Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-24-23 | Devils v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The juice on the over 6.5 with this one is a little higher but should prove well worth it. The Sabres last 20 games have seen 15 of them total at least 7 goals! Buffalo has allowed 4.6 goals per game during this stretch. Sabres do tend to score better at home and should get their fair share here but they will struggle to stop the Devils. Note that New Jersey has scored an average of 4 goals per game last 8 road games. The Devils, like the Sabres, have had some issues lately with allowing too many goals and I expect that to continue here. They are off B2B better efforts but this followed a 10-game stretch in which NJ allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game. This one has all the makings of one of those games where it is tough to envision either team having trouble getting to the 3-goal mark. That said, this one gets to 4-3 at a minimum the way I see it. OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Florida Atlantic Owls +5.5 vs Tennessee Volunteers @ 9 ET - The Owls are from the smaller conference but are a very confident team that has been scoring very well and confidence building with each win here in March. Florida Atlantic faced a pair of SEC teams early this season and lost to Ole Miss but beat Florida. The Owls beat a solid Memphis team here in the tourney and then beat the Fairleigh Dickinson team that knocked off Purdue and that win over the Boilermakers was no fluke. Tennessee is playing very solid defense but they did lose 7 of last 12 games this season before the NCAA Tourney. The Volunteers then won their first game of the tourney by only 3 points even though it was against a #13 seed. Then Duke made just 6 of 22 three pointers and only 4 free throws in the game the Vols won by 13 last weekend. That is not happening again here against this Owls team. FAU is making 37% of threes this season and averaging 9 made per game. The Owls also average about a dozen free throws made per game. The way these teams match-up it could be a bit of a low-scoring grinder which means even more value with the sizable points here and I look for the Owls to surprise in this one. FLORIDA ATLANTIC +5.5 |
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03-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 in Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:05 ET - The Flames hammered the Golden Knights 7-2 in Vegas so you know that this is a revenge spot for VGK and they will be looking to limit Calgary here. However, the Flames are just too strong on home ice in terms of the goal-scoring and I am looking for a very high-scoring entertaining affair here as a result. Calgary has scored an average of 4.5 goals in last 6 games. However, the Flames have also allowed 4 goals per game last 5 games and you know Vegas is going to come out flying here. The Golden Knights have won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Vegas also has allowed 3 goals per game in last 10 games and I am looking for each club to get to 3 goals here which means it has to end with a total of at least 7 goals and a minimum of 4-3 final if we get each team to 3. Sure looks like this one has the makings of that type of game. OVER 6 in Calgary |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 7:15 ET - Huskies beat a MAAC team and a WCC team to get here. Certainly St Mary's is a solid team year in and year out in recent seasons but they play in the WCC where they face Gonzaga but then a bunch of much weaker teams throughout the season. OF course the Iona team that UConn beat in round one also faces a lot of weaker competition since they come from the MAAC. The point is that UConn might be over-rated here and certainly is a little over-valued in my opinion. The Huskies did beat Alabama early this season but then went 2-5 against ranked teams the rest of the season. Also, heading into the NCAA Tourney, UConn went 11-8 overall after starting the season 14-0. Arkansas, on the other hand, had to beat a Big Ten school and Big 12 team to get here as they knocked off Illinois and then Kansas. So, the point is, the Razorbacks might be putting things together at the right time. Also, Arkansas was down by double digits in the 2nd half of their win over the Jayhawks so they had to show great resiliency in bouncing back for the win. Nick Smith is their #2 leading scorer this season in terms of ppg (missed a lot of the season) and the Razorbacks won that game over Kansas despite him scoring 0 points! Love the fact that Arky beat the Jayhawks despite making only 3 of 15 three pointers. The Huskies had very hot shooting against the Gaels and they can't keep shooting at that clip and the gritty Razorbacks give them a helluva test here and possibly even score the upset. We'll grab the points just in case. Top Play ARKANSAS +4.5 |
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03-23-23 | Wild v. Flyers +140 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 140 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +130 vs Minnesota Wild @ 6:35 ET - The Flyers offer great home dog value here. All the pressure is on the Wild in this match-up and the Flyers are likely to start Carter Hart in goal for this one. Hart has been great at home traditionally and is also red hot of late on home ice. In his last 4 home starts he has allowed a total of only 8 goals in regulation time of those starts. Philadelphia will be facing Marc-Andre Fleury in this one most likely. He has had some ugly starts in Philly in the past. He is a long-time veteran and I know he has played better of late but the former Penguin never found Philly to be a favorite place of his for sure. At the same time, he enters this start having allowed 8 goals in his last two starts including 5 in his most recent road start. As strong as Minny has been overall, they still have lost 12 of last 28 games and the Flyers are 3-1-1 in last 5 home games and will be going hard again here. This is one of those dangerous games for the rather heavy road favorite. PHILADELPHIA +130 |
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03-23-23 | Estonia v. Hungary OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
International Friendly Thursday OVER 2.5 in Hungary vs Estonia @ 2:30 ET - This is very similar to yesterday's play on the over 2.5 in Ireland and that one had 4 goals by half-time and finished with a total of 5 goals scored. Hungary is favored to win this match by 1.5 goals on the goal line. That means decent odds they could even win this match by a multi-goal margin but I really like the fact they are about a -300 favorite on the money line and yet decent odds on Estonia scoring at least 1 goal in this one. Yes it sets up to be a bit of a mismatch but if that is the case also don't be surprised if Hungary wins 3-0 as they have averaged scoring 3.3 goals in last 3 meetings with Estonia. However, I really do not expect a clean sheet here. Don't be surprised if this match instead finishes 2-1 or 3-1 as I do expect Estonia to make the net ripple at least once. Across all competitions, Estonia has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.8 goals scored in those half-dozen matches. As for Hungary, they have scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 13 matches and have averaged 1.6 goals scored in last 12 matches. Considering they will be without their top goalie choice here, there are even higher odds that Estonia scores at least once in this one and that puts a little more pressure on Hungary to score so I am expecting a 2-1 final at a minimum but more likely 3-1. Either way, I am looking for 3 here at least! OVER 2.5 in Hungary |
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03-22-23 | Coyotes v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 7 in Edmonton Oilers vs Arizona Coyotes @ 10:35 ET - Big total set on this game but Oilers games continue to be crazy. Edmonton has allowed 3.7 goals per game, not including OT or SO of course, last 18 games. Edmonton also has scored - in their 19-10 run last 29 games - 4.6 goals per game. This is incredible firepower on offense and could easily expect a 5-3 game here based on the line for this one. Oilers are a huge favorite on the money line with good reason of course and are likely to win this game by a multi-goal margin. Arizona off some surprisingly low-scoring games recently but remember they lost at Edmonton 8-2 earlier this season. Also, prior to 2-1 loss to Winnipeg, the Coyotes had won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game last 8 games prior to the loss to the Jets. Arizona allowing an average of about 4 goals per game last 6 games and they are in trouble here against the high-flying Oilers but, again, do not be surprised if the Coyotes contribute well to this total too. 10* OVER 7 in Edmonton |
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03-22-23 | Suns -120 v. Lakers | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Phoenix Suns Money Line -110/-120 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 10:10 ET - We get some line value here because of Deandre Ayton being out again for the Suns and of course Kevin Durant remains out. Regarding Ayton being out for this game, note that Bismack Biyombo has played well in his absence. Also, big man Jock Landale has 25 points in just 42 minutes in the last 3 games and the 7-footer can also help out in this game with Ayton being out. Of course the Lakers remain without Lebron James and this is just not a very good Los Angeles team. Though they still have Anthony Davis he is dealing with a right foot stress injury and is not 100%. Phoenix has won the first two meetings this season by an average margin of 18 points. The Lakers are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive but Suns in crucial fight for playoff positioning so they have plenty of motivation too. Los Angeles off a win but this followed losses in 3 of 4 games. The Suns off a road loss and it was their 2nd straight defeat away from home but this followed an 8-2 SU run in road games! The Suns had faced a tough schedule of late but now this match-up is much more favorable for them and they will take advantage. Rather than laying a point or 1.5 here I am grabbing the money line which is available as low as -110 on this one. PHOENIX -110/-120 |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 8:05 ET - The Penguins still fighting for a wild card spot and Avalanche still have hopes of actually being the #1 seed in the Western Conference as they have been on a strong run again of late. Pittsburgh has gone cold with losses in 4 straight games overall. Also, the Penguins have allowed at least 4 goals in 4 straight road games and have allowed an average of 4.5 goals in those 4 away games. That said, the red hot Avs should stay hot but I also do expect the Penguins to get back on track in the goal-scoring department. Pittsburgh is off a 2-1 loss but actually has scored an average of 4 goals per game the last 6 times they were coming off a loss by a one-goal margin. Colorado has won 6 straight games and scored an average of 4.5 goals per game last 8 games! The Avalanche are off a shutout win on home ice but allowed 3.4 goals per game in their 5 home games prior to that one. I am looking for at least a 4-3 final here given all of the above. OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt | Top | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NIT Wednesday UAB Blazers +1.5 @ Vanderbilt Commodores @ 7 ET - This line is right around a pick'em even though UAB plays in CUSA and Vanderbilt plays in the SEC and even though Commodores are at home for this one. Note that Vandy is 14-5 at home this season while the Blazers are just 6-5 in road games this season. When you consider all of these factors and then you are staring at a line in the pick'em range, I think this tells you all you need to know here. This is a major trap the way I see it and I am not following for it. Play the road team that has the mediocre road record and is from the smaller conference. Go against the home team that is so strong as a host and is from the bigger conference. This is a contrarian play but given all these variables you can see why I like it and this is something that has worked well at a high cash-in rate in the past. More of the same here. Note that the Blazers have won 14 of 16 games and have won easily in each of their two NIT games. As for the Commodores they had to rally from a big 2nd half deficit to down the Wolverines. I know they earned it with the comeback win but that big win for Vanderbilt over Michigan could be their defining moment of the tourney that leaves them finished here. I am backing the road team most will not want here. UAB +1.5 |
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03-21-23 | Thunder v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 101-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 10:40 ET - Both teams off a win that followed a loss but the real key here the way I see it is that this is a double revenge spot for the Clippers. LA lost both games against the Thunder this season but both of those meetings were in Oklahoma City. Now they finally get a chance at home facing OKC. The Thunder are 13-21 in road games this season and are just 2-4 SU last 6 road games and one of those wins was against a horrible Spurs team. That said, you can see the value we have with the home team here. Also, the last 6 losses for the Thunder have come by an average margin of 13 points per defeat. The Clippers have won 5 of 6 and the average margin of victory has been about 10 points. Look for this double-revenge spot to result in a home win by a double digit margin. LA CLIPPERS -6.5 |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
NIT Tuesday Top Play Oregon Ducks -4.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 9 ET - The Ducks have been winning even without their top three guys. That shows the depth of this Oregon team. Now, with a win at home over the Badgers Tuesday, the Ducks can head to Las Vegas for the quarterfinals and a potential shot at the NIT Championship should they win in the semi-finals there. First things first though...the Ducks must win this game to get there. That said, I would not be surprised to see 1 or 2 or possibly even all 3 of the top players back for Oregon in this one. Either way, I like the Ducks here but don't be surprised if Dante, Couisnard, and/or Richardson are back for this game. Note that Oregon is 15-5 in home games this season while the Badgers have a losing record in road games this season. Facing the Ducks in Eugene is much different than facing the likes of Liberty and Bradley in Madison. That is no disrespect to the Flames or Braves but, the point is, the travel and facing a very tough Pac-12 team on the road is absolutely a big deal here. Lay the points here. Top Play OREGON -4.5 |
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03-21-23 | Red Wings v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Detroit Red Wings @ 8:05 ET - Well aware of the fact that Joel Hofer is playing extremely well in his couple starts since being called up by the Blues. However, the St Louis netminder was born in Winnipeg and just beat the Jets in a 3-0 win in his most recent start. This is absolutely a flat spot for him and he comes in facing a Red Wings team hungry off a 5-2 home loss to Florida. The problem for Detroit is they used their #1 goalie last night in Husso. I know Hellberg is solid at times but overall he has struggled and particularly in recent start. Hellberg has allowed 13 goals in his last 3 starts and now faces a Blues team playing better here late in the season. St Louis has scored an average of 3.8 goals last 10 games. However, in the 9 games prior to that 3-0 shutout win over the Jets, the Blues allowed 4 goals per game! This is another one of those games that shapes up well for each team to get to the 3-goal mark and that means at least a 4-3 final. OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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03-21-23 | Panthers v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Panthers were in action last night and won 5-2 at Detroit. Florida started Bobrovsky in goal and he has been starting a long stretch of games consecutively for the Panthers because they have been avoiding B2B spots. However, now they are in a B2B situation and it probably will be Alex Lyon getting the start and it has been awhile for him. As for the Flyers, I know Carter Hart is off a strong start but he and Philly have been struggling overall. Now he faces a Florida team that has won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 4.4 goals during this stretch. The Flyers should score well on home ice here though too because they'll take advantage Panthers in this back to back. The problem for Philly is they have allowed 4 goals per game last 16 games and lost 13 of those. The Flyers have scored an average of 3 goals per game last 7 home games and they have gone 3-3-3 last 9 home games so they will put up a fight here but struggle to stop the high-flying Panthers. The result will be a game with strong odds each team gets to at least 3 goals and that would mean it would have to end 4-3 at a minimum. OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-21-23 | Plymouth Argyle v. Accrington OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
English League One Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle @ 3:45 ET - Accrington having a rough season but they are on their home pitch here and should do some damage against a Plymouth side that has allowed 1.5 goals per match as travelers this season. However, the key to the over is Accrington has allowed 3 or more goals in each of last 3 meetings with Plymouth! I just can not see that coming to an end here as Accrington is on a 4-match winless run and has allowed an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Plymouth has scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches but also has allowed an average of 4 goals in last two road matches. This one should be very entertaining if you like goals! OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley |
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03-20-23 | Sharks v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 7 in Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks @ 9:35 - Do not let the fact that this total is a 7 scare you away from the over. The fact is the over 7 is available at plus money and this one should easily see at least 8 goals. The Sharks continue giving up piles of goals. Even though San Jose has not been scoring that well of late, a trip to Edmonton has a way of healing any teams scoring woes. The Sharks have allowed 4.5 goals per game as they have lost 11 of 12 games! They have average scoring 3 goals per game last 9 road games and should get going again as they face Edmonton. The Oilers have allowed 3.7 goals per game, not including OT or SO of course, last 17 games. Edmonton also has scored - in their 18-10 run last 28 games - 4.6 goals per game. This is incredible firepower on offense and could easily expect a 5-3 game here based on the line for this one. Either way, I am expecting 8 or more goals in what should be a wide-open affair. Keep in mind, San Jose eliminated from the playoff picture so there should be plenty of open ice in a free-flowing match-up here. OVER 7 in Edmonton |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers have won 8 straight games. They also have revenge here from a home loss to the Bulls in early January. Not only did Philly lose that game, Chicago got the better of them by a double digit margin. This will be a payback game! The Sixers are on a 36-10 run and Embiid missed that 14 point loss to the Bulls. Looking at Philly's last 46 games they had only one loss by a bigger margin than that one. In other words, the 76ers have not forgotten and you know Embiid will be ready to lead the way here for the Sixers to get some payback. Chicago has been playing well of late but let's not forget they are just 13-21 SU in road games this season. Also, the Bulls average margin of defeat last 14 games is 9 and I am looking for a double digit loss here as Philly wants to return the favor for what Chicago did to them the last time they met here. These teams meet again in Chicago on Wednesday so the Bulls have the full focus and attention of the Sixers here and the result should be a home blowout by a double digit margin. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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03-20-23 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 -130 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Senators have lost 5 straight but this was preceded by wins in 6 of 7. The prevailing theme throughout this stretch of a dozen games is plenty of goals. Ottawa has allowed 5 goals per game their past 7 games. However, the Sens also have scored an average of 4 goals in these dozen games. Considering the way the Pens have been trending of late this one shapes up to be a 5-4 type of game but at least 4-3. The likelihood of each team getting to at least 3 goals is quite good. The Penguins have followed a similar pattern to the Sens as they had been scoring well but then hit a losing skid too. Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight and is not getting goaltending from anyone of late. The Pens have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of last 9 games. Pittsburgh has allowed an average of about 4 goals during this 9-game stretch. However, Penguins known for scoring well at home and have averaged 4.5 goals scored per game in their last 6 on home ice. OVER 6.5 -130 in Pittsburgh |
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03-20-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Charlotte -5.5 | Top | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Charlotte 49ers -5.5 vs Milwaukee Panthers @ 7:30 ET - Not only do the 49ers have a built-in rest edge here since they played on Saturday while the Panthers played yesterday on Saturday, note that Milwaukee had to go to OT to get that win yesterday. I feel UWM could be a little worn out here as they also like to play at a faster tempo than Charlotte. The 49ers are capable of slowing this game down and frustrating the Panthers with solid defense. Note that Charlotte has held teams in the 50s and 60s in many of their recent games. At the same time, Milwaukee has allowed 82 ppg in going 4-3 last 7 games and no that does not include OT points of course. This is the time of year when a team with stronger defensive capabilities can really turn up the heat on an opponent and frustrate them and that is what I see happening here. I feel there was a depth of stronger teams in the CUSA that were deeper and stronger then what we saw in the Horizon League this season. I am always hesitant to lay points and love backing dogs but this is absolutely the right situation to expect a blowout win by double digits for the home team. 10* CHARLOTTE -5.5 |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | Top | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday Top Play Miami Hurricanes +2 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 8:40 ET - The Hoosiers are off an 11-point win over Kent State Friday. Indiana must have dominated, right? Hardly! The Golden Flashes were a ridiculous 15 of 48 from the field inside the arc. To put that in proper perspective, the Hoosiers made 24 of 48 from inside the 3-point line. So, give Indiana credit for sure but at the same time you can expect there will be no such disparity here. Repeat of that is unlikely and though I am extremely impressed with Trayce Jackson-Davis, as most everyone is, the fact is that the more complete overall team in this match-up is Miami. I look for the Hurricanes defense to help lead the way to an upset here and to be the difference-maker in this one. Miami had to turn up the heat on defense to get past Drake in the first round. The Bulldogs are a solid team and it was impressive and a big confidence booster that the Canes were down 7 at one point in 2nd half and rallied but then fell behind by 8 and again had to rally! The Hurricanes outscored Drake by 16-1 to close out the game and I like the leadership, poise and defensive intensity seen from the Canes in that one. Keep in mind, losses for the Canes have been few and far between this season and, prior to losing in the ACC tourney to Duke, the Hurricanes 4 losses in the 12-4 stretch leading into that game were by an average margin of just 2 points! Given that fact, though I expect the upset here, we'll grab the couple points just in case! Top Play MIAMI +2 |
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03-19-23 | Raptors v. Bucks -8 | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Milwaukee Bucks -8 vs Toronto Raptors @ 8:10 ET - Bucks are off a loss. Raptors have won 3 straight but all those games were at home for Toronto. The Raptors have not traveled well at all this season. Milwaukee has been fantastic off a loss for months now. That said, this is the ideal spot to the lay the points with a home team poised to win this by at least a dozen points. In their recent loss to the Pacers, the Bucks saw Indiana come back from double digit 3rd quarter deficit. But it was all because the Pacers shot lights out from 3 point land. It was a crazy performance as Indiana simply would not miss from outside. For the game, the Pacers outscored the Bucks by 33 points from 3-point land. As you would guess, that was the difference in the game. But, after one like that, you know Milwaukee is going to be hungry to bounce back here. The Bucks are 7-1 last 8 times when off a loss. 16 of Bucks last 21 wins by at least 8 points. The home team has been the winner in 12 of last 14 Raptors games. Toronto's last 5 losses have featured 4 by at least 8 points. Given the situation and the Raptors road struggles, I sense a bounce back blowout from a well-rested Bucks team as they have had since Thursday night to stew about the loss and get fired up for this game. MILWAUKEE -8 |
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03-19-23 | Canucks v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:07 ET - The Canucks in a B2B spot so that means Demko unlikely to draw a 2nd straight start. When anyone other than Demko has been in goal for Vancouver, they have generally struggled. However, the Canucks are scoring well and are taking on a Ducks team giving up piles of goals. So this one sets up well to be a high-scoring game. Vancouver has won 7 of 9 games and scored about 4 goals per game in those 7 victories. 12 of last 14 Canucks games without Demko guarding the cage have totaled at least 7 goals and this one should too. The Ducks last 3 games all have totaled at least 9 goals. Most recent meeting totaled 5 goals between these teams but this followed a game totaling 13 the first time they met this season. Look for a crazy high-scoring battle here given the situation for a surging Vancouver team here. OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
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03-19-23 | Devils v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - B2B spot for both club and, though they both saved their top goalies for this match-up, neither goalie has been overly great of late. Vasilevskiy has allowed at least 3 goals in 6 of last 8 starts and has allowed an average of nearly 4 goals in last 6 home starts! The Lightning enter this game having scored an average of 4 goals per game last 3 games but Devils should get their fair share of goals here too. New Jersey has scored an average of 4 goals per game last 7 road games. Vanecek likely to start here but he has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of last 7 starts. In fact, other than one rare strong shutout performance, he has allowed an average of 4 goals last 6 starts. More of the same expected here and the Bolts off a 5-3 win yesterday. The Devils off a 4-2 loss where they gave up four 3rd period goals. New Jersey knows they should have been more aggressive to pad their lead and will be more aggressive tonight as a result. OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State +3 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
NCAA Sunday Kansas State Wildcats +3 vs Kentucky Wildcats @ 2:40 ET - I fell short with my play on Providence Friday but will come right back with a play against Kentucky again here as the situation is similar so some of this write-up may be familiar to you as well. This line has moved toward Kentucky and I understand the move. This is a contrarian play on my part. People are looking at a rock solid UK team and Kentucky is annually one of the top programs in the country. They also see a #6 seed laying a small number to a #3 seed that had the benefit of facing a #14 seed in round one. They also see that Kentucky dominated the boards against Providence. However, that will not happen against this Kansas State team but yet people also see a K-St team that entered this tourney losers of 2 straight and also 6 of last 7 road games. So what do I see? I see odds makers that are sharp! This Kansas State team is a #3 seed with good reason and is the real deal. The Big 12 is a tough conference. Keep in mind too that Kentucky had lost 2 of 3 entering the tournament and both losses were to Vanderbilt. The Commodores are a solid team for sure but they are not in the Big Dance for a reason. Payback time for us here after losing with the Friars Friday when we went against Kentucky. I feel this game has an excellent shot to be an outright upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. KANSAS STATE +3 |
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03-19-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Rapid @ 1 ET - Not only have 5 straight CFR Cluj matches in league action totaled at least 3 goals these matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. Getting a total of 2 goals here is a great value! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals in last 14 matches as a host in league action. As for Rapid, 17 of last 20 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 17 matches averaged 3 goals per match and this one should get to that number too! OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-19-23 | Fulham v. Manchester United -1 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
English FA Cup Sunday Manchester United -1 -145 vs Fulham @ 12:30 ET - I like the ability to get Manchester United at -1 goal here. They should dominate this one in the quarterfinals. They have gone 4-0 with one draw in their last 5 meetings with Fulham and they won those 4 matches by a an average score of 3-1 which is the type of match I am expecting here. Looking at EPL results for guidance here, note that Manchester United has lost just once in 13 home matches this season and has outscored the opposition 24 to 8. As for Fulham, they have 6 road losses in their 13 EPL matches away from home and this is, of course, a tough match-up. Overall, in all competitions, Man U has allowed a TOTAL of only ONE goal in last THREE matches while Fulham has allowed THREE goals in EACH of last TWO matches! Look for a home blowout here. MANCHESTER UNITED -1 -145 |
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03-19-23 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Look for Crystal Palace to get a jolt with the firing of their manager Friday. However, Arsenal will still prove to be too much. The point is though that I do expect Palace to finally get something going offensively after their manager and 3 other coaches had their duties with the club terminated on Friday. Crystal Palace will give a better effort here and Arsenal does have some defensive injuries so don't be surprised if Palace gets a goals here. However, Arsenal is a huge favorite here for a reason and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final if not 3-1 or even 3-0 or 4-1 works fine for our purposes here as we just need 3 goals to be a winner! Arsenal off a frustrating 1-1 result against Sporting Lisbon in Europe League action in which they lost on penalty kicks. Arsenal entered that match having averaged 3 goals scored per match in their 6 matches across all competitions preceding that one. With that said, look for a huge response from the hosts here and they should be relentless on the attack throughout as they make up for that disappointment in the Europa League. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-18-23 | Northwestern +7.5 v. UCLA | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Northwestern Wildcats +7.5 @ UCLA Bruins @ 8:40 ET - I often like to refer to the saying that the odds makers are the sharpest people in the room. The point is that, as we all know, the numbers they put out are so often spot on. That said, the low total on this game is telling you that this game is very likely to be grinder. Both these teams are solid defensively. That said, I love having sizable points in a low-scoring grinder and here we can get 7.5 with a Wildcats team that has been playing very solid basketball for a long time. Northwestern just beat a solid Boise State team while higher-seeded UCLA had a much easier draw in the first round. Of course they earned it but I feel that could come back to bite the Bruins here. This Wildcats team is so strong and feisty and so battle-tested. I was a little down on the Pac-12 this season and think the Big Ten was much deeper. That is not to say the Bruins are not the class of the Pac-12 or that they are not very strong because they absolutely are. But, the point is, they did not face the depth of quality opponents that the Wildcats had to deal with on a regular basis throughout the conference portion of the campaign. Note too that Northwestern had a 1-point loss to Auburn in non-conference action and of the only 4 losses they have had since early February, the Wildcats had 2 losses in OT and another loss by just 4 points. This Cats team is tough to blowout and I expect this game to go to the wire so we have excellent value here with the points. NORTHWESTERN +7.5 |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NCAA Saturday Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 7:45 ET - Texas is playing great and deserves all the accolades they are getting for sure. I have been riding with the Longhorns quite often this season. However, this is a much tougher match-up for them. They go from facing a #15 seed in Colgate to facing a tough Big Ten team that just knocked off a solid SEC team in impressive fashion. Penn State did not just beat the Aggies Thursday, they dominated in that game from mid-first period on. They took the lead at that point, widened it by half-time, and then no matter how hard Texas A & M tried to battle back the Nittany Lions just kept on answering. Yes, Andrew Funk shot lights out in that game but keep in mind it was at Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines and this game is too. That means it is unlikely he completely cools off here. Plus even if he just shoots a more normal shooting percentage in that game it still would have led to a PSU win as they won that game by 17. That said, I also certainly like having the 5.5 points on our side in this one. The Lions last 4 losses are by an average margin of just 4.8 points and this is a team that has won 9 of last 11 games too. All the pressure on Texas here and I feel it catches up with them in this one. PENN STATE +5.5 |
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03-18-23 | Maple Leafs v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Maple Leafs are in a back to back and Samsonov started last night's 5-2 win which means it will likely be a struggling Murray between the pipes tonight. He has allowed 4 goals in 5 straight starts. However, the good news for him is he should get plenty of goal support here. That's because the Senators have been having goalie issues of their own. Ottawa has lost 5 of 6 games and allowed 5 goals per game during this stretch. However, the Senators have been scoring well and though Murray would like to have a strong start against his former club here, I just do not see that happening in this one based on his current form. Also, the Sens have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 11 games. This one truly has a shot for each club to get to 4 goals but certainly at least 3 is doable given all the above and, of course, a 3-3 game means nothing less than a 4-3 final. OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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03-18-23 | Hurricanes v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 5:07 ET - Flyers off a 5-2 win but had allowed 5 or more goals in 3 of 4 games before that. Also, Philly used top goalie Hart in goal last night so he won't go tonight. The Hurricanes are also in a B2B spot and allowed 5 goals in last night's loss and have now lost 3 of 4 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game. The Canes should bounce back and score well here. They are priced as a heavy money line favorite on the road for a reason. But they are likely to struggle to shut down Flyers on home ice too. Philly off that 5-2 home win and we get value because the last meeting between these teams was a 1-0 final. Note the prior two this season averaged 9 goals and each totaled at least 7 goals and I feel strongly that this one will too! OVER 6 in Philadelphia |
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03-18-23 | Burnley v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Quarterfinals Saturday OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Burnley @ 1:45 ET - Burnley plays much more of a free-flowing attacking style under Vincent Kompany compared to they defensive style they had under Sean Dyche. This should lead to plenty of goals here no matter who sits and who plays for Manchester City here. Note that City has scored 2.8 goals per match in winning each of last 5 meetings with Burnley. Also, Manchester City enters this match off a huge 7-0 win versus RB Leipzig and they continue piling up goals at home. Burnley is having a huge season and scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their English League Championship campaign. City is scoring an average of 3.3 goals in English Premier League matches when they are at home. OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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03-18-23 | Leicester v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Leicester @ 11 AM ET - We should see plenty of scoring here as the last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Also, on the season in EPL action, Leicester's average score in road matches is averaging 4 goals! Brentford's average score in home matches is a 2-1 aggregate score totaling 3 goals! That said, looking for at least 3, if not 4, goals in this one! Take advantage of the rather low total here as we got solid line value here. OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-18-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 105 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Tottenham @ 11 AM ET - I know recent trending from these clubs might scare you with this over but note that Southampton has been aggressive on the attack but just has not been getting the results. On their home pitch, they could surprise here. I also like the fact that Tottenham finally got going on the attack in a 3-1 victory in most recent EPL match. It had been a long-time coming and I look for the Hotspur to build off that as they now face the club in the basement of the league table. Though Southampton is having a rough season, there have been some signs they are about to turn it around...at least in terms of creating goal-scoring chances. That said, I like the fact that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals as well! Note that the 5 matches averaged 4.4 goals and I look for yet another high-scoring battle between these clubs here. OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney TOP PLAY Friday Kent State Golden Flashes +4.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 9:55 ET - The Hoosiers have a big-time star in Trayce Jackson-Davis. He had another huge game in the Big Ten Tourney against Penn State. That is the good news. The bad news is that the Hoosiers still lost the game as the Nittany Lions prevailed. As for Kent State, they are not adverse to playing with the big boys so to speak. Yes, the Golden Flashes are a MAC team but they faced both Houston and Gonzaga in non-conference action this season. Kent State put a scare into both the Cougars and the Bulldogs before falling just short in each game by an average margin of only points. That said, Indiana is a rock solid team but they are not quite on the level of Gonzaga and Houston as those teams have only lost a combined 8 games this season. As for the Hoosiers, they started this season 7-0 and have since gone 15-11. Also, if you look at Indiana's last 9 games entering this tournament, they have only 2 wins by more than 3 points! There is great value here with the Golden Flashes getting 4.5 points in this one. Kent only lost 3 non-conference match-ups this season and the 3 teams have a combined record of 90-12! These guys can play with anyone and will not be intimidated here and have veteran leadership with 3 seniors leading the way. TOP PLAY Kent State +4.5 |
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03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks -4 | Top | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Friday Atlanta Hawks -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:40 ET - The Warriors have been horrible on the road this season. The Hawks are solid at home. Golden State will be without the suspended Draymond Green for this one. Additionally, GS could be without Steph Curry due to a left thumb injury. Even if he plays, Curry just scored 50 points at LA against the Clippers and the Warriors still lost the game by 8 points. That is ridiculous but it shows you just how mediocre this GS team is these days. Atlanta takes advantage. The Hawks are off B2B losses but are 6-0 SU the last 6 times they have entered a game off B2B losses. Also, 4 of the last 5 of those wins in that situation came by a margin of at least 5 points. Considering all the Warriors issues right now, this one should too. ATLANTA -4 |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Friday Providence Friars +4.5 vs Kentucky Wildcats @ 7:10 ET - This line has moved toward Kentucky and I understand the move. This is a contrarian play on my part. People are looking at a rock solid Wildcats team and UK is annually one of the top programs in the country. They also see a #6 seed laying a small number to a #11 seed. They also see a Providence team that enters this tourney losers of 3 straight. So what do I see? I see odds makers that are sharp! This Friars team is the real deal. The Big East is a tough conference. Keep in mind too that Kentucky has lost 2 of 3 and both losses were to Vanderbilt. The Commodores are a solid team for sure but they are not in the Big Dance for a reason. I also like the fact here that Bryce Hopkins is now a star player for Providence after not getting much playing time in Kentucky. Watch him show up big here against his former club as he has been huge the for Friars and you know he is relishing this opportunity. Payback time for him here. Hopkins and the Friars have an excellent shot at the upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. PROVIDENCE +4.5 |
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03-17-23 | Blues v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - The Blues games just keep flying over the total. 6 of last 8 St Louis games have totaled at least 7 goals and all 8 of them totaled at least 6 goals. The 8 games averaged 8.5 goals apiece! The Capitals last 9 games averaged nearly 8 goals per game and 2 of last 3 games at home for Washington have totaled 9 goals! Considering both these clubs getting shaky goaltending and defense but also have plenty of weapons capable of finding the back of the net, this should be another high-scoring game here. Capitals have scored an average of 4 goals last 9 games. Blues have scored an average of 4 goals last 7 games. Don't be surprised if we see a 5-4 game here given the above but certainly we should get to at least a 4-3 type of affair here. OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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03-17-23 | Newcastle United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Friday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - Solid line value here because Newcastle is favored for a reason of course but Nottingham has scored at least 1 goal in all but one of their home matches this season. So as bad as Nottingham is in terms of scoring away from home they usually put up a strong fight at home. At the same time, Newcastle knows they need to be more aggressive and start making sure they pick up 3 points in the table rather than being stuck on draws earning just 1 point. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Nottingham desperate to avoid relegation and it looks like it is going to be a fierce battle in that regard which makes the full 3 points even more important. Newcastle has allowed 1.6 goals in last 5 matches. Nottingham allowing 2 goals per match on the season. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-17-23 | SV Werder Bremen v. Borussia Monchengladbach OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen @ 3:30 ET - The last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 6 goals! Borussia Monchengladbach is scoring an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Also, Werder Bremen is conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. However, Werder Bremen should also score well here as they have scored 7 goals in the last 2 meetings and have averaged scoring 2 goals in last 3 matches overall. Also, Borussia Monchengladbach has one scoreless draw last 5 matches but, in the other 4, they allowed 3.3 goals per match. OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach |
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03-17-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Iowa State | Top | 59-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Pittsburgh Panthers +5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 3:10 ET - As mentioned in my write-up on Pittsburgh in Tuesday's win over Mississippi State, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Cyclones also played powerful Kansas in their Big 12 Tourney loss, but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Iowa St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season based on their current 6-11 run since their 13-2 start. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard in this one and be very difficult for Iowa State to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Iowa State here as they advance all the way to the Sweet 16 last year so expectations are high and the pressure is on the Cyclones to avoid an early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. PITTSBURGH +5 |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5 or +3 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 9:55 ET - This is a contrarian play but you can just sense what is about to happen if you are a believer in the contrarian theory like I am. The thing is the Aggies were bitter with the committee last season and then perhaps that resulted in them being under-seeded here this season. But how about what that has set up for them? A win here and they likely would be facing Texas next unless Colgate pulls off a monumental upset. So the point is that it is almost unavoidable that Texas A & M already has one eye on facing big-time in-state rival Longhorns. Yes they do not meet often like they did before the Aggies bolted to the SEC but it is still a big rivalry in Texas. That said, don't be surprised if there is a slight distraction here for the Aggies. That said, all it takes is a little distraction and a solid Big Ten team like Penn State can swoop in and take advantage. The Aggies just got hammered by Alabama by nearly 20 points in the SEC Championship Game while the Nittany Lions lost by only 2 points to the Nittany Lions. Each of last 5 losses by PSU were by only a single digit margin. This line simply looks funny to me and I feel we are getting excellent situation to back the Lions for the mild upset because the odds makers are telling us something here with this very low line on the Aggies in this one. PENN STATE +2.5 or +3 |
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03-16-23 | Stars v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars @ 9:05 ET - The Oilers 20 of last 27 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Edmonton has scored an average of 4.6 goals per game last 11 on home ice. The Oilers do struggle to stop teams more often than not and have allowed 4 goals per game last 9 games. Edmonton matched up with Dallas should mean plenty of goals as the Stars have had 7 straight games total at least 7 goals! Dallas is off a 5-2 loss but the Stars had scored an average of 4.8 goals per game in their 8 games before that one. Yes, the Oilers have some injury issues here but just can not see anything other than a high-scoring battle happening in Alberta for this Western Conference battle. OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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03-16-23 | Colgate v. Texas -13 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Texas Longhorns -13 vs Colgate Raiders @ 7:25 ET - I know that Colgate has strong shooters but Texas is so strong defensively and just beat Kansas by 20 points to capture the Big 12 title. The Raiders lost by just 7 in the Big Dance last year but faced a Wisconsin team that certainly was built much differently than this Longhorns team is. Also, the prior year Colgate lost by 17 to Arkansas in the NCAA Tourney. Also, I like the fact that this line has ticked down a little bit. Keep in mind, UT has allowed only 55.5 points last 4 games. Colgate has won 9 straight games but the level of competition different of course plus, in the last 7 victories, the Raiders have allowed an average of 71 ppg! That is much different than the Horns recent average and then when you factor in the difference in level of competition you can see why I am expecting this one to be a blowout in the 20-point range. Fade the line move here. TEXAS -13 |
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03-16-23 | Canadiens v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - Florida won the first two games in high-scoring fashion by scores of 7 to 2 and 6 to 2. Look for another wild one here as Montreal enters this game with 5 of last 6 games having totaled at least 7 goals. The Canadiens are off a 6-4 win after an 8-4 loss. The Panthers had been on a surprising mini-streak of lower-scoring games but things seem to be quickly returning to normal now as Florida is off B2B high-scoring games. 12 of last 17 Panthers home games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one should too. OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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03-16-23 | Illinois v. Arkansas OVER 144 | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday OVER 144 in Arkansas Razorbacks vs Illinois Illini @ 4:30 ET - I just do not trust either team defensively here and I like the pacing with which both these teams should play here. Note that Illinois was 3-5 in final 8 games of the season and, not including OT points, allowed at least 69 points in 7 of 8 games. In fact, those 8 games saw the Illini allow an average of 74 points per game. As for the Razorbacks, they lost 4 of their last 5 games and allowed an average of 78 points per game in those 5 games. Also, Arkansas did score at least 76 points in 5 of 6 games before bowing out in the SEC Tourney against Texas A & M. Given all these numbers and this line right around a pick'em, you can see why I am projecting a game in which each team gets into the 75 point range and that pushes this game into the 150s this afternoon. OVER 144 in Arkansas |
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03-16-23 | Sporting Lisbon v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first match between these clubs was a 2-2 draw and that means both clubs are motivated to be on the attack here early on and getting that early goal will be top of mind and force the other club to fight back. The thing is that Arsenal has allowed some goals recently with, prior to the 3-0 win over Fulham, having given up 2 goals apiece against Sporting Lisbon and AFC Bournemouth. As for Sporting Lisbon they will be missing a mid-field and a centre-back here which should make the Arsenal attack even more successful. Sporting Lisbon has averaged 2.4 goals scored last 5 matches and Arsenal is on their home pitch here plus has scored an average of 3 goals last 4 matches. Honestly 3-2 would not surprise me at all here and certainly we should get to at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal |
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03-16-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 107 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi vs U Craiova 1948 @ 3 ET - Neither club has been scoring well recently in last few matches but Sepsi is on their home pitch and they have to push hard here. That is because they are 1 point behind U Craiova 1948 so they can not settle for a draw here as then they would remain behind them in the standings. This is the final match of the regular season so it does carry some extra importance in this regard. So Sepsi pushes hard for that first goal but also U Craiova 1948 then will need to push too because they need at least a draw here to remain ahead of Sepsi in the standings. That said, I just can not envision this match not getting to at least a 2-1 final due to the motivational factors here. OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi |
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03-15-23 | Islanders v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs New York Islanders @ 10:05 ET - Islanders are in a B2B spot and off a 5-2 loss after also losing their prior game 5-1. Off B2B losses they should respond here but now both Sorokin and Varlamov have struggled in goal in the past two games. So Isles will respond with goals here, especially against a suspect Ducks defense that allows a ton of shots and also has been having some shakiness in goal. However, the Islanders in tough spot defensively and in goal and Anaheim will take advantage too. But as for the Ducks goaltending, Gibson was playing better but then he allowed 4 goals in most recent start and that was 2nd time last 3 starts that he has struggled. As for the other netminder, Dostal, he has allowed 4.5 goals per game in his last 4 starts. So, either way, reason to expect solid scoring from both clubs here no matter the netminders. Also, consider this stat from Isles home games: 9 of last 12 have totaled at least 6 goals and these dozen games have averaged 7.4 goals per game! More of the same here as this one should get to at least 6 without a problem as this looks like one of those games where each club has strong odds of getting to at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 5.5 in Anaheim |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +2.5 vs Arizona State Sun Devils @ 9:10 ET - The Mountain West was quite solid this season and that is absolutely a factor in this play for me. Yes, Arizona State comes from the perceived tougher conference since they are from the Pac-12. However, the Sun Devils started the season 15-3. That means ASU is entering this game having lost 9 of 16 games. Indeed, Arizona State is on a 7-9 run so it is hard to be excited about this team right now in my opinion. As for Nevada, they have lost 3 straight games but the last two were in OT and one of those was in double-OT! That said, very tight losses for the Wolf Pack and all of this preceded by a a 22-7 start to the season! Of their 10 losses his season, 4 were by a single digit margin in regulation and another 3 were decided in overtime! They are ultra-competitive and match up well with the Sun Devils. That said, I am expecting an outright upset here but a loss by just a 1 or 2 point margin would not shock me either and we would still get the cash. Roll with the underdog Wolf Pack in this one! 10* NEVADA +2.5 |
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03-15-23 | 76ers -140 v. Cavs | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -140 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - This line is a -2.5 so I am going to recommend laying a little extra juice to have any SU win by the 76ers also be a win for us at the betting window. The Sixers have had a lot of tight wins this season and I do not want to get burned if they win this game by only a point or two. Philly beat Cleveland by 6 recently but had a huge lead in that game and then relaxed at home. They will not make the same mistake here plus Allen and Mitchell were healthy for that game for the Cavaliers but neither are healthy now. That said, I am expecting them to each play tonight but not to be 100 percent. Couple that with the fact this is a B2B spot for the Cavs and with travel involved and you have a great set-up here for a rested Sixers team! Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -140 |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | Top | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2.5 vs Texas Southern Tigers @ 6:40 ET - The Knights got a new head coach and he has been a winner in his career and brought the winning to Fairleigh Dickinson immediately. It was a big turnaround from last season for the Knights and similar to my successful selection on Pittsburgh yesterday (Panthers also off a turnaround season) I feel Fairleigh Dickinson will follow the same storyline here. They have won 16 of 25 games since a slow start to the season. Conversely, the Tigers are just 14-20 this season and went 7-11 in a weak SWAC and plus lost their 3 final regular season games before getting hot in their conference tourney. Give them credit for making it but this team is so much weaker than the one that went 18-12 last season and then knocked off Texas A & M Corpus Christi the First Four last March. That said, there is a reason this line opened up around a pick'em on Texas Southern. People like them with the experience edge here but I am fading that as I like the coaching of the Knights and they were the stronger overall team winning 64% of their last 25 games and now have built confidence. Grab the points but we should not need them. 10* FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +2.5 |
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03-15-23 | Liverpool v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Champions League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Liverpool @ 4 ET - Liverpool has to go for it here. They were up 2-0 in the first match and then lost 5-2 to Real Madrid. Down 3 goals on the aggregate, Liverpool has no choice but to be aggressive here. Of course this will be dangerous as Real Madrid can do damage on the counterattack. This is particularly true with Benzema expected back for this one for the hosts. That said, the result should be plenty of scoring in this match. Remember Liverpool did recently thrash Manchester United 7-0 so there is some sliver of hope here for the Reds though it would take a minor miracle of course to win big on the road here at Real Madrid. That said, I am simply looking for a score-fest here as Liverpool must be aggressive throughout in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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03-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line -1 -130 vs Crystal Palace @ 3:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been horrible of late not only in terms of scoring goals but in terms of even registering a shot on goal. That said, just can not see them keeping up with a Brighton & Hove club that is on their home pitch and has had plenty of multi-goal outputs this season. I am looking for a 2-0 type final here. Brighton & Hove still seeking redemption for frustrating 1-1 draw at Crystal Palace in mid-February. This is payback time here and Palace has not scored in 3 straight matches while the hosts in this one have scored 3 goals per match last two matches. 10* BRIGHTON Goal Line -1 -130 |
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03-15-23 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Southampton vs Brentford @ 3:30 ET - I know that Southampton is off a scoreless draw with Manchester United but both clubs had plenty of scoring chances and that one is serving to give us some line value here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3.7 goals per match and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. Southampton will respond at home here after being delivered a clean sheet last week but Brentford is favored here with good reason. I am looking for the Bees to take this 2-1 but regardless of the winner I feel the best value is the over because I expect both clubs to find the back of the net and neither team to settle for a draw. Southampton can move out of the relegation spots by picking up a full 3 points in the table here and Brentford also pushing hard for a full 3 points after their 12-match unbeaten run came to an end last week with a tough loss. Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals in going 2-0-2 since the start of February and will get back on track here. But the Saints put up a tough fight at home here as they host the Bees. The result should be at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vancouver Canucks vs Dallas Stars @ 10:05 ET - I know the Canucks are getting better goaltending since Demko came back. However, he was in goal they faced Dallas a few weeks ago and it was his first game back. Yes he could have been rusty but actually he got the chance to shake the rust off in the first period and did. It was 3-1 Vancouver after one period. However, he then allowed 3 goals the rest of the way in the eventual 5-4 OT win for the Canucks. So the point is, don't be surprised if Dallas again scores well here plus the Stars are in a B2B after winning 5-2 at Seattle last night. So the point is that the Stars are in a tough spot for their defense and goaltending. I expect this to result in plenty of goals here. Dallas has won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 5 goals last 8 games! The Stars have allowed an average of 3.2 goals last 11 games. I just can't see either team failing to get to 3 goals given numbers like this. Note also that the Canucks have won 4 straight games and scored an average of 3.5 goals in these 4 victories. Vancouver has played 33 home games this season and 24 of them have totaled at least 6 goals. That is 73% of Canucks home games getting to the 6-goal mark this season so we have great value here with this total at 6 and considering the situation. 5-4 again? I am saying at least 4-3 here! 10* OVER 6 in Vancouver |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 9:10 ET - I hesitate to oversimplify things but I can not help myself here so I will. First off, this line was around a pick'em and is now up to Mississippi State favored by 2.5 points. I love fading line moves and now at the risk of oversimplifying here it is. The Bulldogs opened the season 11-0 so we are talking about a team here that is 10-12 their last 22 games. Conversely, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Bulldogs also played powerful Alabama in their SEC Tourney loss. but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Miss St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season their their run since that 11-0 start. I also like the fact that both teams faced a solid Vandy team this season and the Panthers were ahead by 1 when the Commodores sank two free throws with 1 second left to win the game. Conversely, the Bulldogs were down quite big much of the 2nd half in their 5 point loss at Vandy which felt not even as close as that final score shows. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard here and be very hard to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Mississippi State here as they lost in first round of NIT last year and are desperate to fend off another early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. 10* PITTSBURGH +2.5 |
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03-14-23 | Senators v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators @ 9:05 ET - Big number here but just can not see this one finishing without plenty of goals. We need to get to 3-3 to guarantee no worse than a push but I am confident we'll see 8 or more scored here. Edmonton is back home after a long road trip. Oftentimes when back home after a lengthy road trip, Oilers games have seen plenty of scoring. They are coming off a 7-4 loss at Toronto to finish their trip back east so you know they will be fired up to respond big here. They have scored an average of 4.44 goals per game last 25 games! The Oilers also have allowed 4 goals per game last 15 games and no that does not included goals beyond regulation. As for the Senators, they have been dealing with goaltending injuries and it shows in terms of goals allowed but this team can still score well too. Ottawa lost the first meeting between these clubs 6-3 on home ice. Now they are on the road looking to wrap up this road trip with a success tonight but they have been unable to stop anyone of late. Ottawa has allowed 5 goals per game since Talbot got hurt. However, they also have scored an average of 4 goals last 9 games. Though that streak includes some struggles in the most recent games, they can get their top lines rolling strong again here against an Oilers team that certainly is not known for defense and that will be more than willing to play a wide-open game here. 10* OVER 7 in Edmonton |
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03-14-23 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets +1.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - These teams recently met in Denver and the Nuggets won that game. However, they have since lost 3 straight games. That has some significance here for sure because Denver has never lost 4 straight games this entire season. Also, the Nuggets have been on the road on a losing streak of at least 2 games just 2 times this entire season. Both times they won the next game and I expect that trend to continue here as they remain perfect in this situation and avoid what would be their first 4-game losing streak of the season. I expect Jamal Murray to play here. I am aware of his injury but feel he did not return in the most recent game more due to precautionary reasoning than anything else. Looking to avoid their longest losing streak of the season, Nuggets likely to put Murray back on the floor tonight. Either way, they should topple a Raptors team that also has struggled of late and, long-term has been struggling much more than this solid Nuggets team. Denver had won 4 straight and 12 of 15 before their current 3-game skid. Toronto, on the other hand, is just 12-12 last 24 games and has essentially been only a mediocre team this season. 10* DENVER +1.5 |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State +4 | Top | 75-71 | Push | 0 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +4 vs Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Lets face it. This is a match-up involving a pair of teams from a pair of weak conferences. I like a couple things though that sway this match-up in favor of the Redhawks. First off, we are getting 4 points and is nice to have the points on your side in what could be a tight finish. Secondly, speaking of tight finishes, SE Mo St had a 6 point lead with about a minute to go in their conference championship game. That game ended up going to OT and the Redhawks even trailed by 4 at one point in the OT. They rallied to win the game by 7 and punch their ticket to the NCAA Tourney. That kind of game and the finish it had is a huge boost for confidence. Thirdly, and definitely a last but NOT least, all the pressure is on the Islanders here. Texas A&M CC is supposed to win this game. Not only because they are favored but because they were here last year too and lost to Texas Southern in the First Four. Simply put, the Islanders must win this game or it will be a a major disappointment. That, ladies and gentlemen, is huge pressure. Not only that, they lost Terrion Murdix to a season-ending injury in their Conference Championship Game win. He is finished for the season and their season will end tonight most likely anyway. He is their starting point guard and leads the team in assists AND steals AND at the guard position he is the top rebounder. This is a major loss you don't replace so fast. Look for a loose and relaxed Redhawks team to topple a pressure-filled injury-hampered Islanders team in this one. 10* SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE +4 |
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03-14-23 | RB Leipzig v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Champions League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City vs RB Leipzig @ 4 ET - With the first meeting in RB Leipzig ending in a 1-1 draw, I feel certain that Manchester City is going to be relentless here on the attack as they let that match slip away after getting a 1-0 lead and trying to sit on it. Keep in mind, the two meetings between these clubs prior to that one saw an average of 6 goals scored including a wild 6-3 win here for Manchester City the last time they hosted. RB Leipzig is known for being a high-scoring club but, of course, so too is City. Here Manchester City is at home where they are at their best and they are entering this match off a tight 1-0 win at Crystal Palace. They entered that match having scored 3 goals per match in their 3 prior matches so I expect them to respond big here and get back to high-scoring ways considering the current 1-1 aggregate situation with RB Leipzig here too. I just do not see high-scoring RB Leipzig being shut out here and, of course, City is favored by a 1.5 margin on the goal line for a reason. In other words, look for a 3-1 type of match here as both clubs push hard with the pace and aggressiveness on the attack. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars @ 10:05 ET - The Stars continue to be involved in high-scoring games and I see no reason for that to end at Seattle. Each of the last 7 games have totaled at least 6 goals! Not only that, 6 of the 7 totaled at least 7 goals. Overall, these 7 games averaged 9 goals apiece and there is nothing average about that. The most recent game was a 4-3 OT win here in Seattle for the Stars and another one totaling at least 7 goals is likely here. 12 of last 15 Kraken games have totaled at least 6 goals. 7 straight Kraken home games have totaled at least 6 goals and 9 of last 10 and 10 of last 12. When Seattle is at home, the goals tend to flow. Look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 6 in Seattle |
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03-13-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 136-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - Bogdan Bogdanovic is questionable with a back injury and will not be 100 percent if he even does play in this game. I know Rudy Gobert is on the report as questionable for the Wolves but I would be very surprised if he did not play here. Either way, I like Minny in this solid scheduling spot. Timberwolves are coming off an OT loss and are 2-0 this season when off an OT loss and they are rested here. Minnesota is also actually 5-0 last 5 times they are entering a game off a loss by 7 or less points. Atlanta is off a loss so you might be thinking bounce back for them here too. But couple things about that. The Hawks gave up 134 points in that loss. Also, they have had very few standalone losses of late. The fact is when Atlanta is off win and then loses a game it has often been followed by a 2nd straight loss. Indeed, this has happened 5 of the last 6 times and I expect it to happen again here but we will grab the points as added insurance too. 10* MINNESOTA +5.5 |
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03-13-23 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7 goals +105 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:35 ET - Maple Leafs off a 7-4 win and have now allowed 3.4 goals per game last 5 games. Of course the Toronto attack has been impressive though too more often than not at home and they have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 7 games. 4 of last 6 home games have totaled at least 7 goals and more of the same on the way here. Buffalo's two games so far this season versus the Leafs have averaged 8 goals apiece. The Sabres also enter this game having allowed 4.5 goals per game in their last 16 games! Buffalo is averaging 3.65 goals per game on the season and that is why I have no hesitation in back the over here even though it is posted at a 7 but at least with no juice to lay. 10* OVER 7 goals +105 in Toronto |
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03-13-23 | Salernitana v. AC Milan OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan vs Salernitana @ 3:45 ET - AC Milan has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. However Salernitana has scored in each of the last two meetings as well including earning a 2-2 draw in one of those. AC Milan will be fired up here as they played a boring scoreless draw with Tottenham in most recent UEFA Champions League action plus they lost in most recent Italian Serie A action as well. That 2-1 loss to Fiorentina insures proper focus from AC Milan in this one and they get back on track with a big win. I know some of the metrics here will point toward an under but Salernitana has gone undefeated last two matches including a 3-0 win in one of those. They also have scored against AC Milan in each of last two meetings so they have multiple reasons for some extra confidence entering this one. However, the hosts are a large favorite for a reason and fully expected to win this match by a multiple-goal margin. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan |
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03-13-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Of course CFR Cluj is a pricey favorite for a reason here and I do expect them to roll in this one. Either way, looking for a lot of goals because Universitatea Cluj on a 5-game unbeaten run that has seen them average scoring 1.8 goals per match. Not only that, Universitatea Cluj won their most recent road match 1-0 but that was against a Hermannstadt club that struggles to score goals particularly at home. Prior to that 1-0 win, Universitatea Cluj had allowed an average of 2.1 goals per match their last 7 road matches. So you can see why I am expecting them to score well here but also to struggle to stop the opposition. That is particularly true when you when you consider that the opposition is one of the top clubs in the league and has been scoring well. CFR Cluj won the first meeting between these clubs 2-1 and also enters this match on fire in the goal-scoring department in their league matches. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches in league action. Overall, their last 5 matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and actually those averaged 4 goals apiece. Each of last 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
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03-13-23 | Voluntari v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Voluntari @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has allowed 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. Chindia Targoviste has been shutout in 3 straight matches but this is now their season finale and they are on their home pitch. Prior to the rough goal-less patch, Chindia Targoviste had scored an average of 1.8 goals in last 5 matches and they will get back on track here. Chindia Targoviste won first meeting with FC Voluntari 3-0 earlier this season and that was the 2nd time in last 3 meetings that the match had totaled 3 goals. Also, Chindia Targoviste enters this one with 14 of their last 16 matches having totaled at least 2 goals. FC Voluntari comes into this one on a surprising 3-match streak of clean sheets. That will not continue here. FC Voluntari is off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by 9 of last 11 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Each of last 5 matches for FC Voluntari that made it to the 2-goal mark actually got to the 3-goal mark and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators @ 9:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up involving the Ottawa total at Vancouver, the Senators have injury issues at goaltender position but continue to pile up goals of their own. Ottawa has won 6 of 8 games and scored at least 5 goals in all 6 victories. In fact, in their last 7 victories they have averaged 5.6 goals score per win! Talbot is now out again and that means Sogaard started yesterday and now that means Kevin Mandolese likely to get the start today. He has not played much at the NHL level and has struggled in the AHL so far this season. Calgary is off B2B lower-scoring games but overall Jacob Markstrom has often struggled in goal. He is off B2B stronger outings but had allowed 3 or more goals in 10 of 15 prior to that and that including allowing 4 or more in 7 of those! Considering that coupled with the fact the home-team Flames should score well in this one too against a struggling Sens defense, this one should find it's way at least 7. I would not be surprised, given the above, to see each team score 3 goals in this one and that would mean if would have to end at least at 4-3 at a minimum. 10* OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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03-12-23 | Thunder v. Spurs OVER 236.5 | Top | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 236.5 in San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Yes I am aware of the Spurs injury situation but this has precipitated a significant line move here on this total and we have solid value with the over. Remember when the Spurs finally played some defense and seemed to be improving things? It lasted all of about two games! Though off a win versus Denver they allowed 120 points in that game and have now allowed 128 ppg last 3 games. As for OKC, they are not defensive stalwarts either. The Thunder are off a 110-96 win at New Orleans but low-scoring results like that have been the exception rather than the rule of late for this team. Prior to that win over the Pelicans, the Thunder allowed 122 points per game last 8 games. You can see why I am expecting this match-up to get well into the 240s and yet this total has dropped in the mid-230s. I'll take advantage of the added line value. 10* OVER 236.5 in San Antonio |
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03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 104 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7 ET - The Golden Knights expected to start Jiri Patera and it will be his NHL debut. Tough spot for him on the road and facing a Blues team known for wild high-scoring games. St Louis likely to have Jordan Binnington between the pipes but no matter who goes I like the over here as it is set up nicely for plenty of goals. 4 of last 6 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals. St Louis has allowed 3.7 goals last 6 games and I also look for Vegas to allow plenty here too considering the goalie situation and the fact they are coming off a shutout win over Carolina. After a shutout like that against a strong club like the Hurricanes, teams often fall flat defensively in the next game. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 3:30 ET - I wanted to play Penn State here because they are playing with a lot of confidence and want to make up for the two ugly regular season losses to Purdue that were each by double digits. However, though I do expect this confident PSU team to score well as they are playing without pressure (this is Boilermakers game to not lose rather than Nittany Lions game to win), I just feel that they have no one to stop the 7'4 300 lb beast that is Zach Edey. No one really has anyone to stop this guy but the fact is Penn State is built for small ball. Unlike the prior match-ups though, PSU has now learned their lesson and will worry less about stopping him and more about simply looking to get super hot and outscore these guys with speed and quick passing and a killer outside game. It is their only choice here. The result should be plenty of points in this one in my opinion as the Nittany Lions hang around in this one and score very well but fail to stop the red hot and big bad Boilermakers. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers +6 vs Houston Cougars @ 3:15 ET - Ton of value here with Memphis. The Tigers are 25-8 this season and 2 of the losses came in OT (one was double OT) and overall, Memphis has only 2 loss by more than 6 points this entire season out of 33 games! One of those was by 7 points and one of them was by 8 points. So the point is, getting 6 points here, we are virtually guaranteed of at least having a chance to cover this game in terms of how all 33 of their other 33 games have played out this season! I like the double revenge angle here and the fact that Memphis was able to coast yesterday in a win by a 40-point margin. The Cougars are, of course, one of the best teams in the nation but the Tigers have given them more trouble than anyone else this season and this is one of those situations where third time absolutely could be the charm. Either way, even if the #1 ranked team in the country does not lose this game SU look for them to at least lose it ATS. Grab the points with the underdog in this one. 10* MEMPHIS +6 |
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03-12-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 3 ET - This one sets up well for plenty of goals based on the current trending of these two clubs plus current situation with the standings. I expect plenty of push from both clubs here to get points in the table. 5 of last 7 FCSB matches have totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, those 5 matches averaged 4 goals. 7 of last 12 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 3 goals and each of those dozen matches totaled 2 goals and actually averaged 3 goals apiece. So no matches of just a goal or less since October for Sepsi and these dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. That is value here with this total at 2.5 goals and I am looking for plenty of fireworks here. Given the situation now, look for a much different match than we saw in the 1-0 final earlier this season. Sepsi still has another match Thursday and they are pushing hard for points in the table here but you know FCSB is favored for a reason here in their season finale. Look for at least a 2-1 finish here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in FCSB |
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03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - This is a contrarian play but Newcastle simply must start winning again and, after facing a tough slate of opposition, they should go all out here at home against Wolverhampton. Note that the Wolves have been scoring more goals since Julen Lopetegui took over. They also have only 5 draws in 25 matches this season. Also, in the last 15 meetings between these clubs in premier league action, only 1 has been a match in which both teams did not score. In other words, history plus the situation here favors both clubs scoring. Newcastle has actually conceded 2 goals in 3 straight matches and has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. So I am projecting a 2-1 final here based on the above parameters and we get plus money here. I expect that, given the situation, Newcastle is finally going to be relentless on the attack here but I do expect Wolverhampton, rejuvenated under Lopetegui, to push hard in this one as well. They have scored 7 goals in last 5 matches and 3 in last 3 road matches. Newcastle is projected by most to win this match by a 1 goal margin and I am looking for a 2-1 final and will grab the plus money on this over. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United |
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03-12-23 | U Craiova 1948 +141 v. Hermannstadt | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 @ Hermannstadt @ 12:15 ET - U Craiova 1948 has gone undefeated last 10 matches with 3 draws and 7 wins. The 7 victories by a combined score of 15 to 3 and more domination likely here. Hermannstadt has scored just 1 goal in last 4 matches and that 1 goal did not result in a win either. So yes, a draw is a loss for us here but I love this money line as I fully expect U Craiova 1948 to go for the full 3 points in the table here and go hard for the win. The road club has gone undefeated last 10 overall while the home club is winless last 4 as a host. We'll take it! 10* U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 |
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03-12-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Fulham is hurting without Palhinha patrolling the midfield and it has made them more susceptible to opposing attacks as Brentford exposed them last week. This will be the 2nd of his 2-match ban and Arsenal is sure to take advantage. However, the Arsenal backline has not exactly been water-tight of late and Fulham at home should be able to have some success on the attack as well. The result should be solid scoring here. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals their last 6 matches across all competitions. Arsenal has seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 4 goals! We only need 3 here to be a winner and we should get at least that as Arsenal has only 1 draw in 13 road matches this season and odds favor each club scoring at least once here and that low draw rate for Arsenal means the odds also favor at least a 2-1 final here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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03-11-23 | Senators v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Ottawa Senators @ 10:05 ET - The Senators have injury issues at goaltender position but continue to pile up goals of their own. Ottawa has won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 5 goals in all 6 victories. In fact, in their last 7 victories they have averaged 5.6 goals score per win! Talbot is now out again and that means Sogaard likely to start. He allowed 4 goals in most recent start. Vancouver is off a 3-2 OT win versus Anaheim but, prior to this, 13 of last 17 Canucks games had totaled at least 7 goals. This one should too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-11-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 134-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics -4.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - So the Celtics are off a big home win Wednesday that ended a 3-games losing streak and now need to start another winning streak and they have had two days off prior to this game and start a 7-game road trip. They are fully focused, given the situation, on a very successful road trip and that should begin with taking advantage of a fatigued - mentally and physically - Hawks team. Atlanta not only is in a B2B spot but they are playing 3rd game in 4 days and those 2 wins were over a Wizards team that was right behind them in the division standings. Put another way, if Wizards had won both those games instead of Hawks, Washington would now be in front of Atlanta in the standings instead of it being the other way around. That said, the series in over the Wiz not only fatigued the Hawks physically but perhaps mentally too. 10* BOSTON -4.5 |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas -125 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks Money Line -125 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - Yes Texas has been hot and yes the Longhorns won the most recent meeting. However, Kansas had already won the Big 12 regular season title. Now this game is different. The Jayhawks are fully motivated and they are out for revenge! In that season-ending meeting, Dajuan Harris shot just 2 of 12 from the field. How unusual was this? Well, in his other 4 recent games he has made 23 of 36 from the field. In other words, that was absolutely an outlier for Harris and you know he will be ready to respond here. Also, Jalen Wilson was again a beast in that match-up for the Jayhawks and he is the Big 12 scoring leader and rebounding leader. Kansas just knocked off Iowa State yesterday despite hitting only 6 of 19 threes. The Jayhawks have been doing a great job of getting to the free throw line and this is going to be another physical battle with the Longhorns. This time Kansas is 100% focused and also they know what the Longhorns brought to the floor in terms of how they matched up and the way they played. Jayhawks perhaps even are rallying around the fact head coach Bill Self missing the tourney after a health issue. Like Texas, they are currently being coached by an assistant coach. Definitely have to like what we've seen from Jayhawks in this tourney thus far even without coach Self. At the same time, ton of respect for what Longhorns have been doing too. But the Jayhawks are just too talented and driven here and remember that in the first meeting between these teams this season, Texas lost by 8 even though Kansas made just 2 of 10 three pointers in that one. I feel, given all of the above, we have a lot of value here being able to take the Jayhawks at a very small price just to win this game without any concern for the spread. 10* KANSAS -125 |
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03-11-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 -105 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 3:35 ET - This is a rivalry game and the Flyers seem to lead the universe when it comes to 1-goal losses. That said, ton of value with the puck line here as Philly looks to make up for a 4-1 loss to the Pens in their meeting earlier this season. Not only do the Flyers have a knack for 1-goal losses, Pittsburgh just has not been overly impressive this season and blowout wins for them have been few and far between. In fact, the Penguins have lost 20 of last 34 games. Of those 34 games, only 6 have been Pittsburgh wins by more than a 1-goal margin. So that means if you took +1.5 goals against the Pens their last 34 games you have a glowing 28-6 record! Considering the rivalry situation and the upper office firing the Flyers organization just delivered to send a message, there is a ton of value with this puck line at +1.5 goals! We'll take it! 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -105 |
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03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Vanderbilt +6 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 3:30 ET - The Commodores are starting to believe they can do this! This Vanderbilt team has been red hot for a long-time and has carried that into this tournament and they will not let up here! Vandy has won 10 of 11 games and now just knocked off Kentucky. Also, unlike A & M, they did not have to rally back in yesterday's action like the Aggies did. Certainly there is a chance that the Texas A & M rally yesterday took a little something out of them for today. The Aggies were down double digits in the 2nd half of their win over Arkansas. Remember they were also losing to Alabama with under 5 minutes to go in their prior game in this SEC tourney. So the point is, how much will the Aggies have left here PLUS it is the Aggies that are laying 6 points in this match-up. I love having the points with this scrappy underdog Vandy. The Commodores led yesterday's 2nd half throughout in the eventual 7 point win over Kentucky. That was also the case in their win over LSU. This team is truly the definition of a "live dog" in a match-up like this with the Aggies. Yes, Texas A & M won the regular season meeting but they were at home for that. Also, that 6-point loss was a tie game with less than 2 minutes to go. 10* VANDERBILT +6 |
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03-11-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - These are two of the top clubs in the league yet both are off shutout losses. That sets this one up well for goals from both clubs and an eventual 2-1 final at a minimum in my opinion. Rapid, prior to last week, had been shutout 5 times this season. After those 5 matches they responded every single team and scored an average of 2.2 goals! As for Farul, they also had been shutout 5 times prior to last week's action. After those 5 matches they also responded in their very next match and averaged 1.8 goals in those 5. As you can see, the situational history here shows us a match that should get to 4 goals and we only need 3 to be a winner and if it lands on 2 it is still a push. A lot of value here and we will not pass up the investment opportunity here. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul |
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03-11-23 | Manchester City v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - We get line value here because Crystal Palace is not expected to score much, if at all, in this one. However, I do expect them to find the back of the net at least once as they are on their home pitch and I am expecting Manchester City to be aggressive on the attack which could give the hosts some opportunities on the counterattack as well. So all factors considered, this one shapes up for a 3-1 final the way I see it. That said, even if City wins but only by a goal (2-1) or if Palace fails to score but City still rolls 3-0 you can see that we cash our ticket here courtesy of the low total. The fact is City has their attack rolling again and has averaged 3 goals per match last 3 matches. As for Palace, they are averaging 1 goal scored per home match. Also, the last meeting between these clubs was a 4-2 final. Even if we only get half of that here we cash in. I like our chances in that regard. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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03-11-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10:30 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice here but having the over at 2 goals is an exceptional value. Petrolul Ploiesti off 1-0 loss but, prior to that, their last 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! Only 3 of the 21 matches failed to get to the 2-goal mark. As for FC Arges, their two matches in March have been low-scoring but, prior to this, their last 11 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece and only 2 of the 11 matches failed to reach the 2-goal mark. Excellent value here and you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and, by the way, no team has fewer draws (3) than Petrolul Ploiesti this season and that means look for at least a 2-1 final here as the visitors also are inclined to go for the full 3 points in the table due to their current positioning there. This is the final week of the regular season. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges |
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03-11-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Tottenham -1.5 goals +125 vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Tottenham has played horribly of late so this is the perfect spot for them to bounce back in a big way. The Hotspur are at home and hosting a Nottingham Forest club that has won only one road match all season and been outscored by an aggregate of 29 to 3 in away matches on the season! I know they have been more competitive of late but you still can not ignore their road struggles. Tottenham has struggled badly in non-league action but within the league and in home matches they have been solid. The Hotspur have won 9 of 13 home matches and scored an average of 2 goals per match. So in this one they should get a multi-goal win the way I see it. History is on their side with each of the last 4 meetings (including two recent ones in 2022) featuring multi-goal wins for Tottenham. The aggregate score of the victories was 10 to 1 and this shapes up to be another blowout. 10* TOTTENHAM -1.5 goals +125 |
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03-10-23 | TCU v. Texas -130 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -130 vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:30 ET - First off, I am recommending playing the money line here rather than laying 2 points with the Longhorns. I really like Texas here but do not want to get burned if they win the game by 2 (push) or 1 (loss). If we lay the 2 we have to win by 3, here any win cashes for us and I have been too frequently burned on tight games of late. Lets make sure a Horns win is a win we cash at the counter too! This is a revenge game for Texas because they lost by 2 points to TCU in most recent meeting. In that one the Longhorns had 8 more shots from the field but they shot poorly in that game. So they lost to the Horned Frogs despite TCU having twice as many turnovers in the game as that factor was 22 to 11. Additionally, the Horns Timmy Allen did not play yesterday and I truly feel that was more precautionary than anything else and he should be back out there today. The Horns felt they could save him for this game is what I truly feel. He will have fresh legs as a result but, even if he does not play, note that he only had 6 points and was limited by foul trouble in that 2-point loss to the Frogs. In other words, he is just a bonus here but I do expect the senior leader and leading rebounder of this team to indeed be back tonight. Even if Allen does not play, the other factors will lead to a win. The Longhorns off another strong defensive effort and throughout this season they have proven more often than TCU that they are build well to win grinders. They grind out another win here. Horned Frogs off big win versus Kansas State yesterday but had lost 6 of last 9 games heading into that one. The Longhorns have allowed 59 points or less in 3 of last 5 games. The Horned Frogs have allowed at least 63 points in 12 straight games and only allowed less than 70 ONCE in TEN games prior to yesterday 80 to 67 win. The better and more disciplined defensive team prevails here. 10* TEXAS -130 |
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03-10-23 | Connecticut v. Marquette +4 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles +4 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 6:30 ET - Marquette won in overtime yesterday so they have no chance to win this game. Seriously that is what the betting markets seem to think with the Huskies now a 4 point favorite in this one. Both Connecticut and the Golden Eagles had scares yesterday and certainly Marquette had the tougher time. However, the fact the Huskies nearly blew all of a 26 point lead is a bit of a concern. Yes they won the game by 7 but they outscored the Friars by 21 points from three-point land. In other words, that was certainly a factor in the final margin. Also, I like the fact that the shooting edge helped mask the fact they had twice as many turnovers as Providence did. The point is that UConn is now over-valued here. I like the fact that the Golden Eagles did not shoot well from beyond the arc yesterday and yet still hung on for the win. All of this has led to line value here as this is a team that relies on its outside shot and odds suggest they will shoot better here today and the Huskies will regress. That is simply a regression to the mean today on Friday. 10* MARQUETTE +4 |
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03-10-23 | UTA Arad v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs UTA @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won the last meeting between these clubs 2-1. Universitatea Craiova has won 4 straight home matches and has scored an average of 2 goals per match in those. However, I do not expect them to shutdown UTA here. Note that UTA's last 7 matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals and UTA has scored at least 1 goal in 18 of last 23 matches. Of course, the fact that Universitatea Craiova is favored here on the money line is with a good reason as it is the most probable outcome. Considering that plus the strong odds that UTA will find the back of the net at least once, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. That means the over 2.5 goals at +120 is offering sizable line value and I will not pass this up. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-09-23 | Warriors -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-131 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -2.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - These teams do not like each other. This insures that both teams are certainly motivated to win this game and you absolutely can not say that about many NBA regular season games especially in today's NBA of guys sitting out games or even taking games off, so to speak, when they are actually playing in those games! So the point is we have the motivation factor working for both teams in this one. What does that all mean here? It means Warriors should win this game in a road rout. They are the healthier team and the Grizzlies are a mess right now because of the combined injury situation and then the Ja Morant situation off the court. The fact Morant is still out and this team has been distracted by everything going on plus the fact this team is still without a couple key contributors (Adams still out and role player Clarke lost for the season Friday), this Memphis team could get blown out here even though they are at home. Steph Curry now back for the Warriors but Golden State is fired up coming off B2B losses. The Grizzlies have lost 13 of 20 games overall. The Warriors are 8-2 the last 10 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Lay the short number here. 10* GOLDEN STATE -2.5 |
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03-09-23 | Flyers v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes are likely to start Kochetkov between the pipes for this one. He has not started in nearly two months and I feel the Flyers will take advantage here. However, I also give Philly little chance of slowing down the Canes here no matter who Philadelphia has between the pipes. That said, look for an over here. Carolina has won 15 of 18 games and scored an average of 4.2 goals per game during this stretch! The Flyers last 10 games have seen 8 total at least 6 goals and 7 total at least 7 goals. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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03-09-23 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Devils last 10 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. I know we need 7 to win here but the point is that New Jersey has not had any grinders of late and, in fact, those 10 games averaged 7.5 goals apiece. Also, each of the last 7 games have indeed totaled at least 7 goals! Additionally, normal starter Vanecek (since Blackwood is out) is likely to get a rest tonigth and Schmid is likely to be in the crease. He does have strong numbers this season but has not been playing a whole lot of late and his career numbers are still mediocre overall. Plus he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 starts so Washington should score okay here but will also struggled to stop the high-flying Devils. The Capitals have lost 8 of 11 games and allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. However, they also scored 4.6 goals last 5 games and are starting to come on strong of late. This one, and considering the game is in DC, has all the right ingredients to be a solid over. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -6 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - The Cowboys knocked off the rival Sooners yesterday to advance to face the Longhorns today. Texas has the rest edge here and also a confidence edge since they knocked off Kansas to close out the regular season. The Horns also loaded with confidence as it pertains to this match-up thanks to knocking off Oklahoma State by a double digit margin in each of their two regular season meetings. Texas is having a fantastic season and only has 2 losses to unranked foes this season. The Longhorns performed well against ranked teams too but the point is they were practically unbeatable (16-2) in games against unranked foes. As for the Cowboys, they were 3-9 against ranked teams this season. Also, Oklahoma State had lost 5 straight games before winning their regular season finale and then opening the Big 12 tourney with a win over Oklahoma. Yes, we have the matter of covering the spread here but first key to that is getting a SU win and, based on the numbers above and the situation, you can see why I am confident of that. Each of the Cowboys last 5 road losses was by 8 or more points. 10* TEXAS -6 |
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03-09-23 | Betis v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
UEFA Europa League, Round of 16 Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 goals +120 vs Real Betis @ 3 ET - Manchester United beat Barcelona 2-1 to advance to this state. Barcelona's only goal in that match came on a penalty kick. The point is that Barcelona is at the top of La Liga and vastly superior to Real Betis. If Man U was able to knock off the top team 2-1 they can definitely beat Real Betis by a multi-goal margin here at home. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 14 straight home matches and has a long unbeaten run here too. They also enter this match off a humiliating 7-0 loss to Liverpool so you know the hosts are going to bring a very strong effort to this match as they look to get right back on track by dominating on their home pitch. Considering the embarrassing outcome against Liverpool, the hosts will be relentless here and should win comfortably by a multi-goal margin. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED -1.5 goals +120 |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -3 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3 or -3.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - Iowa is off a loss and they have been great off a loss this season including a tightener that has them nearly perfect in this role this season. The Hawkeyes are 7-1 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 or less points. They are rested here and taking on a Buckeyes team that had to battle it out with the Badgers yesterday. Keep in mind, Ohio State had lost 15 of 18 games before getting the win over Wisconsin yesterday. They take a big step up in level of opponent now as they face the high-scoring Hawkeyes after facing the slow-paced Badgers. Look for Iowa to be aggressive and look to run the Buckeyes right out of the arena as they catch them in the 2nd game of a B2B spot. Ohio State had a recent 9-game losing streak and then also had another loss in their regular season finale. All 10 of those losses by 4 or more points and I am confident this will be an 11th straight loss by 4 or more points. 10* IOWA -3 or -3.5 |
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03-08-23 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10 ET - The Canucks beat the Ducks 8-5 in the only meeting between these teams this season. Though we will not see that many goals again tonight it does show that we can reasonably expect some fireworks between these teams here. Note that 6 of last 9 Canucks home games have totaled at least 7 goals. I know Demko has been solid between the pipes since coming back but this is still a Vancouver club that has questionable defense at times and has allowed 3.3 goals in last 7 home games. The Canucks should score well again here though. Vancouver will take advantage of facing a Ducks team that used top goalie Gibson last night. Also, Anaheim likely to go with Dostal in the crease tonight and the back-up netminder has a 4.00 GAA on the season plus has allowed 5 goals per game last 3 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-08-23 | Hawks -3 v. Wizards | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -3 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are off a win yesterday but it was at Detroit. Not only are the Pistons a bad team, it was also a road game for Washington and then they had to travel back to DC for this game. Prior to that win, the Wizards had lost 8 of 14 games. Now they face a Hawks team in the first of B2B games here versus Atlanta. The set-up for this first game certainly favors the Hawks as they have the rest edge and I like the fact they are off B2B losses. Note that Atlanta is 5-0 SU the last 5 times they have entered a game on a losing streak and all 5 of those wins by at least 3 points and, in fact, the games averaged 13 point margin of victory. The Hawks also lost to the Wizards about a week ago in Snyder's first game as head coach and Atlanta blew a 4th quarter lead in that one. In other words, there is plenty of extra motivation in this revenge divisional game. 10* ATLANTA -3 |
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03-08-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +2.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 ET - The Buckeyes won 1 road game all season long! This is a neutral site game but the fact is that means both teams are traveling and it was the Badgers that were better on the road this season. In fact, Wisconsin won 3 of their last 5 road games this season and that included a win at Ohio State. Not only that, both losses were in OT and one of those was a loss at Michigan that only went to OT because of a 3-pointer at the buzzer of regulation. The fact is the Badgers did lose in regulation time of any of their final 5 road games and very easily could have a 5-game road winning streak heading into this one. Again, compare this to an Ohio State team that has ONE WIN on the road this ENTIRE SEASON. The Badgers are the better defensive team in this match-up. I feel Ohio State is getting some attention from the betting masses here because of the revenge angle and the fact the Buckeyes are the higher-scoring team. But this one sets up to be another grinder and the Buckeyes don't have a key inside player, Zed Key, like they did for the first meeting with the Badgers when they dominated the glass. That said, I feel we have exceptional line value here as this line was around a pick'em but now has Badgers getting 2.5 points here. 10* WISCONSIN +2.5 |
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03-08-23 | AC Milan v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Tottenham vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Tottenham has their manager back from his medical leave and they also are on their home pitch. Good combo to expect renewed scoring here as they are also needing a big win considering they are down 1-0 to Milan so far on the aggregate. Tottenham has scored a pair of goal in each of last two home matches. Milan has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 9 matches away from home across all competitions. However, Milan has also scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. You can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we get an added boost as AC Milan gets some key players back too including an attacker and a midfielder. Look for an entertaining battle here that totals 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-08-23 | Butler v. St. John's -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm -6 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 3 ET - So this is the Big East tourney so it is a neutral site game yet it is really not neutral for the Red Storm as they split their home games each season between Carnesecca Arena and here at Madison Square Garden. That said, this is a significant edge here for St John's and they already beat the Bulldogs by double digits at Carnesecca Arena earlier this season. Also, 4 of the last 6 regular season home games for the Red Storm were here at Madison Square Garden so big edge here. Not only was St John's 11-6 at home and Butler 3-9 on the road this season, the Bulldogs were frequently blown out of games. This is just not a very good Butler team this season and their 3 wins in their season-ending 3-9 run were all by a margin of 2 or less points. Conversely, their 17 losses this season were by an average margin of defeat of 18 points and all the losses were by 6 or more points! Look for the Red Storm to take advantage of the home court edge here and pull away for a big-margin win in the 2nd half. 10* ST JOHN'S -6 |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Both Tobias Harris and PJ Tucker could be back for this game after missing last night's game at Indiana. But, overall, how much can the Sixers have left in the tank after going all out in a 147 to 143 win over the Pacers last night. This is a tough back to back spot for Philly and prior to B2B high-scoring wins over the Bucks (miracle comeback win in 4th quarter) and Pacers, the 76ers had lost 3 of 5 overall and also 3 of 5 road games. So this B2B road spot is sure to be a tough one for Philadelphia and they are facing a Timberwolves team that has won 3 straight games. Those 3 Wolves wins were on the road too and now they are back home and have a rest edge over the Sixers. Minny did lose their last 2 home games so you know they want to make this one count! They get it done here! 10* MINNESOTA +1.5 |