Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-14-24 | Real Sociedad v. Paris Saint-Germain -0.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #224214: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Wednesday Paris-St Germain Goal Line -0.5 -145 vs Real Sociedad @ 3 ET - PSG top scorer Kylian Mbappe is expected back for this match and the home side is going to have too much firepower for a Real Sociedad club that is struggling to score goals. Certainly Real Sociedad is a strong club but PSG knows they need to pressure them on their attack and that is their gameplan going into this one. PSG has actually scored 30 goals last 9 matches! Even if you take out the one outlier (9-goal win) from that sample size, you are still talking about a club averaging nearly 3 goals per match their last 8 as PSG totaled 22 goals in the other 8 matches! This team is so strong on the attack! Certainly Real Sociedad is impressive defensively but Paris-St Germain is going to force them to be more aggressive here and that will take them out of their comfort zone. The hosts are a solid favorite here for a reason and I have no hesitation in backing them. While they have been scoring goals extremely well, Real Sociedad has amazingly scored only 8 goals in their last 13 matches across all competitions! Lay it! Paris-St Germain Goal Line -0.5 -145 |
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02-14-24 | Fiorentina v. Bologna OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #201321: Italian Serie A -Wednesday OVER 2.5 +125 in Bologna vs Fiorentina @ 1 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs in Serie A action totaled 3 goals! Bologna is averaging 2 goals scored per match when at home this season. Fiorentina averages a solid 1.3 goals apiece in road matches this season. 4 straight Bologna matches in Serie A action have totaled at least 3 goals. 3 of last 4 Fiorentina matches in Serie A action have totaled at least 4 goals! The visitors do have some lower-scoring results on the season but their recent trending has been over. Bologna also scoring like crazy and a rare exception was when these teams bet in the Coppa Italia and it was a scoreless draw decided on penalty kicks. Of course a match like this in league action plays out to a much different style and we have excellent line value with big plus money on the over in this one. OVER 2.5 +125 in Bologna |
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02-14-24 | Pardubice v. Karvina OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 107 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #204837: Czech Fortuna:Liga -Wednesday OVER 2.5 +100 in Karvina vs Pardubice @ 11 AM ET - The top six leagues in Europe are English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, French Ligue 1, Italian Serie A and Portugal Primeira Liga. The 2nd grouping of leagues after the top six includes the Czech First League and so this is high-quality football and I have found a match where we are getting some solid line value Wednesday. Winter League matches and club friendlies helped Pardubice get their goal-scoring ways going again. They have won 5 straight matches, including most recent in Czech First League action as the league resumed last week, and they have scored an average of 2.8 goals in these 5 matches! Now they visit Karvina and the hosts enter this one hungry to bounce back off a 3-0 home loss in their prior match when they faced the top club in the League, Sparta Praha. Prior to this shutout defeat they had gotten their offensive game going in club friendlies as they averaged scoring 3 goals their last 5 matches. Now they go from playing one of the league's best to one of the lower-tier clubs so look for them to bounce back from the shutout loss with some goals here. This one gets to at least 2-1. Karvina home matches are averaging 3 goals this season and Pardubice road matches are also averaging 3 goals apiece this season. OVER 2.5 +100 in Karvina |
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02-13-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders -154 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -154 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday New York Islanders Money Line -155 vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:37 ET - This line is a little pricey but this is a great situation that favors the hosts. Seattle is in a B2B spot and they are expected to start Philipp Grubauer because of this. He was on long-term injured reserve so do not expect him to just come out and dominate here. Grubauer will be rusty and he was already struggling as it was. Grubauer has lost 10 of 15 decisions and has a 3.25 GAA. Also, this Kraken team is falling apart overall. Seattle has lost 8 of 10 games and scored just 1.4 goals in those 8 losses! The Islanders have won 2 of 3 games since the All-Star break and with Patrick Roy as the new head coach, Ilya Sorokin has responded well. Varlamov has struggled but Sorokin is currently on a 3-1 run that has seen him allow only 9 goals in these 4 starts. Facing a Seattle team in a B2B and also struggling to score goals, Sorokin and the Isles can take full advantage. The Islanders have not only won 2 of 3 but, unlike the Kraken they are scoring decently. New York has scored 11 goals last 3 games and at least - unlike Seattle - averaged a decent 3 goals per game last 8 games. The Isles, showing signs of life under Roy, are worth the price here. NEW YORK ISLANDERS -155 |
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02-13-24 | Thunder -3 v. Magic | Top | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Oklahoma City Thunder (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 7:30 ET - Oklahoma City is laying about 3 points in this one as of 13 hours before tipoff. Overall, as you can tell by the records too, the Thunder are the stronger team. However, the Magic do have the home court edge here. However, what I really like about this play is the fact Orlando has another game on deck against a conference foe, the Knicks tomorrow. Conversely, for the Thunder it is their final game before the break. OKC wants to go into the break with another win! In fact, lets talk about the "another win" theory as it relates to both teams here. The Magic enter this game on a 2-game winning streak but, other than the surprising 9-game winning streak Orlando had earlier this season, they have only had one other 3-game winning streak this season! When the Magic enter a game on exactly a 2-game winning streak they have failed to stretch it 3 games 5 of the 7 times this season! Make that 6 of 8 after this one! The Thunder enter this one off a single win and there has been only one time this entire season they have had just a single standalone win and that was way back in October. In other words, the odds based on season-long trending here certainly favor a Thunder win! Orlando has lost 3 of last 5 games at home against team with a winning record. they are not unbeatable here against quality opposition by any stretch of the imagination. Also, Orlando is just 10-10 SU in non-conference action while the Thunder are 14-4 SU in non-conf action! The better team in the better situation and on the road so the number of points is manageable. Great spot here to take advantage. Lay it! OKLAHOMA CITY (-) |
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02-13-24 | Blue Jackets v. Senators OVER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 7 in Ottawa vs Columbus @ 7 ET - Big total but deservedly so. The Blue Jackets are starting Daniil Tarasov and the Senators are starting Anton Forsberg. Tarasov had a 3.91 GAA last season and has not been much better with a 3.79 GAA this season! These are ugly numbers and he has not played since 28 January. Also, Forsberg has been out with a groin injury and has not played in 5 weeks and plus has a 3.35 GAA this season. Both these goalies will be rusty and the Blue Jackets, prior to a rare 1-0 win in most recent road game, had allowed 4 goals per game over their 5 prior road games. The Senators have seen 9 of last 13 games total at least 7 goals and they are on a 3-game wining streak and have scored an average of 4 goals during this win streak. OVER 7 in Ottawa |
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02-13-24 | Pittsburgh +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday Pittsburgh Panthers (+) @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 7 ET - The current line as of about 11 hours before game time for this one is in the 6.5 range which means it is go time with this one! The Cavaliers are red hot but the Panthers have been an anomaly this season as they actually have been stronger on the road than at home. Overall, Pittsburgh is playing very well in ACC action of late with 5 wins last 6 games and the lone loss was by 4 points. In terms of games played away from home, Pitt is on a run of 6 wins last 8 games and those two losses away from home were by 8 points and 4 points. The Panthers rarely get blown out and, with a low total posted on this game, you can certainly project this to be a grinder likely decided by a slim margin. Of course the Cavaliers are known for defense but the Panthers do play well defensively and also have solid perimeter defense which is important against the Cavs. At the other end of the floor, the Panthers have some outside shooters that can help draw the Virginia defenders out and open things up a bit more inside. The Panthers match up well with the Cavs and, in fact, beat the Cavaliers last season. That makes this a revenge spot for Virginia. However, the Cavs just beat a Florida State team that was right behind them and now have Wake Forest, also right behind them, on deck. Could easily see the Cavs underestimating Pitt here and this Panthers team rebounds well, has some solid shooters and they play solid defense. This one goes down to the wire and just might end up in another upset which makes the points invaluable. PITTSBURGH (+) |
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02-13-24 | Manchester City -1.5 v. FC Copenhagen | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Tuesday Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 -125 @ FC Copenhagen @ 3 ET - Manchester City is healthy again and they will play their full top lineup in this one as they look to get the upper hand in this first leg in the Round of 16. The value in this one is on the goal line where we get a reasonable line on laying the 1.5 goals and looking for multi-goal victory for the travelers in this one. Note that the loss of Leragen due to suspension for this match is a big loss for Copenhagen. The last meeting here was in October of 2022 and ended in a scoreless draw. However, City had a red card at the 30' mark and still outplayed Copenhagen in that 0-0 final. Also, that was on the heels of a 5-0 win at City the prior week which showed the dominance that Manchester City is capable of when focused as they were in that first meeting. They will again be focused here and Copenhagen will prove to be no match. Copenhagen is having a disappointing run in Danish Superliga right now. The opposite is true of City as they are on a 10-match winning streak across all competitions and this includes 8 of those 10 victories coming by a multi-goal margin. This one will too! MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 -125 |
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02-13-24 | Real Madrid v. RB Leipzig OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 +105 in RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - The last meeting here was a 3-2 win for RB Leipzig and I look for them to push strong on the attack here as Real Madrid dealing with injuries to defense and in goal. However, Real Madrid certainly more than capable on the attack as well and they seem to have rallied around the injury issues to work even harder. They continue to score goals and win matches. Real Madrid has scored an average of 3 goals last 9 matches across all competitions. Certainly there is nothing average about that! As for RB Leipzig they have a knack for allowing too many goals at home in Champions League action and have had struggles in Bundesliga action since returning from the break. However, they still have scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches overall. Trouble is RB Leipzig also allowed 2.5 goals match over this same stretch. Don't be surprised when this turns into a goal-fest Tuesday! OVER 3 +105 in RB Leipzig |
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02-13-24 | FC Viktoria Plzen v. Banik Ostrava OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #204833: Czech Fortuna:Liga - Tuesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Banik Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzen @ Noon ET - The top leagues in Europe are English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, French Ligue 1, Italian Serie A and Portugal Primeira Liga. Not far behind though is the Czech First League and so this is high-quality football and I have found a match where we are getting some solid line value Tuesday. Note that Banik has either scored or allowed 3 goals in 7 of last 9 meetings! That means even if a clean sheet is involved here we would still when this play if Banik continues this 78% trend that has been going for two months now. The goals are flying in Banik matches. Viktoria Plzen has scored 3 goals in each of last 4 road matches! On the season, Viktoria Plzen has scored nearly 2 and 1/2 goals per match and their average match is 4 goals and there is nothing average about that! The goals fly again in this one! OVER 2.5 -115 in Banik Ostrava |
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02-13-24 | Vizela v. Gil Vicente OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206629: Portugese Primeira Liga: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in Gil Vicente vs Vizela @ 10:30 AM ET - Both clubs looking to bounce back off tough high-scoring losses in Taca de Portugal action. That means look for big bounce back here as both clubs will be aggressive to get back on track in this Primeira Liga encounter. Gil Vicente has allowed 3 goals in each of last two matches overall but is scoring an average of 2.2 goals in their 10 home matches this season in league action. Vizela has allowed 17 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions for an average of 3.4 goals per match. 4 of last 5 Vizela matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and I see that high-scoring trend continuing here. OVER 2.5 -105 in Gil Vicente |
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02-12-24 | 76ers v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 123-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Monday OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - As mentioned in another recent totals writeup involving Philly, the Sixers added Buddy Hield and Cameron Payne at the trade deadline. Hield is a sharpshooter and they needed a 3-point specialist like him in the worst way. Both he and Payne have already had 20-point games since recently coming on board. However, the key here is all the guys Philly gave up in trades to get guys like Hield and Payne as the Sixers lost a lot of toughness and defense. They are absolutely a different team defensively today than they were just less than a week ago. Of course still without Embiid, the interior defense of the 76ers is already an issue right now. Long-term Philly has been in a bad pattern of allowing too many points...even when Embiid was still playing. Over their last 11 games the Sixers are allowing 124 ppg! Now they are visiting a red hot Cavaliers team that has won 9 straight games and scored an average of 119 ppg in their last 11 games. The Sixers are playing more of a small ball style since the trade and plus being without Embiid. They still have scorers like Maxey and Harris plus guys like Oubre and Council also capable of getting in the 20 point range. But they just do not have size and are lacking interior defense. The Cavs will surely exploit this and yes they get involved in some low-scoring battles at time but look at what Cleveland has done in recent home games! The Cavaliers have scored an average of 129 ppg in their last 4 home games. 5 of L6 Sixers games have totaled more than the 229 range currently set on tis games as of about 10 hours before tipoff. We'll see 230s here at least and truly I would not be surprised to see 240+ given all of the above. OVER the total in Cleveland |
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02-12-24 | Coyotes v. Flyers -145 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -145 vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7 ET - The Flyers have won 3 straight games and allowed a total of only 4 goals in these 3 victories. Arizona has lost 5 straight games and allowed an average of 4 goals in these 5 losses! Huge difference between the way these clubs are going right now. Also, the Coyotes have one of the biggest home/road dichotomy factors of any team in the NHL! Arizona is 15-10 at home but has lost 17 of 25 on the road this season! If you just take the home team in Coyotes games this season you are cashing in at a healthy 64% clip! Considering that plus the recent trending of these teams and their goalies, the home team is well worth the price in this one. PHILADELPHIA -145 |
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02-12-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 +100 in New Jersey Devils vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:07 ET - The Devils are expected to start Nico Daws in goal for this one. He is having a rough season and is currently in poor form. That will help a Seattle club that has been struggling to score goals to get back on track here in this one. The Kraken are off B2B losses but had gone 2-0-1 in their 3 prior games and scored an average of 4 goals in those 3 games. The Devils are off a 1-0 loss in OT against a tough Carolina team and that game was on the road. Now New Jersey is back home and note that 5 of their 6 games before the loss to the Hurricanes had gone over the total. Also, those games not only went over the total, they each totaled 8 or more goals! We only need 7 to be a winner here and we'll get at least that the way I see it! OVER 6.5 +100 in New Jersey |
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02-12-24 | Wake Forest +7.5 v. Duke | Top | 69-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Monday Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+) @ Duke Blue Devils @ 7 ET - Duke is one of the most popular teams in sports betting. Just like the Yankees in MLB and Lakers in NBA and Cowboys in NFL, certain situations can result in excellent line value to go against the Blue Devils. Note that the line on this one already has climbed up a bit and Duke is favored by as many as 7.5 as of 12 hours before tipoff. In my opinion Wake Forest is very close to, if not equal, to the level of the Blue Devils this season. These teams are right next to each other in the ACC standings. Also, Wake Forest has revenge from losing their most recent game against the Blue Devils. That was here at Duke and was a very tight loss just like the prior WF visit here. Though the Demon Deacons do not have a great history they have been competitive against Duke in recent seasons. Look for another tight game here and note the value in the big points as Wake Forest is 16-7 this season and 6 of the 7 losses have been by 7 points or less. In other words, Duke is being asked to do something that only one other team has done in 23 games against Wake this season - that is, beat the Deacons by 8 or more points. I just do not see that happening. When you compare the defensive and offensive stats on these two clubs they are very similar. Yes I know Duke is a tough place to play but the Blue Devils only beat a bad Georgia Tech team here by 5 and beat Clemson by only 1 and also lost to Pittsburgh here. So Duke is far from invincible here this season and the Demon Deacons will take this one to the wire! WAKE FOREST (+) |
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02-12-24 | Ath Bilbao v. UD Almeria OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #201833: Spanish La Liga: Monday OVER 2.5 -110 in Almeria vs Athletic Bilbao @ 3 ET - Every club in La Liga has at least 2 wins this season except Almeria who still sit with 0 on the campaign. A big problem for Almeria has been conceding too many goals and that will not stop here. They are facing a strong Athletic Bilbao club. Though I do expect Almeria to scratch for one goal at home, they will not be able to stop an Athletic Bilbao club that is winless in last two road matches in La Liga action. In their last 9 matches across all competitions, Athletic Bilbao is off a low-scoring 1-0 win but this was preceded by scoring 2 or more goals in 6 of 8 matches. As for Almeria, they have allowed multiple goals in 3 straight matches but did score an average of 1 goal per match over this stretch. Look for a 2-1 type final here and the road club comes out strong in this one and forces a high-scoring match-up at Power House Stadium. OVER 2.5 -110 in Almeria |
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02-12-24 | Chelsea v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League: Monday OVER 2.5 -115 in Crystal Palace vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - Chelsea is still without their #1 goalie. The Blues are scoring goals very well but I do not totally trust them in their own zone. Both clubs, especially Crystal Palace, are dealing with injuries to their defensive personnel. Crystal Palace is desperate to get back on track and I do expect them to make the net ripple at home here but I just can not see them slowing down this hot Chelsea offensive attack. Note that Chelsea won the last meeting 2-1. Also, the last time these clubs met at Crystal Palace, Chelsea also won 2-1. Additionally, Chelsea enters this one having scored 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 across all competitions. However, Chelsea has also conceded an average of 3 goals per match last 3 matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace has seen 7 of last 8 (including 5 straight!) matches in league competition all total at least 3 goals! Those 8 matches averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals here to be a winner! We'll get there as Palace has scored at least 1 goal (and averaged 2 goals!) in its last 4 matches on their home pitch in EPL action. More of the same here. OVER 2.5 -115 in Crystal Palace |
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02-12-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #206821: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -120 in Farul vs Dinamo @ 1 ET - Farul has scored multiple goals in each of the last 3 meetings and averaged 2.3 goals apiece. However, Dinamo has failed to scored in those 3 matches. They will get on the board here but they will again struggle to stop Farul, particularly because this match is at Constanta. Note that Dinamo is off B2B 2-1 losses and has now scored at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches. As for Farul, they have scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches but they are coming off a tough, hard-fought 1-1 draw with FCSB. After facing the top club in the league, they are now taking on the league-worst and they are at home. This match has 2-1 written all over it as Dinamo finally starting to score and they will be aggressive on the attack here but Farul gets the big win at home and Dinamo's defensive frailties raise their ugly head again in this one. OVER 2.5 -120 in Farul |
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02-12-24 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206817: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 -145 in UTA vs Botosani @ 10 AM ET - The value of a 2 is big here. Note that each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs totaled at least 2 goals. Those 4 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I look for this one to get there as well. UTA enters this one on a 4-match over streak as each of their last 4 have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4 goals! Botosani has had a rough season but they are turning things around with 3 wins in last 4 matches. Also, 9 straight Botosani road matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 9 have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. So with this total available at a 2 (yes it is worth the juice to grab that) this one is testing triple perfect streaks involving Botosani road matches, UTA matches overall and the L4 meetings between these clubs as well. OVER 2 -145 in UTA |
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02-11-24 | 49ers -125 v. Chiefs | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Super Bowl Sunday San Francisco 49ers Money Line -120 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 6:30 ET - The dominant number on the Super Bowl, as of 13 hours before kickoff, is the 49ers at a -2. Right now there is also some -1.5 out there at higher juice and even some -1 at even higher juice. That said, the best value the way I see it is grabbing the money line available at as low of a price as -120 at the time of this write-up. When it comes to the Super Bowl, so much information is already out there. The key reasons for my pick are truly all tied into my contrarian aspect when it comes to sports and, in particular the NFL! No sport is more publicly bet than the NFL and especially when it comes to the Super Bowl. Now ask yourself...who is going to be picking Purdy over Mahomes at QB here? Who is going to pick Shanahan over Reid at head coach here? Why on earth is San Francisco favored when you consider the recent playoff dominance of the Chiefs as this is their 4th Super Bowl in 5 years? Exactly! This line to me is telling everyone to go ahead and back the Chiefs and Mahomes and Reid in their 4th Super Bowl in 5 years. It is basically inviting Kansas City money! My money here, in typical contrarian fashion, is on the Niners in this one! For one thing, the Chiefs did beat the Eagles in the SB last season. It is hard to repeat as champions in this league. The last time it happened was nearly 20 years ago with the Patriots in 2004 and 2005. It is not like teams have not had chances either! In the last 10 years this will be the FOURTH time a team has had a chance to repeat and NONE of the past 3 accomplished this tough task! So many things have to break right for a team to win it all. The Chiefs are a great team but so too are the 49ers and only one team's luck can run out here. Both teams are solid defensively and in the trenches but SF does have the better ground game on offense and that will help limit Mahomes and Company as the Niners can chew up clock on offense and keep the KC offense off the field for longer stretches! Also, Purdy is up to the task here as Mr Irrelevant (last pick in the draft) and is a much better player than many realize! He and McCaffrey will be the stars of this game as well as a 49ers defense that comes in a bit under-valued due to recent performance. This SF D will surprise here after KC embarrassed them in the most recent match-up last season in a 44-23 Chiefs win. This Kansas City offense this season is simply not at the same level as last season. This 49ers team had an 800+ yardage edge on offense this season compared to the Chiefs. That included a 600 yard edge on the ground. Also, if you eliminate QB rushing yards from that the edge is about 900 yards on the ground in looking at the regular season stats of these teams. That is an average of over 50 yards per game on the ground! Teams that can run well and chew up clock can win the big games like this. Finally it is the Niners as Champs for the first time in nearly 30 years as once again a team fails for the 4th time in last 10 years in terms of a chance to repeat! SAN FRANCISCO -120 |
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02-11-24 | Kings v. Thunder OVER 239 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Sunday OVER 239 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings @ 3:10 ET - The Thunder off ugly loss at Dallas last night. They will bounce back here at home and they have revenge against the Kings. However, this Sacramento team comes in running hot and they are high on confidence right. The Kings just knocked off the Nuggets and they have won 7 of 10 games. Sacramento has averaged 124 ppg last 5 games. The Kings however, prior to the huge win over Denver, had allowed an average of 126.5 ppg last 4 games. The Thunder have allowed 135 ppg last two games. The last game between these teams totaled 251 points. Sacramento will look to push the pace here knowing they are the fresher team after a night off and catching OKC in a B2B spot. The Kings have scored at least 120 points in 8 of 11 games. The Thunder are favored by about 4 points here for a reason. That would put this game in the 125 to 120 range and I am expecting at least that here. This one gets well into the 240s. OVER 239 in Oklahoma City |
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02-11-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Iowa | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers (+) @ Iowa Hawkeyes @ 3 ET - This is another game where I am fading the line move as this one was around a 5 and worked its way up to a 6.5 as of 5 hours before tipoff. The Hawkeyes are off a loss at Penn State. Iowa just can't seem to stop teams yet Minnesota had a rough shooting performance (5 of 29) from 3-point land in the first meeting this season and they were at Minnesota for that one! That means payback here on the road. I know Iowa has won recent meetings but this is not the Iowa of old. They are just not that good this season and lost to an over-rated Penn State team a few nights ago. They will be lucky to win this one let alone cover the spread. The Golden Gophers know this is their chance to take advantage of an Iowa team that is just not itself right now. The Hawkeyes have lost 4 of 6 since beating Minny. The only 2 wins came against Ohio State and Michigan and those teams are a combined 7-19 SU in Big Ten games this season. The Golden Gophers have won 3 straight in Big Ten action and they came against teams that are currently all at .500 or better in Big Ten games on the season. Everyone will be backing the Hawkeyes at home in this one but I am expecting revenge as the hot team stays hot and puts a ton of pressure on Iowa at home in this one. MINNESOTA (+) |
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02-11-24 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #206813: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -115 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 1:45 ET - Each of th the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4.7 goals apiece! FCSB will be fired up after a 1-1 draw in most recent match. Prior to this they had won 4 straight matches and scored at least 3 goals in all 4 wins! Sepsi has both scored and conceded in 8 straight matches so look for the goals to fly in this one! Not only have 7 of last 8 Sepsi matches totaled at least 3 goals, this run includes 3 in a row. Couple that with 3 meetings in a row between these clubs also totaling 3 in a row and you have a double perfect situation. I also expect hunger and aggression from both clubs in this one as FCSB off that disappointing draw and Sepsi off a 3-1 loss. This is a huge game in the table too! OVER 2.5 -115 in FCSB |
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02-11-24 | Canucks -164 v. Capitals | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Sunday Vancouver Canucks -165/-170 @ Washington Capitals @ 1:35 ET - This one is a little higher price than I typically lay but this is a phenomenal spot to back the Canucks and fade Washington. The Capitals are off a rare win yesterday and via shutout fashion. Vancouver lost yesterday and they lost after regulation. They Canucks have been the much better club this season and the Caps are struggling and without a number of players this season that were key parts of this club. The Canucks used their #2 goalie yesterday and the Capitals used their #1 goalie yesterday. That means today will likely be Vancouver #1 Thatcher Demko and Washington #2 Darcy Kuemper. All these factors considered including the situational aspect and you have a great spot to be willing to lay the price here. VANCOUVER -165/-170 |
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02-11-24 | Blues v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 in Montreal Canadiens vs St Louis Blues @ 1:07 ET - This is a tough B2B spot for both clubs. Allen will start for Montreal since it is a B2B and he has a high 3.43 GAA this season. The Blues got a great start from Hofer yesterday which means it will likely be Binnington here. Binnington has not been as strong on the road this season and that includes allowing 10 goals in his last 3 appearances away from home. Montreal is off a 3-2 loss yesterday but 4 of last 6 Habs games before that totaled at least 7 goals and those 6 games averaged 7.5 goals apiece. This is a non-conference match-up with both teams in a B2B and reason to doubt each goalie. In other words, perfect situation to take advantage of a total posted at 6 goals. OVER 6 in Montreal |
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02-11-24 | Seton Hall +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 54-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday Seton Hall Pirates (+) @ Villanova Wildcats @ Noon ET - I know Villanova is in a key must win mode but this team is going to be in a helluva battle just to win this game let alone cover. Seton Hall lost both meetings last season but each defeat by just 4 points. That said, this Pirates team is better than that one was and this Wildcats team is worst than that one was! I know the two wins Seton Hall enters this game off of were both against the worst teams in this conference. Still it is a momentum-builder for Seton Hall. Also, the Pirates are 8-4 in Big East action and have beaten UConn, Butler and Marquette plus they lost to Creighton in Triple OT! In other words, this Pirates team can compete with the better teams in the conference and right now Villanova is one of the weaker teams in the conference. Seton Hall also has wins over respectable teams like Providence and St John's. All those teams I just mentioned have at least 14 wins on the season. Villanova is just 5-7 in Big East action and two of those wins against a bad DePaul team. The other 3 wins included one big win over Providence but the other two wins by a margin of 2 or less points against Creighton and Xavier. The point is that it is very hard to justify the Wildcats being favored by 5.5 points in this one. I also love fading line moves and the line has moved the way of Villanova. Give me the big points which are now near the half-dozen mark. SETON HALL (+) |
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02-11-24 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -115 in Aston Villa vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Aston Villa has scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight EPL matches and averaged 2.7 goals scored in this 3-match stretch. However, they won only 1 and lost 2 of these matches and allowed 3 goals in each defeat! Now they face a resurgent Manchester United club. Man U has been potent on the attack of late but also lost Lisandro Martinez, a key center-back, to injury and the goals will fly in this one. Aston Villa has not been shutout on their home pitch in nearly a year and a half! Also, Villa is certainly favored here with good reason. However, United has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and scored at least 2 goals in 6 of the 7! Man U averaged scoring 2.7 goals per match during this hot stretch. I could see this one working itself into a 3-2 type final here and feel we have excellent value with this total at a 3 and low juice. 5 of last 6 meetings between these clubs have totaled at 4 goals and those 5 averaged 4.6 goals apiece. Also, the last 3 meetings between these clubs at Aston Villa have all totaled 4 goals. More of the same expected here! OVER 3 -115 in Aston Villa |
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02-11-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2 +110 in Hermannstadt vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 11:15 AM ET - Great value here with this total available at plus money on the over 2 goals. Yes, these clubs have a history of low-scoring meetings. However, the most recent meeting at Hermannstadt totaled 3 goals. Also, Hermannstadt enters this one having scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. In fact, 7 straight matches for Hermannstadt have totaled at least 2 goals and those 7 averaged 2.4 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 6 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals so their matches have truly been "hit or miss" when it comes to goals but they have scored in 2 of their last 3 matches. Couple that with allowing an average of 2 goals the last 12 times they have allowed a goal in a match - and knowing Hermannstadt's current goal-scoring run - and you have the perfect set-up for a 2-1 type final here. OVER 2 +110 in Hermannstadt |
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02-11-24 | Arsenal v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - Arsenal wants revenge for a 2-0 home loss to West Ham in the prior meeting this season. Prior to that one totaling just 2 goals, 4 straight meetings between these clubs had totaled at least 3 goals. Even with that loss, there is still a high-scoring perfect trend intact here. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs at West Ham United have ALL 5 gone over the total and, in fact, have averaged 4 goals apiece! I love the over in this spot because Arsenal is enjoying a resurgence currently and is favored by 1 goal on the goal line for a reason in this one. However, West Ham is certainly going to put up a fight on their home pitch and I certainly expect them to score at least 1 goal in this one! That said, getting to at least 2-1 here should not be a problem in this one! West Ham is coming off a 3-0 loss on the road but have scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 home matches! Arsenal have won 3 straight EPL matches and scored an average of 3.3 goals in those 3 matches! Also, each of their last 4 matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing runs of 4-0 and the aforementioned 5-0 in terms of this match getting to at least 3 goals! You should be able find 2.5 or at least 2.75 available on this one. At least as of about 5 hours before this one is set to get underway! OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United |
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02-10-24 | Oilers -110 v. Kings | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Edmonton Oilers -110 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 7 ET - Kings playing their first game of February as they have been off since the All-Star break. Los Angeles could be rusty here. Also, the Kings have been in awful current form with just 3 wins last 17 games! Yes, the Oilers are in a B2B spot here but they faced Anaheim last night. Of course that means they were right here in the LA area already. Also, unlike the Kings, the Oilers have been red hot with 17 wins last 18 games. Additionally, they rested top goalie Skinner so he would be ready for this game. A lot of edges for the Oilers here and the Kings will be rusty and they were already struggling mightily to score goals in recent action before the All-Star break. Los Angeles had lost 14 of 16 before a RARE 4-2 win right before the break. The Kings averaged just 2.25 goals scored in those 16 games. The Oilers have averaged scoring 3.6 goals per game last 16 games. The road team should roll in this one as they found their touch again in the 3rd period of last night's game after falling short at Vegas in their first game after the break. The Kings will take some time to get going again in their first action in two weeks! EDMONTON -110 |
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02-10-24 | USC v. Stanford -2 | Top | 68-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #824: College Hoops Saturday Stanford (-) vs USC @ 10 ET - The Cardinal have only allowed more than 89 points once this season in a loss and that was at USC. The Trojans have since gone 1-7 and their only win was against the team (Oregon State) they share the Pac-12 basement with. USC is having a rough run and a down season and they are in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Stanford also lost to the Trojans last season so this is a double revenge spot. Also, the Cardinal are normally strong at home but they are coming off a tough home loss in which they had a rough shooting night and their opponent hit 11 threes. But that was against a hot UCLA team. Now they face a cold USC team. Also, Stanford knows how crucial this game is. After this one they have just 2 more home games out of their remaining 7 games. With a tough 2-game road trip on deck, the Cardinal will come out with a very strong effort here at home. They are normally strong on their home floor and, while neither of these teams is good defensively, Stanford will be the more focused team here at home and looking to avenge a loss in which they allowed 93 points earlier this season! USC has been recently starting freshman Bronny James and, no disrespect intended, but he is just not quite ready to be a starter at USC. It shows how far this program has fallen. The Cardinal lost to UCLA by 8 points but that was because they were outscored by 21 points from three point land and 9 points at the free throw line. That is an unusual 30 point variance for a team on its home floor. The result here is line value as this line has dropped from its opener. Currently just a 2 point line as of about 11 hours before tipoff. Take advantage of the value. Lay it! STANFORD (-) |
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02-10-24 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This is a bargain price in the -4 range on Philly as of 10 hours before tipoff. Yes the 76ers are struggling but they got Payne and Hield both into action last night and now this is their 2nd game with both on the floor. Also, Maxey should be back for this one but, even if he is not, look at the value in this match-up! Washington has the WORST home record in the NBA as they are just 3-22 SU at home this season. This is a value spot to grab a talented Sixers team that, though without Embiid and dealing with some injury issues, is still a far superior team to this Wizards team. Also, the Sixers have won 4 straight over the Wizards. All 4 wins were by at least 5 points and the average margin of victory was 21 points! More of the same on the way here in a road rout! Make no mistake the Sixers have struggled but the Wizards are having a very rough season and each of their last 29 losses have been by at least 4 points which is the line currently available in the marketplace as of 10 hours before tipoff. PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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02-10-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers -112 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Philadelphia Flyers -115 vs Seattle Kraken @ 7 ET - Kraken playing their first game of February as they have been off since the All-Star break. Seattle could be rusty here. Also, the Kraken have lost 4 straight road games. The Flyers are off B2B momentum-building wins since the All-Star break. Also, they face former coach Dave Hakstol in this one. Additionally, they have revenge from an OT loss at Seattle right before the new year. That said, a lot of edges for the Flyers who are already back from the break and going for a 3rd straight win while Seattle will be trying to find their game early in this one and, again, their road game has not been good! Look for the Kraken road losing streak to reach 5 in a row! PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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02-10-24 | Drexel +6 v. College of Charleston | Top | 70-80 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #695: College Hoops Drexel Dragons (+) @ College of Charleston Cougars @ 3:30 ET - Drexel is off their worst loss in CAA action this season. They are still 8-3 in conference games and the two prior losses were by 5 or less points. We are getting value here because this line has gone from a 4 to a 6 in favor of College of Charleston. There has been an over-reaction to the recent struggles of Drexel and we get line value with a very hungry road dog in this one off of B2B losses. This is the first and only meeting between these clubs this season. Note that 6 straight meetings have been by decided by 5 or less points! In other words, tremendous value with this line in the 6 range as of about 5 hours before tipoff. The Dragons ugly loss at UNC Wilmington came down to poor shooting for them and excellent shooting for the Seahawks. Again, that 75-56 loss has created line value here with a Drexel team that is scrappy and was 7-0 in CAA action as of just 2 weeks ago. The Dragons will bounce back here and note that the Cougars are tied with them in the CAA standing but only on a modest 4-3 run and they lost the 3 games against tougher teams. All 4 wins have come against 4 teams with a combined 13-31 record in CAA action. I am not saying Charleston will lose this game outright. But I am saying the Dragons are very undervalued here and they keep this game tight and indeed do have a great shot at the outright upset here. Don't be surprised if this one makes it a 7-0 RUN of meetings decided by 5 or less points! Grab the 6 points here. DREXEL (+) |
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02-10-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1 Saturday: OVER 2.5 -105 in CFR Cluj vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 2:15 ET - Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 4 meetings averaged 4 goals apiece. CFR Cluj seeking revenge for a 3-1 road loss to Rapid earlier this season and it is double revenge as that was also the final score of the meeting prior to that one as well. CFR Cluj is known for being tough on their home pitch and 4 of their last 5 matches overall have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Rapid was struggling heading into the winter break but they are now 3-0 since the break and all 3 matches totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. That makes this a double perfect spot as the last 4 meetings have all gone over and also all 3 of Rapid's most recent matches have totaled at least 3 goals. OVER 2.5 -105 in CFR Cluj |
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02-10-24 | Newcastle United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United @ 12:30 ET - 7 of the last 8 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, 4 STRAIGHT meetings at Nottingham have totaled at least 3 goals. Nottingham Forest enters this one off a 1-1 draw in EPL action but they are hungry for maximum points in EPL action and their 5 EPL matches prior to that all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. Newcastle is out for revenge after losing the reverse fixture 3-1. Newcastle enters this one a 5 match over streak in their EPL matches and that 5-0 run to the over has averaged 5.4 goals per match. The high-scoring ways continue in this one as Newcastle always seems stronger on the attack when on their home pitch but has been scoring well of late in their road matches as well! Also, Nottingham continues to score goals well in recent weeks. More of the same here. OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest |
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02-10-24 | Burnley v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 -120 in Liverpool vs Burnley @ 10 AM ET - 4 straight Liverpool matches in EPL action have totaled at least 4 goals and those 4 averaged 5 goals apiece. The Reds will be fired up and ready to respond after a 3-1 loss to Arsenal in most recent league action. Liverpool is a 2 goal favorite here on the goal line for a reason and I am anticipating at least a 3-1 final in this one. I know the Reds won only 2-0 when these clubs met at Burnley not too long ago but they had a pair of disallowed goals, some excellent saves and also hit the crossbar. The point is Liverpool could have easily scored 5 goals in that one and I would not be shocked to see them do that here. The Reds have been conceding goals on a regular basis so I do expect Burnley to find the back of the net here but Liverpool at home will be relentless on the attack! Burnley matches have totaled 4 goals in B2B matches in EPL and also in B2B road matches in EPL. With Liverpool on a 4-match over streak there are a trio of high-scoring perfect streaks to to the test in this one! OVER 3.5 -120 in Liverpool |
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02-10-24 | Voluntari v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Saturday: OVER 2 -130 in FC Voluntari vs Poli Iasi @ 7 AM ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 4 meetings averaged 3 goals apiece. Voluntari seeking revenge for a 2-1 home loss to Iasi earlier this season. Voluntari has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 straight road matches and allowed an average 2 goals in these 5 matches! Iasi has allowed an average of 2 goals last 10 matches! Iasi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches as a host and averaged 1.4 goals per match during this stretch. OVER 2 -130 in Voluntari |
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02-09-24 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 10:05 ET - Great spot for goals. The Oilers will be fired up after their 16-game winning streak ended at Vegas. Though I definitely expect them to bounce back and score well here, Edmonton could have some problems in their own end. Calvin Pickard is expected to get the start here in goal and he has not played in weeks. The Ducks do have poor numbers on offense this season but they have been playing better of late. Anaheim has scored an average of 3 goals in going 3-0-1 in last 4 games. Yes, the Ducks have not lost in regulation in any of their last 4 games. The Ducks have allowed 3.6 goals per game last 10 games and the Oilers come into this fired up off their first loss since before Christmas! Edmonton has won the first two meetings by a combined score of 15 to 4 and I expect another high-scoring game here. OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
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02-09-24 | Rangers -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Friday New York Rangers -1.5 -110 @ Chicago Blackhawks @ 8:35 ET - The Blackhawks are not only losing at a high rate, they continue to struggle to score goals. Chicago enters this one having lost 14 of 17 games and what is most alarming about this is that in the last 13 losses they have scored a TOTAL of only TEN goals! That is an average of 0.8 goals per game. Couple that with the Rangers averaging 3 goals scored per game and you can see why I am expecting at least a 3-1 final here in favor of New York. The Rangers have won 3 straight games and are starting to heat up. Additionally they have scored an average of 4.7 goals last 3 road games! This one sets up well to be a road rout. NEW YORK RANGERS -1.5 -110 |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State v. Nevada -133 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Friday Nevada Wolf Pack (-) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 8 ET - The Wolf Pack have revenge here and they have been very strong on their home floor this season. Options on how to play this one include -1.5 at a -115 price or, for 15 cents more, the money line at a -130 price. San Diego State is off a road win but they faced an Air Force team that is 1-9 SU in MWC action this season. Prior to this road victory, the Aztecs had lost 3 straight road games. Also, when the Wolf Pack lost at San Diego State last month by 12 points, the Aztecs had twice as many free throw attempts and outscored Nevada by 15 points a the free throw line. That will not happen again with this game now being at Nevada. The Wolf Pack are ready for revenge here and this a key game to get them right back into the MWC chase for the top spot in the conference. Note 4 teams are 7-3 but the Wolf Pack would drop the Aztecs to 7-4 with a win here and would also improve their own conference record to 6-4. With a lot of basketball still to be played in MWC action, Nevada is still very much alive in the race for top position but this game is a big one knowing New Mexico awaits as well. Having played only 2 home games since mid-January, the Wolf Pack are fired up about being back home for 2 huge home games against the Aztecs and Lobos. Don't expect them to waste this opportunity. Note that the Wolf Pack are 14-2 SU this season in games played either at home or on a neutral floor. Considering that plus the fact the Aztecs had lost 3 straight road games in MWC action before the win at AF, I love the small home fave in this one! NEVADA (-) |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers OVER 242.5 | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Friday OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers added Buddy Hield and Cameron Payne at the trade deadline. Hield is a sharpshooter and they needed a 3-point specialist like him in the worst way. Even if Hield does not play tonight, a big key here is all the guys Philly gave up in trades yesterday. They lost a lot of toughness and defense. They are absolutely a different team defensively today than they were just 24 to 48 hours ago. Of course still without Embiid, the interior defense of the 76ers is already an issue right now. Long-term Philly has been a bad pattern of allowing too many points...even when Embiid was still playing. Over their last 9 games the Sixers are allowing 125 ppg! Now they are hosting a Hawks team that has allowed 128.4 ppg last 10 games and, of course, this is not including OT points. Atlanta is all about play on the offensive end and with the 76ers currently having played more small ball of late, they have been giving up big point totals as well. The value is there with this one likely to get into the 250s given the numbers above as well as the post-trade situation. Not including OT points of course, the 3 meetings between these teams have averaged 243 ppg this season. That is right about where this total is as of 13 hours before tipoff. However, this total should be even higher when you consider the factors noted above and the recent trending of these two teams. The Hawks have had 8 straight games total at least 242 points and those 8 games, again not including OT, have averaged 258.5 ppg. We'll see 250s here at least. OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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02-09-24 | SC Freiburg v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #202401: German Bundesliga: Friday OVER 3 -130 in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg @ 2:30 ET - Great spot for an over. SC Freiburg matches are averaging 3 goals this season and Borussia Dortmund matches at home are averaging 3.4 goals this season. The key pushing this to 4 or more (though 3 would get us at least a push) is the fact that Dortmund is off a disappointing scoreless draw. They had scored 2.2 goals per match in last 9 league matches prior to that one. Also, they are hosting a Freiburg club that has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 4 goals including 3 in a row. In fact this is a double perfect spot as Freiburg has 3 matches in a row totaling at least 4 goals! Couple that with the fact that the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and in fact 4 in a row have totaled at least 4 goals. Those 4 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Double perfect over angles put to the test in this one! OVER 3 -130 in Borussia Dortmund |
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02-09-24 | Universitatea Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206805: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Universitatea Cluj is off a 3-1 loss at UTA and it was the 3rd time in 4 matches that their match has totaled at least 3 goals. That meshes well with an expectation that goals will fly here as 6 straight Universitatea Craiova matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 6 matches have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Universitatea Craiova will be looking to make up for a 3-0 shellacking in most recent home match but they have allowed 12 goals last 7 matches overall. However, prior to that shutout defeat on home pitch, Universitatea Craiova had scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight home matches and averaged 1.8 goals scored in those matches. Couple that with their tendency of allowing too many goals and the fact that Universitatea Cluj is off a loss and looking to bounce back, the goals should fly in this one! Again, the over is on a 6-0 run in Universitatea Craiova matches and I look for that run to reach 7-0 here! OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-09-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. Otelul OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2 -150 in Otelul Galati vs FCU Craiova 1948 @ 10 AM ET - Galati is coming off a 2-1 road loss but it was in Bucuresti against a tough Rapid club. Now they are back home in Galati and looking to make up for a scoreless draw in most recent match there. Note that, prior to scoreless draw at home, Galati had seen each of last 4 home matches total at least 2 goals. Those matches averaged 3 goals apiece and that is what I expect to see here. Craiova has seen 17 of last 20 matches total at least 2 goals so it is worth the extra juice here to have this total at over 2 goals. Note that 6 of the last 9 matches for Craiova that did have multiple goals did reach at least the 3-goal mark and many signs point to this one getting there as well. Galati is known for frequent draws but Craiova has the fewest draws in the league with only 3 on the season and that is a 12.5% draw rate! That said, you can see why I am expecting a 2-1 type match here as the visitors have proven to take risks even going for the wins rather than settling for draws. OVER 2 -150 in Otelul Galati |
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02-08-24 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 224 | Top | 118-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Thursday OVER 224 in Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - With Cleveland in a back to back and Brooklyn missing a few players for this one, this total has ticked down. The result is line value on the over. Note that the Cavaliers are a red hot 15-1 last 16 games. Being in a B2B here will not slow them down. Cleveland is off a low-scoring win at Washington yesterday but the game still hit 220 which is not far from tonight's total. The Cavaliers, prior to scoring only 114 against the Wizards, had scored an average of 121 ppg their last 10 games. Thursday's line is a -6 at Brooklyn. Could this game end 121-115 given these numbers? Absolutely and I do expect Brooklyn to bounce back at home off a couple of low-scoring home losses. Knowing the Cavs are in a back to back spot, the Nets will likely elect to push the tempo a little bit more in this one and wear down Cleveland as the game goes on. Even with guys out, the Nets still have plenty of scoring firepower with guys like Bridges, Thomas, Dinwiddie and Claxton. Also, O'Neale has been used more the past two games and averaged 16.5 ppg. The Nets scored 60 points in the 2nd half of their home loss to Dallas Tuesday and they will start faster this time around after a slow start versus the Mavs in that game. 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games have totaled at least 226 points and the Nets had some high-scoring performances in those. They bounce back off the B2B home losses but the Cavaliers stay red hot and that ultimately pushes this game over the total and into the 230s per my projections here. OVER 224 in Brooklyn |
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02-08-24 | Flames v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 -105 in New Jersey Devils vs Calgary Flames @ 7:07 ET - Flames off 4-1 upset win at Boston. Markstrom has been strong in goal last two games but this followed allowing 4 goals in B2B games and this Devils team is dangerous in the offensive zone. The issue for New Jersey is that they continue to allow too many goals. They have given 4.6 goals per game in their last 5 games. But they are off a 5-3 win and have scored 3.5 goals per game last 6 games. Their last 9 homes have averaged 7.7 goals per game and there is nothing average about that. Vanecek has allowed an average of 4 goals per game in last 3 starts. This game looks like a match-up that has strong odds off each team getting to the 3-goal mark and, of course, that would guarantee us of nothing less than a 4-3 final here. OVER 6.5 -105 in New Jersey |
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02-08-24 | Avalanche v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 104 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 +105 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:07 ET - The Avalanche are hungry here to get back on track as they are off B2B losses since the break. They did lose 5-3 in most recent defeat and that continued a high-scoring trend in Avs games. Colorado has seen 11 of last 14 games total at least 7 goals! As for Carolina, they are also hungry off a loss as the Canes lost at home to a tough Canucks team in most recent action. Before that loss, the Hurricanes had won 3 straight games and scored 3 goals in all 3. Yes they have some good goals against numbers lately but this Colorado team is one of the strongest in the league in the offensive zone. They will pressure the Canes here and force a higher-scoring affair here. The Canes have the talent to make the Avs pay for being aggressive however. Couple that with the fact Avalanche goalie Georgiev has been a little up and down and you have the perfect scenario here for plenty of goals. Georgiev has allowed 3.5 goals per game in his last 18 road appearances. The Avalanche have scored 4 goals per game over their last 24 games! This game looks like a match-up that has strong odds off each team getting to the 3-goal mark and, of course, that would guarantee us of nothing less than a 4-3 final here. OVER 6.5 +105 in Carolina |
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02-08-24 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington OVER 137.5 | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #777: CBB Thursday OVER 137.5 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs Drexel Dragons @ 7 ET - Drexel is a slower paced team but, even with that, their games have averaged 137 points this season. I expect NC-Wilmington on their home floor to dictate the tempo in this one. Seahawks games averaged 153 ppg this season! Also, this is a revenge spot for the Seahawks and the first game totaled 141 points despite the Seahawks making just 6 of 30 from three point land! Speaking of 20% three-point shooting, the Dragons are off a horrible 4 of 20 performance from downtown in their most recent game, a tight loss at Monmouth. Drexel has done a great job bouncing back from losses this season but the Seahawks are out for revenge on their home floor. I expect a back and forth high-scoring battle here given all of the above. The Dragons have gone 6-1 this season when off a loss and scored an average of 75 ppg in the 6 victories. The Seahawks have won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 77.4 ppg in the 7 victories. We don't need 75 to 77 apiece here in this one but the fact is solid odds on each team reaching the 70 mark in this one and that puts this one into the 140s. Drexel has scored an average of 77 ppg L6 road games even including the poor shooting effort at Monmouth in most recent game. The Seahawks have allowed 69 ppg L7 games (not including OT of course) so Drexel getting to 70 here is not a big ask and yet the home team is also favored with good reason. Value on the over with this low total. Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled over 140 and each of Seahawks L3 home games have totaled over 145 points! OVER 137.5 in NC-Wilmington |
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02-08-24 | Iowa v. Penn State | Top | 79-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #775: CBB Thursday Iowa Hawkeyes Pick'em or -1 at Penn State Nittany Lions @ 7 ET - The Hawkeyes are 2-5 SU in true road games this season while Penn State is 8-3 in true home games this season. That said this line must be a huge mistake, right? Not at all actually as Iowa's most recent road loss - which I fully expect they will bounce back from here - is their only road loss against an unranked foe this season. Their 4 prior losses in true road games were to Wisconsin, Purdue, Iowa State and Creighton! All of those teams are Top 25 teams. I love the situation here with the Hawkeyes having lost their most recent road game and catching Penn State off B2B wins. Note the only time this season the Nittany Lions have won more than 2 in a row was way back at the beginning of the season. Penn State started the season 4-0 but faced a bunch of cupcake opponents. The oddsmakers have this game with Iowa at a pick'em or -1 with good reason and I look for the Hawkeyes to have too much offense for the Nittany Lions in this one. Yes, Penn State has that signature home win over Wisconsin but upsets do happen at times when everything comes into place in one game. Other than this, the Nittany Lions other 4 Big Ten wins have come against teams that currently have a combined 16-31 Big Ten record on the season. Penn State, other than the upset of Wisconsin, has gone 3-2 L5 home games but with wins over a struggling Ohio State team and non-conference home wins over Rider and Le Moyne! Remember Iowa lost here last year so they have plenty of motivation here and though the Hawkeyes appear on track for an overall season comparable to last year, the Nittany Lions have regressed and were 9-11 this season prior to the B2B wins. The road team gets it done here. IOWA Pick'em or -1 |
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02-08-24 | Benfica v. Vizela OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #220213: Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals: Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Vizela vs Benfica @ 3:45 ET - These two clubs are from the Primeira Liga, the top league in Portugal. Vizela is at the bottom of the table in league action and Benfica is at the very top. However, Vizela does usually get on the board at least once when they are at home. Also, Benfica is favored by 1.5 goal on the goal line in this one with good reason of course. That said, a 3-1 type final absolutely looks like a good estimate in this one and yet we have the added insurance of the posted total on this one available at 3 goals so landing on 3 would still earn us a push. The fact is I fully expect 4 or more here. When Vizela has matched up this season with top scoring clubs like Benfica and Sporting Lisbon and Braga, the goals have been flying. They have faced those clubs a combined 4 times and all 3 matches totaled at least 3 goals and the matches actually averaged 4.8 goals apiece! More of the same here as Vizela ready to respond off a rare home shutout while Benfica has scored at least 3 goals in 6 of last 7 matches and will absolutely be ready to flex their muscles against the lowest club in the table. The visitors will be relentless on the attack and I anticipate a 3-1 or 3-2 type match here! OVER 3 -120 in Vizela |
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02-08-24 | AS Monaco v. Rouen OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #203629: Coupe de France | Round of 16: Thursday OVER 3 -135 in Rouen vs AS Monaco @ 2:45 ET - Yes we have to lay some juice here to have the over 3 but this is a huge value in a match where I expect the goals to come early and often. Rouen is from a lower-tier than AS Monaco and Rouen has been the surprise in this competition. Now the competition stiffens in a big way however and I expect Rouen to struggle to contain AS Monaco. The fact this match is at Rouen helps the over! AS Monaco is from the top league in France and in their Ligue 1 matches they have averaged both scoring AND conceding 2 goals per match when away from home! I do expect Rouen to get on the board in this one and the hosts are coming off a 3-3 thriller with Toulouse which they then won on penalty kicks. Note that Toulouse is also from Ligue 1 yet they are allowing only 1.35 goals per match on the season. So the fact Rouen put 3 past them is impressive. I expect the high-scoring ways to continue for the host but AS Monaco will also be so tough to slow down. Only league-leading Paris-Saint German has scored more goals than AS Monaco in league action. AS Monaco is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line with good reason here and this is the type of match that should finish 3-2 or 3-1 and we have excellent value with this total. OVER 3 -135 in Rouen |
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02-08-24 | Gil Vicente v. Guimaraes OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #220209: Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals: Thursday OVER 2.5 -105 in Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente @ 1:45 ET - These two clubs are from the Primeira Liga, the top league in Portugal. In home matches in the league, Vitoria de Guimaraes has won 8 of 10 and the average score is 2.3 to 1.0 in those matches. Gil Vicente does not fare as well on the road as they are allowing an average of 2.2 goals per match when away from home. However, this is a Gil Vicente club that is averaging scoring 1.5 goals on the campaign. Of course Vitoria de Guimaraes is a solid home favorite here with good reason and they are even favored by 1 goal on the goal line! That said, you can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one and those odds are boosted by the fact that Vitoria de Guimaraes is out for revenge after losing at Gil Vicente in the most recent meeting. Note that they should get payback here as they have won 4 straight home meetings with them and those matches averaged 3 goals apiece! Gil Vicente is off a 3-0 loss but this was preceded by averaging 1.5 goals in last 18 matches across all competitions. Gil Vicente had a 4-match unbeaten run prior to a 3-0 loss to powerhouse Benfica in most recent action and I look for them to get back onto the scoresheet in this one but I also foresee their struggles defensively away from home to continue in this one. The result expected is 3 or more goals! OVER 2.5 -105 in Vitoria de Guimaraes |
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02-07-24 | UCLA v. Stanford -3.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #746: CBB Wednesday Stanford (-) vs UCLA @ 9 ET - The Bruins have won 3 straight games but let's not forget this was followed by a tough 3-9 stretch for UCLA. Included in that stretch was a home loss to Stanford. That will have some looking at the Bruins here with the revenge angle. UCLA, however, is in a tough spot as Stanford is strong on their home floor and the much better club offensively. The Cardinal are averaging 78 ppg compared to the Bruins averaging 66 ppg. Also, Stanford hits 47% from the field while UCLA hits only 42% from the field. Remember too that those shooting variances have a strong tendency to be even more pronounced in the home/road factor as well. So in this case the better shooting team is on their home floor and I look for the Bruins to struggle to keep up in this one. UCLA is 2-7 in their last 9 games played on the road or at a neutral site. Stanford is 1-2 last 3 games but those were on the road. They finally get a home game again and are 8-3 at home this season. The Cardinal are 4-1 at home this season when they are at home and coming off a loss. That includes a win over an Arizona team that is one of the top teams in the country. Now they are coming off a loss at Arizona and I expect them to respond immediately here. UCLA is in the wrong place at the wrong time. Current line is 3.5 as of about 8 hours before tipoff. Lay it! STANFORD (-) |
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02-07-24 | Creighton -2 v. Providence | Top | 87-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #735: CBB Wednesday Creighton Bluejays (-) @ Providence Friars @ 8:30 ET - Creighton is off a loss and they have only lost B2B games once this season and are actually a perfect 4-0 SU this season when coming off a loss in regulation time. The Bluejays are laying only 2 points here - as of 9 hours before tipoff - and that means most any SU loss will also translate to an ATS win. I like the fact that Creighton had won 7 of 8 prior to that loss. Also, Providence has lost 6 of 9 games. Not only that but 2 of those 3 wins were against Georgetown and DePaul. Those two teams are a combined 1-21 SU in Big East action this season. The Friars, in other words, have been struggling for many weeks now. Also, when they lost at Creighton a month ago by 9 points, their biggest lead was only 2 points while the Bluejays led by as many as 18 in that game. In other words, it was quite dominating and now you can grab Creighton off a loss and facing a weaker foe and only lay 2 points. Count me in! Of course many will look at the revenge aspect for the Friars here but Bluejays are fired up to respond off a loss plus they lost here last season in double-OT so they have some extra motivation here to win at Providence this time around. CREIGHTON (-) |
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02-07-24 | Warriors v. 76ers +4.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Philadelphia 76ers (+) vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers lost the last meeting a week ago and that is when Kuminga fell on Embiid's knee and the latter is now out for 6 to 8 weeks recovering from surgery. Embiid was already hobbled in that game but that finished him off. That is part of the line value here. This line is all the way up to a 4.5 as of 10 hours before tipoff and it is just too much. Embiid had a horrible game when these teams met last week and the Sixers were also without All-Star Maxey in that game. So we are truly getting some line value here by going against an over-rated Warriors team that just does not travel well. They were horrible on the road last season but then shockingly started this season 5-1 on the road. Sure enough, their normal pattern has resumed and they have gone just 4-11 in their road games since then. Here they face a Sixers team that is off B2B home losses after starting the season 17-6 in home games! Philly is without Embiid but the Warriors also have some injury concerns entering this game as well. Also, Golden State off a win at Brooklyn but the Warriors have not won B2B road games since that 5-1 road run to start the season 3 months ago! As for the Sixers, they have only lost 3 consecutive home games one time this season and that also was all the way back in November as well. The point is we have quite a few strong trends in our favor here plus I also like the situational value here! I expect a huge effort from Maxey and the home team in this one in front of a raucous Philly crowd out for revenge in this one. PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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02-07-24 | Lightning v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6 -120 in NY Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:07 ET - The expected goalie matchup here is Vasilevskiy and Shesterkin. These are two great goalies. However, the Lighting have not played in a week and a half and lets talk about how Vasilevskiy played when he first came back from injury earlier this season. In other words, the last time he had an extended stretch of time off. He allowed 14 goals in his first 4 starts! Also, he has a solid 2.46 GAA at home this season but a 3.26 GAA on the road. The Rangers have the edge here of having a game under the belts since the All-Star break. That was a 2-1 win in OT for NY over the Avalanche and it gives them so momentum here. Also, they will likely be able to get an early jump on TB here as the Lightning will deal with that early lull after a long layoff. The Bolts will get going eventually though in this game and keep in mind they wrapped up the final stretch before the break with 3 straight wins and scored 6 goals in each victory! Long-term 16 of their last 23 matches have totaled at least 6 goals and so the line move on this one from a 6.5 down to a 6 is also giving us great value here! The Lightning are scoring an average of 4 goals per game last 10 games. The Rangers have seen 17 of last 24 games total at least 6 goals. This scheduling situation sets up well for goals. Much respect for both teams abilities defensively and in goal but the situation dictates an over and the long-term trending supports that as well. Both these clubs are very skilled and have dangerous forwards which will lead to high-quality scoring chances in this one. 10* OVER 6 in New York Rangers |
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02-07-24 | Celtic v. Hibernian OVER 3.25 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -57.5 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #207071: Scottish Premiership Wednesday OVER 3 -150 in Hibernian vs Celtic @ 3 ET - We have to lay some extra juice with this one but the ability to get the over 3 is offering great value on the over here. Celtic is coming off a disappointing draw with Aberdeen and they are trying to hold off the Rangers at the top of the table. That said, I fully expect Celtic to be very aggressive on the attack here. They will be relentless and this is a club that is averaging 2.3 goals scored per match this season. With Hibernian being at home and Celtic dealing with an injury issue within their defensive ranks, I do expect the hosts to get on the board here as well. However, Celtic is a huge favorite here with good reason and that is why I am anticipating a 3-1 type final here as they are angry off a draw. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals. Hibernian has allowed at least 2 goals in 4 straight league matches. Celtic is off B2B low-scoring matches but across all competitions this followed a 10-match stretch in which they scored 2.5 goals per match. They will respond big here and will be relentless on the attack. Hibernian has scored at least 1 goal in 3 of last 4 meetings with Celtic and averaged scoring 2 times in those 3 matches. We'll see a 3-1 type final in this one per all of the above. OVER 3 -150 in Hibernian |
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02-07-24 | Bristol City v. Nottingham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup Wednesday OVER 2.5 -110 in Bristol City vs Nottingham Forest @ 2:45 ET - Nottingham Forest is favored at -1 on the goal line even though they are on the road with good reason of course! The fact is Bristol City is in the League Championship which is a level below the Premier League where Nottingham resides. However, this will not be an easy match for Forest and I expect the goals to fly here. Bristol is hungry and on their home pitch and ready to attack as possession was equal and shots nearly equal when these clubs met at Nottingham Forest. That one ended in a scoreless draw but chances where there and it gave Bristol some confidence that they can match this club. Bristol is off a 1-0 loss in league action but they absolutely got slaughtered on the attack and should have allowed 3 or 4 goals based on the chances in that one. Nottingham is well aware of this and will be aggressive on the attack here. Bristol's prior match was a 2-2 draw and the goals will fly again here. Nottingham off a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth but this was preceded by 7 of last 8 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. The lone exception in that 8-match stretch was the scoreless draw with Bristol. In other words, that was an outlier and it will not be repeated here! The goals fly in this one and, yes, I am aware of the injury/absence issues for each club but the fresh legs of newcomers on the pitch also help drive a wide-open affair here as Santo needs to got his Nottingham Forest group rolling strong again! OVER 2.5 -110 in Bristol City |
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02-07-24 | Union Berlin v. Mainz OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #202595: German Bundesliga Wednesday OVER 2 -125 in Mainz vs Union Berlin @ 12:30 ET - This total has dropped from a 2.5 to a 2 and this is offering great value on the over here. I know that Mainz has struggled to score goals at home and Union Berlin has struggled to score goals on the road. But, let's also take a look at goals conceded here. Note that Union Berlin is allowing an average of 2 goals per match when on the road this season! Also, Mainz is allowing 1.6 goals as a host this season. You can see why I am expecting both clubs to strike for at least 1 goal here and then consider that Mainz has only 2 draws in 9 matches as a host this season and Union Berlin has only 2 draws in all 19 matches they have played in league action this season! All of the above means at least a 2-1 final is quite likely here the way I see it. Mainz is in the relegation zone and Union Berlin is just above it so you are also talking about two clubs desperate for getting the full 3 points in the table with a victory here. Mainz lost the first meeting 4-1 at Union Berlin so the hosts are out for revenge here and should fare well at home in this one but it has been the visitors that have been playing better of late with just 2 defeats in last 8 league matches. Note that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and I expect that trend to continue here and also love the added value of this total being available at a 2 in the marketplace. OVER 2 -125 in Mainz |
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02-06-24 | Wolves -5 v. Bulls | Top | 123-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Minnesota Timberwolves (-) @ Chicago Bulls @ 8 ET - The Wolves are the much stronger team and this is a reasonable spread to lay. Consider that the Bulls are 8-8 L16 games which does not sound that bad but the only winning team they beat is the Houston Rockets. The other 7 wins were against bad teams like Charlotte (3) and Portland, Memphis, Toronto and San Antonio. As for the Timberwolves, like Chicago, they also have a recent win over Houston and actually beat them twice during their current 11-6 run. The difference between Minny's wins and the Bulls wins however is the fact that Minnesota also has beaten Dallas, OKC, Brooklyn, the Clippers and Orlando during this solid run. Until Chicago truly proves they can step up against top tier competition, that is the big difference between these teams. Also, the T-Wolves are the much healthier team entering this match-up. This line is currently a 5 as of about 8 hours before tipoff. Lay it! MINNESOTA (-) |
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02-06-24 | Dayton v. St. Joe's +2 | Top | 94-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday St Joseph's Hawks (+) vs Dayton Flyers @ 8 ET - This is a Triple Revenge spot for St Joe's. Not only did they lose the most recent meeting in Philly and in Dayton but also they lost in a neutral site venue last March which knocked them out of the Atlantic Ten tourney. That said, don't let the line on this A-10 match-up fool you on Tuesday. Why is a ranked team that is 18-3 this season and 8-1 in conference action laying just a bucket against a team that is only 5-4 in A-10 action this season? Exactly! The fact is that the Hawks are heating up and they are playing their best basketball of the season and their big man is starting to become a true gamechanger at both ends of the floor also. The play on the wings was already solid for St Joseph's but now that they have the interior presence coming to full strength, they are looking more and more solid with each game. The Hawks have won 5 of 6 games overall and, with only 2 exceptions this entire season (both 3 point losses), they have been unbeatable at home. They also took Kentucky to OT earlier this season and the Wildcats are also a ranked team like Dayton and that game was at Kentucky! The Flyers lost their most recent road game and the Hawks have the edge of a 3rd straight game in Philly as their last "road" was at LaSalle here in Philly as well. Don't let this line lead you astray. This one has upset and revenge written all over it! The line is currently a 2 as of about 9 hours before tipoff. We'll grab the bucket but should not need it! ST JOSEPH'S (+) |
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02-06-24 | Avalanche v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 -115 in New Jersey Devils vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:35 ET - The Avalanche lost yesterday in OT to the Rangers. Colorado is sure to bring a strong effort here coming off that loss. However, this B2B spot puts their goalie situation in a tough position. Georgiev was in between the pipes last night and that means he either has to go again in a B2B spot which is NOT something he has done this season OR the Avs have to call up on Justus Annunen. Note that Annunen has played well at the AHL level this season but this is still a guy with very little NHL experience. Annunen has played in just 5 NHL games and he has an ugly 3.94 GAA in those outings. The Avalanche skaters have an advantage here too however as they played last night and will be ready to attack a Devils defense that could be lethargic here coming off the break. Adding to the expectation of goals here is that New Jersey was giving up piles of goals before the break. The Devils allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their final 4 games before the break! Two strong scoring clubs and ideal situation to expect goalie struggles means easy over here. OVER 6.5 -115 in New Jersey |
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02-06-24 | Flyers +180 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 180 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Philadelphia Flyers +180 @ Florida Panthers @ 7 ET - The last thing Florida needed was the All-Star break as they had won 4 straight. Conversely, the Flyers had lost 5 straight and needed the time off. A lot of times you will see a role reversal in a situation like this and Philadelphia is poised for a big dog upset here. The Flyers won 2 of the 3 meetings last season against this Florida club that ended up in the Stanley Cup Finals versus Vegas. Also, Florida has actually lost 4 of last 5 games on home ice! Taking the road team in Panthers games would have netted you an 11-2 run last 13 games! The Flyers needed a chance to hit the reset button provided by the All-Star break and it actually is good they are away from Philly and a chance to get back on track here. Believe it or not the Flyers have as many road wins as the Panthers have home wins this season! When you consider all these factors plus the fact Philly coach Tortorella knows Florida goalie Bobrovsky well from his time coaching him in Columbus, don't be surprised when the Flyers pull off the big dog upset in this one! PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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02-06-24 | Sheffield Wednesday v. Coventry City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200401: English FA Cup: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Coventry City vs Sheffield Wednesday @ 2:45 ET - Sheffield Wednesday is known for struggling to score and this particularly true away from home. However, they are in the relegation zone in League Championship and they know that a date with a sixth-tier Maidstone United club awaits here in FA Cup action if they can win this match. They will go all out here for sure and I expect that to result in at least 1 goal scored for the underdogs. However, Coventry City is a pricey money line favorite at home with good reason and they have actually scored at least 2 goals in each of last 5 matches on their home pitch. 7 of their last 8 matches overall across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and the only one that did not was the 1-1 draw with Sheffield Wednesday in their first leg of this FA Cup tie. Their other 7 recent matches have averaged 4 goals and I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals as the hosts also take advantage of facing an 18-year old goalkeeper and now know his tendencies after the first meeting. Sheffield Wednesday can not use their top goalkeeper here so the 18-year old gets the call again. OVER 2.5 -135 in Coventry City |
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02-06-24 | Ross County FC v. Motherwell FC OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #207051: Scottish Premiership: Tuesday OVER 2.5 +115 in Motherwell vs Ross County @ 2:45 ET - There are a dozen clubs in the top league and Scotland and only one club has allowed more goals on the road than Ross County. Also, no club in the league has allowed more goals on their home pitch than Motherwell. When you consider those facts, this truly is a bargain total at plus money on the over 2.5 goals. Yes, I fully understand Ross County has struggled to score goals but Motherwell has allowed at least 1 goal in 19 of last 20 matches! Also, Ross County has scored 3 goals in each of the last two meetings with Motherwell! Ross County has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and actually allowed an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. You can see why odds favor each club scoring here and Motherwell only has a 33% draw rate as a host and Ross County has only a 32% draw rate on the season. Considering that as well as all of the above, you can see why I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +115 in Motherwell |
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02-06-24 | Reading v. Stevenage FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200861: English League One: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Stevenage vs Reading @ 2:45 ET - In League One action, Reading has scored at least 1 goal in 15 of last 16 matches! Stevenage is hosting this one and, of course, is favored for a reason. Given these facts you can see why I am already leaning toward a 2-1 final here and feel strongly we'll see plenty of scoring in this one. League One Football in England is right under the League Championship which is the one that promoted clubs directly the English Premier League. The point is that this is still quality football at this level and I like the current trending of both these clubs entering this one as Stevenage enters this one on a winning streak and Reading enters this one on an unbeaten streak. Note that Reading has seen it's last 20 league matches average 3.2 goals apiece and almost all of those matches have seen Reading both scoring and conceding. Note that Stevenage has just a 25% draw rate this season so you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. Note that Stevenage has scored at least 1 goal in 14 straight League One matches and this includes averaging 2 goals per match in last 6 league matches as a host. There have been 8 goals scored in the last 3 meetings between these clubs and we have a great shot at 3 or more in this one as well! OVER 2.5 -115 in Stevenage |
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02-05-24 | Mavs v. 76ers OVER 242.5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Monday OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - This total is in the 242.5 range as of 11 hours before tipoff. Philly is without Embiid now and that really opens things up in the paint. They tend to play more of a small ball fast paced style when Embiid is not available. That means plenty of scoring both ways! As for the Mavericks, Irving is probable tonight and Doncic is questionable. I expect both to play in this game but either way I do like the over plenty in this one. Note that the Mavericks have allowed an average of 125 ppg last 12 games so don't let the big total scare you away here! The 76ers have allowed 125 ppg last 7 games. The line on this is around a pick'em. In other words 126-125 type game here is not only possible it is probable given numbers like this. Look for both teams to get into the 125 to 130 range here in a typical wide-open non-conference affair played with plenty of pace and continued struggles defensively from both clubs. OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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02-05-24 | Islanders v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 -110 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders @ 7:07 ET - NHL made it a staggered All Star break this season so that some of the first teams back were also the first ones to wrap up their action before the break. That means even though the All-Star game just happened on Saturday and today is only Monday, you are still talking about teams that have been off for more than a week. A lot of times when this happens you'll see some sloppy exchanges of the puck and turnovers created which lead to extra high-quality scoring chances or odd man rushes. So, in some of the matches after the break, I will be looking for overs right out of the gate and this is one of them. The Islanders and Maple Leafs are meeting for the third time this season and each of the first two meetings 4-3 finals in OT. I again look for each team to get to 3 goals in this one and that would of course mean the game gets to at least a 4-3 final. Note that both these clubs are solid on the power play but sub-par on the penalty kill. Also, the Leafs won a 1-0 battle with Jets in most recent home game but allowed an average of about 4 goals in their 6 home games leading into that one. The Islanders are mired in a stretch that has seen them lose 9 of 11 because they have allowed about 4 goals per game in those 11 games. You can see why I am expecting at least 3 apiece when you look at numbers like that and then factor in the potential for some high-quality scoring chances given the post-break situation noted above as well. OVER 6.5 -110 in Toronto |
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02-05-24 | Avalanche v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 -100 in New York Rangers vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:07 ET - NHL made it a staggered All Star break this season so that some of the first teams back were also the first ones to wrap up their action before the break. That means even though the All-Star game just happened on Saturday and today is only Monday, you are still talking about teams that have been off for more than a week. A lot of times when this happens you'll see some sloppy exchanges of the puck and turnovers created which lead to extra high-quality scoring chances or odd man rushes. So, in some of the matches after the break, I will be looking for overs right out of the gate and this is one of them. Both these clubs have great power plays. Also, the Avalanche are one of the highest scoring teams in the league. The Rangers scoring has been a little more up and down but they are still one of the more dangerous clubs in the league in terms of skilled personnel and they also have momentum from a 7-2 win right before the break. Colorado has seen 10 of last 12 games total at least 7 goals. The Rangers have averaged 3.6 goals scored in last 13 home games. The Rangers have either scored or allowed 5 goals in 5 of last 7 games! That said, you can see why I am expecting at least 3 apiece when you look at numbers like the above and then factor in the potential for some high-quality scoring chances given the post-break situation noted above as well. OVER 6.5 -100 in New York Rangers |
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02-05-24 | Miami-FL +6 v. Virginia | Top | 38-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Monday Miami Hurricanes (+) @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 7 ET - Certainly I have plenty of respect for Virginia and they are arguably the best team defensively in the nation. However, there is line value here with a live dog catching about a half-dozen points against a Cavaliers team that has had a somewhat friendly ACC schedule so far. Virginia has played 11 conference games so far and 4 of them were against Louisville and Notre Dame and each of those teams are 2-9 in ACC action! Also, the Cavs have played Georgia Tech who is 3-8 and NC State who is 4-6 as well as Syracuse and Virginia Tech and each of those teams is 5-6 in ACC action. So that leaves 3 games against teams that currently (like Miami) have a winning record in ACC action. Those 3 games saw Virginia lose by double digits at Wake Forest and at NC State! They did win the rematch with the Wolfpack here but that 6-point win was in OT. The fact is that Virginia could very easily be 0-3 against teams that currently have a winning record in ACC action on the season and I feel the Canes are vastly undervalued here. The line has moved toward Virginia here so we have even more line value and I am grabbing the points (currently 6 as of 10 hours before tipoff) and expect this to be a great game where the points prove invaluable in a tight finish. MIAMI (+) |
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02-05-24 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League: Monday OVER 2.5 -185 or 3 -120 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - I am making this play expecting 4 or more goals so yes over 3 -120 is a perfectly fine way to play this. However, you can turn a 3 into a win instead of a push for about 65 cents more in terms of the lay amount at over 2.5 goals so I am mentioning that option to you as well. Look for more or here but certainly getting to at least 3 seems highly likely. Manchester City is finally getting back to full health again and they are rolling. Brentford is a bit outclassed here but they are on their home pitch and will battle hard and they continue to get involved in one high-scoring match after the other! Brentford has seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 4 goals! Also, the over is on a PERFECT 5-0 RUN in Brentford matches in EPL action! I know this match-up has a recent history of lower-scoring matches but also note that City has averaged 3 goals scored per match in their last 11 matches across all competitions. City scored multiple goals in 10 of 11 matches! Manchester City has conceded in 10 of last 11 EPL matches! Also, they are favored by 1.5 goals in this one with good reason. In other words, you can see why a 3-1 Manchester City win has high probability here and I am looking for the high-scoring ways to continue as Brentford's over run in EPL matches makes it 6-0 L6! OVER 2.5 -185 or 3 -120 in Brentford |
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02-05-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -125 in FCSB vs Farul @ 1 ET - FCSB is without a few players but this is one of the deepest clubs in the league and Compagno is on his way out of FCSB so his absence Monday may do more good than bad anyhow. FCSB was without him in most recent game and they still prevailed anyway and continued piling up big goal tallies. This is a huge match-up as Farul is the defending champion and their coach, Hagi, is the greatest Romanian football player of all time and it is his birthday. Farul is going to give a huge effort here on their manager's behalf but FCSB is at home and they are playing with a lot of emotion in recent matches. This is a match-up of two of the top clubs in the country and, though the first one this season was a 1-0 final, this followed 4 straight meetings that each totaled 3 or more goals! This one will get there as well! FCSB has won 4 straight matches overall and scored at least 3 goals in all 4 of those victories! Farul is back on track after the winter break as they have won both their matches and the lone road match was a 2-1 victory. The combined draw rate of these clubs this season is below 25% and I expect both clubs to score here given all of the above and that means 75%+ odds also favor at least a 2-1 final here. Also NONE of the last 5 meetings have ended in a draw. Excellent value with this total at 2.5 goals and a reasonable -125 price. OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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02-05-24 | Hermannstadt v. Voluntari | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206910: Romania Liga 1: Monday FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -105 vs Hermannstadt @ 10 AM ET - Home pitch has mattered plenty in meetings between these clubs. Also, Voluntari is going to get a boost here with new manager and the hosts are dead set on escaping the relegation zone. Even though Hermannstadt is much further up the table in comparison with Voluntari, note that the visitors have only 1 more victory than the hosts on the season! The fact is Hermanndstadt have been draw specialists. That said, I feel we have excellent line value here with the hosts available at a PK -105 on the goal line. That means a draw at least gets us our wager back. I am expecting the outright win for the hosts or I would not be involved here but the added insurance of a draw being a push for our wagers certainly helps the cause here. Voluntari has won or drawn in 13 of 23 matches this season while Hermannstadt has only won 7 of 23 matches this season! Home club value here especially riding the emotions and motivation of a new manager. VOLUNTARI Pick -105 |
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02-04-24 | Pacers v. Hornets +9.5 | Top | 115-99 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Charlotte Hornets (+) vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Pacers have a number of banged up players for this one. Yes, they won by 31 when these teams met in Indiana but they outscored the Hornets by 30 from three point land in that one! Ridiculously hot shooting for the Pacers was the difference in that game. I know it may seem tough to play on a team that has lost 6 in a row and is having a tough season but I am happy to challenge the Pacers to win this game by double digits over the Hornets! Note that Charlotte is the much healthier team and they are at home and the Pacers are on a 4-8 SU run. In those dozen games, Indiana had only 1 win by more than 6 points! This is a tricky scheduling spot for Indiana too because it is a 1-game road trip before B2B home games. Could the Pacers "mail it in" here against a Charlotte team they blasted in the first meeting? I absolutely believe that will be the case and the Hornets will be the hungrier team here at home and the Pacers health issues keep this one from turning into a complete rout. This one decided by single digits. CHARLOTTE (+) |
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02-04-24 | Providence v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #856: Sunday CBB Villanova Wildcats (-) vs Providence Friars @ 6 ET - Many Wildcats fans in Philly have lost faith in coach Kyle Neptune and are calling for his firing. However, the team is rallying around this and fully support him. The reason they are on a 5-game losing streak is they are not quite the same team they once for sure but also take a deeper look at this run! The 5 losses included one at Butler in double OT and was a game Nova never trailed in. Also, the Wildcats other 4 losses included just one ugly one versus St John's and the other 3 were losses against ranked teams including top-ranked UConn. In other words, the Cats are not as strong as past teams but they certainly deserve a little leeway on the tough recent run. Now they host a Providence team they have double revenge against! This is the first meeting between these teams and last season the Friars beat the Cats in both games in Neptune's first season. In other words, this has not been forgotten and Nova also so hungry for a win in this spot and they are at home. Remember they are 3-1 SU in last 4 home games versus unranked foes! This is a game they can (and will) win. Providence is just 3-5 SU last 8 games and 2 of those wins were against the two worst Big East teams - DePaul and Georgetown. Value here with a reasonable line with a desperate, revenge-minded home team here. Lay it! Payback! 10* VILLANOVA (-) |
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02-04-24 | Temple +10.5 v. Tulane | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #849: Sunday Temple Owls (+) @ Tulane Green Wave @ 4 ET - This line is now in the double digit range and it is just too much. The Owls have a sub-par record but they are fighting hard and there is no quit in this team. As a result, they are hanging tight in many of their recent defeats and I expect more of the same here. Temple is just 2-7 SU last 9 games but each of last 3 losses by 6 or less points. Tulane has the better record on the season but, keep in mind, they have not exactly been setting the world on fire of late! The Green Wave have lost 6 of last 8 games and both wins were by 7 or less points. Also, Tulane is off a tough loss at SMU and have a tough game at Memphis on deck. Memphis was a ranked team not too long ago and don't be surprised when this game, given all the situational aspects, is decided by a single digit margin. TEMPLE (+) |
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02-04-24 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 228 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Sunday OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic @ 3 ET - The Pistons expected to have Cade Cunningham back for this one. The Magic scored 123 points the last time they faced Detroit. The Pistons did not score well in that one versus Orlando but they are back at home for this rematch. Detroit has scored at least 120 points in 3 straight games! The Pistons have allowed 122 ppg their last 9 games. Orlando is known for lower-scoring games but the Magic are facing a Pistons team that does not play well defensively but is at home and has been scoring well of late. This one has over written all over it. The Magic off a tight win at tough Minnesota plus have a big divisional game on deck at Miami. In other words, the Orlando defensive play is not likely to be at its best here against the worst team in the league. As of 8 hours before gametime, this total in the 228 range which is a great value. OVER the total in Detroit |
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02-04-24 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 2.5 -167 or 3 +110 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool won the most recent meeting 2-0 in English FA Cup action. In terms of recent meetings in EPL action, both clubs have scored in each of the last 3 meetings and those matches averaged 3.7 goals apiece. Liverpool's last 5 matches across all competitions have averaged 4 goals apiece. The Reds are averaging 2 goals per match on the road this season. Arsenal scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match when at home in league action. I know some are anticipating a match played "close to the vest" here but I expect Liverpool to continue to be aggressive on the attack. They have scored goals like crazy, even without Salah, ever since the announcement that Klopp would be leaving after this season. The Reds are at the top of the table so they have some wiggle room to work with here while Arsenal is desperate for the full 3 points to maintain pace so this is why I am fully anticipating plenty of attacking from both sides in this one. OVER 2.5 -167 or 3 +110 in Arsenal |
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02-04-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200021: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in Chelsea vs Wolverhampton @ 9 AM ET - Both clubs are off high-scoring matches where there arguably could (should) have been even more goals finding the back of the net. We have excellent line value here as all signs are pointing to at least a 2-1 battle here and we can get this total at 2.5 goals even with some extra juice. Note that Chelsea is known for being tough at home and also they have transitioned well under their manager in terms of turning back into a more prolific attacking club after a dismal period. Indeed Chelsea is looking better and so tough at home and they are out for revenge after losing the reverse fixture 2-1 at Wolverhampton. Note that Chelsea will be trying to slow down a Wolves club this is averaging 2.3 goals per match in their last 8 across all competitions. Also, note that Chelsea has averaged 2 goals per match in their last 7 EPL matches at home. The Blues also have allowed 2 goals per match in their last 14 EPL matches! These clubs both likely to score here given all of the above and a 1-1 draw is highly unlikely as none of their last 3 meetings have been draws and the Wolves have a less than 20% draw rate on the road in EPL this season and the Blues have an under 20% draw rate overall this season. 2-1 at a minimum here. OVER 2.5 -145 in Chelsea |
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02-04-24 | CS U Craiova v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206897: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi vs Universitatea Craiova @ 8:30 AM ET - Universitatea Craiova and Sepsi are right next to each other in the table but Sepsi has been on a roll while Universitatea Craiova in enduring a tough winless streak. I like what I am hearing in terms of the attitude of the club entering this one, including manager response at the press conference, and I am confident this road club is going to put up a big fight here in this one. However, no matter how well Universitatea Craiova does play in this one, they are facing a Sepsi club that is playing with extra confidence right now and, of course, happy to be on their home pitch. Universitatea Craiova is off a shutout loss to a tough FCSB club but they had scored 10 goals in their 6 matches heading into that one. The problem for Universitatea Craiova is they have been allowing too many goals and that has led to 5 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals. As for Sepsi, they have had 7 straight matches total at least 2 goals and 6 of those totaled at least 3 goals. So, even though we must lay some extra juice to get the over 2 here, it is a huge value that is undefeated L7 for the host and perfect 5-0 L5 for the visitor! OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi |
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02-04-24 | UTA Arad v. Universitatea Cluj -131 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -131 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #206894: Romania Liga 1: Sunday Universitatea Cluj -130 vs UTA @ 6 AM ET - UTA has not scored a goal in 3 straight road matches and 6 of last 9 on the road. UTA enters this match off a win (at home) while Universitatea Cluj enters this match off a loss (on the road). That makes this the perfect situational spot to back the better club on their home pitch. UTA lost most recent road match 4-0 and Universitatea Cluj won their most recent home match 2-1. Also, Universitatea Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches as a host. The home/road dichotomy involving these clubs is a strong one and the hosts are a moderate favorite here with good reason. Cluj is not an easy place for visiting clubs and we see that again today on Sunday. Universitatea Cluj -130 |
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02-03-24 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #789 CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Iowa State Cyclones (+) @ Baylor Bears @ 8 ET - The Cyclones have won 11 of 13 games. The Bears are off a win but this followed a 5-5 stretch and was on the heels of 3 straight losses for Baylor. The Bears certainly have revenge on their minds from losing all 3 games to Iowa State last season. However, the Cyclones look like the stronger team this season without a doubt. That said, the Bears laying about 4 points here is just too much because these teams are not equal on a neutral floor in my opinion. Also, Baylor is facing a Cyclones team that is among the best in the nation for steals per game with 11.2 and I look for Iowa State to force enough turnovers here to capitalize and grab the road win. We'll grab the points just in case but note that the Cyclones are looking to make it 4 in a row over the Bears and certainly will have no shortage of confidence in facing Baylor here. 10* IOWA STATE (+) |
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02-03-24 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 136-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 6:10 ET - Yes, the 76ers are without Embiid right now but Maxey is back and lighting things up on the statsheet. Also, this as much a play against Brooklyn as it is a play on Philly. Note that the Nets have lost 75% of their games since mid-December as they are on a 6-18 SU run. Not only that, Brooklyn had 2 of the 6 wins against a bad Detroit team and also a pair of recent wins against currently slumping Houston and Utah teams. So this line is basically saying that because Embiid is out, the 76ers are about the same level of team as the Nets. I completely disagree with current market assessment that on a neutral court these teams are about equal. Yes, even without Embiid, the Sixers are stronger than Brooklyn. Also, the Nets have lost 9 of last 11 road games and one of the only two wins was against the worst team, Pistons, in the entire league! Now the Sixers are back at home where they have won 11 of 14 games and this is a very reasonable number on Philly which has come down from about a half-dozen when it first came out. As of 10 hours before tipoff, this line is in the -4 range. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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02-03-24 | Maryland v. Michigan State OVER 129.5 | Top | 54-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #725: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Terrapins @ 5:30 ET - These teams recently met and the game total just 120 points but it was on pace for 152 points based on a 44-32 score at the half! That said, I feel we have a lot of value here with the posted total on this around 130 points as of about 5 hours before tipoff. I do respect both defenses. However, you must also keep in mind that the Spartans are off a big win over their biggest rival, Michigan, and their defense may not be their best here. Also, MSU is averaging 76 ppg this season and Maryland is averaging 70 ppg this season. As you can see, we have some "wiggle room" with this total when you consider scoring numbers like that. The Terrapins have scored at least 69 points in 4 of last 5. As for the Spartans, against teams not named Maryland, they have scored 66 points or more in 12 of last 13 games! Most of those saw Michigan State reach at least the 70 point mark also. I look for both teams to get well past the mid-60s in this one given the above and that gets this team well into the 130s. 10* OVER the total in Michigan State |
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02-03-24 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Michigan | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Rotation #691: Saturday Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+) @ Michigan Wolverines @ 4 ET - This line is currently as high as a 4.5 as of about 5 hours before tipoff. Rutgers is off a crazy game in which they made just 1 of 17 from 3-point land. I am sure they will bounce back here. The Scarlet Knights have allowed just 66 ppg this season. The Wolverines have lost 9 of 10 games and allowed 83 ppg during this stretch. I like scrappy underdogs that are facing fellow weak teams that have a tendency to not play defense. Look for the Scarlet Knights to force an ugly low-scoring scrappy game and that leads to a great shot at the upset or, worst case, a tight finish likely decided by a single possession. The points are well worth it here. 10* RUTGERS (+) |
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02-03-24 | Otelul v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2 -150 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Otelul Galati @ 1 ET - You also have the option of playing this at 2.5 goals at as much as a +115 payback but I would prefer the value of getting a push at 2 goals if this lands on 2 so I am laying the price on this one at over 2 goals. Note that Rapid has returned from the winter break with a fire lit under them. They have played two games and won those by a combined scored of 6 to 4 for an average of 5 goals scored per match. Galati is off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by 8 of last 9 matches totaling at least 2 goals! Also, those 9 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I do expect at least 3 goals here as well but like the added value of 2 being a push. The Galati manager was somewhat respectful but also threw a little shade at Rapid in his press conference prior to the match. As a result, I fully expect Rapid to be especially aggressive on the attack in this one! OVER 2 -150 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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02-03-24 | Aston Villa v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Sheffield United vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 - Great spot for Aston Villa to come out strong off a loss. Yes, Villa known for not scoring as well on the road but this is still a club that averages 2 goals per match on the entire season. Also, no team in the league is allowing as many goals as Sheffield. What I like about the way this one sets up as well is the fact the Blades are at home for this one. They do score an average of a goal per match when at home and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here but certainly expecting much more in this battle. A 3-1 type affair most likely. Note that this is another match-up that has seen a history of low-scoring battles. But when you look at the situation here it truly screams over. Sheffield United, across all competitions, has seen 5 of last 6 including 4 straight matches all total at least 4 goals! Those 6 matches averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Aston Villa, in Premier League action is off a 3-1 home loss to Newcastle! They will be raring to go here on the road where, prior to a scoreless draw in most recent match, 4 straight matches had totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. More of the same here! OVER 2.5 or 3 in Sheffield United |
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02-03-24 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200009: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Brighton has a crazy recent trend in which they can not score in Premier League matches but have scored plenty outside of EPL action. They will break that trend here. They are hungry to bounce back off a 4-0 loss at Luton Town and they are on their home pitch and 4 of their last 6 matches have totaled 4 or more goals and we only need 3 to be winner here. As for Crystal Palace, they have a leaky backline but have been scoring better than usual as well. This is why Crystal Palace has seen 6 of last 7 EPL matches total at least 3 goals and those 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. I am expecting 4 here but even if we just get to 3 in this one, that will still produce a winning ticket and I like the value on that. We get line value because these clubs have a history of low-scoring battles but the setup here is perfect for the hosts to be relentless on the attack and force a high-paced match! OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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02-03-24 | CFR Cluj +100 v. Petrolul 52 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Saturday CFR Cluj Money Line +100 @ Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - CFR Cluj responded immediately under their new manager and secured a 4-1 home win in most recent match. Now they go on the road but that helps to keep their line in check here in terms of a very nice even money price on the money line. They face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that will do their best to put up a strong showing at home but this club struggles to score goals. Petrolul Ploiesti has now scored only 4 goals in their last 9 matches! Consider that plus the fact they are now hosting a club that just scored 4 goals in just 1 match! Also, CFR Cluj has won the last 3 meetings by a combined score of 7 to 2. The visitors will continue to get a boost from their recent managerial change and this Petro club continues to get hurt by their defense-first approach. CFR Cluj Money Line +100 |
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02-02-24 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 221 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Friday OVER 221 in Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 9:10 ET - Sharpe is still out for the Blazers but what is interesting is that Portland did struggle offensively in the first game without him but what about since then? The Trail Blazers are actually 5-4 SU last 9 games and in their last 10 games without him they did average 113 points per game NOT including OT points of course. Denver is favored by about a dozen points here so that puts this game at 125 to 113 which is well above the 221 total here. I am aware that Jokic is questionable but, if he does not play, a potential small approach here for the Nuggets could serve them well here. That's because the Blazers are playing with a little more confidence now and willing to run and gun and that could play right into Denver's hands in a potential home rout. Statistically, when at home and off a loss, the Nuggets have allowed an average of 110 ppg. In other words, when coming off a loss and playing on their home floor, Denver has shown a propensity to rely more on their offense than defense in terms of bouncing back! The Nuggets are 5-0 L5 home games and average 119.4 during this winning streak at home. Again, look at the spread here, and if Denver hits 120 and wins by 12 that still puts this one into the upper 220s. I am expecting 230s here based on all of the above and the situation. OVER 221 in Denver |
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02-02-24 | Butler v. Creighton -10.5 | Top | 99-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Friday Creighton Bluejays (-) vs Butler Bulldogs @ 9 ET - Butler's most recent game was against Villanova and we had the Wildcats there. The Bulldogs pulled off a miracle with a double-OT win in a game they NEVER LED in regulation and trailed by as much as 14 points in the SECOND HALF of the game. Give Butler some credit but also know that the Wildcats are proving to be a shell of the type of teams they use to be under head coach Jay Wright. Other than that miracle win over a Nova team that is proving to be one of the 3 worst teams in the conference AND an amazing win over Marquette on a rare night in which the Golden Eagles had a rare horrific shooting night, the Bulldogs other 3 wins are against the two worst teams in the Big East. That trio of victories coming against DePaul and Georgetown. The point is that this Butler team is 5-5 in Big East action but I am not impressed. Conversely, the Bluejays are chasing UConn for the top spot in the Big East and they are at home for this one where they are so strong and tend to shoot the ball very well. I also like the fact they have some size inside and this will frustrate Butler and the Bulldogs will struggle to get easy buckets all night long. That is why this is one of those rare instances where I am willing to lay bigger points as this one is a line that is currently in the -10 range as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Lay it! CREIGHTON (-) |
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02-02-24 | Mallorca v. Ath Bilbao OVER 2 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #201953: Spanish La Liga: Friday OVER 2 -145 in Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca @ 3 ET - This one is all about situational value as well as line value. Getting this total at 2 goals is a big value. Also, Athletic Bilbao is one of the top clubs in the league but shockingly has not scored in their last two league matches! In their other two recent matches, both in Copa del Rey action, they have scored a total of 6 goals. This club is more than capable of consistent success on the attack and they will be back to pushing for goals in this one in a big way. Mallorca has struggled this season but having Muriqi back and likely getting even more minutes out of him in this match is a boost for the club. Also, prior to their 1-0 loss in most recent match, Mallorca had scored 12 goals in last 7 matches across all competitions and only failed to score once. So consider that fact and then consider that Athletic Bilbao is favored by 1 goal on the goal line in this one and you can see why I am expecting a 2-1 type match here. Off B2B shutout matches in La Liga action, the visitors have their marching orders here and will be very aggressive. OVER 2 -145 in Athletic Bilbao |
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02-02-24 | Borussia Dortmund v. Heidenheimer SB OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #202513: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 3.5 +110 in Heidenheimer vs Borussia Dortmund @ 2:30 ET - Heidenheim had a 1-1 draw in most recent home match but certainly this has been the exception rather than the rule. Their home matches generally have been very high-scoring. Prior to that 1-1 draw, 5 of their 8 matches as a host this season had totaled 5 or more goals. Also, when they faced Dortmund earlier this season it was a 2-2 draw. They also had matches with Bayern Leverkusen and Bayer Munich each total 5 or more goals! Against tougher top tier competition, the goals tend to fly in Heidenheimer matches and I expect more of the same here. Dortmund has scored 3.3 goals per match this month and the hosts in this one have scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 3 on their home pitch. There is a reason this one is priced in the 3.5 range on the total. Don't let the big number scare you and take advantage of the plus money here. OVER 3.5 +110 in Heidenheimer |
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02-02-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. U Craiova 1948 -121 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #206890: Romania Liga 1: Friday FCU 1948 Craiova -120 vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova is off B2B tough one-goal losses but they faced two of the tougher clubs in the league with matches against Rapid and Farul. Now they face one of the league's worst clubs as they host Dinamo. Not only does FCU 1948 Craiova have just two fewer wins than Rapid and Farul, no club in the league has as many losses (15) this season as Dinamo does. These two clubs, Dinamo and FCU 1948 Craiova, are the two clubs out of all 16 in the league that have the fewest draws on the season. That said, I am not expecting a sharing of the spoils here and, given the situation, this match-up has home win written all over it. Dinamo has gone 1-7 in last 8 road matches and the only win was over an FC Botosani club that is the worst in the league and the 7 road losses were by a combined score of 15 to 2! In other words, this Dinamo club certainly does not travel well! FCU 1948 CRAIOVA -120 |
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02-02-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -120 in FC Botosani vs Poli Iasi @ 10 AM ET - The last two times these clubs met here at Botosani, each match totaled at least 3 goals. Poli Iasi enters this match off a 1-0 win but this followed their last 3 matches all totaling at least 4 goals! Botosani has seen 14 of last 17 matches total at least 2 goals! Those 14 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Asking for 3 or more here is not asking too much. The fact that even just 2 goals here earns us a push has me pulling the trigger on this one with confidence. OVER 2 -120 in FC Botosani |
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02-01-24 | Cavs v. Grizzlies OVER 215 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 215 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 8 ET - When you look at Memphis and the injury situation then of course you start thinking about a tough time scoring points. However, too much emphasis is being placed on that here and not enough on what the Cavaliers are capable of! Also, the Grizzlies are highly unlikely to again make just 30 of 80 from the field like they did in most recent game. Cleveland tends to play higher-scoring games and I could see this game being rather wide-open. Remember too that Memphis had scored 107.5 ppg in their 4 games prior to that loss. As for the Cavs, they have scored big in winning 11 of their last 12 games. The Cavaliers also have allowed 114 ppg their last 4 games. How amped up defensively do you really think the Cavs are going to be facing a Grizzlies team that is enduring a very rough season? I just can not foresee much effort here from Cleveland in terms of defensive intensity. Instead look for more of a run and gun approach in this non-conference affair and that should yield plenty of points. The current spread on this one is 8 and that puts this final at 111-103 in terms of the total posted on this game. But do you really think the Cavs are only going to get to 111 here? They have averaged 120 ppg last 13 games and now face a struggling opponent. In other words, you can see why I love the value with the low total posted on this one! 10* OVER 215 in Memphis |
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02-01-24 | Drexel -4 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #737: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons @ Monmouth Hawks @ 7 ET - The Dragons bounced back nicely from their very first CAA loss of the season (by just 3 points at Towson) by coming up big at home against NC AT & T. The Dragons are a very strong defensive team and they are strong on the offensive boards and they are a very deep team. Those are the kind of gritty teams that can win big games and it is a big reason Drexel is having such a solid season including now 8-1 in CAA action. As for Monmouth, the Hawks did almost upset the Dragons at Drexel last month in CAA action. However, the Hawks shot surprisingly well in that game and Drexel did not and yet the Dragons still pulled out the 4 point win. Also, all 7 of the Dragons CAA wins have been by 4 or more points this season. The current line on this one is a 4 as of about 9 hours before tipoff. Monmouth is not as strong defensively or on the boards or in terms of shooting percentage on offense either. They are 4-4 in CAA action but had lost 4 of 5 (with the only win over a bad Hampton team) prior to coming up with a win versus Hofstra in most recent game. Hofstra has not beaten any of the top tier teams in the CAA either so that win is not ultra impressive. Monmouth will have their hands full here against a Dragons team that already tasted defeat once in their most recent road game and they are very motivated and hungry here as a result in their very next road opportunity as they look to add to an 8-1 conference record. Monmouth just 9-17 SU in last 26 conference games. 10* DREXEL (-) |
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02-01-24 | Manchester United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #200177: English Premier League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Wolverhampton vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - These clubs have a low-scoring history in their meetings in recent years and I am well aware of that. However, from a situational and current form perspective, this one is destined to get to at least 3 goals. Wolverhampton has a chance to leapfrog Man U in the table here with a victory. However, Manchester United has been playing better of late and is going to be on the attack here on the road as this has been their style recently since they seemingly flipped a switch. Man U has scored 2.4 goals per match in going 3-1-1 in their last 5 matches across all competitions. Also, I am aware of the Marcus Rashford situation but watch the club draw energy from that with a strong effort here. As for Wolverhampton, they had a 0-0 draw in most recent EPL match but certainly a result like that has been the exception rather than the rule! Prior to that, Wolverhampton had seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals. Also, the Wolves are coming off a 2-0 win and other than that rare scoreless draw, the other 6 matches in their last 7 across all competitions have seen them average scoring 2.5 goals per match. Given all of the above getting to the 4-goal mark here would not surprise me in the least and certainly we should see at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Wolverhampton |
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02-01-24 | Real Madrid v. Getafe CF OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #201821: Spanish La Liga: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Getafe vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. I know that Getafe has a tendency for their home matches to be low-scoring but I anticipate this one getting to at least 2-1. Note that Getafe has scored an average of 1.3 goals per match this season so they are likely to get on the board here. Real Madrid is certainly a 1-goal favorite here on the goal line with good reason. Certainly the visitors, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, are expected to get on the board as well. The odds of this match ending 1-1 are quite slim as Real Madrid has only a 14% draw rate this season. Given all of the above you can see why I am anticipating at least a 2-1 final here as Real Madrid looks to keep the pressure on league-leading Girona. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Getafe |