Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-10-23 | Rotherham United v. Norwich City -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200234: English Championship League Monday 10* Top Play Norwich City Goal Line -1 goal vs Rotherham United @ 10 AM ET - Both clubs back on track with wins Friday but Norwich has a huge edge on home pitch here and is working hard to get back into the Premier League. They are on the cusp of a playoff position but again need maximum points in the table this week. Norwich City was relegated from the Premier League last season and they continue to battle to get back into it. They have had only modest success on their home pitch this season but that is an extra motivator here as well and they will take advantage of a road-adverse side in this one. Rotherham United is 2-9-9 on the road this season with a league-worst 11 goals on enemy pitch in those 20 matches. They have been outscored 28-11 on the road and I look for the motivated hosts to roll in this one. 10* NORWICH CITY Goal Line -1 |
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04-09-23 | Avalanche v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:35 ET - We should see plenty of goals here. Back to back spot for Avalanche and they used Georgiev between the pipes last night and that means Francouz likely to get the start here. This will be his first action in two months so he could be rusty. Also one of his last starts before getting hurt was against the Ducks and he allowed 4 goals. I expect Anaheim to have some success here in terms of scoring on home ice but they can not stop anyone. The Ducks have allowed 4.5 goals per game in their last 13 games and lost 12 of those games. The Avs, however, also have been giving up a lot of shots on goal (including last night at LA) and they have been having some bigger goals allowed numbers of late. That plus a stellar offense is why Colorado has had 4 straight games total at least 7 goals. The red hot Avs have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 17 games. Looking for a 5-3 type final here given the line on this game and the situation. Expecting 8, should get at least 7 and I am going 10* OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
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04-09-23 | Bruins v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins @ 6:05 ET - The Flyers did have 27 shots on goal yesterday but were shutout by the Islanders in New York. Philly has lost 6 straight games and allowed at least 4 goals in all 6 losses. Now they face the best team in the league and are likely to give up plenty of goals. However, the Bruins defense may not be performing at its peak level as Boston just can't wait to get the post-season underway. This is a key here because the Flyers will surprise here with some scoring on home ice. Philadelphia has scored at least 3 goals in 9 straight home games! Not only that, they have averaged 4 goals scored per game during that 9-game stretch of solid scoring at home. As for the Bruins, they have won 12 of 13 games and scored an average of 4.5 goals in the 6 road wins that are a part of those 12 victories. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-09-23 | Jazz +16.5 v. Lakers | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz +16.5 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 3:40 ET - So this game is priced this way because the Lakers have some motivation to win. However, 4 of the Lakers top 5 scorers on the injury report. Even if those guys, including LeBron and Davis, play here I have a very important question to ask? What would happen if the Lakers - already guaranteed of being involved in at least the play-in round - have a late double digit lead and keep guys like LeBron and Davis on the floor and one of them gets a season-ending injury? That can't happen, right? Exactly! That is why I love the big points here because the Jazz rested a bunch of guys versus Denver because they are dealing with some injury issues too but Utah rallied for the win. Yes, that game was at home and the Nuggets rested starters in the 4th quarter of that one. However, the point is that Utah just would not quit. They played hard and their coach has whoever is on the floor playing hard for him. This Jazz team is still playing competitive basketball and while that will not mean a SU win here I do feel an ATS cover is in the cards for the big dog here. Lakers have to be careful about injuries here and the Jazz do not as their season is over anyway. They will continue to compete hard here just like they showed against the Nuggets. Also, this is game #82 of the season of course and the Jazz have had only FIVE losses ALL SEASON by more than 16 points! 10* UTAH +16.5 |
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04-09-23 | Rangers v. Cubs OVER 8 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers @ 2:20 ET - Jon Gray is a solid pitcher for sure but this is an afternoon road game at Wrigley Field and the wind, though light, will be blowing out and the Cubs are swinging hot bats. The 10-3 Chicago win yesterday was the 4th time last 5 games that a Cubs game has totaled at least 13 runs! Those 4 games averaged 14 runs and we just need 9 runs here to be a winner. Note that Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs and he struggled in his first start this season which was also here at Wrigley Field. This Rangers team can hit and since Taillon use to pitch in the American League, the Rangers have extra familiarity with him and they have hit him well. Taillon was 5-0 in day starts last season but got hit at a .276 clip and that was 43 points higher than his average in night games. This is a tough match-up for him and the Cubs bullpen has not been good either. So I look for the Rangers bats to get back on track here but also the Cubbies lineup stays hot at this home and this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs |
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04-09-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -52 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This one we have to go over the 2.5 goals rather than just 2 goals but it gets us a nice plus money return and the odds are favoring a good shot at 3 goals here. These are two solid scoring clubs and CFR Cluj is off a 1-1 draw last week but this followed 6 straight matches in Liga 1 action totaling at least 3 goals! Those 6 matches averaged 4.3 goals apiece and I expect more of the same here! FCSB has seen 6 of last 10 matches total at least 3 goals. These 10 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 4 straight FCSB road matches have totaled 3 goals. This one will too as there is plenty of firepower for both these clubs! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj |
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04-09-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200189: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a scoreless draw versus Chelsea. That seems to be the norm these days for that series. Also, Liverpool has been struggling recently but a lot of this is due to a road-heavy schedule. At home this season Liverpool has been fantastic and scoring plenty of goals. However, the same holds true for league-leading Arsenal on the road. Their away form has been fantastic and they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match as visitors. Liverpool also topping that 2-goal average as a host. That said, the value here is with the over as we only need something along the lines of a 2-1 final to be a victor buy many sings are pointing to a wild 3-2 type affair. This Arsenal club has never been more confident and they will be on the attack here. However, we all know that Liverpool is a different animal when they host and they will be answering Arsenal goal for goal in what should be a highly entertaining affair. Before the scoreless match with Chelsea, Liverpool allowed 4 goals in their most recent match. However, they also scored 7 goals in their most recent match as a host! Arsenal is a scoring machine right now and their last 7 matches across all competitions have averaged 4 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that! 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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04-09-23 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 130 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - With Hodgson replacing Viera as manager at Crystal Palace they were relentless on the offensive last week. Look for continued attacking here as they face a Leeds United backline that tends to be leaky. However, Palace has been struggling on the road and Leeds has a knack for scoring well again recently. Even though Palace will be without Zaha, I expect them to continue what they started last week under Hodgson - a very aggressive effort in the offensive zone. The last 4 Leeds matches have totaled an average of 4.5 goals and there is certainly nothing average about that. Crystal Palace won the first meeting this season 2-1 and also is off a 2-1 win last week that, based on shots on goal, could have seen even a lot more scoring. Palace did concede 4 goals in most recent road match and I am expecting a 2-2 type battle given all these numbers and the new attacking style for Palace because they are now have Hodgson patrolling the sideline. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 |
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04-09-23 | Arges v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani vs FC Arges @ 8:30 AM ET - Someone knows something here. The total here is a 2 with heavy juice on the over. In fact some books have moved to a 2 and 1/4 on this total. But this does not make sense when you consider that FC Arges has not scored a goal in 5 straight matches! However, do note that FC Arges has conceded 1.6 goals per match last 7 matches. Also, FC Botosani has conceded 1.4 goals in last 8 matches but has also scored 1.6 goals per match in last 8 home matches. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal each of their last 8 matches as a host. FC Botosani is favored with good reason but you can also see why I am expecting FC Arges to surprise and get on the board here. That said, looking for a 2-1 final and if it would happen to end in a 1-1 draw we at least get a push here but I am looking for 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani |
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04-08-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Rangers @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets are so bad you might be concerned about them scoring enough for us here. However, Columbus on home ice is generally better in the goal-scoring department then when on the road. Also, the Blue Jackets just can not stop anyone. Rangers should score a pile of goals here and this one gets ugly! Columbus has allowed 5 goals per game last 20 games! That is an insanely ugly goals against average. In terms of goal-scoring though, the Blue Jackets have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 6 on home ice. As for the Rangers, they have allowed at least 2 goals in 7 straight games. 5-2 or 5-3 sounds about right here. Jackets have allowed more than 5 goals too on many occasions recently and Rangers likely to be relentless on the attack after a tight OT loss in most recent game. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-08-23 | Panthers v. Capitals OVER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 +110 in Washington Capitals vs Florida Panthers @ 7:07 ET - The Panthers have been scoring extremely well but also tend to give up plenty of scoring too. That is why Florida has now seen 11 of last 14 games total at least 7 goals. I know Lyon has been playing very well in goal and that has played a role in the current win streak too. However, he will face a Washington team playing with no pressure and that should get back on track offensively here. This is one of their last few home games and they are just playing for pride but you know that Ovechkin and company certainly have plenty of that and they should respond with some scoring at home after some recent struggles. At the same time, I can not trust the Capitals to slow down anyone. The Caps have allowed 4 or more goals in 9 of last 11 games. Washington has seen 9 of 11 games total at least 7 goals and this one should too. I think Lyon's bubble finally bursts here and the Caps get to him early and often but, at the same time, the Panthers offensive juggernaut will not be stopped. 10* OVER 7 +110 in Washington |
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04-08-23 | Reds v. Phillies -131 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 4:05 ET - This line is low because of the pitching match-up. But the fact is Lodolo is still a young hurler just like Falter is and the latter is at home for the Phillies here. So lets talk about the overall lineups and the bullpens. The Phillies are the better team. They are the defending NL Champions that just were facing the Astros in the World Series about 5 months ago. I do realize their lineup is not as strong now as it was then because they lost Hoskins for the year and Harper is still out. However, have you looked at the Reds lineup? The Phillies still have the much stronger lineup. Philadelphia should have had a lot more runs yesterday. Note the Phillies won 5-2 and this was despite going only 1 for 10 with runners in scoring position. Look for Philadelphia to cash in more of their opportunities today and I look for them to pull away as this game goes on. Some of Cincinnati's best hitters don't do so well with off-speed stuff and especially from a crafty lefty. Falter will keep them off-balance. The Phillies have enough solid hitting to do some damage against Lodolo as well as a questionable bullpen. Philadelphia's bullpen is the stronger pen and looked strong yesterday. They are at home where, including post-season, I believe they have now won 21 of last 28 games! Reds known for struggling at the plate when on the road. Last season was ugly and this season likely will be the same for Cincinnati. This is just their 2nd road game of the season. I project another road loss for them. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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04-08-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some extra juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. 27 of 32 matches for Farul this season have totaled at least 2 goals. They are a fantastic club at home. Farul has scored an average of 2.5 goals in their last 13 matches at home in Constanta! As for Universitatea Craiova, 17 of last 25 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. The big key here too is how these clubs play when they are matched up! Each of their last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. With this match being played at Stadionul Central Academia Gheorghe Hagi in Ovidiu (suburb of Constanta) by the Black Sea, the beautiful scenery will be especially beautiful if you like scoring! This one should see plenty of goals as both clubs have been playing well of late but are off draws and they want more here! OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul |
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04-08-23 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Southampton | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #200185: EPL Saturday 10* Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 -125 @ Southampton @ 12:30 ET - This should be a complete blowout. Manchester City did defeat Southampton early this season in the reverse fixture 4-0. However, the club with revenge here is actually City! Why? Because they got knocked out of the English Carabao Cup 2-0 by Southampton in January! This will be payback and goal machine Erling Braut Haaland is expected back for this one for City. Note that Manchester City enters this match having won 7 straight matches across all competitions. Not only that, the aggregate score of those 7 matches is 27 to 2. I know Southampton has been competitive of late and has not had many multi-goal losses recently but this one sets up differently. This Manchester City club will be relentless on the attack and has too many weapons for this Southampton team that is in last place in the table this season. In fact, note that City has not allowed a single goal to a last placed club in any of last 14 meetings with a club at the bottom of the table. Also, they have won 10 straight in those fixtures against bottom-laden clubs. Road team rolls here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 -125 |
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04-08-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. Universitatea Cluj has seen 10 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those 10 matches averaged 3.1 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is off a 1-0 loss but this followed a stretch in which 6 of 9 matches totaled at least 3 goals. Those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece and I am looking for a 2-1 type of match here. The two matches between these clubs in the regular season averaged 3.5 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj |
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04-08-23 | Newcastle United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 103 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Newcastle United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle is hot again but Brentford has only one loss on home pitch this season. This should be a great match as a result. Note that Brentford's average home match this season equates to a 2-1 final as they have scored 28 and allowed 14 in their 14 matches as a host this season. As for Newcastle, they are averaging scoring 1.64 goals per match this season. 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled 6 goals and we only need half that to be a winner here! We certainly should get to the 3-goal mark as Newcastle has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and is on a 4-match winning streak including a 5-1 win Wednesday! Also, Newcastle has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions. Brentford is off a shutout loss at Manchester United but this followed a stretch in which they scored 14 goals in 8 matches. Now they are at home and will bounce back after being held scoreless but they also struggle to stop a Newcastle United club that is certainly flowing well again now on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -9 | Top | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -9.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers will not play Embiid tonight. Even though he played last night, Embiid was part of an embarrassing home loss for Philly versus the Heat. You can sense that maybe the 76ers do not care so much if they get the #3 or #4 see as the Cavs are nipping at their heels but Philadelphia is playing soft. The Hawks will not play soft here. This game is very important for Atlanta based on playoff implications and the Hawks have been going strong for awhile and that continues here. Atlanta has won 3 straight overall and also 6 of last 7 home games. Also, each of last two Hawks wins have been by 18 points and 4 of last 6 Atlanta wins have been by at least 13 points. Each of last two losses (and 3 of last 4) for Philadelphia have been by 13 points. So I know this line is big but don't let it scare you away. The Sixers last 5 losses by an average margin of 15 points. 10* ATLANTA -9.5 |
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04-07-23 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 3:05 ET - The Yankees should hit Kremer hard here. He struggled in his day games last season and that was his bounce back season as, overall, 2021 was rough. Then, to open this season, Kremer got hammered by the Red Sox. As for New York's Schmidt, like Kremer, he got rocked in his first start this season. Also, last season was his first season with significant MLB action but most of that was out of the bullpen. Overall, he was better at home and in night games. This is a day game and he is on the road so you can see why Schmidt likely to struggle too. The Yankees have not scored as well last two games but averaged scoring 6 runs per game in their first 4 games this season. The Orioles off a low-scoring loss but averaged 6.4 runs scored in first 5 games this season. I feel we have some extra line value here with this total being held lower than it should be because both teams off lower-scoring results. The way these teams opened the season, and considering this match-up, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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04-07-23 | Burnley v. Middlesbrough OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
2022-23 English League Championship, Regular Season, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know this is a key top of the table battle but this match also features the two highest scoring clubs in the league. I expect plenty of scoring here as Burnley needs to get back on track after a scoreless draw in most recent match. Keep in mind they had scored 3 goals in each of two prior matches in league action. However, they also got throttled and allowed 6 goals to Manchester City in recent English FA Cup action. 8 of last 10 Middlesbrough matches have totaled at least 3 goals! In fact, those 10 matches have averaged 3.8 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 goals here and hit that average but certainly 3 or more are likely given a determined effort from the host on their home pitch but also a strong effort from a Burnley outfit focused on their scoring output here! In the reverse fixture at Burnley just prior to Christmas, the match was scoreless at half but ended a 3-1 victory for the visitors. The momentum of that 2nd half goal-scoring will permeate this entire match in what should be an exciting affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers -4 | Top | 129-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 vs Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers are virtually (but not yet) locked into the #3 seed for the playoffs. With a win here they can lock it up and this is Philly's final home game of the regular season. So I know they are off the big win versus the Celtics and they wanted that game badly, but they have an upcoming two game road trip on deck. That ends their regular season and is against a couple of playoff teams that could also be motivated to win. That said, I think Philly wants to lock things up tonight and then get some rest. They dominated Miami the last time they faced them and can do so again here. The Heat are 5-11 last 16 road games and 2 of those wins were recent ones against the lowly Pistons. Also, another of the wins was against another non-playoff team. That said, Miami certainly has not shown a knack for winning on the road and I look for the Sixers to lock up the #3 seed with a solid win tonight. The last 5 losses for the Heat all by 9 or more points and the average margin of defeat was 14.4 points. More of the same on tap here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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04-06-23 | Senators v. Panthers -1.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers -1.5 +100 vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:07 ET - The Panthers have revenge for a 5-2 loss at Ottawa last week. Since then, this Florida team is riding a red hot goalie (Alex Lyon) and playing like they have a fire lit under them. They have won 4 straight games and I am projecting a win by a multi-goal margin here. The Panthers most recent win was just a 2-1 final but this followed 5 of 6 wins having come by a multi-goal margin. Also, their last 7 wins have come by an average margin of 3 goals! The Senators have lost 3 straight game and the handwriting is on the wall now for them. The Sens will miss the post-season and though some of their recent losses have been by just a single goal, this revenge game sets up to be blowout city as the Panthers will be relentless on home ice! 10* FLORIDA -1.5 goals +100 |
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04-06-23 | Blue Jackets v. Devils OVER 7 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 +110 in New Jersey Devils vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - I know Vitek Vanecek is off a strong start for the Devils but he has been a bit up and down. This could be a flat spot for New Jersey too because they just beat the division rival Penguins convincingly. So the Devils defense in front of Vanecek (or Blackwood if he starts) may not be the best as they had to give a strong effort against the Penguins. Now they could have a letdown defensively against a Blue Jackets club that is one of the worst teams in the league. Vanecek actually had his best months earlier this season and he had a 2.86 GAA in December, 2.75 GAA in February, and 2.85 GAA in March. He has a 3.00 GAA so far this month and the point is he has been good but not great. The Devils should score very well here as they take on a league-worst Blue Jackets team in terms of goals-allowed. New Jersey has scored 4 or more goals in 5 of last 9 games and now faces a Columbus team that has allowed about 5 goals per game last 19 games! This one has the makings of a 5-3 type game. The Blue Jackets have scored an average of 3 goals per game last dozen road games. 10* OVER 7 +110 in New Jersey |
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04-06-23 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals @ 4:10 ET - The Rockies are expected to send Kyle Freeland to the mound for their home opener. It will be chilly in Colorado for this game but it is an afternoon game and temperatures will be warming into the 50s so it is not bad. In the thin air of Denver the ball carries so well and the weather is good enough today to see solid run-scoring here. Freeland had a 6.00 ERA in home starts last season. Historically he struggles more in home starts as Coors Field is hitter friendly and he also struggles more in day games. His ERA in day games in recent seasons: 5.51 ERA, 5.91 ERA, 7.94 ERA, 5.80 ERA. The Nationals are expected to send Josiah Gray to the mound for this one. He got rocked in his first start this season plus he has a 5.26 ERA in his career. Gray allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings in his lone career start at Coors Field and this one could be worse. Rockies should get their sticks going at home here as they are a different team when they are at home. At the same time though, Colorado known for giving up big runs here. In their road games this season, Rockies already allowing 5 runs per game and Nationals are allowing 6 runs per game and now take to the road for the first time this season. I expect each team to get to 5 runs here and that would equate to at least a 6-5 final as, of course, the game can not end 5-5. Solid value here. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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04-05-23 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 7 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 10:05 ET - The Ducks can stop no one. They have lost 10 of 11 games and allowed an average of 4.6 goals per game during this stretch. Anaheim will try to put up a fight here as they are on home ice and scored 4 goals at Calgary to wrap up the road trip that just finished. The problem for the Ducks is they are weak defensively and in goal and the Oilers will pile up goals in this one. Anaheim, has seen about half their home games since the end of January total at least NINE goals and we only need 8 to be a winner and 7 for a push. Considering Ducks are at home and facing one of the best and most dangerous clubs in the league in terms of offensive production, this one has over written all over it! Oilers have averaged scoring 5 goals in their 3 meetings with Anaheim this season. The Ducks just got shutout 6-0 at Edmonton but averaged 3 goals in their first two games against the Oilers this season and should bounce back with some scoring on home ice here. Edmonton has scored an average of 4.5 goals per game last 11 games and had allowed an average of 3.7 goals per game last 9 games before surprising success in goal last 3 games. I just do not see that continuing here. Also, off the 3-1 win at LA last night (key battle of playoff teams) look for the 2nd game of the B2B against a non-playoff team to play out much differently! This will likely be Campbell in goal since Skinner played last night and Campbell just shutout the Ducks when he last faced them but this was at home and was a rarity for him. He entered that start having allowed at least 4 goals in 7 straight games! More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in Anaheim |
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04-05-23 | Wizards v. Hawks -10.5 | Top | 116-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -10.5 vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The Wizards are done and eliminated from the playoff contention and not even playing half their guys including their stars. I am not fond of laying big points but I sense a complete blowout here from a Hawks side that needs to keep winning and will surely show no mercy here at home against a divisional foe. Washington has lost 13 of 17 games. They got hammered again last night while the Hawks got a big win at Chicago last night. Atlanta has had some recent tight home wins over playoff-level teams (each by 2 points) but this was preceded by 5 of last 7 home wins coming by at least 13 points and I am expecting another big blowout home win here. Keep in mind they did not have Trae Young or De'Andre Hunter last night in the win at Chicago. Either or both could return here. Even if they do not, I like our chances with the Hawks as they will still have a lot more firepower on the floor then a Wizards team that has quit on the season. 10* ATLANTA -10.5 |
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04-05-23 | Lightning v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 105 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:35 ET - I know these teams have played low-scoring games in their 2 match-ups this season as well as the final five of their six games in their playoff series last year. However, I see an over here. The Rangers can score particularly well at home but the Lightning are going to be ready too answer them here. Also, neither team is getting the most elite level of goaltending like they were last season. Look for goals here. Note that the Rangers are off a 5-2 road win. Also, in terms of home ice games, they have seen 11 of last 14 games total at least 6 goals! As for the Lightning, they have won 3 straight games and have scored at least 4 goals in all 3 victories but, prior to this Vasilevskiy truly was not as sharp. The Bolts had lost 4 straight games and allowed an average of 4 goals last 6 games. Watch this one surprise with a high-scoring game like we was in the 6-2 Rangers win to open up the playoff series last year. I think the fact Tampa Bay has been off since Saturday night leads to fresh legs here for the offensive attack but possibly some sloppy defense and rusty goaltending after the layoff. 10* OVER 6 in New York Rangers |
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04-05-23 | Brentford v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - Manchester United has not been scoring goals of late in the league matches and is well aware of that fact and is ready to do something about it here. Brentford is off a 3-3 draw with Brighton and has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 8 matches. Manchester United, across all competitions, has been scoring plenty of goals but has actually not scored. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 6 matches outside of league action. I am sure that Man U is going to respond here on their home pitch but I also expect Brentford to continue their solid scoring ways. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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04-05-23 | Newcastle United +115 v. West Ham United | Top | 5-1 | Win | 115 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Newcastle United Money Line +115 @ West Ham United @ 3 ET - I know that West Ham has a home record that is roughly equivalent to the road record of Newcastle. However, the fact is we are getting line value here because Newcastle is on the road and I am confident they will get the win here based on current form. Once again, as they were earlier this season, Newcastle is displaying top form and looks like one of the best clubs in the league. Even though West Ham is off a win versus Southampton, they did not look great in that match and their recent action in league action includes shutout losses by a 4-0 count to Brighton and a 2-0 count to Tottenham. I am not convinced the Hammers can step up against quality competition when that competition especially when that club is in top form. I like what I am seeing from Newcastle again and they are so strong defensively and will do enough on the attack here as well to secure a win and get the all-important 3 points in the table. 10* NEWCASTLE +115 |
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04-05-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:35 ET - The Red Sox and Pirates stayed under the total yesterday as the game was 3-1 in the top of the 3rd but then basically died after that in what was a 4-1 final. We get some line value today because this total opened up at a 9 and has dropped to an 8.5 which is partially due to yesterday's light-hitting results as well as the fact the wind is expected to be blowing in today. That said, I am happy to take advantage of the added value here. Note that Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller is 12-29 with a 5.04 ERA in his career and he is off a season-opening start in which he walked 4 and allowed 6 hits and all of this was in less than 5 innings of work. As for Boston's Corey Kluber, he has regressed season after season since those big seasons of 2016, 2017 and 2018 with Cleveland. Also, Kluber had a similar start to Keller in terms of struggling in his season-opening outing. Kluber allowed 6 hits and walked 4 and this was in just 3 and 1/3 innings of work. Remember last season opponents hit .274 against him and now he is pitching his home games that is one of the best parks in the majors for hitters. Look for him to struggle again here just like he did against the Orioles in the opener. 10* OVER 8.5 in Boston |
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04-04-23 | Celtics v. 76ers -2 | Top | 101-103 | Push | 0 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Boston Celtics @ 8 ET - This is a crucial game for the 76ers as the Celtics always seem to have their number. The Sixers really need to get a win over Boston before the post-season and this is their last chance after losing each of the first 3 meetings of the regular season. Look for Philly to take advantage of Robert Williams being out for this game and Jaylen Brown not quite at 100% (and might not even play as a result). The Sixers are the healthier team and get the big win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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04-04-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:10 ET - Pirates games have averaged 9 runs so far this season. Red Sox games have been very high-scoring so far this season. Yesterday's 7-6 loss just another typical Boston game and I am looking for the Pirates and Red Sox to do it again today on Tuesday as they meet in the 2nd game of this series. Contreras was solid at home last season and in day games. However, this match-up is the exact opposite as he is on the road in a night game and this situation saw him struggle more. As for Boston's Pivetta, he was hit much harder at home and Fenway Park is known as a hitters park for good reason. 19, 17, 14, 13 are the totals runs for the Red Sox games thus far and I look for another wild one tonight as both starters get lit up and who is on the mound to start is not critical as both bullpens have proven susceptible to start this season as well. 10* OVER 9 in Boston |
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04-04-23 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* OVER 7 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets should score okay here again just like they did in Sunday's win over Ottawa but also I expect the struggles of Columbus in the goals conceded department to absolutely continue in this one. The Blue Jackets entered Sunday's game (4-3 win over the Senators) off a 7-0 loss to Florida Saturday and other than one aberration - a 2-1 loss to Boston - Columbus has allowed 5.4 goals per game since early March! Toronto should respond here off a 5-2 home loss as well. The Maple Leafs have scored an average of 4.3 goals the last 4 times they have entered a game off a loss. More of the same on tap here. 4 of last 6 Maple Leafs home games have totaled at least 7 goals. Those 4 games averaged 8 goals and I expect we will see at least that here. Columbus is allowing an aerage of 4 goals per game on the season and has been particularly bad the past 5 weeks and I am looking for a 5-3 type win here for the Maple Leas. 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-04-23 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - A lot of turmoil in Chelsea with the departure of Graham Potter. Look for that to lead to more of an unstructured match than you might otherwise expect here. A little bit more of a wide open affair and this match-up involves rival Liverpool. Look for this match-up of heavyweights to result in plenty of goals. Chelsea has had a disappointing campaign and could be exposed by Liverpool here but I also look for them to respond on their home pitch too and the result should be plenty of scoring. Chelsea has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches. But also, prior to a shutout loss in most recent match, Chelsea had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches across all competitions. Liverpool's last match with Chelsea was a scoreless draw but will be looking to respond here off a 4-1 loss to Manchester City and that means we should see solid scoring here from a determined Reds club. Liverpool, like Chelsea, has been out of form of late and comes in off 3 straight losses across all competitions. This followed Liverpool averaging 2.5 goals scored in 6 matches across all competitions. There have been some scoreless battles between these clubs in recent meetings across all competitions. But the most recent meeting which Chelsea hosted in Premier League action was a 2-2 draw. Look for something similar to that here given the current state of these two clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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04-04-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:45 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as 4 of last 5 Bournemouth matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, 4 of last 5 Brighton & Hove matches have totaled at least 4 goals. Incredibly, those 4 matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. We only need 3 goals to be a winner here. I am confident we will get that as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table here. I do not expect either club to settle for a draw. I expect both clubs to score at least 1 goal considering their recent form. This means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Brighton is part of a 4-club logjam in the 6th through 9th position in the table that sees the clubs separated by just 2 points! Bournemouth has 27 points in the table just like 3 other clubs and this has them just 1 point above the relegation line right now. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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04-03-23 | Coyotes v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 in Seattle Kraken vs Arizona Coyotes @ 10:07 ET - The Coyotes are starting to fade after being so competitive for a long stretch. They have lost 7 straight games and have allowed, not including OT of course, 4 goals per game during this stretch. In a weird scheduling quirk, they have yet to face Seattle this season but now 3 of their final 5 games are against the Kraken. Last season 2 of the 3 totaled at least 7 goals and the 3 match-ups averaged 7 goals per game. Seattle is off a 3-1 loss but has been averaging big goal-scoring on home ice and certainly should take advantage of a bad Coyotes defense and weak net-minding to get the job done here. In Seattle's last two home games they scored just one goal once and held their opponent to just one goal in the other game. However, prior to these two games as a host, the last 9 Kraken games on home ice averaged 8 goals apiece and we need just 7 to be a winner here. We certainly should get that. OVER 6.5 in Seattle |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
NCAA Monday San Diego State Aztecs +7.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 9:20 ET - We have two chances to win this. That is the beauty of playing dogs in spread sports. One way of course is the outright upset but the other is just that if the dog falls short of the upset you can still get the all-important cover. The key here is we are getting 7.5 points which is a sizable amount. If a game is very tight late and then there is late fouling, etc. you will rarely see the final margin climb to 8 or more. That said, I really like our chances here because I do feel this game is going to be tight late and a great finish. I know Connecticut has been so hot and winning by huge margins and that this is, therefore, a contrarian play. But the fact is San Diego State has won 32 of 38 games this season and the final 5 of those 6 losses have ALL been by a single digit margin! The way I see it, the Aztecs are in this game all the way and fully capable of pulling off the shocker. Happy to grab the generous offering of points here. SAN DIEGO STATE +7.5 |
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04-03-23 | Golden Knights v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 5.5 in Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:07 ET - Vegas hosted Minnesota over the weekend and won 4-1 but I am expecting a lot more scoring here. Prior to that low-scoring win, the Golden Knights 8 of last 9 games had totaled at least 7 goals. Those 9 games averaged 8 goals apiece! Vegas has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last dozen games but their goaltending is not a strength, particularly on the road. We only need 6 goals to be a winner here and the Wild 9 of last 11 games, prior to the 4-1 loss at Vegas, had totaled at least 6 goals. Minnesota tends to score better at home and I expect the Wild to bounce back here on home ice but they also will not be able to shut down the Golden Knights here. OVER 5.5 in Minnesota |
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04-03-23 | Giants v. White Sox OVER 8 | Top | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Monday OVER 8 in Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants @ 3:10 ET - This total dropped from an 8.5 to an 8 and I also like the fact the Giants just faced some tough pitching in the Bronx against the Yankees so many are doubting their lineup right now. Look for them to surprise against Kopech and the White Sox here. The issue for San Francisco, however, will be the fact that Desclafani is likely to get roughed up here. He has struggled in day games in recent seasons and overall is coming off an injury-plagued season too. As for Kopech, he is coming off a rough spring as he was winless in his 5 starts and had a 7.11 ERA. Desclafani had a 5.59 ERA in the spring. Don't be surprised if both pitchers get a little roughed here and that plus the line value on this drop of the total makes this a solid play the way I see it. Solid chance each team gets to 4 runs here and that would equate to nothing less than a 5-4 final. OVER 8 in Chicago White Sox |
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04-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton +0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
English Premier League Monday Everton Goal Line +0.5 -130 vs Tottenham @ 3 ET - Everton has been a different team since Sean Dyche took over from Frank Lampard. Also, I know they are in the relegation zone but they have been a respectable home club all season long. Tottenham has struggled away from home. Both teams have some issues off the field right now but how about Antonio Conte stepping away from Tottenham? The Hotspur are in a dogfight near the top of the table and I feel that this club which has struggled some on the road will possibly have a one-match speedbump with Conte's sudden departure and Cristian Stellini again stepping in on an interim basis. Note that, across all competitions, Tottenham has just one win last 5 matches. Everton is on a 3-match unbeaten run and only has 3 losses last 8 matches. They have been even better since Dyche took over and I love the value of having the plus half a goal on our side here. EVERTON +0.5 -130 |
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04-03-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Always nice to get an over 2 in soccer but taking advantage of the plus money here with the over 2.5 in this one. Sepsi actually has seen 9 of last 15 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 15 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and there is nothing average about 3 goals in Romania Liga 1 action! So the points is we have some nice line value here because I expect Sepsi to play well on their home pitch here but they have a big challenge here with facing an FCSB club that defeated them 1-0 in each of the two matches this season. I know those low-scoring results may not seem conducive to an over here but this one is all about the current trending and the fact FCSB is off a 1-1 draw after that 1-0 victory over Sepsi but these two matches preceded by a high-scoring run. FCSB 5 of 7 matches prior to those two totaled 3 or more goals. Those 5 matches actually averaged 4 goals apiece and it shows the potential for fireworks in FCSB matches. In the regular season Sepsi averaged 1.6 goals per match and FCSB averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match. I have this match pegged for a 2-1 final. OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi |
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04-03-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 in CS Mioveni vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10:30 AM ET - These clubs just met early last month and CS Mioveni got the 2-0 win. This is part of a stretch in which 8 of 9 matches for CS Mioveni have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 8 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 3 goals is what I am looking for here as the hosts have allowed 26 goals in last 16 matches. As for Chindia Targoviste, they are off a 1-0 loss at FC Botosani but this followed a stretch in which 15 of last 17 matches totaled at least 2 goals and those 15 matches averaged 2.7 goals apiece. We have a great shot of this match getting to 3 goals and I love the value here with the posted total on this one available at 2 goals. OVER 2 in CS Mioveni |
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04-02-23 | Ducks v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Ducks @ 8:05 ET - The Ducks did register 34 shots on goal in last night's shutout at Edmonton so they did give a solid effort though held scoreless in the 6-0 loss. After that ugly defeat, the Ducks have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 13 games. The Ducks, just like last night's game, would like to play the role of spoiler here so they will give a strong effort against a divisional foe playing for a playoff spot as is the case for Calgary. Anaheim's season has long been over but they can still get up for a game like this in which they have a shot to spoil the hopes of a divisional foe on their own ice. So this game is in Calgary and the Flames should score plenty but don't be surprised if the Ducks give a big effort and hang around in this one with some solid scoring of their own. Anaheim continues to give up piles of goals but Calgary actually has allowed 3.3 goals per game last 9 games. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type final here. The Flames have seen 6 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals and this one will too. OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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04-02-23 | Phillies v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Sunday OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 7:08 ET - The first two games of this series have totaled 37 runs! The Rangers have been on fire at the plate. The projected match-up here is a pair of southpaws with Bailey Falter matched up with Martin Perez. Though the lefty dynamic could change things a little bit after the first games of this series featured all right-handers, I feel that the hot hitting will still continue. The Phillies bats should wake up here as they have some guys in their lineup that have enjoyed success against Perez plus they will go with a lineup heavy on right-handed lumber. Perez was very strong last season against lefties but not as dominant against righties. Also, it was a bit of a career year for Perez in terms of his performance and I am not convinced he will repeat such success this season. As for Falter, he throws strikes and pitches to contact and is not overpowering. That all sounds like it will lead to disaster against this Rangers lineup the way they are swinging the sticks right now. In other words, a lefty that can be crafty at times but is still rather young and unpolished and is not overpowering...this is not a recipe for success against a team that has scored 27 runs in the first two games of this series. We get value here with a low total as I like our chances that each team gets to 4 runs here. That would mean a game that must end 5-4 at least and that would lead to a winning ticket for us. OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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04-02-23 | Mavs v. Hawks -3 | Top | 130-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Atlanta Hawks -3 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 6:10 ET - The Hawks are at home off a loss and that is a situation that has seen them go 7-2 the last 9. Atlanta just lost by double digits at Brooklyn and the Hawks should be aggressive and focused in this one as a result. I like Atlanta to bounce back here at home as they host a Mavericks team that is really out of sorts right now. Dallas has now lost 6 of last 7 games and 15 of last 21 as they plummet in the standings. Making matters worse for the Mavs here is the fact that this is a B2B spot. Taking a look at the other side of this equation, the Hawks are still in a key must-win situation as they need to improve their position in the standings and make sure they get into the post-season and they will surely go strong here at home. Note that Dallas has been solid at home but actually is 10 games below .500 on the road with an ugly 15-25 record. I have no hesitation here with investing in the Hawks off an ugly road loss to bounce back big at home. ATLANTA -3 |
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04-02-23 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 or 7 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators @ 6:07 ET - The Blue Jackets should score okay here since they are at home but also I expect the struggles of Columbus in the goals conceded department to absolutely continue in this one. The Blue Jackets are off a 7-0 loss to Florida yesterday and other than one aberration - a 2-1 loss to Boston - Columbus has allowed 5.5 goals per game since early March! Prior to yesterday's home shutout, the Blue Jackets had scored 3.5 goals per game in last 4 home games so I do expect them to respond here in that regard. Ottawa should respond here off shutout loss as well. The Senators just lost their most recent game 3-0 but this followed a stretch in which 14 of 18 games totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same on tap here. OVER 6.5 or 7 in Columbus |
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04-02-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Both clubs off draws as Universitatea Craiova off a 1-1 final and CFR Cluj off a 2-2 final in their most recent matches. Odds are strong we will again see each one of these clubs both score and concede on Sunday. Universitatea Craiova was off a 2-1 win prior to that draw and they have scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. CFR Cluj was tied with Farul for highest-scoring club in the league as they average 1.8 goals per match. The recent action for CFR Cluj continues to be very high scoring and I expect more of the same here. Each of the last 6 matches involving CFR Cluj have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that. Love the fact that getting to just 2 goals gets us at least a push here but absolutely expecting 3 or more goals and a solid win. Keep in mind, CFR Cluj had only 3 draws in 30 league matches in the regular season. That is only a 10% draw rate and I see strong odds that each team scores at least once here and all of these factors considered you can see why I am then expecting at least a 2-1 final as a draw is unlikely. OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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04-02-23 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle seeks revenge for a 2-0 loss to Manchester United in February's English Carabao Cup final. I do expect Newcastle United to score well against a Man U side that has allowed 2 goals per match on the road this season in league action! However, though Newcastle is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season in league action, so too is Man U. Also, Man U will take advantage of a Newcastle side that has allowed at least one goal in 8 straight matches across all competitions. I like the fact that Newcastle is back on track with B2B 2-1 victories but also allowed 2 goals in each of their 3 matches before these wins. Man U, since the calendar flipped the page to 2023, has played 22 matches across all competitions. 16 of the 22 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Also, those 22 matches have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Fully expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United |
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04-02-23 | Southampton v. West Ham United -135 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Sunday West Ham United Money Line -135 vs Southampton @ 9 AM ET - This is a big battle at the bottom of the table as both clubs hungry for the full 3 points and an escape from the relegation zone where they are both entrenched right now. I like the home pitch edge here for West Ham as well as the fact they carry some momentum from their recent successes in UEFA Europa Conference League action. This is in stark contrast to a Southampton club that has struggled away from home. They have scored only 1 goal in their last 4 fixtures away from their home pitch and that goal was on a penalty kick. In their 14 road matches in EPL action this season, Southampton has totaled only 9 goals. The Hammers have nearly double in one less home match as they have 17 goals on their home pitch in 13 matches there in EPL action this season. The hosts get it done here and clamp down on the visitors whose road frustrations continue here. WEST HAM money line -135 |
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04-01-23 | Ducks v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10:05 ET - Edmonton off a 2-0 win versus Los Angeles but this certainly is more likely to be an aberration. The Oilers, prior to that 2-0 victory, had seen 8 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals. In fact, those 8 games averaged 9 goals apiece. As for the Ducks, they have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last dozen games. The first two meetings between these teams this season each totaled at least 7 goals. Now this is the 3rd of 4 meetings and you know the Ducks would like to play the role of spoiler here so they will give a strong effort against a divisional foe playing for the top spot in the division. Anaheim's season has long been over but they can still get up for a game like this in which they have a shot to spoil the hopes of a divisional foe on their own ice. So this game is in Edmonton and the Oilers should score plenty but don't be surprised if the Ducks give a big effort and hang around in this one with some solid scoring of their own. OVER 7 in Edmonton |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Top Play Miami Hurricanes +5.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 8:49 ET - The Huskies have been on a tear. Of course the Hurricanes have too or they would not be here. However, what I mean by a tear is that UConn has not just been winning, they have been dominating teams. That has led to very solid line value here as Connecticut is now overvalued. It is only natural that the Huskies would end up over-priced here after all their big wins. The Huskies have won their 4 games by an average of 22.5 points. Now they face a Hurricanes team that has not only won 29 of 36 games this season, the last 4 regular season defeats they had all came by a margin of 3 or less points and and average margin of defeat of only 2 points. We get great value here and I will not pass this up. The Canes are hot enough and scoring well enough that no team's defense is going to stop them in their tracks right now. They are so well-coached and have a never say die attitude they have displayed so many times that I just can not see them coming up short here. If they do, look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. The Hurricanes have scored 82 ppg during their current 13-2 run. Now think of how blistering hot the Huskies have been but realize they have averaged 79 ppg last 12 games. All you hear anyone talking about is UConn but you can see why the data and the value both are in support of a very strong play here on a Canes team that is flying under the radar in my opinion. Top Play MIAMI +5.5 |
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04-01-23 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Columbus off a VERY RARE low-scoring game as they lost 2-1 at Boston. Note that this followed a stretch in which 10 of 11 Columbus games had totaled 7 or more goals. In fact, those 11 games averaged 9 goals per game and there is nothing average about that! Florida has had 9 of 11 games total at least 7 goals. Those 11 games averaged 8 goals per game. You can see why I am expecting at least 7 in this one. OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -2.5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 vs Florida Atlantic Owls @ 6:09 ET - The Aztecs have twice as many losses as the Owls. However, San Diego State is favored for a reason here. The defense of the Aztecs is the difference here. They have won 8 straight games and allowed only 56 points per game during this stretch. The Owls have won 11 straight games and allowed 65 ppg in their last 9 wins. As you can see, 65 ppg allowed is solid but is not 56 either! Hats off to FAU on a fantastic season but they are the lowest seed team left in the tourney and this is a bargain price on a tough Mountain West team that faces a much tougher regular season schedule than this Conference USA foe. SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 |
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04-01-23 | Phillies -122 v. Rangers | Top | 3-16 | Loss | -122 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
MLB Saturday Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 @ Texas Rangers @ 4:05 ET - The Rangers had an insane 9-run bottom of the 4th versus the Phillies in Thursday's season opener. Texas was outscored 7-2 by the Phillies except for that 9-run 4th. Now that is not say the Rangers were not deserving of the win or that the complexion of the game did not change after that. But the point is that Philadelphia was not so bad except for one disaster half-inning. Look for the Phillies to respond in a big way here. Wheeler is their top pitcher and has a low BAA in recent seasons. Eovaldi coming off a solid season but look at his BAA numbers and they do not compare to Wheeler's. I expect Eovaldi to get lit up by the Phillies lineup that is still strong, even without Hoskins and Harper! As for Wheeler, he is certainly capable of dominating this start. The Phillies blew a 5-0 lead in that 11-7 loss Thursday. They were strong last season when coming off big losses. I look for that trend to continue here. Wheeler had a 1.50 ERA in his 2 starts against Texas last season. The Phils should bounce back big here and they offer solid money line value here at a low price with their ace on the mound. PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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04-01-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #206813 Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta @ 2:45 ET - Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the most recent one totaled 3 goals in a 2-1 Farul win at Constanta. Now, in a play-off match-up, I look for another high-scoring match and will take advantage of this over available at 2 goals for a -135 price which is very reasonable to have the added value of an over 2. Note that 18 of last 21 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 18 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. As for Farul, they are one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. Farul has seen 23 of last 26 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 26 matches have averaged 3 goals apeice. OVER 2 goals -135 in Rapid |
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04-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 +100 in Chelsea vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea had hit rock bottom not too long ago with a 2-0 loss to Tottenham. However, they have since turned things around in a big way with 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 matches. Chelsea has averaged scoring 2 goals in their last 4 matches. Aston Villa's last 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals per match. I know Chelsea has some injury issues here but they are battling hard and will be ready to get rolling again at home. They had a disappointing draw before the international break so I look for them to be a little more ruthless here and they are favored for a reason. However, can't see them completely shutting down an Aston Villa squad that has scored in 17 straight matches and average 1.7 goals scored in this 11 matches. Great value with this total. OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Chelsea |
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04-01-23 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove have scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches. Brentford is known for being a scrappy bunch and should be tough to beat here. The Bees have only one loss last nine matches and Brentford, other than that one loss, has scored an average of 2 goals last 6 matches. So two clubs rolling with confidence but Brighton at home and with an attack-minded manger. That said, this one likely to be a high-scoring battle and I like the value of this total at 2.5 goals. OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton |
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03-31-23 | Rockies v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Friday OVER 8 in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies @ 9:40 ET - The Rockies pounded out 17 hits yesterday. Couple that with the fact the Padres are in bounce back mode and facing a Rockies pitcher that had a rough spring training and that they have hit hard in recent seasons, I look for plenty of runs here. Freeland has been absolutely rocked by the Padres each of the last two seasons and their newest addition, Bogaerts, pounded out 3 hits in yesterday's loss. The rest of the team will help him today and we'll see plenty of runs. Even though I respect Martinez, I still feel strongly that the Padres right-hander will get hit hard by the Rockies as they bring momentum from yesterday's game. Martinez gave up 22 hits in 16 innings in last season's meetings with the Rockies. Freeland faces a Padres lineup made stronger with the addition of Bogaerts and his past struggles versus San Diego bodes well for a Padres bounce back here. So both teams score well as I also like the fact 4 of Colorado's runs yesterday were against the relievers. OVER 8 in San Diego |
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03-31-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Friday Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - Raptors are motivated to win and that is keeping this line low. The key is that the Sixers have not locked in their playoff position just yet either so they will continue to be motivated for seeding purposes. Then you must factor that Philly is at home. Note that the Raptors have been awful on the road. Not only 12-24 on the season away from home, Toronto has lost 6 of last 7 away from home! The only win came in overtime and the 6 losses featured 5 by at least a 7 point margin. The average margin of the 6 defeats was 11 points and that sounds about right here. The 76ers are getting healthier again and are at home here and they have won 26 of last 33 home games. Their last 9 home wins have come by an average margin of 10 points and this should be another solid home win here as they take advantage of the Raptors road struggles. PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
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03-31-23 | Rangers v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres are starting a goalie making his NHL debut and he is jumping all the way up from Northeastern University for this start. Devon Levi will be facing a Rangers team that is off a 2-1 loss last night and will be fired up to bounce back. New York had won 7 of 8 games before that loss and scored an average of 5 goals per game in those 8 games. Buffalo has seen 17 of last 23 games total at least 7 goals and I expect more of the same here. Jaroslav Halak has been solid for the Rangers overall but has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 games. Of course New York is favored for a reason here. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 4-3 final here. The Sabres have scored at least 3 goals in 8 of last 11 games and will take advantage of facing Rangers in a B2B spot but, as per usual, Buffalo will struggle to stop the opposition. The result is a high-scoring game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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03-31-23 | VfL Bochum v. Eintracht Frankfurt -1 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday Goal Line Frankfurt -1 -115 vs Vfl Bochum @ 2:30 ET - Frankfurt needed the international break to hit the reset button while it could have taken some of the momentum away from Vfl Bochum. A big key here is the home road dichotomy as Eintracht Frankfurt has outscored opponents 27-13 at home and has 7 victories on their home pitch this season. Vfl Bochum is off just their second road victory of the season and has been outscored 35-9 away from home. No team has more road losses than Vfl Bochum with 11 on this season. That said, the money line is too pricey for my liking but we'll grab the value on the goal line here and I fully expect a solid win for the hosts in this one. FRANKFURT -1 -115 |
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03-31-23 | Petrolul 52 v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206801 - Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Good value with this total available at over 2 goals. These are the top two clubs in the play-out this season in Liga 1 action in Romania. Both won their matches last week and both delivered clean sheets. Though neither club surrendered a goal last week and their most recent meeting this season ended 1-1, I like the fact that Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 10 matches prior to B2B wins via shutout fashion! Also, U Craiova 1948 has scored an average of 1.7 goals per match last 9 matches. They are hosting here and will be tough at home but Petrolul Ploiesti continues to fight hard in the play-out! Also, the hosts have allowed about a goal per match this season and, prior to this most recent win, were off a loss in which they allowed 4 goals! OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 |
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03-30-23 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in San Jose Sharks vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:35 ET - Vegas is expected to start Brossoit is goal for this one. He is off a respectable outing but has not been used a whole lot in the Vegas platoon system. That said, a Sharks team that is at home and facing a division rival will bring their A game here and should give Vegas some trouble. Speaking of trouble however, San Jose had been a defensive and goaltending disaster prior to a shocking 3-0 win in their most recent game. Prior to that, the Sharks had allowed nearly 5 goals per game in a horrible 1-14 stretch. San Jose now faces a Vegas team that will be angry off a loss. Prior to the 7-4 defeat, the Golden Knights had won 11 of 13 games. The Golden Knights have allowed nearly 4 goals per game their last 8 games. Vegas has scored 4 goals per game last 10 games. Look for a highly entertaining affair as the Sharks will be charged up for this one and it should get to at least the 7 goal mark. OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas +2 | Top | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
NIT Thursday North Texas Mean Green +2 vs UAB Blazers @ 9:30 ET - Mean Green 30-7 this season and have allowed 55 points or less in regulation time 8 of last 9 games. The Blazers beat North Texas in the C-USA Tourney after UNT took both regular season meetings. That said, the perfect revenge for the Mean Green would be getting the NIT Championship win over UAB. The Blazers also playing solid defense and are known for that but they have allowed an average of 67 points in regulation time of their last 8 games. As mentioned in my write-up for the match-up with Wisconsin in the semi-finals, this North Texas team is loaded with confidence and the set-up here is perfect for revenge with confidence never higher after the way the Mean Green closed out the win over the Badgers with dominant 2nd half play. UAB is a solid team for sure, of course, but look for the Mean Green to ride their stifling defense on the way to winning the NIT Championship Game Thursday as Blazers also had a little extra taken out of them with their win over Utah Valley State requiring OT Tuesday. Keep that in mind too...the Mean Green had to beat a solid Big Ten team to get here while UAB faced Utah Valley State. NORTH TEXAS +2 |
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03-30-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are off a rare home loss so they will be relentless here. Boston had scored an average of 4 goals per game in winning 7 straight games prior to that loss. Facing the Blue Jackets will help Boston get right back into the win column but Columbus has averaged 3.3 goals scored per game last 15 games so they can enjoy some success in that regard. The problems for the Jackets is they struggle to stop anyone and, in this case, they now try to stop the best team in the league coming off a home loss. The Bruins will punish this Blue Jackets team that has allowed 5 goals per game last 13 games. A 5-3 final sounds about right here but all we need is 7 goals and I certainly expect to get that tonight. OVER 6.5 in Boston |
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03-30-23 | Phillies v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
MLB Thursday OVER 6.5 in Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 4:05 ET - We get a low total of 6.5 here because Aaron Nola and Jacob deGrom are both highly respected pitchers and deservedly so. However, Nola got rocked in his final spring training start and contract extension discussions stalling out could be effecting his psyche. As for deGrom, he has been dealing with an issue in his left side and will be on a pitch count here. The Rangers lineup looks much improved. The Phillies lineup, even without Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins, looks ultra dangerous especially with the addition of Trea Turner. Both teams have some hitters coming in hot from spring training success. Last but certainly not least the wind is expected to be blowing out at a pretty good clip for this one. We get line value because of the big name pitchers involved but I feel all of the above variables including the weather should help lead the way to a game that gets to 7 runs at least. OVER 6.5 IN Texas |
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03-29-23 | Mavs v. 76ers -4 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Philadelphia 76ers -4 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers have lost 3 straight games for just the 3rd time this season. They have NEVER lost 4 straight games this season. Also, Harden has been out for a few games but I would not be surprised to see him back tonight. Additionally, Embiid missed the game against Denver Monday but now with extra rest and the fact he is in the MVP race, I feel certain he will be back for this game. Either way, I do like the Sixers here at home as Dallas has been struggling quite a bit of late. The Mavericks are off win but this followed a 5-13 stretch for Dallas as the losses keep piling up including 7 of 9 games being defeats prior to the win at Indiana. The Mavericks beat the 76ers the last time these teams met in Dallas and that was in early March so the Sixers surely have not forgotten this and will be out for revenge here. Irving and Doncic each had 40+ points in that game and the Mavs still barely won the game. Of course that says a lot and I like the odds that Philly again responds and avoids what would be a 4th straight loss for the first time this season. PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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03-29-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 7 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers @ 7:37 ET - The Maple Leafs are off a 3-2 win at Nashville but this followed 8 of 9 Toronto games totaling at least 7 goals. Those 8 games averaged 8.3 goals apiece. More of the same on tap here as the last time the Leafs met Florida the game was a 6-2 Toronto win last week. The Panthers enter this game with 8 of last 9 totaling at least 7 goals. These 9 games have averaged 8.2 goals apiece. That is why, even though of course I wish we had a total of 6.5 here, even at a 7 is still good value and I am expecting 8 or more goals per the above. OVER 7 in Toronto |
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03-29-23 | Islanders v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 5.5 in Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET - The Islanders 7 of last 9 games have totaled at least 6 goals. We have great value with this total, in my opinion, at just 5.5 goals. The Isles have been quite hot and have won 4 of 6 games and scored an average of 4.3 goals per game in those 6 games. The Capitals have had 13 of 15 games total at least 6 goals and each of last 7 games total at least 7 goals! Washington has allowed at least 4 goals in 6 of last 7 games. I realize this is a divisional game and both teams still battling hard because of playoff implications - Isles trying to secure, Caps hoping for a miracle - but the fact is that both teams are trending strongly to the over and we also have value with this low total posted here. OVER 5.5 in Washington |
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03-29-23 | Sheffield Wednesday v. Cheltenham Town OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
English League One Wednesday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town vs Sheffield Wednesday @ 2:45 ET - Cheltenham Town will put up a fight at home and should score at least 1 goal on their home pitch here but Sheffield Wednesday is favored by a solid margin for good reason. The visitors enter this match angry off B2B losses and they have outscored Cheltenham Town 9-3 in the last 3 meetings and all of those matches have been in the past 18 months so it is not like it is ancient history. The visitors will score well and each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals. Sheffield Wednesday is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league and currently #2 in the table. Cheltenham Town, however, is off B2B wins in which they scored 3 goals in each victory. The hosts are playing with confidence and are not safe yet from relegation so they keep pushing for points in the table. However, the visitors off B2B losses know they must win too after B2B losses and I see each team scoring and neither team settling for a 1-1 draw either. Neither team has a high draw and considering the situation here, there will also be an extra push for goals in this one. OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley v. UAB OVER 151 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NIT Tuesday Top Play OVER 151 in UAB Blazers vs Utah Valley Wolverines @ 9:30 ET - The Wolverines have allowed 69 points or less in 7 of last 8 games. So how can this total be set so high? Exactly! One of the keys is that Utah Valley has averaged scoring 84 ppg last 7 games. But another key is their most recent game. The Wolverines allowed only 68 points but Cincinnati actually had 79 shots from the field! The only reason the Bearcats did got into the 80s or even 90s in points is because they shot 34% overall and 24% from beyond the arc! Similarly, the Blazers are off a game in which they allowed only 59 points but Vanderbilt had 75 shots from the field! The problem for Vandy was they made only 33% from the field and just 26% from 3-point land. Also, the Commodores scored only ONE point from the free throw line the entire game. NONE of these stats are likely to be repeated here and I expect an absolute shootout here with plenty of back and forth quick buckets. UAB averaging 81 ppg this season and Utah Valley 77 and I am expecting, for the reasons note above, this one gets well into the 150s after both defenses were fortunate in terms of points allowed in their most recent game and both these teams very confident in the offensive end and full of scorers! Top Play OVER 151 in UAB |
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03-28-23 | Canucks v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:05 ET - The Canucks are hot but it will prove to be too little too late and that reality is starting to sink in. Both these teams are still mathematically alive yet, for all intents and purposes, realize their post-season hopes have slipped away. That helps this one to play out rather loosely in terms of defense and netminding. The Blues have been struggling to stop anyone. The Canucks have been getting better goaltending but the way St Louis has been scoring and the fact the Blues are at home means we should expect goals here. Vancouver has lower goals allowed of late but look at the teams they faced and those teams recent goal-scoring and their style of play. This one plays out much differently. The Canucks have won 10 of 12 games and scored an average of 3.5 goals during this stretch. The Blues have seen 10 of last 14 games total at least 7 goals and have allowed an average of nearly 4 goals during this stretch. St Louis also has scored an average of 4.3 goals per game last 10 games. This one has all the right ingredients for each club to get to 3 goals which means we would see at least a 4-3 final. OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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03-28-23 | Cavs v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Atlanta Hawks +1.5 vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are at home off a loss and that is a situation that has seen them go 6-2 the last 8. I like Atlanta to bounce back here at home as the host team has won both meetings between these teams this season and both wins were by double digit margins. The Cavaliers have won 6 of 8 games but the 6 wins included 4 against teams that are currently not in a playoff or play-in position while the other 2 wins came against a struggling Nets team that is a shell of its former self. The Hawks are still in a key position and need to improve their position in the standings and will go strong here at home. Note that Cleveland has been great at home but actually is a below .500 team on the road and I love the Hawks here off a loss to bounce back. ATLANTA +1.5 |
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03-28-23 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - I do have respect for the Rangers and their goaltending but they are coming off some big wins against tough opponents plus have a match-up with the Devils on deck. That said, who could fault them if they overlook the Blue Jackets at least a little bit here and give up 3 goals? No one really could fault them for that but the fact is one could also expect them to pile up about 5 goals here in a big win. Looking for at least a total of 7 here as the Blue Jackets continue to give up piles of goals but also have scored a little better of late. 9 of last 10 Columbus games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Jackets have scored 3.4 goals per game last 14 games. The Blue Jackets also have allowed 5.4 goals per game last 11 games. Neither of those stats includes OT or SO goals of course. The Rangers have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 5 goals in their last 10 home wins. Don't be surprised if we see a 5-3 type game or 5-2 or 4-3. Definitely expecting 8 or more here but should get 7 at least. OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -1.5 | Top | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
NIT Tuesday North Texas -1.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 7 ET - Mean Green 29-7 this season and allowed 55 points or less in regulation time 7 of last 8 games. The Badgers also playing solid defense and are known for that but they have allowed an average of 65 points in regulation time of their last 7 games. Also, lets not forget Wisconsin had lost 12 of 18 games entering this tournament. Certainly Wisconsin has played the tougher schedule but this North Texas team is loaded with confidence and favored here for a reason. The odds makers are sharp and they have a CUSA team that faced a weaker schedule favored over the Big Ten team for a reason. Look for the Mean Green to ride their stifling defense on the way to punching their ticket to the NIT Championship Game Thursday. NORTH TEXAS -1.5 |
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03-28-23 | Belarus v. Romania OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania vs Belarus @ 2:45 ET - Of course Romania is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Belarus to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Belarus is off B2B shutout losses but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and 8 of last 11 matches. The last 5 meetings between Romania and Belarus have seen 4 of them total at least 4 goals and those 4 averaged 5 goals! Romania is still angry from missing out on the 2020 European Championship and wants to make sure they participate this time around. That means they keep the hammer down here. Their first match ended 2-0 but their opponent had a red card at about the 60' mark and that is what likely prevented the match from seeing a 3rd goal. This one should get there as Romania is at home plus enters this one having averaged 3 goals per game last 4 games. OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania |
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03-28-23 | Latvia v. Wales OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales vs Latvia @ 2:45 ET - Of course Wales is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Latvia to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Latvia is off a 3-2 loss to Ireland and actually has scored at least 1 goal (and averaged 1.8 goals scored!) in last 12 matches! Granted that included some weaker competition too of course but, still, 12 straight matches with at least 1 goal is impressive. Wales has conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match during this 9-match stretch. Wales has not scored that well of late but, again, they are a huge favorite here for a reason and they are off a 1-1 draw with Croatia. That was quite impressive as Croatia has been so tough including that huge World Cup run. This one is in Cardiff and the hosts should do some damage against on out-classed foe. That helps insure we see at least 3 goals here. OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales |
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03-27-23 | Wolves +5 v. Kings | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Monday Minnesota Timberwolves +5 @ Sacramento Kings @ 10:10 ET - The Timberwolves in a back to back spot but they have a critical position in the standings and have won 3 straight games and have Karl-Anthony Towns back and I just do not see them slowing down here. Their roll should continue. Also, De'Aaron Fox is still dealing with a hamstring injury for the Kings too. The Sacramento point guard is a key player and may not be 100% here if he is even able to go. The Kings are off B2B wins but this was preceded by B2B losses and this team has allowed 124 ppg last 5 games. No matter who is on the floor here, I like the defensive intensity and overall defensive intensity the Wolves brought to the game at Golden State last night and feel there were will be some carryover here to this game. Also, great value with having the points here. If you look at Sacramento's last 4 losses, 3 of them were very tight. One by just 2 points, one in OT and one in double-overtime. Yes, the Kings are motivated to win here too as they are still looking to lock up a playoff spot officially but T-wolves already took 2 of the 3 meetings this season and the only Sacramento win was in overtime. Grab the points. MINNESOTA +5 |
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03-27-23 | Panthers v. Senators OVER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 7 in Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers @ 7:07 ET - I know Sogaard might be back between the pipes tonight and he is off B2B solid starts. However, prior to this he had been struggling. Look at Ottawa's overall numbers too. The Senators have gone 8-7-1 last 16 games. 12 of those 16 games totaled at least 7 goals and this one should too. Florida beat the Sens 5-3 in the first meeting and a similar result could be on tap here. 7 of last 8 Panthers games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Panthers have allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games but also scored 4 goals per game last 8 games. Don't be surprised if each team finds a way to 4 goals here and you see some crazy 5-4 final. Based on the way these teams are going, that would not shock me at all if we see 9 in this one. OVER 7 in Ottawa |
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03-27-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 7 in Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:07 ET - Buffalo off a truly shocking result with a 2-0 shutout win in their most recent game. Note that Comrie got the shutout but he has struggled overall this season. Also, the Sabres entered that game allowing an average of 5 goals per game their prior 8 games! Buffalo also has seen 10 of last 13 home games total at least 7 goals and 9 of those 10 totaled at least 8 goals so do not let the big number on this total scare you. The Canadiens are off a big 8-2 win. Not sure what was more surprising really. The fact they scored 8 goals or allowed only 2? The fact is that Montreal has scored 4.4 goals per game last 7 games! Also, prior to the 8-2 win, the Habs had allowed 4.5 goals per game last 10 games. This one sets up well for 4 scored or 4 allowed or both! Either way I am looking for 7 or more and 9 would be my top choice but think we'll see at least 8 goals given all of the above. OVER 7 in Buffalo |
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03-27-23 | Czech Republic v. Moldova OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Monday OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova vs Czech Republic @ 2:45 ET - Czech Republic just has too much for an out-classed Moldova squad here but rather than laying a heavy goal-line on the road, I feel the best way to play this one is the total. Moldova has scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and failed to score only once in those 7 and I expect Czech Republic to be very aggressive on the attack here like they were in their 3-1 win over Poland last time out. That said, do not be surprised if Moldova breaks through for a goal. However, the big key to the over is the fact that Moldova has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 7 matches and is likely to struggle to slow down their opponents in this one. Moldova is off a 1-1 draw with Faroe Islands and that is essentially the same group of players that Czech Republic just defeated in November by a 5-0 count. It has been two decades since these clubs met but coincidentally, that one was also a 5-0 win for Czech over Moldova. There is just a big disparity between the level of talent of the hosts here and Czech Republic and I expect that to lead to a rather wide open match that easily gets to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova |
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03-26-23 | Blues v. Kings OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Los Angeles Kings vs St Louis Blues @ 10:35 ET - Both teams were in action yesterday and I am expecting plenty of goals tonight. 9 of last 13 St Louis games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Blues have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 9 games. St Louis has allowed an average of 3.5 goals last 13 games and now takes on a Los Angeles team that has won 17 of 24 games and has been scoring goals like crazy. The Kings have averaged scoring 4 goals per game during this long-term stretch of consistency! LA has not been allowing many goals but the fact this is a B2B plus Kings off a big win yesterday and the way the Blues have been scoring so well and are playing with no pressure, STL will score quite well here also. OVER 6.5 in Los Angeles Kings |
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03-26-23 | Grizzlies -130 v. Hawks | Top | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Top Play Memphis Grizzlies Money Line -130 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 6:10 ET - I am seeing line of -2 but many with juice at -115. That said, with this money line as low as the -125/-130 range in some books I am recommending laying just a little more juice to make a Grizzlies SU by any margin also an ATS win. Atlanta got a big win versus Indiana yesterday but they shot lights out in that game and I do not expect that to be repeated here. Also, the Hawks are 1-5 SU the last 6 times when they enter a game off a win. Keep in mind, Atlanta could again be without De'Andre Hunter. Conversely, Ja Morant is back for the Grizzlies and Memphis has seemed to rally around the entire off-court situation that Morant has been dealing with. The Grizzlies have won 5 straight and 8 of 9 games! They already blasted the Hawks in Memphis earlier this season and they get another big road win here as the Hawks inconsistencies continue. MEMPHIS -130 |
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03-26-23 | Maple Leafs v. Predators OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 6:07 ET - The Predators got hammered 7-2 yesterday and the Maple Leafs got rocked 5-3 yesterday. 8 of Toronto's last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Those 8 games have averaged 8 goals apiece. The Preds have either scored or allowed 7 goals in 3 of their last 4 games! Lankinen will probably start in goal tonight for Nashville and he is off a horrific outing on the road in which he allowed 4 goals on just 5 shots. He wants to bounce back here but has allowed 3 or more goals in 3 of his last 4 home starts! For the Leafs, with Samsonov way from the team right now (not on road trip as his wife expecting birth of child) and Murray starting last night, that means this will be a #3 or #4 choice in goal for Toronto. Look for plenty of scoring as Predators will push hard coming off a loss and trying to get into the post-season and you know the Maple Leafs want to respond as well off yesterday's disappointment and looking to improve playoff positioning. OVER 6.5 in Nashville |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday Miami Hurricanes +4 vs Texas Longhorns @ 5:05 ET - The Longhorns faced a pair of double digit seeds and then things toughened with a match-up against a #3 seed, Xavier. Even without their big man Dylan Disu (he could only go 2 minutes), the Horns prevailed. So how did they do it? Well some other guys stepped up but the real key was UT hitting 52.5 percent overall and 58.3% from three point land! Shooting percentages like that are tough to beat BUT also tough to repeat! The Longhorns will likely again be without Disu here and, against a scrappy Hurricanes team getting strong veteran leadership and strong play too, this could be the end for Texas. I am grabbing the points just in case but I am expecting the outright upset here. Even if Disu plays he is not 100% and this Canes team is playing with a lot of confidence and looks very complete and also is very well-coached. Miami is a high-quality team that is peaking at the right time and just beat a #4 seed and a #1 seed and got each win by double digits! This Hurricanes team is starting to believe and I know they, like Texas, had hot shooting in their most recent win BUT the key here is they are really healthy AND they are catching 4 points here. I do not think we'll need those points but we'll take them just in case but I am expecting an upset here. MIAMI +4 |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State +2.5 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday San Diego State Aztecs +2.5 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 2:20 ET - Why is Creighton favored over higher-seeded San Diego State here and an Aztecs team that has half as many losses? Well, the Bluejays have looked very good and so the odds makers and betting markets have reacted to that. This got me to look closer at this match-up and the fact is Creighton deserves credit of course but they have beaten two double digit seeds to get here and then what about the other win? Baylor was the impressive win but note that the Jays went 22 for 22 from the line and the Bears got to the line nearly as many times but only made 13. Also, Creighton shot 11 of 24 from beyond the arc while Baylor took nearly just as many but made only 5 of them. So when you consider all the facts here, the Bluejays did win that game by 9 points but they outscored the Bears by 27 points at the line and beyond the arc simply because of some extremely good shooting numbers that were outliers in my opinion. I feel this is giving us value here and I feel San Diego State will be able to slow down Creighton. Keep in mind, the Aztecs also had the good fortune of facing a couple of double digit seeds but then they faced top-seeded Alabama and won that game despite shooting poorly from everywhere. From the field overall, from 3-point land, at the free throw line...all the numbers were ugly for San Diego State at the offensive end. But they can win ugly again here as this team knows how to D up and grind out wins. Good value with the points. SAN DIEGO STATE +2.5 |
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03-26-23 | Ukraine v. England OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in England vs Ukraine @ Noon ET - We have to lay some juice to have the over 2.5 here but it should prove well worth it as England could get this total by themselves and it certainly would not be a shock. However, I do expect a revitalized (new manager and fresh legs) to find the back of the net in this match too. That means a 3-1 final would be likely based on the big 1.5 number on the goal line in favor of England. So whether it ends 3-0 or 2-1 or 3-1 we would be fine here with this play and I like our chances. England, in the only meeting with Ukraine in past 9 years, won the match 4-0 in July 2021 in UEFA European Championship action. Look for another one to total 4 goals here as well although 3 goals also serves our purposes just fine. England won 2-1 at Italy Thursday and that was their 4th straight match to total at least 3 goals and there should have been even more scoring there. Ukraine off a scoreless draw in UEFA Nations League action in September but this was preceded by 3 of 4 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Ukraine had scored 23 goals in 14 matches prior to the scoreless draw with Scotland. The high-scoring ways resume here! OVER 2.5 -145 in England |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga +2.5 | Top | 82-54 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Top Play Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 8:49 ET - The Huskies embarrassed Arkansas (and me) on Thursday as my big play was on the Razorbacks then. But what really happened? Give credit to Connecticut for sure but if you look at the box score, you'll see some keys that have led to value here. The Huskies actually had 17 turnovers compared to just 10 for Arky. Also, UConn had 9 LESS shots from the field than Arkansas! The key was the Huskies shot a ridiculous 57% from the field compared to Razorbacks shooting an equally ridiculous 32% from the field! That included Huskies outscoring the Hogs by 12 points from beyond the arc. I also like the fact that Arkansas had 6 more free throws than the Huskies. The point is that the box score says a lot about how that game played out as it has some interesting statistical anomalies and now we get a little extra value here with a very tough and resilient and battle-tested and well-coached Gonzaga team. Facing TCU and UCLA were very tough tests for Gonzaga and help them here as Huskies certainly had the easier draw with St Mary's and Arkansas last 2 games. Bulldogs hammered St Mary's by 26 in the WCC Championship Game earlier this month. Although certainly respect is given to head coach Dan Hurley of UConn, Mark Few of the Bulldogs has long been known one of, if not the, best one currently coaching college basketball. Don't be surprised if that is a key element in crunch time as this game plays out. Top Play GONZAGA +2.5 |
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03-25-23 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets off a 5-4 win in OT last night and I look for another wild one tonight as they now travel to take on a Montreal team that also has been out of the playoff picture for quite some time and their goals allowed pattern reflects that as well. The Canadiens have lost 10 of 12 games and allowed 4.3 goals per game during this stretch. Montreal is off a 4-2 loss at Boston but the Bruins have been the best team in the league this season. Prior to being held to 2 goals at Boston, the Habs scored at least 3 goals in 8 of last 9 games. Keep in mind, we just need each team to get to at least 3 here and we then can not do any worse than a 4-3 final. Montreal should enjoy success against a Blue Jackets team allowing nearly 5 goals per game last 13 games. The thing is...Columbus has been scoring well lately too and that continued last night even though Laine is now out with an injury. The Jackets have now scored 4 or more goals in 5 of last 8 games. 8 of last 9 Columbus games have totaled at least 7 goals and all signs point to the same thing here. OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Florida Atlantic Owls +2 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 6:09 ET - The Owls are a #9 seed and catching just a bucket here against a Wildcats team that is from the Big 12 and seeded #3 too. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and, in typical contrarian fashion, I am grabbing Florida Atlantic here. Everyone will be lining up on Kansas State thinking this is a trap line, etc. but look for the Cats to get upset in this one. FAU has plenty of confidence after outscoring Tennessee 40-28 in the 2nd half of their game Thursday. Kansas State blew 7 point leads multiple times in the 2nd half of their win over Michigan State. They ultimately got the win in overtime but the Wildcats could be a little more susceptible here after the way all that played out with an inability to hold on to leads as that game went on. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +2 |
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03-25-23 | Pacers +9.5 v. Hawks | Top | 130-143 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Indiana Pacers +9.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 5:10 ET - The Pacers lost by 25 at Boston last night but actually won the game by 17 points inside the arc. Why do I say that? Because the Celtics outscored Indiana by 42 points from three point land! Boston made 18 threes while the Pacers were an uncharacteristic 4 of 26 from three point land. That is unlikely to be repeated here plus Indiana got Haliburton back last night and might have Duarte back this evening. Either way, I like the Pacers here catching big points after last night's unusual results. Prior to last night's blowout loss due to disparate 3-point shooting results, Indiana had won 8 of 14 and 3 of the 6 losses were by 6 or less points. As you can see, a lot of value here with Pacers catching big points. The Hawks have only 2 wins by more than 8 points in last 13 games! Great value with the big points here! INDIANA +9.5 |
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03-25-23 | Sabres v. Islanders OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres @ 5:07 ET - Both teams in action last night. The Sabres won 5-4 and the Islanders lost 5-4 in OT. Both teams entered yesterday's game trending toward high-scoring games too so I look for it to continue here. Buffalo has seen 15 of last 21 games total at least 7 goals! Islanders have seen 5 of last 7 games total at least 7 goals and those 7 games have averaged 7.4 goals apiece. Isles have scored at least 4 goals in 4 straight games. Sabres have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 8 games and reached the 4 goal mark in 4 of those 5 games. OVER 6.5 in New York Islanders |
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03-25-23 | Romania -1.5 v. Andorra | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Saturday Romania Goal Line -1.5 -150 @ Andorra @ 3:45 ET - Romania has qualified in 2000 and 2008 and 2016 and keeps alternating with years like 2004 and 2012 and 2020 in which they did not qualify. That said, they will bring a little extra edginess here as a result and I expect a blowout victory over an outclassed foe. Andorra is at home which is keeping this line more manageable but Romania still should dominate and win this by 2 or more goals. If you saw Moldova barely tie Faroe Islands yesterday (penalty kick at 87' mark) note that essentially that is the same level of Moldova club that beat Andorra last June while Romania hammered neighboring Moldova last November by a 5-0 count. That is just one example of the disparity between these clubs. Another is that Romania has beaten Andorra 4 straight times by a combined score of 14 to 1. This one also has blowout written all over it and so I am willing to lay the price here to have the goal line at less than 2 in this one. ROMANIA -1.5 -150 |
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03-24-23 | Bulls -140 v. Blazers | Top | 124-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls Money Line -140 @ Portland Trail Blazers @ 10:10 ET - Great set up here in my opinion and, it looks like, the odds makers opinion too. Think about it. Why is the road team favored here? Exactly! Someone knows something and I do love the situational factors here. The Bulls are off a loss but this followed 3 straight wins including wins in 5 of 6. Some impressive wins too but then Chicago got hammered at home by the 76ers! I am sure they will make up for that here and the set up is perfect here because Trail Blazers off a big road win but have won B2B games only one time since early February. Odds are their struggles resume immediately. Portland, prior to the win, had lost 6 straight and 14 of 19 games. Bulls already took the game in Chicago this season and they take the reverse match-up here as well. 10* CHICAGO -140 |
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03-24-23 | Xavier +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Xavier Musketeers +4.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9:45 ET - As I mentioned in fading the Longhorns with Penn State +5.5 last weekend, "Texas is playing great and deserves all the accolades they are getting for sure. I have been riding with the Longhorns quite often this season. However, this is a much tougher match-up for them. They go from facing a #15 seed in Colgate to facing a tough Big Ten team that just knocked off a solid SEC team in impressive fashion. Penn State did not just beat the Aggies Thursday, they dominated in that game from mid-first period on." Now UT faces a tough Big East team in the form of Xavier. After UConn trashed cold-shooting Arkansas yesterday, the Big East could have 3 teams in the Elite 8 if they upset Texas here and if Creighton knocks off Princeton tonight as well. The point is that the Big East was very tough this season. I know the Big 12 was certainly very strong this season too but if Kansas State did not win in OT yesterday and if UT did get upset here, they would have no one in the Elite 8 while Big East would have 3 of the 8 teams (barring major upset with Princeton tonight). Note that 6 of 9 Musketeers losses this season have been by 4 or less points. They won both games this season with Connecticut including one by a margin of 10 plus they beat Creighton by more than 20 in one of their meetings with them. The Longhorns last 24 games have featured only 10 Texas wins by more than 5 points. I like are chances here in going against the higher seed here and feel Xavier has the perfect underdog mindset entering this one. All the pressure on Texas here and I feel it catches up with them in this one. XAVIER +4.5 |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Miami Hurricanes +7.5 vs Houston Cougars @ 7:15 ET - I have plenty of respect for Houston as the Cougars are a rock solid team that is among the best in the nation this season. However, I expect the points to prove to be too much here. As I noted in my play on Miami over Indiana in the 2nd round: "I look for the Hurricanes defense to help lead the way to an upset here and to be the difference-maker in this one. Miami had to turn up the heat on defense to get past Drake in the first round. The Bulldogs are a solid team and it was impressive and a big confidence booster that the Canes were down 7 at one point in 2nd half and rallied but then fell behind by 8 and again had to rally! The Hurricanes outscored Drake by 16-1 to close out the game and I like the leadership, poise and defensive intensity seen from the Canes in that one. Keep in mind, losses for the Canes have been few and far between this season and, prior to losing in the ACC tourney to Duke, the Hurricanes 4 losses in the 12-4 stretch leading into that game were by an average margin of just 2 points! Given that fact, though I expect the upset here, we'll grab the couple points just in case!" So the point is, there is a lot to like about how this Hurricanes team has been playing such competitive basketball for such a long period of time. Yes they may fall short of the upset this time as, of course, Houston is better than Indiana. However, we do not need an upset to cash our ticket here. Grab the points in this one! MIAMI +7.5 |
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03-24-23 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets announced an injury to Patrick Laine and that has resulted in this total being a 6 in some spots. We'll take the extra value. Yes he is their 2nd leading scorer and a key player but, though he had 2 assists, he had none of the 7 goals the Blue Jackets just had in their most recent game. Also, Columbus has allowed an average of nearly 5 goals in their last dozen games. Keep in mind, this total is just a 6 and 9 of last 10 Blue Jackets games have totaled at least 6 goals. This one will too as the Islanders last 6 games have averaged 7 goals and only 1 of the 6 failed to get to the 6 goal mark. OVER 6 in Columbus |
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03-24-23 | Devils v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The juice on the over 6.5 with this one is a little higher but should prove well worth it. The Sabres last 20 games have seen 15 of them total at least 7 goals! Buffalo has allowed 4.6 goals per game during this stretch. Sabres do tend to score better at home and should get their fair share here but they will struggle to stop the Devils. Note that New Jersey has scored an average of 4 goals per game last 8 road games. The Devils, like the Sabres, have had some issues lately with allowing too many goals and I expect that to continue here. They are off B2B better efforts but this followed a 10-game stretch in which NJ allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game. This one has all the makings of one of those games where it is tough to envision either team having trouble getting to the 3-goal mark. That said, this one gets to 4-3 at a minimum the way I see it. OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Florida Atlantic Owls +5.5 vs Tennessee Volunteers @ 9 ET - The Owls are from the smaller conference but are a very confident team that has been scoring very well and confidence building with each win here in March. Florida Atlantic faced a pair of SEC teams early this season and lost to Ole Miss but beat Florida. The Owls beat a solid Memphis team here in the tourney and then beat the Fairleigh Dickinson team that knocked off Purdue and that win over the Boilermakers was no fluke. Tennessee is playing very solid defense but they did lose 7 of last 12 games this season before the NCAA Tourney. The Volunteers then won their first game of the tourney by only 3 points even though it was against a #13 seed. Then Duke made just 6 of 22 three pointers and only 4 free throws in the game the Vols won by 13 last weekend. That is not happening again here against this Owls team. FAU is making 37% of threes this season and averaging 9 made per game. The Owls also average about a dozen free throws made per game. The way these teams match-up it could be a bit of a low-scoring grinder which means even more value with the sizable points here and I look for the Owls to surprise in this one. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +5.5 |
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03-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 in Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:05 ET - The Flames hammered the Golden Knights 7-2 in Vegas so you know that this is a revenge spot for VGK and they will be looking to limit Calgary here. However, the Flames are just too strong on home ice in terms of the goal-scoring and I am looking for a very high-scoring entertaining affair here as a result. Calgary has scored an average of 4.5 goals in last 6 games. However, the Flames have also allowed 4 goals per game last 5 games and you know Vegas is going to come out flying here. The Golden Knights have won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Vegas also has allowed 3 goals per game in last 10 games and I am looking for each club to get to 3 goals here which means it has to end with a total of at least 7 goals and a minimum of 4-3 final if we get each team to 3. Sure looks like this one has the makings of that type of game. OVER 6 in Calgary |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 7:15 ET - Huskies beat a MAAC team and a WCC team to get here. Certainly St Mary's is a solid team year in and year out in recent seasons but they play in the WCC where they face Gonzaga but then a bunch of much weaker teams throughout the season. OF course the Iona team that UConn beat in round one also faces a lot of weaker competition since they come from the MAAC. The point is that UConn might be over-rated here and certainly is a little over-valued in my opinion. The Huskies did beat Alabama early this season but then went 2-5 against ranked teams the rest of the season. Also, heading into the NCAA Tourney, UConn went 11-8 overall after starting the season 14-0. Arkansas, on the other hand, had to beat a Big Ten school and Big 12 team to get here as they knocked off Illinois and then Kansas. So, the point is, the Razorbacks might be putting things together at the right time. Also, Arkansas was down by double digits in the 2nd half of their win over the Jayhawks so they had to show great resiliency in bouncing back for the win. Nick Smith is their #2 leading scorer this season in terms of ppg (missed a lot of the season) and the Razorbacks won that game over Kansas despite him scoring 0 points! Love the fact that Arky beat the Jayhawks despite making only 3 of 15 three pointers. The Huskies had very hot shooting against the Gaels and they can't keep shooting at that clip and the gritty Razorbacks give them a helluva test here and possibly even score the upset. We'll grab the points just in case. Top Play ARKANSAS +4.5 |