Manchester United has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight EPL matches and Aston Villa's recent low-scoring ways had a lot to do with the opponents they faced. Even with that Aston Villa's last 3 matches in EPL action averaged 3 goals per match. If the visitors concede at least once here - and the odds favor that happening - but if they still find a way to win (they are favored with good reason here) then we are looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. That said, a total at 2.5 goals and about a pick'em price either side of the total is an excellent value in my opinion. Manchester United still has a lot of doubters and is out to prove they can make a march up the table. The hosts here also with plenty to prove as they have lost 3 straight matches. The point is both clubs very hungry for the full 3 points in the table! So, as an example, if this match gets knotted up at 1 apiece it is simply highly unlikely that either club sits back and plays for a draw. That is just happening here. So look for at least a 2-1 result here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-14-22 | Stars v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are seeking revenge for a 6-5 shootout loss at Dallas last Thursday. Even though Jake Oettinger is expected in goal for the Stars tonight and he has been playing well, this Florida team continues to be one of the most dangerous in the NHL in terms of offensive zone production. The Panthers have won 6 of 7 games and scored a ridiculous average of 5.4 goals per game during this red hot run. The Stars used to be known as a defensive-minded grinding team but that has not been the case of late. Dallas has allowed 3.4 goals per game last 11 games but scored 4 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. Just like last week's game look for another barn-burner between these teams in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 161 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 161 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6 ET - I know this is a big total but it is fully justified because both teams very comfortable playing at a high pace and the home team is a big dog for a reason here. The point is that the Cards can run and gun all they want because they think they have a shot on their home floor but the reality is this Buffalo team is just too much. So I look for the Bulls to win by the spread posted on this game - right around it so no play - but I expect the result to be a ton of points. Ball State has allowed 80 or more points in 5 of last 9 games. Buffalo is off a win in which they held their opponent to 64 points but this was preceded by the Bulls allowing 88 points or more in 3 straight games! Buffalo has scored at least 76 points in 6 of last 7 games. So they consistently score well but consistently allow a lot of points too. Ball State has scored an average of 84 points in their last 6 wins but allowed 83 points in their last 8 losses. Per the above you can see that no matter which way this game goes as to the side, we should see a ton of points and I look for a frenetic pace in this one. 10* OVER 161 in Ball State |
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01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |
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01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks OVER 223.5 | Top | 99-118 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-13-22 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes fired up off an OT loss to Florida Saturday and because they then flew to Philly for a game against the Flyers only to find out it ended up being postponed. No doubt in my mind the Canes are angry and going to take out their frustration on the Blue Jackets here. Prior to the 4-3 OT loss, Carolina had won 5 straight games and scored an average of 5.4 goals per game. The Blue Jackets have allowed an average of 4.3 goals per game last 16 games. Columbus will struggle again here in their own zone but the key to the over is them having success at the other end and they will. The Blue Jackets have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last dozen games and will be competitive enough here to send this flying over the total. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-13-22 | Stanford +7.5 v. Washington State | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Stanford Cardinal +7.5 @ Washington State Cougars @ 5 ET - There has been a line move toward the Cougars here and it is likely due to the fact that the Cardinal are in a perceived flat spot coming off their big upset win versus USC Tuesday. So I get it. I understand it. But I feel we have value here as the line is just too much. Stanford is 9-4 SU this season and their last two losses were by 7 or less points. They won't be too tired from Tuesday's game because it was their first game since prior to Christmas. Keep in mind too that Washington State is off a bit of a big win too as Saturday they got their first win at Utah in 75 years. The Cougars have not won back to back games since November. Also, the Cardinal had won 3 straight in this series before a loss in the most recent meeting between these teams so some payback is on order here. Even if they fall short SU look for the points to be enough for the ATS cover for the road dog in this one. 10* STANFORD +7.5 |
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01-12-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Not only does Charlotte have revenge here from the Sixers having dominated recent meetings in this series, the Hornets also catch Philly with a big game against rival Boston on deck. I love this game for the situational aspects and Charlotte comes into this one hot with wins in 6 of last 8 games and 1 of those 2 losses was by just 3 points. The Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run last 9 games and I am fully expecting at least another cover here and an outright win would truly not be a shock by any stretch of the imagination! There is a reason the 76ers, even though at home and on a 7-game winning streak, are priced so low here. In other words, don't let the line fool you! Grab the points with the underdog. 10* CHARLOTTE +5.5 |
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01-12-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Puck Line +1.5 goals +130 @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - Yes the Bruins are the much better team and much hotter team and the Canadiens are coming back from a long layoff due to covid issues. However, this is an Original Six rivalry match-up and Montreal is anxious and excited to finally be taking the ice again. The Habs energy is going to be a difference maker in this one and Boston is off a big win at Washington where they fell behind 2-0 but then went on to win 7-3. This is a flat spot situation for the Bruins after the big win over Alex Ovechkin and Company plus with having a perceived tougher game versus Flyers on deck. No team has fewer wins (7) on the season than Montreal so it is hard to blame Boston for overlooking them here but it will prove to be a mistake. The road dog surprises here and I don't see them losing by more than a 1-goal margin. 10* MONTREAL +1.5 +130 |
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01-12-22 | Villanova v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 139.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - Look for Xavier to be very focused on the defensive end here. Revenge game from a 71-58 loss at Villanova just two games back. Also, the only other time the Musketeers were off a loss this season they won their next 59-58 in a grinder. Now I know Xavier has played one game since the loss to the Wildcats but you get the point - the Musketeers know how to turn the heat up on defense when necessary. Speaking of turning up heat when on D, the Wildcats have allowed just 57.3 points per game last ten games. Look for a grinder in Cincinnati tonight. 10* UNDER 139.5 in Xavier |
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01-12-22 | Norwich City +1.5 v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play Norwich City +1.5 -115 @ West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - Of course it goes without saying that West Ham is the much stronger club this season. However, ironically the original match was postponed because Norwich had covid and injury concerns but now it is West Ham that has the issues and yet this match will be played. As hungry as Norwich is to taste victory and with the hosts being the more short-handed club, I like our chances here with the road dog on the goal line. We can get +1.5 goals at a reasonable price and I look for Norwich to build off their 1-0 win in English FA Cup action over the weekend. That was a confidence boost this club needed and remember a few games back in English Premier League action they lost by only a 1-0 count to a tough Manchester United club! Note that West Ham has won only 4 of 9 home matches this season and has a positive goal differential of only +3 in their 9 home matches. The point is that this match is likely to be much closer and more hard-fought than many are expecting. 10* NORWICH CITY +1.5 -115 |
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01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 214.5 | Top | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington |
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01-11-22 | Canucks v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - When teams are off long layoffs it tends to lead to some rust on the ice for the skaters and this in turn seems to create more odd man rushes and good scoring opportunities as guys miss assignments or end up out of position. That is why we have seen some extra high-scoring games when teams are off layoffs and here is a case where Vancouver has not played a game since New Year's Day and they have to do battle with a high-flying Panthers team! Florida has won 5 of 6 games and here they are off a big OT win at Carolina. That was their 6th straight game totaling at least 7 goals since the NHL returned from the pause and those games have averaged 8 goals in regulation time! Also, in home games Florida has seen 8 of their last 9 total 7 or more goals. They are such a dangerous team and I just don't see the Canucks, especially after a long layoff, being able to slow them down. At the same time, however, that was a big win for the Panthers over the Hurricanes over the weekend Florida could get caught a little flat-footed in their own zone after an emotional win like that. Don't be surprised if the Canucks score quite well in this one too. Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrvosky has seen the over go 11-4 in his home starts this season and he has allowed an average of 3 goals in his 5 starts since the NHL pause. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type game here per all of the above. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra v. Towson OVER 144.5 | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
CBB CBS Sports Network Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in Towson Tigers vs Hofstra Pride @ 5 ET - Similarity to yesterday's play in CBB here I am fading a line move as this one went from upper 140s to mid 140s and I love the value here. Towson struggled on the defensive end last season and it has continued this season but the Tigers at least are shooting a little better this season. As for Hofstra, their head coach has been out on medical leave so they have a co-head coach now in Speedy Claxton. If you recognize the name he was a star for Hofstra back in the day plus he played in the NBA including winning a title with the Spurs in 2003. The key here is hat Hofstra has played like his name "Speedy" for the most part this season! That said, and even moreso after the line move in this one, we should have another solid totals winner here! The Pride are averaging 79.3 ppg this season! The Tigers are averaging 71.8 ppg this season and, other than an "outlier" result versus Navy, have allowed 71 ppg last 5 games and you know Hofstra will push the pace in this one. Towson has big game at Elon, knocked them out of CAA tourney by 20+ point margin last season, on deck. The Tigers could get caught looking ahead here and the Pride will be trying to run them right of their own arena in this one. The result is a ton of points. 10* OVER 144.5 in Towson |
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01-11-22 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Brentford @ 2:45 ET - Southampton carries high-scoring momentum into this match after 3-2 win over Swansea City in the English FA Cup featured a lot of late scoring. Brentford also rolling with scoring confidence after a 4-1 win over Port Vale which was also an English FA Cup match. Although Brentford recently had some struggles with scoring goals in recent matches that had a lot do with a stretch of matches against Chelsea, Brighton & Hove, and Manchester City. If you average what those clubs are allowing per match this season it is 0.80 goals. As for Southampton, also dealing with injury issues at right-back at the present time, the Saints are allowing about double that at 1.5 goals per match. The point is that Brentford is going to have an opportunity to build off momentum here as they also did win most recent Premier League match 2-1 over Aston Villa after the aforementioned tough 3-match stretch. As for Southampton, prior to high-scoring victory over Swansea, the had played to a 1-1 draw against Tottenham but the was preceded by a 7-match stretch in which 6 of the matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Looking for a similar result here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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01-10-22 | Georgia v. Alabama +132 | Top | 33-18 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CFB Money Line Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide Money Line +132 vs Georgia Bulldogs @ 8 ET - There are multiple ways to look at the line in this game of course and I am going to talk to you about my angle on the ATS side but then grab the extra value here by utilizing the money line. Georgia is a helluva strong team of course. The Bulldogs were nearly 7 point favorites in the SEC Championship Game between these teams 5 weeks ago. The Georgia defense got embarrassed in that game and you know they will want to respond here. However, the odds makers know this too yet they priced Georgia as only a 2.5 point favorite. They knew the markets would back the revenge-minded Bulldogs and so they had to shade the line some. Sure enough an already-shaded line has been driven by the markets to a -3. Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and fading public perception. There is a reason this line was priced so low even though Georgia has revenge from SEC Championship Game as well as from losing the last National Championship Game 4 years ago in OT after rallying from a 13-0 halftime deficit. Don't fall for the trap line here folks. Not only is the Crimson Tide the play, we don't need any points. Money line top play here. 10* ALABAMA +132 |
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01-10-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +6.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - Yes the Knicks might get Kemba Walker back tonight but that is a question mark and he has played only 6 games since around Thanksgiving. He has quite a ways to get in getting back in to top form if he even plays tonight. I love the Spurs in this revenge spot. They lost at home to New York earlier this season by a double digit margin. They are hungry from a win after coming up just short in overtime at Brooklyn yesterday. Even though this is a back to back spot the game yesterday was an ultra early one and San Antonio is actually in pretty good shape for this one. New York has only 3 wins by more than a 3 point margin in their last 9 home games! The Spurs last two road trips ended with tough match-ups at Phoenix and at LA (versus Lakers) but they got the job done ATS in both games and actually blew out the Lakers in a SU win there. Another upset here would not surprise me in the least but we should get a least the ATS cover at a minimum. 10* SAN ANTONIO +6.5 |
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01-10-22 | Bruins v. Capitals -101 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Money Line -101 vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - Washington could get both Oshie and Backstrom back for this one. Based on morning skate looks like Oshie will for sure be back on the top line with Ovechkin for tonight's game. I love the Capitals in this spot. Washington has lost 3 straight but 2 were after regulation time including a SO loss at Minnesota Saturday in which the Caps allowed the tying goal with under a minute to go in the game. They will bounce back here and Washington has not lost 4 straight all season long! Also they have revenge against the Bruins from being knocked out of the post-season by Boston in May. This is a payback spot and the Capitals are catching the Bruins off a big win versus the rival Lightning Saturday. Off that 5-2 revenging win over the defending Stanley Cup Champs, Boston falls flat here. 10* WASHINGTON -101 |
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01-10-22 | Campbell v. Winthrop OVER 135 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Winthrop Eagles vs Campbell Fighting Camels @ 5 ET - I am aware that Campbell likes to play at a slower and more deliberate pace and they are highly functional based on strong offensive efficiency. However, the Fighting Camels are not going to march into Winthrop and dictate the game pace here. That said, the Eagles have scored well in all their games as a host this season expect for when they faced an SEC team. Winthrop was outclassed in that game but they are certainly not outclassed here against a Big South rival. That said, note that the Eagles have scored 78 points or more in all of their games as a host this season except the loss to an SEC foe. Also, last season Winthrop faced Campbell three times and went a perfect 3-0 and scored an average of 86 points per game! Considering the Fighting Camels returned the majority of their key scoring from last season and the Eagles, even with Prosser now as head coach, have been scoring well and will not allow this to turn into a grinder; I love the over in this match-up. The total dropped from upper 130s to mid 130s and that means even more value here. 10* OVER 135 in Winthrop |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:20 ET - Win and you are in! So this one pretty clear cut in terms of its magnitude for the post-season. That said, the winner is going to be the road team in my opinion and don't be fooled by the fact that the home team is an underdog here. Yes the Raiders have won 3 straight games but we will take a closer look at that 3-game win streak right after I remind you that Las Vegas had lost 5 of 6 before that 3-game run! So about those 3 wins, they faced a Colts team that got QB Wentz out of covid protocol essentially right before the game and it showed as Indy had their lowest yardage output of the season but clearly they were not ready for the game. The week before that the Raiders beat a Broncos team without QB Bridgewater and Denver was struggling on offense without him. The week before that LV beat a Browns team that was down to 3rd string QB and dealing with a covid mess. The point is that the Raiders got a ton of breaks during this 3-game winning streak and they had lost 5 of 6 before the string of good luck. Their luck runs out here as they face a QB that picked them apart in first meeting and is raring to go for the rematch as well. The Raiders finally face a healthy #1 QB and a rather healthy team overall that also is playing with a ton of motivation. The Chargers last 3 ROAD games against teams that are all now going to the playoffs were all wins and came by a combined score of 98 to 70. I look for another big road win here as the Raiders have had a season marred by off the field issues and problems and simply got lucky to even be in this spot. This is the week their luck has run out as this Las Vegas team - take a close look at them - simply does not have the look of a playoff team. The road favorite proves that on the field tonight! 10* LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -2.5 |
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01-09-22 | Red Wings v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Detroit Red Wings @ 8:05 ET - This is tough spot for both teams in terms of the goalie situation because it is a back to back spot. In terms of the skaters though, they should do just fine here. In fact, I am expecting big games from both teams offensively because both clubs were extremely outplayed yesterday and the Red Wings ended up suffering a shutout loss and the Ducks managed only 1 goal in loss to Rangers. Both clubs hungry to bounce back and will look to test the goalies they will face because Anaheim as both clubs have goalie concerns. The Ducks are without Gibson (covid) and Stolarz started yesterday. So that means Stolarz starts again in a back to back after facing about 40 shots yesterday and that is not appealing at all. Or it could be 21-year old Lukas Dostal making his NHL debut! Either way the Red Wings know they need to be peppering the goalie with shots in this one. The Ducks will also test the Detroit netminder here and since Nedeljkovic started yesterday that means it likely will be Thomas Greiss between the pipes for this one. He has struggled badly with a 1-6 mark on the road this season and that has helped lead the way to 6 of 7 overs in his road starts this season. Look for another one here and, regardless of who is between the pipes for the clubs in this one, there should be plenty of scoring in this back-to-back spot as both teams will be aggressive after yesterday's results and given the situation tonight. 10* OVER 5.5 in Anaheim |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 48 | Top | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
NFC West Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks @ 4:25 ET - The Seahawks and Cardinals each off huge wins. Seattle, of course, eliminated from playoffs but they are out to prove things with Russell Wilson at the controls and it showed in their 51-29 win over Detroit last week. They can prevent Arizona from even having a chance at the NFC West title by knocking them off here so you know they are going to pull out all the stops in that regard. However, the Cards are going to be tough to stop on their home turf and coming off the key 25-22 win over the Cowboys last week. That sets this one up nicely as far as turning into a high-scoring shootout! Arizona will take advantage of a Seahawks team that has allowed an average of 27 points per game last two weeks even though they faced bad teams from NFC North and the games were in Seattle! At the same time, the Seahawks will enjoy success as this is an offense that has had just one bad game the last five games and averaged 34.5 points in the other 4 games. The over is 4-1 in Seattle's last 5 games and I expect another one here. 10* OVER 48 in Arizona |
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01-09-22 | Spurs +11 v. Nets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +11 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 12:10 ET - Home game for Brooklyn means no Kyrie Irving. Nets struggling too as they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last 5 games. I know San Antonio also struggling but they are not the ones laying double digits here! The point is that Brooklyn has been struggling to win games let alone cover big double digit spreads like this. I know the Spurs are down some guys but they hung around against the 76ers for much of that game Thursday until Philadelphia pulled away late. The way the Nets are going, I just don't see them as being capable of pulling away like that in this game. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ Noon ET - Indiana is off a big win over Ohio State. Keep in mind though, that 16-point victory was a 4-point game with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Hoosiers, coming off a big win over ranked Big Ten foe, could absolutely be a little flat here. At the very least, their a little over-valued in this spot as a result in my opinion. Note that Indiana was only 4-3 SU last 7 games heading into that win over the Buckeyes. Minnesota just got blasted by Illinois by 23 points so the set up here in terms of line value is perfect. The Golden Gophers had entered that game against the Illini with an overall 10-1 record this season and the lone loss was by 8 points to a ranked Michigan State team. I feel the Gophers better than they are being given credit for here and we have big value with the big line. 10* MINNNESOTA +12 |
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01-08-22 | St. Mary's +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 43-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +3.5 @ Brigham Young Cougars @ 10 PM ET - In a game projected to be a tight low-scoring game there is extra value with having the points on your side. Both teams are strong defensively but what I like about St Mary's is their big trouble last season was poor shooting but they have better in that regard so far this season. The Gaels getting 3.5 points here because they are on the road but also I like the double revenge angle here as St Mary's returned most everybody from last season's team and they lost both games to BYU last season. Look for the Gaels to get some measure of revenge here against the Cougars and the best kind of revenge is payback for a home loss by handing that team a home loss. I expect an outright road win for the revenge-minded Gaels here at Brigham Young but will grab the point in case they fall just short. 10* ST MARY'S +3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 104 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Both these teams, just like much of the NHL, trending over in recent weeks. Look for that to continue here. The Hurricanes off a 6-2 win over the Flames last night but Calgary easily could have had more than two goals and certainly the Panthers will get more than that tonight. Florida is one of the highest scoring teams in the leagues and they match-up with a Carolina team that also has been finding the back of the net with great regularity! The Canes have won 5 straight games and scored an average of 5.6 goals in those five victories! The Panthers have won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 5.8 goals per game in those 5 games. Florida also has allowed an average of 4 goals last 7 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 128 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 6 ET - This total just too low. It has been greatly impacted by the grinder of a win that the Cyclones just had over Texas Tech earlier this week. The Sooners will dictate the pace here at home and favored by 6.5 points with good reason. The point is that Oklahoma hosting Iowa State plays out much differently than the Cyclones hosting the Red Raiders and this total is just far too low. Note that the Sooners have scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games this season. The Cyclones had scored 68 or more points in 10 of 13 games this season before the low-scoring win over Texas Tech. This game has high odds of finishing in the upper 130s given those numbers and yet we're dealing with a total in the upper 120s. I'll take it! 10* OVER 128 in Oklahoma |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +11 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:30 ET - The Chiefs can still get to the #1 seed in the AFC if they simply win this game and the Titans lose Sunday. While the former has a good chance (though I expect a tight game) the latter is highly improbable as Tennessee is also a double digit favorite this weekend since they are facing the Texans. Mentally, the Chiefs are not in the right frame of mind for a blowout win here. They blew their chance at the #1 seed by losing to the Bengals last week. There will be some carryover effect from that loss into this game. Also, KC's biggest concern here has to be staying healthy. The Broncos, on the other hand, have no such concerns here and I expect them to be flying all over the field with aggression as they host a long-time division rival that has had their number for about 5 or 6 seasons in a row now. Yes, the Broncos have a tough QB situation but this team is highly motivated here, will be going hard at home in this one, and can throw caution to the wind in an all-out effort to finish the season with a win over a hated division rival. I will grab the big points here as I expect this game to be decided by just a single score. Chiefs need to stay healthy. They know their chances of the #1 seed are very slim and it is better to avoid injury here. 10* DENVER +11 |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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01-07-22 | Flames v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET – The Flames should have Markstrom back between the pipes tonight but he has struggled recently. Overall, Calgary has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of last 5 games. However, the Flames also had scored 4.3 goals per game in last 3 games before an ugly 4-1 loss at Tampa Bay. Now the Flames take on a red hot Canes team and I am expecting plenty of goals in this non-conference affair as a result. The Hurricanes have won 4 straight games and have scored an average of 5.3 goals per game in the 4 wins. Carolina has won 8 of 9 games and is playing with a lot of confidence but the Flames solid offensive production will test them here too and as a result we should see a high-scoring affair in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 |
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01-07-22 | Northwestern State v. Incarnate Word OVER 147.5 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Northwestern State Demons @ 2:30 ET - Both teams off losses in which they did not shoot well yesterday in tournament action in Katy, TX. As a result, the betting markets are attracted to the under in this match-up. However, both these teams are horrible defensively, allow opponents to play at a fast pace, and in a meaningless tournament game (both lost yesterday) that means it is unlikely we are going to see a sudden uptick in defensive performance here. Also, against fellow Division I schools, these teams both have consistently given up a ton of points all season long. Look for that trending to continue here and, as a result, this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word |
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01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York |
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01-06-22 | Blue Jackets v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New Jersey Devils vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - Both teams have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games of late with no end in site based on goaltending and other key factors. The Devils have seen 7 of their last 8 games total at least 7 goals! New Jersey has lost 7 of 10 games thanks in large part to allowing 4.2 goals per game during this stretch. As for Columbus, 8 of their last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Blue Jackets have lost 10 of 13 games and allowed 4.5 goals per game during this stretch. This is a big total posted on this game but, as you can see, it is absolutely justified. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 |
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01-05-22 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 222 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston |
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01-05-22 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:05 ET - I am aware that, although Auston Matthews has been cleared for tonight's game for the Leafs, Connor McDavid did not clear protocols for tonight's game for the Oilers. That has resulted in this total settling in at a 6 instead of a 6.5 and I am happy to grab the additional value here on the over in this one. Look for Edmonton's other skaters to pick up their game knowing McDavid is out tonight. That said, the Oilers should score their fair share of goals in this one. The big issue for Edmonton has been keeping the puck out of their own net. The Oilers have lost 10 of last 12 games thanks in large part to allowing an average of about 4 goals per game during this stretch. Edmonton is off a 4-1 loss to the Rangers but did score an average of about 4 goals per game in the 5 games before that ugly defeat. The Maple Leafs have won 9 of 12 games and, incredibly, they have scored an average of about 5 goals per game their last 11 games! You can see why a 5-4 game here would not be shocking at all and also why a 4-3 type game appears likely at the least. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 final in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Toronto |
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01-05-22 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Wednesday CBB 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +2 @ Florida Gators @ 7 ET - We are getting line value here because the Crimson Tide are on the road. Alabama is ranked and is the better team in this match-up and Florida is not as strong as Gators teams we have seen in recent seasons. So long-term approach here is bettors see Florida as a small home favorite and are induced to jump all over it but Bama is really the stronger team this season and could contend for the SEC Title. Also, the Gators game at Ole Miss for last week was cancelled so this will be Florida's first game in two weeks. They are likely to be rusty here as a result. The Tide, on the other hand, are off a win versus Tennessee last week and that gives them an edge here as at least they have seen some recent action. I know the Crimson Tide have slipped up lately in terms of ATS results but that is merely serving to give us line value in this spot. Keep in mind Florida's last game was a big win but over an out-classed Stony Brook foe. Prior to that the Gators were on a 1-4 ATS run. The Tide has played the tougher schedule so far this season too. 10* ALABAMA +2 |
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01-04-22 | LSU +7 v. Kansas State | Top | 20-42 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers +7 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 9 ET - The Wildcats scored a COMBINED total of just 27 points in their last two games of the season and that included one against a Longhorns team that had a bad season. The Tigers scored 27 points in EACH of their last two games of the season and that included an outright upset win over a solid Texas A & M team which made sure LSU got their 6th win and is the reason they are playing in a bowl game. I look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Kansas State has gone from being a -2.5 favorite to now being favored at a full -7 as of game day. Yes there are reasons for the line move but long-time followers know I love to fade line moves and grab the value on the other side. Certainly the Cats played a respectable schedule as they play in the Big 12 but the Tigers and the SEC schedule was even tougher. Too much value to pass up on with the big points being offered here. 10* LSU +7 |
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01-04-22 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 104-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Spurs most recent game only went over the total because of overtime. However, high-scoring games have been the norm for San Antonio for quite some time now as they are on a run of 9-4 to the over. That is strong enough for sure but how about the Raptors torrid streak of overs? They are on an incredible run of 7 straight overs! The Spurs enter this game off B2B off days and fired up to respond after the OT loss at Detroit while the Raptors also enter this game rested as they were off yesterday. Fresh legs and trending toward high-scoring action means I will not pass up on this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Toronto |
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01-04-22 | Flames v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - There has been a high-scoring trend in the NHL since the season resumed after a break due to the holidays as well as covid. Certainly these two clubs have been a part of the high-scoring trend and it extends further back as well. As for the Flames, they have won back to back games and scored at least 5 goals in their last two games and both were wins. Calgary enters this game with confidence after the B2B high-scoring wins but before the 5-1 win at Chicago Sunday, the Flames did allow 4 goals in each of last two games. The Panthers know plenty about allowing too many goals too. Florida is off a 5-2 win but this was preceded by allowing 4.5 goals in last 4 games. The Panthers have scored an average of 6 goals per game in their 3 games since returning from the time off. They are one of the highest scoring teams in the league but Calgary will give them a run for their money in this one and that has me looking for a 4-3 type game here. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year Monday NFL 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - The Browns are eliminated from playoff contention while the Steelers remain alive with a win tonight though they would also have to win plus get unlikely help next week. The point is that Pittsburgh is playing with playoff pressure while Cleveland is not. The Browns have now gone from being a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog in this one. The line swing of about a full TD is simply too much. Keep in mind, the Steelers are a rival for Cleveland. Just as their playoff hopes were squelched yesterday, the Browns would love nothing more than to end Pittsburgh's playoff hopes tonight. There is no pressure to do so but they would love to do it. So you have a road team playing loose and relaxed and hungry for an elimination win over a rival. You have a host that has not even scored a first-half touchdown in ANY of their last FIVE games and is playing with playoff pressure here. The Steelers are a bit lucky they are even 2-3 SU in their last five games and I look for them to struggle to score points again in this one. The Browns will deliver a "shocker" tonight as Pittsburgh is the team that needs to win but, to this day, the betting markets have just never fully gotten a grasp on this. The reaction is that if a team needs to win it will win and that is just not how this stuff works. This is particularly true in a rivalry game. I'll happily take the points in this one! 10* CLEVELAND +3 |