Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Tottenham vs Bournemouth @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season. Bournemouth is averaging 2 goals scored when on the road this season. Also, based on current form, we should see plenty of goalmouth action in this one! Tottenham has averaged 2.5 goals last 4 matches but also has conceded 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches. Bournemouth is in excellent current form and has scored 2.6 goals per match last 7 matches! Tottenham won the most recent meeting 2-0 but, prior to this, 3 of the last 4 meetings had each totaled at least 4 goals. Look for a very entertaining affair here ending 2-2 or 3-2 as most likely outcomes. These are two very confident clubs meeting in this one and both are aggressive on the attack. 10* OVER 3.5 in Tottenham |
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12-30-23 | Oilers +102 v. Kings | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +100 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 10:05 ET - The Kings certainly want this game but revenge can only get you so far. Last post-season, just like the playoffs the year before, Los Angeles was eliminated by the Oilers. That said, Edmonton continues to have the number of the Kings and I expect that to continue here. The Oilers come into this game as the hotter team and they ride that momentum here. Edmonton is on a 3-game winning streak and they just had an 8-game winning streak from late-November to mid-December as well. They have scored an average of 5 goals in those 11 wins! The Kings have lost 5 of 9 games and they have scored an average of only 2.7 goals per game in those 9 games! I just don't see LA as being able to keep up with the high-powered Oilers in this one as revenge again proves to be over-rated. Oilers beat the Kings yet again. 10* EDMONTON +100 |
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12-30-23 | USC v. Oregon State +9 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #704 CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Oregon State Beavers (+) vs USC Trojans @ 10 ET - This line is currently in the 8.5 to 9 range as of about 7 hours before tipoff and there is excellent value here with the underdog. The Beavers have not played as tough of a schedule but they are at home for this game and are coming off a loss but had an 8-3 record prior to that. Also, the Trojans have revenge here from a loss here last season. However, USC enters this game just 4-6 last 10 games and only 3 wins by more than 8 points in their last 10 games! Oregon State won 5 straight games before their tough loss to UCLA in most recent game by 7 points. The Beavers last lost by more than 7 points was back on Thanksgiving weekend! The Beavers have played the Trojans tough in each of the last 3 meetings with an outright win and each of the two losses by 3 or less points. Remember that Oregon State went from an ugly 3-win season to an 11-win season last year to now looking lite a 15-win type team this season. People still remember that Beavers team that went 14-49 the past two seasons combined but they truly are looking much better this season and Corvallis is not an easy place to play. We'll gladly grab the generous points being offered here. 10* OREGON STATE (+) |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Detroit Lions (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - This line is the 5.5 range as of 8 hours before kickoff. Note that both teams have already clinched a post-season berth but there is still some motivation for both teams here. Detroit and Dallas both need to win for playoff positioning reasons but, without a doubt, the pressure is much more on the Cowboys than the Lions in this one. Detroit already clinched the NFC North while Dallas is still chasing the Eagles for the NFC East division title. So the pressure is on Dallas here and they have not been handling it well. They already lost B2B games after finally catching the Eagles at the top of the division. Losses to the Bills and Dolphins the past two weeks and the Cowboys continue their pattern of losing to quality teams. Certainly the Lions are a quality team. Also, statistically Detroit has the much better rush defense in this match-up. Their weakness is pass defense but Prescott has a history of struggling in big games against better teams. Also, another angle I like a lot in this match-up is Lions head coach Dan Campbell is a Texas guy. He played for the Cowboys during his NFL career and was born in Texas and in college he played with the Aggies of Texas A & M. In 2021, he became head coach of the Lions and it was a tough season but he has fully completed the turnaround. By the way, during his time with the Lions, they have met just one time and that was last season and was a 24 to 6 loss for Detroit. You can bet, literally, they have their eyes on payback here as this team has come a long way and this Lions team playing with confidence and without pressure whereas Dallas needs this game to have any reasonable shot in the NFC East race with the Eagles. We'll grab the points here but I do not even expect to need them. As usual, the Cowboys fall on the big stage like they so often do. Against quality teams like the Dolphins, Bills, Eagles and 49ers the Cowboys are 1-4 SU. Give me the points. 10* DETROIT (+) |
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12-30-23 | Lakers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:10 ET - This total currently in the 225.5 range. I am well aware there are some injury and illness question marks for each team entering this one but I expect most of those guys to play and I feel we have value here with this rather low total. Consider also that if some of the bigger guys are out that opens things up for more of a "small ball" style of game and I would not be surprised to see both teams go off big in this one. 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games have totaled at least 228 points. The Timberwolves are a fantastic 23-7 this season and scoring an average of 116 ppg last 10 games. The Lakers are just 3-6 last 9 games but have scored 120 ppg last 10 games! LA has allowed 121 ppg their last 9 games. As you can see, we have a lot of wiggle room given numbers like this as the Lakers and Wolves both currently trending toward higher-scoring games. Even if one or more of the big guys is out for this one, this total still gets there as it is just too low given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming OVER 44 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Wyoming Cowboys vs Toledo Rockets @ 4:30 ET in Arizona Bowl - The total on this one is in the 44 range as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Rockets defense is going to struggle here. Wyoming not known for offensive prowess but they have displayed a better passing game this season which gives them a nice run/pass balance. As for Toledo, they will be using Gleason at QB and certainly he is a step down from Finn and does not give them the dual-threat capability. However, I expect him to surprise here. He has only played in a couple games last season but he was much more active last season and has thrown for 12 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions in his action in the last two seasons combined. In the last 5 appearances where Gleason has taken double digits in snaps, he has thrown for at least 2 TD passes in 4 of those 5 games! He has that respectable 12-3 TD-INT ratio and I expect the Rockets to still move the ball well in this game as this is not some newbie coming in for Finn in this one. As for the Cowboys, they are known for solid defense but always tend to be tougher at home historically. Note that prior to their season ending road blowout win, they allowed over 30 points in all 4 road games and lost all 4 of them! I do not expect Toledo to have that big of an output here but the Rockets have a solid offensive framework and will score some points here but so too will Wyoming against a weak Toledo defense. Asking each team to get into the 20s here for total points is not asking for too much given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Arizona Bowl |
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12-30-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #200101: English Premier League Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham is off a 3-1 win but has conceded 12 goals last 5 matches. Manchester United is also off a much-needed 3-2 win but other than a recent scoreless draw, has allowed 2 goals per match last 4 matches that included scoring. Both clubs off confidence-boosting wins but both also have struggled in the goals-conceded department. That sets this one up well to be at least a 2-1 final. Manchester United has only 1 draw in 19 matches this season and I do expect both clubs to score given their recent penchant for allowing goals. That said, the odds strongly favor this one getting to at least a 2-1 final as Man U just does not settle for matches in which there is a sharing of the spoils. Look for an aggressive approach from both clubs here. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -4 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions (-) vs Ole Miss Rebels @ Noon ET in Peach Bowl - This line in the 4 to 4.5 range as of about 2 and 1/2 hours before kickoff. Two very strong 10-2 teams but Ole Miss head coach Kiffin is 2-4 SU and ATS in bowls while Penn State head coach Franklin is 7-4 ATS in bowls. I also like the fact that the Nittany Lions have the much better defense in this match-up. The Nittany Lions road that defense to a 9-3 ATS mark this season and I expect one more cover from them to close the season out. Even though PSU defensive coordinator Manny Diaz left the program earlier this month as he took the head coaching job at Duke, all his systems are in place and this rock solid defense has seemed to rally around the fact they want to win one more for Diaz even though he has departed the program. Yes, the cohesiveness and bond was that strong. Diaz even came back to speak to the players after taking the job at Duke and that is not something you always see. This is a tight-knit group that this PSU defense has and the co-defensive coordinators calling this game will combine with the players for one last super strong game under the Diaz schemes. Next season Tom Allen (formerly with Indiana) takes over as the DC. In this bowl match-up, as strong as the Ole Miss offense is, they are facing one of the toughest defenses in the nation plus the Rebels defense is not strong enough to slow down a determined Lions bunch that can run the ball very well and remember that this passing attack had 27 TDs against only 1 INT all season long. Yes, that includes games against Michigan and Ohio State! 10* PENN STATE (-) |
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12-30-23 | Sheffield United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #200089: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Under their new manager, Wilder, Sheffield will likely continue to be more aggressive on the attack and they have scored in 3 of last 4 matches including 2 goals in their most recent match. Adding to the likelihood of the Blades making the net ripple at least once here is the fact that City has been consistently allowing goals in league action. However, Manchester City is favored by 2.5 goals here with good reason. Their attack will prove to be too much for Sheffield. This one has all the makings of at least a 3-1 final. City is averaging 3 goals scored per game when at home this season. City has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 4 goals and all signs point to a 3-1 or 4-1 type match here. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-29-23 | Arizona v. California OVER 156 | Top | 100-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in California Golden Bears vs Arizona Wildcats @ 10:30 ET - The Wildcats are angry off a double-OT loss prior to Christmas. Arizona is one of the top teams in the country and will respond in a huge way here. However, California is on their home floor and they have scored quite well this season so I would not be surprised to see a strong effort from the Golden Bears in this one. The problem for Cal is they are not strong on the defensive end and the Cats are going to run and gun in this one and leave no doubt after that disappointing double-OT loss. Of course that is why Arizona is favored by double digits on the road in this Pac-12 opener and I expect plenty of scoring and pace to this game. Cal averaging 76 ppg this season but Arizona is averaging 92.5 ppg on the year! Given the line on this game is in the 14 range, certainly 91 to 77 sounds about right and, though I expect much more, a total of 168 is double digits in front of this total which is in the 155.5 to 156.5 range as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Looks like a shootout is on the way here! 10* OVER the total in California |
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12-29-23 | Flyers +116 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +115 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - Ersson played most of last night's 4-1 win at Vancouver for the Flyers but the goalie exited in the 3rd period with dehydration issues. The fact that Carter Hart took his spot in the 3rd period and stopped all 8 shots he faced is a good sign here. Remember that Hart had just had a RARE bad start right before the Christmas break but he had been great before then. Also, the Flyers have now won 14 of last 21 games and that win yesterday stopped a losing streak. Can they win two straight? Well actually it has been about 6 weeks since they last had a standalone win so I expect them to again build another one here and make it B2B wins on B2B nights. Seattle seems to have really taken a step back and they have now suddenly won 3 straight. However, that followed losing 23 of their first 33 games this season and they have not won 4 straight games since last season. The odds favor another Philly win here and the Kraken have just 6 wins at home this season and no team in the NHL has fewer home wins. So the Flyers as a small dog offer excellent value here especially against a former coach, Dave Hakstol. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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12-29-23 | 76ers -120 v. Rockets | Top | 131-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick -120 @ Houston Rockets @ 8:10 ET - We get line value here because the Sixers are again without Embiid but they did just beat a solid Magic team at Orlando by 20 points. Also, that win was no fluke. They had 17 more shots from the field so, in other words, Philly dominated play in that game and, again, it was sans Embiid. The Rockets have lost 3 of 4 home games and 5 of 7 overall. Houston is a solid respectable team but so is Orlando and we all saw what just happened there. The 76ers have a great clubhouse feel right now and they like to prove they can win without Embiid. They will do so again right here on Friday. 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 49.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cotton Bowl - Missouri Tigers vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 8 ET - This total is in the 49.5 to 50 range as of about 9 hours before kickoff. I know Ohio State has a great defense but do you think the Buckeyes are excited to be here? They are used to playing for the National Championship or at least playing in a January 1st bowl. This season they are not only NOT playing on New Year's Day or New Year's Eve or even the 30th of December. The Buckeyes are playing on the 29th of December! Ohio State's defense is not going to be at it's greatest in my opinion as this bowl is a letdown by their standards. That opens things up for a solid Missouri offense to take advantage. However, I do not trust this Tigers defense and they will struggle particularly against the pass. Now, of course, Ohio State has opt outs and their top QB is one of them but you know the talent level of Buckeyes recruits. Ohio State has solid fill-ins across the board on offense despite having some opt-outs at the skill positions. That said, the Buckeyes should roll here on offense but I do not expect their defense to be without some trouble in this one. Missouri is bringing a talented slate of weapons for this one on offense and they averaged in the mid-30s on offense this season as did the Buckeyes. Now, of course, given the circumstances I am not expecting the offenses to reach mid-30s here but we do not need to. We only need mid-20s range for each and I fully expect that given all of the above. That puts this one past the 49.5 to 50 number currently posted on this one. 10* OVER the total in Cotton Bowl |
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12-29-23 | Memphis v. Iowa State -10 | Top | 36-26 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Iowa State Cyclones (-) vs Memphis Tigers @ 3:30 ET in the Liberty Bowl which is played in Memphis. The current line on this one in the 10 to 10.5 range as of about 5 hours before kickoff. Someone knows something. Yes, this is one of those games. The Tigers have the better record, are playing at home for this game, and yet the line has moved toward Iowa State and the Cyclones are now double digit favorites in this game! Don't be surprised when the road team wins this one huge. This one features a Memphis team that did not have to play UTSA in the regular season and lost their games with SMU and Tulane. The reason I mention that is because those are the only 3 teams in the AAC that, besides the Tigers, had a winning record. So the point is Memphis has not even beaten a team in their conference that ended up with a winning record in conference action. Now the Tigers go outside their conference to face a tough Iowa State team from the Big 12. Yes, Memphis has a solid offense that puts up big numbers but their defense is horrible. The Cyclones will move the ball well on the Tigers throughout this game and the flip side is that Iowa State will be able to get some stops on Memphis. Note that, against unranked teams like the Tigers, the Cyclones have won 5 straight games and allowed only 14 ppg in the last 4 victories in that run. Iowa State is on a 6-3 run and the only 3 losses were to ranked teams and the 6 wins saw them average 34.7 ppg. Against this bad Tigers defense they will score at least that and I just do not see Memphis keeping up as the Cyclones defense is a respectable one to say the least. Also, look at what other AAC teams have done in the bowls. Although USF throttled a disinterested Syracuse team, the other 3 AAC teams that have played in bowls were all beaten badly and struggled to score points. Rice lost 45-21, SMU lost 23-14, and Tulane lost 41-20. Also, NONE of those 3 played teams as tough as Iowa State. Look for the Cyclones to roll here as AAC has proven to be even weaker than advertised! 10* IOWA STATE (-) |
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12-29-23 | Queens Park Rangers v. Ipswich Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200305: Championship League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Ipswich Town vs Queens Park Rangers @ 2:45 ET - Ipswich Town is near the top of the table and their average home match in league action has been 3-2 this season and there is nothing average about that for sure! In other words, lets take advantage of the low total here as Ipswich Town has been struggling and has been giving up goals all season long quite consistently. The strength for them is the attack and the hosts will come out angry and aggressive in this one after some recent disappointing results. That means we should expect plenty of scoring and, of course, they are a 1-goal favorite here on the goal line for a reason. The Queens Park Rangers do not score well but they average 1 goal scored per match on the season. They should make the net ripple at least once. Ipswich Town has allowed 2 goals per match last 4 matches. They will allow at least 1 here but they also have the potency on the attack to turn this into a home rout. Look for a 3-1 or 2-1 type match here. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Ipswich Town |
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12-29-23 | Plymouth Argyle v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #200293: Championship League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +100 in Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle @ 1 ET - Southampton rolling and averages scoring 2 goals per match when at home this season. Plymouth Argyle has allowed 2 goals per game on the road when on the road as they have struggled away from home. However, Plymouth Argyle is scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match this season and this one shapes up to be a 3-1 type match as, of course, Southampton is laying 1.5 goals for a reason. So 3-2 or 3-1 at a bare minimum looks like the the likely results in this one as the hosts keep rolling but also give up at least 1 on the counterattack along the way. 10* OVER 3.5 +100 in Southampton |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma OVER 58.5 | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Bowl Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 58.5 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Arizona Wildcats @ 9:15 ET in Alamo Bowl in San Antonio, TX - The Sooners will be without Dillon Gabriel as he is transferring to Oregon. However, they have a 5-star recruit who does at least have some game-day experience getting the start in this one. He also is a threat with his legs and OU, even with some guys out on offense, still have an ultra dangerous offensive attack. This Sooners team averaged 43 ppg this season but they are not a very good defense. They are facing a Wildcats team that also piled up points this season. Arizona was particularly potent late in the season and they averaged over 450 yards per game on offense while Oklahoma averaged over 500 yards per game on offense this season. While OU will be missing some guys on offense it looks like the Cats will mostly be intact for this game. That said, I trust this Sooners system to score points on anyone! At the same time, Arizona will be piling up points with their full strength offense ready to roll in this one! The Wildcats finished the season on a 6-game win streak and averaged scoring 39 ppg in these victories. As you can see, both these teams can pile up points in a hurry and OU has depth so despite guys missing they will surprise and I like their QB for this one as well. I expect each team to sneak into the 30s in this one so I feel we have excellent value here with this total in the upper 50s! 10* OVER 58.5 in Alamo Bowl |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns OVER 33.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 33.5 in Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets @ 8:15 ET - This total is just too low when you consider that Siemian has rejuvenated the Jets offense a bit and he is getting the call as starter again this week. Also, the Browns are legitimate one touchdown favorites here and Flacco has revitalized the Browns offense as well. So here you have a Cleveland team that has won 3 in a row and is playing with confidence and they are hosting a Jets team that has won 2 of 3 and is looking to play the role of spoiler. Jets have allowed 29 points per game last two games. However, they have also scored 30 points in their last two wins. Cleveland has seen each of last five games total at least 37 points! The Browns have allowed 26 ppg last 5 games but have also scored 29 ppg last 3 games. Look at the line on this game and this total. That would put this game, given the spread by the oddsmakers, at about 21-14 but I just don't see either team being held below those numbers given the above. Also, definitely decent weather by Cleveland standards for late December for this one. I respect these defenses but the offenses are playing with more confidence of late and this posted total is just too low given the recent level of play of these offensive units. 10* OVER 33.5 in Cleveland |
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12-28-23 | West Ham United v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Arsenal vs West Ham United @ 3:15 ET - Arsenal and West Ham have totaled 3 or more goals in each of last 4 meetings and each of the last 3 have totaled 4 goals! I fully expect this one will too. Arsenal is off a disappointing 1-1 draw but this followed a 2-0 win and I look for them to get rolling again on the attack. They have not been as goal-happy of late but this is still a club that has averaged 2.5 goals scored in their EPL home matches this season. West Ham has allowed 2.2 goals per match in road matches this season but this is a solid scoring club too as the Hammers average scoring 1.7 goals per match on the season. West Ham has allowed an alarming 5 goals in EACH of their two matches away from home and, of course, these are both London clubs but still this one is in the home of Arsenal. On their home turf, the hosts are going to explode for goals here as West Ham does not have a clean sheet on the road since April! Arsenal, however, has also been conceding as well of late with goals allowed in 5 of last 6 matches and in those 5 they conceded 1.4 goals per match. The hosts do enter this one having scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 7 matches across all competitions. Looking for both teams to score and West Ham has just 1 draw in their 9 road matches this season so very strong odds of at least a 2-1 final here but certainly expecting much, much more. 10* OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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12-28-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 115 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham @ 2:30 ET - Brighton & Hove is averaging very close to 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season but they are on the road here and Brighton should enjoy some success on their home pitch. Tottenham knows they can breach a Brighton backline that has been struggling so I do expect the Hotspur to be aggressive on the attack here but, of course, this will open things up for Brighton to be aggressive on the counterattack. Tottenham's last 9 matches have seen them both score and concede in 8 of them and these matches have averaged 4 goals so don't let the big total posted on this one keep you away. Brighton has both scored and conceded in 17 of 18 matches this season in EPL action! I know the Albion have had some lower scoring matches of late but Tottenham should have conceded more against Everton last week and they were lucky in that regard and I can not foresee them being so lucky again here. The hosts in this match are desperate to get back on track in the scoring department and I expect an aggressive approach in this one. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State OVER 54.5 | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Bowl Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas A & M vs Oklahoma State in Texas Bowl @ 9 ET - The Aggies lost a lot of key guys heading into this bowl game whether through injury or transfer portal. However, a number of those key players are defensive stars. As a result, Texas A & M is going to have big struggles in this game to stop the Cowboys offense. I expect Oklahoma State to score big in this game but the issue for OSU is their defense can not be trusted. The Aggies are the more talented team in this match-up, even with some replacements on offense this A & M still has plenty of talent at the skill positions and they were buoyed by late season success on offense after Fisher was fired. Overall, the Aggies have scored an average of 37 points over the last 5 games! Oklahoma State finished the season with a 49-21 loss to the Longhorns. However, the Cowboys had scored at least 27 points in 10 of their first 12 games this season! OSU does have a dangerous offense and the Aggies missing key players on the defensive line and in the linebacking group. The Cowboys have the talent on offense and a coaching edge here with veteran Gundy calling the shots and I expect them to move the ball very well here. Their defense allowed 441 yards per game this season and will be exploited here. The current total as of about 9 hours before kickoff is in the 54 to 54.5 range and I am expecting this game to get well into the 60s. 10* OVER the total in Texas Bowl |
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12-27-23 | Manchester City v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - I know some are anticipating a low-scoring grinder here but I expect City to come out strong on the road in this one and Everton to also answer with at least 1 goal here. Note that City has just 1 draw in 9 road matches this season and Everton has just 2 draws in 18 matches this season! That is an 11% draw rate for each club and that means if you expect each team to score here than odds also suggest it finds it way to at least a 2-1 final. The numbers support that theory as well. City has scored 2 goals per match on the road this season and Everton has scored 1 goal per match at home. Everton will try to frustrate City with tight defensive play here but Man City will figure out how to break through. They have too much firepower to be shutdown. They scored 3 goals in the last meeting. City has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in their last 13 across all competitions. Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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12-27-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Wolverhampton @ 2:30 ET - Wolverhampton has extra confidence coming in off the 2-1 win over Chelsea. However, they have allowed 2 goals per match in last 8 played away from home and Brentford is chomping at the bit to get back on track. Brentford is off a 2-1 home loss to Aston Villa but did score 3 goals in their most recent home match prior to that. Brentford has allowed 1.5 goals last 4 matches. Neither team draws frequently and so I do NOT expect a sharing of the spoils here and I also can't foresee either team delivering a clean sheet given the above. That said, looks like a 2-1 final at a bare minimum here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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12-26-23 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | Top | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - The Spurs might be without Wembanyama as he has a sprained ankle and is listed as questionable. I know the Jazz have not been good this season but were it not for the Pistons losing 26 games in a row I feel we would all be hearing much more about just how horrific this Spurs run has been. San Antonio started this season 3-2 but they have since gone 1-22 in an awful run of futility only overshadowed by the Pistons nightmare run. Also, 23 of San Antonio's 24 losses this season have been by at least 3 points so laying the number here (currently 3 as of about 11 hours before tipoff) is no problem either. The Jazz have won 5 of last 7 games so they have won more games the past two weeks than the Spurs have won all season long! Only 1 of Utah's last 11 wins have been by less than a 3 point margin. So excellent value here because of the Jazz being on the road for this one and we'll fade San Antonio again here. 10* UTAH (-) |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 59.5 | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Bowl Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Rice Owls vs Texas State Bobcats @ 5:30 ET in First Responder Bowl in Dallas, TX - The current total on this one is as low as a 59.5 as of about 9 hours before kickoff. Rice does not have their starting QB for this one but his replacement has some experience. Couple that with the fact that the Texas State defense is so bad and I expect the Owls offense to function just fine in this one. Another big key here is the Rice defense is not great and the Texas State offense is a very aggressive one that has had huge success. The system brought in by the new coach has flourished here and the Bobcats attack will be relentless in this game. Looks like great weather expected for this one as well. So this one checks all the boxes for ending up a high-scoring game that should see plenty of points. Rice closed the season with B2B wins but prior to that they were 4-6 and allowed at least 30 points in 7 of those 10 games. Texas State's last two games EACH totaled at least 96 points! 3 of their last 4 games did total at least 69 points! The Bobcats are scoring an average of 36 ppg this season and are about a 4 point favorite here. That puts this one at a 36-32 final and that is more than a full TD above the current posted total on this one so we'll step in and look to take full advantage. 10* OVER the total in Rice |
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12-26-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +100 in Manchester United vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play considering how bad that Manchester United has been playing but I feel sure Manchester United will bounce back at home here after a stretch of unreal futility. There is still too much talent on this club to continue struggling like this. Manchester United won the most recent meeting with Aston Villa 1-0 but each of the 4 most recent meetings prior to that one not only went over the total, they each totaled at least 4 goals! Aston Villa has both scored and conceded in 9 of last 12 matches across all competitions. If that trend continues here, and I fully expect it will given the high-scoring match-up history between these clubs, then what are the odds of just a 1-1 draw? They are actually very slim as Aston Villa has just 3 draws in 18 matches and Man U has just ONE draw in their 18 EPL matches! Excellent value here as the hosts will play with aggressive attacking style as they look to get back on track. 10* OVER 3 +100 in Manchester United |
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12-26-23 | Liverpool v. Burnley OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -120 in Burnley vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Burnley confidence is growing here after a 2-0 win last week and the fact they are on their home pitch here! Burnley is running into a buzzsaw here however as Liverpool is off a tough 1-1 draw with Arsenal. The Reds will look to make amends for that here with a huge effort and I expect the goals to fly here as a result. Liverpool, dating all the way back to July across all competitions, has scored an average of 3 goals per match! The Reds are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason but Burnley playing with confidence and, at home, they have averaged scoring a goal per game and Liverpool has not exactly been water-tight at the back either. Great spot here to anticipate plenty of goals and look for nothing less than a 3-1 type of final in this one. 10* OVER 3 -120 in Burnley |
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12-26-23 | Fulham v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Bournemouth vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Bournemouth has scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored per match during this hot run of attacking prowess. Fulham off a 2-0 loss but they also had been scoring well prior to B2B shutouts in EPL action. Fulham had scored an average of 4 goals per match in 4 matches prior to this tough run! Fulham has allowed at least 2 goals in 5 of last 7 matches in EPL action so you can see why I am anticipating a high-scoring battle in this one. Great spot here to anticipate plenty of goals and look for nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Bournemouth |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - This total is down to as low as a 46 as of about 11 hours before kickoff on this one. I love going contrarian in this one. Of course you are talking about two solid defenses here but why is this total so high? Exactly! This total is high because we are also talking about two great offenses here and I feel the running ability of Jackson for the Ravens is going to frustrate the Niners in this one. He is a major headaches for defenses and, at the same time, Baltimore will struggle to slow down the Niners in this one as their offense is "off the charts" good. Lets dig into the numbers on this one. The 49ers enter this one having won 6 straight games and they averaged scoring 34.5 points per game during this stretch! So they must of played a bunch of bad teams, right? No, not at all actually! The Niners had 5 of the 6 games against teams that are likely to end up in this year's playoffs! So the point is that San Francisco can move the ball on anyone and will do so again here against the Ravens. Baltimore has won 8 of 9 games and they have scored an average of 26.4 ppg in those 9 games. Note that the spread on this game is right around a 7 and, per the above, a 34-27 final would not be a shock. Now certainly that is not what I am necessarily expecting here but that gives us a lot of wiggle room (about 2 TDs) compared to the posted total on this game! I am definitely looking for 48 to 55 as a likely range on this total. These are two of the top offenses in the NFL and the weather will be great for this one as well. 10* OVER the total in San Francisco |
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12-25-23 | 76ers +3 v. Heat | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Embiid is out for the Sixers but now they are catching 3 points as of about 9 hours before tip off. Keep in mind, Butler might miss this game for the Heat. Either way, I like the value here of a deep Sixers team catching points because of the absence of Embiid. This is a rare chance to catch Philly as an underdog and, keep in mind, Miami is 0-3 SU the last 3 times they have entered a game on a winning streak of at least 2 games. Including post-season games, the Heat are just 19-19 SU last 38 games. Philly is 29-12 SU last 41 games. The Sixers are 8-1 SU last 9 games overall entering this one and offer exceptional line value here. I know they are without Embiid but the Sixers are so loaded with other talent and depth that they will get the Christmas Day upset here. We'll grab the points just in case but I do not expect to need them. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs New York Giants @ 4:30 ET - The Giants had won 3 straight before a 24-6 loss last week. However, 2 of those 3 wins were at home. In terms of road games, the Giants have lost 3 of 4 and all 3 of those losses were by at least 18 points! Overall, 5 of their last 6 road losses have been by at least 18 points and the average margin of those defeats is 19 points! The Eagles are off 3 straight losses but they faced 3 playoff teams in the 49ers, Cowboys and Seahawks. Those teams have a combined record of 29-15. The Giants, on the other hand, have a 5-9 record. Philly is going to move the ball much better this week as Hurts is now healthy and the Eagles offense does look healthy, for the most part, heading into this one. The defense has some injuries but the Giants offense just does not have the weapons to take advantage. The Eagles so hungry off 3 straight losses, are at home, and they can take advantage of the Cowboys loss yesterday to move back into first place in the division. A lot of positive energy as a result of all of the above is going to see the Eagles win this one in an annihilation. The Giants just do not have the offense to keep up here. The Giants have scored an average of 9 points in their 9 losses this season. The Eagles are averaging 30 points in their 10 victories their season. That puts this game at about 30-9 which is a victory margin of 21 points and we are looking at a line that is just under the 2-TD margin - the current line on this game. The line is 13.5 on this one as of about 8 hours before kickoff. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-24-23 | Nevada -6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 9 ET in Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu, Hawaii - Perfect set up here. The Yellow Jackets blew a huge 20 point 2nd half lead against Hawaii yesterday and barely hung on. That is the kind of game that takes a lot out of a team, especially when it is part of a tournament like this where teams are playing so many games in a short period of time. I look for yesterday's game to be the final good moment for Georgia Tech over in Hawaii as the fresher legs and overall stronger roster belongs to Nevada. The Wolf Pack are coming off a much more comfortable win yesterday as they maintained a big lead for much of the game and cruised to the win over TCU by double digits. The Pack are now 11-1 this season and all 11 wins have been by at least 6 points and that is the number on this game as of about 12 hours before tipoff. 9 of the other 10 Nevada wins have been by double digits. Georgia Tech's last 3 wins have been by an average margin of just 3 points and one of those victories was in OT! In other words, the Jackets have been winning too but not by big margins and there is a lot of value here with a 1-loss team facing a 3-loss team whose 3 losses have, by the way, been by a margin of 17 points on average. Lay the reasonable number here and look for the favorite to roll by double digits in this one. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 36.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 36.5 in Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - We get line value here due to the long-term under trending in NFL this season plus that trend being particularly strong in primetime games plus the fact that these teams each had low-scoring tendencies up until recently. Now, things are starting to change and yet the betting markets have not caught up with that and getting this total in the mid-30's is a bargain to say the least. The Broncos are off a loss but this followed a 6-1 SU run in which Denver averaged 22.6 points scored per game. Also, Denver has allowed an average of 21 ppg in their last 6 games. The Patriots are off a home loss that totaled 44 points. Also, in terms of true road games (not neutral site), the Pats have seen 4 of last 5 total at least 38 points! Those 4 games averaged 41.5 points per game and that is the range I am expecting with this one today as well. Zappe has 4 TD passes for the Patriots the past two weeks. Wilson has 3 TDs the past two weeks. Also he has 13 TDs against only 1 INT in his 7 home games this season. Patriots will surprise on the road here as Zappe continues to work hard to get this offense going and Broncos D has struggled some recently but, also, the Broncos strong play continues at home. 10* OVER 36.5 in Denver |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -119 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Dolphins PK -115 / -120 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - When the Cowboys prove they can beat a good team on the road I will stop fading them away from home. But as I noted in their game at Buffalo last week when we had the Bills, the Cowboys almost always struggle against good teams and particularly when on the road. As I mentioned in last week's write-up on Buffalo, the Cowboys were off the shocking absolute blowout of the Eagles the prior week. That was a huge divisional win for Dallas but the most shocking aspect was not just the final score and the domination. The most shocking aspect is the Cowboys finally beat a good team. The fact is Dallas almost always fails against good teams. It has been their modus operandi (m.o.) for quite some time now. The Cowboys dominate all the bad teams and plump up their stats in those games and then get everyone excited but then they crumble against quality teams. Give Dallas credit for the big win over Philly but also it looks like something continues to be amiss with the Eagles the past few weeks. That is certainly not the case with Miami. The Dolphins have won 6 of their 7 games played in Miami this season and their only loss was by a single point against Tennessee. That said, I feel we have some solid home value here with the Dolphins in this one. Dallas, including post-season action, is 0-5 both SU and ATS the last 5 times they have been road dogs. Of course when the Cowboys are road dogs it means they are facing a quality team. This goes back to what I was saying above in that Dallas usually struggles against quality opposition and, of course, road games are the toughest. Dolphins are about 1 point favorite here as of about 5 hours before kickoff but they also are available in the -115 to -120 range on the money line which is the better value in my opinion. Look for that play against situation involving Dallas as a road dog to improve to a PERFECT 6-0 the last six. 10* MIAMI (-) |
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12-24-23 | Galatasaray v. Fenerbahce OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #207861: Turkish Super Lig: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs are solid defensively too but this is a match-up of the top two clubs in the league and Galatasaray is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season and Fenerbahce is scoring an average of 3 goals per match in matches on their home pitch this season. In other words, the goals should be flying in this one. I am expecting 4 or more goals but keep in mind we just need 3 to get at least a push here and if you expect each team to score - and who wouldn't given their scoring numbers this season - and you do not expect a draw then you would expect at least a 2-1 final here. So what are the odds of a draw? Well, these clubs each have identical 14-1-1 records so the odds of a draw are ultra slim to say the least! Galatasaray has scored 3 goals in each of the last two meetings between these clubs. However, Fenerbahce is at home for this one and has been so impressive on the attack this season. That is a big part of the reason their last 5 matches have averaged 5.4 goals apiece and all 5 totaled at least 4 goals! Look for that trend to make it 6 in a row here! 10* OVER 3 +105 in Fenerbahce |
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12-24-23 | Chelsea v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -125 in Wolverhampton vs Chelsea @ 8 AM ET - The Wolves have scored in 15 matches in a row when on their home soil. Chelsea has been playing much better ever since they made the managerial change. Chelsea scoring a lot more goals too under the new regime. Of course they are favored on the road for a reason but note they are facing a Wolverhampton club that has a strong trend of goal-scoring at home. In other words, all signs point to at least a 2-1 final in this one and we have excellent line value with this total at just 2.5 goals. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and Wolves have allowed 2 goals per match in their last 5 matches overall. Chelsea has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 5 away from home. 10* OVER 2.5 -125 in Wolverhampton |
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12-23-23 | Sharks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:07 ET - Vancouver has revenge for a 4-3 loss at San Jose in the most recent meeting between these teams. With this being the last match before the Christmas break and given that each team enters this one off a loss, I am looking for the goals to fly in this one! Vancouver has scored 3.6 goals per game last 10 games! Each of the Canucks last 3 games overall have totaled at least 7 goals and I expect this one to as well. Vancouver has been struggling of late in the goals-conceded department and the Sharks could surprise again here just like they did in the most recent meeting. However, the Canucks will certainly be able to take advantage of a San Jose team that continues to allow too many goals. The Sharks have allowed an average of 5 goals per game last 3 games and also has seen 7 of their last 9 road games total at least 8 goals! Those 7 games averaged 9 goals apiece and this should be another wild one here given the situational aspects. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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12-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 119-144 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are off an ugly 122-96 loss at Houston. They were without so many guys but I expect some back here for this one and Doncic is on track to play! That will be a big boost to the Mavs and they will take advantage of facing a Spurs team that is having a disastrous season. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but has since gone 1-21. This is unreal and the Spurs and 7 of the last 8 losses have been by 8 or more points. The current line on this one is in the 7.5 range and SA likely to get hammered again as Dallas is angry off an embarrassing loss. The Mavericks had won 5 of 6 before tough recent slide but those 5 wins by an average margin of 14.6 points! They can roll this SA team that is an absolute disaster right now. The Mavs already won by 7 against the Spurs earlier this season and that game was at San Antonio and the Spurs were a different team then. They are really lacking in confidence and execution compared to the team we saw early this season. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +13 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play LA Chargers (+) vs Buffalo Bills @ 8 ET - As of about 7 and 1/2 hours before kickoff this line is in the 13 range. The Chargers will be a different team this week. Yes they got blown out by Raiders and Broncos the past two weeks but the yardage was not nearly commensurate with the final scores of those games. They were fluke final scores. Now the Chargers have fired their head coach and will be different this week. After getting blasted 63 to 21 at Las Vegas last week on Thursday, Los Angeles is anxious to get back on the field and make up for that embarrassment. Yes, the Bills are a solid team but to be laying nearly two touchdowns here sure seems like a bit much. Buffalo is off 3 straight huge games - Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys - and has a divisional revenge game on deck versus Patriots. Don't be surprised if this game is decided by a single score margin. The Chargers, prior to B2B losses, were just 5-7 on the season but only 2 losses by more than 3 points in those dozen games! A lot of line value here with the huge points for the home dog in a situation where the road favorite may not be 100% focused. 10* LA Chargers (+) |
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12-23-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut OVER 147.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Connecticut Huskies vs St John's Red Storm @ 8 ET - The Huskies are off a loss but had won 10 of 11 games prior to that. Connecticut will bounce back here and they averaged 88.5 ppg in their 10 victories. Of course UConn expected to win this game as they are a big favorite for a reason in this one. Look at the Huskies as 11 point favorites here and note they average 88 points in their victories. So, the law of averages says this game ends 88-77 and that means totaling 165 points which is way above the 147.5 total currently posted on this game. That said, you are looking at quite a bit of wiggle room on this one in terms of playing the over. Note that the Red Storm do struggle defensively but they do score well. They had one low-scoring game but in their other 10 games this season they scored an average of 83 points per game. I like the odds of this one being an over easy given all of the above. 10* OVER 147.5 in Connecticut |
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12-23-23 | Utah -6.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Bowls Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Utes (-) vs Northwestern Wildcats @ 7:30 ET - The Utes coach Whittingham is 11-5 SU in bowls! The Wildcats coach Braun is 0-0 SU in bowls! Indeed, this is his first ever bowl and Whittingham has been coaching at Utah as a head coach since 2005. At that time Braun was still PLAYING - not coaching - College Football at Winona State in Minnesota. In fact, Whittingham's coaching career dates all the way back to 1985 when he was a graduate assistant at BYU so he has been coaching since the year Braun was born! I know the Utes had higher hopes this season but they are still coming to Vegas with sights set on winning this bowl. If they did not care about winning it they would not have asked their QB to stay and play in this game even though he will be transferring after this season. By the way, why is he transferring? Is Bryson Barnes disgruntled with the program? No, not at all. He just wants to play and he knows that Cameron Rising, off a huge 2022 season, will be back in 2024 with Utah after missing all of 2023. Barnes does not want to ride the bench behind a star QB like Rising potentially all season long next year. So Barnes will look to go out on top here with the Utes and I like the coaching experience edge and the fact that Whittingham demands the best from his players. The Utes finished 8-4 this season but the 4 losses were all to teams in the top 20 when they faced them. The Wildcats finished the season 7-5 and 3 of their 5 losses were to unranked teams and Northwestern scored an average of only 8 points in those 3 losses to unranked foes! Northwestern faced two ranked teams this season and lost those games by a combined scored of 29 to 7! The Utes also get a boost with the return of RB Micah Bernard for this one. He is a solid running back and he is solid out of the backfield too in the receiving game as well. Utah wants this game and they have won Pac-12 Championships in this stadium in Vegas in recent seasons as well. They are use to playing here, are the stronger team, and we get line value with this one dropping from a 9.5 down to a 6.5 as of about 8 hours before kickoff. 10* UTAH (-) |
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12-23-23 | South Alabama v. Eastern Michigan OVER 44 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Bowls Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in South Alabama Jaguars vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7 ET - This total has dropped to as low as a 44 as of 9 hours before kickoff and yes I am aware of the opt outs and guys entering the transfer portal as well. The fact is this has resulted in line value on this total as it is far too low in my opinion. For one thing, South Alabama is a huge favorite for a reason and this Bowl game is being played in their home venue as well! That said, if the odds makers are close with the spread here (as they so often are) that means we just need about 14 points from the Eagles and we win this total. That's because, in theory, that would mean a 31-14 final given this spread of the Jaguars as a 17 point favorite. Eastern Michigan has scored more than 20 points in 7 of last 8 games! In those 8 games, the Eagles have averaged scoring 23 ppg! South Alabama played another MAC team, Central Michigan, earlier this season and that was a 34-30 loss. Again, this posted total just too low here as we get line value due to opt outs. Neither team is good against the pass. Both teams will attack through the air regardless of who is under center. The Jaguars have averaged scoring 32 ppg last 11 games. The Jags have allowed 22 ppg last 9 games. Take advantage of the low posted total here and look for an easy over in this one. 10* OVER the total in South Alabama |
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12-23-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - For the first time in 20 years, Liverpool had at least 34 shots on goal without scoring! It was a crazy result against Manchester United and that is helping to give us line value in this match-up with Arsenal in which the goals should fly in this blockbuster battle. Liverpool has seen it's other 3 recent matches across all competitions all total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal has consistently been averaging 2 goals per match and Liverpool is also consistently averaging 2 goals per match plus has scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Arsenal. 2-2 draw here would not surprise me in the least and certainly expecting a 2-1 final here at a bare minimum as this is the perfect set-up for an over. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool |
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12-23-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Look for a strong effort from a Nottingham Forest club on their home pitch and buoyed by a managerial change. The trouble for Forest is they are facing a red hot Bournemouth club and that is why I am expecting the goals to fly here. Forest needs to be more aggressive and start scoring some goals and, hence, the managerial change. As for Bournemouth, they have been in top form and are showing no signs of slowing down. That means they will also keep Forest on their heels a bit in this one too and I look for a lot of attacking and counter-attacking opportunities in this one given the situation. Note that Forest has allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Bournemouth has scored 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. You know Forest is not going to lay down at home given the situation but you can also see why the visitors are projected to have a strong day as well. 2-1 at the very least here the way I see it with this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-22-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #883: Friday CBB 10* Top Play Temple Owls (-) vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 7:30 ET - Temple will bounce back here in Hawaii - this line 3.5 as of about 6 and 1/2 hours before tipoff - as the Owls take advantage of a struggling Old Dominion team here. The Monarchs have lost 4 straight games and allowed an average of 90 ppg in those 4 defeats! Old Dominion only has two wins in regulation time this season and both were against outclassed foes. The Monarchs certainly do not outclass the Owls! So, in other words, look for their losing skid to continue here. The Owls are off their worst loss of the season to a tough Nevada team but, prior to that defeat, Temple was 6-4 on the season and the average loss was by just 6 points. The Owls have faced a tougher schedule than Old Dominion as well and the Monarchs are just 3-7 SU on the season. So when you factor all this in, this is a solid line value situation to back a short favorite off their worst loss the season. 10* TEMPLE (-) |
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12-22-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - Current line on this is an 8.5 as of 7 hours before tipoff! There is only one team in the entire NBA that does not have a SU divisional win yet this season and it is the Raptors! Toronto is 0-7 SU in divisional action this season and their road losses in divisional games have come by an average margin of 14 points per defeat. The Sixers have won 7 of 8 and each of their last 6 wins have come by a double digit margin! In fact, the average margin has been 29 points! Philly should roll huge again here as this is their last home game until after New Year's so they will make the most of it. Toronto drops to 0-8 SU in divisional games this season and you can see why I am expecting the win to be by a double digit margin! 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-22-23 | Flyers +116 v. Red Wings | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +115 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers should have Carter Hart back between the pipes for this one after he served as the back-up to Ersson last night. Hart is having a great season so far and has allowed just 4 goals in total in his 3 starts so far in December. The Flyers were in a 2-2 battle with Nashville yesterday but ended up losing 4-2. They will bounce right back here. That was the first loss in regulation time in the entire month of December. The Flyers have been playing well and had won 7 of 8 before yesterday's loss! Detroit has lost 7 of 8 games. The Red Wings are hurting right now due to goaltender injury issues and Reimer is struggling in goal. Philly will take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech UNDER 67.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 67.5 in Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Central Florida Golden Knights @ 6:30 ET in Gasparilla Bowl in Tampa, FL - This total has gone from low 60s to upper 60s and it is just too much the way I see it. Yes, each team is known more for offensive production than defensive strength but, even with that, 8 of 12 UCF games totaled less than 63 points! As for GT, 9 of 12 games totaled 65 or less points! Both teams know they are facing defenses that do tend to struggle against the run and I do expect a heavy dose of the ground game in this one from each team and that means running clock. Georgia Tech is a more pass-oriented offense than they use to be in years past when they ran the option attack heavily on offense. However, they still know that controlling the time management of this game with a heavy dose of ground attack is going to be a key to keeping this explosive UCF offense off the field as much as possible. As for the Golden Knights, they want to utilize their ground attack throughout this game to take advantage of a GT defense that allowed over 200 rushing yards in 5 of last 6 games. To get a game into the 70s in total points you generally need an emphasis on the aerial attack and I just do not see that being the case for either team in this one and this one lands in the 50s the way I see it. Take advantage of the added value of the line move on this total as well and look for 65 or less. 10* UNDER 67.5 in Gasparilla Bowl |
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12-22-23 | Sheffield United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Aston Villa vs Sheffield United @ 3 ET - I know Sheffield United has been solid defensively at times but they are facing a potent Aston Villa attack that has their sights set on the top spot in the EPL table and will be able to breach that backline. While Aston is near the top of the table Sheffield is bringing up the rear. Sheffield has allowed just 3 goals last two matches but they had allowed 3 goals per match on average in the 11 matches preceding that one. That said, the goals should fly here. Sheffield off B2B shutout losses but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 6 of 9 matches. Aston Villa has allowed at least 1 goal in 17 of last 21 matches across all competitions. Of course the hosts are a huge favorite here with good reason and that is why I am envisioning a 3-1 type match here. Look for at least 4 goals here but we also have value with this total available at 3 goals in the marketplace as of about 5 hours before the match goes! 10* OVER 3 -135 in Aston Villa |
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12-22-23 | Voluntari v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1:30 ET - Excellent value with this over available at 2 goals. Dinamo has momentum coming off the 2-0 win at Botosani. They also had allowed 7 goals in 5 matches preceding that one so I certainly do not expect another shutout here. Also, FC Voluntari has allowed 10 goals last 7 matches so it is difficult to envision a clean sheet for either club in this one. Voluntari is off a shutout loss but this was preceded by a stretch of 5 matches in which they scored an average of 2.2 goals per match! Note that Voluntari has only a 30% draw rate this season and Dinamo has only a 20% draw rate this season. That said, the odds of a draw are not strong and you can see why the odds favor each club scoring at least 1 goal and the expectation here is a solid 2-1 final at least. The extra value here is the fact this total is being held at 2 goals in the marketplace as of about 4 hours before the match. 10* OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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12-21-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Washington State | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Boise State Broncos (+) vs Washington State @ 11 PM ET at Spokane, WA @ 11 ET - This one is a neutral site game though the location certainly favors the Cougars over the Broncos as Pullman is closer to Spokane than Boise is but the point is this is not a true home game for Washington State. I love the contrarian aspect to this one as Washington State has revenge plus they are the Pac-12 foe facing a Mountain West team so they are the perceived stronger team and want payback for a loss to Boise State early last season. Consider all these aspects and then think about why this line would have opened up in the pick'em range? Exactly...and this line has now even moved up to Washington State as a 2.5 point favorite. Of course most are backing the Cougars given all of the above but the odds makers know that revenge is not always all it is cracked up to be plus the Broncos have played a tougher early season schedule. So when you fact all this in you can see the line value with the underdog in this match-up and I am backing the underdog in this one and we'll grab the bucket though we should not even need the points. 10* BOISE STATE (+) |
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12-21-23 | Coyotes v. Sharks +134 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks +135 vs Arizona Coyotes @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks have started to struggle again last few games but are now back on home ice where they have been tougher. Couple that with the fact that Arizona is known for home dominance. They have a huge home/road dichotomy. If you just take the road team in Coyotes games you would have a 22-10 record this season. The home team is also 23-9 in Sharks games so you have a lot of value here for sure in terms of grabbing the home team when these teams are involved and this is particularly true when you factor in the +135 money line available on the Sharks here. San Jose is off a home loss to a tough LA Kings team but, prior to that, San Jose had won 6 of last 8 home games. They are a well-coached team that is starting to play better and certainly is tough on home ice. Note that Arizona has lost 8 of last 11 road games. Arizona has won 3 straight including a 1-0 win over these Sharks but all those games were at home. The home team is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 games and I look for that run to reach 7 in a row right here. 10* SAN JOSE +135 |
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12-21-23 | Lakers v. Wolves -8 | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves (-) vs LA Lakers @ 9:10 ET - This line is up around an 8 but it is with good reason. James is out for the Lakers and Davis is questionable for LA. Both these teams are off losses yesterday but Minnesota is the much healthier team plus overall the stronger team plus they have the home court edge in this one. Also, the Timberwolves are a PERFECT 5-0 SU this season when off a loss. Additionally, when off a loss in which they allowed 127 points or less, the Wolves are not only 4-0 SU but every single win was by at least a 16 point margin and that means they are a perfect 4-0 ATS this season in this situation. Look for this one to make it 5-0 ATS on the season as this will be a home blowout against a short-handed Lakers team. 10* MINNESOTA (-) |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams OVER 45 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in LA Rams vs NO Saints @ 8:15 ET - Waiting as this has paid off to delay release time some and this line is down to a 45 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Saints have scored at least 24 points in 6 of last 8 games. They have averaged 25 points per game last 10 games. New Orleans is off B2B wins and the Rams have won 4 of 5 so each team playing with extra confidence here. Also, Los Angeles has scored an average of 30 points per game during this 5-game stretch. Though there is some rain expected in the area this evening in LA it is expected to light at least for the majority, if not all, of the game. Also, winds expected to be light as well. That said, both offenses should be able to operate as they want tonight and the Saints have allowed 24.5 ppg in their last 4 games away from home. The Rams have allowed 24 ppg last 9 games. We should see both teams getting to at least the 24 point mark here and I see this game finishing in the 50s for total points scored as two confident offenses are squaring off in this one. Carr and Stafford both poised for big games in this one the way they have been going. The Saints will have WR Olave back for this one as well. Also, in terms of trending, the over is 3-0 / 100% this season when the Rams are off a game decided in regulation (non-OT) in which they scored at least 28 points! This one tests that 100% season-long trend and I expect the winning to continue as we should see another high-scoring match-up here given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in LA Rams |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse -3 v. South Florida | Top | 0-45 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Syracuse Orange (-) vs South Florida @ 8 ET - This is the Boca Raton Bowl in Florida so the location certainly favors the Bulls. However, the Orange are the stronger team and this line has dropped from near 6 to near 3 and it is go time for me. Syracuse has an interim coach here but Nunzio Campanile will bring out the best in this team here. I realize the Syracuse QB is out for this one but look for the Orange to have a Wildcat offense in place for this one that utilizes the skills of their skill position players at QB. They should not have a problem here against a Bulls defense whose D is a major weakness. USF has allowed 455 ypg on the season and they played a weaker schedule than the Orange did. Also, Syracuse is going to take advantage of a team that had lost 4 of 6 before closing the season with a win over Charlotte. In those 4 losses, the Bulls allowed at least 49 points in all 4 losses! It is hard to trust a defense like that to stop anyone and I like what I am hearing from the side of the Orange in this one in terms of being motivated for this game. The faves are going to bring an "A game" effort here and they cover the FG along the way! 10* SYRACUSE (-) |
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12-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200001: English Premier League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove @ 3 ET - Crystal Palace off an impressive 2-2 draw with Manchester City and their scoring has been up lately. In fact, CP has both scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches. Also, 6 of the last 9 matches for Palace have totaled at least 3 goals! Their last 9 matches have averaged 3 goals! Brighton is off a disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal and will bounce back here. Long-term Brighton & Hove has averaged scoring 2 goals per game and they will be on the aggressive here coming off the shutout loss. B & H rarely ever gets shutout and they catch Crystal Palace overconfident off the draw with City so the set-up here is perfect for the goals to fly. The way CP has been trending this one sets up well for plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Crystal Palace |
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12-21-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #206997: Romania Liga 1: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 12:45 ET - The last 3 meetings between these Cluj rivals have totaled at least 3 goals apiece. In fact, those 3 matches have totaled an average of 4.7 goals apiece. CFR Cluj has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and has allowed 1.4 goals per match last 5. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 5 matches. They are off a shutout loss but scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their 9 matches prior to that. Both clubs average match this season has been near the 3 goal mark and considering that plus the high-scoring history when these clubs meet, this should be a high-scoring battle. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj |
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12-20-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Los Angeles Kings vs Seattle Kraken @ 10:07 ET - The confidence of the Kraken is back up as they have been scoring more goals of late but of course they are large dogs here with good reason and the Kings will pressure them early and often here. However, I do like the fact that Seattle has scored an average of 4 goals in their last 4 games. As for Los Angeles, they have scored an average of 3.6 goals on the season. That said, I like the odds on a 4-3 type match here and we have the added value of this total being at just 6 goals. 10* OVER 6 in Los Angeles |
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12-20-23 | Villanova +9 v. Creighton | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #685: Wednesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (+) @ Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Wildcats are only 7-4 SU this season but they have wins over some teams and plus 3 of their 4 losses this season have been by 4 or less points. I feel we have excellent line value here with this one in the 9 to 9.5 point range and I will not hesitate to step in with a solid play on the Wildcats in this one. Villanova also has revenge here as they were knocked out of the Big East tourney by the Bluejays last season. The Wildcats lost their regular season game at Creighton last season as well but that defeat was by just 5 points. There is a lot of value here on Nova because this is still a talented team and they just beat UCLA without Justin Moore. Everyone is stepping up with Moore out of the lineup and that will happen again tonight. Also, the Wildcats have a tendency to play poorly against weaker foes and then be at their best against stronger foes. In other words, you will see their best again tonight. They also have a rest edge with 10 days off since their most recent game. Even though the Bluejays are at home for this one, there could be a lot of students home for the holidays already so they may not have an exactly raucous crowd for this one either. All factors considered (including the fact that Moore is out for this one) has led to a big value with the big underdog here. 10* VILLANOVA (+) |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (+) vs LA Clippers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavs are getting about 2.5 points here and of course it looks easy to lay the 2 or 2.5 with the Clippers here as they have won 8 straight games! Of course we all know what usually happens when something looks too easy, right? Indeed! So the point is this is the perfect time to go contrarian and back the Mavericks as a home dog in this one. First off, note that 6 of the 8 wins in the Clips win streak were home games! Also, one of the only two road wins was against a Jazz team that now stands just 10-17 on the season. The Clippers are still just 5-7 on the road this season and now they face their toughest road test since a 120-114 loss at Golden State. Also, 2 of the other road wins LA has this season were against a Western Conference league-worst Spurs team! So, the point is the Clippers are facing a much bigger challenge here but we get line value because of the current LA hot streak! Let's take advantage as the Mavericks are off a loss and they have gone 7-2 this season when coming off a loss! 10* DALLAS (+) |
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12-20-23 | West Ham United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 120 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200613: EFL Cup Quarterfinals: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Liverpool vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - West Ham and Liverpool may not play all their best players here as they have bigger fish to fry. Still this is as match they both want to win plus the players that do see time on the pitch will be wanting to impress. There is a lot of talent on both clubs including plenty of attacking talent and certainly the Reds deserved much better in their recent scoreless draw with Manchester United as they fired shot after shot in that one and had so many scoring chances there. They will do better with those same chances against this West Ham bunch. Also, West Ham United has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and scored 8 goals in those 3 victories. Liverpool has scored 5 goals in the last two meetings between these clubs. Also, Liverpool has averaged 2.6 goals per match at home in EPL action. This is not an EPL match but the point is they are generally stellar on their home pitch when facing EPL opposition. The goals should fly in this one based on current form of both clubs and some hungry players getting time on the pitch in this one as well. 10* OVER 3.5 +125 in Liverpool |
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12-20-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Farul Constanta vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have scored at least 1 goal in each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs and those 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals here to be a winner. Note that Rapid Bucuresti has uncharacteristically had 3 straight scoreless matches in road action. However, they have averaged scoring 2 goals per match in their other 6 matches dating back to early October. They are one of the top clubs in the league but Farul is as well even if the results this season don't full reflect that. Farul is also off a rare scoreless draw but this followed 3 straight overs and those 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece. When these clubs meet the goals tend to fly and I love the situation entering this one as well as both clubs will be hungry and on the attack considering the result of their respective most recent match. 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Farul Constanta |
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12-19-23 | Kings v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks +1.5 -115 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks just got hammered at Colorado but that game unraveled quickly after San Jose got an early 5-minute major penalty that set the tone for the entire game. The Sharks deserved better and had been playing better and they will bounce right back here on home ice. San Jose entered the game against the Avalanche having only 1 loss by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 11 games! Look for SJ to respond immediately off that tough loss. As for the Kings, they are off a hard-fought 3-2 SO win over Seattle and they have the Kraken on deck again after this. As strong as LA has been, note that they have gone just 1-2-1 last 4 games and that lone win was in the shootout and the Kings have only 2 wins by more than 1 goal in last 8 games! This will be a much tougher game for Los Angeles than many are expecting as the Sharks have turned the corner after such a rough start to the season. Their most recent game notwithstanding, SJ has been ultra-competitive of late and they resume that competitive play here on home ice against a division rival. 10* SAN JOSE +1.5 -115 |
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12-19-23 | Suns v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Phoenix Suns @ 10:10 ET - Big revenge game for the Suns is on deck against the Kings. That said, I like the value here of the big home dog Blazers who are playing this game with revenge and have been playing better of late but are off a tight home loss in which they covered ATS versus the Warriors. The Trail Blazers are still fighting hard for a win to snap their losing streak and they are on the cusp and should battle all the way through again here in this one. The points are a huge value in this one given the revenge situation for the home dog and the lookahead situation for the road favorite in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-19-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. California Baptist | Top | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (+) @ California Baptist Lancers @ 10 ET - The Hilltoppers have won 5 straight games and I like the fact they are averaging 8 steals per game. This WKU team plays opportunistic defense and their confidence is surging with each win. The Toppers can hang tough in this game and they are facing a California Baptist team that has just one win in last 3 games and that win was by just a single point. The Lancers come from a weaker conference and the Toppers are undervalued here the way I see it. An outright upset would not surprise me in the least but certainly there is value in the points here even though the Hilltoppers are on the road for this one. Keep in mind Cal Baptist off tight 1-point win over UC Riverside which is, of course, a city rival of theirs in Riverside so the set up here is even better than most realize. Love this spot for at least a road dog cover in this one. 10* WESTERN KENTUCKY (+) |
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12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall OVER 51.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play: OVER the total in Frisco Bowl - Marshall Thundering Herd vs UTSA Roadrunners @ 9 ET in Frisco, TX - This total has dropped to the low 50s as of early game day morning and yes I am aware of the opt outs and the fact that Marshall's starting QB is one of them. However, guys can step in and surprise and yes I know Cole Pennington has ugly numbers thus far. The Roadrunners defense is not as strong as past versions but they do have a great offense and this is Frank Harris' final game. They will go all out and push the pace here and the weather looks just fine for this one in Frisco. Look for both offenses to be able to fully open the playbook and Pennington will show improvement here as he has worked with the first team offense heading into this one and he knows he is the guy for this one. Marshall off the 35-21 win in their season finale and will look to build off that here as that got them into this bowl. They are, however, a double digit dog in this one with good reason. Marshall will surprise with moving the ball here but they will not be able to slow down UTSA. Note that the Runners had won 7 straight games before the loss to Tulane to end the season and UTSA had scored an average of 41 ppg in those 7 wins! The Runners are allowing 25 ppg and the Herd are allowing 28 ppg and this one should get well into the 50s. Contrarian play but I see a well-paced game here as the Roadrunners will force the tempo and will force the Herd to play catch up. Great value here with the drop on this line. 10* OVER the total in the Frisco Bowl |
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12-19-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206821: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Poli Iasi vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals so this is testing a perfect 5-0 run to the over. FCSB is a heavy favorite with good reason and has scored an average of 2 goals in last 3 victories. Poli Iasi is off a 2-2 draw and also has a 3-2 loss and a 3-3 draw as 3 of its last 5 matches have been high-scoring. This should be another one given the history of these teams in their recent meetings and the fact that FCSB comes in on a high and is trying to pile up a winning streak again. They are one of the top clubs in the league but Iasi is known for putting up a fight so this should be a good one if you like seeing matches with a lot of scoring chances and a good pace! 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Poli Iasi |
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12-19-23 | Manchester City v. Urawa OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #235617: Club World Cup: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -125 in Urawa vs Manchester City @ 1 ET in Saudi Arabia - Manchester City is, of course, going to field a mostly second unit for this match. However, those players still have the talent level to dominate in this one and that is why City is a 2-goal favorite. I like the fact that City has conceded at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches! That puts this at a likely 3-1 final at a minimum the way I see it and we have line value with this one dropping from a total of 3.5 down to a 3 as of matchday morning. Urawa has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and they have averaged 1.4 goals per match during this stretch. However, the Red Diamonds will be unable to stop the attack of a more potent Manchester City club and so this one sets up well for 4 or more goals. 10* OVER 3 -125 in Urawa |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs Seattle Seahawks @ 8:15 ET - The Eagles are mostly 3 point favorites, though you may find a 2.5 or two out there, as of early gameday morning. I am aware of the Hurts illness but expect him to play at QB for Philly. In any event, lets also not forget that Geno Smith is still dealing with a groin injury and is unlikely to be 100% if he even plays here. That could leave little-used Drew Lock as the starting QB for Seattle here. Even though the Seahawks have strong receivers, I like the fact that the QB situation could certainly be impactful in that regard! The Eagles defense also could be aggressive here with Patricia taking over the play-calling duties and I expect the Philly D to respond after looking lousy the last couple games. The Seahawks, keep in mind, have lost 4 straight games. The Eagles, courtesy of the Dallas loss yesterday, are again in the driver's seat for the NFC East division and I do not expect them to let this opportunity slip through their hands. Philly is 7-1 ATS when they are off B2B SU losses if the latter of those two losses was against a divisional foe. This one fits the bill in that regard. Also, the Seahawks are 0-7 ATS when they are off a divisional road game. Keep in mind they last were at home off a divisional road game where they had lost at the Rams and then got pounded 31-13 by the 49ers. This is all now part of an 0-4 stretch in which they have allowed 33.3 ppg last 3 games. The Seahawks now off another ugly loss to the Niners this time at San Francisco so this one fits that system play that is 7-0 ATS going against the Hawks! Look for that one to make it 8 IN A ROW right here! Seattle has a great home record this season but played a lot of struggling teams here. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home but 3 of the 4 home wins against teams that are now a combined 9-33 SU this season! The Eagles are 5-2 on the road this season and 3 of the road wins have come against teams that at least a have a .500 record on the year. They can beat this 6-7 Seahawks team and I have no hesitation in backing the 7-0 angle! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Dallas Stars vs Seattle Kraken @ 8:07 ET - The Stars are now without #1 goalie Oettinger. Though Wedgewood can be decent, he is no Oettinger and I expect the Kraken to pepper him early and often with shots in this one. Note that Dallas has been scoring well however and the best option in this game is the over the way I see it. We get solid value with this total at just 6 goals as note that 13 of last 16 Dallas games have totaled at least 7 goals and that includes 6 in a row. Seattle has scored 4.3 goals in last 3 games and picked up 2 wins and 1 point in a shootout loss as well during this solid stretch. The Kraken consistently allow an average of 3 goals per game and the Stars have been trending that way as well. That said, a match can not end 3-3 and I am looking for at least a 4-3 final in this one. The goals will fly here as I fully expect the over in Stars games to make it 7 in a row given the situation here. Both teams coming off losses - one in OT and one in SO - and they will be pushing hard to put those defeats behind them. Both goalies are susceptible here. 10* OVER 6 in Dallas |
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12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -11 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 11 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. I know this is a big number and normally I do not like to lay such big numbers but this 76ers team, including their bench play, is absolutely on a tear right now. The Sixers have been getting great play from their bench and this has allowed them to sustain blowout margins in recent games and they are at home here and the Bulls have struggled overall this season. Chicago is a little better than their 10-17 record in my opinion but they are dealing with injury issues and the Bulls also are on the road and walking into a buzzsaw here. The 76ers have won 6 straight games and the average margin has been 27 points! Yes they are dominating teams! Each of last 4 wins by at least a margin of 18 points! The Sixers should roll big again here as on deck is a Western Conference foe and that game is not until Wednesday. So Philly is fully focused here. Also, though they won most recent game with Bulls, they lost the game immediately before that in a "home and home" B2B spot last season and that was in Philly. Chicago beat the Sixers in double OT in that one and the Sixers will get their home court revenge here the way I see it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-18-23 | Oakland +16.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #873 CBB Monday 10* Top Play Oakland Golden Grizzlies (+) @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - This line in the 16.5 point range as of about 5 hours before tipoff. Spartans off that huge win over the highly-ranked Baylor Bears and it was a blowout win. However, Michigan State shot lights out in that game including a ridiculous 8 of 12 from three point land. That said, we absolutely have some value here with this solid Oakland team catching huge points in a classic little brother versus big brother match-up. Of course the Spartans are the much stronger team but the Golden Grizzlies are loaded with Michigan guys who want this game of course. Last season they did lose by double digits in this match-up but the Spartans were heavily outshot by Oakland in that game and the Golden Grizzlies were done in by poor shooting. That said, there is value here with a big dog that has proven they can compete with stronger teams. The Golden Grizzlies have competed just fine with solid programs like Xavier and also other Big Ten teams like Ohio State and Illinois. This one will likely be decided by single digits and we take advantage of the strange shooting percentages that the Spartans just had in their win over Baylor plus the crazy shooting dynamics of last season's meeting between these teams. 10* OAKLAND (+) |
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12-18-23 | Leicester v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200385: English Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Birmingham City vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Leicester is the top club in the league and scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Home or away has not mattered as they consistently make the net ripple. However, Birmingham City is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match as a host this season and I do expect them to make the net ripple here as well. The strength of the visitors should prove to be too much however and the ultimate result will be at least a 2-1 final here as a result. Excellent line value with this total at a 2.5 across the board as of very early matchday morning. The last meeting was a 1-0 match but this has historically been a high-scoring battle with the 4 meetings prior to that all totaling at least 3 goals. Also, Leicester enters this one on a 3-match winning streak in which all 3 matches totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Birmingham City |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion OVER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
CFB Bowl 10* Monday OVER the total in Famous Toastery Bowl - Old Dominion Monarchs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ 2:30 ET - This total (51 as of 6 hours before kickoff) has been dropping due to the likelihood that Austin Reed will not be suiting up at QB for the Hilltoppers. Even if that is the case, don't be surprised if Turner Helton has a big game. Yes, I am aware of the opt outs and that the offensive line has been impacted for Western Kentucky but this has happened to them in past bowls as well and they have still piled up points. I do like the Monarchs to score their fair share as well here as they are certainly favored for a reason and WKU has given up some big point totals throughout the season. Note that Old Dominion has some key opt outs on defense as well for this one so Western Kentucky is going to take advantage of this I am sure. WKU is well coached with explosive schemes on offense. They both averaged and allowed around 30 ppg this season. Old Dominion not a big scoring team but they take advantage of a Toppers team that had two solid defensive efforts this season but allowed 32 ppg in the other 10 games. This one should get well into the 50s based on all of the above. Western Kentucky only had 3 of 12 games total less than 51 points this season! Old Dominion allowed 29 ppg in their 6 games away from home this season. 10* OVER the total in the Famous Toastery Bowl |
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12-18-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -52.5 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in FC Botosani vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Dinamo won 1-0 in August in the reverse fixture. Not only is FC Botosani now out for revenge but also the last 4 meetings prior to the one in August all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece! Both of these clubs struggling badly this season but that also sets this up as a match that each club is viewing as winnable and they will push hard for that deciding goal. I expect a 2-1 type final. FC Botosani allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season and Dinamo Bucuresti is allowing 1.6 goals per match on the season. 2 of the last 3 Dinamo road matches have totaled at least 3 goals and their road matches are averaging 3 goals apiece this season. FC Botosani is off a 2-0 loss and a scoreless draw here in December but this followed 8 of 11 matches totaling at least 3 goals and those matches averaged nearly 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in FC Botosani |
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12-17-23 | Nevada -120 v. Hawaii | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #749 CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) @ Hawaii Warriors @ 10 ET - The Wolf Pack are as low as a -1 or a -120 on the money line as of about 7 and 1/2 hours before tipoff for this one Sunday. Nevada is the stronger team but this game is at Hawaii and the Warriors have a strong record due to playing a weaker schedule so far this season. This has resulted in line value here. The stronger team that has a tougher schedule is basically available at a pick'em price and I will not hesitate to get involved here. The last time these teams met it was a double digit win for Nevada 6 years ago. Things have changed since then of course and yet this is reflective of the fact that there is a talent gap between these two teams. Hawaii is not too far behind but the Wolf Pack are still the overall better team and I am going to take advantage of the line value being offered in this one as it has dropped from the visitors being a 3 point favorite in this one down to nearly a pick'em. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-17-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Golden State Warriors @ 9:10 ET - I know the Trail Blazers have a bad record but this is a great spot for them. They are at home off a home loss and they catch Golden State traveling off a hard-fought home win over the Nets last night. Yes, Portland has an ugly record and is on a losing streak but they are catching 5.5 points here and they are hosting a Warriors team that has lost 7 straight road games. I know the Blazers are off B2B ugly losses but this followed an 8-game stretch in which only 1 game was a loss by more than 6 points! They will be in this one all the way and, considering the Warriors 0-7 SU run in road games, an outright win is not of the question either! This line is round a 5.5 as of 7 hours before tip-off so we'll grab the generous points in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-17-23 | Ravens -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 59 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens (-) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:20 ET - The current line as of Friday morning is a 3 and I love the value with the small road favorite in this one. The Ravens are actually 5-1 on the road this season. The Jaguars are just 2-3 SU last 5 games and one of those wins was against a Tennessee team that is now 5-8 on the season. The Jags, not including OT points of course, have allowed 26 ppg last 5 games. The Ravens enter this game 10-3 on the season including 7-1 last 8 and Baltimore has allowed only 14 ppg in last 5 games played away form Baltimore. The Ravens are the much stronger defense, particularly against the pass, and Trevor Lawrence is off a game in which he threw 3 picks. This is also a revenge game for the Ravens since they lost here last year by a single point. Baltimore knows they have extra rest on deck with a big Monday night game (their only one scheduled this season) on deck and the Ravens have gone 7-0 ATS the last 7 times when they have a Monday Night game on deck. The Jaguars are 0-3 ATS this season in true home games (not neutral site like London) against non-divisional opponents. That means we have double perfect angles we are testing with this play and I look for another Ravens cover in this one as they are the stronger overall team playing the better football right now and they have the better defense. Getting a 3 here makes this is a great value! 10* BALTIMORE (-) |
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12-17-23 | Sharks +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks Puck Line +1.5 +100 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8:07 ET - I know the Avs are off a loss and Colorado is a strong team but believe it or not, they have had only one standalone loss since early November. That happened on November 20th. Other than that they have had a 2-game losing streak and 3-game losing streak since then. Not only that, the Avalanche have only one win by more than 1 goal in their last 9 games. I love the value here with a Sharks team that continues to be ultra competitive. Not only has San Jose turned things around overall, they also have just one loss by more than 1 goal in their last 11 games! The Sharks have been a much better hockey club and, in fact, at +1.5 goals are a perfect 6-0 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a loss. Here is winner #7 in a row at +1.5 for the Sharks! 10* SAN JOSE +1.5 |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -125 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The line on this one is as low as 1.5 as of about 5 hours before kickoff but also the money line is as low as a -125 if you have that option as well. The Bills off the big win at Kansas City but the Cowboys off the shocking absolute blowout of the Eagles last week. That was a huge divisional win for Dallas but the most shocking aspect was not just the final score and the domination. The most shocking aspect is the Cowboys finally beat a good team. The fact is Dallas almost always fails against good teams. It has been their modus operandi (m.o.) for quite some time now. The Cowboys dominate all the bad teams and then crumble against quality teams. Give Dallas credit for the big win last week but also it looks like something was amiss with the Eagles the past few weeks. That is certainly not the case with Buffalo. The Bills have won 2 of last 3 and their only loss was at the Eagles in OT in a game that Buffalo deserved to win. That said, I feel we have some solid home value here with the Bills in this one. Dallas, including post-season action, is 0-4 both SU and ATS the last 4 times they have been road dogs. Of course when the Cowboys are road dogs it means they are facing a quality team. This times back to what I was saying above in that Dallas usually struggles against quality opposition and, of course, road games are the toughest. Look for that streak to reach 5-0 ATS here as the Bills continue their strong level of play and catch Cowboys off that huge divisional win over Philly. Arguably this game means even more to Buffalo also as their playoff hopes are hanging in the balance but they gave themselves a boost with the win over the Chiefs last week and will build on that momentum here! 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 45-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers @ 4:05 ET - This total offering great value in the upper 40s. The Cardinals have been a different team since Murray came back at QB and I expect them to score well here but Arizona also has little chance of slowing down a 49ers team that has been clicking and is one of the most dangerous teams in the league. San Francisco is a huge favorite here with good reason of course. Note that they are 10-3 on the season and in their 10 wins they have averaged 33 ppg! The Cardinals, since Murray has come back, have averaged a respectable 20 ppg. Also, Arizona's 6 home games have averaged 52 ppg this season. Look for another high-scoring battle here as the Cards also are off a much-needed late-season bye week. Arizona will have fresh legs here and will move the ball well on their home field and with a rejuvenated offense. However, they are allowing 33 ppg in their home losses this season and the Niners will impose their will against a suspect Cardinals defense as this game goes on. 10* OVER the total in Arizona |
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12-17-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #206965: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. CFR Cluj has always conceded at least 1 goal when away from home this season and they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their last 7 away from home. The last 3 matches for Sepsi have all totaled at least 3 goals. Sepsi has scored at least 2 goals in 3 of last 5 home matches and scored an average of 3 goals in those 3 matches. This one sets up well for solid scoring with CFR Cluj desperate to get back on track after a tough winless stretch and Sepsi consistently involved in high-scoring matches last 3. Based on all of the above, the series pattern in this one reaches 6 in a row that reach 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi |
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12-17-23 | Giants +5 v. Saints | Top | 6-24 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Giants (+) @ New Orleans Saints @ 1 ET - The Giants have rallied around DeVito at QB. They are getting much better play on the offensive line. The defense and even special teams at times is forcing turnovers. New York has a very positive vibe right now and I like backing sizable underdogs in spots like this. They have the momentum and even though the Saints won last week they were outgained by about 100 yards in that victory and it was against a Panthers team that is 1-12 on the season! So New Orleans is a still a bit over-rated right now and the points are generous in this one. The Giants are a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 3 times they have entered a game off of exactly 3 straight SU wins. The Saints are 0-3 SU the last 3 times they were off a win in which they allowed 17 points or less. That makes this a double perfect spot and I would not be surprised to see the Giants win outright but we will grab the points just in case. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS (+) |
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12-17-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200197: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool hammered Man U by a 7-0 count in their most recent meeting. You know the visitors want revenge for that here and they had won the 2 prior meetings, including a club friendly, by a combined count of 6-1. However, this was preceded by a pair of Liverpool wins by a combined score of 9-0. You can see why I am expecting the goals to be flying in this heavyweight battle. Liverpool did rest players in their most recent continental battles in Europe and now they have fresh legs for this domestic battle. At the same time, Man U is desperate for a positive result and will absolutely go all out here. It has been a tough period for Man U and they need to throw caution to the wind here and do their best to challenge Liverpool's aggressive approach on home soil with a counter-attack. The visitors have some dangerous attacking options and I foresee a wide-open affair in this one. The last 5 meetings have averaged 4.6 goals apiece and I am looking for 4 or 5 in this one. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech OVER 58 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in California vs Texas Tech @ 9:15 ET in Independence Bowl in Shreveport, LA - This total in the 58 range as of about 12 hours before kickoff and this is an excellent value for the over the way I see it. There are so many quarterback opt outs or guys entering the transfer portal in these early bowls in this bowl season and yet here is a rare case where we have the QBs we want entering this match-up. Not only that, these are two teams that are quite solid offensively and yet I can not trust either defense. Particularly the Golden Bears defense has struggled badly much of this season but the reason they are just 3.5 point dogs here is because of their potent offense. I fully expect them to enjoy success against a Red Raiders defense that has proven susceptible at times. Cal closed the season on a winning run but did allow 45.4 ppg in their first 7 conference games this season. Now they face a Red Raiders team that can move the ball well and will take advantage. Texas Tech wrapped the season with a 57-7 loss to Texas and the Red Raiders did allow 29 ppg in their 11 games against FBS schools this season. You can see why I am expecting both teams to enjoy success against these defenses today and note that the Red Raiders, other than the ugly loss to Texas and a low-scoring loss to West Virginia, did score an average of 30 ppg in their other 10 games. Look for both teams to get into the 30s in this one as Cal did average 31.6 ppg in their games this season and are on a 3-game winning streak entering this bowl. 10* OVER the total in Independence Bowl |
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12-16-23 | Mavs v. Blazers OVER 233.5 | Top | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 9:10 ET - This total in the 233.5 range as of 9 hours before tipoff. Both teams rested and the Mavs off a loss and Blazers off 5 straight losses. In other words, these teams will be pushing hard for the win here plus Portland has revenge for losing the most recent meeting with the Mavericks. Dallas has allowed 117 ppg last 4 games but scored 124 ppg last 5 games. The Trail Blazers last 3 games have all totaled at least 236 points and this one should too. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +4.5 v. Lions | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
Saturday NFL 10* Denver Broncos (+) @ Detroit Lions @ 8:15 ET - Current line is 4.5 as of Friday morning. Not only is Denver 6-1 SU last 7 games, the Broncos had 5 of the 6 wins come against teams that are in the mix for a playoff spot. Now look at a Lions team trending the other way as Detroit has gone just 4-3 SU last 7 games and only 1 of the 4 wins was against a team with a legit playoff shot. That would be the Saints who have a decent chance because they play in a division that does not have a single team with a winning record entering this week's action. The Lions other 3 wins in this 7 game stretch came against 3 teams that entered this week a combined 15-24 and, barring a miracle, will not be in the post-season. In fact, the last time the Lions beat a team that currently has a winning record was way back in Week 1 when they beat Kansas City in a surprise season-opening win. The Broncos also have a win over the Chiefs plus also the Browns, Vikings and Bills - all 4 of those teams have winning records right now entering this week's action. The point is that the Lions have been trending the wrong direction and are not a true 9-4 team the way I see it while the Broncos have been trending the right direction and confidence growing with each win. With each victory, the confidence of Denver is growing. I am not saying they win this outright necessarily but I do feel we have excellent value with this line at 4.5 as of Friday morning meaning that the common final margins of both 3 and 4 would both provide winning tickets with the dog in this one. Goff has thrown multiple picks in 2 of his last 4 games and both were against a Bears team that is just 5-8 this season. Conversely, Wilson had thrown NO picks in 7 of last 8 games prior to his 3-INT performance against the Texans which gave Denver its only loss last 7 games. I like the way the Broncos are trending and feel the Lions are starting to show their true colors as the season has gone on. Give the big points in this one! 10* DENVER (+) |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Boise State Broncos (+) vs UCLA Bruins @ 7:30 ET in LA Bowl - Points will be at a premium here with both teams having issues at the QB position entering this one. With defenses likely to rule the day, I feel we have excellent line value here with getting the full +6 points in this one as of about 10 hours before game time. The Broncos finished the season much stronger after their coach was fired and the Bruins did not look strong at all wrapping up this season. UCLA lost 3 of last 4 games and did not score more than 10 points in any of those 3 losses! The Broncos won 4 straight games to close out the season and they scored an average of 39.5 points per game in those 4 victories. I know they are starting a true frosh at QB in this one but Boise State still has a solid overall team and plenty of weapons they will utilize on offense in this one as well. The Broncos being given generous points here and I will not pass up on it! 10* BOISE STATE (+) |
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12-16-23 | St. Joe's v. Iona OVER 142.5 | Top | 83-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #680: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iona Gaels vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7 ET - This one in the 142.5 range and St Joe's had one ugly game this season but really has scored very, very well in their other games. They have been consistent with their other games featuring only 1 loss and that was at Kentucky and was a game the Hawks nearly won in regulation before losing in OT. St Joe's has averaged 77.4 ppg in those 9 games! Iona has not been scoring quite as well but the Gaels are generally known for high-scoring games and 7 of first 8 this season totaled at least 140 points. Now off B2B low-scoring games, Iona will join in on a fast-paced non-conference match-up as the Hawks are loaded with scorers and will push the pace here. 10* OVER the total in Iona |
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12-16-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -121 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -120 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers will go with Ersson between the pipes again but he is on a 5-0-1 run. Also, the Red Wings dealing with a lot of injuries right now. Lyon has played well between the pipes for Detroit when called upon but he struggled in his most recent start AND he has not played in awhile. Lyon could be a bit rusty and this Flyers team is playing much better than the Red Wings of late. Philadelphia off another win and has now won 5 of last 6 games. Detroit, on the other hand, has now lost 4 of last 5 games and the injury bug has become a concern for the Red Wings of late. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts +1 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts (Pick'em) vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:30 ET - This line is right around a pick'em and is as much a play AGAINST the Steelers as it is a play on the Colts. Followers know I have been very anti-Pittsburgh this season as the wins the Steelers have definitely have seem to come mostly by virtue of smoke and mirrors. Statistically Pittsburgh has been outgained in almost every single game this season. Indianapolis enters this game off an ugly loss but this followed 4 straight wins. I like the fact that Pittsburgh has beaten Indy 8 straight meetings yet this line is a pick'em. Looks easy to take the Steelers going for 9 in a row does it not? Well the fact is their offense has been struggling badly and Pittsburgh is averaging just 14 points per game last 4 games and I look for that 8-0 SU run to come to a screeching halt right here. The Steelers have lost 3 of 4 now and quickly are coming back down to earth and the last two losses were at home as well. Now they go on the road. They are now 0-5 ATS when they are coming off an outright upset home loss in non-divisional action. This one, just like their loss to the Patriots after upset home loss to Cardinals, fits the bill in that regard and I look for that "go against Steelers" spot to make it to 6-0 ATS as the hungry Colts get it done at home here. Indy is the much more consistent offense and respectable on the ground and through the air. 10* INDIANAPOLIS |
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12-16-23 | Hermannstadt v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #206981: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Hermannstadt is off a 2-1 win. They have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 versus FCSB. As for FCSB, they have struggled a bit entering this one and they will be very aggressive on the attack in this match as they look to get rolling again. They are a decent sized home favorite here for a reason. FCSB has allowed 1.6 goals per match in the last 5 and I am looking for a 2-1 type match here as a result. Hermannstadt will not be denied and will make the net ripple but FCSB is going to respond after a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 loss the past two matches. FCSB had scored an average of 1.5 goals in their 4 matches leading into this lull and it is time for this club from Bucuresti to again flex its muscles in a league in which they are typically one of the best clubs. Before 3 straight lower-scoring matches, 9 of last 12 FCSB matches had totaled at least 3 goals. Hermannstadt has scored 2 goals in most recent meeting between these clubs and also scored 2 goals in the most recent meeting in Bucuresti. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB |
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12-16-23 | Everton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Everton vs Burnley @ 12:30 ET - Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and actually averaged 2 goals scored in those 7 matches. Everton is known more for defense but Burnley does view this as a winnable match and I expect more of an attacking approach from the visitors in this one. Note that Burnley has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches and averaged 2 goals per match in those 4 matches. Also, each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for that streak to reach 5 in a row here. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Everton |
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12-16-23 | Fulham v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200173: English Premier League Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Fulham has allowed 2.4 goals per match in last 5 meetings with Newcastle. Fulham enters this one hot in the goal-scoring department however. Fulham has scored an average of 3.4 goals in last 5 matches. Fulham has had 5 straight matches total at least 4 goals and those 5 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Newcastle has had 3 straight matches total at least 3 goals and those 3 averaged 4 goals per match. Newcastle tends to be stronger at home and even though Fulham will be attacking, just as they have been for weeks now, look for the hosts to have a "fight fire with fire" approach in this one and the goals should be flying. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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12-15-23 | Connecticut -4 v. Gonzaga | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Friday: 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 10 PM ET - The Huskies are the stronger team and have an experience edge and they are so strong in the paint. Connecticut also has enough outside shooting prowess to stretch teams out and that open things up inside the paint as well. Note the Bulldogs lost their only game against a ranked team this season while Connecticut has played 3 ranked foes already and gone 2-1. I feel strongly that the Huskies are better prepared for this intense match-up and that is also why you are seeing them favored by about 4 points here (as of mid-day Friday) even though they are on the road and playing in a tough venue. Lay the points with the road team in this one. 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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12-15-23 | Sharks +1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
San Jose +1.5 -145 - The Sharks have been playing much better of late and gone 6-2-2 last 10 games. Only 1 of those 10 games was a loss by more than a 1-goal margin. Kahkonen expected to start in goal and has been playing much better of late. Arizona is going with Ingram and though he is off a solid start, the Coyotes still lost that one and overall he has been struggling. Ingram has allowed an average of 4 goals last 3 starts. Arizona has lost 4 straight games. The Sharks are scoring an average of about 4 goals per game last 9 games. Conversely, the Coyotes are scoring only 2 goals per game on average last 4 games - all losses. This is a reasonable price to lay to have the added insurance of the 1.5 goals. Arizona has only 4 wins by more than 1 goal in their 13 home games this season. Possible upset here. Either way, the +1.5 gets us the cash in what should be a tighter game. SAN JOSE +1.5 -145 |
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12-15-23 | Predators +147 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-5 | Win | 147 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Nashville +145 - The Predators have the scheduling edge here as Hurricanes are in a B2B. The Canes starting to turn things around but they are in a B2B now and that means the goalie will likely be Raanta here and he has been struggling this season. The Preds will likely have Saros and he has been hot again. The Predators have won 11 of 14 games. The Hurricanes have won B2B games but this followed losses in 4 straight and, again, this is a tough scheduling spot. Yes, Carolina is known for being tough at home but the goalie edge and scheduling edge is too much here. NASHVILLE +145 |
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12-15-23 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 234.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Another very high-scoring match-up likely between these teams Friday. They just met Wednesday and, not only did the game total 240, every single quarter saw at least 56 points scored. I love that type of consistency when you have an over. Now, the match-up shifts from Detroit to Philadelphia and should only help the over even more as Philly scores so well on their home floor. In terms of defensive intensity, the Pistons have proven all season they do not have much of that at all. As for the 76ers, it is hard to be intense on the defensive end when you know you are facing a team that has lost over 20 games in a row and you are nearly a 20 point favorite! From a statistical standpoint, the Sixers have averaged 129 points per game in their 10 home games against teams NOT named Boston! Certainly the Pistons are at the opposite end of the spectrum in comparison with the Celtics. Hence, my expectation that Philly is going to score in the 130s here and that means the Pistons (based on the spread) should score in the 110s in this one. That means we are looking at 240s here, if not 250s. 10* OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia |
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12-15-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Nottingham Forest OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3 ET - Nottingham Forest finally got back on track with notching a draw in most recent match after losses had been piling up. They do tend to score better when at home and I do expect them to make the net ripple at least once in this one. But, of course, Tottenham is also a solid favorite here for a reason. That said, I look for this one to have no trouble getting to at least a 2-1 type match but do expect 4 or more goals in this one. Nottingham won the most recent match here 2-0 but the other 4 recent meetings were all Tottenham wins and the Hotspur scored an average of 3 goals per match in those 4 matches. Two of those finished 3-1 and that is the type of match I am expecting here. Tottenham has had 7 straight matches total at least 3 goals and the Hotspur have both scored and conceded in all 7 of those matches. Those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Nottingham Forest off the 1-1 draw but 3 of 4 matches leading into that had all totaled at least 5 goals. Excellent value with the over in this one. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-15-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206985: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti sometimes has these 0-0 matches but then other times they get involved in high-scoring ones. It is truly feast or famine with them and this looks like another one of those. 4 of last 7 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 totaled 4 goals. Given the situation here, with Petrolul Ploiesti at home where they should play well but are hosting an angry Rapid team that will be on the attack. The goals should fly in this one. Rapid off a 2-1 loss and has struggled some recently with an 0-2-2 mark last 4 matches but this club is so much better than that. They are chomping at the bit to get back on track here. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored 2 goals in each of last two home matches. Rapid lost at home to Petrolul Ploiesti by a 2-0 count in August after winning the prior meeting 3-1 so the club from Bucuresti is out for revenge here as well. The fact we get this total at only a 2 is a great value. 10* OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti |