Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-16-24 | Coyotes v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Calgary Flames vs Arizona Coyotes @ 9 ET - The Flames top goalie is Markstrom and he had been playing well. But he is out with an injury here. The goalie will be Vladar and he has not started in over a week plus that was an ugly outing. Speaking of ugly outings, he has a 3.42 GAA this season so he has been tonight special. Markstrom is not even well enough to back him up here so Wolf was recalled from the AHL for this start. Not a good goalie situation for a Flames team facing a Coyotes club looking for some payback after a 6-2 loss in the most recent meetings. That said, the goals should be flying here because, prior to a 6-0 shutout win Arizona was allowing a lot of goals. They face a Calgary team that got back on track again and has been scoring well. The Flames have won 6 of 8 games and scored 4 goals per game during this run. The Coyotes had allowed 4 goals per game last 8 games before that big 6-0 win. Arizona's last 3 games before that all totaled at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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01-16-24 | Nuggets v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:30 ET - This line has dropped a little from as high as a 4.5 overnight to now being down to as low as a 2.5 as of about 8.5 hours before tipoff. There are so many injury question marks entering this one but I feel the biggest key is that the only significant one for the Sixers is Embiid and yet he just came back from some time off. So, even though this is a B2B spot, Embiid is in good shape and even his coach is expecting him to play again tonight. Keep in mind, the 76ers win was an early game yesterday too at mid-day so that helps in the rest department plus it was a blowout win that was not nearly as close as the final score would lead you to believe. The Sixers were therefore able to rest guys and no one played more than 31 minutes. As for the Nuggets, they have a number of key players on their injury report including Jokic. Now certainly I do expect Jokic to play tonight but with other players likely missing and a number of guys (including Jokic) not 100% if they even do play, the Sixers are the play here at home. Philly's Embiid also would have some extra motivation here because Jokic got his ring with Denver last season and, of course, Embiid and Jokic are two of the best big men in the league! Extra motivation for a 76ers club that still wants to prove it can beat the best and rise the elite level. Lay the short number here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-16-24 | Avalanche v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 -130 or OVER 7 +105 in Ottawa vs Colorado @ 7 ET - The Senators and Avalanche both in perfect situations for plenty of goals here. Ottawa's last 3 games have all totaled 8 or more goals. Also, the Senators have had 10 of last 14 matches total at least 7 goals. The Avalanche are in the 2nd game of a B2B. The Avalanche will be fired up after a 4-3 loss yesterday and 6 of last 7 Avs games have totaled at least 7 goals. This one will too as the Sens are tough at home and the Avalanche will be ready to respond after the 4-3 loss at Montreal. The Avs are averaging 3.66 goals per game this season. The Sens are averaging 4 goals scored last 4 home games. 10* OVER 6.5 -130 or over 7 +105 in Ottawa |
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01-16-24 | Florida +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #623: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Florida Gators (+) @ Tennessee Volunteers @ 5 ET - The line on this is in the range of 10 points as of about 5 hours before tipoff for this early game on Tuesday. The Volunteers are a great team but the Gators are no slouches and I am going to challenge the Vols to win this thing by double digits. The fact is that Florida has 3 tight losses in the 5 defeats they have this season. In their only truly ugly loss this season (against Ole Miss), it was simply one of those nights when the Rebels were making everything. They just could not miss that night and, other than that, the Gators have been in every game this season. Florida had a big year under their first year coach last year and his 2nd year should end up being just as strong. This is a very talented team that scores well and rebounds well and they will not be intimated on the road. Yes, Barnes is a great veteran coach for the Volunteers and Tennessee does want revenge for last season's loss at Florida. However, this Gators team is solid and the Vols also have Alabama on deck and the Crimson Tide are one of the few remaining undefeated teams in conference games in SEC so far this season. Value on the big dog in this one as revenge is being over-priced here! 10* FLORIDA (+) |
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01-16-24 | Hull City v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200409: English FA Cup: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City vs Hull City @ 2:45 ET - Hull has deserved better in recent matches and now face a Birmingham club that has not looked good defensively of late. That leads us to an over here because I absolutely do expect Birmingham to put up a fight here at home but their inconsistency on defense will help lead to a rather wide-open affair here. Excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals. The money line on this match has moved toward the hosts so that is a good sign of a strong effort from them here but I do not trust them at the backline. Birmingham has allowed 15 goals last 7 matches across all competitions. 5 of the last 7 have totaled at least 3 goals and 4 of those 5 totaled at least 4 goals! 9 of the last 12 Hull City matches have totaled at least 3 goals so look for this one to play out much differently than the recent 1-1 draw between these clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City |
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01-16-24 | Sevilla v. Getafe CF OVER 2 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #202201: Spanish Copa del Rey: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -130 in Getafe vs Sevilla @ 2 ET - Getafe has a few suspensions they are dealing with in La Liga action but those guys can play here as the suspensions apply to the league action. With Sevilla on a tough run in La Liga action they will put forth maximum effort here. As for Getafe, they are always tough at home plus have some extra help with those suspended players available. I love the added value of this total available at just a 2 in this one. Also, Sevilla has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in the last 3 meetings between these clubs. Getafe off a 1-0 win but their 3 prior matches across all competitions averaged 3.7 goals apiece. Sevilla has seen 6 of last 7 matches total at least 2 goals and 5 of those 6 totaled 3 goals. More of the same here! 10* OVER 2 -130 in Getafe |
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01-15-24 | Eagles -2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:15 ET - Everyone is talking about the demise of the Eagles and, understandably so, as they as fell apart late in the season. However, with adversity can come opportunity. This is the Eagles opportunity to seize the moment and there is still a ton of talent on this team as well as the heart of a Champion. Yes, they were NFC Champions last season. For starters lets talk about the fact that the Bucs started this season 3-1 but then went 6-7 the rest of the way. Not only that, TB went just 1-5 against playoff teams this season! But wait a second, you are saying Tampa has home field here so that is a key factor? Well, guess what, the Bucs 2 home games versus playoff teams were both losses by 14 points and that included one to these Eagles. Philly ran overall them in that win and I expect them to return to that physical display up front and dominate and open up rushing lanes to again gash TB on the ground. You saw what the Lions ground game did against the Cowboys yesterday. This will be similar. Ground attacks can win playoff games. Now I am well aware that AJ Brown is out for Philly but that is what is keeping this line down and I know Hurts has a finger injury. However, it seems like a key Buccaneers injury is being ignored because of this. Baker Mayfield has a rib issue and ankle injury. He was hobbling around against the Panthers last week and then barely practiced this week. Hurts has the playoff factor edge and better health in comparison with Mayfield. Hurts was huge in last year's postseason while Mayfield only had one post-season and his first start was good but his second start helped eliminate his team from the playoffs. Look for a similar result here. The Bucs went 1-5 against playoff teams and the Eagles went 6-2 against playoff teams this year. For all the doom and gloom about Philly they are still the better team in this match-up and, after an ugly finish to the season - unlike the Cowboys, the Eagles know how to turn things up to a higher notch when the post-season rolls around. This should be a road rout ladies and gentlemen. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-15-24 | Flyers +105 v. Blues | Top | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Monday Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +105 @ St Louis Blues @ 8:07 ET - The Flyers are hottter than the Blues and getting solid goaltending. In Hart and Ersson they are getting strong play overall. St Louis, on the other hand, has seen both Hofer and Binnington struggle of late. The Blues have lost 4 of 7 and Binnington allowed 4 goals in most recent start and Hofer expected to get the call here and he has been used sparingly. Not only could he be a bit rusty, his last start was a 5-1 St Louis loss. Philadelphia has won 3 straight games and 4 of 5 and allowed just 1.8 goals per game in those 4 victories. They are rolling with confidence right now and there is a reason St Louis is only a pick'em home favorite here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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01-15-24 | Islanders v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs NY Islanders @ 6 ET - The Wild are off an ugly 6-0 home loss and have struggled to score goals lately. Back home again and looking to get back on track, the Wild will push hard in this game. The trouble is their only real chance at success is through scoring goals as they continue to give up goals at an alarming rate. Minnesota has allowed 4 goals per game over their last 9 games. The Islanders are off a 3-1 loss but, prior to this, 8 of their last 9 games had totaled at least 6 goals and that is the posted total on this one. The Isles have allowed 3.7 goals last 10 games. So this one should get to at least a total of 6 but I fully expect each team to score at least 3 goals and that sets us up for a 4-3 final at a minimum. 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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01-15-24 | Steelers v. Bills -10 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:30 ET - I said it all season long that the Steelers are the worst winning team in a long time in this league. They kept getting outgained but yet winning game after game. They finished the season going 4-4 last 8 games after one of the luckiest 6-3 starts in the history of this league. Pittsburgh will be exposed here on Monday by a Bills team that is coming on strong at the end of the season. Buffalo is not an easy place to play and losing Watt also hurts this Steelers team. By the way, in that 4-4 finish to the season, the Steelers only win over a playoff team was when they faced the Ravens in the season finale but Baltimore had nothing to play for and rested guys. So now a Steelers anemic offense led by Mason Rudolph faces a Bills offense led by Josh Allen who had an 18-6 TD-INT ratio in home games this season prior to throwing a pick in Buffalo's final home game. Rudolph has a 5-6 TD-INT ratio dating back to the latter part of the 2019 season when he is on the road. Though this line at -10 might seem high to some the fact is that the Bills home field edge might be closer to 4 points than 3 and that means this line is effectively set at a -6 on a neutral field. But is Buffalo a team that is only 6 points better than this over-rated Steelers team that -outstatted week after week this season - might be the worst 10-7 team in NFL history? Not in my book, no way! The Bills are at least 2 TD better on a neutral field. Look for the hosts to win this by about 17! Lay the 10 points here. 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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01-15-24 | La Salle v. St. Joe's OVER 149 | Top | 62-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #873: CBB Monday: 10* Top Play OVER the total in St Joe's vs LaSalle Explorers @ 4 ET - This total in the 149 range. The Hawks just a lost a game in which they led by 9 points with a little over 6 minutes to go but never scored a field goal again the rest of the way! That said, the emphasis will be on offensive production here and La Salle is a team they can dominate against in that regard. The Explorers have allowed an average of 77 ppg last 6 games against Div 1 competition. La Salle has averaged scoring 76 ppg this season but St Joseph's is favored by double digits for good reason. The Explorers should get well into the 80s in this one after what just happened in that tough defeat to Loyola Chicago. I mentioned above. They will push the tempo here and the Hawks have averaged scoring 83 points last 6 games! 10* OVER the total in St Joseph's |
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01-15-24 | Frosinone v. Atalanta OVER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #201233: Italian Serie A: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Atalanta vs Frosinone @ 2:45 ET - Atalanta is a heavy home favorite here with good reason. Frosinone has been in poor current form and continues to allow far too many goals. They have one of the worst defensive records in the league. Also, they are coming off a 4-0 loss in Coppa Italia action so I do expect them to push hard here and make the net ripple at least once but, as this line suggests, they are also not going to be able to stop Atalanta. Look for a 3-1 type match as a result. Prior to the 4-0 loss to Juventus, Frosinone had averaged scoring 1.8 goals in 5 matches and they scored at least once in all 5 of those matches! Atalanta has scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 8 across all competitions. Also, Atalanta has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 Serie A matches. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Atalanta |
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01-15-24 | Rockets v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Houston Rockets @ 1:10 ET - The Sixers should have Embiid back for this one but, either way, they are off a blowout win over the Kings without him. Philly is now 14-6 at home this season and Houston is only 4-13 on the road this season. This looks like a blowout that favors the host in a big way. The Rockets just lost by 32 at Boston and that was their 3rd loss in 4 games. Philly already won the first meeting by 4 points and that was at Houston and the Sixers did not have Embiid in that one. Again, he could be back for this one and Philly is at home and he did practice fully each of the last two days. Lay the points here for another blowout as the home/road variance is a big edge for the hosts in this one. Laying 7.5 points here (as of 3 hours before tipoff) is a value line in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-15-24 | Kayserispor v. Galatasaray OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #207973: Turkish Super Lig: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -105 in Galatasaray vs Kayserispor @ Noon ET - Galatasaray is one of the top clubs in the league and they are off a disappointing 1-1 draw on the road. They will surely come out strong here at home after that disappointing draw. They are huge home favorites here with a good reason and I am forecasting at least a 3-1 type of final here. They have scored an average of 2.6 goals in their 9 home matches this season and only 1 time did they fail to reach at least the 2-goal mark. Look for big scoring here given the higher motivational factor here coupled with the fact that Kayserispor has seen 3 of last 4 matches total at least 4 goals. Kayserispor has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 road matches but also has allowed 3.3 goals per match last 4 matches. 10* OVER 3.5 -105 in Galatasaray |
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01-14-24 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 232.5 | Top | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns @ 9:10 ET - Portland is back home after losing 3 straight on the road. I expect them to score better now that they are on their home floor but this is a Trail Blazers team that is awful at the defensive end. The Blazers have allowed 123 ppg (not including OT points of course) in their last 8 games. Portland has averaged scoring 117.6 ppg last 10 home games. So the Trail Blazers will surprise many with some solid scoring at home here but their defense will continue its sub-par play and struggle to slow down this quality Suns team. Phoenix has won 6 of 9 games and averaged 116.8 scoring per game during this stretch. Against a bad Portland team they can easily get well in into the 120s here and that helps send this one flying over the total which is in the low 230s. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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01-14-24 | Rams v. Lions -3 | Top | 23-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Detroit Lions (-) vs Los Angeles Rams @ 8:15 ET - The Rams have been on a hot run to close out the season but this Lions team is also playing very well and they are at home and they are very well-coached which is certainly a key when you are facing a well-coached Rams team. Detroit is coming off a huge season and their only loss since December 10th was a tough 1-point loss at Dallas in which it looked like they had the game won. The Lions were robbed by the refs in that game at the end as was well-documented. In this match-up I like the fact that Detroit is the better running team and also is better defensively against the run. The Rams are certainly solid too but the edges here for the Lions in the ground game on both sides of the ball can be a key in a playoff setting. Also both home teams got big wins in yesterday's opening wild card day and laying a -3 at home is a solid line value for a Lions team whose last 11 wins were by at least 3 points. All 7 Rams losses were by at least 3 points this season. The Rams were just 4-4 SU in last 8 games on the road. Lions went 6-1 SU L7 games at home. So if you like the Lions to win the game SU at home you can also see why we have ATS value with this low line available at a -3 as of 8 hours before kickoff. Lay it! 10* DETROIT (-) |
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01-14-24 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 +105 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:37 ET - The Leafs are off a loss where they blew a 3-goal lead yesterday so they will be looking to bounce right back here. However, Jones has allowed too many goals now in two straight starts and plus this is a B2B so Samsonov will get the call between the pipes. He has not started since two weeks ago and so not only could rust be a factor, he has allowed an average of 5 goals in his last 4 appearances! So even though I expect Toronto to score plenty tonight I do not expect this group and this goalie to be able to shut down a solid Red Wings club! Detroit has won 5 of 7 games and they have scored an average of 3.6 goals last 7 games and allowed 3.5 goals per game last 8 games. Of course this is just looking at regulation goals. Yes this total is big at mostly a 7 but 9 of last 12 Red Wings games have totaled at least 7 goals. Given that and the Leafs situation here this should fly over. 10* OVER 7 +105 in Toronto |
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01-14-24 | Washington +1 v. UCLA | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (Pick or +1 or -1) @ UCLA Bruins @ 7 ET - The Bruins are a mess right now and they are hoping to fix things but it won't come quickly and it won't come against a solid Huskies team like this one. UCLA has been trying to fix things for awhile but the issue is that Cronin can't get the confidence of this team back. They get down on offense because their shots won't fall and they don't create the looks they need to on the offensive end so then they fall behind. As they see the scoreboard constantly going against them. their defense and rebounding also starts to struggle as they just lose their confidence. This has been a recurring pattern for this Cronin team this season and I don't see it turning around immediately. They will have to face a weaker foe in the right situation to turn this around. This is not the right team nor the right situation. Huskies roll. 10* WASHINGTON |
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01-14-24 | Packers +7 v. Cowboys | Top | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Green Bay Packers +7 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - The Cowboys have had an amazing regular season at home but take a closer look at the games. When they faced the Rams, LA was in the midst of a disastrous 3-6 start to the season. LA went 7-1 the rest of the way. When they faced the Eagles, Philly was shell-shocked off an embarrassing loss to the 49ers that began a season-ending 1-5 run. As for wins over other respectable teams, the win over the Seahawks was by just 6 points and the win over the Lions was by just a single point. Anyone who watched those two games knows Dallas very easily could (should) of lost both games outright! As for their other 4 home wins this season, those came against teams with a combined record of 21-47 this season! Per the above, the Cowboys 8-0 home record is a little over-valued. They are not facing a bad team here nor are they facing a team that has been stumbling. In fact they are facing a Packers team that finished the season on a 6-2 SU run! Green Bay played 17 games this season of course and only 3 of the 17 games were a GB loss by more than 4 points! Surprisingly all 3 of those ugly defeats came at home! The Packers were only 4-5 SU on the road but all 5 losses were by 4 or less points and those 5 defeats averaged just a 2.6 point margin. In other words, in this game Dallas is being asked to do something no other team has managed yet this season. The Cowboys are being asked to beat the traveling Packers by a spread greater than 4 points which makes this a 9-0 YTD factor as no team has done that this season! 10* GREEN BAY +7 |
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01-14-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200133: English Premier League: OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester United vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham is tied with Man City for highest scoring average on the road with 2.2 goals per match. Man U has surprisingly struggled this season but they have shown signs of a turnaround with 2 goals on average per match in their last 3 matches across all competitions. Also, this one will be an entertaining affair matching the wits of Ten Hag with Postecoglou and I expect a very competitive and aggressive affair. 2-2 final would not surprise me in the least given the numbers above and the fact that Tottenham's last two EPL matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. Also, as dangerous of each of these attacks can be when motivated, note that Tottenham has allowed 1.6 goals per match on the road this season and Man U has allowed 1.6 goals per match at home this season. In other words, both have certainly proved to have a backline that can be breached for solid opportunities. More of the same here. 10* OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester United |
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01-14-24 | Aston Villa v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #200129: English Premier League: OVER 2.5 -140 in Everton vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Aston Villa is one of the top teams in the league and has scored multiple goals in each of last 4 road matches. Everton averages a goal per match on the season and, on their home pitch, they should be good for making the net ripple at least once in this one. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and this one will get there as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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01-13-24 | Flames +101 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-1 | Win | 101 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Flames Money Line +100 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:07 ET - Calgary has been scoring plenty of goals and Vegas has not. This set up is PERFECT for the road upset here and it is a big reason this line is only in the pick'em range. The Knights have scored well only once in last 8 games. In the other 7 games they totaled only 9 goals in regulation time. Calgary has won 5 of 7 games and scored an average of 4.3 goals during this stretch. The Flames are a confident bunch right now at both ends of the ice and they get revenge here for losing the most recent game with Vegas in extra time. Payback here. 10* CALGARY +100 |
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01-13-24 | San Jose State v. Air Force -118 | Top | 70-67 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #790: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Air Force Falcons Pick (-120) vs San Jose State Spartans @ 9:30 ET - This line was around a -3.5 on Air Force but has now dropped to as low as a pick'em as of about 6 hours before tipoff. This is a tremendous value. I know the Falcons are on a 5-game losing streak but Utah State and Nevada were two of those five defeats and those teams have a combined record of 30-3 this season. The other three losses were each by a margin of 5 or less points. In other words, Air Force was on the cusp of victory in each of those 3 defeats. San Jose State is having struggles of their own and the Spartans are on the road here so this simply an over-reaction in the marketplace and we'll hop on the other side of this line move and cash in on the additional value. Also, the Falcons have double revenge from losing both games to the Spartans last season. They will bounce back here. 10* AIR FORCE Pick'em |
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01-13-24 | Bulls -5.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - Great set up here. The Spurs are off B2B wins and it has been over a year since they have won 3 straight! Indeed, you have to go back to December 2022 for the last time the Spurs won 3 games in a row! Adding to the value here is the fact that Wembanyama will be rested for San Antonio plus Chicago is off a loss. The Bulls, in other words, will be hungry here as they had won 3 straight before that loss and the defeat ruined their ring of honor night which also was ruined by the boos when long-time owner Jerry Krause, whose widow was in attendance, had his name announced. Unsurprisingly, the Bulls went on to get destroyed in the 2nd half after that. Also, this was even despite having a double digit edge at the half. So the Bulls will be ready here and the fact this game is on the road is even better for them after that debacle at home. It also keeps this line manageable. Considering that Wembanyama will not play because SA is in a B2B and considering this line is just 5.5 as of about 8 hours before tipoff, this is a great value! 10* CHICAGO (-) |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Miami Dolphins (+) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:15 ET - The Dolphins were at Buffalo in last season's playoffs and lost by just 3 points even though Miami was down to a 3rd string QB. For many years, it has been made a big deal when warm weather teams go to cold weather cities. However, Miami has certainly had their share of cold weather games in recent seasons. Also, this is a much a play against the Chiefs as it is a play on the Dolphins. Kansas City just has not looked as strong or as dominant this season. Kansas City went just 5-5 SU in their last 10 games and only 2 of the 5 wins were by more than a 1-score margin! This line is as high as a +5 as of 11 hours before kickoff and I love the value here with this scrappy Miami team. The Dolphins have the better rushing numbers both offensively and defensively in this match-up and that could be a key with brutally cold weather for this game in KC and gusty winds possible. This game could turn into a bit of a grinder and I like having the sizable points on my side here. Also, Kelce's numbers dropped off this season and there also was a decline late in the season. If you are sick of the Taylor Swift drama with Kelce - which perhaps this is impacting him too - don't be surprised if you don't have to worry about it after this week. An outright upset would not surprise me in the least as this is a hungry up-and-coming dog facing a once-dominant Chiefs team that is on the decline. We'll grab the points just in case but we may not even need them. 10* MIAMI (+) |
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01-13-24 | Browns -2 v. Texans | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns (-) @ Houston Texans @ 4:30 ET - Absolutely I respect the job they have done this season for the Texans but the fact is CJ Stroud is still a rookie QB making his first post-season appearance and DeMeco Ryans is still a first year head coach. Conversely, Kevin Stefanaski is in his 4th year as Browns head coach. They did make the post-season in his first season as head coach and won in the Wild Card Round over Pittsburgh. Though they lost to the AFC Champion Chiefs in the Divisional round but Kansas City went 14-2 that season. No shame in that. I like how Stefanaski took care of business for the Browns this season even though they had some significant injury issues. Also, Joe Flacco is a 38 year old veteran QB who had a huge push late this season and has this Browns team very confident heading into the post-season. He has thrown passes in 14 playoff games in his career over 6 different post-seasons. In his last 4 post-seasons he has 24 TD passes against only 5 INTs! Flacco is the veteran guy I want here and the Browns defense is the better D plus they come from a tougher division. The other 3 teams in their division went 33-18 this season while the other 3 teams in the Texans division went 24-27 and none of them made the post-season. The Browns, on the other hand, are one of 3 teams that made the playoffs out of 4 from the AFC North. There is a reason that Houston is a home underdog here. Don't let the line fool you! 10* CLEVELAND (-) |
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01-13-24 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - The fact that Haaland is out for City is keeping this total lower than normal. Keep in mind that City is getting some other injured players back for this one and this City club has been in solid form of late too. Newcastle has struggled recently but some time off at the break allowed them to recharge batteries if you will. Also, Newcastle known for being much stronger on the attack when on their home pitch. They have averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match at home this season. Manchester City has averaged scoring 2.1 goals per match on the road this season. So, even with some injury issues lingering for both sides, you can see why we still have plenty of value with the rather low total on this one. Newcastle United has averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 3 overall but also conceded 7 goals in last 2 matches in EPL action. City has scored an average of 3 goals in last 8 matches across all competitions. 8* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United |
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01-13-24 | Bayer Leverkusen v. FC Augsburg OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #202589: German Bundesliga: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen @ 9:30 AM ET - FC Augsburg is at home where they have been much stronger and have scored an average of 2 goals per match this season. That may be tough here as they now face the club that is at the top of the league table so far this season but the point is that expecting them to find the back of the net at least once here is not asking too much given their form at home. As for Bayer Leverkusen, this high-powered outfit can score anywhere and only Bayern Munich is averaging more goals than them this season. Leverkusen is a huge favorite here with good reason and they are scoring an average of 3 goals on the campaign. Look for at least a 3-1 final here. 10* OVER 3 -130 in FC Augsburg |
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01-12-24 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 135.5 | Top | 69-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #887: CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Demons have been getting hammered so far in Big East action but 3 of their 4 games have been against tough foes including this Villanova team. Though they lost 84-48 in the first meeting with the Wildcats this season, they actually had just as many shots from the field and also took two more three-pointers. The difference in that game was that DePaul was way off with their shooting in that game. The Blue Demons only made 30% from the field overall and only 4 of 24 from beyond the arc. Statistical odds give a strong factor that, of course, DePaul will shoot much better in this game. The problem is they can stop no none and Nova is coming off a loss too plus playing at home. So the Wildcats will be fired up for a strong performance at home and I expect the end result to be plenty of points scored in this one. 10* OVER 135.5 in Villanova |
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01-12-24 | Flyers -108 v. Wild | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) @ Minnesota Wild @ 8:07 ET - The Flyers will have Hart between the pipes which gives them a big edge over Minnesota having Fleury in the crease for this one. Hart is having a strong season while Fleury has mostly struggled including allowing 10 goals in last 3 starts and 37 in his last 11 starts! Hart is off a tough start but, prior to that, had allowed 2 or less goals in 5 of his last 7 starts. Even though the Flyers have struggled some recently, the Wild have particularly struggled with losses in 6 of 7 and having scored only 11 goals last 7 games! Minnesota also has allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 7 games so they are certainly having trouble at both ends of the ice right now and I look for it to continue here. There is a reason this line is a pick'em even though the Wild are on home ice. Don't let the line fool you. Philly is the play here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -113 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Sacramento Kings @ 7 ET - The Sixers are a PERFECT 6-0 SU the last 6 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. It has been a couple years since they ever had a losing streak more than 3 games. I know they are still without Embiid but this is why we are getting line value here with Philly at home at basically a pick'em price in this one. Given the line value and the home court edge, I have no hesitation in backing the Sixers here! Philly has proven before they can win without Embiid and keep in mind their most recent game was at Atlanta and they took the Hawks to OT before ultimately falling just short. That said, no hesitation in now backing them at home as they look to resume the winning! The Kings are off B2B wins but they have only won 3 straight games ONCE in the past two months! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-12-24 | Luton Town v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200137: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Burnley vs Luton Town @ 2:45 ET - These are two of the newly promoted clubs for this season and both are struggling overall. However, meetings between newly promoted sides this season have averaged totaling 4.3 goals apiece. Looking for at least 3 here is not a big ask. The last meeting was a 2-1 final with Burnley prevailing at Luton Town. Each one of these clubs is allowing 2 goals per match on average this season. Luton Town out for revenge but Burnley has the edge of home pitch here! Luton Town has seen each of last two matches in EPL action total 5 goals. Burnley off a 3-2 loss in EPL action and that was the 4th straight Burnley match in which the road team had scored at least 2 goals. More of the same expected here in what should turn into a high-scoring affair with both clubs hungry for the full 3 points in the table. 10* OVER 2.5 in Burnley |
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01-12-24 | Hoffenheim v. Bayern Munich OVER 4 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #202581: German Bundesliga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 4 in Bayern Munich vs Hoffenheim @ 2:30 ET - While 4 might seem like a big number, note that Hoffenheim have not been held scoreless in a road match since last April! Also note that Bayern Munich is certainly favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. Given these numbers, I am anticipating a 4-1 or 4-2 type match here or, at the very least, a 3-1 final which would at least give us a push. Hoffenheim has both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches. Bayern Munich is averaging 4 goals scored per match when at home in league action this season! 10* OVER 4 in Bayern Munich |
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01-11-24 | Bruins -118 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins Money Line -120 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:07 ET - The Golden Knights are in a B2B and off a 3-0 shutout loss and have a goalie issue. Hill was surprisingly kept on the IR yesterday, Thompson has been dealing with a illness so Patera started last night, that means it could be Saville tonight and he struggled last season at ECHL and AHL level. He has been better at the AHL level this season but this would be his NHL debut. That would not be easy against a Bruins team that was the best in the league in the regular season last season with a record-breaking season and also has been having a big season this year so far but comes in angry here. Off B2B tough losses - each in extra time - the Bruins will be ready to respond in a huge way here. Boston has averaged 4.5 goals per game last 8 games while the Knights have averaged scoring just 2 goals last 7 games. Vegas has lost 7 of 9. The Bruins, prior to B2B tight losses, had won 5 of 6 games. The road team is the hotter team and has the rest edge and has the better goalie situation. 10* BOSTON -120 |
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01-11-24 | Suns -104 v. Lakers | Top | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Pick'em -105/-110 or +1 @ LA Lakers @ 10 ET - This is a triple revenge spot for the Suns. They have lost all 3 to the Lakers this season. Los Angeles is off a 1-point win over the Raptors in which they were practically given the win on a silver platter by the refs. Toronto's head coach and, rightfully so, was about as angry as you will ever see a coach after a game. I honestly do not think the Lakers and LeBron "king of the flop" are going to be getting as many calls in the very next game after that complete embarrassment to the league in terms of officiating. Couple that with the fact you have the Suns entering this one off B2B losses and also having lost all 3 meetings with the Lakers this season and you have the perfect set up for an ultra strong effort from the road team in this one. Think about it...why else are the Lakers at home only a pick'em here when they have won all meetings this season? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. Grab the road team in this one! 10* PHOENIX Pick'em -105/-110 or +1 |
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01-11-24 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Illinois | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #817: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans (+) @ Illinois Illini @ 9 ET - This is one of those "someone knows something" lines. The Spartans are only 3.5 dogs here as of about 9 hours before game time. That would mean these teams are rated equally on a neutral floor but yet Illinois is a ranked team in the Top Ten and has only 3 losses this season while the Spartans already have 6 losses including 3 in the Big Ten! In what universe could this line be only 3.5 on the Illini given these facts? Exactly! That is why the play here, in my typical contrarian fashion, is absolutely on Michigan State. Keep in mind the Spartans lost the only meeting between these teams last season so this is also a revenge spot for them. The Illini are currently without Terrence Shannon Jr after off the court issue that continues under investigation. Though they only lost by 5 points at Purdue they were down big most of the game and, by as many as 21 points, and they never led the entire way in the 5-point loss. The Illini shot a higher 3 point percentage than usual and that helped the cause and it should have been a loss by double digits. The Spartans also off a loss in which they were done in by turnover margin and points off turnovers killed them. They will respond here. So well-coached under Izzo and they will clean things up here and they catch Illinois off a game in which they gave a lot of effort twice battling back from huge deficits in that game. Spartans have great shot at the upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. Illinois also won both meetings the year before last so this is a double revenge spot. 10* MICHIGAN STATE (+) |
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01-11-24 | Blackhawks v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
NHL 8* Winnipeg Jets Puck Line -1.5 -145 vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 8:07 ET - The Blackhawks Mrazek is off a solid start but he allowed 4.5 goals per outing in his 4 most recent appearances prior to that. The Jets will go with their #2 option (Brossoit) here and he has been great when getting the nod instead of Hellebuyck lately. He has allowed only 2 goals per game in his last 5 starts. This is also a revenge game for the Jets as they lost at Chicago in the most recent game. That is why I am confident that Winnipeg will come out strong here and continue their red hot run. The Jets have been red hot with wins in 7 straight games! Their only loss the last 10 games was to the Blackhawks. They will absolutely be ready for revenge here. Chicago is an ugly 4-17-1 in their road games this season. The Jets are on top of the NHL with a 27-9-4 record this season. This has the makings of a blowout! 8* WINNIPEG -1.5 -145 |
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01-11-24 | Frosinone v. Juventus OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #201613: Coppa Italia: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Juventus vs Frosinone @ 3 ET - Juventus scored 6 goals in their first Coppa Italia match and Frosinone scored 4 goals in their most recent one in Coppa Italia action and has scored an average of 2.3 goals in their last 3 matches in Coppa Italia action. Overall, Juventus has averaged 2 goals per match last 9 matches. Frosinone has scored an average of 1.6 goals last 14 matches. Frosinone has seen 4 straight matches and 7 of last 8 total at least 3 goals. We'll see at least that here as Juventus also has scored 2 goals per match last 5 meetings. Considering this plus the fact that Frosinone is scoring better of late but still having defensive struggles, this should fly over the total. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Juventus |
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01-11-24 | Osasuna v. Barcelona FC OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #238005: Supercopa de Espana: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +100 in Barcelona vs Osasuna @ 2 ET - The last 3 meetings have all been Barcelona victories but each by only a one-goal margin. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as Barcelona has averaged 2.2 goals in the last 5 meetings between the clubs and Osasuna has scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches! Barcelona has averaged 2 goals in last 11 games. Barcelona has a history of high-scoring matches in these Supercopa matches and it continues here. 10* OVER 3 +100 in Barcelona |
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01-11-24 | Samsunspor v. Trabzonspor OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #207937: Turkish Super Lig: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Trabzonspor vs Samsunspor @ Noon ET - Trabzonspor matches have averaged 3 goals this season. Samsunspor road matches have averaged 3 goals this season. This one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final so the over 2.5 is a solid value here. Trabzonspor enters this one having averaged 2 goals per match their last 7 matches. The last two meetings between these clubs totaled 3 and 4 goals respectively. Samsunspor is off a 1-0 win but this was preceded by 6 of last 8 matches totaling at least 3 goals. They both scored and conceded in 7 of those 8 matches. That means strong odds of this one getting to at least 1-1 and then a draw is unlikely given that Samsunspor has just 1 in 9 road matches this season and Trabzonspor has just 1 in 9 home matches. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Trabzonspor |
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01-10-24 | Oklahoma +5.5 v. TCU | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #739 CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners (+) @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - Much is made of home court edge in College Basketball and certainly it is valid that there is a solid edge in College Hoops for the host. However, this Sooners team is loaded with plenty of upper classmen as well as not freshmen in its entire normal playing rotation. Oklahoma is being undervalued here as they are 13-1 SU this season. I realize they are playing their first true road game of this season but they are 3-1 in neutral site games and plus the players they have got plenty of road experience in the past too. This is not a big group of freshmen going on the road. That said, these teams split last season with each team winning at home including the Sooners knocking off the Horned Frogs in Norman, OK in the last regular season game. That makes this a revenge spot but TCU already has 3 losses this season and I feel strongly that they are over-valued here. We have seen this line go from an opener in the 3-point range to now as high as nearly a half-dozen points in the market place as of about 10 hours before tipoff. If you look at the Frogs schedule so far, they had a soft very early-season schedule. As it has toughened up they have struggled and lost 3 games in the more recent action. Also, they have a huge game on deck with Houston. Not only are the Cougars another Big 12 foe from the same state, they are currently undefeated and #2 in the entire country. This spot going to be a battle down to the wire the way I see it. Also, will there be a normal crowd for this game? The kids at TCU are still on a winter break before classes resume. How much will home court matter? Not enough the way I see it. This is also a well-coached Sooners team and I expect them to surprise here! 10* OKLAHOMA (+) |
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01-10-24 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 132-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are just 6-14 SU last 20 games. Trae Young is expected to play in this one but it is evident from his recent shooting numbers from distance that the right shoulder is bothering him. The 76ers will be without Joel Embiid but this is a "rally the troops" type of game off B2B losses and having proven many times before that they can be okay without Embiid when they have to. If the Sixers win this game straight-up then of course it is an ATS win as they are an underdog of 1.5 to 2 points here as of about 10 hours before tipoff for this one! Philly, including post-season, is a PERFECT 5-0 the last 5 times they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. That includes a PERFECT 3-0 this season. I look for this situation to make it a perfect 4-0 here on the season and perfect 6-0 long-term. Before these B2B losses Philly was 23-10 this season. The Hawks started the season 8-7 but have gone 6-14 since. This line, even though Atlanta is at home, is still over-adjusted because of Embiid being out. That means value here with the road dog. Grab the points but we should not need them. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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01-10-24 | Fulham v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200605: EFL Cup: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -115 in Liverpool vs Fulham @ 3 ET - The last time these clubs met in Liverpool it was a 4-3 win for the Reds. The last time they met at Fullham it was a 2-2 draw. Liverpool consistently reaches the 2-goal mark in matches but Fulham can be dangerous particularly against a weak backline. Liverpool was VERY lucky against Arsenal in their most recent match. The Gunners failed to cash on so many great chances in which they breached the backline. Liverpool could have easily been down by multiple goals in that match with Arsenal. Fulham has scored an average of 2 goals last 9 matches and, before 1-0 win over Rotterham, had allowed 2 goals per match last 5 matches. 10* OVER 3 -115 in Liverpool |
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01-10-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #238001: Spanish Supercopa: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid @ 2 ET in Saudi Arabia - Atletico Madrid won the most recent meeting in September by a count of 3 to 1. However, Real Madrid has not lost a match since then and they bring red hot form into this one. Of course, this is why Real Madrid is favored here but note that each of the last 4 meetings have seen both clubs score. That is why I am anticipating at least a 2-1 final here. Atletico Madrid has scored in each of the last 5 meetings between these teams but, of course, Real Madrid is favored here with good reason. Real Madrid has averaged 2.5 goals in their current unbeaten run of 19 matches. Atletico Madrid has scored at least 2 goals in 16 of last 21 matches! You can see why I am expecting goals to again fly in this rivalry and take the run to 4 of last 5 meetings totaling at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Real Madrid |
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01-10-24 | Roma v. Lazio OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #201605: Coppa Italia: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +100 in Lazio vs Roma @ Noon ET - Lazio has been hot in the Italian Serie A action over their last dozen league games. Roma has a +10 goal differential this season so they have been impressive as well overall. I know the last three meetings between these clubs have yielded few goals but this followed finals of 3-0 and 3-2 in the two prior meetings. Roma enters this one with 11 of last 13 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Lazio enters this one on a run in which 6 straight matches have totaled at least 2 goals. After the first meeting in league action was a 0-0 draw look for a much different result here in Coppa Italia action as current form suggests 2 or more goals is not a big ask in this one. 10* OVER 2 +100 in Lazio |
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01-09-24 | Bruins v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
OVER 5.5 or 6 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Bruins @ 9 ET - The Bruins will be fired up here after a 4-3 loss in OT at Colorado last night. Arizona has struggled recently at home but that means they will also be ready to go here on home ice! They faced some really tough teams and struggled to find the back of the net but I feel the Bruins will prove susceptible in this one on defense in this back to back situation. The Coyotes have allowed 4.4 goals per game in their last 5 home games. 4 of the 5 did total at least 6 goals and I like the odds of that here as well. Boston has scored an average of 5 goals per game last 7 games. The Bruins have only had one strong game in terms of goals allowed in their last 6 games. In the other 5 games Boston allowed an average of 4 goals per game. Look for this one to total plenty of goals given the situation and I look for plenty of attacking from each club as they are each hungry to get back into the win column. OVER 5.5 or 6 in Arizona |
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01-09-24 | Grizzlies v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are laying about 8.5 points here as of 10 hours before game time. This is a great value considering the Mavs are rolling and now the Grizzlies just lost Morant for the rest of the season. This is the final match-up between these divisional foes these season. Shockingly, the road team has taken all 3 so far but this one is an entirely different situation with the Mavericks on a power surge and also able to take advantage of a short-handed Memphis team. Dallas has won 3 straight games and Memphis is off B2B wins but is still 10 games below .500 on the season! They really have struggled when Morant has not been available and now that is the case again here and the Grizzlies are 6-3 with Morant this season and went 7-20 without him! Mavs roll huge at home. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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01-09-24 | Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 8:37 ET - The Blackhawks do tend to score better at home. Even though they lost Bedard to injury, they scored 2 goals in that loss and that followed that up with a 4-3 win in their first game without him after that defeat in which he got injured. They will push hard here at home and, historically, the Oilers are known for slipups in games like this in which they could look right past a bad team like Chicago. So some goals will be conceded here but ultimately Edmonton - one of the highest scoring teams in the league season after season in recent years - will prove to be too much in the offensive zone. They allowed at least 4 goals in 10 of last 13 games before the 4-3 win. Edmonton has scored an average of nearly 5 goals per game in their 7-game winning streak. So look for a 5-3 type game here and we only need 7 to be a winner. OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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01-09-24 | Kansas State -120 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Big 12: Rotation #607: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Kansas State Wildcats (-) @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 7 ET - Line value here with this line as low as -1.5 plus there are some pick'em -120 options out there on the money line. This is as of about 7 hours before tipoff. This is a revenge game for the Wildcats as they lost to the Mountaineers in the regular season finale last year. At the time they had a chance at a higher seed in the Big 12 tourney. They went on to lose in their first game of the Big 12 tourney. Here is their first shot at redemption against the Mountaineers and the Cats enter this game 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against unranked foes this season. West Virginia is having a much tougher time so far this season in comparison with Kansas State. The Mountaineers enter this game on a 3-8 run. West Virginia has a reputation of being a tough place play but they already have surprising losses this season with a loss to Radford plus losing by 17 to Pittsburgh here. They also lost to St John's and Monmouth here. This will be payback for the Wildcats and I like them in particular after the line has dropped on this one from its opener. 10* KANSAS STATE (-) |
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01-09-24 | Chelsea v. Middlesbrough OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200601: EFL Cup Semi-Finals: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Middlesbrough vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - Middlesbrough has allowed 2 goals per match last 5 meetings with Chelsea. Also, Chelsea is now an ever more aggressive club since the manager change. They have averaged 2.2 goals last 6 matches and they will want to get a big edge on Middlesbrough in the first leg of this two-leg match-up. Chelsea off a 4-0 win but, prior to this, allowed at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and gave up an average of 1.5 goals in these 4 matches! Middlesbrough enters this one off a 1-0 loss but this was preceded by them averaging 1.8 goals per match last 11 matches. I look for them to get on the board here given all of the above but, of course, they can not stop Chelsea either and this one looks like a 3-2 or 3-1 type final. Like the value of the plus money in this one at over 3 goals and we'll jump on it. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Middlesbrough |
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01-09-24 | Bologna v. Fiorentina OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #201691: Coppa Italia: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Fiorentina vs Bologna @ 3 ET - These Coppa Italia meetings can play out differently but 4 of the last 5 meetings, including 3 in a row, between these clubs in Serie A have totaled at least 3 goals. Even though Fiorentina is known for lower-scoring matches, I like them to make the net ripple at least once here at home in this one. However, Bologna has the stronger attacking firepower and will be up for the challenge as well. Bologna has seen 13 of last 15 matches total at least 2 goals and that is the posted total on this match which is a solid value. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals in these 15 matches. I am looking for a 2-1 type battle here and we have the added value of the low total here. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Fiorentina |
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01-08-24 | Washington +5 v. Michigan | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
CFB Championship Game Monday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - Wow! A pair of 14-0 teams matched up for the Championship Game! The Wolverines and Huskies are both 14-0 now this season. The Wolverines have a great defense but I don't see them shutting down this ultra talented Washington offense. At the same time, the defense of Huskies is NOT their strength yet they have stepped up as needed throughout this season including last week against Texas. Here they do it again and get enough stops to let their offense do the rest to get the outright win in my opinion. We will grab the points just in case but I really do not expect to need them. Currently this line as high as a 5 as of very early game day morning which is a huge value. Alabama, who many felt should not have even made the CFB playoffs, should have beaten Michigan last week no questions asked. Conversely, the Huskies beat a Longhorns team quite handily last week that is the same Texas team that beat the Crimson Tide earlier this season. The point is that all of the above means Wolverines a little overvalued here and Huskies a little undervalued. The value is with the dog in this one. The Huskies did play the tougher schedule this season in comparison with Michigan. Grab the points in this one and look for Pennix to have another massive game as his Huskies outduel McCarthy and the Wolverines in this one. The underdog just has too much offense. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-08-24 | Celtics v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 131-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The Celtics are dealing with a number of injury concerns entering this one. Boston just hammered the Pacers at Indiana Saturday but look at a key stat from that game and that tells you all you need to know here. The Celtics made 16 of 41 threes while the Pacers made just 8 of 42 threes. bey is very unusual for this high-scoring Indiana team and yet the Celtics won that game by only 17 points. That means if you back out the 24 point edge from beyond the arc, the Pacers win the game OUTRIGHT by 7 points! Considering this plus immediate revenge plus a 2nd chance at home against Boston plus all the Celtics injuries, the home team underdog looks like a great option here. The Pacers will be better on the boards in this one too. It was an all-around embarrassing effort so this is a great opportunity for immediate revenge and they will make the most of it! Grab the points - currently 3.5 as of early game day morning. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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01-08-24 | Penguins v. Flyers +113 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +105 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:07 ET - The Penguins have lost 2 of 3 and allowed an average of 4 goals per game. The Flyers have already won both meetings with the Pens this season though it took extra time. Also, Philadelphia enters this game having allowed 2 or less goals in regulation time of 10 of last 15 games and allowed an average of only 1.4 goals in those 10 games. The Flyers are healthy right now and they are undervalued in this one based on home ice, solid goaltending of late, and they have added confidence of winning the first two meetings with the Pens this season. Pittsburgh is still a solid club but they are getting a little long in the tooth while the Flyers are up and coming team that is starting to jell. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #861: CBB Monday 10* Top Play Northeastern Huskies (+) @ Monmouth Hawks @ 7 ET - The Huskies are just 5-9 this season and the Hawks are 8-6 this season plus hosting this game! That being said, how is it that Monmouth is just a 2.5 to 3.5 point favorite in this one even on their home floor? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you! This one has trap written all over it and I expect Northeastern to roll here just like they did in last year's victory by a 15-point margin. The Huskies have played a tougher schedule than the Hawks so far in my opinion and that is part of the reason this game is priced this way. Again, do not let this line fool you. Grab the underdog here! 10* NORTHEASTERN (+) |
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01-08-24 | Manchester United v. Wigan Athletic OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200529: English FA Cup: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in Wigan Athletic vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - This is a League One club hosting a Premier League club and I look for the hosts to make the net ripple at least once as they battle hard on their home pitch. However, the hosts will not be able to stop their more talented visitors and Man U has shown some signs of turning things around finally though off a loss in most recent match. Manchester United is a heavy favorite for a reason here and I expect them to explode for solid goal-scoring here. Due to their struggles overall, this competition has extra importance for Man U this season so they should have a strong focus for this match and field a strong lineup as well. The result should be at least a 3-1 final here and they have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Wigan by a count of 4-0 and that will also serve our purposes here just fine as well. 10* OVER 3 -105 in Wigan Athletic |
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01-08-24 | Casa Pia v. Moreirense OVER 2.25 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206769: Portugal Primeira Liga: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Moreirense vs Casa Pia @ 3:15 ET - This total is available as low as 2 goals with juice on the over. Of course 2 is a key number in totals and I feel we have excellent value here in taking a shot on the over in this one. Casa Pia has seen their road matches averaged 3 goals apiece this season as they are are scoring 1.3 goals but allowing 1.5 goals when away from home. Moreirense has seen their home matches average 3 goals apiece as well and we just need 2 goals for a push but given the above numbers you can see why I am fully expecting 3 or more goals in this one. Moreirense had a 5-2 home win in most recent match as a host. Casa Pia's last 3 matches have all been 3-1 finals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Moreirense |
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01-07-24 | Bills -2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) @ Miami Dolphins @ 8:20 ET - The line is as low as a 2.5 on the Bills here as of early game day morning so it is go time with this one. Buffalo has won 4 straight games and has all the momentum. Not only have the Bills won 4 straight games, they also dominated the Dolphins in their meeting earlier this season. Miami also enters this game after having had their doors blown off by the Ravens last week. It sets up well for continued domination for the Bills in this one as they have won 9 of the last 10 meetings SU. Also, the Bills have a good recent history in the final game of the regular season as they are 5-1 ATS L6 and, with this one for the AFC East title, Buffalo will be fully prepared again. Against possible division winning teams, the Dolphins only have one win and that was against Dallas in a tight game recently. Their other games against these Bills, the Eagles, the Chiefs and the Ravens were all losses. Miami just not quite there yet in terms of their performance in the most pressure-packed games. This is another one here and the Bills have more experience in these types of affairs and that pays off here. 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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01-07-24 | Eagles -4 v. Giants | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) @ New York Giants @ 4:25 ET - Waiting has paid off here as we are now seeing the Eagles available as low as a -4 as of early gameday morning. This is an excellent line value as Philly is motivated to win for more reasons than one. Not only do they still have hopes of the Cowboys losing and opening the door for Eagles to win the division, they also just need to win to get back on track before the playoffs start. Remember they led Arizona 21-6 at the half in last week's loss. That's no excuse but is just a fact and they are capable of winning by a solid margin here against a Giants team they have beaten in 17 of the last 20 meetings. Keep in mind, both teams have struggled on defense this season but the Eagles have the much stronger attack on offense and I don't see New York as being able to keep up in this one. Prior to last week's 1-point loss, 9 of the Giants 10 losses this season have been by 5 or more points. 8 of the Eagles 11 wins this season have been by 5 or more points. The point is that with the drop on this line we now have solid line value here. If you expect the Eagles to win SU which logically most do, then you can also see that the odds favor that SU win also being an ATS cover. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-07-24 | Cowboys v. Commanders +13 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Commanders (+) vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The Commanders are getting 13 points here and I feel strongly that it is just too much. I know Washington has struggled but Dallas is their biggest rival. If they can prevent the Cowboys from winning the division, they will certainly go hard in that endeavor. The key here is we don't need Washington to win this game outright to cash our ticket, we just need them to keep the game respectable and I fully expect them to do just that. Keep in mind, Dallas is just 2-5 SU last 7 road games and one of those was a win by just a 3-point margin. The Cowboys enter this game having failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Other than a blowout win over the Eagles, the Cowboys have allowed 27 ppg in their other 4 recent games. Sam Howell has had some big yardage numbers in his starts this season, including 300 against Dallas earlier this season, but he just needs to cut down on his mistakes. Look for Howell to make the most of his 2nd chance in a game that is the Commanders Super Bowl for this season. They will make the most of the chance and I look for this game to be tight throughout. Grab the big points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-07-24 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200525: English FA Cup: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals in last 4 matches even though one of those was a 1-1 draw with Arsenal. Look for a different match this time around. We are seeing this total held at 3 goals in a lot of spots despite the Reds missing Mohamed Salah for this one. I feel we have strong value here as a result as the books are telling you they expect the same thing we do - plenty of goals - despite the absence of Salah. That said, also note that the two meetings before the 1-1 draw totaled 4 and 5 goals and I expect a similar result here. Others will up their game in the absence of Salah for the Reds and, at the same time, Arsenal will be tough on their home pitch as they enter this one off B2B losses and looking to bounce back strong. They will do so but Liverpool will match them goal for goal in what I anticipate being a 2-2 showdown. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Arsenal |
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01-07-24 | Blackpool v. Nottingham OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200521: English FA Cup: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +115 in Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool @ 9 AM ET - Nottingham Forest has been a different club since the managerial change and each of their last 3 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Blackpool plays in English League One and they are outclassed here against a Premier League outfit. That said, they will be giving up goals here but I do expect them to find the back of the net as well. Blackpool is off a 2-0 win but, prior to this, 10 of last 11 matches totaled at least 3 goals! 10* OVER 3 +115 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-06-24 | Islanders v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs New York Islanders @ 10:07 ET - This is a bounce back spot for the Knights on home ice. I know they have been struggling and I do not trust them based on their goalie situation but they should score goals here. The issue here is they continue to allow too any goals. The Golden Knights have allowed 4 goals per game last 11 games. The Islanders are off a 5-1 win at Arizona but this followed them allowing nearly 4 goals per game last 11 games as well. With VGK desperate to get back on track at home and the Isles off a confidence-boosting 5-1 win, the goals should fly in this one! 10* OVER 6 in Vegas |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts +2.5 | Top | 23-19 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Indianapolis Colts (+) vs Houston Texans @ 8:15 ET - This line is mostly a 2 but has moved to as high as a 2.5 on the Texans as of about 9 hours before kickoff and that means it is go time with the Colts in this one! Indianapolis has won 6 of 8 games including 4 in a row in non-road games. 3 of those were at home and one was at Frankfurt. Some of their stats are ugly but, the fact is, Indy keeps finding a way. They have allowed only 15 ppg in those 4 victories. The Texans have not won B2B games since they strung together a 3-game winning streak that lasted until mid-November. Houston is 0-3 SU last 3 times they were off a win. CJ Stroud has been a solid QB for the Texans but his numbers are stronger at home than on the road. Overall, the Texans won their most recent road game in OT but had lost 4 of 6 away from home. The Colts home field edge is the difference maker in this key battle in the AFC South! 10* INDIANAPOLIS (+) |
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01-06-24 | Texas Tech +7 v. Texas | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #783: CBB Saturday Texas Tech (+) @ Texas @ 8 ET - This is a rivalry game. Last season the home team did win each game but both games were tight. With this one moving as high as a 7 as of 6 hours before tipoff, we have excellent value with the big dog here. UT is ranked and Texas Tech is not but the Red Raiders are off to a hot start this season with only 2 losses and one of those was in OT. They match up well with Texas and are fully capable of pushing Texas to the limit in this one. UT has played a weaker schedule recently and that could hurt them here. Keep in mind, they have not played as well against stronger teams this season. As a ranked team, all the pressuer ison the Horns here as well. Don't be surprised if they are pushed to the limit here and the Red Raiders take this one to the wire. Tech has some veteran leadership which helps in a tough Big 12 road game like this. The visitors will be ready. 10* Texas Tech (+) |
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01-06-24 | Jazz v. 76ers -11 | Top | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers have some injury question marks but those are minor and don't be surprised if most, if not all, of those guys play in this one. Also, the Sixers are not just off a home loss, it was the worst loss of the season and it came right here in Philly. The 76ers next game is on the road so don't be surprised if they go all out here in this chance to get right back on track. The Sixers bounce back after almost every loss and the Jazz just got hammered at Boston. Yes, Utah wants to bounce back but they are still on the road. and a lot of their recent wins were over poor teams with bad records. Tonight they face an angry beast on the road and this one gets ugly. This is the type of situation where the Sixers will keep the pedal to the metal all game long! This line has dropped to the 11 range as of about 6.5 hours before tipoff. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 34 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Saturday OVER the total in Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:30 ET - Ravens already locked up a spot in the post-season including the #1 seed in the AFC so that means Huntley will be at QB instead of Jackson. However, Baltimore is known for playing well even in meaningless games as their preseason record under Harbaugh has shown for many years. Also, Huntley has plenty of NFL experience including as a starter so he could move this Ravens offense better than many might expect. Additionally, the Steelers offense has been better with Rudolph at QB. Of course the Ravens will want to prevent their long-time rival from earning a playoff berth so I am expecting a solid effort from them here but the Steelers are desperate and will pull out all the stops here - more passing than usual, trick plays, getting the ball downfield quickly, hurry-up offense, etc - and with the drop on this total all the way down to as low as 34 as of about 5 and 1/2 hours before game time, it is go time with this one! 10* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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01-06-24 | Real Madrid v. Arandina OVER 3.75 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 50 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #202221: Copa del Rey: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -135 in Arandina vs Real Madrid @ 3:30 ET - Even though Arandina made a good run to get here they are one of the lower tier clubs and now they face one of the best in Spain. Real Madrid, even with resting players here, will be able to lay a beatdown in this one. Perhaps Arandina, buoyed by confidence based on their surprising performance in the Copa del Rey, will make the net ripple at least once here. However, Real Madrid is a heavy 2.5 goal line favorite for a reason. Look for a 4-1 type final in this one and don't let the big number scare you on this total as the depth of attacking talent for Real Madrid will insure there will be a good pace with this match with plenty of goalmouth action. 10* OVER 3.5 -135 |
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01-05-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -6 | Top | 128-92 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers are stronger at home than on the road and their 13 point win in most recent game does not even do it justice. Philly led by as many as 31 points in that game but then took their foot off the gas. Also, they were able to rest guys in that one and no one played more than 31 minutes. They will be rested and ready for this one and this line is currently in the -6 range but that suggests that the Sixers are only 3 points better than the Knicks on a neutral floor and I disagree with that. The Knicks are improving but they are not that close to the Sixers level. Also, New York is 9-11 on the road while Philly is 13-4 at home. Those are SU records of course but 9 of the Knicks last 11 losses have been by at least 9 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Capitals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 155 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +155 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:07 ET - The Hurricanes have revenge here as they lost their only game with the Capitals this season. Carolina has been playing much better of late and has won 4 straight games. Also, I am not crazy about laying the puck line here rather than the money line but the money line is too pricey. Also, the puck line gives us a great shot at a big plus money return and it is supported by recent results as well. Carolina has had 10 of last 13 wins come by a multi-goal margin. Also, the Capitals have lost 4 of 5 games and the loss of TJ Oshie for a period of time has been a big one for the Caps. They have been a different club without Backstrom as well. Also, the goalie loss of Lindgren has hurt them as he was getting a lot of playing time due to his performance. The performances of Kuemper and Shepard have been a concern for this Washington club which is why Lindgren, now injured, had been playing a lot. 11 of the Capitals 12 losses in regulation time this season have been by 2+ goals and I feel strongly the Hurricanes will be very aggressive in this revenge spot and will not risk OT or SO! In other words, another multi-goal regulation loss for the Capitals. 10* CAROLINA -1.5 +155 |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut -4 v. Butler | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Friday CBB 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Butler Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Last night this side was 6.5 and now it is in the 4 to 4.5 range as of 6.5 hours before tipoff. This is just too low. Connecticut is such a strong team and even against tough, ranked opponents, they have impressed this season. I know the Bulldogs are looking better this season than last season and they have long been known for a strong homecourt edge, however the Huskies are too tough. Note that UConn won both meetings last season, each in blowout fashion. Also, the Bulldogs have often struggled against tougher competition this season. So it is true that Butler is 10-4 this season and the Huskies are only slightly better at 12-2 in terms of SU records. However, look at the talent level of each team and the performance against high-quality foes and you will see that the Huskies have huge edges. With this number coming down, I have no hesitation in getting involved here. 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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01-05-24 | Burnley v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200417: English FA Cup: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +100 in Tottenham vs Burnley @ 3 ET - Even if some Tottenham rests some regulars here it is their style of play and their depth of talent that is plenty of reason to believe this one gets to an over. The total moved from a 3 to a 3.5 which is another reason to expect plenty of scoring here. Tottenham has scored 2.6 goals per match last 7 matches. Tottenham also has allowed 2 goals per match last 10 matches! The last time these clubs met it was a 5-2 win for the Hotspur! Burnley is off a 3-2 loss at Aston Villa and they have now scored 5 goals in last 3 road matches but continue to struggle to stop clubs. That will continue here and the result should be a 3-2 or 3-1 type match in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 +100 in Tottenham |
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01-05-24 | Rotherham United v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Fulham vs Rotherham United @ 2:30 ET - Rotherham last met with Fulham a few years ago and though that one was a 1-0 battle this followed 3 meetings averaging 4 goals per match. Rotherham has only 1 recent victory and in their other 6 matches over the past 4 weeks they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match. Fulham has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 5 matches and this was preceded by B2B matches that were 5-0 Fulham victories and that was preceded by high-scoring matches as well. Fulham's last 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! You can see why I am expecting a high-scoring battle here given all of the above. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Fulham |
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01-04-24 | Bucks -9.5 v. Spurs | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 7:30 ET - Yes, this line is a big one at 9.5 overnight but the Bucks absolutely should win this one by double digits. Milwaukee is in the 2nd game of a B2B but will still play very well here as they are off B2B losses so they will be fired up for this game against a lesser opponent. The Bucks have not lost 3 straight games all season. As for the Spurs, they are having a very rough season and many of their recent losses, even at home, have come by a big margin. San Antonio has lost 26 of 28 games and each of their last 3 home losses have come by at least a dozen points. The average margin of those 3 home losses was 27 points and another ugly one awaits here as Bucks are fired up to get back on track. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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01-04-24 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 +130 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are happy to be back home and they are facing a team they have dominated this season with wins in both meetings this season each coming by multi-goal margins. This is a great spot to back Philly as they are back home after a long road trip and they are on a 3-game losing streak. They have yet to have a 4-game losing streak this season so the odds certainly favor a bounce back here. Philly did lose most recent home game but this was on the heels of a 3-game winning streak and they do tend to play better here at home. The Blue Jackets are having a very rough season and have lost 25 of 35 games! Columbus has lost their two meetings with Philly by a combined 9 to 4 score this season and another ugly loss is likely here given the situation. The Flyers are starting a much-needed homestand and I sense a huge effort here as they right the ship on home ice against a Jackets team dealing with some injury issues as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +130 |
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01-04-24 | NC-Wilmington v. Drexel -120 | Top | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #768: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons Pick'em -120 vs UNC-Wilmington Seahawks @ 7 ET - The Dragons were favored by about 3 but have dropped to nearly a pick'em in the -120 range in some spots (keep an eye on money lines) with this one. Drexel has been quietly surprising and people in the Philly area see it but many other don't. The fact is that the Dragons recent loss at Bryant was a wake-up call after B2B blowout wins. Drexel has won their other 3 recent games and dominated those by a an average score of 96 to 59! The Dragons face a traditionally tough customer in the form of the Seahawks here. However, in comparison with NC Wilmington this season, Drexel has been the better team defensively and they are strong on the boards. Couple all this with home court edge and the line move creating additional value and I just could not stay away from this one! Last season the Dragons season ended because of a CAA conference tourney loss to UNC Wilmington by just 5 points. They also lost the regular season meeting with Philly by just 1 point in double OT! In other words, the Dragons have revenge on their minds here and also I feel this Seahawks team is a step down from last year's UNC Wilmington team and this year's Dragons team is a step up from last season. The numbers will continue to bear that out as the season goes on and I am backing the home team with double revenge here! 10* DREXEL Pick'em -120 |
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01-04-24 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: EFL Cup: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 3 ET - There is a reason this line is holding at a 2.5 rather than dropping to a 2 after opening at 2.25 in most books. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as Crystal Palace has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals! Crystal Palace has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches and 8 of last 9. Everton has allowed 9 goals in last 4 matches but also had scored 10 goals in last 6 matches before a shutout loss in most recent match. 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 meetings that did actually averaged 4 goals per match! This one gets to 3 or more as these clubs battle it out in EFL Cup action. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Crystal Palace |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks OVER 247 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:40 ET - This total is as low as a 247 as of 8 hours before tipoff and I am fully expecting this one gets into the 250s at least. The Thunder are off the huge home win over Boston last night. I do not expect the defense of OKC to be at its best after such a big win like that. However, this Thunder team continues to pile up points and the Hawks are certainly known for giving up big numbers! Atlanta, well-rested here and at home, will look to run and gun here and drive Oklahoma City right out of the arena. However, OKC has the firepower to keep up. It sets this one up well to have a great pace with very little defense and plenty of stretches in which the teams are simply trading buckets. Note that the Hawks have allowed 124 ppg in their last 16 games. However, Atlanta is also averaging 122 ppg this season. The Thunder have fared well in B2B spots this season with a 3-0 record and averaging 129 ppg. However, OKC has allowed big points this season too...just like the Hawks. The pacing and situational aspects of this one set it up perfectly to get it into the 250s. These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league plus the Thunder are hot plus the Hawks have revenge here for a loss at OKC earlier this season. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta |
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01-03-24 | St. Joe's -5.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #671: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St Joseph's Hawks (-) @ Rhode Island Rams @ 7 ET - The Rams started the 2021-22 season with a 12-4 mark. Since then, Rhode Island is 18-41 SU! If you look at their games so far this season their wins have been against weaker foes and St Joe's certainly does not fall into that category! The Hawks are off a huge win by a 41-point margin and have won 7 of last 8 games which included a win over a ranked Villanova team! Also, they took a ranked Kentucky team to OT before losing. This St Joseph's team is very solid this season and this is an absolute bargain line against a still struggling Rams team. Not only is Rhode Island 18-41 SU, they also had lost 5 straight before a win over Northeastern in their most recent game. By the way, 8 of the Rams last 9 losses have been by double digits so the small number here - 5.5 range as of 7 hours before tipoff should not be an issue. 10* ST JOSEPH'S (-) |
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01-03-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Girona OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #201993: Spanish La Liga: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +110 in Girona vs Atletico Madrid @ 3:30 ET - Girona and Atletico Madrid both near the top of the table and Girona is on their home pitch here where they have been particularly dominant. Atletico Madrid is averaging 2 goals per match this season and Girona is averaging 2.3 goals per match this season and this has the makings of a high-scoring affair featuring plenty of attacking. Remember that Girona is off a 1-1 draw in which they tried to sit on a 1-goal lead and paid for it when their opponent got a late equalizer so they will be more aggressive here. Also, in their most recent match against a high-quality opponent, it was a wild 4-2 win over Barcelona. So this Girona club - the highest scoring club in the league - is certainly not afraid to get into a shootout! Also they are without a defender plus Atletico Madrid is down a few defenders as well. Look for a rather wide-open affair in this one. We will go with the over 3 at plus money here for maximum payback value. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Girona |
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01-03-24 | Mallorca v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #201985: Spanish La Liga: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +115 in Real Madrid vs Mallorca @ 1:15 ET - Real Madrid is at the top of the table and they are on their home pitch here where they have been particularly dominant. Real Madrid is averaging 2.6 goals per match this season as a host. Mallorca is averaging a goal per match on the road this season and should make the net ripple at least once here. Real Madrid is a heavy 1.5 goal line favorite here and this one has the makings of at least a 3-1 final. The hosts so tough at home but Mallorca has been competitive of late. Each club has some injuries to defense and that will also help the cause here. We will go with the over 3 at plus money here for maximum payback value. 10* OVER 3 +115 in Real Madrid |
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01-02-24 | Blackhawks v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Nashville Predators vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 8:07 ET - The Predators Saros has been struggling in goal. Even if they go with a backup here the results may not be great as Nashville has just been in a funk overall defensively. The Preds are off a 3-2 win but they had conceded 5 goals in 4 of their 7 matches before that win. The Blackhawks also are conceding goals like crazy no matter who is between the pipes. Chicago has lost 8 of 10 and they have allowed 5.5 goals in the 8 losses! Given the above, you can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one and, prior to an 8-1 loss at Dallas, the Blackhawks had scored at least 4 goals in each of last 2 road games. Nashville is scoring an average of 3 goals this season and they should top that here as they face a Chicago team that has allowed about 4 goals per game this season and particularly struggled of late. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Nashville |
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01-02-24 | Illinois-Chicago +4 v. Murray State | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #627: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (+) @ Murray State Racers @ 8 ET - Murray State is off a win but they had lost 9 of 10 before that. The Racers traditionally are strong but this does not look like one of their better teams. I like the fact that this line has gone from nearly a pick'em to now Murray State in the -4 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. We are getting solid line value here because Illinois-Chicago is off B2B losses. The Flames have not 3 straight games all season long. I am looking for a big response here as this team has been ultra competitive this season. The Flames, before the 62-50 loss at Southern Illinois, had gone 7-4 SU last 11 games and the largest margin of defeat was 5 points and the other 3 losses were by 2 or less points. In other words, exceptional value here with the points and we'll grab them! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (+) |
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01-02-24 | Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line is in the 10.5 range as of 8 hours before tipoff and is the final meeting between these teams this season and the Bulls have taken the first two games. This is a double revenge spot for a Philly team that will have Embiid back on the floor for this one as well. Chicago is 15-19 on the season and Philly is 22-10 and there is also strong home/road dichotomy factors here as the Sixers are 12-4 at home and the Bulls are 4-10 on the road. Of course these are all SU records but I see Philadelphia winning this game huge with Embiid back on the floor and the fact this is double revenge including a home loss two weeks ago as well. The Sixers just lost at Chicago on the 30th as well so they enter this game off a loss. Philly is 3-0 L3 times coming off a loss. Blowout alert! 10* PHILADLELPHIA (-) |
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01-02-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - West Ham is off the huge 2-0 win over Arsenal and Brighton is off the massive 4-2 win over Tottenham. I like taking overs when a club is off a huge win and, in this case, you have both clubs off huge victories. West Ham is off a rare strong defensive display so do not expect a repeat of that rare event here. Note that in the entire calendar year of 2023, West Ham failed to score at home only 1 time. Goals are a virtual certainty here as Brighton has allowed at least 1 goal in every single road match this season in EPL action. Also, in each of the last 13 meetings between these clubs, West Ham has allowed at least 1 goal. So the odds certainly favor each club scoring. Couple that with the fact that West Ham has only 3 draws in 19 matches and Brighton has only 2 draws in 9 road matches and you can see why the odds strongly favor at least a 2-1 final here though I am expecting 4 or more goals. Note that Brighton is without a key centre-back in Lewis Dunk for this one. West Ham will take advantage and is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season. Brighton is also averaging 2 goals scored per match this season. Look for plenty of goal-mouth action in this one as 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. West Ham has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 7 matches. Brighton has scored an average of 2.5 goals in the last 4 meetings! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham |
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01-02-24 | Celtic v. St. Mirren OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #207013: Scottish Premiership: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in St Mirren vs Celtic @ Noon ET - Celtic is at the top of the table and is the highest-scoring club in the league. They are averaging 2.5 goals per match this season. I like the fact that St Mirren is hosting this one as they do average 1.4 goals per match at home this season. Celtic has scored 3.6 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. The last meeting was a 2-1 Celtic win but, prior to that, each of the last 4 meetings totaled at least 4 goals and I expect this one will too. St Mirren buoyed by a 3-0 win at Aberdeen in their most recent match. St Mirren has not been giving up many goals but this is the top club in the league that is visiting and they always have troubles against them. However, they have scored at least 1 goal in each of the last 4 meetings with Celtic and I am looking for a 3-1 type match here. Of course Celtic is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. This one should see 4 or more but I like the added value of this total sitting at 3 goals as well. 10* OVER 3 -105 in St Mirren |
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01-01-24 | Heat +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-121 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat (+) @ LA Clippers @ 10:40 ET - A lot of injury issues here on both teams. I am aware of the situation and I know Butler will miss this game for Miami. However, this is too much underdog line value (7.5 as of 9 and 1/2 hours before tipoff) for Miami. The Heat are coming off a loss and a perfect 5-0 SU the last 5 times they were off a loss. Of course a SU win for Miami is a guaranteed ATS win in this one as they are a sizable underdog in this one. We'll grab the points here but we may not even need them. Note that the Clippers are off B2B wins but Kawhi Leonard will not be 100% here even though he is expected to play. LA had lost B2B games before those two wins and the Heat have won 3 straight meetings. Also, the Clippers do not have a win by more than 7 points in any of the past 6 meetings. I am grabbing the points with a hungry Heat team coming off a loss. 10* MIAMI (+) |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Sugar Bowl Monday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:45 ET - Two great teams of course but I feel the Huskies are under-rated here. A team does not go 13-0 by accident and they had to beat Oregon twice to do that! I respect the Ducks plenty and Oregon is favored by 18 points today on Monday against a fellow 13-0 team, Liberty, which says a lot about how impressive it is that the Huskies beat the Ducks twice this season. Remember too that Washington also has multiple other wins against Top 25 teams as well. The Huskies have a fantastic offensive line and a stellar passing attack and the Horns weakness is pass defense. Look for the Longhorns pass D to be exposed in this game. Texas hammered Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but their two games before that against ranked foes featured a loss to Oklahoma and a 3-point win (in OT) over Kansas State. Yes, the Horns beat Alabama this season but they benefitted from a 2-0 turnover edge in that one also. Don't get me wrong, Texas is a high-quality team but they are really going to struggle to stop this dynamic Huskies offense. Washington does not have a great defense but they can get enough stops to let the offense dominate games and that is what I expect again here. Texas has revenge here from losing to the Huskies in last year's bowl but the Longhorns actually have a poor ATS history when playing high-quality teams away from home. The win over Alabama, we talked about it above, was a rare exception. Too much value to pass up here with this line in the +4 range as of about 10 hours before kickoff. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rose Bowl Monday 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide (+) vs Michigan Wolverines @ 5 ET - Of course these are two of the best teams in the nation or they would not be playing in this game. Now let's look at what top teams have done from the respective conferences of these two teams. Note that other top Big Ten teams including Iowa (great defense, horrible offense) are not as balanced as this Alabama team. In the bowls that have already taken place prior to today, Ohio State lost 14 to 3 to an SEC team and Penn State lost 38 to 25 to an SEC team. As for other top SEC teams that played in the bowls, Georgia just rolled 13-0 Florida State 63 to 3. Now, I fully realize there were other variables in those games but the point is that the top SEC teams have certainly looked a lot better than the top Big Ten teams. That is another key as to why I am taking the Crimson Tide over the Wolverines in this one. Another key is coaching in the biggest of games. Harbaugh has lost 6 straight (both SU and ATS) in bowls and playoff games. Now look at Saban's record in semi-final playoff games like this. He is 6-1 SU! We should not even need the points here but we'll go ahead and grab the 2 points available in this one as of about 7 and 1/2 hours before kickoff. 10* ALABAMA (+) |
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01-01-24 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken +120 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 120 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Seattle Kraken +120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 3:07 ET - Outdoor game at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. In this Winter Classic I feel we have excellent line value with the home dog. The Golden Knights are the defending champs and they also started the season 11-0-1. However, since then, Vegas has lost 14 of 25 games! Most recently the Knights are off a big 3-2 win over the rival Kings but, prior to that, Vegas lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 and consistently have been allowing too many goals. In an 8-game stretch prior to the win over LA, the Knights allowed an average of 4.5 goals per game! The Kraken have won 4 straight and 6 of last 8 and Seattle has allowed only 11 goals in regulation time of those 8 games. Big edge here based on the way the Kraken have been playing and the goaltending they are getting and the fact this is a home game for them here. 10* SEATTLE +120 |
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01-01-24 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #200113: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +110 in Liverpool vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Liverpool averages about 2.5 goals on their home pitch this season. Also, the Reds have had some tough luck lately in terms of great chances but then disallowed goals or missed opportunities. They should certainly make those count against a struggling Newcastle side that continues to ship too many goals. Newcastle has allowed 2.2 goals in last 5 matches in league action. They are getting a little healthier though and should score in this one. Newcastle has scored 13 goals last 10 matches across all competitions. Newcastle is still averaging 2 goals per match on the season. Liverpool had allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 13 matches across all competitions before delivering a clean sheet versus Burnley. Newcastle has scored in each of last two matches at Liverpool and the Reds have averaged 2 goals scored in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. This one has 3-2 written all over it the way I see it. Keep in mind, the Reds are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. Even 3-1 gets us the cash here. Look for an entertaining affair here at Anfield. 10* OVER 3.5 +110 in Liverpool |
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01-01-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Texas OVER 146.5 | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas Longhorns vs Texas-Arlington Mavericks @ 2 ET - UT Arlington is talented but off an ugly shooting game in which they totaled just 52 points. That sets this one up nice for an over. The Mavericks were averaging 75 ppg this season before the ugly game against North Texas. They will make up for that here but of course they are not going to stop the Longhorns. UT is favored by 18 points in this one for a reason of course. That said, with this total in the 147 range and, if the odds makers are right about the spread, that would put this one at about an 83-65 type game. Given that the Mavs were averaging 75 ppg before the most recent disappointing effort, you can see why we have good value here. Also, the Mavericks recently got Phillip Russell back on the floor and he was a big scorer for SE Missouri each of the last two seasons. Texas will be unstoppable here as they are a strong ranked team but the Mavs are going to hang around in this game for a while too. That sets this up well for plenty of points and the number is 146.5 or 147 as of about 2 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Texas |
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01-01-24 | Hull City v. Sheffield Wednesday OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200365: Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City @ 12:15 ET - Sheffield Wednesday is near the bottom of the table but they are off a confidence-boosting 1-0 win and they are on their home pitch here. In other words, don't be surprised if the hosts make the net ripple at least once in this one. However, the issue for the hosts here is, prior to that 1-0 win, they had allowed 2.2 goals per match in their 4 matches prior to that. Hull City is one of the better scoring clubs in the league. Hull City is averaging 1.5 goals per match in road matches this season! They have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 13 matches away from home across all competitions. Hull City has only a 16% draw rate this season in road matches and Sheffield Wednesday has only a 16% draw rate in all matches this season. So if you expect each club to score, logically you can also expect at least a 2-1 final here. Note that Hull City has seen 7 of last 9 matches total at least 3 goals. The hosts have seen 4 of their last 5 matches as a host total at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here and we take advantage of the plus money available on the over in this one at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Sheffield Wednesday |
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01-01-24 | Birmingham City v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200357: Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Leeds United vs Birmingham City @ 10 AM ET - Leeds United is hungry to get back on track and on their home pitch they should do just that. Leeds has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home where they are undefeated with 8 wins and 4 draws in 12 matches. Birmingham City is in the wrong place at the wrong time and they are off a shocking scoreless draw. Keep in mind this followed a 3-match stretch for Birmingham in which all 3 matches totaled at least 4 goals and the 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! 10* OVER 3 -130 in Leeds |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Minnesota Vikings Pick'em -110 vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - The Packers have been so bad defensively in recent games. The Vikings have been doomed by turnovers but this team is talented on both sides of the ball and the QB change this week will pay for Minnesota. At the same time, the Vikings defense is much stronger than the Packers and they are at home here. This is a revenge game for Green Bay and that is keeping this line in the pick'em range when the reality is that the Vikings home field edge and defensive edge should be worth much more than they are being given credit for here. I trust Jaren Hall to have a solid game at QB as he gets his chance after Mullens cost the Vikings game each of the past two weeks due to turnovers. Justin Jefferson will have a huge game at WR for Minnesota and the Packers D continues to struggle. Vikings off a home loss to Detroit but this is after allowing just 16 ppg in their 3 prior home games. Vikes have allowed only 14 ppg in their 7 wins this season and they are solid on D at home. The Packers have allowed 29 ppg the last 3 weeks and they faced teams that are a combined 15-30 this season. Green Bay barely got by a 2-win Panthers team last week at Carolina and this followed a 1-5 run last 6 road games for the Pack. They do not travel well and the Vikings take advantage here. 10* MINNESOTA Pick'em -110 |
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12-31-23 | Flyers +121 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +120 @ Calgary Flames @ 8:07 ET - The Flyers off tough OT loss at Seattle in a game they never trailed. Philly is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times they were off an OT or SO loss. The Flames have lost 8 of 12 games. Calgary is favored here because they are on home ice but truly this Flames club has been struggling and this is excellent line value with the underdog in this match-up! Calgary has gone just 4-8 last 12 while Philly had actually won 8 of last 11 prior to their OT loss to the Kraken. Markstrom has played well for the Flames but so too has Hart for the Flyers. Also, the Philly goalie is from Alberta so these match-ups in Western Canada are always special for him. Look for another strong game from him here and the Flyers improve to 4-0 L4 times when off an a non-regulation loss. Note that Hart has not lost a start in regulation in the month of December. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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12-31-23 | Chargers v. Broncos OVER 37.5 | Top | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 4:25 ET - Beautiful football weather in Denver for this one. Chilly but sunshine and light winds. We get value with this total as low as 37.5 as of about 5 hours before kickoff. These teams are not known for offense but look for big upticks from each here. Wilson was benched for a reason and don't be surprised if Jarrett Stidham comes in and has a strong game as the Broncos get a boost to the offense as everyone fired up to make things work and chase a playoff berth. As for the Chargers, Herbert is out of course but I do not care who they use at QB here. LA has been given a boost by the head coaching change that absolutely had needed to happen and they will continue to play hard here and look to play spoiler against a divisional foe. The Chargers have scored more than 20 points each of their last two games but also allowed 24 points or more in their last 3 games. The Broncos have averaged 21 ppg their last 3 games but also have allowed more than 21 points in 3 of last 4. The odds favor each team getting into the 20s in this game and yet we are dealing with a total in the upper 30s. I love the value here because you have two highly motivated teams here as Chargers continue to work hard after the coaching change and Broncos want post-season chance. Also, in the thin air of Denver, the field goals can be kicked from great distance so we could see plenty of field goal chances on a nice weather day here. 10* OVER the total in Denver |
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12-31-23 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 3-26 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans (+) @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET - The Titans are 2-3 last 5 games but two of those losses were in OT and all 3 losses were by exactly a 3 point margin. That is why the +4 being offered here as of 3 hours before kickoff is a solid line value! Tennessee lost to Houston two weeks ago in the most recent meeting between these divisional rivals. The Titans, after another tight loss last week, are relegated to playing the role of spoiler here. Certainly that is not a role they take lightly against bitter rivals. They would love to prevent the Texans from winning the division. Tennessee has not lost by more than 3 points since mid-November. Houston has only 2 wins by more than 3 points in their last 9 games! This is an easy call in terms of value with the points with a highly motivated divisional underdog! 10* TENNESSEE (+) |
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12-31-23 | Cardinals v. Eagles -12.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs Arizona Cardinals @ 1 ET - The Eagles are about a 12.5 point favorite as of 3 hours before kickoff in this one. The Cardinals have lost 10 of 12 games and those 10 losses have been by an average margin of 15 ppg. Couple that with the fact that they are on the road for this one and facing one of the top teams in the league and their QB Kyler Murray is dealing with an illness. Remember that same issue (an illness) plagued Eagles QB Jalen Hurts a few weeks ago and it showed in his play on the field in that tough loss. Well now it is Murray that will likely play but not be 100% and he does not have the supporting cast that Hurts has either. In other words, this one will get ugly. After the Cowboys controversial 1-point win in which every key penalty call including a ridiculous one on a 2-point conversion that stole a win from the Lions, the Eagles now are in a key situation in which they must win this game. They will not mess around and will leave no doubt. They have deserved some better results than they have gotten of late and I know the Eagles recent wins have not been by big margins but this Cardinals team is very weak defensively and the Eagles are angry (even coming off a win) as they still are fired up about not having an "A game" effort and they had the undeserved loss to the Seahawks the week before the win over the Giants last week. Philly is favored with good reason here and they have averaged 30 ppg in their 11 wins this season while Cardinals have scored 15 ppg in their last 10 losses. I am looking for a 31-14 type game given all of the above but honestly a margin of 20+ points is likely here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-31-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - Arsenal is scoring 2 goals per match this season. Fulham is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season. Arsenal has only a 22% draw rate this season and Fulham has 0 draws in their 9 home matches. Given the likelihood each club scores here and given the unlikely odds that the match would end in a draw at 1-1, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Given all of the above, plenty goals expected in this one. Fulham off a 3-0 road loss and happy to be back home for this one. Arsenal also off a 2-0 loss and theirs was at home so they take to the road ready to go on the attack here. Situation is perfect for plenty of attacking from both clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Fulham |