Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-13-22 | AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester city vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Both clubs off 2-0 wins to open up the season with newly promoted Bournemouth winning in an upset. They face a much stiffer challenge here though and Manchester City is known for piling it on in home matches and I do not see them holding back here. Note they are favored by a 3-goal margin for a reason and I am expecting a 4-1 type affair in this one. The visitors have some confidence after last week's win and might find the back of the net once but City will be relentless at home and likely get to at least 4 goals here to push this one over all by themselves. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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08-13-22 | Leeds United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - Southampton continues to have major problems defensively. They also have gone to a 5-3-2 formation to emphasize the attack so I really do not expect things to slow down in their second match of the season. Southampton off a 4-1 loss at Tottenham and now will be hosting Leeds United after the visitors notched a 2-1 victory last week. I look for at least a 2-1 match to be the final result here and see excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals. Leeds allowed 2 goals per match in road matches last season but again the defense of the hosts in this match-up has been so porous. That is why a 2-2 draw would not surprise me here in what should be a highly entertaining and competitive affair. Either way, we should see at least 3 goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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08-12-22 | Twins v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins @ 9:38 ET - Action on pitchers. I will mention the pitchers here but this is more about the teams and lineups and current trending rather the starting pitchers. So first off lets talk about the fact the Twins are on a crazy run in road games in which 16 of their last 17 road games have totaled at least 8 runs. By the way, only 1 landed on 8 runs (the current total of this game). So the fact is if you had played over 8 in each of Minnesota's last 17 road games you had a 15-1-1 record! Now you know why I am not too worried about who the pitchers are. Yes, I know the Angels have a tendency to not score very well but they are at home here and have averaged 4 runs per game last dozen games. I am fully expecting at least a 5-4 final in this one as I expect both teams to fare well at the plate with the most likely result being double digits in runs scored. The Twins start recently acquired Mahle and he allowed 3 homers in his first start with Minnesota. Also, he has a 4.76 ERA in night games this season and has been hit 49 points higher under the lights compared to in day action. I know the Angels Sandoval has great numbers this season and is off a start in which he did not allow many hits but he did walk 4 plus hit a pair of batters. Keep in mind, all this after an 0-5 July in which he compiled a 6.20 ERA. This one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 8 in LA Angels |
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08-12-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton +1.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7:30 ET - Yes, Hamilton lost at Toronto last week but the Ti-Cats outgained the Argos and blew a 4th quarter lead. Toronto won the game courtesy of an INT returned for a TD and a punt returned for a TD. Yes I know that QB Dane Evans is out for Hamilton for this game and Matthew Shiltz is getting this start. He has been in the league for 5 seasons and I like him to get the job here. In fact, when in Montreal he was called upon for a spot start in a similar situation and played very well against these same Argonauts. Once again, look for him to beat Toronto here. The Tiger-Cats defense played well last week and the Argos defense got some key plays but overall allowed a lot more yardage than did the Ti-Cats. We have excellent line value here with the hungry home dog in this rivalry game and seeing the Argonauts where they want to be...first place in the division. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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08-12-22 | Jets v. Eagles +110 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles +110 @ New York Jets @ 7:30 ET - The spread on this game is a pick'em and as of very early gameday morning you can even find some even money and plus money on the money line with the home team Eagles here. I like the value here. This is the only home game that Philly has in the preseason. They are the better team and the deeper team. Yes this is preseason but the Eagles depth and overall team quality will shine through and I think they want to get a win here at home. Philly will not be home again until September 19th when, in week 2 of regular season, they host the Vikings. Again, this is only preseason but I expect a strong effort from the deeper team. The Jets were horrid as the season went on last year and ended up dead last in defensive categories and nearly dead last on offense too. New York is just a very bad team and the Eagles tied them last year and lost 6-0 the year before (in pre-season games) and they will get a little pre-season revenge this year. Those games were in New York and now they meet in Philly and the 3rd time is the charm. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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08-12-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. Arges OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -56 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Arges vs U Craiova 1948 @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs have seen their matches average 3 goals so far this season. Both clubs have seen all 4 matches total at least 2 goals and each club has seen 3 of their 4 matches total at least 3 goals. With both clubs off 2-1 losses last week, you know they will push extra hard for the victory this week. U Craiova 1948 has had only 1 draw in 4 matches this season and FC Arges has not had any match end in a draw this season. That said, and with it being unlikely that either club will deliver a clean sheet here, I see this match as having strong odds for ending up at least a 2-1 final and that puts us into the win column here! 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Arges |
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08-11-22 | Montreal +12 v. Winnipeg | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +12 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - The Blue Bombers are 9-0 on the season but have their first bye week of the season on deck. Don't be surprised if Winnipeg gets caught starting their bye week early. You see this so often with teams off to red hot starts in football and then they have an off week on deck that they are so excited about they get caught taking "off" a little bit too early. Yes, the Bombers just beat the Alouettes by 15 at Montreal last week but that game was tied at 14 entering the 4th quarter! Also, statistically there was not a huge gap between the two teams in that game but the bigger plays went the way of Winnipeg in that one. This is helping to give us line value here as this line is inflated and I fully expect the Als to give the Blue Bombers another challenging game and, this time, the underdog stays inside the number. 10* MONTREAL +12 |
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08-11-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
NFLX Thursday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +3.5 @ Baltimore Ravens @ 7:30 ET - It is a new year. Just like we saw the Hall of Fame Game go over the total after a history of being dominated by unders, there is a changing of the guard underway. The Ravens have long been known for preseason success as coach John Harbaugh has shown a hunger to win even in the games that do not count. However, this Baltimore team is not what it once was and, even if the Ravens win this game, I expect the margin of victory to be 3 or less points. Note that Baltimore has been a good team for many years in regular season too for sure, not just preseason. But last year they had an 8-9 SU record in the regular season and went 2-9 ATS as a favorite! The Titans went 12-5 SU last season and are now 23-10 SU last two regular seasons SU. As for ATS records, Tennessee went 6-1 ATS as an underdog last season and is now 9-2 ATS the last seasons as an underdog. Again, this is OF COURSE not a regular season game but I see value here with a high quality team catching more than a field goal against a team trending the wrong direction that is over-valued because of past pre-season successes. Like I said in the lead-in for this one, it is a new year! Don't get me wrong, Ravens still a high-quality team but so too are Titans and big value with the points here in my opinion. 10* TENNESSEE +3.5 |
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08-11-22 | Guardians v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Tigers expected to start rookie Garrett Hill and he is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in day games this season. Also, Hill made his MLB debut against Guardians on July 4th and it was a strong outing for him. Now will be the first time ever at the MLB level that he is making a 2nd appearance against a team he already faced. Historically these 2nd outings trend toward being much tougher than the first! Hill is off a respectable start as well but in between these 1st and 6th starts he had a 7.20 ERA over 4 starts and none of them were quality outings. As for the Guardians Zach Plesac, he is 1-7 with a 5.31 ERA in road starts this season. Also, Plesac was 0-4 with a 5.84 ERA last month and then he began August by losing again and getting hammered for 4 earned runs in about 4 innings of work. Also, the Tigers are facing him for the 3rd time this season and hit him harder in the 2nd one than the 1st one and I look for even more damage to be done in the 3rd one. Regardless of starting pitchers, again my pick is action, the Tigers last 12 home games had averaged 10 runs apiece prior to the 3-2 loss to Cleveland yesterday. Love the fact that yesterday's game was 3-2 after 4 innings but then stayed that way the rest of the game. Today's game makes up for that and the Guardians are 9-6 last 15 road games and the 9 wins saw Cleveland score an average of 7 runs per game. The 6 losses saw the Guardians allow an average of 5 per game. This total is only an 8.5 and is offering great value. 10* OVER 8.5 in Detroit |
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08-10-22 | Braves v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 105 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:10 ET - The Red Sox tend to hit much better at home. I look at their lineup and, yes, is not what it was in their heyday years of the past but it still has solid lumber in it for sure. That said, I like the over here with action on pitchers. The Braves continue to be one of the best teams in baseball and hit well. Boston tends to hit better when at home and should get the job done again here as well. Yesterday's game ended up a wild 9-7 extra-innings win for the Braves. The expected starting pitchers are Wright and Pivetta so I will touch on them here but they are not the key to the play. Wright allowed 6 earned runs in most recent start and Fenway Park is not an easy place to pitch. Pivetta has had a couple games recently where he has allowed less earned runs but still giving up quite a few hits. So looking at everything tells the full story and Pivetta has allowed 28 earned runs in 29 innings in last 6 starts. Also he has given up 46 hits in those 29 innings! The Red Sox have seen 5 straight games totaled at least 9 runs and the games have averaged 13 runs! The Braves have seen 16 of last 22 games total at least 9 runs. I realize this total is as high as a 9.5 but I still see double digits being attained in this game. The Braves favored for a reason and have scored an average of 7 runs per game in their 9 wins since the All Star break. Plus the Red Sox known for being dangerous hitting team at home. This should fly over the total. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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08-10-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -120 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 vs Miami Marlins @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. I know Alcantara is the expected starter for the Marlins here and he is having a huge season. I also know that Syndergaard is the expected starter for the Phillies here and he had some rough patches in his first start for his new team. However, I do expect Syndergaard to bounce back in better weather conditions for his 2nd start with his new club. Also, note that Alcantara will be making his 4th start against the Phillies this season. Familiarity oftentimes leads to success for the hitters. Case in point is that the Mets just faced him for a 4th time and got to him for 4 earned runs in 5 innings. In fact, that was part of a 3-start stretch, just prior to his most recent start, in which Alcantara allowed 8 earned runs over 19 innings. Perhaps he is wearing down a bit and we all know what Syndergaard is capable of on the mound and he is the fresher arm here. The biggest key, and the reason this play is action for me, is the overall team strength and lineups. Simply put, Miami just can not score runs! The Marlins are currently mired in a 2-8 stretch and have scored an average of only 1.7 runs in those 10 games! In fact, Miami has 12 losses since the All Star break and scored a TOTAL of only 16 runs in those 12 defeats! As for Philadelphia, it has been a red hot run of late. The Phillies have won 11 of 12 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game! 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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08-09-22 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 9:40 ET - This is a bit of a contrarian play because neither one of these teams known for being solid hitting clubs. However, I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers and would also not be surprised to see some 8.5 become available on this total which, of course, will give us even more value with this one. Either way, regardless of number and starting pitchers, I like the over here. Note that Pirates had averaged 5 runs per game and gone 4-2 last 6 games before being shutout yesterday. Pittsburgh scored an average of 6.5 runs in those 4 victories. As for the Diamondbacks, 5 of their last 6 games had totaled at least 9 runs before the 3-0 shutout win yesterday. Arizona has been solid at home for quite a stretch now and has won 8 of 10 home games since the All Star break plus scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 20 games as a host overall. They can score plenty here and the Pirates are going go surprise some people with runs here. Will just touch on the starting pitchers here but Tommy Henry 8-10 with a 4.57 ERA in his minor league career and allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his first MLB start. Zach Thompson 1-6 with a 6.47 ERA in his night game starts this season and he has been absolutely destroyed overall in his last 3 starts. 10* OVER 9 in Arizona |
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08-09-22 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 5-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs St Louis Cardinals @ 8:40 ET - Like so many other pitchers, Miles Mikolas does not have a good career history at Coors Field. That said, I like the over a ton here. Even if Mikolas does not start here and were Ryan Feltner not to start for the Rockies, I still like the over in this match-up. Take action on the pitchers. The fact is that Colorado has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game at home this season and the Cardinals come into this game red hot. St Louis has won 9 of 10 games and scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this hot stretch. The Cards had a 1-0 win in this stretch but have averaged 6.2 runs in the other 9 games. They are hot and Feltner is 1-4 with a 6.51 ERA in the 11 games (10 starts) in his MLB career. Mikolas has an ERA about a full run higher on the road than at home this season and each of the past two seasons before this his road ERA was at least 2 runs higher on the road than at home and the year before these it was a variance over 1.5 runs. The point is that he has always been better at home than on the road for many seasons now and pitching at Coors Field is tougher than any other venue in the bigs and this is particularly true on a warm late summer evening game. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, look for a slugfest in this one. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-08-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play New York Mets Run Line -1.5 -140 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:10 ET - Justin Dunn starts for Reds here. He makes his first MLB appearance of this season but at AAA level of the minors he went 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA in 7 starts while getting hard hard plus walking 16 in 26 innings. Chris Bassitt starts for the Mets here and he has a 3.06 ERA at home and deserves a better record than he has. He should get a W added to the win column here if he starts as he has allowed just 15 earned runs total in his last 8 starts and he has gone at least 6 innings in all those outings. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, I am making this bet with action, note that the Mets have won 12 of 14 games and are red hot with 11 of those 12 wins by at least a 2 run margin! I know the Reds have been winning lately too but they have not scored much with just 1 of those games being a strong game offensively out of last 7 and in the other 6 they averaged only 1.8 runs scored per game (not including extra innings). Cincinnati will not be able to keep up with potent Mets lineup here no matter who the pitchers are. 10* NEW YORK METS -1.5 -140 |
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08-08-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - The Orioles are off an 8-1 loss but had won 5 straight games before that and scored an average of 5.6 runs per victory. The Blue Jays are 10-5 last 15 games since the All Star break and have averaged 6.1 runs per game. Regardless of starting pitchers here (action on this play) I like the fact that both teams have been hot and they each have extra confident batting lineups as a result. About the starting pitchers, I will mention that Jordan Lyles allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings against Toronto earlier this season. Also, Yusei Kikuchi allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings against Orioles this season and the damage could have been even worse in that one and that was in Toronto and he'll face an even bigger challenge at Baltimore. Kikuchi is 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA in 9 road starts this season. Lyles also gave up 4 homers in 4 innings when he faced the Blue Jays last year too. So this is a problematic match-up for each starting pitcher but, regardless of starters, I look for both teams and therefore both lineups to stay hot in this one. 10* OVER 9.5 in Baltimore |
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08-08-22 | Farul Constanta v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 GOALS in FC Botosani vs Farul Constanta - These are two clubs and Botosani not afraid to risk on offensive end even at risk of getting in trouble on the counter-attack at the other end of the pitch. That is why Botosani conceded 2 goals in its other home match this season. The good news is Botosani scored 3 goals in that one for the win plus they have scored at least 1 goal in every single match this season. Farul Constanta scored 2 goals in each of first two matches to win both but now is coming off a frustrating scoreless draw with Chindia Targoviste last week. Undoubtedly Farul Constanta is going to push the pace in this one and look to get back onto the scoresheet early but Botosani certainly capable of doing the same. That said, this one has the makings of being one of the higher scoring matches this season and should get to at least 3. We certainly do not want a push at 2 goals but there is good chance we get to at least 2 goals here (though I am expecting much more). Note that 23 of 30 matches so far this season have totaled at least 2 goals so the ability to get an over 2 is a good value here. 10* OVER 2 in FC Botosani |
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08-08-22 | Voluntari +229 v. Hermannstadt | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play VOLUNTARI +219 @ HERMANNSTADT - The hosts for this one are having financial issues and they have a mess with their home stadium situation and are being forced to play home matches in a nearby city instead of their home city. Indeed, it is a frustrating situation for Hermannstadt. I know they have still managed to play decently this season but complications forced this match to be moved from Saturday to Monday and it is simply a bad situation for the hosts from one of the most beautiful cities in Romania, Sibiu, having to play home matches in Medias. Hermannstadt did enjoy a blowout win 3-0 to open the season with a big victory but it was over Mioveni which is the worst club in the league. Their other matches have been 1-1 draws and so I know they are undefeated this season but Voluntari can absolutely get the upset here. In fact Voluntari has won 2 of 3 matches this season and only has conceded one goal on the campaign. Too much value to pass up on with the big dog in this one. 10* VOLUNTARI +219 |
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08-07-22 | Giants v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:07 ET - These teams each reached double digits in hits in yesterday's 7-3 Giants win. Regardless of the pitchers today, I like the over. Action on pitchers here as the A's, prior to yesterday's 7-3 loss, had won 9 of 13 games and scored an average of 4.6 runs per game during this stretch. The Giants had lost 12 of 15 games before yesterday's win as SF had allowed 5.3 runs per game during that stretch. With the San Francisco bats waking up yesterday and the Oakland sticks enjoying more success in recent weeks, these teams will hit well again today. Now I will touch on the expected pitchers here. Logan Webb has allowed 10 earned runs in 11.1 innings in his last two starts and has a higher ERA in day games in comparison with night games. Adrian Martinez has struggled at the MLB level and that comes as no surprise as he struggled at the AAA level of the minors too. Martinez is 5-8 with a 5.44 ERA at the highest level of the minors and has a 6.52 ERA in his 4 MLB starts. More of the same likely here and the hitters are the story, regardless of who the starting pitchers here here, Sunday afternoon. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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08-07-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - The ability to get an 8 here is an excellent value. Regardless of pitchers, I like the fact the Blue Jays have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game since the All Star Break and the Twins have seen 9 of their 13 games since the All Star Break total double digits in runs! So, action on pitchers, but if you take a closer look at them here, you will like what you see. Chris Archer is off a good start for the Twins but his prior two were ugly and this is a guy whom is 0-4 with a 5.68 ERA in his day game starts this season. As for Kevin Gausman, he is off a fantastic outing but he got hit at a .356 clip in the month of July plus he allowed 10 earned runs in less than 16 innings over his 3 starts prior to Tuesday's gem at Tampa Bay. Should be no such gem here against a Twins team that hammered him for 9 hits in a start that lasted less than 4 innings for Gausman in early June. Take advantage of the low total here as these are two solid lineups that absolutely can explode for big runs here and I love the way both teams have been trending in terms of runs scored as well. 10* OVER 8 in Minnesota |
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08-07-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Nationals @ 1:35 ET - With a huge 11-5 blowout win yesterday after a 7-2 rout win Friday over the Nationals, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they get a rock solid Aaron Nola on the mound (3-1 with 2.33 ERA and .185 BAA in his 6 day starts) and they continue to take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Cory Abbott has disastrous numbers at the AAA level and very little experience at the MLB level. Last year he was 5-6 with a 5.91 ERA at the AAA level. This season on the mound for AAA clubs for the Cubs first and now Washington he has gone a combined 0-5 with a 4.98 ERA. Regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-42 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-41 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be another home blowout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained ice cold. It is worth laying the price as the Phillies have won 9 of 10 overall plus have dominated the Nationals this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -145 |
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08-07-22 | Manchester City v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - You have to lay some juice to have the 2.5 in this one and normally I do not lay much juice but I do recommend it in this case just like yesterday's play involving Tottenham. Yes that one ended up totaling 5 goals but it was still some extra comfort having the over 2.5 rather than an over 3 and knowing we had cashed it by the time the match was only about 1/3 of the way in! In this one Sunday we have an excellent fixture as West Ham is solid on their home pitch, made some key off-season acquisitions, and is capable of matching goals with Manchester City. Yes City was the top club in the league last season and is the highest-scoring club. They are not known for conceding many goals but a fixture at a solid West Ham club is not easy and I expect the Hammers to make the net ripple once if not twice in this one. I am truly projecting 4 goals here and certainly expect at least 3 goals as this match should get to 2-1 at some point. The last 3 meetings between these clubs in premier league action were able to reach the 3 goal mark and the most recent one reached 4 goals in a 2-2 draw. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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08-07-22 | CFR Cluj v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs CFR Cluj @ 11:30 AM ET - 21 of 27 matches so far this season have totaled at least 2 goals so the ability to get an over 2 is a good value here. I also like the fact that Chindia Targoviste was shutout last week in a surprising scoreless draw with Farul. Clubs that are off a match in which they were handed a clean sheet by their opponent have shown a strong tendency to be in a high-scoring match the very next week. It is logical of course because after being held scoreless, clubs put a little extra emphasis on being on the attack in the next week. So in this case Chindia Targoviste responds but note that CFR Cluj was the best club in the league last season and is again looking very strong early this season. CFR Cluj is scoring an average of 2 goals per match thus far. That said, I am looking for this match to get to 1-1 and then a deciding goal to be scored for a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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08-07-22 | UTA Arad v. Sepsi OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -127 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Sepsi vs UTA @ 9 AM ET - 21 of 27 matches so far this season have totaled at least 2 goals to the ability to get an over 2 is a good value here. I also like the fact that UTA was shutout last week. Clubs that are off a match in which they were handed a clean sheet by their opponent have shown a strong tendency to be in a high-scoring match the very next week. It is logical of course because after being held scoreless, clubs put a little extra emphasis on being on the attack in the next week. So in this case UTA responds but note that Sepsi is scoring an average of 2.3 goals per match thus far. That said, I am looking for this match to get to 1-1 and then a deciding goal to be scored for a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 in Sepsi |
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08-06-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 51 | Top | 14-46 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 51 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - Edmonton had been playing a little better prior to a 24-10 loss to Winnipeg prior to their bye week last week. The Elks certainly want revenge here as they got hammered 59 to 15 at BC earlier this season. I do expect, rested and off a bye week and playing better overall than earlier this season, the Elks will put up a fight here. However, the problem is that BC has been rolling on offense all season and now gets WR Burnham back for this one too. That said, the Lions are going to be hard to stop in this one. BC is averaging 35 points per game this season. The line on this game is around a 10 and the Elks are allowing 35 points per game this year. That said, 35-25 sounds about right here and that puts this total close to 60. The fact is the Lions have allowed 26 points per game last 4 game and I know Edmonton is hell bent on being competitive here after how ugly the first meeting was. The Elks will have to score well to compete here and hence that is why I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 51 in BC |
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08-06-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:10 ET - Boston has won 4 of 6 and averaged scoring about 5 runs per game in the 4 victories. Kansas City has seen 6 of their last 8 games total at least 10 runs and those 6 have actually averaged a dozen runs per game. That is why, regardless of starting pitchers here, I do like the over in this match-up. The Red Sox are expected to start Nathan Eovaldi and he began August with a good start but this was after going 3 starts without a win in July and he had an 11.08 ERA for the month. Daniel Lynch the expected starter for KC here and the Royals lefty has gone 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA in his 6 home starts this season. He had a strong April but it has been all downhill for Lynch ever since. Regardless of the starters, the bats stay hot here in this game and it should fly over the total with favorable weather for an over also expected at Kaufmann Stadium for this one. 10* OVER 9 in Kansas City |
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08-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Toronto | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Hamilton is looking up in the division standings at Toronto and they have extra motivation here and are the better defense. The Tiger-Cats have allowed just 19 points per game in their 3 games since a bye week. As for Toronto, they have allowed 29 points per game last 5 games. This is a value spot because the Ti-Cats are winless in road games this season but, in my opinion, are the better team and that is precisely why the odds makers have priced this game the way they have. The road team is a very small dog for a reason and I sense an upset here but will grab the couple points being offered just in case. 10* HAMILTON +2 |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -125 vs Washington Nationals @ 6:05 ET - With a huge 7-2 blowout win yesterday over the Nationals, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they get a red hot Ranger Suarez on the mound (0.00 ERA last 3 starts) and they continue to take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Corbin is having a disastrous season on the mound for Washington and has been particularly poor on the road this year. Regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-41 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-40 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be another home blowout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained ice cold. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -125 |
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08-06-22 | Steaua Bucharesti -0.75 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -127 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Saturday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line -0.5 -127 @ CS Mioveni @ 7 ET - We get line value here because Football Club Steaua Bucharesti is winless on the season, just like CS Mioveni, but is on the road for this one so we get a manageable goal line. I will not hesitate to step in and get involved here. Yes FCSB still seeking first win but at least they have been somewhat competitive. Mioveni, on the other hand, has been totally blown out in all 3 matches and has lost each by a multiple goal margin. The hosts for this one have been outscored 9-2 this season and I look for a very hungry visitor to take advantage of facing a downtrodden host and get the road win here. 10* FCSB Goal Line -0.5 -127 |
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08-06-22 | Southampton v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - You have to lay some juice to have the 2.5 in this one and normally I do not lay much juice but I do recommend it in this case. Tottenham will look to start the season big on their home pitch but Southampton is known for getting involved in high-scoring games and will not go down without a fight here. I am truly projecting 4 goals here and certainly expect at least 3 goals as this match should get to 2-1 at some point. The Hotspur averaged scoring about 2 goals per match last season while the Saints conceded nearly 2 goals per match on average as well. Tottenham is off a defeat in their final club friendly prior to this season but scored an average of 3 goals per match in their other 3 club friendlies prior to this season. Southampton saw each of their 3 club friendly matches total at least 3 goals and the matches averaged 3.7 goals. The last five meetings between these clubs have averaged 4.4 goals and only 1 of the 5 failed to reach the 3 goal mark. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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08-05-22 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -125 or 7 +105 in Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels @ 10:10 ET - We get a very low total here because of the fact neither one of these lineups is particularly impressive right now plus the fact that Sandoval and Ray each certainly carry solid reputations as starting pitchers in the betting markets. As we dive into this one you will see why I think we have fantastic line value here with this low total and I am going with a big play here as a result. Sandoval actually has allowed 38 hits in less than 30 innings over his last 6 starts! He went 0-5 with a 6.20 ERA in the month of July! As for Ray, he has been destroyed in each of his last two starts and one of those was at home too. Granted those outings were against Houston but I think the Angels can do plenty of damage against him here as well. Los Angeles is off an 8-7 yesterday and that was the 2nd time in 5 games they reach 7 runs scored. Also, the Angels are 3-1 in last 4 road games and scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in those 3 victories. The LA bullpen has had issues and that is part of the reason LA has allowed at least 7 runs in 6 of 13 games since the break! As for Seattle, they have averaged 7.5 runs in winning each of their past 2 games so they have momentum after the solid performance in the Bronx against the Yankees. 5 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 9 runs and I like the over in this Mariners games no matter who the pitchers are. 10* OVER 6.5 -125 or over 7 +105 in Seattle |
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08-05-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 8.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies @ 9:40 ET - The Diamondbacks Bumgarner has been rock solid at home this season. In fact, taking out the one tough home start he had (versus Dodgers), Bumgarner has allowed a total of only 16 earned runs in 10 starts at home this season. As for the Rockies Marquez, his numbers overall are inflated because of pitching at Coors Field for his home starts. On the road he is quite solid and also he has been rock solid against the Diamondbacks this season too. Just 9 hits allowed in 13 innings at Arizona for Marquez. Regardless of the pitchers here I do like the under as Colorado, yesterday at San Diego notwithstanding, normally does not score well on the road. The Rockies had scored an average of just 2.2 runs per game last 5 games prior to the win yesterday over the Padres. As for Arizona, they have lost 5 of 6 and scored an average of just 2.4 runs (not including extra innings run) in those 5 losses. 10* UNDER 8.5 in Arizona |
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08-05-22 | Calgary v. Ottawa OVER 50 | Top | 17-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play OVER 50 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7:30 ET - Ottawa is off their first win of the season and it came by a 23-13 final. That Redblacks defense must really be firing on all cylinders, right? Hardly! Ottawa actually allowed 340 passing yards in that game and was very fortunate to only allow 13 points. The fact is that the Redblacks entered that game allowing an average of 27.5 points per game and they are in trouble here against an angry Stampeders team. Calgary is off their 2nd loss of the season to Winnipeg and there is no shame in that as the Blue Bombers remain undefeated on the season and are now 9-0 on the year! I love the fact that Calgary is averaging 31.5 points per game on offense this season and they will be relentless here and put up big points. However, I also expect the Redblacks to hang around in this game and score plenty. Keep in mind, the Stamps had one game this season in which they allowed only 6 points but in their other 5 games they have allowed an average of 28.2 points per game. Evans is off a strong game at QB for the Redblacks so the entire offense has more confidence here and this one should turn into a shootout as a result. 10* OVER 50 in Ottawa |
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08-05-22 | Arsenal -123 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Friday EPL 10* Top Play Arsenal Money Line -123 @ Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Arsenal has looked great in the competitions leading into this regular season opener. Crystal Palace has issues in goal right now. This has the makings of a rout for the visitors and they also seek revenge for losing 3-0 to Crystal Palace when these clubs met in April. Note that between club friendly action and a match in the Emirates Cup, Arsenal is 5-0 last 5 by a combined score of 20 to 4. Crystal Palace also has fared well in club friendly action with a 3-1-1 mark but overall 12-8 margin in those matches. That coupled with some concerns in goal for the hosts has me all over the visitors in this London Derby affair. 10* ARSENAL -123 |
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08-05-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Universitatea Cluj +120 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday Soccer 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj Money Line +120 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - This is a battle of two winless clubs but there are two key factors here favoring Universitatea Cluj in this match. One is the fact this match-up is taking place on their home pitch. However, the other is simply the fact that it is hard to win if you can not score goals and, so far this season, Petrolul Ploiesti is the lowest scoring club in the league with just one goal in three matches. Universitatea Cluj has 3 goals on the season and has earned a pair of draws but now coming off a 3-1 beatdown last week. That sets this one up well for a hungry host to get their first victory of the new season over a struggling Petrolul Ploiesti club that has been outscored 4 to 1 so far in this campaign. 10* UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ +120 |
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08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars OVER 30.5 | Top | 27-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
NFLX Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 30.5 in Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8 ET in HOF Game in Canton, OH - This is a road game for both teams of course because it is a neutral site game. Note that last pre-season saw the Raiders two road games both total at least 33 points. 2020 there was no preseason. 2019, the Raiders had two road games and a neutral site game. All 3 of those games away from home totaled at least 32 points. So this is a 5-0 situation for Las Vegas in terms of NFLX games away from home totaling at least 32 points. As for the Jaguars, both their road preseason games (and their home game for that matter) all totaled at least 36 points with the two roadies both totaling at least 34 points! So the point is that we have a double perfect situation here with 5-0 L5 for the Raiders and a 3-0 L3 for Jacksonville. This one gets to at least 32 (but I expect much more) and yet we are working with a total of only 30.5 points because of the reputation of the HOF game to be a low-scoring grinder. This total has ended up too low in the markets in my opinion. Keep in mind, each team has new head coaches and Pederson is an offensive-minded coach and former NFL QB and McDaniels was the offensive coordinator of the Patriots for more than a decade. No matter who is on the field here, yes a lot of unknowns, there will be more offense than most are expecting given all of the above. Keep in mind, Jags have allowed 24 points per game last 7 NFLX and Raiders allowed 23 points per game L5 NFLX non-home games. 10* OVER 30.5 in Hall of Fame Game |
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08-04-22 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox @ 8:10 ET - The Royals are likely to pound Pivetta here. The Red Sox right-hander has just had a disastrous July in which he went winless in 5 starts and had a 9.38 ERA and he got hammered at a .371 clip. Boston also should have the sticks going tonight as Bubic starts for KC and is 1-4 with a 6.32 ERA in home games and 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA in night games this season. Bubic has been hit at around a .300 clip at home and in night games. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, note that Boston has gone 3-7 last 10 road games and allowed 6.2 runs per game during stretch. The Royals have allowed 6.5 runs per game last 6 games. So not exactly stellar bullpen work going on for either one of these clubs and the Royals now back home where they have gone 7-5 last dozen games and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in those 7 victories. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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08-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - After this week is in the books Winnipeg will be the only team that still has not had a bye week as Saskatchewan is finally getting theirs this week and some teams have already had multiple bye weeks. That said, the undefeated Blue Bombers are in a bit of a tough spot here. Winnipeg is on short rest and pretty worn out for this Thursday game considering the huge effort that has gone into their season thus far. With consideration to that, I love the home dog Montreal here. The Als have played only 2 home games so far this season and no team has fewer. So they have had a bit of a tough schedule, to say the least, and though only 1-1 at home, one was a 1-point loss to a West Division team and the other was a 37-13 win over a West Division team. That said, the Alouettes fully capable of hanging tough with Winnipeg here and will do just that. An outright upset will not be a shock to me but I am grabbing the generous points here as added insurance. 10* MONTREAL +5.5 |
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08-04-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -112 vs Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - With rallying for a 3-1 win yesterday over the Braves, Philly continues to build momentum. Before too much longer, Harper is expected back in the lineup for the Phillies and they have maintained a wild card spot even with him out of the lineup. This speaks volumes to the fact this Philly team has a solid clubhouse and is building momentum. Now they see newly acquired Syndergaard make his Phillies debut tonight and they can take on the NL East punching bag otherwise known as the Nationals. Espino has been rather unimpressive this season on the mound for Washington and, regardless of the pitchers here, I am going with the home team run line in this one. The Nationals are 17-39 against teams with a winning record this season and also an incredibly poor 9-38 in divisional games this season. This one sets up well to be a road rout as Philly has been hot and the Nats have remained cold. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -112 |
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08-03-22 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 9:45 ET - Action on pitchers. This is a contrarian play because Julio Urias is on the mound for the Dodgers and he has solid numbers this season and has been strong against the Giants. What I like about San Francisco here is they have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of last 6 games. Similar to yesterday's 9-5 LA win I feel we will see plenty of runs scored here. The Giants last 6 games with the Dodgers have totaled an average of 10.3 runs per game. San Francisco has scored an average of 5 runs per game last dozen home games. The Dodgers have been swinging hot bats and averaging 6.5 runs per game last 19 games! That is why I don't care who the pitchers are here but I will mention that the Giants are expected to go with Alex Cobb. He has some good numbers recently but does struggle when facing more potent lineups. The Dodgers are a case in point as Cobb just allowed 4 earned runs in less than 6 innings in his most recent start against them. 10* OVER 7.5 in San Francisco |
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08-03-22 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers @ 1:10 ET - Decent winds in Minneapolis expected for this one and I feel that will help the ball carry a little better than usual too. Alexander the expected starter for the Tigers and he has not fared well as a starter, has struggled more on the road, and struggled in day games. It all adds up to a huge game at the plate for the Twins. As for Minnesota starter Ryan, the problem is that he just got destroyed and allowed 5 homers in his most recent start. Yes he was previously throwing quite well but I know that all the long balls just have to be in the back of his mind entering this one and the Tigers have been hitting decently of late. In fact, that is why I like the over here regardless of who the starting pitchers end up being. Detroit averaging 4.3 runs per game last 9 games but allowing 5 runs per game in going 3-8 last 11 games prior to yesterday's win. The Twins had seen 8 straight games total at least 9 runs prior to the last 3 games not reaching that number. Still 2 of those 3 got to 8 and I like this one to get to double digits as Minny has scored an average of 6.5 runs per game last 4 times they were off a loss in which they were held to 3 or less runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Minnesota |
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08-03-22 | Phillies +123 v. Braves | Top | 3-1 | Win | 123 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +123 @ Atlanta Braves @ 12:20 ET - The Phillies got destroyed 13 to 1 yesterday. Now they hand the ball to staff ace Zack Wheeler who is 9-2 with a 2.05 ERA his last 16 starts after he began the season in early April with a rare rough patch. He has dominated practically ever since. As for Charlie Morton, the veteran has great long-term numbers but the Phillies have hit him hard this season and it continues here. Regardless of the pitchers, I like Philly here as they had won 5 straight before that loss yesterday and will bounce back off the destruction. 10* PHILADELPHIA +123 |
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08-02-22 | Orioles v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:05 ET - Spencer Howard off a decent start for the Rangers but he entered that start with a 7.11 ERA and getting hit at a .306 clip on the season. Jordan Lyles got hammered in his most recent road start and that was the 5th time he has been hammered in his last 7 away from home. Lyles allowed 4 or more earned runs in 4 of last 6 away from home. Regardless of the pitching match-up here, I do like the over as the Orioles are off a 7-2 win yesterday and, other than a shutout loss to the Yankees, have averaged 4.6 runs per game in their other 10 games since returning from the break. Also, keep in mind, Baltimore had average 5.2 runs per game in going 11-2 in their final 13 games before the break as well. The Rangers had won 3 of 4 overall and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game before yesterday's ugly loss. Also, yesterday's 7-2 home loss was the 9th time last 12 home games that a Texas home game totaled at least 9 runs. The Rangers averaged 5.4 runs in their last 10 home games prior to scoring just 2 runs yesterday. Like the value with this low total no matter who is on the mound as I expect the high-scoring trends noted above to continue. 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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08-02-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-13 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line +1.5 -105 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - A lot of value here with Phillies +1.5 runs. Philadelphia is on a 34-18 run overall and plus 5 of their 10 most recent losses have been by just a single run! In fact, 21 of the Phillies last 26 games have been either outright wins or a loss by a single run. Good value here with the +1.5 as this is a match up of two hot teams but the Braves appear to be a little over-priced here. PHI has won 5 straight games and ATL has won 3 in a row. Philadelphia has averaged 5.4 runs per game last 7 games. Atlanta has averaged scoring just 3.4 runs per game last 7 games. I will challenge the hosts to win this game by more than a single run as I envision a tight battle all the way. The Phillies just faced Strider and should enjoy more success in the quick second look at him. Nelson has allowed only 1 earned run in the 6.1 innings spanning his last 3 road appearances for the Phillies. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -105 |
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08-01-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starers are Michael Kopech versus Brad Keller. More on them in a minute. What I like about this play is the fact the Royals last 13 road games have featured 9 that have totaled at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged totaling 12.3 runs per game so it is not like they are just squeaking over the total. As for the White Sox, they are off B2B low-scoring wins over an A's team that is just not known for much scoring. However, prior to Chicago's last 2 games totaling just 5 runs apiece, the White Sox saw 9 of 11 games total at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged 10.4 runs per game. You can see why multiple signs point to an over here regardless of the pitchers. The expected pitching match-up is Kopech versus Keller as noted above. Kopech has good overall numbers on the season but has been walking too many of late and this led to a 1.82 WHIP in July. Overall his last 7 starts have seen him go 2-4 and he has a 6.19 ERA last 3 home starts. As for Keller, he has also has been struggling with walks allowed in last 2 starts and, overall, has been hit hard in 3 of his last 4 starts. Keller is 3-7 with a 4.83 ERA in night starts this season. Both teams should have plenty of scoring opportunities in this one and, like so often of late with these clubs, look for a total of at least 9 runs in this one but really double digits quite likely. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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08-01-22 | Botosani v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Hermannstadt vs Botosani @ 1:30 ET - Of course a push is not a desired result but the fact that 18 of the first 23 matches this season in the SuperLiga in Romania have totaled at least 2 goals shows you the value in having the 2 goals with a play on the over. Also, having watched the matches last week involving these two clubs, the scoring opportunities were certainly there for much more than what rippled the net in Hermannstadt's 1-1 draw and Botosani's 1-0 win. Remember too that each one of these clubs scored 3 goals in their victories in week 1. Now, in the final match of the week 3 slate, this is a battle for first place. If these clubs avoid a draw then the winner of this one will get the full 3 points in the standings and move into first place. That said, I am fully expecting each team to again get on the scoresheet as they have done so far this season and I look for both teams to push hard for the extra points in the table and that means nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion. Remember Hermannstadt scored 3 goals in their only match this season and I remember Botosani's 3-2 week 1 win versus Chindia Targoviste was a wild match with so many scoring opportunities. Don't let last week's 1-0 Botosani victory fool you. They have not fixed all their defensive shortcomings but, at the same time, they can attack newly promoted Hermannstadt and do some damage here on the road. Prior to that 1-0 Botosani win their last 4 matches in league action averaged totaling 4 goals! 10* OVER 2 in Hermannstadt |
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07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - The Redblacks will keep going hard here as they remain the only winless team in the CFL. In fact, every other team has at least 2 wins this season! As for Ottawa, a big problem is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game in their 4 games since they had a bye in Week 3. As for Toronto, they have scored at least 30 points each of their last two games but have allowed 28 points per game last 4 games. You can see, given these numbers, why I am expecting this game to get into the 50s. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto |
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07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox -1.5 -125 vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers because the White Sox just so much better than the A's and I am comfortable backing Chicago no matter what here. However, the expected starting pitching match-up certainly does not hurt us! Dylan Cease and Adam Oller at different ends of the spectrum from sure. Cease has gone 6-1 with one no decision in his last 8 starts. Incredibly, Cease has allowed a TOTAL of ONLY 3 runs in these 8 starts and he went at least 5 innings in each start and averaged 6 innings per start. As for Oller, he has been okay out of the bullpen this season but has been back in the rotation again this month and the struggles have continued. Oller is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA in his 6 starts this season! Better team, better lineup, home field edge, and the expected starting pitching match-up features two guys at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5 -125 |
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07-31-22 | Mets v. Marlins OVER 7 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets @ 1:40 ET - Being a contrarian is something that has served me well through the years and I expect that to be the case again here. Action on pitchers. The expected pitchers are Walker and Lopez. No matter who pitches I like the over after the Marlins got shutout yesterday. The Marlins Lopez had trade rumors flying around him and certainly this could have taken a toll on him. Though off a quality start it was his first since early this month and he did get hammered by the Mets in mid-June. I know he had success against him since then in a start but New York enters this game having won 5 straight games and scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game. The Marlins have averaged 5 runs per game this season when off a shutout loss and they respond big here. Taijuan Walker has been solid for the Mets but he did allow 8 hits in 6 innings in his only start at Miami this season. More of the same here and, regardless of pitchers, Mets stay hot at the plate as they go for 6 straight wins and the Marlins respond off the home shutout. 10* OVER 7 in Miami |
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07-31-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters Hill and Berrios. Note that Hills is unproven at the MLB level and the inexperienced hurler has a 7.20 ERA last 3 starts. I know Berrios is a rock solid pitcher overall but he has allowed 28 hits in 23 innings in home starts in July. Also, Berrios has a 6.02 ERA in day games this season. The Tigers actually had 10 hits in yesterday's loss and have been swinging the bats better overall of late. The Blue Jays are a very dangerous lineup and this is particularly true at home. After some games falling just short of the over so far in this series look for this one to fly over the total. Toronto has a breakout game and the Tigers scratch more runs than many are expecting here. Detroit has scored an average of 5 runs per game last 6 games. 10* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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07-31-22 | Sepsi v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Sunday Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 2 -124 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi @ 11 AM ET - There are 16 clubs in the SuperLiga. Of those 16, entering Sunday, half of them have played 3 matches and the other half have played 2 matches thus far. Plenty of opportunities to score at least 1 goal. The only team that has yet to make the net ripple is Petrolul Ploiesti. Now, at home and hosting a Sepsi club that allowed 2 goals in its only road match this season, look for the hosts to finally get on the board. However, also note that this Sepsi club is off a 4-0 victory last week and scored 2 goals in its opening week draw. The visitors are piling up goals and the hosts are very hungry here. That said, and with this total available at 2 goals, I will not hesitate to step out with a top play on this one. 10* OVER 2 -124 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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07-30-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Oakland A's @ 7:15 ET - The White Sox have seen 8 of last 9 games total at least 9 runs and that includes 6 of 7 since the All-Star break. The A's won yesterday's match-up 7-3 and have now won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game. Oakland has putrid numbers on offense for the season but they actually have been hitting better since even before the All-Star break when they won 3 of last 5 games before the break plus averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game the final 6 games before the break. That is why, regardless of the pitchers here, I like the over in this match-up. However, I will mention the expected starters are Cueto versus Blackburn. Note that Cueto has been solid overall but does have an ERA two runs higher at home compared to on the road this season. Also, Blackburn is enduring a very rough stretch with 6 of his last 7 starts being tough. Blackburn gave up 8 hits in 5.1 innings back in a mid-June start but was fortunate to escape major damage in that one. Since then though his poor form is reflecting in an ERA climb from a 2.26 on the season to a 4.35 ERA now with getting clobbered in 5 of last 6 starts. More of the same expected here but, again, action on pitchers here for me. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - The Stampeders ran the ball for over 100 yards but QB Bo Levi Mitchell had a rare bad performance at Winnipeg two weeks ago after starting the season strong. That said, coming off a bye week and now back home, Calgary will get much stronger QB play here. However, there also is no slowing down a Winnipeg team that is undefeated on the season and had over 300 yards through the air in the big win two weeks ago. The Blue Bombers are off a bit of a ho-hum 24-10 victory at Edmonton last week but know they must do much more on offense against this talented Calgary team this week. That was a "sandwich game" for the Bombers after beating the Stamps at home the prior week and then knowing they had this game on deck to again face the Stampeders. The set up is a good one for plenty of points and the Stamps are averaging 32 points per game this season. Winnipeg has averaged 28 points per game last 5 games. This one should get well into the 50s given all of the above. 10* OVER 46 in Calgary |
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07-30-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -130 vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:07 ET - The Tigers are off the big upset win of the Jays 4-2 yesterday. However, Detroit is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a win and every single loss in that run was by at least a 2-run margin. In fact, the combined score of those 5 games was 29 to 9. Look for the Tigers to again get blasted in that situation here as, prior to yesterday's win, Detroit was 4-13 last 17 games! The Blue Jays are 3-0 last 3 times when off a loss. Prior to yesterday's loss, Toronto was 10-2 last 12 games. Toronto so strong against bad teams while Tigers so bad on the road. Also, 50 of Detroit's 60 losses this season by 2 or more runs. The expected pitching match-up is Stripling (5-2 last 7 decisions) versus Hutchison (1-4 this season) but, no matter the pitchers, this is simply a case the home team should roll huge in a bounce back spot! Action on pitchers. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -130 |
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07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +115 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +115 vs BC Lions @ 9 ET - The Lions are still over-rated in my opinion. Yes they are 4-1 on the season but they have played only one road game so far. Also, in their last divisional game they allowed 43 points. In the only road game BC has had they allowed 31 points and that was at Ottawa and the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Every other team now has at least two wins. As for the Roughriders, they are traditionally one of the best home teams in the league but coming off a home loss last week in a game that got away from them late versus Toronto. They had been 3-0 at home on the season and Saskatchewan should bounce back here with the expected return of QB Cody Fajardo also. Love the long-term home records of the Riders and the fact that the Lions have been a pleasant surprise this season and are a bit over-rated as a result and so we get line value here as a result. You can grab the 1 and 1/2 points or 2 points if you want but I really do not think we'll need any points and I am going with the money line here. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +115 |
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07-29-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Coming right back with the same play I successfully used yesterday. As noted yesterday, the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. After getting shutout at home yesterday, Colorado bounces back at the plate today while the Dodgers again pile up big runs like they did in yesterday's 13-0 outburst. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. They got shutout by Chad Kuhl here at the end of last month. Now it is time for payback. Kuhl has been struggling badly ever since that start. Likewise, Julio Urias is off a surprisingly good start the last time he pitched at Coors Field but this followed a lot of struggles in recent starts at Coors Field including one this season and multiple ones last season. No matter the pitchers, the Dodgers bats stay hot and the Rockies bats bounce right back on their home field. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 7:20 ET - Action on pitchers because the key here is two hot lineups. Bumgarner has struggled all season on the road and now faces a red hot Braves lineup in this one. Wright has been pitching very well for the Braves but he has been hit harder in a number of starts the past 6 weeks as has been fortunate he got out of a number of jams. Wright had one start in his last 7 where he pitched more than 4 innings and allowed 3 or less hits. However, in his other 6 starts since mid-June, Wright has given up 46 hits in 34 and 1/3 innings. I feel we have good value here with this low total. The Braves have seen EACH of their last ELEVEN games total at least 9 runs so here we are testing a streak that is 11 in a row! The Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in going 5-1 in their 6 games since the All-Star break. The Braves have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 10 games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Atlanta |
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07-29-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Farul Constanta OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Soccer Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste @ 2:30 ET - Lot of scoring opportunities for each club in their matches last week that were not cashed in and that is why each club was involved in matches that ended with 2 goals rather than 3 or more. Look for this week to make up for that. Farul is playing this match with double revenge and hell bent on putting some goals on the board after they were handed a clean sheet by Chindia in each match last season! Keep in mind, Chindia only won 6 of their other 28 matches last season while Farul only lost 8 of their other 28 matches last season. The point is that those results last season were a bit of an anomaly to say the least. Farul is already 2-0 this season and has a solid shot at getting the job done on their home pitch here in week 3 of the new season. However, I would not be surprised to see Chindia answer them goal for goal. The visitors scored 3 goals in the two meetings last season. Also, Chindia enters this match having scored an average of 2 goals per match their last 3 regular season matches. However, they also allowed 3 goals in their only road match so far this season. I am looking for a 2-1 or even 2-2 type match here though a 3-2 final also would not surprise me in the least. A lot of scoring opportunities generated and conceded by these two clubs so far this season. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2 in Farul Constanta |
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07-28-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 12 runs in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Someone knows something. You have, I am sure, heard that expression before and it definitely applies here. This total opened up at an 11.5 and is up to a solid 12 across the board. This is even though Urena has a 3.13 ERA for the Rockies and Anderson is 10-1 with a 2.79 ERA. In other words, don't let the numbers fool you. This game is going over the total. So, if you look deeper, Urena is fortunate to have that low ERA and starting to show signs he is about to get crushed and I am sure the potent Dodgers lineup can be the one to inflict the damage here. As for Anderson his only loss this season was at Coors Field and he gave up 4 earned runs in 6 innings in that one. The damage could have been worse for Anderson in that one as he got two double plays and one was a line drive double play. He got hit hard and I expect more of the same here and the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. 10* OVER 12 in Colorado |
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07-28-22 | Montreal v. Hamilton -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are the much better team defensively and deserved a better fate last week at BC. Montreal rallied late to win at Ottawa last week but their defense continues to struggle. Hamilton has allowed an average of 24 points last 4 games. The Alouettes have allowed an average of 35 points last 3 games. Also, Ti-Cats are 15-4 SU in home games dating back to 2019 season. The Alouettes, even with last week's rare road win, are on a 12-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. Home field edge and situational edge (hungry off loss and facing opponent off win) and the better defense. As a result, I have no hesitation in challenging the Als to win two straight road games! 10* HAMILTON -3 |
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07-28-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 7:07 ET - The Tigers Alexander is getting hit at over a .300 clip on the season in road games and has hardly started this season as he has mostly worked out of the pen. The Blue Jays Kikuchi has been hit at a .300 clip since late May as he just has not been right and I expect his struggles to continue here. The Tigers have seen 3 of last 4 road games total at least 9 runs. Detroit enters this game having scored an average of 6.7 runs last 3 games and, prior to a 4-3 win yesterday, the Tigers had seen 4 straight games total at least 10 runs. The Blue Jays had won 7 straight games before yesterday's 6-1 loss. Toronto has scored at least 6 runs in 6 of last 8 victories. More of the same on tap here and both teams score well regardless of the pitching match-up. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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07-26-22 | White Sox v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
MLB 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies are 6-4 last 10 games and had averaged 6.3 runs per game prior to yesterday's low-scoring 2-0 win at Milwaukee. Colorado is known for hitting better at home and should dominate at the plate in this one. The issue is that Rockies pitchers are known for struggling at home too. Regardless of the pitchers I like the over here but will mention that the expected match-up is Marquez versus Kopech. Note that Marquez has a 6.63 ERA at home this season and opponents have hit .311 against him there. Kopech has a WHIP of nearly 2 baserunners per inning this month because he has been hit quite hard in his 3 starts plus he is walking too many guys. Now he makes his first ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this place has a reputation of being very tough on first-time starters here. No matter the pitchers, I also like the fact that White Sox have averaged 5.8 runs per game in going 6-4 last 10 games. Should see plenty of runs in this one given the hot bats and confidence in each lineup. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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07-26-22 | Angels v. Royals OVER 8 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Angels every once in awhile have breakout games at the plate and this looks like one of those spots. Action on pitchers because if Zerpa does not start for Royals it would be no one special in this spot. Zerpa is very inexperience and he was fortunate in his most recent start as he gave up a lot of hard hit balls that ended up being outs. That is helping to give us value here. As for the Angels Suarez is the expected starter and he has been struggling. Overall, the pitching does not matter that much for LA either because they continue to give up a lot of runs in almost every game. Angels have allowed 7 runs per game on average in the 8 losses in their current 2-8 run. If we can keep the rain away from KC long enough to get this one in, we should cash an easy ticket as the low total is a bargain considering no top starting pitchers are available to start this one for either team. So no matter who is on the mound, the hitters should enjoy success here. 10* OVER 8 in Kansas City |
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07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies +110 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +110 vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Philly has played Atlanta tough this season and it continued yesterday with rallying for the 6-4 win which gives them momentum entering this game. Braves have just a .500 record against teams with a winning record this season and have not been great on the road this season against winning teams. That said, I love the home dog value here regardless of the pitching match-up. However, will mention that the expected starters are Nola versus Strider. Phillies Nola known for being so strong at home through the years and he also is 2-0 this season versus Atlanta. The Braves Strider is off a tough start and, overall, he has not been as strong in his last two outings. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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07-25-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Naitonals @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -290 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at HALF that price today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 64 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 57 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Look for another win by a multi-run margin. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Gonsolin has been absolutely dominant including 11-0 on the season and a 1.13 ERA and a .130 BAA in home games. Nationals Espino starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season as he has been roughed up in 4 straight starts and hit quite hard in each of last 6 starts. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. Also, LA has won 8 straight while Washington had lost 17 of 19 before yesterday's win. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 -145 |
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07-25-22 | Astros v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Astros have won 5 straight games coming out of the All Star break and scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. Oakland is known for having a decrepit offense but they erupted late in yesterday 11-8 loss to Texas and, overall, the Athletics have been scoring better recently. That is why I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers and I will note that the A's have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 4 games. Now, about those expected pitchers. Jake Odorizzi will be facing the A's for a 3rd straight start. That is never easy for a starter and he did get hit harder in the 2nd than the 1st. Also, in his start prior to these two he was rocked by Kansas City. That said, this is the right time to expect Odorizzi to again get hit hard. As for Adam Oller, he has been respectable out of the bullpen this season but struggled badly as a starter for Oakland this season. The A's right-hander is 0-3 with a 10.89 in his 5 starts this season. Two confident teams squaring off tonight - based on results since the break - and the lineups will key a solid over here in my strong opinion. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-25-22 | Petrolul 52 +341 v. UTA Arad | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer 10* Top Play Petrolul Money Line +341 @ UTA Arad @ 2:30 ET - I am taking a shot on the big dog here but it is with good reason. Newly promoted Petrolul played well at home last week but one mistake late cost them the match on a penalty shot. Now they go on the road and the visitors are hungry and will look to return the favor by ruining another club's home opener. In this case it is UTA Arad as they are excited about a new stadium. The issue for the hosts here is they do not look good at all last week and that was a 2-0 loss to an FC Arges team than then lost 4-0 this weekend at Sepsi! That makes Arad look even worse and this is simply a great opportunity to take a road club at a great comeback price as I am predicting the shocker here from the hungry visitors. 10* PETROLUL +341 |
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07-25-22 | Hermannstadt v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 -120 or OVER 2 +110 in Chindia Tarogviste vs Hermannstadt @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste was one of only two clubs to allow 3 goals last week. Hermannstadt was one of only two clubs to score 3 goals last week. The defensive deficiencies were on display for Chindia Targoviste last week and now Hermannstadt enters this match with plenty of confidence. However, the club Hermannstadt defeated last week in a shutout was again delivered a clean sheet by their opponent this week. In other words, the defense of the visitors has not really been tested yet this season while Chindia Targoviste's defense already showing signs of weakness and the club they lost to 3-2 last week then got a 1-0 win this week. This points to the issue having been with Chindia Targoviste rather than the alternative. As a result, expect plenty of goals here and note that there is comfort with the low total here considering that only 3 of 14 matches so far in the new campaign have failed to total at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders PK -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - This line would have been around a full TD but has dropped to a pick'em because of the covid issues, injury issues, and suspension issues surrounding this game. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and this one sets up perfectly to fade the huge move from a team being a TD favorite to being a pick'em even though they are at home. Saskatchewan loves its team and has the most passionate fanbase in the league and is known for being a very tough place for opponents to travel to and face them. That said, lets talk some facts, the Argonauts are 0-1 on the road so far this season and the past 5 seasons went a combined 10-33 on the road! This is also a revenge game since the Roughriders lost to Toronto last week in the Touchdown Atlantic game in Nova Scotia. Saskatchewan is 3-0 at home this season and entered this season having gone 19-6 at home the past 3 seasons. Watch all the Riders step up here to make up for the guys that are out and they get the big win here. 22-6 run at home versus a 10-34 run on the road. Yes I will take pick'em odds on this plus let us not forget the West has dominated the East this season in interdivisional match-ups. More of the same here as last week's Riders loss to the Argos proves to be an aberration in the way the East-West battles have gone this season. 10* SASKATCHEWAN Pick -110 |
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07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 +105 vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -200 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at even money today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 63 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 56 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Kershaw has been absolutely dominant while Cobb is starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. That is why LA is a 2 to 1 favorite and I will gladly grab the even money on the run line in this one. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 +105 |
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07-24-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers @ 4:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I lost a very big play yesterday involving this match-up and am not happy about it at all but we'll get some payback today. Crazy things happening all in one game are part of the business and why there is never a sure thing in sports betting but, over the long haul, the right handicaps can produce more winners than not. Yesterday's game ended with a 1-2-3 top of the 9th inning for the Rangers. However in the first 8 innings of the game - so a total of 16 half-innings - the teams only had ONE 1-2-3 inning each the entire time. That means in 14 of the 16 half-innings the teams had at least one runner on base. It was a disgusting thing to watch unfold when you have an over and so many opportunities get wasted but you must press forward and shake off nonsense like yesterday's final result. So I mentioned yesterday this series has been trending over and we have another low total to work with here and we saw again yesterday that both bullpens were shaky and got into trouble frequently. That said, I again like the over here no matter who pitches plus I like the fact this one is a day game and that is a little better for scoring runs in terms of games played by the bay. That said, will touch on the pitchers here. Expected starting pitching match-up is Perez vs Blackburn. Note that Perez has a 5.09 ERA in his 3 starts this month and opponents hit .315 against him in his 5 starts last month. Also his ERA is nearly 3 runs higher in day games compared to night games. As for Blackburn, he has a 6.06 ERA in his 3 starts this month and he had a 5.13 ERA while being hit at a .306 clip last month. He also has an ERA nearly 5 runs higher at home compared to on the road! This is a play regardless of starting pitchers but you can see why I like it so much. Revenge payback here will be SWEET! 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -56.5 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucuresti @ 2:30 ET - Perfect set up to expect plenty of goals in this rivalry match in Bucharest. FCSB is off a disappointing 1-1 draw against a Universitatea Cluj club they know they should have buried. FCSB will be going hard here as a result and will be on the attack early and often and lets not forget they scored an average of 1.8 goals per match last season. Each club can be counted on for at least 1 goal here and then I don't foresee either club in this rivalry match being content with a draw. Rapid is off a 1-0 loss last week but they were at Cluj and CFR Cluj was the top club in the league standings last season and will again be one of the best this season most likely. That said both clubs are looking strongly at creating quality scoring chances in this one and scoring plenty of goals. I feel certain we will see just that! 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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07-24-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 vs Chicago Cubs @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Cubs have taken first two games of this series and are on a 3-game winning streak. However, Chicago has only managed a 4-game winning streak this entire season. Also, the Cubs are still only 3-9 last dozen games and 22-37 against teams with a winning record while Phillies have won 24 of 40 versus teams with a losing record this season. Also, the Phillies Bailey Falter has been piling up the strikeouts and is poised for a win here. The Cubs Drew Smyly has struggled since returning to the rotation this month and, keep in mind, he has a 5.26 ERA since late April. No matter the pitchers here I see the Phillies saving face here and avoiding the sweep and we get a bargain price because of Falter being the scheduled starter here for the hosts. He and the Phils will not "falter" here and get the home win at a great price. Also, the Phillies have never been swept at home in a series of at least 3 games this entire season. I don't see that changing here! 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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07-24-22 | CS U Craiova +103 v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Romania SuperLiga 10* Top Play Sunday Universitatea Craiova Money Line +100 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 11:30 AM ET - With Universitatea Craiova on the road for this one we are getting excellent line value. They are the superior club compared to this host club and Universitatea Cluj was fortunate to get the draw at FCSB last week. They will not be so fortunate here as Universitatea Craiova is off a draw versus Sepsi and will be fired up for the victory here. Keep in mind they only lost 8 of 30 matches last season and had an impressive +26 goal differential. As for the hosts here, Universitatea Cluj is newly promoted and don't let last week's draw fool you. FCSB gave a disappointing effort in that one and that will not the case with the club that Universitatea Cluj is tasked with facing this week. 10* Universitatea Craiova |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland A's vs Texas Rangers @ 9:07 ET - Action on the pitchers. Love the way the series has been playing out between these teams in terms of overs. 6 of the last 7 games between these teams have totaled at least 9 runs and, in fact, have averaged 13.4 runs per game! These teams are very familiar with each others bullpen arms but we get a low total to work with here because Oakland is known as a low-scoring team. Keep in mind, the Rangers have scored 5.3 runs per game last 14 games. The A's have scored 5 runs per game last 9 games. In terms of the starters here, which again are NOT the key factors here, it is expected to be Hearn versus Kaprielian but it would not shock me if Texas went with Bush as an opener. In any event, Hearn will be sent back to AAA Round Rock after this start because Dunning is due back from the DL for the Rangers. That is not exactly motivating for Hearn as his fate is sealed. This is a spot start for a guy who has a 5.78 ERA on the season including an awful 8.61 ERA in his 5 road starts! The A's have seen him this year and the Rangers also just saw Kaprielian. The Oakland right-hander is winless with a 5.40 ERA in his 6 home starts this season and also has a 5.31 ERA in night games this season. Look for the runs to keep flowing here no matter who is on the mound for either team and this one should get a solid win for us. 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -141 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks -145 vs Washington Nationals @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Why? Because the match-up could be Daffy Duck vs Mickey Mouse and I would still take the home team based on the key statistical TEAM factors but I will note that I do like Bumgarner over Sanchez for sure. As for the teams, the Nationals are just in a horrible funk and have lost 16 of 18 games after getting hammered by the Diamondbacks yesterday. As for Arizona, they are actually 10-3 against NL teams this season and have won 6 of last 11 home games. Now back to the pitchers again, Sanchez is 4-6 with a 6.67 ERA in his last dozen starts at the MLB level. He also struggled at AAA level and walked too many in his 3 starts there this season. Bumgarner has had his share of struggles this season for sure but he has been better of late and the big key with him is he is a different pitcher when he is at home. The big lefty has a 3.15 ERA in his 10 home starts this season and that would be under a 3.00 were it not for one bad start he had in Arizona this season. In other words, the odds favor a strong start from here. But, regardless of the pitchers, the home team should prove well worth the juice in this one. Lay it! 10* ARIZONA -145 |
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07-23-22 | Botosani v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Romanian SuperLiga Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Voluntari vs Botosani @ 1:30 ET - I won with Botosani last week but they were a bit sloppy defensively and barely hung on for the 3-2 win. That said, I expect Voluntari to have plenty of scoring chances here. However, I lost with the over in Voluntari's match last week as there were a number of missed opportunities and also overturned goals. I feel the the fact Voluntari is off a 1-0 victory last week is absolutely helping to give us some extra value here with the over in this week's match. Botosani's last 5 matches - their 1st this season and final 4 last season - all totaled at least 2 goals and actually averaged a total of 3.6 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 in Voluntari |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Saturday MLB 10* Top Play UNDER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 1:10 ET (Gm 1 of DH) - Action on pitchers. I like the fact this is an early game coming off last night's game having been the first action for each of these clubs since the All Star break. Look for the bats to be a little sleepy in this early start and I expect an under no matter who the pitchers are. However, I will say that the expected pitchers are McKenzie for the Guardians and Cueto for the White Sox. McKenzie has not allowed a run this entire month while allowing just 9 hits but striking out 23 in 21 innings! Cueto is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his 3 July starts this month. Also, Cueto has a 1.69 ERA in his 5 games (4 starts) in daytime action this season. The bats struggle here after yesterday's game was a rare, surprisingly easy over. This one plays out much differently early Saturday. 10* UNDER 9 in Chicago White Sox (Game 1) |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks OVER 48 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - This is a tough scheduling spot for the Blue Bombers so I do expect the Elks to come up with a big effort here and be able to score plenty. Winnipeg is the only undefeated team left in the league and off a win against the previously unbeaten Stampeders. That was huge win last week for the Bombers and now next week they face Calgary again! That said, a game at Edmonton in a sandwich spot is the perfect letdown spot for the Winnipeg defense. They will give up plenty of points here as a result as the rejuvenated Elks have won 2 of last 3 games and scored at least 29 points in each win. The problem for Edmonton is they are allowing 36.7 points per game. 10* OVER 48 in Edmonton |
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07-22-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -125 | Top | 15-2 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -125 vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies are offering solid line value here regardless of the pitchers. The Phillies are 24-14 this season against teams with a losing record. The Cubs are 21-40 this season against teams with a winning record. Philly has the better lineup and Chicago is giving up a full run more per game than Philadelphia is on the season. Also, Justin Steele is the expected starter for Cubs and has been respectable at home but his winless with a 5.86 ERA in his 6 road starts this season. For the Phillies, Kyle Gibson has 1 win in his 9 road starts this seasons but he is a solid 4-1 in his 9 home starts this season. Again, this play is action on pitchers but I do like the expected match-up. The key here is Phillies have won 28 of last 42 games for 67% while Cubs have won just 3 of 14 games for only 21% recently. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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07-22-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10 in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Plenty of runs here on a hot evening at a hitter-friendly ballpark regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them here right away though and say that Adam Wainwright has been known for a very long time for struggling on the road and excelling at home and this season has been no different. Wainwright's road ERA is a full 2 runs higher and his BAA is 55 points higher on the road compared to at home. As for the Reds Graham Ashcraft, he has solid numbers at home on the season but his current form has been rough and that included getting hit hard in each of his two most recent home starts too. Overall, Ashcraft has been hit hard in 5 of his last 6 starts and his ERA has climbed a full 3 runs as a result. Now, about those lineups...the Cardinals are 5-2 last 7 games and have scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Reds are 6-3 last 9 games and have scored 5 runs per game on average during this stretch. 6-5 type game sounds about right here but I am expecting much more honestly and this one should fly over the total and get past the dozen mark in runs. 10* OVER 10 in Cincinnati |
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07-22-22 | Farul Constanta v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga I - Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Mioveni vs Farul Constanta @ 1:30 ET - Mioveni got destroyed 3-0 by a new promoted, but determined, Hermannstadt club last week to open up the new campaign. I do expect Mioveni to respond on their home pitch now after getting demolished on the road. So look for the hosts to at least get on the score sheet here. The trouble is they are facing a very strong Farul Constanta club that scored twice in their 2-1 home pitch victory over U Craiova 1948 last week. Farul did average 1.4 goals scored per game last season and certainly they should be able to get on the scoresheet here and, once this match gets to 1-1, I do not seeing it ending that way. There were only 2 draws in the 8 matches last week. Also, Farul only had 6 draws in 30 matches last season. The visitors will be gunning hard for the victory here and they added so much transfer talent coming into this season. I have a strong feeling that Mioveni going to be very competitive here and that is why I am not playing the side here. I simply look for this to equate to goals and feel strongly about this total getting to at least 2 goals but certainly with a great shot at 3 or more when all is said and done. 10* OVER 2 goals in Mioveni |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC OVER 51.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 10 ET - BC has allowed 37 points per game last two games. They are off their bye week and have scored points like crazy this season. Lions averaging 40 points per game. Hamilton is allowing 28 points per game this season but, on the other side of the ball, the Tiger-Cats did pile up yardage in last week's tight 25-23 win versus the Redblacks. That said, I love the over here. Hamilton is on a short week and traveling and their defense will struggle to slow down a Lions team determined to get back on track after suffering their first loss of the season. However, at the same time, BC defense just can not be trusted in my opinion. As I mentioned earlier this season, they were a little over-rated after first two games. Their true colors are starting to show now their past two games and the Ti-Cats have the firepower to take advantage. Lions score well but Hamilton answers throughout this contest and this should be another high-scoring match-up involving a home game at BC Place in Vancouver. 10* OVER 51.5 in BC Lions |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa +3 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Thursday CFL 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Both teams off tight losses last week but the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Ottawa is very hungry for that first win here, they are at home, they put forth a very strong effort against a quality opponent last week and they should have recently acquired Nick Arbuckle available at QB for this one. The change of scenery will serve Arbuckle well plus the Redblacks showed against the Tiger-Cats that they absolutely are not ready to throw in the towel on the season just because they lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. That said, look for a huge effort from the home team here and note that Montreal is on an 11-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. I do look for the Redblacks to get their first win of the season but will grab the 3 points in case they fall just short. 10* OTTAWA +3 |
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07-21-22 | Tigers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland A's vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:37 ET (Game 1 of 2) - Action on pitchers. Oakland is not known for scoring many runs yet they have averaged 5.5 runs per game last 6 games. They also have allowed an average of 5.3 runs per game last 7 games. Tigers, prior to shutout in final game before break, did score an average of 4 runs per game last dozen games. Detroit allowed an average of 5.9 runs per game final 10 games before the All-Star break. Given all these numbers you can understand why I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers but I will touch on the expected starters here. The Tigers Skubal has allowed 29 earned runs in 35 innings spanning his last 7 starts. That is a 7.46 ERA his last 7 starts. The A's Zach Logue has allowed 13 earned runs in 12 innings over his last 3 starts and has given up 5 homers in those 3 outings. Given all of the above and nice afternoon weather by the bay, this one should more scoring than most are expecting! 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-21-22 | Rangers +108 v. Marlins | Top | 8-0 | Win | 108 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Rangers +108 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Both Gray and Lopez are solid pitchers. The key here is grabbing the better hitting team and a team that is poised for a rebound of good fortune in the 2nd half of the season. The Rangers and Marlins are the only two teams that have lost at least 20 games by just a single run this season. The difference though is Miami has 16 one-run wins while the Rangers have the fewest in the majors with just 5. That means Texas is a respectable 36-29 in games decided by 2+ runs. They could be in for a turnaround in the 2nd half based on numbers like this. In this particular match-up I like the fact that the Marlins are on a 4-8 run and have only one NON-extra inning win in those 12 games! Miami has scored an average of just 1.3 runs per game last 8 losses. Amazingly, the Marlins last 13 home games have seen Miami score more than 3 runs in regulation time (9 innings) NOT once! 0 for 13 in terms of scoring more than 3 in 9 innings at home! As for the Rangers, they did enter the All-Star break on a frustrating home losing streak but have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 road games. The better lineup is the key to a road win in this one. 10* TEXAS +108 |
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07-20-22 | Storm +130 v. Sky | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
WNBA 10* Top Play Seattle Storm Money Line +130 @ Chicago Sky @ Noon ET - The Sky is falling in this one! They are going to again be without guard Courtney Vandersloot for this game. They managed to rally from a 6 point deficit entering the 4th quarter at Dallas for a road win. However, the Wings are just 5-8 at home this season. Chicago has the best record in the league but is facing a much tougher challenge sans Vandersloot in this one! The Sky now face a Storm team that has won 4 straight games and 12 of 15 and is one of the best teams defensively in the league. Considering all those factors plus the Vandersloot concussion, the road team is the play here but I don't even think we'll need the 3 points here. I am going money line for maximum value and will be personally betting this play. It might be my only bet of the WNBA season but I took some time to research this with it being one of the only things going in our sports world on Wednesday and am very comfortable making the investment here. MLB and CFL will be back in action tomorrow. Today we'll look to cash with this WNBA 10* SEATTLE +130 |
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07-19-22 | American League v. National League -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play National League -110 vs American League @ 7:30 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian. I am well aware of the fact that the AL has won 8 straight All-Star Games. However, prior to last year's AL win at Coors Field by a 5-2 count, each of the 4 last victories for the AL had been by 2 or less runs and that included 2 that went 10 innings. Enough is enough and I like the NL (a lot!) here at home in this one. Looking at the pitching I feel the NL has the right guys peaking at the right times and I just do not see the AL doing much at the plate in this one and the NL will do enough for the win. I also prefer the NL roster in terms of hitters heading into this one. The AL pitching roster includes guys who have been a bit more hittable of late and I like the NL to find a way at home and finally put the streak to an end. Even though this game does not carry any real weight in terms of motivation, trust me, there is some extra motivation from the NL side to put an end to the streak. Couple the motivation factor with the home field edge and I feel this is a bargain price on the senior circuit. 10* NATIONAL LEAGUE -110 |
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07-18-22 | Voluntari v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Petrolul vs Voluntari @ 2:30 ET - So many changes for both clubs entering the new season. We have seen so far this season that a lot of clubs have had a lot of personnel changes and the result has been solid goal-scoring early. I feel this has a lot to do with some players being caught out of position and this then leading to solid scoring chances as a result. The match last night between FCSB and U Cluj should have ended with a lot more than just 2 goals in the 1-1 draw and it stayed under the 2.5 total as a bad beat result for that one. However, it also marked the 5th time in 6 matches thus far in week 1 that we have seen at least 2 goals scored. That said, getting this over at 2 is a solid value. Last season Voluntari's matches averaged 2 goals. Both teams come in hungry as Ploiesti is so happy to have Liga 1 football back and there will be plenty of enthusiasm from the home side here. However, the road club is the more experienced club and will keep Petrolul on its heels in this one too. This one shapes up to see plenty of goals as a result as hosts are scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match thus far on the season and none have been shutout. But the reason this match is priced nearly with equal odds for the w-l-d result is because the visitors have the experience edge and will answer the hosts goal for goal. Look for this one to possibly end 2-2 but I see at least a 2-1 final here and nothing less than a 1-1 but certainly a push on our best is not what we want. Still, value in the 2 in a match that should have plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul |
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07-18-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Botosani +115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday Soccer 10* Top Play Botosani Money Line +115 vs Chindia Targoviste @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a long trip for Targoviste as Botosani in the far northeastern corner of Romania. In league action last season Botosani lost just 6 times in 30 matches. Targoviste won just 8 times in 30 matches. Of course we run the risk of losing our bet if this one ends in a draw but I don't see that happening. The hosts are well prepared here after their time in Austria and playing this one with that edge and the advantage of being on their home pitch will prove to be too much for the visitors from Targoviste. Keep in mind, the hosts found the back of the net 10 more times than the visitors last season in league action and I just don't see the travelers having enough firepower to get the job done here. 10* BOTOSANI +115 |
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07-17-22 | Phillies -145 v. Marlins | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -145 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Of course I like the fact that Nola gives the Phillies a big edge over Rogers and the Marlins. However, there is much more than the starting pitching to like here and this play is action on the pitchers. Philadelphia has won 5 of last 7 meetings between these teams. The Phillies overall have won 27 of their last 41 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in their last 7 games versus Miami. The Marlins are on a 4-7 run and have only one non-extra inning win in those 11 games! Miami has scored an average of just 1.4 runs per game last 7 losses. Amazingly, the Marlins last dozen have games have seen Miami score more than 3 runs in regulation time (9 innings) NOT once! 0 for 12 in terms of scoring more than 3 in 9 innings at home! That said, and knowing Phillies can score plenty here, I love the road team in this one. Will mention that the expected starters are Nola and Rogers and Nola has a solid ERA, particularly on the road this season, while Rogers has a high ERA and has been struggling lately and has had rough times in his two starts versus Phillies this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -145 |
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07-17-22 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 105 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 1:40 ET - Action on the pitchers. This one is about two hot teams and two hot lineups that have plenty of confidence right now at the plate. Yes, yesterday's game took extra innings to get over the total but I do not expect to need that here and this total just too low (at 7.5) in my opinion. First off, will mention that I know Jordan Lyles has been better of late but he still has a 5.52 ERA this season in road starts and this is nothing new as he is 8-19 in road starts the last 3 seasons combined. His ERA away from home during this 3-year stretch is a 5.82 ERA. Corey Kluber certainly has been rock solid lately for the Rays but a closer look shows he got some key breaks in the start versus Boston in his last home start. Before back to back solid starts versus Red Sox, Kluber had a 5.65 ERA in his 3 prior starts. Also, his last two home starts before the one against Boston, he allowed 11 hits in 10 and 1/3 innings. The Orioles have won 11 of 12 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 11 games. The total on this game is just 7.5 runs and the Rays 14 of last 19 games have totaled at least 8 runs. Tampa Bay had won 10 of 14 games before yesterday's loss and TB scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in those 10 victories. Again, two hot teams with confident lineups at the plate and the runs will come here and we take advantage of the low total. 10* OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay |
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07-17-22 | Royals v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Well aware of the fact that Jose Berrios is off a 13-strikeout performance versus Phillies in last start. However, he has a 6.62 ERA in his 7 day game starts this season and this is a particularly early one. As for the Royals Kris Bubic, he is having a tough season and it includes 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA in his 7 day game starts. Kansas City's last 8 road games have featured 6 that totaled at least 9 runs. The Royals have scored an average of 5 runs in these 8 games. The Blue Jays, since June 1st, have played 26 home games and 21 of them have totaled at least 9 runs. You can see why this match-up is about much more than just the starting pitching - again, my play here is action - but you can also see, per the above, why we might see some struggles from each of the expected starters in this match-up too. Look for double digits in runs scored and, unlike yesterday's game, this one will not need extra innings to get there! 9* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and that goes for all sports. That said, the fact that Ottawa just loss QB Masoli to injury and then acquired Arbuckle (but unavailable for this game) is even more reason I like the over here. We get a low number because Evans will be under center for the Redblacks. Now in his 2nd CFL season and getting his first significant work of the season Saturday, don't be surprised if Caleb Evans has a big game both through the air and with his legs in this one - as he is a running threat too. The Tiger-Cats also have a QB by the name of Evans and Dane Evans gets the start here. He is off to a shaky start this season but the Redblacks have some injuries in the secondary and we've seen Evans average 270 yards per game through the air this season but he has been done in by interceptions. This is a match-up of two very hungry teams each seeking their first win of the season and also each dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The weather is going to be good for this one too and all signs point to a higher-scoring game than many expect here. Take advantage of the low total here and don't be surprised when this one gets into the 50s for total points scored. 10* OVER 44.5 in Hamilton |
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07-16-22 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Even against a struggling A's offense, Howard allowed 6 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. He only allowed 1 earned run but only struck out 1 and remains very hittable and has an 8.04 ERA on the season. Gilbert has a fantastic ERA on the season for the Mariners but he allowed 2 homers for the 3rd time in his last 4 starts when he gave up a pair against the Blue Jays in his most recent start. No matter the starting pitchers here (my play is action), note that Seattle has won 12 straight games and score an average of 5.7 runs per game last 10 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in the first 8 games of this 10-game homestand and yesterday was the first time they have been held below 5 runs in any of these games! 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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07-16-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters include a righty for Rockies and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Jose Urena a right-handed pitcher, he has been absolutely crushed in recent years against left-handed hitting. Urena also was hit hard by the Pirates earlier this season. As for Pirates right-hander Keller, he has been getting hit hard this month and really has struggled for much of his MLB career. Keller is 10-23 with a 5.65 ERA in his MLB career. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 10 of last 11 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 13-2 Rockies win and this after an 8-5 Colorado win which followed a 10-6 Rockies win. The teams - faced Padres - combined for 29 hits in that one. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late in a huge way as you can see above. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-16-22 | White Sox +108 v. Twins | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox Money Line +110 @ Minnesota Twins @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starters are Lynn vs Bundy. But, regardless of who actually starts, I like the fact that the White Sox have won 4 straight games and allowed an average of only 1.8 runs per game last 5 games. The Twins have lost 4 of last 5 home games and have averaged only 2.7 runs per game last 7 home games! Minnesota is struggling at the plate while Chicago has exploded for 6.3 runs scored per game last 8 road games and has won 7 of last 9 road games. Action on pitchers because riding the hot team here but will mention that the White Sox will start Lynn and he should respond here as he had given up 19 hits over 22 and 2/3 innings in 4 preceding starts prior to getting roughed up in his most recent outing. As for Bundy, his first 3 starts of the year way back in April were solid but since then the numbers are ugly. 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA. He is in trouble here the way the White Sox are hitting. No matter the pitchers, riding the road team to continue to close the gap in the AL Central standings. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX +110 |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +2.5 or +3 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 2 ET - The location of this Touchdown Atlantic game in Halifax certainly favors the Argonauts. The fact Toronto has fresh legs and has only played 3 games this season, compared to Saskatchewan having played 5 games already, certainly favors the Argos as well. I know the Riders are 4-1 this season and the Argos are just 1-2. However, other than 1 blowout loss Toronto has played quite well and their only other loss was by 1 point to a Winnipeg team that remains undefeated on the season after last night's win over the only other team, Calgary, that was also undefeated on the year. In other words, this Argonauts team deserves some credit plus note that the Roughriders historically do not play as well when they are away from home. Situational edges and I will grab the home dog in this one. Again, is not a true home game for them but certainly the location in Atlantic Canada favors the Argos over the Riders. 10* TORONTO +2.5 or +3 |
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07-15-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters are a righty for Rockies and a lefty for Pirates and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Marquez a right-handed pitcher, he has struggled at home this season and also has struggled in recent years against left-handed hitting. As for Pirates Quintana, he has been getting hit hard this month plus in recent seasons the lefty has been pounded by right-handed bats and the Rockies are a lineup that is dominated by right-handed sticks. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 9 of last 10 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 8-5 Colorado win and this followed a 10-6 Rockies win and the teams combined for 29 hits. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Just too many points here. Match-up of unbeatens and Blue Bombers have home field edge and are the 2x defending champs. However, it was not that long ago that Calgary was in the Grey Cup championship 3 straight years and 5 of 7 years. The Stampeders appear to be back this season and also have a dual rest edge here. Not only did they play earlier in the week last week than Winnipeg did, they also had their bye week the week before. The Blue Bombers have yet to have a bye week and will be playing on short rest and a 6th straight week. Also, Winnipeg off the blowout win over a previously unbeaten BC team. The Lions were a bit over-rated in my opinion and yet that big Bombers win last week is giving us extra line value this week. 10* CALGARY +4 |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams just met in a series so there is familiarity with the starting pitchers and the bullpen guys. That is a big part of the reason I don't care who the starting pitchers are here either but I will mention them. This play is action. Corbin is having a rough season and he sprinkled in a couple of good starts recently but overall it has been a disaster and he struggled against the Braves recently too. As for Anderson, he had too many walks but held the Nationals in check in most recent start. Now he gives them a quick 2nd look however and, in the 3 starts prior to facing Washington, he allowed 21 hits in 11 innings! The big key here is hot hitting and confidence of a Braves team that is on a 31-10 run. Atlanta has averaged 6 runs per game in the 10 victories in their current 10-4 run last 14 games. Washington has lost 13 of 14 games and allowed 6 runs per game in those 13 defeats. Their bullpen has had major struggles but their lineup does tend to produce a little better when at home and they have averaged 4 runs per game last 11 home games. This one gets to double digits. 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |