Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-19-22 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -7 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -7 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7:30 ET - 5-4 team is favored by a full TD over a 7-3 team in a rivalry game. Looks funny, right? Don't let the line fool you. The Sooners being at home for this is big. QB Dillon Gabriel has been much better at home than on the road this season. Gabriel and the entire offense had a rough game at West Virginia last week and it was a 2nd straight 3-point loss for the Sooners. Keep in mind, all five of their wins this season have been by a double digit margin. Oklahoma is going to take advantage of Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders not being 100 percent. I know he came in last week to lead the Cowboys to the win versus Iowa State but he started the game on the bench for a reason. Also, that was at home against the Cyclones and now he is on the road and he and OSU now face their biggest rivals and those rivals are having a challenging season and have revenge on their minds. In other words, this is essentially Oklahoma's Championship Game if you will! They want revenge after the Cowboys snuck out the win in last season's meeting! That ended a streak of 6 straight wins for the Sooners in this series. Look for OU to get back to the winning side of things here. At home this season they have scored an average of 40 points per game! Oklahoma State has scored an average of only 12 points in their last 3 games heading into this one. The Cowboys have lost their last two road games by an average margin of 34.5 points. Another ugly defeat for OSU on the road is in the forecast here! 10* OKLAHOMA -7 |
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11-19-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Horrible spot for Philly. 2nd night of a B2B and off a hard-fought win versus Bucks last night. Already without Harden, Harris missed last night's game plus Maxey got hurt during the game. Embiid has been red hot for the Sixers but how will he be handled in the 2nd night of a B2B? The fact is that, all the way around, this is a tough spot for the 76ers and Minnesota has a big rest edge. The Timberwolves have disappointed so far this season as they have had some issues adjusting to the new roster they have after the big off-season changes. But this is still a solid Wolves team and they have the talent and the situational edges to get a big road win here. 10* MINNESOTA +2.5 |
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11-19-22 | Flyers +120 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - The Canadiens and Flyers both are struggling but the key here is the goalie edge for the Flyers. It should be Carter Hart in goal for Philly and he has been great this season. As for the Habs, they continue to go with a heavy dose of Jake Allen and he has been struggling with consistently allowing 4 or more goals of late. If they go with Sam Montembeault instead, he had been playing quite well but then struggled in his most recent start and gave up a bushel of goals. With either Habs goalie likely to struggle and the win-starved Flyers (played some tough teams of late) likely to get a strong start from Hart, I love this spot for a road dog winner. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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11-19-22 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets have seen 12 of last 15 games total at least 7 goals. Columbus can score plenty but struggles to stop anyone. Now here come the Red Wings flying high coming into town as Detroit just won 7-4 at San Jose Thursday! 5 of the Red Wings 8 road games have totaled at 7 goals and 3 of their last 4 games overall have totaled at least 7 games. Given the scheduling situation and the way the Blue Jackets have been trending, look for the Red Wings to score plenty but struggle to contain Columbus as Detroit just coming back from the west coast road trip too. That means we should see plenty of scoring here and yet another Blue Jackets game reaches the 7-goal mark. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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11-19-22 | Illinois-Chicago v. Fordham OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 138.5 in Fordham Rams vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 5 ET - The Rams were known for defense last season but they really focused in this off-season on how they would increase scoring in the new year. They want to play faster and score a lot more. Yes, they did not fare well when over-matched against a ranked Arkansas team from the SEC. However, in their other games they averaged 83.5 ppg. Also, they are allowing 70 ppg this season. They take on a Flames team that is averaging 71 ppg on the season season. I see this one pushing well into the 140s as this is the first road game of the season for UIC and I see them getting pulled into a track meet in this one as the Rams want to play at the faster pace and this will force the scoring of Illinois-Chicago here. 10* OVER 138.5 in Fordham |
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11-19-22 | Penn State v. Rutgers OVER 44.5 | Top | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 3:30 ET - I know the PSU defense has been good this season but they are coming off a shutout win over Maryland after also blasting the Hoosiers 45-14 at Indiana. The Nittany Lions are known for dominating Rutgers and have their home finale on deck versus Michigan State on deck. While that game against Spartans is not a big game it is still much bigger than this one and I have a strong feeling that the Lions defense is going to overlook the Scarlet Knights here. Rutgers offense has been a little better of late and the Scarlet Knights are trying to build for next season and Gavin Wimmsatt is off a season-best performance last week. He has thrown 63 passes the last two games and the Knights will look to continue to open things up a bit on offense here versus a sleepy Lions defense. Again, I know PSU has a great D but I expect them to come in flat here after the recent big wins and without much motivation here on the road at Rutgers. As for the PSU offense they have been scoring plenty of points and the Scarlet Knights have allowed about 40 points per game in their 4 games versus Mich St, Ohio St, Mich, and Minn. PSU is fully capable of hanging a big number on Rutgers here. PSU averaging 34.5 ppg in their road games this season! In fact, if you take out the Michigan game, Nittany Lions averaging 40 per game away from home. In my mind, PSU gives up some points here but the Lions manage to come roaring back. They are huge favorites for a reason. The result will be a ton of points as no precip and light winds expected on a crisp fall day in Piscataway. Each of Knights last two games totaled 48 or more points. Penn State, before last week's 30-0 win, had seen 8 of first 9 games this season total at least 47 points. In fact 4 straight had totaled at least 58 points! 10* OVER 44.5 or 45 in Rutgers |
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11-19-22 | Washington State -3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Washington State Cougars -3.5 @ Arizona Wildcats @ 2 ET - The Cougars have rival Washington on deck but the Wildcats have rival Arizona on deck so that is a wash. Washington State has 4 losses this season but 3 of the losses were to ranked teams! The other loss was at Oregon State but the Cougars did outgain the Beavers in that one so the final score was deceiving. The point is that this Washington State team is quite solid and they certainly have a much better defense than Arizona. The Wildcats are off a huge upset at UCLA as a nearly 3 TD underdog so this is a beautiful set-up for a letdown for Arizona. The Cats had lost 4 straight games prior to beating the Bruins. Arizona has not won B2B games all season. All 6 of their losses by at least 8 points and the average margin of defeat is 18.3 points! I know they shocked UCLA last week but, prior to that, Arizona's only 2 losses since winning their season opener were against an FCS school and a Colorado team that has played like an FCS school this season! In their 4 defeats prior to beating the Bruins, Arizona allowed 45 points or more in all 4 losses! The Cougars, on the other hand, have allowed only 19.3 points per game last 6 games. We get a favorable line because they are on the road and I won't hesitate to back the much better team here and much better defense at a very fair number here! 10* WASHINGTON STATE -3.5 |
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11-18-22 | Kings v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Los Angeles Kings @ 10:05 ET - This is a fantastic set-up as the Canucks are consistently involved in high-scoring games and they catch the Kings off a huge revenge win. Los Angeles just got a big playoff-revenge victory at Edmonton Wednesday and could be a little flat defensively after that one. Of course even if they give up some goals here at Vancouver, LA should be able to bounce back no problem and respond with big scoring of their own. Why? Because the Canucks are giving up piles of goals this season. Vancouver has allowed an average of 4 goals per game on the season! Also, the Canucks have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 10 games! Overall, 7 of last 8 Vancouver games have totaled at least 7 goals. As for the Kings, they are off a 3-1 win that played out like a playoff-type game because it was a rematch with the Oilers from the 7-game series back in May. However, prior to this, Los Angeles saw their last two games total at least 7 goals. Also, the game at Edmonton was just the 2nd low-scoring road game the Kings have had this season. Their other 8 road games averaged 8.4 goals per game. You can see why I am expecting plenty of scoring in this one Friday night. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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11-18-22 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +14.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play New Mexico Lobos +14.5 vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 9:45 ET - Yes the Lobos offense has been ugly. But this New Mexico defense is solid and there are situational aspects to this play that make it very unlikely the Aztecs will win this by more than a 2-TD margin so I am happy to grab the 14 plus the hook here in a game I expect to be decided by just a 1-score margin. San Diego State is hot and has won 4 of 5 but note this team is just 1-3 on the road this season. Their lone road win was by 16 points at Nevada but was helped by turnovers too. The Aztecs offense has been better since they switched to Mayden at QB but he threw for only 156 yards against the Wolf Pack. Also, he threw 2 interceptions in his other road start. Being successful on the road is not easy and I expect Mayden and the Aztecs to have some struggles here against a respectable Lobos defense that will be fired up here. This is the bowl game for New Mexico if you will. This is their home finale and has ended up being their biggest game of the season in an otherwise disappointing campaign. New Mexico Defensive Coordinator Rocky Long was the head coach at San Diego State for many years. Long will have his Lobos defense fired up for this one and I expect a tight low-scoring game here which should mean an easy cover for us. San Diego State off big game win versus San Jose State last week plus have another tough big game against Air Force on deck. This is a flat spot situation for the Aztecs whereas the fired up Lobos are fully focused here and want to get the shocker in their home finale. 10* NEW MEXICO +14.5 |
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11-18-22 | Boston College v. George Mason OVER 132.5 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 132.5 in George Mason Patriots vs Boston College Eagles @ 8 ET in Paradise Jam in St Thomas, VI - This one takes place in the tourney in the Virgin Islands. The Eagles got back DeMarr Langford, their 2nd leading scorer from last season, in their most recent game. Though Boston College was done in by poor shooting in the upset loss to Maine, the game still totaled 133 points and I am certainly expecting at least that here with much better shooting. The Eagles will be hungry off the upset loss and push the tempo here after losing to the Black Bears. The Patriots enter this game having averaged 78 points per game last two games so George Mason certainly has plenty of confidence entering this match-up. Though the Patriots allowed only 56 points to American University, those Eagles shot very poorly just like the Eagles of BC did against Maine. The point is that the pacing was there for a higher-scoring game. So pace plus better shooting plus a situational factor with Boston College off a loss should translate to a much higher scoring game here. Take advantage of the low total. 10* OVER 132.5 in George Mason |
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11-18-22 | Bucks v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 -115 or money line -125 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:40 ET - The Bucks have lost 3 of 5 and one of the two wins was in double-OT versus OKC. To say the least, Milwaukee has not been overly impressive. For sure the Bucks have had the Sixers number often in recent meetings but this Milwaukee team is still missing key guys and this looks like the perfect spot for the 76ers to finally exact some revenge. Embiid is back for Philly and they have won 3 of last 4 including all 3 home games. Also, he has averaged 40 points and 11 rebounds per game during this stretch and the Sixers are well rested heading into this one. Embiid also had 7 blocks in most recent game as he was dominant. He and the 76ers want this game badly because, as noted above, the Bucks have had their number. It is time for some payback here. The Bucks are in a shorter rest situation too in comparison with the Sixers. Home team should pull away and get revenge for the 2 point home loss to the Bucks that began Milwaukee's season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 or -125 |
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11-17-22 | Red Wings v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 104 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings @ 10:35 ET - Nice set up here with Sharks off the huge upset win over Golden Knights. I feel that sets this one up well for Detroit to get the early jump on San Jose but then the Sharks come roaring back on home ice. The Red Wings are off a 3-2 OT loss at Anaheim but, prior to this, 5 of their first 6 road games this season had totaled at least 6 goals. In fact, those 6 games averaged 7 goals per game! The Sharks last 7 home games all have totaled at least 6 goals! Overall, San Jose is in a high-scoring pattern right now as 9 of last 10 SJ games have totaled at least 6 goals. Those 10 games have averaged 7.6 goals and I am looking for a high-scoring match-up here given the situation and the road trending of the Red Wings and overall trending of the Sharks. 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
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11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers -120 | Top | 109-107 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers Money Line -120 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 10:10 ET - This line is so low now that the money line may prove to be your best option here. I am seeing prices as low as -120 on the money line which is more value than laying 1.5 points on the spread. The fact is Brooklyn is still without Irving. They are getting some love from the markets here because they just allowed over 150 points to the Kings in their most recent game and are off B2B losses. However, their coach is Jacque Vaughn after Steve Nash was fired. Vaughn entered this season with an NBA career coaching record of 65-161. He was a much better player than a coach. I like the fact that Nurkic came back for the Blazers in their most recent game and they also could get Winslow back tonight. Both guys are listed as questionable for tonight but I would not be surprised to see both of them get into the action here. Either way, Portland is a team that is 10-4 this season and 4-2 at home and playing much better than this Nets team. I know Brooklyn wants to respond after what just happened but this is not the right place to do that. The Nets simply are not a very good basketball team right now and Portland is certainly not going to lay down at home in this one. The Trail Blazers do have a big game with Utah on deck but they won't look past KD and the Nets. Remember when Brooklyn had Big 3 of Durant, Harden, and Irving? Now they just have KD! The Blazers have Lillard, Simmons and Grant and all 3 are playing well right now. 10* PORTLAND -120 |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers OVER 41 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 41 in Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans @ 8:15 ET - Yes it will be cold in Green Bay but not brutal. Temperatures just a little below freezing, little to no precipitation expected, and no significant winds expected. Both offenses can, and should be, fully operational here in terms of opening up the entire playbook. That said, the Titans have not been an offensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination this season but remember Tannehill missed some time too. In the last 5 games he has played, Tennessee has gone 5-0 and scored an average of 21 points per game. In his last 4 games Tannehill has 5 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions. He threw 2 touchdown passes in most recent start and the Packers Aaron Rodgers threw 3 touchdown passes in his most recent start. I expect to see more points here than most are expecting because the Green Bay offense will have some momentum again after rallying for the OT win versus Cowboys last week. The Packers offense has often struggled in true road games this season but if you look at their home games and their one neutral site game (UK), GB has scored at least 22 points in 4 of the 5 games. Given the above stats and the confidence Tannehill and Rodgers bring into this match-up, you can see why I am expecting this game to get well into the 40s. In those 5 non-road games I just mentioned, Rodgers has a TD-INT ratio of 10-1 this season! He loves playing at home and this team rallies off last week's win but the Titans have enough offense to keep up as well. That sends this one over the low posted total. 10* OVER 41 in Green Bay |
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11-17-22 | Capitals v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals @ 8:05 ET - The Blues are in the 2nd game of a B2B and won 5-2 last night. They had Jordan Binnington in goal which means he now either plays in a B2B or they turn to struggling back-up Thomas Greiss. Either option should translate to goals here as B2B spots are tough on a goalie and, if it is little-used Greiss, he has allowed 13 goals in 3 starts and could be rusty here too. The Blues still have their offensive production working their favor however as they have won 4 straight games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch as they are turning things around. Even though Washington has been impacted by injuries, they continue to get involved in higher-scoring games and have not been getting good goaltending. The Capitals last 5 games have averaged 7.4 goals apiece. The Caps scored 5 goals in each of the 2 wins but allowed an average of 5 goals in the 3 losses! Given all of the above and the scheduling situation for the Blues, you can see why I am expecting plenty of scoring in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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11-17-22 | SMU v. Tulane OVER 64.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 64.5 or 65 in Tulane Green Wave vs SMU Mustangs @ 7:30 ET - Tulane has a good defense but this SMU offense is special. Last year the Mustangs put up 55 points on the Green Wave and they have scored at least 37 points in each of last 3 meetings. The Southern Methodist offense is particularly on a roll right now. The Mustangs have scored nearly 60 points per game on nearly 600 yards of offense per game the past two weeks. Tulane is averaging 35 points per game last 4 games. I know the Green Wave have solid overall defensive stats this season but they have allowed at least 28 points in 3 of last 4 games. SMU likes to play fast and they will score plenty here but, of course, Tulane is favored at home here for a reason. I am looking for a 41-38 type game and can not envision many defensive stops here as the Mustangs have allowed 37.5 ppg last 8 games! Green Wave will score very well here but again will struggle to slow down SMU, just like last season's match-up. 10* OVER 64.5 or 65 in Tulane |
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11-17-22 | Furman +3 v. Penn State | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Furman Paladins +3 or +3.5 vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 11:30 AM ET - This is the beauty of College Hoops. To Joe Public, everyone knows about Penn State as they have had a great football program through the years and are well-known in College sports. Conversely, few people know about Furman. But the Paladins are a solid College Hoops program. This line opened up nearly in a pick'em range but has shot up to as high as 3.5 on Penn State. I love fading line moves like this. Yes the Nittany Lions just beat Butler but the Bulldogs lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 15 points from deep. Poor 3-point shooting for Butler was the difference in the game. The Bulldogs had more shots from the field and more than twice as many free throw attempts yet the Nittany Lions got the win. Penn State was a little fortunate is my point. In this match-up the Paladins will find a way in their home state of South Carolina for this tournament in Charleston. Mike Bothwell continues to be a star for Furman and they just beat a solid Belmont team. Last year the Paladins looked like they were going to the Big Dance when they had a 2 point lead with under 4 seconds to go in the game but then lost on a desperation moon-shot 3-pointer miracle shot. Furman is on a mission this season. They have won both their games to start this season and are a very determined team. Penn State is solid but the Paladins are the better team in this match-up and so the fact we get a hungry underdog in their home state (yes they are 200 miles away but this is still their home state) is a value I will not pass up on. 10* FURMAN +3 or +3.5 |
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11-16-22 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings @ 10:05 ET - This is a playoff rematch. Extra intensity means extra power plays here. These two teams do not like each other as that was a great 7-game battle these teams had back in May. The extra power plays here will translate to extra goals as both teams are struggling on the penalty kill this season and Edmonton has been great on the power play. I like the fact that Oilers have had only one low-scoring game on home ice this season (2-0 shutout loss to Blues) but their other 8 home games have averaged 8 goals per game! As for Los Angeles, these have not been the Kings of old that use to be involved in so many low-scoring grinders. Not at all! LA is off a 6-5 road loss at Calgary and their 9 road games this season have averaged totaling 8 goals per game. Given all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least 7 goals and truly a 5-3 or 5-4 type game would not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Bulls are off back to back losses for the 4th time already this season. The good news for Chicago fans - and for us tonight - is that the Bulls are a PERFECT 3-0 this season when they enter a game off consecutive losses. As for the Pelicans, they are off B2B wins for just the 2nd time this season. They have yet to win 3 straight and I don't see that changing here. They managed to pull away from the Grizzlies in the 4th quarter last night. However, the Bulls will prove to be more determined tonight plus this is second night of back to back for New Orleans plus Zach Williamson missed last night's game and is hurting right now. The Bulls were up by 4 with about 5 minutes to go when these teams met in Chicago last week but the Pelicans rallied and ended up winning the game by 4. This is a revenge spot for the Bulls and I look for them to get it. Grab the points for the added insurance. 10* CHICAGO +4 |
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11-16-22 | Sabres v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:05 ET - Two teams struggling and it is because they are giving up a lot of goals. That sets this one up to be a crazy match-up. The Senators have lost 8 of 9 games and allowed an average of 4 goals in the 8 defeats. Buffalo, whose situation is also complicated in goal because this is a B2B, has allowed nearly 5 goals per game during their 6-game losing streak! Eric Comrie has struggled and is likely to get the call tonight in goal because Craig Anderson started last night. 7 of the Sabres last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals and these 9 games have averaged 8 goals apiece! 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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11-16-22 | Ohio v. Detroit OVER 144.5 | Top | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 or 145.5 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Ohio University Bobcats @ 7 ET - We lost an over with Detroit when they faced Boston College and the game was 62-60 with 8 minutes to go and then it was 64-60 with 2 minutes to go. Yes there were only 2 points scored in 6 minutes of play in what could go down as the bad beat of the year when it comes to totals losses in CBB as that one ended up just short. Now we get payback here as the Titans will score just fine at home in this one and have averaged 79.5 ppg so far this season while the Bobcats have no hesitation in getting involved in a high-scoring contest. Ohio University has averaged scoring 75 points per game this season but also allowed 70 points in each game. The Bobcats are shooting very well from three point land early this season and Mercy will push the tempo in this game. 10* OVER 144.5 or 145.5 in Detroit |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 59 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 59 or 60 in Kent State Golden Flashes vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 6 ET - Both teams game up a lot of passing yards last week but their defenses were helped by turnovers. That said, I am looking for a ton of points here as the offenses were just fine last week too. Kent State is a different team when their healthier at their skill positions on offense like they are now. Also, the Golden Flashes need to win out for bowl eligibility so they will push hard here. However, they gave up a lot of yardage in their 40-6 win last week and I don't totally trust their defense and Eastern Michigan can score well. Kent State just gave up a lot of yardage to a bad Bowling Green offense. The Eagles have scored 30 points per game on the road this season. The Golden Flashes have averaged 33 points per game last 8 games and had allowed 33 points per game last 6 games before holding Falcons to 6 points (but a lot of yardage) last week. Don't be surprised if we see a 42-35 type game like we saw last night in Toledo. Another wild one in the MAC here! 10* OVER 59 or 60 in Kent State |
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11-15-22 | Flyers -102 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -102 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:35 ET - The Flyers are a pick'em here against the Blue Jackets in Columbus even though they have lost 3 straight including a 5-2 loss at Columbus during this stretch. You know what that means, right? Do not fall for the trap line! Most might be surprised to see a pick'em here but Hart has been so strong between the pipes for the Flyers this season and should be guarding the cage again after Sandstrom got the start in Philly's most recent game. The Blue Jackets have gone 1-6 in last 7 games and the only win was over the Flyers. Payback time here against a struggling Columbus team. 10* PHILADELPHIA -102 |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:30 ET - Ja Morant is expected back for Memphis tonight. Not only are the Grizzlies 9-3 this season in games in which he has played, they are also 3-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored less than 107 points! The Pelicans are off a win versus Houston but are 0-5 this season when off a win in which they scored less than 125 points! That sets this up as a double perfect year to date spot and I really like having this strong Grizzlies team hungry off a loss and catching a New Orleans team off a win but against one of the worst teams in the league this season as they hosted Houston. 10* MEMPHIS +1.5 |
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11-15-22 | Canucks v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - The Canucks seek revenge for a 5-1 home loss to the Sabres last month. However, Vancouver struggles in terms of allowing too many goals. The Canucks should score plenty here but again struggle to stop the opposition and Buffalo fully capable of getting their fair share of goals on home ice especially coming off a rare low-scoring loss. The Sabres off a 3-1 home loss but it was to a Bruins team that has played out as one of the best in the NHL this season. Prior to this, 6 of last 7 Sabres games had totaled at least 7 goals. In fact, Buffalo has allowed 4.1 goals per game last 10 games. However, prior to the loss to Boston, the Sabres had scored an average of 4.4 goals per game last 5 home games. As for the Canucks, they are off a 5-2 loss at Boston and that was the 6th time last 7 games that a Vancouver game has totaled at least 7 goals. Their last 7 games have averaged 8 goals per game and more of the same is expected here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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11-15-22 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 50 | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons @ 7 ET - The weather is not expected to have much, if any, impact here. Light winds, chilly temperatures, but any rain/snow expected to be light. I like the fact that the over is 4-0 in Bowling Green's road games this season. Also, the Falcons have averaged 32.5 ppg scored their past two contests away from home. Bowling Green will be looking to bounce back after getting blasted at Kent State last week. They will struggle to stop Toledo as the Rockets offense is so strong and now can play very relaxed this week too because they wrapped up the MAC West with last week's action. Toledo will be playing in the MAC Championship Game and with no pressure on them, the Rockets will just pile up points here at home where they had averaged scoring 45.5 ppg this season before scoring "only" 28 in last week's win over Ball State. That was a pressure filled key game in the MAC West race. Now that is over with and the Rockets defense will have a natural letdown too and let's not forget that the Rockets have allowed 28.4 ppg last 5 games. Given all of the above factors, this game should get well into the 50s if not 60s. Look for the over to improve to 5-0 on the season in Bowling Green road games! 10* OVER 50 in Toledo |
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11-15-22 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Appalachian State Mountaineers +6.5 @ Louisville Cardinals @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are 0-2 this season. Both losses were by a single point but Louisville was favored in each game by about the same amount they are for this one. I don't expect this one to end well for them either. They have a new coach this season and are a program that use to be so strong but now has won just 13 games each of the past two seasons. Like the Mountaineers, they lost a lot of starters from last season and had to reload the roster. The difference though is I really like the additions Appalachian State made in the transfer department entering this season. Also, the Mountaineers are already 2-0 this season and they just won a game in OT in which they had to hit a late 3 just to force OT. App St is feeling it right now as a result. Confidence is building. Granted they did not play tough teams, especially in their season opening blowout win but the Cards played two game they were supposed to win also and yet lost them both. Louisville will be in a dogfight just to win this game let alone cover the spread. 10* APPALACHIAN STATE +6.5 |
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11-14-22 | Spurs +8 v. Warriors | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +8 @ Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - Spurs off upset win over Bucks and Warriors off upset loss at Sacramento last night. Looks easy to just play GS, right? Not in today's NBA. These guys are paid so many millions and are athletes in elite shape but they can't dare play in a B2B situation, right? At least according to Golden State head coach Steve Kerr, that seems to be the case. Hard to say who will be on the floor for the Warriors tonight and I am sure at least some of the key pieces will be sitting because of how Kerr has handled these B2B spots recently. One thing I do know is the pesky Spurs will come into this one hungry and playing with confidence after knocking off the Bucks. San Antonio should field their normal roster and though they are still rebuilding and are young, they are well-coached and the Spurs have given Warriors good games in recent meetings. Look for this to be another tight one. 10* SAN ANTONIO +8 |
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11-14-22 | Commanders v. Eagles -10.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 vs Washington Commanders @ 8:15 ET - I do not normally like to lay big lines but I feel we have a lot of line value here. I like the fact that the Eagles are off a non-covering win last Thursday at Houston against the Texans. This is helping to give us some line value here. I know the Texans are not a very good team but still that game was at Houston and the Eagles were favored by 14. If you look at the lines for next Sunday's games the Eagles are favored by about the same as the 10.5 here versus Washington even though they are at Indianapolis next week! So the point is that, at home and playing with extra rest, this is a value spot in a game the Eagles should win by at least two touchdowns! The Commanders have played two divisional games so far and lose them both by at least 15 points! Also, Washington allowed 30.5 ppg in their first two road games this season. I know they then beat the Bears in Chicago but they were very fortunate in that one as they were outstatted by nearly a 2 to 1 ratio 391 yards to 214 yards! Yes they beat the Colts on the road but that is truly the one "feather in the cap" the Commanders have in terms of a truly successful road effort this season. That said, the Eagles are not the Colts! Philly is undefeated and showing no signs of slowing down and they have not had B2B ATS losses this season! Look for a big home win and cover here as the Commanders just don't have the offense to keep up here and I am sure the Eagles defense is going to "bring it" in a home game in which they are hosting a divisional foe. 10* PHILADELPHIA -10.5 |
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11-14-22 | Lafayette v. St. Joe's OVER 138 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 138 in St Joseph's Hawks vs Lafayette Leopards @ 7 ET - This follows the pattern of other recent totals plays that it is all about pace. Lafayette wants to run and gun and the situation is perfect for that here because St Joseph's is off a loss versus a very good Houston team. Having lost to a highly ranked team and scoring only 55 points, the Hawks will take advantage of taking a big step down in class to face Lafayette. The Leopards will be willing to play fast because that is the system they play in now. They should knock down a lot more shots here than they did against Miami in the season opener and they did score 68 against St John's in their next game but allowed 83 points to the Red Storm. That is the type of result I am looking for here as well. The Leopards will get their points but they will not be able to stop the Hawks especially since they are coming off an ugly loss entering this one. 10* OVER 138 in St Joseph's |
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11-14-22 | Islanders +100 v. Senators | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line -115 @ Ottawa Senators @ 5:35 ET - This is a great spot for a hot Islanders team at a great price because they are on the road. There is always extra value assigned to home ice of course but sometimes this creates the best value on the road team when they are the hot team and that is the case here. Islanders have won 8 of 10 and that includes winning 4 of last 5 away from home. Ottawa is off a win at slumping Philadelphia but had lost 7 straight games before that! Also, the Senators have lost 4 straight on home ice and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in their last 7 losses. One win does not change everything for the struggling Sens and the Isles are on a mission right now. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS -115 |
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11-14-22 | Hermannstadt v. Botosani OVER 1.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 +120 in FC Botosani vs Hermannstadt @ 2 ET - This is a bit of a contrarian play here but I love the value. You can find this one at 1.75 goals at about a pick'em price or go for the bigger payout at over 2 goals +120 and I am expecting at least 3 goals here. Like I said, it is a contrarian play based on recent form but 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and 2 of those 3 totaled 3 goals. Also, before their shutout loss to Voluntari last week, FC Botosani had a 2-2 draw the week prior versus Chindia Targoviste! Hermannstadt is off a shutout loss to that same Chindia Targoviste club but this was preceded by 3 straight matches totaling at least 2 goals. Before the loss to Voluntari, FC Botosani had scored in 5 of first 6 home matches this season. Hermannstadt has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches. All of these stats are referencing Romania Liga 1 matches but also note that Hermannstadt just won a 3-2 match in Romaniei Cup action Wednesday. Goals will be on the menu today in this one! 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 +120 in FC Botosani |
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11-14-22 | Arges v. Universitatea Cluj -101 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj -105 vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - FC Arges won the first meeting way back in July 3-1 but they had the home pitch edge there. Revenge time now for Universitatea Cluj and they are off a loss but have won 3 of last 4 at home so this is perfect spot to back them. FC Arges is off a 5-0 loss to Sepsi and they were at home for that one! FC Arges did win most recent road match but this was preceded by 3 straight road losses by a combined score of 8 to 2. Excellent line value on the hosts here. 10* Universitatea Cluj -105 |
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11-13-22 | Chargers v. 49ers OVER 45 | Top | 16-22 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 or 45 in San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 8:20 ET - McCaffrey, Mitchell, Samuel...the Niners are getting geared up on offense this week with all these weapons around Garoppolo. Look for San Francisco to have a big game against a rather weak Chargers defense this week. I know the Niners defense is a strength but the Chargers passing game is a strength too and they will be moving the ball well this week also. I know that LA is without some top receiving talent but last week was the first week without both Allen and Williams. They will now be better adjusted to that scenario this week and note that last week Bandy and Carter and Palmer plus RB Ekeler combined for 25 receptions last week. The Chargers will surprise many here as Herbert and company move the ball better than most will expect without Allen and Williams. The 49ers are actually 2-8 ATS last 10 times off a bye. Sometimes a defense loses some of its edge when off a bye week and lets not forget the Niners allowed an average of 36 points over their two games before holding the Rams to 14 points in that key divisional win. 49ers have averaged 24 points per game at home this season. Chargers have averaged 25 points per game last 5 games. This total has fallen from its opener due to the injury issues and this has opened up excellent line value for us. 10* OVER 44.5 or 45 in San Francisco |
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11-13-22 | BC +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play BC Lions +4 or +4.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4:30 ET - It will be very cold in Winnipeg - as you would expect for November - and so there is a lot of talk of whether or not the Lions can handle that. BC plays their home games in a dome. However, it is not as if their roster is loaded with players who have not played cold weather football. It is also not as if Winnipeg has played a ton of cold weather football this season either. It is just now getting cold in Canada and both teams will be prepared for it. That aside, I feel all the pressure is on Winnipeg here. The Blue Bombers are trying to make it a 3-peat. They have won the Grey Cup each of the last two seasons so certainly they have post-season experience and know how to handle all the various playoff pressure scenarios. However, they had a bye last week and also had a bye right before the final game of the regular season for them which was also essentially a bye because it was a meaningless game for both the Bombers and the Lions when they met in Week 21. So, considering all these factors, I like the fact that BC has played more meaningful football recently as they just faced Calgary last week to open up the post-season in a win or go home game! Now the Lions have an "us and against the world" mentality and they know they are the big dogs here and everyone expects Winnipeg to advance for another Grey Cup. Don't be surprised when this one turns into an upset. Lions now have Rourke back under center and they are a high quality team even without WR Whitehead. They beat a great Calgary team last week and keep the momentum going here. I look for the Lions to advance to their first Grey Cup since, ironically, they beat the Blue Bombers to win it all about a decade ago in 2011! Grab the points here. 10* BC +4 or +4.5 |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Green Bay Packers +4 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - Dallas is off their bye week. Prior to that, lets take a look at their last 5 games. 4 of the games were against teams that currently have a losing record. The combined record of those teams is now 12-22 on the season. The other game was against the Eagles and Dallas lost by double digits. The point is that Cowboys are over-rated here. This line is saying that Dallas would be a 7 point favorite on a neutral field. I am not buying that. Green Bay has been turnover prone and has had issues for sure. But note that this Packers team has had only 3 home games this season. They won 2 of the 3. The one they lost was after they came back from the UK. No, that is not an automatic excuse to lose a game but it is not a normal scheduling spot especially when you are not afforded a bye week after going to the UK. The fact is that Green Bay can, and will, respond here. Their loss to Detroit was turnover-driven. I feel that road loss to the Lions will prove to be rock bottom for the Pack. I know it is not easy to call a "bottom" for a team or a market (stocks for example) but the fact is I sense it strongly here. Green Bay is much better than they have shown this season and here is their chance at home to get back on track and make a statement against a Cowboys team they have beaten in 8 of last 9 meetings. The fact we are getting sizable points here to work with as an underdog is an added bonus. Keep in mind the Packers first 5 losses this season were to teams that currently have a combined 29-13 record. The loss to the Lions was the first shocker so to speak and I believe it will serve to be a wake-up call. Green Bay might be destined to battle for the final wild card spot now in the NFC post-season race. But the Packers are still very much alive in that race as the current spot-holder is only at .500 on the season. Pack get back on track here and Cowboys struggles in bigger games - they are known for disappointing in spots like this - continues here. 10* GREEN BAY +4 |
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11-13-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in U Craiova 1948 vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This is the match with the highest total on the board Sunday and it is with good reason. FSCB is off a scoreless draw in Cupa action Thursday but, in league action, they have been making their way back up the standings. FCSB is pushing hard after a slow start this season and, including UEFA Europa Conference League action, they have been involved in plenty of high scoring matches the last two months! For FCSB, 9 of last 11 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, in league action, FCSB is 5-1 last 6 matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match! 5 of last 7 matches in league action for FCSB have totaled at least 3 goals. The last two meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals apiece. U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of their 8 home matches this season. They enter this match with having allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. U Craiova 1948 allowing 1.6 goals per match in those 7 matches and now face an FCSB club that has been hot in league action. This sets up well to be at least a 2-1 final. The odds of a draw here are 1 in 3 so with strong odds each team scores here you can see why there is a good chance we get to at least 2-1 in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in U Craiova 1948 |
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11-13-22 | Stars v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars @ 1:05 ET - Given that this is a back to back for the Flyers we probably will not see Carter Hart in goal. Felix Sandstrom has been okay but he is not Hart. He is the back-up for a reason and, in 3 of his 4 starts the game totaled at least 6 goals with two of them reaching the 7-goal mark. The Flyers have had one bad game scoring-wise when he started but they have scored 10 goals in the other 3 games. Off a disappointing loss to Ottawa, the Flyers know they need to score more and they are facing the right team to turn this one into a barn-burner. Each of the last 6 Stars games have totaled at least 6 goals and 5 of the 6 totaled at least 7 goals. In fact, these 6 games have averaged 8 goals per game. Given that this is also a non-conference match-up with less animosity between the clubs, there should be more open ice for each team to skate in and create offense with. I am looking for at least 7 goals here given all the key situational edges in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-13-22 | Thunder +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 145-135 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 @ New York Knicks @ 12:10 ET - The Thunder and Knicks each off big wins Friday. The thing is that Oklahoma City knows they need to get their road game going better. They have struggled away from home this season. Sometimes these early starts on a Sunday can be tough on teams and they can be sluggish. That makes it harder for a favorite to pull away and cover the spread and this one is in the half-dozen range. Plus I like the motivation factor for OKC wanting to improve their road play. Look for them to be the more focused club in this one and the Knicks have not won B2B games in two weeks so I am going to challenge them here and I like having the points on our side with a team I feel has a great shot to win outright given the intangibles of this one. Thunder have been scrappy early this season and just took the Bucks to double OT recently too. 10* OKLAHOMA CITY +5.5 |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Kentucky v. Cincinnati OVER 143.5 | Top | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
NCAAB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 143.5 in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels @ Noon ET - The Colonels want to play fast and, with their revamped roster, they will be able to do just that. The Bearcats were not happy the way their offense stagnated late in the season. They have a solid backcourt so they will be able to fully focus on improving that stagnation this season and the better production should be seen immediately. Cincinnati is averaging 83.5 ppg this season. Eastern Kentucky went crazy with points in their first game this season but that was against a completely over-matched opponent. Their 2nd game they scored only 60 but the Colonels had an off-shooting night. It was horrible as it 33% from the field and 8 of 17 from the free throw line! Eastern Kentucky took 62 shots so the proper pace for an over was there and it will be here again for this one and the Bearcats will run and gun right along with them as they are favored by about 18 points for a reason. The Colonels shot just fine in their first game including from the free throw line and from downtown so it was not just about easy buckets inside and they will bounce back after then struggling against the Hilltoppers. 10* OVER 143.5 in Cincinnati |
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11-13-22 | Manchester United v. Fulham OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5/2.75/3 in Fulham vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - The big news is that Fulham's leading scorer, Aleksandar Mitrovic, is out for this match. However, there is still a ton of value here. Note that Fulham's last 14 goals have seen only 3 come from Aleksandar Mitrovic. They certainly have other very capable scorers and I love the fact that Fulham's matches are averaging 3.5 goals this season as you are talking about a club that scores well and plays aggressively on the attack but that also struggles defensively and in goal. As for Manchester United, they lost their most recent league match to Aston Villa so they will be hungry here. They will push hard on the attack and not sit back. Man U has seen their road matches average 3.5 goals also. So I like the value with this total also available at over 2.5 and 2.75 but you can take the 3 at plus money if you must. The last 5 matches between these clubs have averaged 3.4 goals and I am looking for at least 3 here as I do trust Fulham at home to get on the scoresheet but they also will struggle to stop a resurgent Man U club that has been on a mission since they started the season so poorly. They are a different club now and also coming off a 4-2 win in mid-week English Carabao Cup action. 10* OVER 2.5/2.75/3 in Fulham |
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11-13-22 | CFR Cluj -135 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj Money Line -135 @ CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - CS Mioveni has two slight edges here but they are not enough to overcome the talent disparity between these two clubs. CS Mioveni is hosting this match and they have a rest edge as CFR Cluj played in the Cupa Thursday while the hosts had their match on Tuesday. However, CFR Cluj won their match 5-0 and CS Mioveni had a much tougher 1-0 battle in getting past FC Botosani. That said, the value here is with the road favorite. Just how bad has CS Mioveni been this season? Every club in the league has at least FOUR victories except CS Mioveni and they have only ONE! Also, they have been outscored 8 to 2 in last 5 matches while, on the other hand, CFR Cluj is again one of the top teams in the league. The visitors also have won each of the last 3 meetings including a 4-2 win earlier this season. CFR Cluj has just one draw in their 15 matches this season so I am very comfortable laying a reasonable money line to have the road team to get the win over the worst team in the league which has already lost 11 matches this season! 10* CFR Cluj Money Line -135 |
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11-13-22 | Aston Villa +345 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 2-1 | Win | 345 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Aston Villa Money Line +345 @ Brighton & Hove @ 9 AM ET - Upsets happen. Yes, Aston Villa has not won on the road yet this season but neither had Brentford and then they went and upset Man City in Manchester yesterday as a huge dog! Aston Villa is off a win in their most recent EPL match over a solid Manchester United club but then lost to the same club in English Carabao Cup action when Man U got their revenge. Look for Aston Villa to be ready to fight back hard here after that 4-2 loss and they catch Brighton & Hove at the right time for an upset. The Albion just knocked off Arsenal 3-1 in English Carabao Cup action! Yes, Brighton & Hove won their only EPL match this month but it was against a bad Wolverhampton club. Also, lets not forget that the Albion won only 1 match in 6 in the month of October! I love the big dog value here and look for another team, like Brentford did yesterday, to finally enter the win column on the road after starting the season with a drought away from home. 10* ASTON VILLA +345 |
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11-12-22 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - I lost with the Leafs Over last night as the over 6.5 landed on 6 but as noted in last night's write-up, Toronto has major goaltending concerns right now due to injuries. That said, this B2B spot does them no good in that regard and you know the Canucks are coming in hungry off a loss too. But the problem for Vancouver is they can stop no one. That is why their games have totaled at least 7 goals in 10 of 14 this season including 5 straight! Their last 5 have averaged totaling nearly 9 and I know the Maple Leafs will come out skating strong after last night's loss and look to take advantage of the Canucks weaknesses in and around their own cage. However, I also know that Vancouver is going to have success against Toronto's defense and netminding in the 2nd night of a B2B situation. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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11-12-22 | Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -2.5 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Bears opened up favored at 3.5 and even as high as -5 at some of the earliest posting shops. Baylor is down to a 2.5 as of game day very early morning. Everyone is seeing that a ranked team is getting points here and everyone sees the stats that Bears were fortunate to beat Sooners at Oklahoma last week. Also, everyone sees that Wildcats deserved better at home against Texas last week. However, this is just all leading to exceptional line value here with a Baylor team that plays different when at home and is catching Kansas State off 3 straight emotional games and that is on the road for the first time in 3 weeks! The Wildcats had a chance to knock off undefeated TCU and did not then they won a huge home game against Oklahoma but fell short against Texas. That is 3 straight very big games for the Cats. Note that they have averaged scoring just 19 points per game last two road games and could be emotionally spent here. Also, the Bears have won 4 straight meetings with Kansas State! The Bears have one home loss this season but they outgained Oklahoma State by nearly 100 yards in the surprising defeat. Their other 3 home games have been won by a combined score of 146 to 40. That includes a Big 12 win over an improved Kansas team in which the Bears had 28 first downs compared to just 11 for the Jayhawks! Remember Baylor is coming off a huge season last year and yes they have regressed a little but this is still a very strong, very well-coached team, that loves to play in Waco and will be riled up for a huge win here over the Wildcats. Fade the line move as the Bears improve to 11-1 their last 12 home games! They are strong here and I do not trust this Kansas State team on the road off of 3 straight huge games. This is a tough spot for them and they will struggle to keep up with the strong offense that the Bears have. 10* BAYLOR -2.5 |
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11-12-22 | South Carolina v. Florida OVER 58 | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 58 in Florida Gators vs South Carolina Gamecocks @ 4 ET - The Gamecocks confidence is growing as they have won 5 of 6 games and became bowl eligible with last week's win at Vanderbilt. QB Spencer Rattler played well in that one and has been solid on the road this season. In his 3 starts away from home the Gamecocks have averaged 31 points and he has averaged 251 yards passing with 5 TDs and only 2 INTs. I like the growing confidence of this South Carolina offense against a Florida defense that is not very good this season. The Gators have allowed about 30 points per game this season and it is not fluke as the yardage allowed numbers reflect this! The key to the over here though is that is Florida's final home game and their offense has been solid and the South Carolina defense is certainly not great. The Gamecocks have allowed 30 points per game in SEC action. The Gators are off a big win at Texas A & M and have scored an average of 34 points last 7 games. 6 of Florida's last 7 games have totaled at least 59 points and I feel strongly that this one will too. QB Richardson was struggling earlier this season but he has a TD-INT ratio of 9-3 his last 6 games and had one bad game versus Missouri but averaged throwing for 250 yards per game in the other 5 games. South Carolina could get MarShawn Lloyd back at running back for this one too but, either way, I love the over in this match-up. Two solid QB's coming off strong games and each offense has some extra confidence heading into this one. Again, Gators defense down this season too and Gamecocks defense hard to trust on the road against a quality offense. 10* OVER 58 in Florida |
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11-12-22 | Maryland v. Penn State -10.5 | Top | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -10.5 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 3:30 ET - Maryland just got blasted at Wisconsin and has failed to cover 4 straight games. Not only is this a B2B road game situation for the Terrapins, they will be facing a very motivated Nittany Lions team. Yes, Penn State did win at Maryland last season but they also have not forgotten the Terps last visit to State College. That was in the pandemic-impacted 2020 season and the Nittany Lions lost 35-19 despite having nearly twice as many first downs in the game. PSU was about a 4 TD favorite in that game but was done in by a 3-0 turnover deficit and got embarrassed at home. The Lions will be ready for payback here and, with this line dropping a little bit, I feel we have excellent value here. The average margin of victory in Penn State's last 6 wins is 25.5 points. All 6 were by a double digit margin. The Nittany Lions most recent home game was a loss to Ohio State and, as noted above, they did lose to Maryland last time they met here. Those two factors mean that the Nittany Lions will be very focused here. Insuring that focus is the fact they have Rutgers (1-4 in Big Ten action) on deck. Lay it and look for the hosts to pull away as this game gets into the 2nd half. 10* PENN STATE -10.5 |
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11-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line PK +100/+105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs had been playing well but Rapid is off a loss to rival FCSB last week and then lost in Cupa action in mid-week to a very strong Farul club. Both defeats were by a 2-goal margin. That sets this one up well for a home victory. I really like the way Rapid has been playing and like having them here off those defeats. Rapid has been playing a very tough schedule of late and will make the most of this home match against Universitatea Craiova. Yes the visitors have won 9 of 16 this season but the hosts have lost just 5 of 17 matches. I feel we have good value on the goal line here as the pick'em in this case turns a draw into a push at the betting window. Rapid is undefeated (6-0-2) at home this season. Universitatea Craiova has won last two matches away from home but this was preceded by 3 straight losses as travelers in league action! 10* RAPID Goal Line PK +100/+105 |
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11-12-22 | Senators v. Flyers +120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +110 vs Ottawa Senators @ 1:05 ET - The Flyers are improved yet they still are not a great hockey club. However, the Senators are not great either. That said, Philly continues to be undervalue and really Ottawa, even though this is a revenge game, is overvalued here. The Flyers are off a loss and will be hungry here. Philly is a perfect 3-0 this season when off a loss in regulation time. Ottawa has lost 7 straight games over this same period time. That means essentially we are testing a 10-0 / 100% SPOT here. 3-0 in favor of Flyers and 7-0 in favor of fading the Sens. Considering that plus the fact we are getting plus money to do it? Yes, I will take it! 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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11-12-22 | Green Bay v. Georgetown OVER 144.5 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Green Bay Phoenix @ 11 AM ET - I wanted to wait some to see if this total would come down some and sure enough it has. I know the Phoenix did not score well in their first game but they allowed 80 and will score much better here against a Hoyas team that is known for giving up a ton of points. I know Georgetown's first game went into OT but, even taking that out of the equation, the game was 83-83 before it went to OT! Keep in mind that was against Coppin State too. This match-up features two teams off very bad seasons and they each have a lot of transfers in. That can make a game play out more like a pick-up basketball game than a structured hoops match-up. That said, I am looking for a ton of points here. Green Bay has to shoot better than they did in first game but the Hoyas will continue to run and gun and also, along the way, will continue to forget about playing much defense too! So let's take advantage of the downward line move on this total. 10* OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown |
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11-12-22 | Farul Constanta v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs Farul @ 10:30 AM ET - I understand the low total here. The last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw in July. Last season the two matches finished 1-0 and 2-0 in favor of Chindia Targoviste. So Farul has not even scored in the last three meetings. However, Farul is off a 2-0 mid-week win in Cup action over a very strong Rapid team and is the highest-scoring team in league action this season. Farul is averaging scoring 2 goals per match this season! Chindia Targoviste, despite occasionally getting involved in low-scoring matches, still has seen their matches average 2.5 goals this season! The hosts are off a 1-0 win over Hermannstadt but their two prior matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! Not only have 11 of Farul's last 12 matches totaled at least 2 goals, 8 of the 11 totaled at least 3 goals. Excellent value with the low total in this one. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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11-12-22 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - The Hotspur are getting some reinforcements to support the attacking side of things in this one and I am expecting plenty of goals. In league action, the last 3 Leeds United matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Leeds is off a disappointing loss in the English Carabao Cup by a count of 1-0 but that was against low-scoring Wolverhampton. This match will play out much differently with Tottenham on their home pitch where they have averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match. Also, the Hotspur will be aggressive on the attack here because they are off B2B losses. One in the English Carabao Cup and one in EPL action. Those defeats were to a surging Newcastle club and long-time strong rival Liverpool. Look for Tottenham to rise up after those two tough losses so I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here. Leeds is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season so I don't see them being delivered a clean sheet here. Tottenham has gone 7 straight matches across all competitions without a clean sheet. That means look for at least a 2-1 match here but I am expecting more like a 3-1 or 3-2 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-12-22 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Leicester @ 10 AM ET - I know Leicester has been better defensively for some time now. However, the last 7 times they have met West Ham United the match has totaled at least 3 goals all 7 times! With this total at a 2.5 here that means we are testing a match-up angle producing 7-0 run. Despite Leicester playing better defensively of late, I just do not see a very hungry West Ham club being denied on their home pitch here. The Hammers have scored 9 goals in 7 matches here. As for Leicester, they were delivered a clean sheet by Manchester City to wrap up October but City is City! In their other 4 recent matches dating back to late October across all competitions, Leicester has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! The last 5 matches between these clubs have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and 4 of the 5 totaled at least 4 goals. Though West Ham has struggled to score goals recently in EPL action their most recent match in league was a 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace. The Hammers have also played matches in English Carabao Cup and UEFA Europa Conference League action this month and scored an average of 2.5 goals per match in those two. With having scored at least once in all 3 matches across all competitions this month, the Hammers have some added confidence for this battle on their home pitch. As for the Foxes, they have been riding high of late and won't shy away from being on the attack in this one given that added confidence. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati UNDER 52 | Top | 25-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Cincinnati Bearcats vs East Carolina Pirates @ 8 ET - The Pirates have an efficient offense but the Bearcats have a great defense. Cincinnati's offense, statistically, is not as strong as their points per game average. Also, this included scoring 63 against an FCS school. Against FBS opponents this season, the Bearcats are scoring an average of 29.5 points per game. They have allowed an average of only 17 points per game at home and just held Navy to 10 last week. East Carolina comes in off a bye week so they'll be ready to go here and the Pirates are a scrappy, tough team. However, their offense runs into a very solid defense that will be fired up for this home game too. As for the East Carolina defense, they have allowed only 21 points per game in regulation time of their games this season. Remember what I said above about Cats allowing 17 ppg at home and now note EC allowing 21 overall. This line is near a 4 and that 21 to 17 is a 4 so you can see why I am expecting this game to fall in this range of a 21-17 final and well below the low 50s total we currently have in the marketplace on this one. 10* UNDER 52 in Cincinnati |
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11-11-22 | Suns -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -7 @ Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - The Suns recently lost Cameron Johnson to injury but then, even without Chris Paul, they knocked off the Timberwolves at Minnesota by a double digit margin. Not only have the Suns won 7 of 9, all 7 of the victories have been by at least 9 points. That said, and especially with Paul likely coming back tonight, I am not going to hesitate to lay the 7 points here with one of the best teams in the NBA against one of the worst. Even if Paul is not back, note that Payne had a huge game filling in for him against the T-wolves. Also, Orlando is off a rare win as Mavericks shot horrific in that game and the Magic stole it even though they were without Banchero. He has an ankle injury so he could miss again here. Ankle sprains are not easy to come back from and he already missed one game and would not surprise me if they hold him out since next game not until Monday. So he can rest up some more this would be the logical thing to do. Even the Magic must know this is not likely to be a winnable game but Monday they host a bad Charlotte team. Will see how smart Orlando management is on this one but Banchero should not play. Either way I look for the better team to win and to continue their trend of winning games by at least 9 points. Note that the Magic were 2-9 this season before they got the shocking upset over Dallas. Lightning will not strike twice. 10* PHOENIX -7 |
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11-11-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - Look for a lot of goals here. Samsonov and, in particular, Murray are getting closer to returning in goal but neither could be trusted in first game back from injury and Kallgren is not use to being a regular starter in the NHL. Current back-up has been Petruzzelli so the Maple Leafs goalie situation has been unusual recently to say the least. Toronto can score well though and 2 of their last 3 home games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one should do. I know Toronto has not been scoring as much this season thus far as past season but look for the Penguins to bring out the best in them here. Pittsburgh is off a 4-1 win but that was against an injury-depleted Washington team. Prior to that the Penguins allowed 4.7 goals per game their last 7 games! Their last 6 road games, prior to the win in DC, had averaged 7 goals. Look for this one to get there too as this match-up features two teams with a lot of scoring firepower but some concerns in goal. Penguins scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game this season but, of course, Maple Leafs favored solidly here for a reason! 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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11-11-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sepsi vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Incredibly the hosts have not scored a goal in any of their last 3 home matches yet are favored by about -200 on the money line in this one. A mistake? Of course not! Sepsi is off a 5-0 road win and hungry to get back on track on their home pitch and is facing the right club to do just that. Petrolul Ploiesti has been allowing plenty of goals and I look for this one to easily get to at least a 2-1 final. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 at home but they will find a way to prevail in this one. The weather will be chilly but most of the rain was earlier in the day and should not impact this match. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored during this stretch. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 2 draws in 17 matches so, again, another reason to look for at least a 2-1 final here. Petrolul Ploiesti delivered a clean shot at FC Voluntari in most recent road match but this was preceded by allowing at least 1 goal (and average of 1.8) in their 4 preceding road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti is ahead of Sepsi in the table but the hosts are a large favorite here and hungry for goals on their home pitch. Look for an entertaining one here if you like goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Sepsi |
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11-11-22 | Detroit v. Boston College OVER 139 | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Boston College Eagles vs Detroit Mercy Titans @ 1 ET - The Eagles first game totaled 156 points and it was no fluke. Boston College and Cornell University combined to make just 17 of 53 threes and both shot poorly from the free throw line yet the game still flew over the total. Why? Well the pace was there and that is a key with hoops totals and I expect another fast paced game here. Detroit comes to Chestnut Hill with added confidence after they scored 93 points in winning the first game of the season. Yes, they played Rochester University so they were supposed to win handily but, to put up 93 points is big for the Titans confidence. Keep in mind Antoine Davis is back for Mercy and he is a tough match-up and an elite scorer. He'll get his points for the Titans here and takes so much focus that it opens up the scoring for others on the floor. So this game should fly over the total. 10* OVER 139 in Boston College |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Carolina Panthers +2.5 vs Atlanta Falcons @ 8:15 ET - Could be some rainy plus possibly windy and ugly weather in Carolina tonight. The hurricane that moved into Florida is bringing rain up to the Charlotte region and it is expected to be here for the entirety of this game. Look for the ugliness to help the home dog Panthers as they have the better defense in this match-up. Yes they just got throttled at Cincinnati but they are 2-3 at home this season including 2-0 in divisional home games. Carolina won those two home games versus the Bucs and Saints by a combined score of 43 to 17. I look for them to step here at home again. As for the Falcons, they are just 1-3 on the road this season and have allowed 27.5 points per game on the road this year. There is a reason that Atlanta is such a small favorite here over a team that is 2-7 on the season! Don't let the line fool you. The home dog is the play here. 10* CAROLINA +2.5 |
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11-10-22 | Southern Illinois v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys -8 vs Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - Both teams off wins but OSU was rather unimpressive in theirs while S Ill rolled on the scoreboard in theirs. I love spots like this because it creates solid line value. The Salukis actually won by 31 points but had 9 less shot attempts from the field than Little Rock did. How is that possible? Well Southern Illinois shot lights out while struggled badly including 3 of 18 from 3 point land and 8 of 18 from the free throw line! Southern Illinois was great from the field in this game and also were able to dominate the glass against Little Rock. So the key here is that none of those things are likely to be repeated here. Now the Salukis are on the road and facing a Big 12 program and Stillwater is not an easy place to play. Look for the Cowboys, with a talented backcourt and strong team depth, to roll to a win by double digits at home in this one. OSU is off a disappointing campaign so they are hungry to make amends this season. The fact the Cowboys only won their opener by 11 against UT Arlington even though they were favored by 21 only strengthens this spot. Oklahoma State should shoot much better than 6 of 25 from 3-point land in this one! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE -8 |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers -6.5 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 7:30 ET - Tulsa has QB issues. Brin has been hurting and, even if he plays, he has been throwing too many picks lately. The other option for the Golden Hurricane QB is Braxton but he is a freshman and would be making a road start here against an angry Memphis team that has lost 4 straight games and is ready for a huge bounce back here. The Tigers are much better than their record shows and this is their final AAC home game of the season. In a primetime situation on a Thursday night, I look for Memphis to put on a show in this one! Beautiful weather expected for this one and the Tigers can put up huge points at home in this one. I just don't think, even though Memphis D is not a strength, that Tulsa can keep up here given their QB situation. The Golden Hurricane have just 3 wins this season and they have come against a Northern Illinois team that entered this week with a 2-7 record. Also an FCS school, Jacksonville State, and a Temple team that is 1-4 in conference games this season. Tulsa's last 5 losses all by at least 8 points and the average margin of defeat has been 15 points. As for Memphis, yes they have been losing but they faced some tough match-ups and lost some tight games too. The Tigers will take advantage here of taking a step down in level of opposition. Keep in mind, Memphis lost by a single point then lost a game in 4-OT, then lost B2B games against teams that were ranked in Top 25. The Tigers 4 wins this season all by double digit margins and average margin of victory was 17 points. Getting them at under a TD here is a great bargain price. Look for huge home win in a statement game for the Tigers. 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Yes this is a back to back for Dallas and we did lose with them last night. However, the Mavericks had a simply awful shooting night and that was the difference in the game. I certainly do not expect a repeat of that here. That said, some perfect trends in play here too. Dallas is 3-0 this season when off a SU loss and all 3 wins have been by at least 4 points. The line on this game is 3 or 3.5 and I feel we can lay it with confidence. That's because Washington is off a win and they are 0-3 last 3 times they were off a SU victory this season. All 3 losses were by a double digit margin including the most recent one coming by 42 points in a blowout defeat. Double perfect trends here favoring the Mavs. Lay it. 10* DALLAS -3.5 |
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11-10-22 | Flyers +115 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - This is a great spot for the underdog Flyers. They are playing with confidence under head coach Tortorella. Now they face the last time he coached. Tortorella was with Columbus for a number of seasons and had success here before they mutually agreed to part ways. Even though perhaps not necessarily a bitter break-up, you know Torts wants this game badly against his former team. He'll have the Flyers playing with extra fire here tonight as a result and they certainly should be able to take down the Blue Jackets. Hart has been phenomenal in goal for the Flyers this season. If Sandstrom plays, he is coming off a great start in net and has been better than expected early on in the back-up role. While Flyers are 7-3-2 this season, Blue Jackets are an ugly 3-9 on the year. Also, Columbus has lost 5 straight games by a combined score of 28-8 for an average margin of defeat of 4 goals per game! They just lost both games to Colorado by a combined score of 11-4 in the two match-ups in Finland. Yes, making this situation even worse for Columbus is they were over in Europe this past weekend. Tough spot for Blue Jackets and Flyers roll continues. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-10-22 | Golden Knights v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 102 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres are welcoming back Jack Eichel to Buffalo for this one. The Sabres had that big trade with Vegas not too long ago and he finally played his first game back here as a member of the Golden Knights last season and Buffalo got the better of it 3-1. The atmosphere was great for that one and should be great for this one too. However, look for a lot more goals this time around. I really expect another huge effort from the Sabres here as there is a special animosity in this match-up that creates a lot of energy since that huge trade happened. This time that energy is going to result in a lot of goals because Sabres are hungry to snap their recent losing skid but the Golden Knights are red hot and scoring a lot of goals. So look for this game to play at a fast pace. Note that Vegas has won 8 straight games and scored an average of 3.5 goals in regulation time of those 8 wins. The Golden Knights have allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games though! Buffalo is off an ugly 4-1 home loss but had scored an average of 4.3 goals in regulation time of first 6 games and will bounce back here. The Sabres have allowed 4 goals per game last 8 games however. That is why I am looking for a crazy game here. Neither team has been stopping the opposition of late but both have plenty of firepower and Vegas is such a fast team but you know the Sabres are going to bring the ultimate level of energy here on home ice for this one too. I am expecting a 5-4 type game but certainly we should at least get this one to 4-3 or 7 goals at a minimum. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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11-09-22 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:35 ET - I know the Canadiens are known for lower-scoring games but this is a back-to-back for both teams and the Canucks are having a wild start to this season. Vancouver is off a crazy 6-4 win yesterday and their 4 wins have seen the Canucks themselves (!) average 6 goals scored per victory! The trouble is that Vancouver has 9 losses this season and those have seen the Canucks allow 4 goals per game on average in regulation time. That is why I am fully expecting at least a 4-3 final here. Vancouver has seen 6 of their 7 road games total at least 7 goals and that includes 5 in a row! Look for this roadie to make it 6 STRAIGHT! Montreal is off a key 3-2 shootout win at Detroit (divisional foe and original six rival!) last night. Back to back spot for both teams and the Canadiens have seen 4 of their 6 home games total at least 7 goals so they do tend to score more at home. More of the same here as that Canucks road game streak adds to 5-0 over run. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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11-09-22 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line +100 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Florida is happy to be home but they are off a long road trip out west. Those often create tough situations in the first game back and that is the case here because the Panthers are catching the Hurricanes off a loss. Carolina had won 4 in a row before the loss and also is 2-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored 2 or less goals. Off the 3-1 defeat, the Canes back bounce back here. The Panthers are off a win but Florida is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a victory. So with playing against that by going with the Canes here, we are backing a 5-0 situation that I fully expect to go to 6-0. Hurricanes off loss, Florida off long road trip across the country. Great spot. 10* CAROLINA +100 |
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11-09-22 | Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes -2.5 @ Bowling Green Falcons @ 7 ET - Love the set-up and the motivational/pressure factors in this one plus the line. Why would Kent State be favored by 2.5 on the road when they are 3-6 on the season and Bowling Green is having a winning season including 4-1 in MAC play? Exactly! Don't let the line fool you here. The Golden Flashes have played the much tougher schedule overall as well as within the MAC. The Falcons are over-rated right now. Kent State certainly has the much better offense in this match-up with Schlee back under center. Also, all the pressure is on Bowling Green here. With Ohio University's win last night, BG needs a win here to maintain a tie atop the MAC East standings and plus Buffalo (in action tonight) is in the mix as well. That said, Falcons are feeling pressure while Golden Flashes looking to play the role of spoiler. Kent State has won 4 straight meetings and by a combined score of 186 to 92. All 4 wins have been by at least 7 points so were are testing a 100% streak here and the Golden Flashes have truly dominated this period as they have doubled up the Falcons in total points the past 4 years. Kent State averaging 28 points scored in their 5 MAC games but is off a tight loss last week. Bowling Green is on a 3-game winning streak but has scored an average of only 18 points last 4 MAC games! The Falcons have not had a 4-game winning streak since the 2015 season! They are over-rated right now and playing with pressure they are not use to. The Golden Flashes take advantage. 10* KENT STATE -2.5 |
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11-09-22 | Davidson -3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Davidson Wildcats -3.5 @ Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Wildcats have the stronger backcourt in this match-up. That is important early in the season. I like the Raiders frontcourt but have some concerns about their guard play and feel they could struggle a bit early on this season. Yes Davidson has a new coach but he has been the assistant there for years under his father and he himself was a strong scorer for this program about two decades ago. The point is that he is experienced in the program and had been working with his Dad here for about two decades and I think Davidson is going to be rock solid yet again this season. Yes they lost some of their playing rotation from last season but so too did Wright State. The Wildcats are a fantastic program and remember that the Raiders did start off slow out of the gates last season in non-conference action too. Look for that to be the case again this season as they go through some early-season growing pains in the backcourt in particular. 10* DAVIDSON -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Mavs -6 v. Magic | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -6 @ Orlando Magic @ 5:30 ET - The Magic are tied with Rockets for worst record in the NBA and just let Houston score a ton of points against them and shoot lights out from the field. The point is that Orlando, other than rookie forward Paolo Banchero, is really having a rough start to this season. Making matters even worse here is that if Banchero even plays in this game he could be limited by an ankle sprain. I am away that Hardaway could miss this game for Mavericks but his injury seems less serious and is not an ankle. Don't be surprised if he plays and is very effective. Even if he does not play, the other guys who would get a lot of minutes in his absence are Finney-Smith and Josh Green and they are coming off huge games as is Luka Doncic as he continues to dominate. The Magic have one OT loss in last 8 defeats but the other 7 were are all by at least 6 points. Dallas has a lot of tight wins this season but they have won 4 straight games and that includes 9 point win over Orlando. I really believe Banchero could miss this game but, even if he plays, he will not be himself 100% and that is a key detriment for the Magic. By the way, Mavs have allowed just 102 ppg last 4 games while Orlando, not including OT points, has allowed 120.4 points last 5 games. Big difference in terms of level of defense when comparing these two teams. 10* DALLAS -6 |
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11-08-22 | Blues v. Flyers +115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Statistically if you look at the Flyers you have concerns but if you watch them on the ice and, in particular red hot goalie Carter Hart, those concerns become tempered. The fact is that Philly is exceeding expectations early this season even as they battle through to some injury issues. The markets have yet to catch up with this. The Blues are favored here despite being in the 2nd game of a B2B and on a 7-game losing streak. St Louis is likely to have Thomas Greiss in goal for this one since it is a B2B. The Blues are 0-2 in his two starts and lost the games by a combined score of 10 to 2. In fact, in this 7 game losing streak St Louis has been outscored 33 to 11 and lost each game by at least a 2 goal margin and the average margin of defeat has been 3 goals. The Flyers have some issues but they hold the scheduling edge here and home ice edge and Hart has not lost in regulation time yet this season! 6 wins, 2 OT losses, 0 regulation losses. I expect him to start here based on the scheduling situation here but no matter the goalie match-up in this one I would ride with Flyers as this is not the right time or place for Blues losing streak to end. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-08-22 | Flames v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in New Jersey Devils vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - New Jersey has been off since the beat the Flames in Calgary with an OT winner in a 4-3 final over the weekend. What I liked about that over is what 3-1 after just one period of play. Also the teams were a combined 0 for 6 on the power play until the OT winner for the Devils was on a power play. So what that means is these goals were coming 5 on 5 and I look for more of the same here. The Flames are off yet another OT loss last night as they fell short by the same 4-3 count in OT at New York against the Islanders. Calgary has now lost 5 straight and since this is a back to back it will likely be Vladar between the pipes. It would be his 4th game and in the first 3 he has a 3.82 GAA and an .865 save percentage. Whoever is in goal for the Flames here is will likely be in trouble as Calgary has allowed 3 goals per game this season. The good news for Flames fans is they are also scoring 3 goals per game on the season and none of these stats include OT. I am looking for each team to again get to at least 3 here because the Devils are on a 9-1 run last 10 games. New Jersey has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their 9 wins! In their 3 losses this season the Devils have allowed 5.3 goals per game. Given the situation and the revenge factor for Flames but NJ so strong lately and confident, we are going to see a lot of goals here. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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11-08-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 56 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 56 in Akron Zips vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7 ET - This is home finale for Akron. The Zips are off an ugly 27-9 home loss to Miami-Ohio. However, they had almost 400 yards of offense in that game but were done in by turnovers. As a result, we are getting line value here. Akron had averaged 27.5 points per game the 4 prior games. Also, the Zips had averaged 26.3 points per game in their 3 prior home games. Akron will again move the ball well here as Eastern Michigan has allowed an average of 31 points in MAC games this season. However, the Zips are not good defensively and the Eagles will take advantage. Eastern Michigan has averaged 29 points per game on the road this season and 26 points per game in MAC games. In summary, Akron's D is very bad but the Eagles are not much better and with this being the Zips finale look for a huge effort from the hosts. As a result, this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. 10* OVER 56 in Akron |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue OVER 140 | Top | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 6:30 ET - How will UW-Milwaukee play with a new head coach? Fast and firing up 3-pointers and willingness to press on defense. How will this effect the Panthers. We already got a taste of this in their first game. Yes it was against Milwaukee School of Engineering in an Exhibition if you will but last year UW-Milw won it by a count of 69-63. This year they won it in a rout and topped the century mark. Now of course the Panthers will now being scoring huge points against Purdue but their willingness to press on defense, fire up threes, and play a fast pace means they should get into the 60s here and, keep in mind, the Boilermakers are a 27-point favorite for a reason! So I look for this one to play out at a fast pace and with a margin getting to the 20 to 30 point range that means no pressure and guys can fire up 3's and play fast which is exactly what coach Bart Lundy wants. He is coming back to the area (previously was an assistant at Marquette) after a great run at a division II School. Queens College (Charlotte, NC) had 7 Div II NCAA Tourney appearances during his 9 seasons there and last season they averaged 85.5 points per game. Again, the pace the Panthers will play with will be fast and Purdue's concern heading into the season is their backcourt so the pressure D could result in turnovers and points in the transition game. Of course Purdue is the much better team and the Boilermakers frontcourt will dominate this game. The end result, in my opinion, is plenty of points here! 10* OVER 140 in Purdue |
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11-07-22 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 231 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets @ 9:40 ET - These teams just met in Denver and that game stayed just under the total but neither team got to the free throw line much and both teams shot poorly at the free throw line. Look for the Spurs to play at a faster pace here at home and score plenty in this one as they will be stronger on their home floor then they have been on the road. The issue for San Antonio in this one, as has been the issue all season long, is just that they can not stop anyone. The Spurs have had one home game this season in which they held their opponent under the century mark but in their other 4 home games they have allowed 127 points per game. The line on this one is right around a -7 for Denver so that would put the final score here at 127-120 and that total is well above the posted total on this game. The Spurs have averaged 114 points scored per game their last 9 games and won 5 of those so don't be surprised if they do indeed get close to 120 here. The Nuggets have averaged 118 points per game their last 8 games and are allowing 122 points per game on the road this season. Look for a high-scoring shootout int this one. 10* OVER 231 in San Antonio |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +1.5 vs Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - Ravens off B2B wins but were on a 3-9 SU run dating back to last season prior to getting these consecutive wins. Also, even though they have extra rest since they had the Thursday night game last week, it is still not easy to go on the road again and win B2B road games. Since Dalton has taken over at QB for the Saints, they have averaged 30 points per game last 5 games. Ravens have averaged 22 points per game last 5 games. The Ravens do have a bye on deck but have covered just once the last seven times they have a bye week on deck. The Saints have the much better passing offense in this match-up plus the Ravens pass defense has been an issue this season as they rank as one of the worst. New Orleans defense builds off last week's strong performance. Also, Saints let a receiver go back to the practice squad which means they are now expecting more from some of the guys that had been banged up. Strong team effort gets the home win as confidence is building with Dalton under center for the Saints. 10* NEW ORLEANS +1.5 |
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11-07-22 | Oilers v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Monday NHL Top Play 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers @ 8:05 ET - The Capitals have trended toward lower scoring games but the Oilers are going to force the issue here. Edmonton plays high-scoring games as they are so strong in the offensive zone but struggle defensively and in goal. This one shapes up to see plenty of goals as the Oilers have had only one low-scoring game all season - a 2-0 loss to the Blues. Edmonton is 7-4 in their other 11 games. The Oilers averaged scoring 5 goals in those 7 wins but allowed an average of 4.5 goals in the 4 losses. Look for a 4-3 or even 5-4 type game here given the above. The Caps last 2 home games have been 3-2 finals but, prior to this, 3 of their first 4 home games totaled 7 or more goals and averaged 8 goals apiece. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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11-07-22 | Suns -125 v. 76ers | Top | 88-100 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Money Line -115/-125 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:10 ET - I know the Suns just lost Cameron Johnson to an injury but the 76ers are without James Harden plus who knows if Joel Embiid will finally play for the Sixers in this one after missing time with an illness. I do expect him to play but the last I heard was Coach Rivers saying he was at about 75% in the latest practice. What I do know though is that even if he does play he won't be 100% plus probably can't play as much as usual here in his first game back. Also, Philly is actually just 2-4 in games in which Embiid has played this season. That said, I feel we have great value here with this 7-2 Suns team even without Johnson. Again, the Sixers are without Harden here. So adding up all the factors and the line value because home court is baked into this line, the road team is the play here. I am seeing money lines as low as -115 on the Suns so I would rather lay a money line here than the 1.5 points and risk getting burned if the road teams wins by just a single point. Of course this play being posted early so there could be a lot of line movement but let's go ahead and get involved now and grab the Suns. 10* PHOENIX -115/-125 money line |
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11-07-22 | La Salle +15 v. Villanova | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play La Salle Explorers +15 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - This is an intriguing match-up because it is an all-Philly game and, as always, the little brother wants to prove they can compete with the big brother. What has added to the intrigue here is La Salle has Fran Duphy (a 1970 Explorers graduate) and his 30 years of head coaching experience patrolling the sideline. At the same time, Villanova no longer has Jay Wright on the sideline and it will be strange to see the Wildcats without Wright patrolling the sideline. Kyle Neptune has only one year of head coaching experience. To his credit, Neptune has experience within the Wildcats program and helped recruit a lot of this current roster. Still I like the head coaching edge of Dunphy over Neptune and also note that guard play is so key early in the season in particular. It helps teams get comfortable in the early going of the season when teams are still trying to work out the kinks. That said, I like the depth of the Explorers in terms of their backcourt and will note that Villanova lost a lot from last year's backcourt. Of course Nova still the better team and should win this by a range of 7 to 9 points but I would not be surprised to see the Explorers, led by Dunphy, to hang around in this Philly battle much longer than many expect and it should not be a blowout as a result. 10* LA SALLE +15 |
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11-07-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 2 ET - There are some books with over 2 available at juice in the -133 range and that is the way I would recommend playing this one in case it lands on 2. However, I am expecting 3 goals or more or I would not be recommending this wager. CFR Cluj is off a victory in UEFA Europa Conference League action but they lost their most recent Romania Liga 1 match as they ran into a strong Rapid club. That meant it was a match-up of 2 of the heavyweights in the league but now CFR Cluj takes a step down in class to face a U Craiova 1948 club that is one of the weaker clubs in the league. I like the over here rather than laying heavy juice on the money line side because I do expect U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. On the season, the visitors are averaging 1 goal per match and CFR Cluj is conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Back in July, U Craiova 1948 beat CFR Cluj 3-1 and so I am sure the hosts are going to look to get revenge in a big way here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece! CFR Cluj has conceded at least once in 4 straight Romania Liga 1 matches so I am expecting U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. However, the hosts have only 1 draw (the fewest in the league) in 14 matches this season. So all signs point to at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj |
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11-06-22 | Maple Leafs v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 5:05 ET - The Leafs hung on for a divisional win by a 2-1 count over Boston yesterday. They lost goalie Samsonov to injury in that game plus Murray is still out with injury. That means it is their #3 option Kallgren who gets the start here in the 2nd game of a B2B and he did play yesterday too. Toronto had to use Kallgren yesterday because they lost Samsonov to injury during the game. The Hurricanes are one of the top teams in the NHL so they will show the Leafs no mercy here and I expect the Canes to be relentless on the attack here as a result. However, I do respect the Maple Leafs potent offense and that is why I love the over in this game. Looking for both teams to enjoy plenty of success in the offensive zone. The Hurricanes are 8-2-1 this season but have allowed 3.4 goals per game last 8 games in regulation time. The Leafs have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 5 games. I am looking for this game to get to 3-3 and that guarantees us at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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11-06-22 | Calgary v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - BC will have Bryan Burnham available for this game at WR. They also welcomed back star QB Nathan Rourke late in the season. Remember this team is a different animal on offense when he is under center as he had a breakout season for the Lions. The thing is, Calgary can put up huge points too. I look for this one to turn into a back and forth shootout. I know it is playoff football time but these two offenses are just too good. The Stampeders averaged 31 points per game this season. The Lions averaged 29 points per game this season and that was even with Rourke out injured for a significant number of games. I am expecting this to be a 31-28 type game at a minimum and the fact it is at BC Place in Vancouver means we have no weather concerns with this one either as the roof will be closed. Look for a ton of offense in this one. 10* OVER 50 in BC Lions |
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11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 42.5 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams @ 4:25 ET - I know the Bucs might get a couple guys back in their secondary for this one but they may not be 100% and certainly may not play a ton of snaps if they even come back for this game. The fact is that the Rams and Bucs offense both struggle to run the ball. This game is going to be all about airing it out. Look for Brady to put on a show for TB at home in this one but I expect Stafford to finally have a bigger game as well. The Bucs defense has been been struggling and the Rams will take advantage downfield and WR Cupp is good to go for this one. Tampa is allowing 25 points per game last 5 games and those included match-ups with bad teams like Steelers and Panthers plus a Falcons team I am not so impressed with despite their surprising .500 record so far this season. Also, against the Ravens and Chiefs during this stretch, the Bucs allowed an average of 34 points per game. The Buccaneers have averaged scoring 25 points per game last 3 home games and are hungry to snap their losing skid here before heading to Germany to take on the Seahawks next week. The Rams managed just 14 points against a solid Niners defense last week but did score 24 in their prior game and I think facing a struggling Bucs defense is going to get LA going here. Los Angeles has not impressed this season on offense but they have faced a tough schedule too. They get it going again here in this one and TB will not take their foot off the gas in this one and that will force the Rams to have to throw as well. Low total considering the key factors here and decent weather expected for this one too. 10* OVER 42.5 in Tampa Bay |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -125 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals -1.5 point spread or -125 money line vs Seattle Seahawks @ 4:05 ET - For those of you with access to the money line I would certainly grab that rather than risk getting burned on a 1 point win here. However, I do feel confident the Cardinals should get a comfortable win in this revenge game. Yes, the Seahawks are on a 3-game win streak which started in a win over Arizona. However, this Cards team's other 4 losses this season have come against Kansas City (Super Bowl contender again), LA Rams (won Super Bowl last season), Philadelphia (8-0 this season), and Minnesota (6-1 this season). I feel this Cards team is flying under the radar now, especially since DeAndre Hopkins is back. He is such a threat in the passing game and has been fantastic in his two games since returning. With QB Kyler Murray off a game in which a couple of his picks were the difference, despite putting up big numbers, I look for a huge game here at home for the Cards passing attack. WR Rondale Moore also off a huge game and Zack Ertz, TE, a threat in the passing attack as well. The Cards just so much stronger with Hopkins back in the mix and remember they beat the Saints here 42-34 in the only home game since he came back! I know the Seahawks have been winning some games but they are over-rated in my opinion and yet leading the division. The Cards are hungry to, and will, close the divisional gap with a dominating win here! 10* ARIZONA -1.5 spread or -125 money line |
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11-06-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB vs Rapid @ 2 ET - Battle of Bucuresti here with FCSB hosting Rapid. No team has played fewer matches (14) then FCSB and yet they are the only club in the league that has both scored and conceded at least 20 goals on the season. In other words, expect goals here. The last two meetings between these rivals have averaged 3 goals and 3 goals per match is what FCSB matches are averaging this season. I know Rapid is capable of playing tighter, lower-scoring matches. However, Rapid has been trending to higher-scoring matches with each of last 6 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Rapid has averaged scoring 1.5 goals during this stretch and scored at least once in all 6 matches. In last 10 matches across all competitions, FCSB has allowed an average of 2.2 goals per match. Specific to Romania Liga 1 action, FCSB has scored in all but one match this season. The only match they did not was a 2-0 defeat against, you guessed it, Rapid! Payback time here on their home pitch and each team should score at least once as you can see and then note that Rapid has only 2 draws in 16 matches this season! In other words, strong odds that this one gets to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB |
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11-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Montreal | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Montreal has the home field edge here but there is a reason this line is practically a pick'em even though Hamilton was 2-7 SU on the road this season! Keep in mind the Ti-Cats are loaded with experience from key playoff runs in recent seasons plus they were the hotter team down the stretch this season. Montreal faded a bit late in terms of level of play and I am taking the team that is peaking at the right time to get the job done Sunday in the opener of the post-season. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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11-06-22 | Vikings -3 v. Commanders | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings -3 @ Washington Commanders @ 1 ET - The Vikings are 6-1 this season. Their only loss was to Philadelphia. Yes, to the now 8-0 Eagles. The point is that Minnesota is winning every game they are supposed to win. However, because the Vikes are on a 2-4 ATS run, the betting markets are not exactly enamored with them. Yes the Commanders have won 3 straight games but they were severely outstatted by the Bears in the victory that started this win streak. They then beat a Packers team that is now on a 4-game losing streak and has been the most disappointing team in the NFL compared to expectations for the season. Then they beat a Colts team that has been another significant under-achiever this season. Truly, other than a solid game in a loss against the Titans (but they caught Tennessee in 2nd straight road game off key divisional win), the Commanders have not impressed this season. They have been blown out by the tough teams they faced (Cowboys and Eagles). Their other 5 games besides the 3 that I just mentioned were against teams with a combined record of 12-26-1 this season. So the Vikings at just -3 in this game basically just have to win the game for us to get the money. This is, like I said, a Minny team that has only one loss this season and it was to the still-undefeated Eagles. I really like Minnesota here because they just had a bye week two weeks ago. Washington still has not had a bye. They are playing for a 9th straight week. They have not played in the same city twice in consecutive weeks this season. It has been home/road/home/road, etc all season long. The Commanders need a bye. They are not getting it yet and I see the better team prevailing here and covering along the way. One final note of importance, the Commanders Super Bowl is next week. That's right, a chance to knock off the undefeated division rival Eagles. Set-ups don't get much better than this one in my opinion. Vikings all day! 10* MINNESOTA -3 |
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11-06-22 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 +130 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - You have the options of laying sizable juice for a 2.5 here or less juice for a 2.75 here or grabbing the big plus money with the over 3 goals available as high as a +130. For what it's worth, I am expecting 4 goals here. I know Tottenham has been hurt by the injury to Heung-min Son but they are still such a strong club when at home. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game in home matches this season! Liverpool has struggled on the road this season but they have avoided defeats at the hands of Tottenham in 10 straight meetings. The most recent 5 have featured 3 wins and 2 draws and the last 4 have seen Liverpool score an average of 2 goals. Tottenham has scored at least 1 goal in each of last 4 meetings. That said, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. But really I am expecting much more because Tottenham has shown a knack for coming back in recent matches and Liverpool also knows they must be more aggressive on the attack and they will feel they can do here especially because Heung-min Son is out for the hosts. So watch the Hotspur have some success on the counterattack with the visitors being so aggressive on the attack. Liverpool will have some success attacking but the hosts answer with great scoring chances of their own and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw in this one. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-06-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Hermannstadt OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt vs Chindia Targoviste @ 9:15 AM ET - Hermannstadt is tougher to face on their home pitch but Chindia Targoviste has been rolling and that is why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once here. Hermannstadt has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 home matches including a pair of goals conceded in each of last two. Hermannstadt scored 2 goals in last week's win and has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of 15 matches this season. 11 of 15 Chindia Targoviste matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. Chindia Targoviste has seen their last dozen matches average 2.8 goals apiece. I feel we have good value with this low total because Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and the hosts have scored at least 1 goal in 80% of their matches this season. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt |
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11-06-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Southampton vs Newcastle @ 9 AM ET - Newcastle has been playing so well but Southampton has been tough on their home pitch this season. I look for this one to be very tightly played with goals tough to come by. Southampton is one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league but they also have conceded only 8 times in 6 home matches. Newcastle has allowed only 10 goals in 13 matches this season and that is the best mark in the league! This is why Newcastle is so high in the table as they continue to be so tough to score on and I look for that to continue here. The hosts, however, will put up a fight here and a 1-0 type match would not surprise me in the least. Southampton's last 4 matches have all totaled 2 or less goals and have averaged only 1.5 goals. Newcastle allowing just 0.5 goals since start of September as they have allowed only 4 goals last 8 matches! All signs point to this being a tight low-scoring affair! 10* UNDER 2.5 in Southampton |
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11-05-22 | Phillies +135 v. Astros | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +135 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters are Wheeler and Valdez. The Phillies right-hander got roughed up in his only start in this series while the Astros southpaw was great. The odds makers did not get the memo. They opened up with Houston, at home, laying only a -135 price in this one. Sure looks easy to take the Astros at home here, right? You know what happens when something looks too easy usually, right? Well the thing is Wheeler is capable of throwing a gem and the Phillies powerful lineup is certainly capable of coming up big against Valdez in the rematch. This series has the feel of a 7-game series and I am confident we are going to get there. Don't let the line fool you. The Phillies are the play here. The last 4 times when Wheeler was making a road start and Philadelphia had lost in his prior start, the Phillies won that game all 4 times. Look for the run to improve to 5-0 here as the underdogs get back up off the mat to force a Game 7 even though no one else believes in them here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +135 |
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11-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas State OVER 54.5 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns @ 7 ET - Sometimes crazy stuff happens in sports. The Wildcats shutting out Oklahoma State last week was one of those. Don't put too much weight into that. Kansas State is going to struggle to slow down this Longhorns offense coming off a bye week. Texas is ready to light up the Wildcats and, keep in mind, other than games against Iowa State, both the Horns and the Cats have been involved in an abundance of high-scoring games involving Big 12 foes. Again, not including the Cyclones game, the Longhorns have scored an average of 39 points per game in Big 12 action. The Horns also have allowed big points in their two true Big 12 road games - at Texas Tech and at Oklahoma State. As for Kansas State, not including the Cyclones game, they had allowed 33 ppg in Big 12 action before throttling Oklahoma State last week. The Wildcats have averaged 38.5 points scored per game in Big 12 action, not including the rare low-scoring battle with Iowa State. So the point is that both these offenses fully capable of putting up big points in this one. Also, the Horns pass defense is a concern and the Kansas State defense comes into this one over-rated after last week's surprising shutout. Watch the Horns run right through them in this game but the Wildcats surging offense will battle right back too. That means plenty of points in this one. Tough game to call the side in my opinion as this one shapes up to be a back and forth shootout. 10* OVER 54.5 in Kansas State |
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11-05-22 | Flyers +168 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 168 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +160 @ Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Carter Hart should be back in goal for the Flyers in this one after getting a breather with Felix Sandstrom getting the last start. Note that the Flyers have yet to lose in regulation with Hart in goal. He has been fantastic this season and yet Ottawa is priced very high here. This is huge underdog value on Philly in my opinion. Yes, Cam Talbot is making his first start for the Senators after coming on in relief in the loss to the Golden Knights. However, coming on in relief in a game in which your team already allowed 5 goals is different than the situation here. The Sens are priced very high because the Flyers are still seen as one of the worst teams in the league. This is incredible line value here because Philly has been very competitive this season. They are on a 3-game losing streak but 2 of the losses were in OT and then the 3rd one at Toronto that was a 5-2 loss saw them down just 3-2 with under 8 minutes to go. Also, Hart did not play in that game. The Senators have lost 4 straight games by the way and none of those were in OT and they continue to allow too many goals. Is Talbot coming back from his rib injury going to fix all that? I don't think so either! And right now Flyers (when Hart is in goal) have been a lot better than the Senators this season in terms of goals allowed. Phenomenal underdog value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* PHILADELPHIA +160 |
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11-05-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 @ Kansas Jayhawks @ 3:30 ET - I know there are major questions at quarterback for both teams entering this one. I know the markets have moved toward Kansas in this game. I am happy to grab the extra value on a well-coached Oklahoma State team that is off a thoroughly embarrassing 48-0 loss last week. Keep in mind, the Cowboys have beaten the Jayhawks 12 straight times. Also, OSU was 6-1 SU and ATS prior to that loss last week to the Wildcats. The only loss that Okla St had suffered this season, prior to last week, was a defeat in double-OT. In other words, I feel we have seen a severe over-reaction to last week's result and we are getting value with a Cowboys team that is sure to come out angry and focused for this game. I know Jayhawks are better than past teams but their defense has been very bad too. Though Kansas enters this game off a bye, they had lost 3 straight games and by an average margin of 10 points per defeat before that week off. Lets not forget that OSU was a top ten team entering last week's game. They should bounce back strong here no matter the QB situation for either side. I know the emotion that Cowboys are going to bring to this team under coach Gundy! Look for the 12-0 run in favor of the Cowboys in meetings between these foes to make it 13 in a row! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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11-05-22 | Penn State -13.5 v. Indiana | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ 3:30 ET - Looks like most of the weather is going to move through before this game gets underway so this one is a go for me after having to wait it out a bit. Penn State should roll to a huge win here just like they did after losing badly at Michigan last month. The Nittany Lions turned around and rolled the Gophers. Yes this time the Lions are on the road and Indiana is off a bye week but this Hoosiers team has lost 5 straight games. This included a loss to Rutgers in their most recent game and they lost WR Cam Camper to a season-ending ACL injury in that one too! Sean Clifford had huge numbers for PSU versus Ohio State last week but also had turnover problems. He has been challenged by his head coach as a result of that and I expect he and this Penn State offense to attack a bad Hoosiers defense all day long in this one! On the other side of the ball, the Indiana offense has struggled in recent games and losing their top WR certainly will not help matters. The Hoosiers already have 3 losses by 14 or more points and this one should fall into this category as well. Be warned that there is a chance that Lions could start a little slow out of the gate, though I am not expecting that, but the Lions will come ROARING back either way as they are just too much for this bad Hoosiers team. 10* PENN STATE -13.5 |
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11-05-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Going for the bigger plus money here rather than playing this at Over 2 or 2.25 we will go over the 2.5 which is available in the +135 range! Why am I expecting at least 3 goals here? Well Universitatea Craiova has won 3 straight matches and scored 1.7 goals per match. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches but has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. Universitatea Craiova is the biggest favorite on the board of 3 matches today. That said, look for the visitors to score at least once but the hosts to find a way to get the victory. On their home pitch and favored heavily for a reason, Universitatea Craiova should get multiple goals here. The hosts are one of the top teams in the league this season and looking to make a move up the table so they will fight hard here for the full 3 points. 3 of their last 4 home matches have totaled at least 3 goals and that included a wild 4-3 win over Farul. Prior to shutting out Sepsi last week, Universitatea Craiova had allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches. That said, there is certainly reason to expect Universitatea Cluj to get on the scoresheet here. Look for at least 3 goals as an end result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova |
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11-05-22 | Leicester v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Leicester @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have been getting solid defense and goaltending. That said, this is a contrarian play but there is a key to it. Both clubs need to be more aggressive and go for the full 3 points here. Leicester is still in a relegation position at #18 and Everton is only 3 points above them in the table. Yes the season is only about a third of the way in but it is not too early to have some concerns about this. Each club has only 3 wins on the season. Only 2 clubs have less and that is Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton with 2 apiece and both of them are in relegation positions at #19 and #20. This is why I am expecting a 2-1 final here and feel we have excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals and no juice on the over. I totally understand the line but just saying there is reason to go contrarian here and the situation is filled with value in my opinion. Both of Everton's home matches in October went over the total. The last time these clubs met went over the total. I know Leicester has allowed only 1 goal in last 4 matches but look at their long-term road history. All 6 of their matches away from home have totaled at least 3 goals and those have averaged 5.2 goals apiece. So I know they have been keeping teams from scoring and Jordan Pickford has been great between the sticks for the hosts too with just 1 goal allowed last 3 matches but you can see why I love the over here. I have no hesitation in testing the 6-0 / 100% run of overs in Leicester's road matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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11-05-22 | Fulham v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Fulham @ 11 AM ET - Reports are that Haaland will be back for Manchester City for this one. Even if he is not, though I expect he will be, City has won all 6 home matches this season and is on very long winning streak at home across all competitions. Not only that, the 6 matches in league have averaged 5.5 goals apeice. As for Fulham, they are on the only club in the 20-team league that has both scored AND allowed 22 goals or more. Considering that factor plus the way that City plays when on their home pitch, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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11-04-22 | Oregon State v. Washington OVER 54 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 54 in Washington Huskies vs Oregon State Beavers @ 10:30 ET - This total has dropped a lot because of the weather forecast in Seattle. However, this game does not start until 7:30 ET local time. As luck would have it, the weather forecast is showing the heavier rain in the afternoon letting in up in the early evening. It actually may not even be raining at all when this game kicks off. Now weather can be tricky of course so there are no guarantees. But the point is that the expectation is very light showers to no rain at all during this game. It will have rained hard earlier in the day but the field here is AstroTurf and the playing conditions should be fine. There is some wind in the forecast but even those winds are subsiding to the 15 mph range by kickoff and down to 10 mph range during the game. The wind should not be a major factor either is the point. So lets take advantage of this now-lower total. The Beavers have allowed at least 27 points in all 3 of their road games this season. Now they face one of the best offenses in the nation and off a bye week. The Huskies have scored an average of 40 ppg this season but, other than allowing 6 points to an FCS program, Washington has also allowed 31 ppg this season in their other 7 games. With this line around a 4 that puts this game at 40-36 or 35-31 as you can see based on those numbers. Oregon State has scored 31 points per game last 3 games and I expect this one to get well into the 60s and 70s would not be a total shock either as you can see. 10* OVER 54 in Washington |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Pelicans are off an unbelieve, inexcusable OT loss at Los Angeles when they missed 2 free throws with under 2 seconds to go in the game. That then allowed the Lakers get off a 3 at the buzzer which did go in to force OT. After LA won the game in OT you know New Orleans is going to be extremely fired up here. Not only that, the Pelicans are getting back Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones for this game. Those reinforcements will help and what also helps is they are catching the Warriors in a back to back. Golden State has been getting good production from their starting five. But the Warriors bench has struggled and that means if the Warriors starters are worn out from the B2B than this one sets up to be very tough sledding for GS. Look for NO to take advantage. the Pelicans will run them right out of the arena and Golden State has been struggling defensively so this sets up for a big-time home blowout here. 10* NEW ORLEANS -4 |
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11-04-22 | Sabres +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Puck Line +1.5 goals -140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - This is an excellent situational spot that favors the road dog. I was really tempted to take Buffalo at big plus money on the money line but we'll go the safer route in case Carolina claws their way back to win this game late or in OT or SO and it ends up being a one-goal game. The key here is that the Sabres should get the jump on the Hurricanes off a huge win at Tampa Bay last night. Carolina got the tying goal in the 3rd period and then won the game in the shootout. Beating Vasilevskiy and the Lightning in Tampa is a big deal and I could see the Canes being flat here for this one and they are in the 2nd day of a B2B. By the way Carolina at -1.5 goals on the puck line would be 0-7 last 7 games as they have 4 wins by 1 goal (and only one of those wins was in regulation!) and they have 3 losses in this stretch. As for the Sabres at +1.5 goals on the season they would be 9-1 (90%) as they are 7-3 on the season and only 1 of their losses was by more than 1 goal. So here were are testing a spot for Buffalo that is 90% this season and also testing a go-against situation fading the Hurricanes that has worked in 7 straight games for a 100% run which favors the Sabres here as well. 10* BUFFALO +1.5 goals -140 |